Archive for October, 2007
NBA PICKS: The 2nd COMING
Disappointing start to the season last night for us. Terrible 1-2 record. I should have known the Spurs would not cover. Anyway, time to right the ship. Here is who we like tonight:
Bulls @ Nets -2.5: The Bulls are the sexy pick for 2007-2008. We like them, too, but not tonight. Nets are a solid veteran team and were great last year for us. We like them in their home opener. Take the Nets -2.5.
Mavs-4 @ Cavs: We love the Cavs this year, too. However, the Mavs just have too many weapons. They will be looking to avenge their end last year. Avery Johnson is a good coach who doesn’t let his team let up. They will cover on the road. Take the Mavs -4.
Kings +9.5 @ Hornets: Kings are terrible, but this is too many points. Take the Kings +9.5.
Sonics @ Nuggets -11: I don’t believe Durant is ready. Nuggets are stacked. They will roll in their opener. Take the Nuggets -11.
Bucks @ Magic -6.5: Magic were darlings for us ATS last year. The Bucks are up and coming, but we think the Magic cover at home. Take the Magic -6.5.
There you go. 5 winners. Good luck.
Runny & Flash
NBA PICKS: TIME TO JUMP START THE SEASON!!!!
WHOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Opening night for the 2008-2009 NBA season is only one day away!! Just like last year, you can be sure that we are going to be all over picks this year. We are ready to roll. As you may know from last season, Flash and I didn’t pick every game or make picks everyday. Just like our NCAA football and NFL action this year, we only pick the games we like. That said, we like action in all three games on opening night. Without further to do, here we go:
Blazers @ Spurs -13.5: No history at all for this season. Last year the Spurs killed us ATS. They never covered when we picked them. On the other hand, the Blazers were very good for us ATS. However, that was last year. The Spurs are the champs. They are at home. They are healthy. The Blazers have no Oden and they traded Randolph away. Here is their projected starting 5: G Jarrett Jack, G Fred Jones, F Raef LaFrentz, F Martell Webster and C Jamaal Magliore. No other analysis required. The Spurs roll. Take the Spurs -13.5.
Jazz +3 @ Warriors: The Warriors are fresh off their Cinderella-story playoff run at the end of last year. The Jazz turned a lot of heads and are extremely talented. We like them to cover in this one. Will be a great game. Take the Jazz +3.
Rockets -5.5 @ Kobe: This game is all about the Rockets against one man-Kobe. There is no other threat on that team. Kobe is disgruntled and Phil is calling him out in the press. I think this is Zen move on the part of Phil will backfire. The Rockets will win big. Take the Rockets -5.5.
That’s how we see it. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NFL WEEK 8 PICKS: Lock ‘Em Up
We are looking for a rebound after a 2-2 Week 7. Our record to date is a pedestrian 15-11-2. No better time than Week 8 to lock ‘em up and get on the right track. That said, here’s who we like:
Colts -7 @ Panthers: Back-to-back road games for the Colts on the short week. The Colts admitted that they don’t know the Panthers too well (last played is 2003). Marvin Harrison is listed as a game time decision. This should translate into a Panthers cover. However, the last time we checked the Colts still had Manning and the Panthers are starting Vinny Testaverde. We love us some Vinny, but not this week. The Panthers are just too banged-up and the Colts just have too many weapons. Take the Colts -7.
Steelers -4 @ Bengals: The Steelers have been terrible ATS on the road. However, they have a great opportunity to right their ship this week in Cinncy against the Bungles. The Bungles are a joke. The Steelers scored a lot of points last week against a solid Broncos D in Mile High. They may score 10,000 against the Bungles. Look for a high scoring game. Take the Steelers -4.
Bills +3 @ Jets: This is our favorite game of the week. The Bills are scrappers. They will make it 2 in a row this week. Take the Bills +3.
Texans @ Chargers -9: This a lot of points to give/get. The Chargers will be playing at home in front of the terrible back drop of the wild fires that have terrorized SoCal. We are with them. It will be a great win for their fans. Take the Chargers -9.
Saints -2.5 @ 49ers: We hate the Saints. They have screwed us this year more than any other team. They are just too good to be this bad. The 49ers still have not shown improvement. As much as we hate to do it, we are rollin’ with the Ain’ts again. Take the Saints -2.5.
There you go-5 locks for the week. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NFL WEEK 8 PICKS: Lock ‘Em Up
We are looking for a rebound after a 2-2 Week 7. Our record to date is a pedestrian 15-11-2. No better time than Week 8 to lock ‘em up and get on the right track. That said, here’s who we like:
Colts -7 @ Panthers: Back-to-back road games for the Colts on the short week. The Colts admitted that they don’t know the Panthers too well (last played is 2003). Marvin Harrison is listed as a game time decision. This should translate into a Panthers cover. However, the last time we checked the Colts still had Manning and the Panthers are starting Vinny Testaverde. We love us some Vinny, but not this week. The Panthers are just too banged-up and the Colts just have too many weapons. Take the Colts -7.
Steelers -4 @ Bengals: The Steelers have been terrible ATS on the road. However, they have a great opportunity to right their ship this week in Cinncy against the Bungles. The Bungles are a joke. The Steelers scored a lot of points last week against a solid Broncos D in Mile High. They may score 10,000 against the Bungles. Look for a high scoring game. Take the Steelers -4.
Bills +3 @ Jets: This is our favorite game of the week. The Bills are scrappers. They will make it 2 in a row this week. Take the Bills +3.
Texans @ Chargers -9: This a lot of points to give/get. The Chargers will be playing at home in front of the terrible back drop of the wild fires that have terrorized SoCal. We are with them. It will be a great win for their fans. Take the Chargers -9.
Saints -2.5 @ 49ers: We hate the Saints. They have screwed us this year more than any other team. They are just too good to be this bad. The 49ers still have not shown improvement. As much as we hate to do it, we are rollin’ with the Ain’ts again. Take the Saints -2.5.
There you go-5 locks for the week. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: The Power of 10 - 10 Winning Picks and 10 Observations from South Bend
“It is not worth an intelligent man’s time to be in the majority. By definition, there are already enough people to do that.” — Godfrey Harold Hardy
Sometimes sports betting becomes one big quandary, picks do not seem logical, spreads do not make sense and you are left scratching your head trying to find a new edge. Our picks are not going to put you in the majority of the betting world and that is a good thing. We have a system and we know it works, no matter how crazy logic fights what we are telling you to do. Do we want it to work better…sure we do but we are picking winners at a 57% right now, we have had one losing week this entire season. So while the other handicappers and sports bettors are trying to find winners we know our big pay day is right around the corner. Stick with us-we do the research so you don’t have to. Our system works and you will continue to see that we are elite. Bring on Bowl Season already!!!!
As always, our disclaimer, we are 29-22 on the season, 3-3 with our Brinks Truck bets (5 times your normal betting unit, and we are up 7 units on the season. Lastly, our money is where our mouth is. We bet every one of these games at the lines we post.
We are not laying down a Brinks truck bet this week. The truck is still in the shop!
The theme of this week is The Power of 10. We have 10 picks for you and we are going to share 10 observations from our trip to South Bend this past weekend where we witnessed just how bad the Notre Dame Cowering Irish football team really is.
Betting Group 1
Clean Sweep Games….These are games where one team has a clear statistical advantage over the other team. Some of the categories we consider are efficiency running the ball, converting third downs, stopping the run, stopping third downs and turnover ratio. If a team can control the clock and the ball, they are going to win and cover.
1 - UNC @ Wake Forest (-5.5) = This game is clear cut. Wake Forest runs for almost 50 yards more per game and is almost 10 percentage points higher converting third downs…42.2% versus 32.7%. Tie that in with a superior defense and a clear advantage in the turnover ration +4 versus -4 and you have a team playing at home in the midst of a 5 game winning streak. Some against the spread numbers (ATS) for you…Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tar Heels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. 6 points seems high and most experts are picking UNC after they scrapped it out with South Carolina two weeks ago. The “Clean sweep” stats are what is important to us and we are taking Wake. Plus, Wake is at home against a bitter in-state rival. Wake wins and covers!
Notre Dame Observation #1: Before we walked into the game, while we were walking around campus, we actually heard a student or young alumnus say the following: “Back in the good old days, when there were no girls at Notre Dame….” We were laughing so hard that we did not even bother listening to what he said after that because he was dead serious when he said it. The ND girls are not known to be lookers but at least they are not swinging tube steaks down there. The football team is bad and now the guys do not like girls. What has become of Notre Dame.
2 - Miami-Ohio @ Vanderbilt (-14) = Vandy wins the statistical battle across the board and is coming off an awesome win at South Carolina. Vanderbilt preys on the bad..Beat Richmond 41-17, Ole Miss 31-17 and Eastern Michigan 30-7. Some ATS numbers for you… Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf. Miami-Ohio just lost to Temple. TEMPLE!!!!! We think that says it all. Vandy wins easily.
Notre Dame Observation #2: At kickoff there were actually empty seats noticeable in the entire stadium, even the student section. We even received a call that we could buy 12 tickets at face value Friday afternoon. How much of a joke is that? Now you have a school where the Boys do not like girls and even the students turned on the football team.
3 - Iowa St. @ Missouri (-28.5) = Missouri is 6 and 0 against the spread and we love picking them. Now we all know we blew it with the Oklahoma/Iowa State game but this is payback. Last week was Iowa State’s homecoming, they were playing as hard as they have all year and eventually blew the game in the end. Missouri absolutely destroyed a dynamic Texas Tech team and loves to pour on the points. Iowa State will be in let down mode and Missouri will capitalize. I do not even need to break down the statistical differences between these two teams. It is a joke. 28.5 points are nothing in this matchup. Some ATS numbers for you….Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. We think that says it all. Bet Missouri with confidence.
Notre Dame Observation #3: The fan base has turned on the team. Our favorite heckler kept yelling at Charlie Weis to run the ball three times for no gain and then punt so they could at least say they successfully punted the ball. it was loud, it was ugly and the fans are not happy in South Bend.
4 - UVA (-3) @ NC State = Here is what we know about NC State, they can not stop the run, can not run the ball and have turned the ball over 24 times this year for a minus 17 turnover ratio. Enough said? You could have given us 14 points in this game and we would have taken it. Just to rub it in….Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Wolfpack are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Wolfpack are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Wolfpack are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October. Wolfpack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Wolfpack are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Wolfpack are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Wolfpack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. We think you can see what we are talking about.
We are breaking out a new feature this week. Mrs. Flash Flash is jealous of Mrs. Bill Simmons and her NFL picking weekly feature so she wanted to speak her mind this week. Her pick of the week is this game because she likes UVA’s uniforms better than all the other teams we selected. We are not kidding. Use this information as you will UVA wins easily so says The Syndicate and Mrs. Flash Flash.
Notre Dame Observation #4: Notre Dame had one pre season all american candidate on defense and it was Tom Zibikowksi, a senior and I think a 5th year senior at that. Well USC came out and spread the ball and put Joe McKnight, a true freshman, isolated outside against Zibikowski. You would think a 5th year senior pre-season all american would have no problem covering an 18 year old kid but Zibikowski was jumping up and down that he needed help and could not cover the kid. Lucky for him, McKnight’s number was not called. Even the TV announcers picked up on this. What a joke. Notre Dame is over hyped and under talented.
Betting Group 2
The Turnover Dilemma Games…This is an interesting development. Teams that appear to have the statistical edge in every category with the exception of turnover ratio are only 7-7 and against the spread in the last 4 weeks. When you look at the home and away breakdown of this 7-7 number we came up with an even more revealing figure…..the home team that has a statistical advantage but does not have the turnover ratio advantage does not cover. We came up with two betting situations that we like applying this theory.
5 - Indiana (+7.5) @ Wisconsin = Wisonsin’s turnover ratio is minus 6 on the season and they have turned the ball over 13 times. Indiana is plus three on the year and has a ball hawking defense that has caused 20 turnovers. Another interesting stat…the road team is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Indiana has been streaky and a tough team to figure out this year but we do know they can score points against anybody…31 against Penn State and 38 against Iowa are two impressive performances and they covered in both. Indiana went toe to toe with Penn State and came up just short. We think Wisconsin is a shell of its former self and their home field advantage is not as relevant as it was in the Barry Alvarez days. Some ATS numbers to back up this pick….Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Badgers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Badgers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Plus, Wisconsin’s QB plays as nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs, and IU’s QB is a stud with a phenom wideout. Indiana will cover this line and do not be surprised if they win outright.
Notre Dame observation #5: The student section gave the USC cheerleaders a standing ovation. This caught us by surprise because the male student body already was on record saying the school was better when there were no girls there and now they were applauding the USC cheerleaders and then it struck us (NOTE: These girls were extremely attractive). Due to the high level of homosexuality that is now prevalent amongst Catholic Priests, the male student body must be primarliy gay and therefore was applauding the dance moves of the cheerleaders. We researched and heard that modern dance was now the number 1 sought after major by males on campus.
6 - Stanford (+13.5) @ Oregon State = Two more scary teams. Stanford beats USC one week and loses to TCU the following week. Oregon St. gets destroyed by Cincy and then beats Cal. Standford’s RB situation is unknown at this point due to injuries and that has us nervous but we love the scrappiness of Tavita Pritchard, Stanford’s QB. He led them back against Arizona last week and has the same “never quit” attitude that Vince Young has. Just so you are not totally afraid to make this bet…..Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October. And on the flip side….Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Not much to go on but enough for us. Stanford continues to show its grit and covers.
Notre Dame Observation #6: We witnessed the strength, power and speed of the E-Freak up close and personal. Everson Griffen, #93 on the Trojans, all 6 foot 3 inches 265 pounds of him. A true freshman listed as a DE. This kid was a freak of nature out there. They brough him out primarily in passing situations and he was a beast and all over the field, even knocking down a pass. What was most impressive was when Pete Carroll lined up the E-freak at CB. Yes, he lined him up at cornerback!!!! We were dumbfounded and they ran to his side and the E-freak got involved on the tackle. You know your offense is absolutely the worst in the nation when an 18 year old defensive end can line up on your WRs. Man Notre Dame was bad!!! Look out for good things to come from the E-Freak. Watch out Dennis Dixon.
The Straight Cash Homey Picks: Sorry folks but we can not give away all our secrets. These are our special picks that we are more than happy to throw our own money on.
7 - Kansas (-2.5) @ Texas AandM = Ride the winning horse until it is defeated. Kansas is 6 and 0 against the spread. They pulled out a nice win at Colorado last week and will look to beat another Big 12 team on the road. Here are some ATS stats for you: Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Aggies are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The thing we think is most important though and the true reason for their success….Mark Mangino, the Jayhawk coach. This guy is by far one of the fattest coaches in the history of NCAA football. Check it out:
Are you kidding us with this guy?!?!? He makes Charlie Weis look like Calista Flockhart!!! This guy is a monster and we would not screw with him….Ride that Kansas horse until it needs to be shot. Jayhawks win and cover on the road!
Notre Dame Observation #7: During the third quarter, Sharpley passed to Travis Thomas who was lit up by Cary Harris and fumbled the ball which was recovered by Keith Rivers. We were on the complete opposite side of the stadium when this hit went down and we could hear it…it sounded like somebody was cracking wood. We have never been to a live sporting event and heard a hit like this in our lifetime. We are not sure how it carried over on television or even how it looked but it sounded great. It is impressive that Travis Thomas got up and his head was still attached to his body.
8 - Arizona @ Washington (-3.5) = Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in October. Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Wildcats are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is extrememly well coached. Not saying AU is not, but Ty is a much better coach. He will have them ready to rock. They put up points and Oregon last week and kept that game close. AU will not like the road trip. Washington covers easily.
Notre Dame Observation #8: Jimmy Clausen’s prediction that he will never lose to USC if he is QB actually came true. Jimmy has been so good playing that Weis benched him and Jimmy was able to follow through with his bold prediction. No playing time = no chance of losing to USC. Nice work on your prediction Jimmy. Three more years to go with that one!!!
9 - Georgia @ Florida (-8.5) = This game will be a street fight. Look for big hits. These games have been close in the recent history. This game is being played in J’Ville, but the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Gators are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss. Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Florida. Gators just have more athletes and more people to lay the lumber. If Florida can cover 9 against Kentucky, they can cover this. Take Florida and give the points.
Notre Dame Observation #9: We observed just how bad Notre Dame is as a team, coaches included. There is zero talent on that team and the play calling was worse than Ron Zook’s at Florida. If you do not know what I am talking about go find a Gators fan and he/she will fill you right in. Screen, screen, draw, screen, etc… You get our drift. Weis was terrible and needs to be held accountable for his game planning and the talent he recruited. He was bad and the players were bad and unprepared. Sharpley looked frantic on every passing play. We observed a horrendous ND team suffer the second worse home loss in its storied history and we loved it. Leprechaun land does not even have anything good to root for in the near term. You know the country is moving in the right direction when Notre Dame has one win and is ranked last in NCAA on offense. We love it!!!
10 - California (+3) @ Arizona State= This a BCS debacle game. We are playing the numbers here. Cal has lost two games in a row but they have not lost three straight games since losing the first 10 games of their 1-10 season in 2001. Also, the Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and none of the games have been decided by less than 17 points. Golden Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Golden Bears are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Sun Devils best RB, Ryan Torain, their leading rusher and scorer is now out for the season. Arizona State is not battle tested and will need to step up big to compete against Cal. We do not think they can. Cal bounces back with a win and a cover.
On a side note, I am very sorry but I was not able to make Jeff Tedford eat a turd sandwich this week. I am still working on it and if he burns us again he will be forced to eat a turd sandwich and wear a very large anal plug.
“Hi my name is Jeff Tedford, I am scratching my head because I have no idea why I let a red shirt freshman ruin our season and ultimately take money out of the pockets of the readers of this fine blog. Runny and Flash are great guys and if I fail this week I will eat that turd sandwich, with an anal plug up my rectum. You can count on it.”
Notre Dame Observation #10: Although we have been bashing the beloved Leprechaun lovers in this post, we must give props where due. The entire staff on campus could not have been more polite. Seriously, it was like we were watching a game in a 5 star restaurant. An usher even gave us a “congrats” on our way out the stadium. They say a team/organization shows its true colors in a defeat. The ND staff was all class. Thanks for the hospitality.
We love the banter that has been increasing on our blog. Feel free to post your picks or ask us for our advice. We check this regularly and will post as soon as we can. Also, our blog reader base has been steadily increasing and we want to hear what you have to say about us… good or bad. Leave us a comment, leave us your picks, ask us questions….we are here for you and here for you to make money!!!
We love our picks like a fat kid loves cake!!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
WEEK 7 NFL PICKS: WE ARE BETTER THAN NOTRE DAME
Flash and I just got back from South Bend to watch the SC_ND game. We don’t think we have ever seen a worse NCAA team. Ever. ND is sooooooooooo very bad. The score should have been worse than 38-0. They are that bad. But, we digress….
On the the issue at hand-WEEK 7 of the NFL!!! We are off to a so-so start. 13-9-2 on the season. Not bad, but not up to our standards. That said, let the games begin!! Here are our locks for this week:
Falcons @ Saints -8: Saints seemed to have righted the ship last week. Falcons are terrible. This is a lot of points, but Atlanta is just very bad. Take the Saints -8.
Bears +5.5 @ Eagles: The Bears are playing better. The Eagles are not as good has everyone thinks. Take the points. The Bears will win outright. Take the Bears +5.5.
Ravens @ Bills +3: Ravens beat up on the Rams last week and the Bills are off the bye and the heartbreaker against Dallas. The Bills are much better than people give them credit for and the Ravens are not as good as people think. We love the Bills are home. Take the Bills +3.
Steelers -3.5 @ Broncos: Intriguing game. Normally we would like the home dog in this game. Especially given that Shannahan is an animal after the bye. However, we think the Burgh is legit and Denver is just not that good. Close game, but they will cover. Take the Steelers -3.5.
That’s it. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: 9 Winning Picks and a Trip To See TD Jesus
We were 4-2 last week but missed our Brinks Truck bet so the Brinks Truck is in the shop this weekend getting tuned up. What we do have is 9 great picks for you this weekend. Because we are always up front and honest…we are 24-18 on the season, 3-3 for Brinks Truck bets and we are up 6 units. The 6 units is a joke and we plan on turning that around ASAP.
For our nine picks this week, we are going to break them down into 4 betting categories. First up is the ” Clean Sweep”. The clean sweep means a team meets our statistical betting criteria. The public data we share with you for the clean sweep is the following:
Offensive rushing yards per game
Offensive 3rd down efficiency
Defensive rushing yards given up per game
Defensive 3rd down efficiency
Turnover ratio
When a team meets these 5 figures they win more times than not because they control the clock, can move the ball, stop opponents from controlling the clock, stop opponents from moving up and down the field and do not turn the ball over.
The Clean Sweep Games of the Week:
1) Cincy @ Pitt (plus 9.5) - Cincy is going to be very pissed off following their loss to Louisville and PITT just can not get anything going. Even Navy passed all over them last week. Yes Navy passed the ball successfully on PITT. In what could be a turn of events that actually helps PITT, their coach, Dave Wannstedt, tore his achilles tendon and will probable coach the game from the press box. We saw what good old Dave was able to do against Navy and that was coach his team out of a win. Being in the press box and away from the players and flow of the game might help PITT. However, please be serious here, Cincinnati is ninth in the country in scoring average at 40.6 points per game, while Pitt has given up an average of 42.0 points in its last three contests. This game will be ugly. Ride Cincy and their 5 and 1 record against the spread. Easy cash in this one.
2) Miss St. @ West Virginia (minus 24) - Plain and simple stats for this one. Miss. St. can not stop the run and turns the ball over. West Virginia should have no problem taking control of this game. West Virginia is coming off a bye and Pat White should have had plenty of time to get healthy. Last year and on the road, West Virginia won 42-14. We expect this game to be even more ugly. Mountaineers mount the boys from Mississipp and make em squeal like pigs.
3) Kansas @ Colorado (plus 3.5) - Kansas is becoming one of our favorite teams and is undefeated against the spread at 5 and 0. Last year Kansas won 20-15 and this year’s team is a lot better. Colorado just lost 47-20 to the same Kansas State team Kansas beat. This spread should really be over 10. Jayhawks splatter their poo all over the Buffs.
4) Texas @ Baylor (plus 25) - We saw what Kansas could do against Baylor, a 58-10 win and Texas should whoop them even worse. Baylor might be competitive against the cellar dwellers like Notre Dame but they will be hooked by the Horns. Texas in a blowout.
5) Oregon @ Washington (plus 11.5) - Oregon is really hot. We see this as a parallel to the USC team that lost to CAL in 3-OT a few years back. After that loss the Trojans went on a tear, ultimately destroying Michigan in the Rose Bowl. Well this Oregon team, after suffering a disappointing loss to Cal is on fire after destroying Wash. St. 53-7 last week. Oregon is probably the most explosive team in the Pac-10 and will continue to prove it this week. Ducks blow out Washington by more than 20.
6) Oklahoma @ Iowa St. (plus 29.5) - Iowa St. is the Sooners’ red headed step child. All time they are 66-5-2 in the series. What a freakin joke. So the question is not will Oklahoma win but by how much. The Cyclones lost to Texas 56-3 last week and we expect a similar score. Easy win for the Sooners.
The “Wash” Game of the week
Sometimes we look at a game and do not see one clear winner that stands out meaning the teams are essentially even. We have one such game this weekend.
7) Tennessee @ Alabama (pick em) - Tennessee rushes for 19 more yards a game and the teams are equal in offensive 3rd down conversions. On defense, Alabama is a little better against the run and the teams are even in third down conversion percentage. Turnover ratio favors Alabama 6 to 1 and we think this will be the difference. This game dropped to pick em and we love not having to worry about points, picking the home team and the team that turns the ball over less. Roll Tide Roll. Alabama wins this game.
The SEC Road Cover of the Week
Auburn @ LSU (minus 10.5) - The SEC has had some great games the last few weeks and the number one lesson to learn is to not bet on the favorite in the higher spread games. Auburn’s defense proved they can play with the Florida offense and will have no problem with the LSU offense. We do not think Auburn wins but we know they will keep it closer than 10.5 points. Against ranked teams Auburn keeps it close; 3 points with South Florida, 3 points with Florida, 2 points with Arkansas. Take Auburn and the points and watch as they strike fear into another SEC team.
The Fever Game
9) Central Michigan @ Clemson (minus 16.5) - Dancin, Dancin, YEAH!!!! We got the fever for LaFevour once again. Central Michigan has been a cover machine the last three weeks and they covered easily. Our boy Dan LaFevour has the Chippewas playing aggressive football and we think they can keep it close with Clemson and certainly closer than the 16.5 points they are getting. Look at these numbers, this game is too easy: Chippewas are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Chippewas are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Chippewas are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Chippewas are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. And then we get to look at Clemson: Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass. Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Tigers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
If these numbers do not convince you to get the Fever for LaFevour than you are in the wrong business. Stop betting, send us your money and in return we will send you a jar of tiddly winks.
On a side note, we both go to the USC/Notre Dame game in South Bend every two years and this weekend will be no different. We normally would put out a prediction on this game but Runny wants to bet USC cause he hates ND and Flash wants to bet ND cause USC has been dog vomint for three weeks in a row. We both think USC wins easily and the Trojans defenders might actually physically kill a Notre Dame player because their offense is so terrible. Notre Dame would be better off playing 11 of those little leprechauns from the Lucky Charms commercial cause USC is going to physically dominate them. Also, if you see two drunk USC clowns in the Notre Dame alumni tent feel free to say hello. We will be the ones double fisting bloodies and beers and heckling the demented leprechaun lovers. How in the hell can BC be favored by 13.5 points in South Bend and the Trojans opened at 20.5 points. At least they dropped down to 18 and continue to go down but give me a freakin break. If Vegas were legit at setting lines this game would have an 8-10 point spread.
*****10/19/2007***** We needed to post this story about USC…Trojans endure harrowing flight
This is big news. There is one other game we can remember this year where this happened and it was when Southern Miss travelled to Boise St and got blown out 38-16 and did not cover the 10.5 point spread. Please remember that these guys are kids and they just were on a plane where they thought they were going to die. It is not surprising that I have seen some “experts” actually pick ND for an outright win now after this news was announced. We still think USC wins but Flash thinks this is even more reason why ND will cover. Runny absolutely refuses to give ND any credit and still is on the USC to cover bandwagon. We are here to share info and we feel like this is important betting information that needs to spread.
We hope you enjoy the picks. We have been winners for 6 of the 7 weeks of the NCAA season and we love our picks this week. If you want any picks from us or reasons why we did not bet a game let us know. Simply post a comment and we will get back to you within a couple of hours. Our money is always where our mouth is and that means we share the fruits of our labor with you,our readers.
Flash Flash and Runny
Joe Torre Where are you?
I am sick of the media bias against the Yankees right now regarding Joe Torre. He are the facts plain and simple:
1) Joe Torre HAD a contract with the NY Yankees. That is right, the contract he signed has expired. So the Yankees can not fire Joe Torre because he is not under contract
2) How many times has Joe Torre said since the Yanks lost to the Indians that he wanted to come back and coach the Yanks…..I am waiting….still waiting….waiting……ZERO!!!!!!! How come the media has not asked Joe what he wants to do? How come he is holed up in his Westchester home and not speaking to the media? If he wants the Yanks job he should be saying so and I have not heard him say once that he wants to come back and manage in 2008.
That is all you need to know. Joe Torre is not being fired and he has not even come out and said he wants to manage the Yanks. The media needs to go track down Joe Torre and get the other side of this story and stop commenting that the Yanks are firing Joe Torre. Damn media!!!
Flash Flash
NFL WEEK 6 PICKS: TAKE ‘EM TO THE BANK
Had a disappointing 3-2 week last week (damn you Romo!!) bringing our season record to 12-6. We will improve on that record. No better time than right now to rip it up. We like 6 this week. Here are our locks for Week 6:
Rams +9.5 @ Ravens: We are staring with the Brinks Truck bet for the week. This line is comical. There is not a team in the NFL that the Ravens can beat by more than 9. Not one. The Rams have a very underrated D. Although they are extremely banged-up, they have enough to keep this game under 9.5. We would not be surprised if the Rams win outright. Take the Rams +9.5.
Titans +3 @ Buccaneers: Both teams are intriguing. TB has been much better than we thought they would be. Garcia was a great pick-up for them. Young has been better than we thought as well (even though his stats are terrible). But, TB is banged up big time. We also love the Titans’ D. Jeff Fischer is a brilliant coach. Titans D coupled with the Buc’s offensive injuries means this game will be close. Not convinced that the Buc’s D can contain Young’s running. Take the Titans +3.
Saints +6.5 @ Seahawks: The Ain’ts screwed us last week. There is just no legit explanation for a team falling from grace like thaey have. Unreal. As bad as they have been, 6.5 is just too much points to give. The Ain’ts may keep losing, but they will keep it within 6.5. Take the Saints +6.5.
Skins +3 @ Packers: Don’t believe the Packers/Favre hype. They are good, but every announcer and the NFL kisses Favre’s packer way too much. Don’t get us wrong, we love Favre and the Packers are much better than we thought they would be. However, the Skins are solid this year. And, for as much talk there is about the Packers D and O, the Skins D is actually much better and their O is only slightly behind GB’s. Don’t be surprised if the Packers lose 2 in a row. Take the Skins +3.
Panthers @ Cards -4.5: Cards have been good to us this year. Love the return of Warner. Hopefully that means we’ll be seeing more of his Roxette wife. We can only hope she now has a mullet. The Panthers are decimated by injuries. There is a chance Vinny testavede will make an appearence this week. We love the Cards. Take the Cards -4.5.
Patriots @ Cowboys +5.5: This line has been all over the place. The majority of the money and bets in Vegas are on the Pats. At first glance the Pats win this outright. The Boys looked terrible last week against the Bills, and Brady looks like he is playing himself on Madden ‘08. Where has Randy Moss been?!?!?! However, the thing to pay attention to is the Pats have played no one good yet. Sure they played the Chargers, but that was when the Chargers were terrible. They’ve really had no challenges. Even last week in Cleveland, the Brownies kept that game close until the end and they have no D or O. The Boys are not the Browns, and they can dfeinately keep it close all game. The Pats red zone D is terrible (I believe that everytime any opponent has reached the Pats 20 yard line the Pats have been unable to stop a TD). The Boys will exploit this. Belichek will take Whitten and TO away from Romo. The Boys will know this as well. Look for a big game from Patrick Crayton to have a big game as Romo will go to him early and often. For the Boys D, it could be a long day. Moss owns Dallas. Especially in big games. TNew and Anthony Henry will have their work cut out for them. Moss will be doubled. That means look for a big game from Wes Welker. It will be high scoring, but we think the Boys D and the home field will give them the edge. Don’t believe the Pats hype. The media loves them as much as they do Bret Favre. The Boys win this game outright. Take the Boys +5.5.
Those are our 6 locks for Week 6. Keep it rollin’. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NFL WEEK 6 PICKS: TAKE ‘EM TO THE BANK
Had a disappointing 3-2 week last week (damn you Romo!!) bringing our season record to 12-6. We will improve on that record. No better time than right now to rip it up. We like 6 this week. Here are our locks for Week 6:
Rams +9.5 @ Ravens: We are staring with the Brinks Truck bet for the week. This line is comical. There is not a team in the NFL that the Ravens can beat by more than 9. Not one. The Rams have a very underrated D. Although they are extremely banged-up, they have enough to keep this game under 9.5. We would not be surprised if the Rams win outright. Take the Rams +9.5.
Titans +3 @ Buccaneers: Both teams are intriguing. TB has been much better than we thought they would be. Garcia was a great pick-up for them. Young has been better than we thought as well (even though his stats are terrible). But, TB is banged up big time. We also love the Titans’ D. Jeff Fischer is a brilliant coach. Titans D coupled with the Buc’s offensive injuries means this game will be close. Not convinced that the Buc’s D can contain Young’s running. Take the Titans +3.
Saints +6.5 @ Seahawks: The Ain’ts screwed us last week. There is just no legit explanation for a team falling from grace like thaey have. Unreal. As bad as they have been, 6.5 is just too much points to give. The Ain’ts may keep losing, but they will keep it within 6.5. Take the Saints +6.5.
Skins +3 @ Packers: Don’t believe the Packers/Favre hype. They are good, but every announcer and the NFL kisses Favre’s packer way too much. Don’t get us wrong, we love Favre and the Packers are much better than we thought they would be. However, the Skins are solid this year. And, for as much talk there is about the Packers D and O, the Skins D is actually much better and their O is only slightly behind GB’s. Don’t be surprised if the Packers lose 2 in a row. Take the Skins +3.
Panthers @ Cards -4.5: Cards have been good to us this year. Love the return of Warner. Hopefully that means we’ll be seeing more of his Roxette wife. We can only hope she now has a mullet. The Panthers are decimated by injuries. There is a chance Vinny testavede will make an appearence this week. We love the Cards. Take the Cards -4.5.
Patriots @ Cowboys +5.5: This line has been all over the place. The majority of the money and bets in Vegas are on the Pats. At first glance the Pats win this outright. The Boys looked terrible last week against the Bills, and Brady looks like he is playing himself on Madden ‘08. Where has Randy Moss been?!?!?! However, the thing to pay attention to is the Pats have played no one good yet. Sure they played the Chargers, but that was when the Chargers were terrible. They’ve really had no challenges. Even last week in Cleveland, the Brownies kept that game close until the end and they have no D or O. The Boys are not the Browns, and they can dfeinately keep it close all game. The Pats red zone D is terrible (I believe that everytime any opponent has reached the Pats 20 yard line the Pats have been unable to stop a TD). The Boys will exploit this. Belichek will take Whitten and TO away from Romo. The Boys will know this as well. Look for a big game from Patrick Crayton to have a big game as Romo will go to him early and often. For the Boys D, it could be a long day. Moss owns Dallas. Especially in big games. TNew and Anthony Henry will have their work cut out for them. Moss will be doubled. That means look for a big game from Wes Welker. It will be high scoring, but we think the Boys D and the home field will give them the edge. Don’t believe the Pats hype. The media loves them as much as they do Bret Favre. The Boys win this game outright. Take the Boys +5.5.
Those are our 6 locks for Week 6. Keep it rollin’. Good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash