Week 13 Free NFL Winning Picks 2008: blah blah, lets win money!

The NFL has been kind to us lately. Our records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 17-19 on the season, Flash Flash is 10-6 and Runny Pelvis is 17-33-1. We love a bunch of games this Sunday and are coming out swinging. We also have a new favorite hottie. Between Nina Moric and Jakki Degg, this has been one hell of a week. Check out Jakki:

 

Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!

Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!

RPJ $yndicate Pick

Denver at NY Jets (-8.5) - We love betting the hot team and the Jets are one of the hottest. The Jets have four covers in a row and have won 5 games in a row since a bizarre loss to the Oakland Raiders and they sit in first place. New York has scored a franchise-record 115 points in its last three games, as Favre is completing 77.4 percent of his passes for 649 yards, five touchdowns and one interception in those contests. The Jets are getting it done on both sides of the ball though. The Jets are third in the league against the run (78.0 ypg), and haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher all season. They limited the Titans to 45 yards on 11 carries last week. Somehow, the Broncos are also in first place but are doing it in different fashion with one of the worst defenses in football. The Broncos are 28th in both total defense (390.8 yards per game) and scoring defense (27.5 ppg). Denver was unable to slow down lowly Oakland last Sunday, as the Raiders, who hadn’t scored an offensive touchdown in 15 quarters, handed the Broncos a 31-10 home loss. The ATS numbers:

Broncos

  • Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.
  • Broncos are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.
  • Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC.
  • Broncos are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Broncos are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games overall.
  • Broncos are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13.
  • Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Jets

  • Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
  • Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13.
  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • We think this number might be a little high and we wish the game was scheduled for 1pm but beggars can’t be choosers. The easiest thing to do is betting is to hammer the hot team and the Jets are the hottest team in the AFC. We are taking the Jets to win and cover!

    Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?

    Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?

     Flash Flash Picks

    NY Giants at Washington (+3.5) - A lot of bettors are betting on the Redskins and the line shows this. This line should be as high as the Jets/Broncs, if not higher. Yes, the Giants are banged up, but if you have not been paying attention this year, the Giants are THE BEST TEAM in the NFL. I want to the Cowboys/Redskins monday night football game two weeks ago and let me tell you one thing…the Redskins have zero offense when Portis is banged up and guess what…Portis is banged up. Portis will play but he is not the same back he was early in the year. And earlier in the year, the Giants held Portis to his second lowest per carry yardage of the season. The Giants just went on the road without Jacobs and Plax and destroyed the Cardinals. That win was impressive as hell. Jacobs might be back but Plax is still out. It just does not matter because the G-Men are the ultimate team and somebody like Boss, Steve Smith or Hixon always steps up. The Giants are 9-2 ATS and are 4-1 ATS on the road and the Redskins are only 2-4 ATS at home. The Giants will probably have a let down or two this year like they did against the Browns but it will not be within the NFC East. Here are the ATS numbers:

    Giants

    Redskins

  • Redskins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
  • Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
  • Redskins are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Head-to-Head

  • Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
  • That stat that the Skins ore 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home is significant and I have first hand knowledge. No matter what the Skins fans do, FedEx field is not loud and has no chance of being loud. Literally, Notre Dame’s stadium gets 10 times louder and that is a smaller stadium. Dan Snyder is a money grubbing whore and he destroyed the home field advantage the Skins had at RFX with the montrosity that is FedEx field. I think this game will be just like the first game…Low scoring in the first half, the better team and better coaching staff makes adjustments and comes out firing. And that team is the Giants. I am taking the Giants to win and cover!

     

    The Jakki Degg trifecta

    The Jakki Degg trifecta

    Runny Pelvis Picks

    Panthers at Packers (-3): Panthers are playing very bad right now. Delhomme has been inconsistent, and that is putting it nicely. Going to Lambeau at the end of Novemebr is tough for any team. Even more so when they are playing bad. I’m taking the Packers and giving the points

    Pittsburgh at New England (-1): Teams really show their worth during this time of year. In order to be champs, you have to play at a championship level. Part of that is being able to beat good teams n the road. In order to do that, you have to play outstanding D. That is just what the Steelers do. They roll into Foxboro to face a Pats team that is extrememly hot and seemingly in sync. How do you stop a team like that? Hit them in the mouth! That is what the Steelers do best. They will blitz, and blitz and blitz. They will also completely shutdown the Pats running game. Steelers win in a close one. Take the Steelers and the points. 

    Kansas City at Oakland (-3): I can’t believe I’m even touching this game, but my Raiders are hot right now. They can match wits with the Chiefs at home. I’m taking the Raiders and giving the points.

     Chicago at Minnesota (-3.5): Great NFC North match-up. The Bears roll into Minnesota in a fight for 1st place. The Vikings are playing solid D and their running game is taking off. Both teams are sketchy at QB, but I like the Vikings D and running attack. I’m taking the Vikings and giving the points.

    RPJ $yndicate Ass Shot of the Day

    Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!

    Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!

    Flash Flash and Runny

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    Comments

    What do you guys think about the Colts -4.5 and the Ravens -7? Usually road favorites aren’t my thing, but being a Browns fan I know Peyton Manning will put on a clinic Sunday.

    The Bengals can’t run, so they especially can’t run on the Ravens. They won’t be able to pass either.

    Any input on these two? I got rocked in the NFL last week, kind of learning my lesson and sticking with my top games on Sunday.

    Too many things going on in that Browns/Ravens game. The ATS numbers do not favor one team significantly and if I had to pick a side I would actually say take the Bengals. Did not work for me against Pittsburgh last week but it was darn close. I say buyer beware on that game. Anytime I hear that Bob Sanders is out I stay away from the Colts. Their defense is just not the same. Again the ATS numbers are a mess. Seems like a easy cover for the Browns and that has me spooked too. Neither of these games hit out models so we do not have a definitive stance either way. Sorry we did not give you more action but sometimes the signs point to a “no bet” and that technically means no money lost.

    Took a lot of unders today. Took a few 2nd half unders as well. great day for unders so far. weather is sh!tty everywhere.

    NBA
    Portland +4
    Philly -6 Big money
    NJ +9

    Just doing some housekeeping. RPJ is now 17-20, Flash is 11-6 and Runny is 18-35-1.

    Where’s your NBA Picks. Give us a Tab or sumtin, I’m just saying ;)

    All of these are one unit bets except where noted.

    LAL @ Ind +9
    LAL @ Ind ovr 213
    Was @ NJ -6 2units
    Por -8 @ NY
    Phil @ Chi -2 2units
    Phi @ Chi und 194.5

    Non of these are formula picks. All from just eye-balling.

    NBA picks are coming back soon. We think the model is back on track. We had a huge weekend but were 1-2 yesterday and today is looking ugly as well with a potential 1-5, 2-4 type of night. Stay tuned.

    Yeah. Last night was tough. Took some 2nd half bets to come close to even on the night.

    Ind +9 winner
    LAL/Ind over 213 winner
    NJ -6 loser
    Por -8. NY screws me and hits a meaningless 3pter at the
    buzzer

    Chi -2 and und 194.5. Had a split, but Chi ties it to send to overtime which of course scewed the OVR. To add insult to injury, Chicago gets blown out in OT.

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