2009 March Madness Free Sweet 16 Picks and Predictions: Flash Flash style
My NCAA bracket came out a little below what I was expecting. I was 23-9 in the first round games and only 10-6 in the second round games. This added up to a winning percentage of 69% and the model was supposed to return winners at a 74% clip. If you followed me you probably still have a great chance to win your office pool though because I still have every elite 8 team left. Based on the games that were played and the new matchups I applied my picking system to the 16 teams that remain and low and behold…the whole bracket is turned upside down now. Here is what my math system predicts now…..
Most likely to win their next game….Louisville, Pitt and UNC - This comes as no surprise.
Favored teams most likely to scrape by in a close one to advance….UCONN and Duke - Do not be surprised if Purdue keeps the UCONN game close. These teams matchup really tightly. Purdue is hot and sneaking under the radar. The Duke Nova game should be one for the ages and my system has Duke sneaking out a hard fought, close win.
Who wins the pick em game….Syracuse - This should be another close game but the edge now goes to Cuse. Cuse is playing really well right now and I like their effort.
Upsets in the round of 16…Kansas and Missouri - Yup you heard it hear first. Missouri is going to upset Memphis. Not sure Kansas is much of an upset but they are not favored.
Teams that will play in the Final 4….Kansas, Missouri, Pitt and UNC - I absolutely hate this Final 4 but this is what the math told me. If you remember from my first post of the tourney, I removed all bias from my picks and simply picked on a mathematical model I developed that picked winners at a 74.4% rate. As much as this Final 4 looks retarded, this is what I am posting.
Enjoy the games and good luck with your picks.
Flash Flash
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Comments
I can not help myself and I am sure I just jinxed Mizzou by writing this non descriptive email. 2-0 with winners on the early game and now I am waiting for the second games to come in.
Wow. I think we are about to turn the corner. My Mizzou jinx did not jinx and that is basically a miracle. Picks were 3-1 last night. Looking forward to a good night tonight. Rock, Chalk Jayhawk!!!
Just became a big fan of Digger Phelps. He is loving the Missouri pick. I think he reads us and is ripping off my material but I will let hiim spread the Mizzou word!!!