Archive for April, 2009
Final Four Predictions: Michigan State versus North Carolina
The Flash Flash math model keeps trucking along picking winners. I picked the Michigan State upset and the North Carolina win. I only have one game to talk about so there is not much content to get into. If you want to dig deep into the stats for yourself then I recommend using our Matchups function. Then click on NCAAB and a whole world of information will be opened up to you. On with the pick…
Michigan State versus North Carolina (-8 and O/U 153) - Both of these teams were impressive over the weekend. I thought it would be difficult for UNC to outwork Villanova but we know how that ended. They beat their arses pretty good. Michigan State performed as I predicted and that leads me to this game. North Carolina is the clear favorite here and that is evident by the 8 point spread. I definitely think North Carolina is going to win this game and I do not expect it to be close. This is one of the most boring tournies I can remember and I expect the championship game to follow suit. UNC wins big in a blowout.
4/4/2009 - Free Final Four Winning Picks - Michigan St. vs. UCONN and Villanova vs. UNC
The Flash Flash Math model has been ok so far during March Madness. I would have expected it to work a little bit better but this was the first run through and it helped us pick some big upsets. I am expecting some great games this weekend and I am looking forward to attending a big Final 4 party Saturday night. I am going to look at each game in two ways…..Who is going to win and Who is going to cover.
Michigan State versus UCONN (-4.5 and O/U 134) - This one is an easy one to pick. People have warned me and it is all about the same thing over and over again…..the Big East is the best conference blah blah blah. Well this will be a home game for Michigan State. To top it off, Flash Flash Math Model is actually picking Michigan State as the outright winner. So here it is….I am picking Michigan State to win and I am betting them to cover and taking the Moneyline at +170,
UNC (-7.5 and O/U 159) versus Villanova - Philadelphia is going bananas for the Wildcats right now and I will be watching the game with friends at a Villanova party outside Philly Saturday night. So in my heart I am rooting big time for Nova to pull the upset. However, The Flash Flash math model says other wise and I am picking UNC to win the game outright. Because I will be rooting for Nova and because I think it is the right play, I am betting on Nova to cover; 7.5 points is simply too many to give to the hardest working team in the dance this year. So UNC wins but I am betting Nova to cover and probably dropping a little on the Nova moneyline to try and get a little lucky.
Should be an awesome weekend.
Flash Flash
Free Winning NBA Picks: 4/1/09
Greetings folks. Sorry for the no-show yesterday. There were a ton of games to play with, but we had some personal issues to take care of. Through our last published picks (3/30/09), our record is 21-27-1 overall and 5-5-1 in Game 1’s. Wish we could say that is an April’s Fools joke, but it is what it is. We give full disclosure and we will take it on the chin. We know our system works. We just need to work through the funk. No better time like the present. Here is what we like tonight:
Game 1: Lakers -6.5 vs. Bucks. The Lakers looked terrible last night and face a pretty daunting road trip for their back-to-back game. However, this is the Lakers and they are playing the Bucks. They will cover. Plus, they crush our system match-up and win our two special keys. We got love for the West Coast!!!!!
Game 2: Magic -9.5 vs. Raptors. The key to this pick is home court. We love the Magic at home. We love how manchild Dwight Howard is absolutely schoolin’ suckahs right now. We love the backcourt play, too. The Raptors are coming in for a back-to-back game. The Magic dominate our system match-up and win our two keys. Ka-CHING!!!!! Give the points.
Game 3: Pistons +1 vs. Nets. Pay attention to the line you get. We are getting this as the Pistons as the Dog, but we’ve heard it is the exact opposite. Hopefully you are getting what we did, but +1 is where we got the line. We love this game and think the Pistons win outright. The Nets can certainly score, but the Pistons are getting healthy. Plus, they win our match-up. We are taking them and the points.
Game 4: Warriors -8.5 vs. Kings. We actually don’t like making this pick, but we are sticking to our system. Our system says Warriors (the Warriors win our system match-up and our two keys), but our gut says stay away. Our system wins, so we are riding the Warriors and giving the points.
Game 5: Hornets -3.5 vs. Clippers. Man, when will the Clipp be good?!?!?!?! Not tonight. The Hornets will stomp them. They sweep our system and our two keys. Give the points.
Game 6: Rockets +1.5 vs. Suns. We think it is telling that this line is this close. The Rockets play nasty D and they need this win. The Suns may need it more, but they cannot match the Rockets’ intensity. The Rockets our Dogs, but win our match-up. We love that combo. Even on the road. Take the points.
As always, good luck.
Flash & Runny