4/4/2009 - Free Final Four Winning Picks - Michigan St. vs. UCONN and Villanova vs. UNC
The Flash Flash Math model has been ok so far during March Madness. I would have expected it to work a little bit better but this was the first run through and it helped us pick some big upsets. I am expecting some great games this weekend and I am looking forward to attending a big Final 4 party Saturday night. I am going to look at each game in two ways…..Who is going to win and Who is going to cover.
Michigan State versus UCONN (-4.5 and O/U 134) - This one is an easy one to pick. People have warned me and it is all about the same thing over and over again…..the Big East is the best conference blah blah blah. Well this will be a home game for Michigan State. To top it off, Flash Flash Math Model is actually picking Michigan State as the outright winner. So here it is….I am picking Michigan State to win and I am betting them to cover and taking the Moneyline at +170,
UNC (-7.5 and O/U 159) versus Villanova - Philadelphia is going bananas for the Wildcats right now and I will be watching the game with friends at a Villanova party outside Philly Saturday night. So in my heart I am rooting big time for Nova to pull the upset. However, The Flash Flash math model says other wise and I am picking UNC to win the game outright. Because I will be rooting for Nova and because I think it is the right play, I am betting on Nova to cover; 7.5 points is simply too many to give to the hardest working team in the dance this year. So UNC wins but I am betting Nova to cover and probably dropping a little on the Nova moneyline to try and get a little lucky.
Should be an awesome weekend.
Flash Flash
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Comments
I picked all 4 elite eight and 2 semifinal winners against the spread. But I’m not braggin’ because I understand it could just be beginner’s luck.
Your ‘Flash Flash Math model’ sounds right on the money!
But it seems like you were betting on ‘Nova more with your heart than your head.
I look forward to your pick for the finals on Monday night.
Nice work Ron. Hope you made some nice scratch. I think my math model is pretty good at picking winners. Throwing in the spread was something new but I can assure you that although the Nova pick appeared from the heart, I just did not think they could be outworked like that. They outworked everybody all tourney and then laid a big egg when it mattered most. Pretty disappointing. Look for my Final pick tomorrow.
Well I picked the winner of each game. Won big on Michigan State and the moneyline. Nova disappointed but it was a fun night. Hopefully this is an interesting final game. My prediction will probably be out on Monday. UNC looks like a beast right now.