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Archive for September, 2009

Week 3: Free NFL Winning Picks: Carolina Panthers at Dallas Cowboys

Going into this game we are 5-4 on the season. Thank god for football. Nothing beats it. Life is good when you can watch football Thursday through Monday.

Carolina at Dallas(-8.5) - This line seems insane. Cowboys got worked by the Giants last week and did not look good in week 1. All of the “experts” are coming out against Tony Romo. Tony Dorsett spoke incredibly negatively about him and the Bill Parcells’ 11 commandments of football are making a reappearance once again. #11 on the QB commandments is “Do not be a celebrity QB” Romo clearly violates this. However, even with Romo’s poor performance last week, he actually is one of the highest QB rating QBs in NFL history. Romo can be great and Romo can be terrible. We believe that following one of these bad games (last week) Romo will be on his “A” game. Jake Delhome is done and the Panthers simply do not have the talent. The Cowboys will not lose two in a row in their new stadium and will probably deliver one of their best games of the season. We love the Cowboys to win and cover and win easily!!!

Carolina

• Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
• Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
• Panthers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in September.
• Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3.
• Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
• Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
• Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

• Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Cowboys are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
• Cowboys are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. loss.
• Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.

Flash Flash and BSL

Week 3: Free NFL Winning Picks: Lions, Rams, Bucs and Kardashians! Say What?

Well we pulled out a winning week all around in the NFL last week. RPJ finished on the plus side of 500, as did the Underdog Strategy and we have picked two winners for you knockout pool players. We are looking to build on our momentum and knock one of these weeks out of the park.

RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. We rebounded from our terrible 2-4 start to go 3-2 last week and are now 5-6 on the season. We look to lock em down again this weekend. Some great games on the docket and some desperate teams need wins badly. Only two teams have ever made the playoffs after starting 0-3 and both of those teams lost in the first round of the playoffs. We are going to make our first three picks easy this week and in tune with these 0-2 desperate teams that are playing at home. We are hoping to bet against the general public on these as well and get to do that on 2 out of 3.

The Desperate Three: Lions, Rams and Bucs….They Suck!!! But will cover! Guess who else sucks….The Kardashians. So in our tribute to three bad teams, we will highlight three slutty ho bags.

NY Giants at Tampa Bay (+6.5) - Tampa Bay is not great but they have shown that signing Leftwich was a good idea. He has played really well. Giants are playing game 2 of back to back road games and they are playing desperate team #1 in Tampa.  This line opened at Giants -6.5 and 95% of the money has poured onto the Giants. Guess what? The line has not moved and that means Vegas knows something. Scott Van Pelt likes this too. We are taking the Bucs to cover!

NY Giants

• Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Giants are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games.
• Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Giants are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Giants are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
• Giants are 38-17-2 ATS in their last 57 vs. NFC.
• Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

• Buccaneers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Buccaneers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 3.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Green Bay at St. Louis (+6.5) - Green Bay has not been the team that they were in the preseason. We have seen that a lot lately. Remember the Spurrier Redskins. Preseason means nothing. Green Bay is trying to adjust on defense to their new scheme and Aaron Rodgers is flat out not a proven winner yet. He barely got by the Bears in week 1 when Cutler threw 4 INTs and he flat out lost last week to the Bungles. Not saying the Rams can win because they look terrible but they are a desperate team playing at home. Also, this is a classic example of watching Vegas. This line opened at Packers -8.5 and has moved down to Packers -6.5 and guess what? 95% of the money is on Green Bay. Vegas is begging you to take the Packers. Don’t buy into it. Another Scott Van Pelt pick. We are taking the Rams to cover!!!

• Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
• Packers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
• Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
• Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Packers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

St. Louis

• Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC.
• Rams are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
• Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Rams are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games.
• Rams are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. loss.
• Rams are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Rams are 14-38 ATS in their last 52 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
• Rams are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games in September.
• Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.

Washington at Detroit (+6.5) - We would argue that the Lions actually have a better offense than the Skins. Skins have looked hideous the last two weeks. Lions need to learn how to play 4 quarters of football. Saints blew them out of the building but the Lions played a great first half against the Vikes last week. This is desperate team #3 of the week and we think the Lions can cover in this one and maybe even get their frst win in what seems like decades. We are betting the Lions to cover!!!

Washington

• Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Redskins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.
• Redskins are 3-8-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Redskins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Redskins are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
• Redskins are 1-4-3 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Redskins are 3-13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Redskins are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Detroit

• Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Lions are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
• Lions are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
• Lions are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Lions are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
• Lions are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
• Lions are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
• Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

The Home Dog Strategy - We love betting on NFL teams that are home underdogs. NFL is too even once you get away from the elite teams and home field advantage is always good for three points in the NFL. This is why we never pick road teams in our knockout pool. Just not worth it cause the home team sneaks in a cover or even pulls upset wins. We see one stand out home underdog this week.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+4) - The public is in love with the Steelers. One of the largest fan bases in the NFL outside of the Cowboys and that means the betting public is biased. The Steelers barely beat Tennessee and then lost to the Bears as we predicted. The Steel now needs to travel to a fired up Bengals squad that just won in Lambeau. We do not think this is a let down game for the Bengals because the Steelers have issues this season. Big Ben is dropping back behind a suspect line and the Steelers flat out can not run the ball. Bengals getting a decent amount of points at home is good enough for us. This line opened at Steelers -6 and has been bet down but the action is still 52% Steelers, 48% Bengals so Vegas is not sure what to do with this game as of yet. We love the Bengals to cover this week!

Pittsburgh

• Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC North.
• Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
• Steelers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
• Steelers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

• Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.
• Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Bengals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bengals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bengals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
• Bengals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.
• Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC North.

The Underdog Strategy - To refresh your memory, all we are doing here is tracking what would happen if you bet on the underdog every single week. No gimmicks, just straight underdogs all the time. This strategy was 9-7 last week and is now 16-15-1 on the season. Underdog is in Bold.

Tennessee (+3) at NY Jets

Jacksonville (+3.5) at Houston

Kansas City (+9) at Philadelphia

Cleveland (+13.5) at Baltimore

NY Giants at Tampa Bay (+6.5)

Washington at Detroit (+6.5)

Green Bay at St. Louis (+6.5)

San Francisco (+7) at Minnesota

Atlanta (+4.5) at New England

Chicago at Seattle (+2)

New Orleans at Buffalo (+6)

Miami (+6) at San Diego

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+4)

Denver at Oakland (+2)

Indianapolis (+2.5) at Arizona

Carolina (+9) at Dallas

Knockout Pool Strategy - We have picked two winners and we look to continue with a week 3 W. The Skins scared the pants off of us but they still pulled the win and that is all that matters. Skins might now win another game and if we had some Monster Cajones we would pick the Lions this week. However, we are too rational for that and we love the Baltimore Ravens this week!!!

Week 1 = New Orleans Saints

Week 2 = Washington Redskins

Week3 = Baltimore Ravens

Stay tuned for our Monday Night Football pick. We love the game this week.

Flash Flash and BSL

NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy

RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.

If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!

Missouri

• Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.

• Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Saturday, September 6, 2009

• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.

Miss State

• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
• Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
• Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

• Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

• Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
• Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Head-to-Head

• Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5

• Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Va Tech

• Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

• Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
• Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.

Kentucky

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

• Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Southern Miss at Kansas (-13.5) - Kansas is a bettor’s best friend. Mangino loves to pad the offensive stats for his boy Reesing and the players love to play for a coach who is peddle to the metal all of the time. Southern Miss has some talent and is 3-0 but they are 0-2 ATS because they have been double digit favorites and all of the games have been close. Southern Miss wins by way of the run. Kansas is only giving up 58 yards a game at a 2.23 yards per rush clip. We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

• Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
• Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
• Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Akron at Central Michigan (-16.5) - Of course we are betting the Fever in his MAC-key Attackey home opener. The Chips are also 2-0 ATS and had a nice bye week to calm them down after beating Michigan State. If you do not pay attention to the MAC then you do not know that Akron is a disaster right now. On Wednesday, actions were taken against senior quarterback Chris Jacquemain, recruiting coordinator and running backs coach Reno Ferri and backup defensive lineman Cowles Stewart. Jacquemain, who was in his third year as the Zips starting quarterback, has been officially dismissed from the team, ending his Zips career. Ferri, who was in his sixth season with the UA program, has been placed on administrative leave with pay, pending a school review of whether he violated compliance requirements related to NCAA rules on recruiting. Stewart, a sophomore noseguard, was suspended from the team until the outcome of legal action is resolved. He has been charged with felonious assault for punching a man last month. Enough info for you? The Chips are going to beat The Akron Zips down and we are assigning this our Golden Shower game of the Week. Throw in the fact that the Zips are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Chips and We love The Fever and Central Michigan to win and Cover with ease!!!!

Akron

• Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
• Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
• Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
• Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
• Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.

Straight picks - We just like these games. No theme, no nothing. Just old fashioned winners baby!

Illinois at Ohio State (-14) - Over the last three decades, not many teams have caused Ohio State more headaches and heartache than Illinois. From 1930 to 1982, the Buckeyes went 43-8-2 against the Illini. In the 24 meetings since, Ohio State is 13-11. The teams meet for the 96th time on Saturday at Ohio Stadium. Ohio State burned us last week and now we get to bet on a Tressel team in the Big Ten and that our friends is where the money is made. Tressel and Ohio State pound on the Big Ten and Illinois is not as good as we thought they would be and is 0-2 ATS this season. Pryor looked like a different man last week and we look for his success to continue against Illinois. Illinois rebounded after their pounding at the hands of Missouri by playing Illinois State but we are expecting a result similar to the Missouri game. The head-to-head ATS numbers scare us a bit but we have confidence in our formula. Ohio State plus Tressel plus Big Ten games = Bet Ohio State and that is what we are doing. We are betting on Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois

• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
• Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
• Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

South Florida at Florida State (-14) - BSL told me about the power of a Jimbo Fisher offense when it gets rolling and I guess 313 yards at BYU was ROLLING. Holy moly was that a beat down last week. We are going to ride the hot team and bet against the team that just lost its life blood. Senior QB, Matt Grothe is out for South Florida and you can basically stick a fork in The Bulls. They are done. We love FSU to roll in this one, win and cover!!!

South Florida

• Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Florida State

• Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Washington at Stanford (-7) - Colin Cowherd has a rule that we love to follow. Always bet against the team that just pulled the major upset. You know what Washington did last week and we think that was enough to distract them for a week. Just look at USC the last 4 years; they lose the game after “THE” game. Well Sark and Holt operate the Pete Carroll way and if he can not figure it out then there is no way The Huskies can. We are all over Stanford to cover and win!!!!

Washington

• Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.
• Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.
• Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Stanford

• Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Enjoy the picks

Flash Flash and BSL

Free NCAA Week 4 Picks: Ole Miss at South Carolina - Give it to Dexter Coach!!!

RPJ logged its second winning weekend in a row finishing at 6-5-1 and we are now 19-20-1 on the season. Backwoods Southern Lawyer (BSL) has been an awesome addition helping us pick the SEC and other games around the nation.  Thursday night delight this week is all SEC and we love the action.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Ole Miss (-3.5) at South Carolina - Little bit of a scare factor going on in this game. The line opened at Ole Miss -4.5 and proceeded to drop to -3.5 while 90% of all ATS money went to Ole Miss. This is terrifying news for us because we are going to go with Ole Miss. One of these teams will be ATS busters as both stand undefeated right now. Ole Miss is 2-0 ATS and USC is 3-0 ATS. On a TEAM standpoint, what do we know right now? Ole Miss has played nobody and Jevan Snead has been less than spectacular, 5 TDs, 2 INTs and completing only 56% of his passes. Jevan is good but not great. Snead will now try to help the Rebels avenge last season’s 31-24 loss to South Carolina and lead them to their first victory in a SEC opener since a 24-21 win over Vanderbilt in 2003. South Carolina barely scraped by a terrible NC State team 7-3, lost at Georgia in a shootout in Week 2 and had a nice win against Florida Atlantic last week. The only reason people are hyped on USC is because of the Georgia game but if you look at that game the only reason USC succeeded was because they could run the ball. Ole Miss is basically holding teams to 3 yards a carry so USC will not have the same success. That is a difference maker. The other difference maker is Ole Miss’ mighty mite Dexter McCluster. Good Ole #22. Snead needs to find this guy a lot more and he needs more touches all around. He has 18 touches this year. He should have 40 and we think he will get the ball a lot more in this game. Some other facts: Ole Miss is 10% better on offensive 3rd down conversions, rushes for almost 50 yards more per game, has given up half as many sacks on offensive so what does all of this mean….Ole Miss will control the ball better. We think this comes down to a who has a better team factor and for us that is Ole Miss. Greg Hardy returns to Ole Miss this week and will help the D dominate this game. We also like the fact that the Road Team is 5-0 ATS in this match up on a head-to-head basis.

Straight from BSL’s mouth to your eyes: “You know, the talk in every chat room and sports talk radio show across the Southeast has been the same — Ole Miss doesn’t deserve their ranking because they’re Ole Miss.  This week the talk has been hat Ole Miss hasn’t played anybody and wasn’t all that impressive against a piss poor Memphis team.  I’m here to tell you — Ole Miss has heard just about enough of it.  They are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder and looking to prove that they are for real (and hopefully silence the critics in the process).  South Carolina just doesn’t have the horses or the same lofty aspirations.  I like Ole Miss by double digits.”

We are taking Ole Miss to win and cover!!!

Ole Miss

• Rebels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Rebels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Rebels are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Rebels are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Rebels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Rebels are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Rebels are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Rebels are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
• Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

• Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Gamecocks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Gamecocks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
• Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Gamecocks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
• Gamecocks are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Gamecocks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
• Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Week 2: Free NFL Winning Picks and Jessica Simpson has had a bad year!

Based on our three systems this is how we fared last week. RPJ went into the Monday Night Football games at 2-2 and then lost the Pats and Chargers so we finished up at 2-4. The “Bet the Underdog Only Strategy” was 7-8-1. We won our New Orleans knockout week 1 knockout pick so we get to pick in Week 2. There will be a one prominent theme this week and next week and that is the “We can not play a home game in Week 2 that sets us up to be 0-2 after this weekend or 0-3 next weekend” There is one really desperate team this week and we will get to that in RPJ’s picks. There are such great plot lines in the NFL right now; we are loving it. How is Donovan McNabb physically and mentally, Are the Pats really back with Brady, how bad a year is Jessica Simpson having as a result of affiliating herself with Tony Romo, and on and on…..

Sunday, September 20, 2009

RPJ $yndicate Picks - Last week we were 2-4 after getting crushed (0-2) on Monday Night football.

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (+1) - Well we hate betting against home dogs but this is a rare case. Donovan McNabb is not going to play. We can read through Andy Reid’s gimmicky news confereces. McNabb is soft and will never gut it out this early in the season. That leaves Kevin Kolb, who has shown absolutely nothing, and Jeff Garcia, who is on two days worth of practice. It does look like the Eags defense has not dropped off with the horrible death of Jim Johnson but will that be enough. NO! We just do not think the Eagles will score enough to keep up with the Saints because the Saints will get their points. With only a one point line we are happy to go with Brees & Co. The ATS numbers are a bit scary and very against the Saints but have faith. We are betting the Saints to win and Cover!!!

New Orleans

• Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Saints are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
• Saints are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

• Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Eagles are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Eagles are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog.
• Eagles are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
• Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head

• Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

New England at NY Jets (+3.5) - This is a terrifying game. The line opened up Pats -4.5 and has been moved down to Pats -3.5 even though 65% of the money is on the Pats. We always express concern with these reverse logic situations cause Vegas knows. Here are the story lines for this game as we see them. 1) Mark Sanchez was awesome in Week 1 and this is his first home game. Since we are USC homers, we know Sanchez is emotionally wound up and we expect him to start slow and make bad decisions right out of the gate. 2) Jets are talking smack. Never ever talk smack to the Pats. They take it personally and always respond with their best effort. 3) Jets defense looked great against Houston but this is Brady and the Pats. They know how to play it. 4) Pats D will play better than last week and look to put Sanchez off his game early. We think too many of these factors lead to a solid 7-10 point Pats win. We are betting the Patriots to win and cover!! Yes Wizard we are taking the Pats again. Guess your Jets reverse RPJ bet is a lock of the year!

New England

• Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.
• Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Patriots are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Patriots are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as a road favorite.
• Patriots are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Patriots are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.
• Patriots are 45-21-3 ATS in their last 69 games on grass.
• Patriots are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. AFC East.
• Patriots are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

This sign is directed at you Mr. Tom Brady!!!

• Jets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 2.
• Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York.
• Patriots are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
• Favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
• Road team is 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.

At least you are hitting this chick Mark cause you are in for a long day!

Arizona at Jacksonville (-3) - We call this the Arizona can not travel East and win or play well game. Minus the Jake Delhomme freak show in the playoffs last year this is what we saw last year: at Washington for a 24-17 loss; at NY Jets for a 56-35 loss; at Carolina for a 27-23 loss; at St. Louis for a 34-13 WIN; at Philly for a 48-20 loss and at NEw England for a 47-7 loss. Get the picture. Tie this in with a Super Bowl hangover and KACHING!!!! We are betting the Jags to win and cover!!!

Arizona

• Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

• Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Pittsburgh at Chicago (+3) - This is the must win, desperation game we were talking about. Throw in the fact that the line opened at Bears +3 and 95% of the money is on the Steelers and we are chomping at the bit to get in on this action. Here is what we know. 1) The Steelers can not run the ball a lick and will definitely have a tough time against the Bears 2) No Troy Palamaulo 3) The Bears almost won the game last week against the Pack, on the road, without Urlacher and with Cutler throwing 4 INTs 4) Cutler is not as bad as everybody says 5) Pack showed that you can disrupt the BEars offense by taking Olsen and Forte out of the game. The Bears know they need to make adjustments and slimmed things down this week for Cutler and the young WRs. When we look at all of this we think it screams take Chicago to win and we get 3 points. We are betting the Bears to cover!!!

• Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Steelers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Steelers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Steelers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 2.
• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

Bears

• Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Bears are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 2.
• Bears are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
• Bears are 4-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bears are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Bears are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Bears are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Hey Jay!!! We can not afford another choke job this week!

NY Giants at Dallas (-3) - This is definitely the Jessica Simpson had a bad week game. Not sure if you caught it but a wild coyote attacked Simpson’s dog, killed it and ate it in front of her. Check this out: Jessica Simpson’s Dog Snatched by Coyote. Not sure what to make of the Cowboys yet. They did not win impressively against Tampa Bay last week even though the end results and stats look good. Hard to explain but you had to watch the game. Romo hurt his ankle. Emotions will be high for the first regular season game in the new stadium. On the flip side, the Giants stormed out of the gate and then got lazy and dropped a lot of passes. However, the Giants defense is still sick, especially on the D-line where they rotated in 8 different players. This is going to be a close to the vest game. Both teams are not good ATS against the NFC East. Cowboys might have the slight edge playing at home but with a 3 point line, Vegas is telling us it values these teams equally. With a gimpy Romo plus the points, we are leaning NY. We are betting the NY Giants to cover!!!

NY Giants

• Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
• Giants are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Giants are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Giants are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2.
• Giants are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.
• Giants are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
• Giants are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Giants are 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 vs. NFC.
• Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East.

• Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
• Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Cowboys are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.
• Cowboys are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC East.

Underdog Strategy - Just to recap this strategy, we are literally tracking what would happen if you bet on every underdog every week. Last week this strategy was 7-8-1. All of the lines are below and the teams in bold are the underdog.

Carolina at Atlanta (-6.5)

St. Louis at Washington (-10)

Houston at Tennessee (-6.5)

New Orleans at Philadelphia (+1)

New England at NY Jets (+3.5)

Oakland at Kansas City (-3)

Arizona at Jacksonville (-3)

Cincy at Green Bay (-9.5)

Minnesota at Detroit (+10)

Tampa Bay at Buffalo (-5)

Seattle at San Fran (-1)

Pittsburgh at Chicago (+3)

Cleveland at Denver (-3)

Baltimore at San Diego (-3)

NY Giants at Dallas (-3)

Indy at Miami (+3)

Knockout Pool Pick - Last week we went with New Orleans and were rewarded. This week we are coming back with Washington at home against the Rams. It took awhile for the Skins to get going last week but they showed some life in the second half. We expect a much better showing on the offensive side against the Rams and we know their D is solid.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Flash Flash

Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!

RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.

Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!

Ball State

• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

• Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
• Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

SMU at Washington State (+6) - This is a suck factor game and Washington State is beyond sucking. Washington State has been blown out by Stanford and Hawaii who are not exactly college power houses. Washington State is yet to cover and we do not see them covering here. And would you really bet against a QB named Bo Levi Mitchell? We won’t! Also, we would love to see the last time SMU was favored on the road. Unreal. The curse of Ryan Leaf lives on!!! We are taking SMU to win and cover!!!

SMU

• Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Washington State

• Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
• Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Cougars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in September.

Miami (Ohio) at Western Michigan (-16.5) - This game wins the battle of the suckfests this week. Miami(Ohio) has not scored this season, their QBs are completing passes at a 50% clip, they have thrown 6 INTs and they have been outscored 90 - 0 against Boise State and Kentucky. Western Michigan wins and covers on principle alone!!!

Miami (Ohio)

• Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
• Redhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Redhawks are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Redhawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
• Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Special SEC Coverage - In honor of Backwoods Southern Lawyer’s re-appearance in our picks we are going to put some specific emphasis on SEC games this week and probably the next three weeks. BSL is the man and hopefully he has gotten rid of his first season jitters and is ready to pick us some winners!!!

Tennessee at Florida (-29.5) - As much as we want to analyze this game, we are not breaking a rule from our NCAA preview piece. We said we would take Florida no matter what the spread and this game meets another one of our tests, although on the slimmest of margins, of notbetting games where the line is more than 30 points. We made money on last year’s Urban Meyer revenge game against Georgia and this is the game we circled this year. Here is our analysis…..1) revenge game 2) Tennessee lost at home to UCLgAy 3) Florida is the best team in the nation at present. Got it. We are taking Florida to win and cover by this ridiculous margin!!!

Tennessee

• Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
• Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Volunteers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Florida

• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.

Head-to-Head

• Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Mississippi State (+9) at Vanderbilt – Vandy has several players out and is a little beaten up after tangling with LSU last weekend. Vandy has a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s got nearly zero talent around him (as several dropped passes a game will attest). Miss St will get progressively better throughout the season as the players buy in to Dan Mullen’s system. I think MSU’s defense rises to the challenge after giving up a bunch of points to Auburn last week. This is likely to be a one score game at the buzzer. We are taking Miss State to cover!

Mississippi State

• Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.

Vandy

• Commodores are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Commodores are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
• Commodores are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
• Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Head-to-Head

• Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

UL Lafayette (+26.5) at LSU – LSU is 1-11 (and 0 for their last 7) ATS in their last 12 at home, and it’s time for that streak to end. BSL has ridden this team to the brink of economic collapse and this is where it pays off. UL-L is due for a letdown coming off of an emotional last minute win over Kansas State, UL-L’s second win over a BCS-conf school (last one was Texas A &M in 1996). Yes, UL-L is better than usual, but they are still UL-L. In 21 games against the Tigers, UL-L has scored a total of ….wait for it…22 points. Meanwhile, LSU’s offense has a big time chip on their should after turning in sub-par performances against UW and Vanderbilt and hearing all week that they don’t throw deep enough. LSU will throw deep in this one. True freshman phenom Russell Sheppard will find the endzone (maybe more than once), and LSU will roll big time. The ATS numbers are not going to be reflective on how this game plays out. We are  taking the Tigers in a big way.

RPJ $yndicate Picks of the Week

Duke at Kansas (-23) - Duke does not register as high on the Suck factor as Ball State did but they are still not a good team. Kansas is licking their chomps and loves stomping inferior opponents. We hit a nice cover last week when Kansas beat up on UTEP on the road. Duke did respond from their loss to Richmond, yes the 1-AA Richmond, and beat Army last week. Yes the same Army we are picking to beat Ball State. Some have accused us of always picking Kansas so we can put in pictures of Coach Mangino and they might be right. However, we do love us some Todd Reesing. Kansas will win this game easily and cover!!!

• Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
• Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
• Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
• Jayhawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Ohio State at Toledo (+21) - This game is going to be a fun game. Toledo crushed Colorado and that is a nice feat for a MAC school. Ohio State could be 0-2. They did not look good against Navy, did not look good on offense against USC and really do not have a great identity right now. Going to Toledo, to play an explosive Toledo team is a potential recipe for disaster. Jim Tressel should try and toughen up his team and pound pound pound the run but all Ohio State fans know that the Tressel way is a bit of a mystery. The Ohio State offense seems simple and not dynamic and Pryor still does not appear comfortable. 21 points is a lot in this game and we are going to ride Toledo. Not sure if Toledo can win but we are taking them to cover!!!

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

Toledo

• Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Nebraska at Virginia Tech (-4.5) - The Hokies responded nicely last week against Marshall after their crushing defeat at the hands of Alabama, a game they had in hand in the 4th quarter and blew. Nebraska is 2-0 and 2-0 ATS but has not really tested themselves yet this year. We almost feel like a team that travels from the Midwest to Blacksburg should just walk in the door and give up 7 points so that makes this line attractive. Virginia Tech came out and pounded the run last week to the tune of a 318 yard margin of difference. Bo Pelini knows how to coach defense so this game will probably be close for a half and even three quarters but in the end the most physical team will win and that is the home team. We are taking Virginia Tech to win and cover!!

Nebraska

• Cornhuskers are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
• Cornhuskers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
• Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
• Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Hokies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Hokies are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Southern California (-20) at Washington - What can we say, we love the Huskies in this one. With Jake Locker and RB Chris Polk healthy, U-Dub is a MUCH better team than people think. USC is coming off of a huge game far away and is awfully likely to be flat footed, and Locker (a running QB with an above average arm) is a tough guy to gameplan for. Everyone knows this is a trap game, even Pete Carroll. Pete has attempted to shake things up this week by reliving the Oregon State game last year and we just do not know if it will work. Pete even mentioned Washington while still in Columbus. Caesar needed to mix it up because USC has flat out lost its last two games following the “Big Game”. Also, super frosh Matt Barkley has not practiced much this week and we are not convinced Aaron Corp is 100% healthy. Could lead to a slow start for the Trojans. Meanwhile, Washington has had this game circled on its calendar ever since Sark, Holt and company came to town and will have the Trojans scouted down to their jockstraps. The only thing stopping me from making Washington BSL’s five-star lock of the week is the fact that Vegas set the line at -23 and the betting public has brought it down to -20. If our years of experience in this business have taught usanything it’s that Vegas is usually right and the betting public is usually wrong. Logic wins out in this one because you know Flash Flash is the biggest USC homer out there. Washington has covered three of the last 4 also. We think USC wins a tight one but Washington pulls the cover!!!

USC

• Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Washington

Numbers are not relevant this week!

Head - To - Head

• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Navy at Pitt (-7) - We know Navy is capable of a lot this season because of their OL. They put one hell of a scare into Ohio State. However, this Pitt team is solid and spanked Navy last season on the road. We think this spread should be more than 10 points and are happy to see it in the 7 point range. An early season anomaly we plan on taking advantage of. We are taking PITT to win and Cover!!!

Navy

• Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

PITT

• Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Florida State (+7.5) at BYU – In the best matchup this weekend that no one knows about, BYU hosts the Seminoles after beating the Sooners in Norman and brutalizing Toolame in New Orleans. FSU meanwhile was clearly still reeling from the tough opening loss to Miami when they didn’t put more than 7 points on the board until the 59^th minute of play against I-AA Jacksonville State. This is a gut-check game for FSU, and one that they are taking very seriously. No doubt their OC Jimbo Fisher is taking it seriously after getting embarrassed last week. The betting public loves BYU in this one and that makes us nervous but we think it is justified. BYU has the cards lined up for this season and they know it. The pressure will not be on yet like it will be when TCU and Utah come to play at BYU but BYU is lining up for a potential BCS game and potentially a title game showing. BYU will have no trouble with FSU. Take BYU to win and cover!!!

Florida State

• Seminoles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Seminoles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

BYU

• Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Cougars are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.

Flash Flash and BSL

Boise State at Fresno State: Friday Night Lights in the WACkey Attackey!!!

We saw a slight improvement and went 7-6 last week and are now 12-15 on the season. We started slowly but we are building momentum and we love a lot of the games this weekend. Gonna give you a bit of inside information and I am not sure if this will make you follow our picks more closely or just the same. Runny Pelvis got married this past weekend and is out of the country for three weeks. Not sure what kind of brain decides to get married during the NCAA and NFL seasons but to each their own. In the meantime, I am reaching out to old friends like the Backwoods Southern Lawyer (BSL) and some other folks to compliment all of my picks. So just so you are all clear, yes I am still betting every one of these picks. This might be an interesting test to see if I really need Runny. Our system was sick 3 years ago but has not really catapulted us to stardom.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Aren't cheerleaders great?

Boise State (-7) at Fresno State - BSL and I love this game. Boise State is on a mission and they are damn good. Now comes WAC play. Boise State is heavily favored to take the WAC again after outscoring opponents by an average of 31.1 points in winning all eight league games last year. The Broncos have won three straight over the Bulldogs since then, beating them 61-10 last season. Boise State outgained Fresno State 494-294 in that game, and the Broncos’ offense and defense are looking similarly dominant this season. Fresno State is coming off a brutal road double overtime loss at Wisconsin and now they have to face this Boise team. We love Boise State to win and cover in this one!!!

Boise State

• Broncos are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 Friday games.
• Broncos are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Broncos are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 43-20-1 ATS in their last 64 games following a ATS win.
• Broncos are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Bulldogs are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 5-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulldogs are 11-30 ATS in their last 41 games overall.
• Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Bulldogs are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games.
• Bulldogs are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.
• Bulldogs are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
• Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.
• Bulldogs are 3-23 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. loss.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Broncos are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Flash Flash and Backwoods Southern Lawyer

Week 1 Monday Night Football Picks: Jessica Alba picks the Raiders; We don’t!!

RPJ Syndicate is 2-2 going into tonight’s Monday Night football games. We have picks for both of tonight’s games and we are pretty confident in a 4-2 opening NFL weekend. Wall Street Journal has been a great source of betting information lately and today the paper discussed the longest losing streaks in the NFL right now. Both the Pats and the Chargers have beaten their opponents tonight 11 times in a row. Expect the carnage to continue.

Buffalo at New England (-11) - We think this line could easily be 20 points. The Bills are most likely the worst team in football. Do not be surprised if this game is 21-0 in the first quarter. Tom Brady will come out firing on all cylinders and the Pats will roll to an easy win. Bills really do not have anything to be happy about. TO is a clown and an old clown at that. Give him 2 games to destroy this team.

Buffalo

• Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1.
• Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.

TO won't be smiling for long!

• Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
• Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
• Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East.
• Patriots are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on fieldturf.
• Patriots are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games.
• Patriots are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.
• Patriots are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.
• Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The head-to-head numbers give this one away and as we said, this game will not be close. Take the Pats to win an easy one!!!

San Diego at Oakland (+10) - Does this game even need a write up. Oakland is the laughing stock of the NFL right now. It would feel better to be a Lions fan cause we think they actually try to play games. Raiders are going nowhere fast and they will not make any progress until Al Davis literally dies or sells the team. Big Al has contributed a lot to the NFL but his time is past. PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE sell the team Mr. Davis. Raiders fans will be forever grateful.

• Chargers are 21-7-4 ATS in their last 32 vs. AFC West.
• Chargers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC.
• Chargers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games on grass.
• Chargers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

• Raiders are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 home games.
• Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West.
• Raiders are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog.
• Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
• Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1.

• Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Oakland.
• Chargers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
• Favorite is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

2009 NCAA Football: Week 2 picks: Taking our head out of our Arse! Ohio State Versus USC Week!

We were 5-9 in Week 1. Really unexcuseable so no excuses will be made. Hopefully you read our preview piece and were able to capitalize on some of the predictions we made yet were too ignorant to put in our freakin Week 1 pick piece. We are pissed and we promise to take our heads out of our arses for Week 2.

RPJ will take its head out of its ass this week!

Week 2 picks

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Iowa at Iowa State (+6.5) - This really has turned into the series of ineptitude. Iowa either has big hopes and totally lays a dud int he game and does not cover or even gets upset. It happens year after year after year. Both teams played 1-AA school last week and Iowa almost lost; only won by one freakin point. This was a team that was supposed to contend for the Big-10 title. Well at least until Jewel Hampton went down. Iowa State has covered in this game 6 years in a row, winning two of them as underdogs. We are playing with history here. Check out these Head to Head numbers:

• Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
• Hawkeyes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

These two will not be happy come Saturday!

Central Michigan at Michigan State (-14.5) - In-state rivals dial it up for a backyard brawl of sorts. MAC vs. Big 10. If you read our posts, you know we love us some MAC. You will also know we hate the Big 10. Are we homers? Maybe, but we have a presence in the Midwest and we see these teams firsthand week in and week out. The Big 10 is way overhyped. In this one, we are not even sure MSU is the better team, let alone 14.5 point favorites.  CMU put on a decent, yet controversial display last week in Zona to squeak by with a cover for us. We like them again this week. The Spartans play at Notre Dame next week and in the past two seasons under Mark Dantonio, have failed to cover the spread in the game before playing the Fighting Irish. Take CMU and the points.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
• Chippewas are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
• Chippewas are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Chippewas are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 31-13-3 ATS in their last 47 games overall.
• Chippewas are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Chippewas are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
• Chippewas are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

• Spartans are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
• Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

My name is Ryan Lovette and I was kicked out of MSU for psoing in Playboy. Supoort my cause and bet against the Spartans.

Houston at Oklahoma State (-15.5) - OSU is too legit to quit!! Great win last week at home against a coveted SEC team. They will destroy Houston. This is way too few points to give at home. Take OSU and give the points.

Its OSU Hammer Time!!!

Houston

• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

UNC at UConn (+3.5) - UNC is stacked this year with young talent and they may have had the best recruting class in the ACC. UConn lost a ton of skill and experience on both sides of the ball. No doubt UConn has overachieved since it started playing football 8 years ago, but UNC just has too much experience.  UNC’s veteran O-Line and QB will be too much for the Huskies. Take the Heels and give the points.

UNC

• Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

• Huskies are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Do cheerleader pics ever get old?

TCU at Virginia (+11) -Generally we like to avoid road favorites. However, TCU’s D is just too stacked not to like them in this one. Jerry Hughes is a mean man. One of the best defenders in the country. This team is pissed they went 11-2 last year!!!! Andy Dalton is progressing at QB. Virginia has no offensive threats we even care to mention. Take TCU and give the points.

TCU

• Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Horned Frogs are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
• Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

• Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
• Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
• Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.

If I am not careful I will get horned by one of those Texas frogs!

UCLA at Tennessee (-10) - Tennessee did exactly what we thought they would do last week-play mean and run up the score. They will do the same this week. Kifin hates UCLA and Neuheisel, but that aside, the key to this game will be the same it was last week-DEFENSE. Pops Kiffin is one of the defensive minds the game has ever seen. He will throw things at UCLA’s QB that he has never seen before. For that alone, Tennessee will be outstanding this year. This is way too far for UCAL to travel and it is a VOLS revenge game. Look for the Vols in a route. Take the Vols and give the points.

UCLA

• Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
• Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
• Bruins are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
• Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
• Bruins are 27-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

• Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Volunteers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Volunteers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

ATS numbers do not favor Tennessee but this is a new regime in Knoxville. Lane and Monte Kiffin and the coaching staff is top notch.

Kiffin's wife is top notch also!!!

Hawaii at Washington State (+2) - Another laugher, but it is another opportunity. Hawaii beat Washington State by 14 last year at home. They return a senior QB, senior RB and a veteran O-Line. Washington State returns as the same terrible team. Hawaii can make somewhat of a statement by beating a BCS Conference team (even though that team is terrible) on the road. They can win by a fieldgoal. Take Hawaii and give the points.

Hawaii

• Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Warriors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Warriors are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on turf.

Is Hawaiian Tropic close enough to Hawaii? We thought so!

BYU at Tulane (+17.5) - BYU showed the nation what they can do this season. Bradford going out with an injury was not an excuse. The senior leadership and superior line play were key. Tulane, coming off a spanking by Tulsa will have no reason being in this game. Do not even think BYU will have any type of hangover either. BYU is led by senior leadership and is highly disciplined. Yeah we blew a nice cover last week by ignoring all of the signs in Norman but we are on the BYU bandwagon. Take BYU in a blowout!!

BYU

• Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Cougars are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Green Wave are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
• Green Wave are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Green Wave are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games on turf.
• Green Wave are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
• Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Mormons know how to party!!!

Kansas at UTEP (+12.5) - Kansas finally has a line and we are all over it. UTEP lost at home to Buffalo, you think they are going to compete with Kansas. This does not even need a write-up. Remember Mangino and Todd Reesing!!! Take Kansas in a blowout!!!

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Jayhawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

• Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
• Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Miners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big 12.
• Miners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

Tulsa at New Mexico (+17.5) - Tulsa responded well for us last week on the road and this game is no different. Tulsa puts the peddle to the metal all game, every game. Tulsa won by 42 points last season and we do not see why that can not happen again. New Mexico was blown out by a medicore Texas A&M team and this season is not looking good for them. We love Tulsa to cover in this one.

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Golden Hurricane are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Lobos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

New Mexico gets golden showered by the Golden Hurricanes

South Carolina at Georgia (-7 and O/38) - South Carolina surprised us last week. We learned a lot…their offense is still terrible and their defense is fast and nasty. Georgia got stomped at OSU like we said and lost their QB and left tackle in the process. Cox might play but is banged up. What does this lead to? A clear play on the UNDER. Also, we really do not see either team scoring and that helps us lean towards The Cocks. The ATS numbers are all over the board but the Head to Head stats are beautiful. Check this out:

• Under is 12-0 in the last 12 meetings.
• Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia.
• Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Last time I played in the Big House I threw 7 INTs and was sacked 8 times!!! Has anything changed?

Game of the Week!!!! Collision in Columbus!!!!

Game of the Week!!!

USC at Ohio State (+6.5) - If you read us regularly this pick will come as no surprise so lets look at the ATS numbers first:

USC

• Trojans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
• Trojans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Trojans are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
• Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-10.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
• Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Hope we had enough girls for you this week!

Week 1 Free NFL picks: Kim Kardashian, Britney Spears and Cheerleaders!

NFL Season is here!!! We are going to take a bit of a different approach this season by running two betting strategies and one knock out pool strategy. First, we will make our RPJ Syndicate picks just like we always do. Second, we will set up a betting vehicle that will simply bet every underdog every week. As ridiculous as this sounds, this has actually been a profitable strategy in the past. Think about it for one second, of the 32 teams in the league, who are actually elite teams out of those 32. We would argue that there are less than 10. So with the parity in the league, bet the underdog. Third, we are going to make our knockout pool picks available this year. What we mean by this, and this is an every growing pool in terms of popularity, we are going to pick one guaranteed winner (spread does not count) each week and then when that team wins we will not be able to pick that team again. Very simply theory and we have actually won cash doing this the last two seasons.

RPJ Syndicate Picks

Kim Kardashian ass crack...Wonder if we will find Reggie up in there?

Titans at Steelers (-6) - These teams hate each other and there is plenty of heat going into this game. The Steelers stomped them last year when it mattered, they return as world champs and have an explosive offense. The Titans wants revenge and can make a staement on opening night in front of the world. There will be some hard hits in this one. The key will be the lack of offense by the Titans and how much they lost on D. The Haynsworth loss is HUGE. The Steelers have lost a lot on O-Line, but they have not lost as much as the Titans. The Steelers will be able to move the ball in this one. They will squeak by for the cover. Take the Steelers and give the points.

Titans

• Titans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Titans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
• Titans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.
• Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Titans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
• Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1.
• Titans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.
• Titans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Titans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.

• Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
• Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1.
• Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
• Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Steelers are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

The only thing terrible about that towel is that it is hiding great arse!

Cowboys at Bucs (+6) - They key to this game is the lack of QB for the Bucs. That is really it. The Cowboys have one of the better defenses in the league. Demarcus Ware is arguably the best defender in the NFL. He is going to have a huge game this week (no matter who plays QB for the Bucs). The Bucs are banged-up at RB. The Boys are healthy on both sides of the ball. Look for a big game from Felix Jones. The Boys will also look to show the world that they don’t need TO. They will run up the score. The Bucs will not be able to stay with them on offense. The Boys roll to an easy cover.

Cowboys

• Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

Shake your moneymakers!!!

Lions at Saints (-13)- The Lions are starting rookie Matthew Stafford…..enough said. They Lions are terrible. They will be even wrose with a rookie QB who was not that great in college. The Saints are explosive. They will crush the Lions. Take the Saints and roll.

Lions

• Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Lions are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.

These girls lost their beads!

Bears at Packers (-3.5, O/U 46)- The Packers looked like they were in mid-season from during the preseason. Aarons Rogers was on fire!! They host their hated rivals on opening night who are rolling in with a new gunslinger of their own. Cutler looked very comfortable during the preseason. He showed he can move the ball. The Packers are still better on both sides, but both teams should be able to move the ball and score. The weather should be good, too. Take the OVER 46.

Bears

Over is 28-12-1 in Bears last 41 vs. NFC.

Packers

• Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 games in September.
• Over is 9-2 in Packers last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Over is 9-2 in Packers last 11 games as a home favorite.
• Over is 13-3 in Packers last 16 games as a favorite.
• Over is 7-2 in Packers last 9 vs. NFC North.
• Over is 10-3 in Packers last 13 home games.
• Over is 6-2 in Packers last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Over is 19-7-1 in Packers last 27 games overall.
• Over is 19-7-1 in Packers last 27 vs. NFC.

The Underdog Strategy

The underdog is the team in bold

Tennessee at Pittsburgh (-6)

Miami at Atlanta (-4)

KC at Baltimore (-13)

Philadelphia at Carolina (+1)

Denver at Cincy (-4)

Minnesota at Cleveland (+4)

Jets at Houston (-4.5)

Jacksonville at Indy (-7)

Detroit at New Orleans (-13)

Dallas at Tampa Bay (+6)

San Fran at Arizona (-6.5)

Washington at NY Giants (-6.5)

St. Louis at Seattle (-9)

Chicago at Green Bay (-3.5)

Buffalo at New England (-10.5)

San Diego at Oakland (+9)

Britney Spears upskirt - We would like to split those uprights!

Knockout Strategy

This is very simple for us. We only pick home favorites and pick extreme home favorites. As dumb and simple as this sounds, it works. This week we were torn between Baltimore and New Orleans but we think New Orleans is the more proven team so our knockout money is on New Orleans!

Had to throw in one classic RPJ thong pic!

Enjoy the picks.

Flash Flash and Runny