2009 NCAA Football: Week 2 picks: Taking our head out of our Arse! Ohio State Versus USC Week!
We were 5-9 in Week 1. Really unexcuseable so no excuses will be made. Hopefully you read our preview piece and were able to capitalize on some of the predictions we made yet were too ignorant to put in our freakin Week 1 pick piece. We are pissed and we promise to take our heads out of our arses for Week 2.
RPJ will take its head out of its ass this week!
Week 2 picks
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Iowa at Iowa State (+6.5) - This really has turned into the series of ineptitude. Iowa either has big hopes and totally lays a dud int he game and does not cover or even gets upset. It happens year after year after year. Both teams played 1-AA school last week and Iowa almost lost; only won by one freakin point. This was a team that was supposed to contend for the Big-10 title. Well at least until Jewel Hampton went down. Iowa State has covered in this game 6 years in a row, winning two of them as underdogs. We are playing with history here. Check out these Head to Head numbers:
- Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
- Hawkeyes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
These two will not be happy come Saturday!
Central Michigan at Michigan State (-14.5) - In-state rivals dial it up for a backyard brawl of sorts. MAC vs. Big 10. If you read our posts, you know we love us some MAC. You will also know we hate the Big 10. Are we homers? Maybe, but we have a presence in the Midwest and we see these teams firsthand week in and week out. The Big 10 is way overhyped. In this one, we are not even sure MSU is the better team, let alone 14.5 point favorites. CMU put on a decent, yet controversial display last week in Zona to squeak by with a cover for us. We like them again this week. The Spartans play at Notre Dame next week and in the past two seasons under Mark Dantonio, have failed to cover the spread in the game before playing the Fighting Irish. Take CMU and the points.
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
- Chippewas are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
- Chippewas are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Chippewas are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 31-13-3 ATS in their last 47 games overall.
- Chippewas are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Chippewas are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
- Chippewas are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
- Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
My name is Ryan Lovette and I was kicked out of MSU for psoing in Playboy. Supoort my cause and bet against the Spartans.
Houston at Oklahoma State (-15.5) - OSU is too legit to quit!! Great win last week at home against a coveted SEC team. They will destroy Houston. This is way too few points to give at home. Take OSU and give the points.
Its OSU Hammer Time!!!
Houston
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Cowboys are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Cowboys are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cowboys are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cowboys are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 games as a favorite.
UNC at UConn (+3.5) - UNC is stacked this year with young talent and they may have had the best recruting class in the ACC. UConn lost a ton of skill and experience on both sides of the ball. No doubt UConn has overachieved since it started playing football 8 years ago, but UNC just has too much experience. UNC’s veteran O-Line and QB will be too much for the Huskies. Take the Heels and give the points.
UNC
- Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Do cheerleader pics ever get old?
TCU at Virginia (+11) -Generally we like to avoid road favorites. However, TCU’s D is just too stacked not to like them in this one. Jerry Hughes is a mean man. One of the best defenders in the country. This team is pissed they went 11-2 last year!!!! Andy Dalton is progressing at QB. Virginia has no offensive threats we even care to mention. Take TCU and give the points.
TCU
- Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Horned Frogs are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
- Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
- Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
- Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.
If I am not careful I will get horned by one of those Texas frogs!
UCLA at Tennessee (-10) - Tennessee did exactly what we thought they would do last week-play mean and run up the score. They will do the same this week. Kifin hates UCLA and Neuheisel, but that aside, the key to this game will be the same it was last week-DEFENSE. Pops Kiffin is one of the defensive minds the game has ever seen. He will throw things at UCLA’s QB that he has never seen before. For that alone, Tennessee will be outstanding this year. This is way too far for UCAL to travel and it is a VOLS revenge game. Look for the Vols in a route. Take the Vols and give the points.
UCLA
- Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
- Bruins are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
- Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
- Bruins are 27-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Volunteers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.
Kiffin's wife is top notch also!!!
Hawaii at Washington State (+2) - Another laugher, but it is another opportunity. Hawaii beat Washington State by 14 last year at home. They return a senior QB, senior RB and a veteran O-Line. Washington State returns as the same terrible team. Hawaii can make somewhat of a statement by beating a BCS Conference team (even though that team is terrible) on the road. They can win by a fieldgoal. Take Hawaii and give the points.
Hawaii
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Warriors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on turf.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Is Hawaiian Tropic close enough to Hawaii? We thought so!
BYU at Tulane (+17.5) - BYU showed the nation what they can do this season. Bradford going out with an injury was not an excuse. The senior leadership and superior line play were key. Tulane, coming off a spanking by Tulsa will have no reason being in this game. Do not even think BYU will have any type of hangover either. BYU is led by senior leadership and is highly disciplined. Yeah we blew a nice cover last week by ignoring all of the signs in Norman but we are on the BYU bandwagon. Take BYU in a blowout!!
BYU
- Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Cougars are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Green Wave are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Green Wave are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games on turf.
- Green Wave are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
- Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Mormons know how to party!!!
Kansas at UTEP (+12.5) - Kansas finally has a line and we are all over it. UTEP lost at home to Buffalo, you think they are going to compete with Kansas. This does not even need a write-up. Remember Mangino and Todd Reesing!!! Take Kansas in a blowout!!!
Kansas
- Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Jayhawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
- Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Miners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big 12.
- Miners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Tulsa at New Mexico (+17.5) - Tulsa responded well for us last week on the road and this game is no different. Tulsa puts the peddle to the metal all game, every game. Tulsa won by 42 points last season and we do not see why that can not happen again. New Mexico was blown out by a medicore Texas A&M team and this season is not looking good for them. We love Tulsa to cover in this one.
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Lobos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
New Mexico gets golden showered by the Golden Hurricanes
South Carolina at Georgia (-7 and O/38) - South Carolina surprised us last week. We learned a lot…their offense is still terrible and their defense is fast and nasty. Georgia got stomped at OSU like we said and lost their QB and left tackle in the process. Cox might play but is banged up. What does this lead to? A clear play on the UNDER. Also, we really do not see either team scoring and that helps us lean towards The Cocks. The ATS numbers are all over the board but the Head to Head stats are beautiful. Check this out:
- Under is 12-0 in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia.
- Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- This cheerleader loves COCKS!!! We need to find out where she lives!
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- The Favorite is 3-17 ATS over the last 20 years.
Last time I played in the Big House I threw 7 INTs and was sacked 8 times!!! Has anything changed?
Game of the Week!!!! Collision in Columbus!!!!
Game of the Week!!!
USC at Ohio State (+6.5) - If you read us regularly this pick will come as no surprise so lets look at the ATS numbers first:
USC
- Trojans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
- Trojans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
- Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-10.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
- Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Hope we had enough girls for you this week!
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Comments
Scares the crap out of me but I think there is a difference this year. I was far more nervous for this game last year. Ohio State did not replace their talent from last year and USC did. USC did not need to replace their OL at all and that is huge in early season games. Also, I listened to Brent Musburger this afternoon and he said it is a weird scene in Columbus. Ohio State fans are usually arrogant as hell and this year they are not confident or cocky at all. Brent said every single Ohio State fan stops him to ask them if they have a chance of winning. If that is the culture of the fan base then I have to believe it persists in the locker room. Should be a fun one and if USC does roll Carroll and Barkley will have huge egos to deal with. There is no reason any team that is starting a frosh QB with one start under his belt should ever win on the road against a top 10 team.
Sorry for the late post. I didn’t like any of the early games anyways.
I’m taking USC -7.
Notre Dame -3
Tennessee -9.5
Oregon -13 (lock of the day)
TCU -11
Texans -4
Panthers +3
Seahawks -7
Sorry there are no explanations…in Columbus right now….
RPJ rebounded slightly with a 7-6 week. Wish Runny let me take Michigan with Syndicate money. That game was a no brainer. We are now 12-15 on the season and gaining momentum.
I really like USC this week as well.
In fact, I think everyone does. Does that scare anyone else?