Week 6 Free NFL Picks: We pick winners!!!
Last week kicked ass. Plain and simple. We were 5-0 and are now 17-11 on the season. We hit another knockout pool winner and are still alive in our pools and the underdog strategy survived with a winning week and is now 34-41-1 on the season. Runny even got on board with his own picks and correctly identified the suckitude of the Dallas Cowboys as they failed to cover against the Chiefs. Everyone is back this week and we have tons of winners.
RPJ $yndicate Picks: These are our straight picks and last week we were 5-0 and are now 17-11 on the season. We are happy and we have been on a tear since we went 2-4 during the first weekend of the NFL.
Philadelphia (-13.5) at Oakland - We almost find this unfair. ESPN tried to find out which teams was worst out of the 4 remaining defeated teams. They needed to look no further than the Oakland Raiders who did not make the poll because they pulled off a miracle win against the Chiefs. The Raiders are bad, really bad. Even worse than the Lions last year. These comments by Antonio Pierce sum up the Raiders right now:
“I do not like knocking teams. But right now, they’re struggling. We’re playing that game the other day and, honestly, it felt like a scrimmage, like a practice,” Pierce said. “It felt like we were going against our offense [in a controlled setting] as far as the tempo.”
Pierce, who admitted to growing up a Raiders fan, continued:
“There was no vibe of trying or effort from the Raiders at all from a defensive standpoint against their offense. We’re getting three-and-outs. You don’t hear nobody [saying], ‘Hey, let’s go!’ trying to pick the guys up, rallying them, getting guys fired up. There was nothing. It was quiet. A guy gets sacked or somebody gets beat, they just get up. It’s not like there’s yelling or no kind of [emotion] about the way they were playing.
This really is not fair to actually get to bet against the Raiders ever week. Well Vegas is out to take your money so we are going to take Vegas every week for our hard earned dollar. The Raiders have zero chance of winning this game. Scott Van Pelt, who can not pick worth a shit, actually wanted to take the Raiders this week. That was strike two against the Raiders. Strike three is Jamarcus Russell who is the worst QB of our lifetime and we are no spring chickens. We are not going to waste our time and your time by analyzing this game. We are betting the Eagles to win and cover!
Buffalo at NY Jets (-9.5) - Buffalo is bad but not as bad as the Raiders. We loved watching Rex Ryan’s post game press conferences last week after they choked against the Dolphins and The Gimmick Cat Offense. Rex was embarrassed and pissed off and really fired up. We know he is going to take out his anger on the Bills this week. Buffalo really does not have anything going for it. The Dolphins pounded them. The Browns beat them with a Jamarcus Russell like performance out of their QB. Don’t even get us started on Derek Anderson’s performance last week. Yes the J - E - T - S, Jets Jets Jets have lost two in a row but they lost two in a row on the road. Prior to that they won two at home and we think the friendly confines of the Meadowlands is exactly what this team needs. We are betting the Jets to win and cover!
Buffalo
- Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC East.
- Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Bills are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Jets are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
- Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Baltimore at Minnesota (-3) - We will start by saying this is Colin Cowherd’s upset special of the week. Who has Minnesota really played? Are the wins that impressive? Baltimore on the other hand has easily beaten who they were supposed to beat and lost at New England in a close one and lost last week to the Bungles in another close game. Do you really expect this Baltimore team to lose three in a row. We do not. The Ravens have an enough this year, tons of talent running the ball, Flacco is legit and their Defense is always something to be reckoned with. Minnesota is 5-0 on the season but we are not impressed. This is the type of game the Vikes need to win to demand respect across the league. The Vikes do have A-Pete but he has not been so spectacular the last few weeks and Favre is still looking for that go to wide receiver. We think this is the buzzsaw game. The Vikes are due for a loss and the Ravens absolutely do not want to lose three in a row. We only need a cover here so we love that we are getting points. We are taking the Ravens to cover!
Baltimore
- Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Ravens are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Ravens are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
- Ravens are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Vikings are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
- Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Vikings are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
- Vikings are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Vikings are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Giants are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Giants are 17-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Giants are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games following a S.U. win.
- Giants are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog.
- Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog.
- Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Giants are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Giants are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October.
- Giants are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 39-16-3 ATS in their last 58 vs. NFC.
- Giants are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 games overall.
- Giants are 37-18-3 ATS in their last 58 road games.
- Giants are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games following a ATS win.
- Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6.
- Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Saints are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
- Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Saints are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Saints are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Saints are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite.
- Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Runny Pelvis Picks of the Week - Runny identified the Chiefs cover against the Cowboys last week and he demanded he get his own column for those games that do not meet RPJ criteria but still meet Runny criteria. Runny is 1-0 on the season and he has two more picks for you this week.
Kansas City at Washington (-6.5) - No analysis this week. Sorry folks. Too busy collecting my money. I am betting the Chiefs to cover!
Arizona at Seattle (-3) - I am betting the Seahawks to cover!
Underdog Strategy: We are using this as a tracking mechanism. Just a reminder that we are not advising betting this strategy versus our straight RPJ approved picks. This simply tracks what would happen if you bet the underdog every week. Underdog in bold.
Houston (+5) at Cincinnati
Detroit (+13.5) at Green Bay
St. Louis (+10) at Jacksonville
Baltimore (+3) at Minnesota
NY Giants (+3) at New Orleans
Cleveland (+14) at Pittsburgh
Carolina at Tampa Bay (+3)
Kansas City (+6.5) at Washington
Philadelphia at Oakland (+13.5)
Arizona (+3) at Seattle
Tennessee (+9.5) at New England
Buffalo (+9.5) at New York Jets
Chicago (+3.5) at Atlanta
Denver (+3.5) at San Diego
Knockout Pool Picks
Week 1: New Orleans Saints
Week 2: Washington Redskins
Week 3: Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: Philadelphia Eagles
Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
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Well our arrogance got the best of us this week. Have to remember to be humble with the Gambling gods. RPJ was 1-3 on the week. We are now 18-14 on the season. We also won our knockout pool pick. Hopefully you are like our knockout league and there is about 1/3 of the participants left. We will calculate underdog strategy results but it is sitting at 8-5 right now. Might be time to get back on board.