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Archive for November, 2009

FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 30, 2009

Greetings folks! Back again for another great night of NBA action. We hope Thanksgiving weekend was as good to you as it was us. We had great food. Great family time. We topped it off with solid days all around on NCAA football, NFL and NBA. Our season ATS record for NBA stands at 63-53-2. We are rollin’ and hopefully making you money. Still plenty of room for improvement though-10 games over .500 is not where we need to be. That said, this is what we like on tonight’s NBA games:

Ooops….almost forgot about our little friends:

Lil Kobe & Lil Lebron Are Back!!!

Bulls @ Bucks -2.5 : This is our favorite pick of the night. We love the Bulls here. Their annual Circus Road Trip is killing them, but this is essentially a home game for them and they are rested. We like them to come out furious and win outright. We love how they match-up with the Bucks. No Andrew Bogut is a big deal for Milwaukee. Take the Bulls and the points.

Stick This In Your Pipe & Smoke It, Bucks! The Bulls Are Coming Into Town!!!

76ers @ Mavs -11: We have been all over calling out the softness of the Mavs all year. They cannot hang with tough teams. They get a Sixers team tonight that is slowly getting more and more healthy as Elton Brand is expected back. That said, Brand really has not made that much of a difference when he is there. Even with him, the Sixers are still inconsistent. However, the Mavs have been inconsistent, too (ATS wise) and they are soft. We like the energy the Sixers will bring tonight. Take the Sixers and the points.

C'mon, Jessica!! We Need You To Jinx The Mavs Again Tonight!!

Free NFL Week 12 Picks: The Weekend Edition of Winning $$$$

After going 2-1 on Thanksgiving we are now 34-29 on the season. Giants had to ruin our potential for an unblemished record on Turkey Day. We are looking to build on our winning week with a couple of picks this weekend. Coming at you with subliminal messages this week. We have our normal pics of girls but have sprinkled the pics with some “money” shots!

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Miami Dolphins (-3) at Buffalo Bills -  We are going against our Vegas intuition on this one. The line opened at Dolphins -3.5 and has bounced between -3.5 and -3. The problem is, the majority of the money is on Miami and that means Vegas is saying they are comfortable with all of this money on the Dolphins because they think the Bills will come through for their books. Also, when you see that the Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Buffalo you start to understand why Vegas is comfortable with the action. Vegas thinks that the cold weather and a warm team traveling to play  cold team spells disaster. Well we have faith in the Parcells run team to be ready to play in Buffalo. Dolphins won easily last year in December in Buffalo. Buffalo is having trouble scoring, has an interim coach, no real QB and no team personality. Dolphins come ready to play every game and play punishing style of offense that is a bitch to prepare for. If we lose this bet we will not doubt our Vegas intuition again and we understand if you go against us on this one. We are betting Miami to win and cover!

Miami

• Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
• Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.
• Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
• Dolphins are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.

• Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bills are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
• Bills are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Bills are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
• Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
• Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Buffalo.

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5) - We have seen first hand the NFC East team that thinks the way to win games is to not score any points on offense and to try and win on special teams and defense otherwise known as the Washington Redskins. Redskins blow, plain and simple. Remember the Eagles last season, they were floating along, tied the Bungles, Donovan was benched and then they went on a tear and made the NFC Championship game. We see a lot of similarities this season and think the Eagles are starting to turn the corner. The defense is still effective, banged up, but effective, and the D will not need to play its A game to stop the Skins. Westbrook is hurt but McCoy is learning the offense and is getting better each week. Donovan just led a 4th quarter comeback against the Bears and is getting more and more comfortable with his new line and offensive skill players. And we get back to the point that the Redskins suck. 9.5 points = no problem. We are betting the Eagles to win and cover!

Washington

• Redskins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
• Redskins are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
• Redskins are 4-11-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
• Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Redskins are 4-13-4 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• Redskins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Philadelphia

• Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
• Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 12.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
• Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Eagles are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Seattle (-4) at St. Louis - This is the Runny Pelvis bet of the week. Rams are seriously banged up and are not very good. Seattle has actually won against the Rams 9 times in a row and Seattle is not even that good. Both of these teams have lost two in a row and we expect the Seahawks to be the team to break their losing streak. Not much to discuss here. Seahawks have also covered the last 5 times they have played the Rams. Seahawks win and cover!

Seattle

• Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Seahawks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Seahawks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

St. Louis

• Rams are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games following a S.U. loss.
• Rams are 12-26-1 ATS in their last 39 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Rams are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
• Rams are 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Rams are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog.
• Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Rams are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC West.
• Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 12.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-10.5) - Two opposites going on right here and we think we know these teams well with our Midwest connections. Vikes have won three in a row and covered three in a row and never really had a tough game. Bears have lost three in a row, not covered three in a row and the real Jay Cutler has shown himself. Josh McDaniels and Co. out in Denver do not look like such idiots now do they? We expect the Bears D to not show up, Cutler to throw picks at bad times and Favre to lead an impressive, efficient offense to victory. Vikings win and cover!

Chicago Bears

• Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North.
• Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
• Bears are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.

• Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North.
• Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
• Bears are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.

Minnesota

• Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
• Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
• Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
• Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
• Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Minnesota.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-7) - No Big Ben, insert Dennis Dixon and this is why the line is Ravens -7. Never ever ever ever bet on a team throwing out a rookie QB in his first start on the road in Baltimore. Got it? This one is over before it even starts. We are all over the Ravens to win and cover!

Monday, November 30 , 2009

New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints (-1.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and we are pumped up for it. Last week, Flash hit up the Jets/Pats game in Masshole land and walked away with a stomach bug, literally Flash puked all night and on the plane (the smell was awesome) and a sense that New England, even in the win, is not that impressive. The Pats just have too much dependence on a few guys on offense and if the Jets had a non-emotional QB they could have had a chance. The Saints are undefeated and after not covering for three straight weeks broke out of their shell against the Bucs last week. We finally reversed our Saints jinx and won some cash on them and we look to do so again this week. We are betting the Saints to win and cover.

New England

• Patriots are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a S.U. win.
• Patriots are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
• Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 12.
• Patriots are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Saints are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Saints are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
• Saints are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Enjoy the Picks - Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 28, 2009

Greetings folks. Fresh off of Turkey Day and our season ATS record is 59-52-2. We know that is not where we need to be, but we will keep working. Kobe and Lebron play tonight, so we pay our respects with this:

Lil Kobe and Lil Lebron Are Back!!!

On with tonight’s picks:

Bobcats @ Wizards -3.5: The Bobcats are en fuego right now and are off 3 straight wins and covers. The Wizards are turning their play around and have won two straight after being mired in a terrible slump. The key to this came is consistency, and the Wizards just have not showed us that they are a consistent club. Plus, the Bobcats are playing really well as a team right now. They match-up well against the Wizards. We love Gerald Wallace’s offensive ability and his glass work. We like the Bobcats to make it 4 straight covers. Take the Bobcats and the points.

Bring Us An Early Christmas Present, Stephen!!!!

Dallas @ Cleveland -6.5: The Mavs have not been good against good teams over the past few years. They have been particularly bad against the Cavs (2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings). We are not convinced that the Cavs are a great team this year-as long as the have Lebron they will be good. We don’t know yet if they are an elite team. We’ll see. What we do know is that the Mavs have been better ATS this year and even more so in the recent games. That said, we are still riding the Cavs. The Mavs are on a pretty tough road trip. They are a soft team. We like the Cavs to avoid two straight losses and snag a cover. Take the Cavs and give the points.

Gisele Would Have Been Better Off With Lebron!

Trailblazers @ Jazz -5.5: The home team has a huge advantage in this series (21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings).  The Jazz are more rested and have had the luxury of playing their last 4 opponents at home. We think that is HUGE for the game tonight. The Jazz looked great blowing out a decent Bulls team last time out. Although we love the energy and athleticism of the young Blazers, we think the Jazz will have too much for them tonight. Take the Jazz and give the points.

Magic @ Bucks +6.5: The Bucks have been home demons as of late, going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. We love their energy and Brandon Jennings is showing that he could be a star in the league. However, they key to this game is who will not be playing. Andrew Bogut. Losing him in the paint against teams with solid big men has proven to be the Achilles Heel of this team. They get no bigger or better than the big man they will be facing tonight-Dwight Howard. He will be too much for the Bucks. Take the Magic and give the points.

Yeap, That's My Bit*h!! The Bucks Are Next!!!!

Lakers @ Warriors +9.5: The road team has been solid in the recent meetings, going 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Lakers love spreads under 10 points and they are well rested. They will be ready for this game. We’ve admired the heart that the Warriors have shown as of late. However, the Lakers will have too much for them tonight. Take the Lakers and give the points.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash & Runny

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition

Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing

Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.

Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.

Troy (-9.5) at UL-Lafayette - We are picking Troy to win and cover.

New Mexico State at San Jose State (-11.5) - We are picking New Mexico State to cover.

Navy (-9.5) at Hawaii - We are picking Navy to win and cover.

The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.

North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.

Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.

Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.

Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.

Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!

Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football!  We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Its Rivalry Week! Somebody needs to lose!

We are coming off a sick, sick weekend. We went 14-7 and upped our season record to 84-72-3. Also, we were 2-1 in the NFL so far this week. We are going to come at you with a bunch of games this week and weekend as well. This piece will address all of the weekday games we are going to bet and we will follow up with another piece to cover the Saturday games.

Congrats to Colt McCoy's girlfriend. She now gets to sleep with a Heisman winner!

Friday, November 27, 2009

Nebraska (-10) at Colorado - We are a little nervous with this game for hangover reasons. Nebraska’s win over Kansas State clinched the Big 12 North for the Huskers and Texas awaits in the Big 12 championship game. On paper, Nebraska is significantly better than Colorado and should blow this game out. But we hate betting on teams that have nothing to play for. Colorado has been scrappy but is not winning because they can not get away from their own mistakes and bad coaching. When we look at the important numbers we salivate over this game. Nebraska runs for more than 50 yards more per game than Colorado, Runs for more than 1.5 yards more per rush than the Buffs, is more efficient on third downs and is better across the board on defense in all of these categories. We think Nebraska might start a little slow but they will get it going as they start to wear down Colorado in the second half. We are betting Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Nebraska

• Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Cornhuskers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cornhuskers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

• Buffaloes are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
• Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Buffaloes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Nevada at Boise State (-13.5) - This is going to be a fun game. After losing their first three games, Nevada has won 8 in a row and has done so with an insane offense that has put up more than 52 points in 3 of the last 4 games and has scored more than 30 in every game during their winning streak. The scores in this series have been crazy the last two years. BSU won 41-34 last year and two years ago BSU won 69-67. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada’s QB, has played at Boise State so he knows what to expect playing on the smurf turf. This Nevada offense really is sick right now. On the season they have averaged 374 yards rushing, 7.77 yards per rush, only given up 8 sacks and converts third downs at a 53.4% clip. When you stack that up against Boise State you start to say Hmmmmm….Can Nevada actually win this game? We think they can and as 13.5 point dogs we love getting that many points. We are betting Nevada to cover and taking the over!

• Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
• Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Wolf Pack are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
• Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

Boise State

• Numbers are all favorable for Boise State.

Over

• Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 5-1 in Wolf Pack last 6 games in November.
• Over is 9-3 in Wolf Pack last 12 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 6-2 in Wolf Pack last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Over is 5-2 in Wolf Pack last 7 games as a road underdog.
• Over is 5-2 in Wolf Pack last 7 road games.
• Over is 7-3 in Wolf Pack last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 7-3 in Wolf Pack last 10 conference games.
• Over is 13-6-1 in Wolf Pack last 20 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

• Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 Friday games.
• Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games in November.
• Over is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 conference games.
• Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite.
• Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Come back to get our picks for Saturday’s games. Good luck.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free NFL Week 12 Picks: Happy Turkey Day! We are sinking our teeth into some meaty breasts, legs and thighs!!!

RPJ Bets of the Day: We were only 2-2 last week and now stand at 32-28 on the season. We have been streaky, either coming in around 500 or blowing out the weekend with a 5-0 pick. We are going to kick off turkey day with a tribute to fleshy meat and pick three games on the day. We will be back on Saturday with the rest of our picks.

Green Bay at Detroit (+10.5) - This is definitely a scary line. The Lions fought admirably last week and pulled the W against the Browns. They ended up smashing up their two best players in Stafford and Megatron; both are doubtful for tomorrow. You never know what you will get with Green Bay but it appears that their O-line is coming together and they pulled nice wins at home against Dallas and San Francisco. Then you look at this series and you realize that Green Bay has covered in 6 of the last 7. We are scared of the 10.5 points but we think the best team will win and will win big. We are taking Green Bay to win and cover!

Green Bay

• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
• Packers are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Packers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Packers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North.
• Packers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 road games.
• Packers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite.

• Lions are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Lions are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games in November.
• Lions are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC.
• Lions are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
• Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Lions are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf.
• Lions are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games.
• Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
• Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Oakland at Dallas (-13.5) - Nothing like betting against the Raiders on Thanksgiving Day. Something the whole family can enjoy together; even your crazy Uncle Joe will get on board. One thing is consistent this year with the Raiders and that is the fact that they follow up every win with a huge loss. Beat KC 13-10, lose 23-3 at home to Denver; beat the Eagles 13-9 and lose to the Jets 38-0; beat the Bengals 20-17 and lose to the Cowboys 56-3. Well we filled in the last score but we have no reason to think otherwise. We do not think this game will be close at any point. Also, the betting public is demented on this one based on last week’s results. 54% of the money is on the Raiders at time of print. We look at a team’s body of work in the NFL and do not focus on the game to game. Do not bet with the public in this game. We are betting the Cowboys to win and cover!!!

Oakland

• Raiders are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
• Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.

• Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
• Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.
• Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in November.
• Cowboys are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
• Cowboys are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games on fieldturf.

NY Giants at Denver (+6) - Get on the bus. It is pick on Denver Broncos time. Not only has Denver lost 4 in a row, they have lost 4 in a row ATS. Their smallest margin of loss over this stretch was 10 points to the lowly Washington Redskins. The Broncos lost to Pittsburgh at home by 18, lost to San Diego at home by 29 and will lose to the Giants by a margin larger than 6 points. Also, during this 4 game losing stretch, the Broncos were outgained on the ground by 88, 54, 146 and 59. Now the Giants come to town and will continue this domination. The Giants had their own 4 game losing streak but broke through last week against the Falcons. We will look for them to keep rolling. We are betting the Giants to win and cover!!!

NY Giants

• Giants are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
• Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games.
• Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Giants are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 15-32-2 ATS in their last 49 games in November.

• Broncos are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 7-15 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
• Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.
• Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 12.
• Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
• Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
• Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy nailed another huge weekend. It was 10-5-1 and is now 83-74-2 on the season. Just a few weeks ago this thing was many games under 500 and we almost stopped tracking it. These late season underdogs are really helping Vegas make their money back. If you have been getting burned betting on the favorites then switch to this. It has nailed it for the last month. Underdogs in bold.

Green Bay at Detroit (+10.5)

Oakland (+13.5) at Dallas

NY Giants at Denver (+6)

Tampa Bay (+12) at Atlanta

Miami at Buffalo (+3)

Cleveland (+14) At Cincinnati

Indianapolis at Houston (+3)

Carolina (+3) at NY Jets

Washington (+9) at Philadelphia

Seattle at St. Louis (+3)

Kansas City (+13.5) at San Diego

Jacksonville (+3) at San Francisco

Arizona at Tennessee - no line yet

Chicago (+10.5) at Minnesota

Pittsburgh at Baltimore - No line yet

New England (+3) at New Orleans

Knockout Pool Strategy - We are getting closer and closer to having a winner in our big knockout pool. We can smell the $$$$$ coming our way. With just a few upsets more we will be good to go. This week is a solid time to take the Bengals. Bengals are coming off the dreadful Oakland trip, just ask Philly about that one, and the Browns are coming off a deflating, season busting loss to the Lions. Week 13 here we come.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 25, 2009!!!

Greetings folks! 3-2-1 last night brings our season ATS record to 54-45-2. Again, we know this is not up to our standards, but with another winning night, we are moving in the right direction. There are a ton of games tonight, so we know we have a ton of opportunities for more winners. We are busy and we love it!! Check out our NCAA football and NFL posts for tomorrow’s and Friday’s games, too. We are working plays all weekend long!!! Sit back, eat some turkey and take our picks all the way to the bank!! We are looking to help you make some extra scratch for Black Friday shopping deals!! That said, here is the first step:

Oh yeah…forgot about Lil Kobe and Lil Lebron:

Lil Kobe & Lil Lebron Are Back For More Winners!!!!

Clippers @ Pacers -5.5: The Pacers looked pretty darn bad last night in Toronto and are in the midst of a bad slump. They look to avoid their 5th straight SU loss and ATS loss. The bad thing is that in their losses, they have been pretty much blown out each time. Only in one of the 4 losses (against the Knicks) have they even kept it close. They are a team that looks very confused right now, and they are getting a Clippersteam that is rested and will probably have their young gun, Eric Gordon, back from injury. Even without Gordon, we like the Clippersto cover. We think the Pacers will win the game to end their losing streak, however, we think this is too many points to give. Take the Clippers and the points.

Holy Sh*t!!! We Picked The Clippers to Cover!!!!

Raptors @ Bobcats -3: The Raptors have been terrible on the road this year and cannot stop anyone anywhere. They are off giving the Pacers a beatdown last night at home. They are terrible as Dogs this year (0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as Dogs), but we think they finally breakout of the Dog cover slump. Take the Raptors and the points.

No Early Christmas For You, Stephen Jackson!!!!

76ers @ Celtics -13: The Celtics have been terrible as of late. This team is WAAAY better than this and they know it. After nearly losing to the Knicks last time out, the Celtics need to get back on track. They are rested and at home tonight against a 76ers team that is struggling, too.  The 76ers lost a tough one last night in Washington and they may be without Elton Brand tonight. That is bad news for them. We think the Celtics finally right the ship tonight. We don;t care that the road team in this one is 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 meetings. Take the Celtics and give the points.

Heat @ Magic -9.5: The Heat have been absolutely terrible in their recent games, losing 4 of their last 6 SU and 6 straight ATS. They get no relief tonight against a Magic team that is playing well as of late. The Magic are rested and do everything better than the Heat except field goal %. This is an easy cover. Take the Magic and give the points.

Ridiculous!! Dwight Howard Looks Like He Is Playing on Stilts!! Good Luck, Miami!!!

Bucks @ Hornets -2.5: The Bucks finally have Michael Redd back, but they are still without Andrew Bogut. The Hornets are still without Chris Paul. However, the Hornets have covered their last 4. We don’t think they make it a 5th. The Bucks are better defensively and on the glass. They have Redd back. The Hornets will have no answer for him. Take the Bucks and the points.

This Is What The Bucks Think Of Your Chances Tonight, New Orleans!!!!

Cavs @ Pistons +6: The Cavs have not been a good team ATS, but neither have the Pistons. The Pistons will be without Prince and Hamilton (again). They will not have enough fire power to keep up with a rested Cavs team. We love this line. Take the Cavs and give the points.

Nuggets @ T’Wolves +8.5: This line seems a little like a trap because it is so low. The T’Wolves have not won since beating the Nets weeks ago. The Nuggets are one of the best teams in the league. On paper this seems like the line should be double digits. It may be a trap, so beware, but our analysis says ride the Nuggets all day. So, that is what we are doing. Take the Nuggets and give the points.

Dats Wus Up, Minnesota!! Be Carful Of Who You Are Messin' Wit!!

Mavericks @ Rockets -4: We hate the Mavs and love the Rockets. However, the Mavs own this match-up as of late. They also have more healthy weapons. Dirk is clutch. We love the points. Take the Mavs and the points.

Warriors @ Spurs -13.5: The Warriors are one of the hottest teams ATS right now, covering in 6 straight and 7 of their last 8. Unreal. They beat the Mavs outright last night with 6 freakin’ players!! Tonight they get another tough opponent in the Spurs, who are rested and ready. We love the attitude the Warriors have adopted since the injury bug hit. They have circled the wagons and look to pound everyone they play. However, tonight will be too much. The Spurs play well together and know how to win at home. They cover. Take the Spurs and give the points.

Grizzlies @ Suns -10.5: The Grizzlies are a terrible road team, but they are building confidence each night out. They are young and can really get after it. The Suns are off a lopsided win at the hands of the Pistons. We like the Grizzlies in this one because we think they match-up well against the Suns, and because they are playing solid D as of late. Take the Grizzlies and the points.

Nets @ Trailblazers -13: Nets are pathetic. Just terrible. They were crushed last night. They will get crushed again tonight. Take the Blazers and give the points.

Knicks @ Kings -4: The Knicks showed some poise last night making it a 10 point game against the Lakers. However, we think that was more of the Lakers just wanting to get out of dodge. The Knicks held their own against the Celtics last week, too. However, we think they happened to catch the Celtics in a slump. They are not a good team. We love the Kings tonight. Tyreke Evans should be back. Take the Kings and give the points.

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

FRE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 24, 2009

Greetings folks! 3-1 last night brings our season ATS record to 51-43-1. We are back to moving in the right direction, and we love it! Like all gamblers, we are superstitious, and if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. So, we are going to ride our little people friends that worked for us last night and lead off this post with the little Kobe and Lebron:

The Little People Kobe & Lebron Are Back!!! We Are Riding Them To Another Winning Night!!!!

She Jinxed The Cowboys and Will Do The Same To The Mavs!! Go Warriors!!!!

Utah' CheerleadersCan Beat Your Cheerleaders At World of Warcraft Any Day of the Week!!!!!

The Black Mamba Will Be Ready!!

FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 23, 2009

Greetings folks. Our season ATS record stands at 48-42-1.  Despite our winning record, we feel terrible. Not as bad as these guys…

Is That The Little Person Kobe & Lebron?!?!?!

…but still pretty bad. Not a bad record, but not even close to the vicinity we are aiming for (65%). We are in a slump, but we know what we are capable of and will keep applying our system. That said, this is what we recommend for tonight:

Kings @ Grizzlies -5.5:If this game was in Arco, our analysis would be different. We love the direction both teams are heading and this should be an exciting game. The Kings have been in some very tough defeats as of late, losing by two to the Mavs last Friday and by seven to the Rockets on Saturday night. They should be rested, but Tyreke Evans is doubtful. Without Evans, the Kings are a completely different team. They need him to produce and they need his energy with Kevin Martin out of the line-up for the foreseeable future. We like the Grizzlies in this game because they are at home and they have a ton of young talent that can score and run the court all game long. And, as well as the Kings have played, they have been terrible on the road. Take the Grizzlies and give the points.

Grizzlies Haters Beware!!!! They Aren't That Bad!!!!

Yeap. That Guy Got It Right.

Free NFL Week 11 Winning Picks: Time to separate the men from the boys!

The NFL is gearing up for an awesome second half of the season. Will the Saints and Colts go undefeated? Will the Benglas win their division? How many more superstars will get knocked out: Westbrook, Turner, Ronnie Brown, etc… How many more gay slurs can Larry Johnson fit in the rest of the season? Should be a great rest of the season.

RPJ Syndicate Picks: We were 6-3 last week and are now 30-26 on the season. These are our straight picks and we are really zeroing in on the NFL right now.

Washington at Dallas (-10.5) - Cowboys laid a big fat egg in Green Bay last week. The Redskins scored more than 17 points for the first time this season and won a game. Only reason they won was because Orton was knocked out but that is inconsequential. The Cowboys will not pull a dud against an NFC East foe. No way, no how.  The Skins have only covered 1 of their last 4 and the Cowboys have only not covered 1 in their last 4 and both were last week. Look for a fired up Cowboys team to take it to the Skins. The Skins Defense did not respond until Orton was knocked out of the game. Trust Flash Flash, he was there, the Skins are terrible and the Cowboys are not as bad as they looked. On top of that, the Cowboys win a statistical sweep of the important metrics we track and should be able to run the ball up and down the field and keep the Skins offense off the field. We are looking for a game along the lines of 27-10. We are betting the Cowboys to win and cover!!

Washington

• Redskins are 3-7-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Redskins are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
• Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
• Redskins are 3-11-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Redskins are 1-4-3 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
• Redskins are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
• Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Redskins are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Atlanta at NY Giants (-6.5) - The Giants have not won a game since playing Oakland on October 11, losing 4 in a row. It is amazing how Oakland’s power of Suck transferred to the Giants and have brought them down as well. The Giants loss to the Chargers was heartbreaking and they had the bye week to let their skid really sink in. It will be interesting to see how the G-men respond. tom Coughlin made the San Diego game a “must win” game and they did not win. The Giants are a professional bunch and any team with a Manning on it is pretty much guaranteed to compete so that brings us to the Falcons. The Falcons lost Michael Turner last week and that is a major blow. Snelling, his replacement averaged about 3 yards a carry last week and Norwood is still banged up. Ryan is having some growing pains this season and the Giants nasty pass rush is not one to help reverse any struggles. The Giants will be too much for the Falcons to handle right now. We are betting the Giants to win and cover!!!

Atlanta

Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 11.

NY Giants

• Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
• Giants are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
• Giants are 39-19-3 ATS in their last 61 vs. NFC.

New Orleans (-11) at Tampa Bay - We really like to torture ourselves. As soon as we got on the Saints bandwagon, they go and lose three ATS in a row to the likes of Atlanta, Carolina and St. Louis. C’mon now Saints!!! Well we are going back to the well again this week. The Saints owe us per se. Tampa Bay is hot right now as well. They beat Green Bay and should have beat Miami last week. We know they donot have the fire power to compete with the Saints and we expect their rookie QB to make some mistakes pressing the action. Sharper pick 6 anybody? So now we are going to look at some stats so you do not think we are betting out of spite, maybe a little spite, but not a lot of spite. Saints run for more than 50 yards more per game, 4.7 versus 4.0 yards per rush per game, complete 47% of their 3rd down conversions to the Bucs 30% and the Bucs D gives up 167 yards per game on the ground (2nd worst in the league), 4.9 yards per rush and lets teams convert 42% of their third down attempts. Also, the Bucs D only has 17 sacks on the season so they will not get to Brees. This will be a long, rude, awakening for Tampa Bay. The Saints win and cover!

New Orleans

• Saints are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Saints are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Saints are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
• Saints are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Underdog Strategy: The underdog strategy is freakin on fire. The underdog strategy was 10-5 last week and is now 73-69-1 on the season. This thing has been hot. Right when we were going to write this strategy off it turned real fast and is now crushing it. Underdog is in bold.

Miami (+3) at Carolina - Already 1-0 this week

Indianapolis at Baltimore (+2)

Washington (+10.5) at Dallas

Cleveland (+3.5) at Detroit

San Francisco (+6.5) at Green Bay

Buffalo (+9) at Jacksonville

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (+10)

Seattle (+10.5) at Minnesota

Atlanta (+6.5) at NY Giants

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+11)

Arizona at St. Louis (+9.5)

San Diego at Denver - no line yet

NY Jets (+10.5) at New England

Cincinnati at Oakland (+9.5)

Philadelphia at Chicago (+3)

Tennessee (+4.5) at Houston

Knockout Pool Strategy: Hopefully you are like us right now and still alive in your knockout pool. We are down to about 20-25 people in ours and we are feeling good about the NFL right now. We love our pick this week. Remember the basic rules for your knockout pool. 1) Never bet on a road team 2) never save teams for later in the season. All you need to do is pick the team with the highest opening line that is playing at home. We know some people will take Detroit this week to try and get lucky. We say good luck. There is no reason to ever select a terrible team.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars