Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Its Rivalry Week! Somebody needs to lose!

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash
November 27, 2009

We are coming off a sick, sick weekend. We went 14-7 and upped our season record to 84-72-3. Also, we were 2-1 in the NFL so far this week. We are going to come at you with a bunch of games this week and weekend as well. This piece will address all of the weekday games we are going to bet and we will follow up with another piece to cover the Saturday games.

Congrats to Colt McCoys girlfriend. She now gets to sleep with a Heisman winner!

Congrats to Colt McCoy's girlfriend. She now gets to sleep with a Heisman winner!

Friday, November 27, 2009

Nebraska (-10) at Colorado - We are a little nervous with this game for hangover reasons. Nebraska’s win over Kansas State clinched the Big 12 North for the Huskers and Texas awaits in the Big 12 championship game. On paper, Nebraska is significantly better than Colorado and should blow this game out. But we hate betting on teams that have nothing to play for. Colorado has been scrappy but is not winning because they can not get away from their own mistakes and bad coaching. When we look at the important numbers we salivate over this game. Nebraska runs for more than 50 yards more per game than Colorado, Runs for more than 1.5 yards more per rush than the Buffs, is more efficient on third downs and is better across the board on defense in all of these categories. We think Nebraska might start a little slow but they will get it going as they start to wear down Colorado in the second half. We are betting Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Nebraska

Colorado
  • Buffaloes are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
  • Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Buffaloes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Nevada at Boise State (-13.5) - This is going to be a fun game. After losing their first three games, Nevada has won 8 in a row and has done so with an insane offense that has put up more than 52 points in 3 of the last 4 games and has scored more than 30 in every game during their winning streak. The scores in this series have been crazy the last two years. BSU won 41-34 last year and two years ago BSU won 69-67. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada’s QB, has played at Boise State so he knows what to expect playing on the smurf turf. This Nevada offense really is sick right now. On the season they have averaged 374 yards rushing, 7.77 yards per rush, only given up 8 sacks and converts third downs at a 53.4% clip. When you stack that up against Boise State you start to say Hmmmmm….Can Nevada actually win this game? We think they can and as 13.5 point dogs we love getting that many points. We are betting Nevada to cover and taking the over!
Nevada
  • Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Wolf Pack are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
  • Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Boise State
  • Numbers are all favorable for Boise State.
Over
  • Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Wolf Pack last 6 games in November.
  • Over is 9-3 in Wolf Pack last 12 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 6-2 in Wolf Pack last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Over is 5-2 in Wolf Pack last 7 games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 5-2 in Wolf Pack last 7 road games.
  • Over is 7-3 in Wolf Pack last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-3 in Wolf Pack last 10 conference games.
  • Over is 13-6-1 in Wolf Pack last 20 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 Friday games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games in November.
  • Over is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 conference games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
  • Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Come back to get our picks for Saturday’s games. Good luck.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Boise State Broncos, Colorado Buffaloes, Free NCAA picks, NCAA Picks, Nebraska, Nevada, Winning Picks, ncaa football

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