Free NFL Week 12 Picks: The Weekend Edition of Winning $$$$

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash
November 29, 2009

After going 2-1 on Thanksgiving we are now 34-29 on the season. Giants had to ruin our potential for an unblemished record on Turkey Day. We are looking to build on our winning week with a couple of picks this weekend. Coming at you with subliminal messages this week. We have our normal pics of girls but have sprinkled the pics with some “money” shots!

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Miami Dolphins (-3) at Buffalo Bills -  We are going against our Vegas intuition on this one. The line opened at Dolphins -3.5 and has bounced between -3.5 and -3. The problem is, the majority of the money is on Miami and that means Vegas is saying they are comfortable with all of this money on the Dolphins because they think the Bills will come through for their books. Also, when you see that the Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Buffalo you start to understand why Vegas is comfortable with the action. Vegas thinks that the cold weather and a warm team traveling to play  cold team spells disaster. Well we have faith in the Parcells run team to be ready to play in Buffalo. Dolphins won easily last year in December in Buffalo. Buffalo is having trouble scoring, has an interim coach, no real QB and no team personality. Dolphins come ready to play every game and play punishing style of offense that is a bitch to prepare for. If we lose this bet we will not doubt our Vegas intuition again and we understand if you go against us on this one. We are betting Miami to win and cover!

Miami

Buffalo
  • Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bills are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
  • Bills are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
  • Bills are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Head-to-Head
  • Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Dolphins are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Buffalo.
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-9.5) - We have seen first hand the NFC East team that thinks the way to win games is to not score any points on offense and to try and win on special teams and defense otherwise known as the Washington Redskins. Redskins blow, plain and simple. Remember the Eagles last season, they were floating along, tied the Bungles, Donovan was benched and then they went on a tear and made the NFC Championship game. We see a lot of similarities this season and think the Eagles are starting to turn the corner. The defense is still effective, banged up, but effective, and the D will not need to play its A game to stop the Skins. Westbrook is hurt but McCoy is learning the offense and is getting better each week. Donovan just led a 4th quarter comeback against the Bears and is getting more and more comfortable with his new line and offensive skill players. And we get back to the point that the Redskins suck. 9.5 points = no problem. We are betting the Eagles to win and cover!
Washington
  • Redskins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
  • Redskins are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
  • Redskins are 4-11-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
  • Redskins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Redskins are 4-13-4 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Redskins are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Philadelphia
  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 12.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
  • Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Eagles are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Seattle (-4) at St. Louis - This is the Runny Pelvis bet of the week. Rams are seriously banged up and are not very good. Seattle has actually won against the Rams 9 times in a row and Seattle is not even that good. Both of these teams have lost two in a row and we expect the Seahawks to be the team to break their losing streak. Not much to discuss here. Seahawks have also covered the last 5 times they have played the Rams. Seahawks win and cover!
Seattle
  • Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Seahawks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Seahawks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
St. Louis
  • Rams are 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Rams are 12-26-1 ATS in their last 39 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
  • Rams are 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Rams are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog.
  • Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Rams are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC West.
  • Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 12.

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-10.5) - Two opposites going on right here and we think we know these teams well with our Midwest connections. Vikes have won three in a row and covered three in a row and never really had a tough game. Bears have lost three in a row, not covered three in a row and the real Jay Cutler has shown himself. Josh McDaniels and Co. out in Denver do not look like such idiots now do they? We expect the Bears D to not show up, Cutler to throw picks at bad times and Favre to lead an impressive, efficient offense to victory. Vikings win and cover!

Chicago Bears

  • Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North.
  • Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
  • Bears are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
  • Bears are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Minnesota
  • Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
  • Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
  • Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
  • Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
  • Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
  • Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
  • Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
  • Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Minnesota.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-7) - No Big Ben, insert Dennis Dixon and this is why the line is Ravens -7. Never ever ever ever bet on a team throwing out a rookie QB in his first start on the road in Baltimore. Got it? This one is over before it even starts. We are all over the Ravens to win and cover!

Monday, November 30 , 2009

New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints (-1.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and we are pumped up for it. Last week, Flash hit up the Jets/Pats game in Masshole land and walked away with a stomach bug, literally Flash puked all night and on the plane (the smell was awesome) and a sense that New England, even in the win, is not that impressive. The Pats just have too much dependence on a few guys on offense and if the Jets had a non-emotional QB they could have had a chance. The Saints are undefeated and after not covering for three straight weeks broke out of their shell against the Bucs last week. We finally reversed our Saints jinx and won some cash on them and we look to do so again this week. We are betting the Saints to win and cover.

New England

New Orleans
  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
  • Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Saints are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Saints are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
  • Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
  • Saints are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Enjoy the Picks - Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Chicago Bears, Football, Free NFL Picks, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, NFL, NFL Picks, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Washington Redskins

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Comments

NFL Wrap up on the weekend. RPJ was 5-4 and is now 37-32 (53.6%) on the season. We won once again in our knockout pool with the Bungles. The underdog strategy came down to earth again and was only 6-10 and is now 89-84-2 (51.4%).

Comment by Flash Flash for the Cash on December 1, 2009 @ 12:09 pm
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