Free Winning NFL Picks: Week 8: Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner
We were 3-4 last week. Back to back losing efforts. Our season record now stands at 21-17. We think the gambling gods are after us after we had a 5-0 week two weeks ago. We look to get back on track this weekend.
RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. Straight cash homey!!!
The blowout games: Seattle at Dallas (-9.5) and Oakland at San Diego (-16.5) - Cowboys are back playing well and are at home. Chargers get to play the Raiders at home. We will not be fooled again. Raiders blow and we will never bet them to win a game this year. We are betting the Cowboys and Chargers to win and cover!
Miami at NY Jets (-3) - Revenge, revenge, revenge. The Jets are going to unleash hell this week. They tweaked the defense to handle and attack the Wildcat offense. Down in Miami they tried to finesse it and did not attack. Rex Ryan will know how to stop the Wildcat this time around and the Jets will stop the run and hold down Henne at home. Sanchez will get over hot dog gate and manage an effective game plan. We are betting the Jets to win and cover!
Miami
- Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Jets are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings.
- Dolphins are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York.
Minnesota at Green Bay (-3) - This is a Colin Cowherd lock of the week. Colin is 6-1 in his locks of the week, his only loss was picking Tennessee to beat the Jets. Last week he had Oregon State over USC. Here is his logic and we have to agree. We were all over this game. Minnesota has not had its bye yet this year and the Vikes are coming off tough, physical games against the Ravens and at Pittsburgh. The Vikes have not covered in those games. Since falling to Minnesota, Green Bay has won two in a row, two easy games, and has covered in both. 72% of the money is on the Vikings and this line has not moved. The betting public is remembering the 8 sack day the Vikes had the last time these two lined up. Favre will be emotional and the scene should be amazing. We think this is the perfect storm of the Vikings being beaten down, they need their bye and the Pack primed up for this game. Vikings are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against the Pack. We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!
Minnesota
- Vikings are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Vikings are 3-11-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Vikings are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Vikings are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
- Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8.
- Packers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC North.
- Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Packers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
Atlanta at New Orleans (-10.5) - This seems like a ton of points but the Saints are hot. They are undefeated against the spread and punishing everybody. The Falcons have only beaten one team on the road and it was a banged up 49ers team. They lost at Dallas and New England and did not cover in either of those games. The Saints are better than the Pats and the Cowboys and are punishing teams right now. 85% of the money is on the Saints and this line is moving up. Opened at -9 and is up to -11 in some books. The Saints have the #1 offense in the league and people think it is all about Brees and the passing game. Saints are actually the third best rushing team in the league and pound out 155 yards a game. New Orleans is nasty and we are not going to bet against them until the lose ATS. We are betting the Saints to win and cover!
Atlanta
- Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
- Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Falcons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
- Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 8.
- Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC South.
- Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
- Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Saints are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Saints are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite.
- Saints are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
- Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy is getting crushed. It was 2-10 last week against the spread and now sits at 45-56-1. Vegas is getting crushed right now with all of the bad teams out there. We actually heard that an old lady hit five 11 team parlays last week in Vegas last week with 5 different tickets. This strategy did have two good weeks in a row but has had its terrible weeks. We continue to monitor this but to not advise betting it.
Denver (+3.5) at Baltimore
Houston at Buffalo (+3.5)
Cleveland (+13) at Chicago
Seattle (+9.5) at Dallas
St. Louis (+4) at Detroit
San Francisco (+13) at Indianapolis
Miami (+3) at NY Jets
NY Giants at Philadelphia (+1)
Jacksonville (+3) at Tennessee
Oakland (+16.5) at San Diego
Carolina (+10) at Arizona
Minnesota (+3) at Green Bay
Atlanta (+10.5) at New Orleans
Knockout Strategy - The knockout strategy remains unbeaten. Hope you are still alive.
Week 1: New Orleans Saints
Week 2: Washington Redskins
Week 3: Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: Philadelphia Eagles
Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 6: New England Patriots
Week 7: San Diego Chargers
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