2009-2010 NCAA Football Bowl Kickoff: New Mexico, St. Petersburg and New Orleans Bowl Previews!

In terms of full disclosure we were 94-81-3 on the season picking NCAA football games. We are wiping the slate clean because bowl games are a completely different animal than the regular season and we think they are far more predictable. There are tried and true bowl betting strategies, like the underdog who gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense, that we will never sway from. We also have our own juju that we use to exploit the matchups. Remember, we have this website because we went 18-3 picking bowl games a few years ago and our friends begged us to publish our picks for all to see. We think the 2009-2010 Bowl season provides an unprecedented level of opportunity and we are ready to pounce. We are going to write up every single bowl game this year and we are going to tell you why you need to bet the game and/or why you need to watch the game. So lets get this money making party started!

Saturday December 19, 2009

New Mexico Bowl - Wyoming versus Fresno State (-10.5) - We love this matchup. Pat Hill’s team are nasty farm boys that always come to play and are always physical. Wyoming is in its first bowl in five years and will simply be happy to be here. Fresno State’s offense gets overlooked by conference rivals Boise State and Nevada, but Fresno State has one of the most solid rushing attacks in the country. Fresno State runs for 231.6 yards per game, a stat that certainly bodes well against Wyoming and a defense that gives up more than 170 yards per game, ranking outside the top 90. So why do you watch this game? For Ryan Mathews. Quietly, Fresno State running back Ryan Mathews rose to the top of the Football Bowl Subdivision statistical rankings. Mathews, who ran for more than 170 yards and three touchdowns against the Illini, leads the nation in rushing yards per game with 151.3. The junior averages more than one touchdown per game through 25 career games and has rushed for more than 2,600 yards, the fourth-most in school history. If the Cowboys hope to succeed in their goal of not only getting to a bowl, but winning it, they’ll need to do something they haven’t done all year — beat a team with a winning record. Yeah you read that right. UW has scored just one touchdown against such teams this season, and that came on a gadget play at Utah. Blowout city baby!!! We are all over Fresno State to win and cover!!

Wyoming

Fresno State
  • Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
St. Petersburg Bowl - Central Florida versus Rutgers (-3) - This is the first game in a long line of one of the most profitable betting strategies we have ever seen. Teams that are the underdog and give up less than 100 yards rushing on defense, win the games outright more than 70% of the time. Yes, you heard that right. One quick point to note, both teams can not be under 100 yards, only the underdog. Since we started this website, this strategy has never lost. We usually only see this strategy come into play 1-2 times per bowl season but this is the first of 6 games this year. So based on this simple strategy we are not even going to justify our pick with any other info. Just bet on it! We are taking Central Florida to cover!!!
Central Florida
  • Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Knights are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Knights are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Rutgers
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. CUSA.
  • Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
New Orleans Bowl - Middle Tennessee State versus Southern Miss (-3.5) - These teams look really similar when you line them up stat-wise. Same balanced offense, same balanced defense. One thing these teams do not have in common is bowl experience. Middle Tenn State is going to its second bowl game ever. Southern Miss always goes bowling, 8 straight years and 12 of 13, and even has players on its roster that are familiar with the New Orleans Bowl. The line looks deceptive at only -3.5 and you look at MTSU and see 9-3 SU and 9-3 ATS and it does make you go hmmmm. MTSU has won and covered 6 games in a row and Southern Miss is coming off a loss to ECU. However, Southern Miss has covered three in a row and almost took down Houston. Talent, coaching and experience have us leaning to Southern Miss and we have Flash Flash’s gut feeling for what that is worth. Flash loves betting teams with Golden in their names so he can bust out Golden Shower references. He is the sick of the group! We are taking Southern Miss to win and cover!
Your MTSU Blue Raiders!!!

Your MTSU Blue Raiders!!!

Middle Tennessee State
  • Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. CUSA.
  • Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
  • Blue Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
  • Blue Raiders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
  • Blue Raiders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
  • Blue Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Blue Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Southern Miss
  • Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. S-Belt.
  • Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Golden Eagles are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
The Perfect Ass for the Perfect Weekend!

The Perfect Ass for the Perfect Weekend!

Check back often. We will cover every single bowl game this year.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

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