NFL Wild Card Playoff Predictions: 4 Games, 4 Stories, 4 Toes and 4 Winners!
We love the NFL playoffs. We crushed them last season and we are taking our winning regular season record into the postseason. We are going to pick all 4 games for you and the trends are easy to spot. You do not stink it up the week before the playoffs against the same opponent and come out strong and you do not beat Tom Brady at home. We are mingling our picks with a Wild Card playoff salute to the Toe of the Camel. On with the picks…
Saturday, January 9, 2010
NY Jets at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) - You have to love the Cinderella kid Jets. Rex Ryan is calling them a Super Bowl team and playing the disrespect game. The Jets don’t get none! This line opened at Bungles -4 and is now down to -2.5 and during this time period 63% of the money is on the Bungles. Trap City!!! Do not fall for it. Vegas is begging for you to take the Bungles. The Bungles were the feel good team but have not been the same since Chris Henry died and the Jets have the perfect defense to counteract the Bungles offense. All the Jets need to do is stop the run, easy for them, and keep the ball out of OchoStinko’s hands, easy for Revis to do. The only X factor is the emotional, hot headedness of Mark Dirty Sanchez. If he can keep himself under control, the Jets win this easy. If Dirty gets too fired up and ahead of himself then he can easily throw 4 picks and blow the game. We think the combo of the Vegas trap and the Jets kryptonite effects on the Bungles will make for a straight up win. With that, we are definitely taking the Jets to cover! The story line here is definitely Mark Sanchez.
NY Jets
- Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in January.
- Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
- Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
- Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
- Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Jets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Jets are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Bengals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Bengals are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
- Bengals are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
- Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Bengals are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
- Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
- Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4) - Too much is being put into the Cowboys streaks in December and their inability to win postseason games and Wade Phillips track record as a coach. Well as we have seen after a Saints win and back to back shutouts….streaks are made to be broken. The Cowboys are hot right now and the reason is good old fashioned logic, The Cowboys play in the trenches on both sides of the ball. The o-line is holding up and the d-line is playing lights out. These two reasons make it easy to control the line of scrimmage, maximize play-action effectiveness and keep teams on their toes. Now the Eagles. They sucked last week. Showed they have no confidence in their running game and showed that Donovan is zeroed in on D-Jax. You take D-Jax out of the game, you take Donovan out of the game. We think the suckitude of Donovan McNabb is enough to warrant the Cowboys win at this point. Donovan might be playing his last game for the Birds and he knows it. The Philly fans are ready to throw him out of town after he threw his team under the bus again last week. He blamed their loss on the youth and inexperience of the team. How about you make an effing play now and again Donovan? How about you assuming the leadership position on the team? You would think it would be time for you to take responsibility and step up but noooooooo you just blame others and get spoon fed some Chunky soup from Mama McNabb. Try not to vomit on the star this weekend. Cowboys win and cover! The Eagles ATS record in these spots is terrifying. The story will be Donovan McNabb. Will he respond or will he choke?
Eagles
- Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
- Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff road games.
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
- Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games.
- Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.
- Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
- Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog.
- Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
- Eagles are 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Eagles are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games.
- Eagles are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games as a road underdog.
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. NFC.
- Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC East.
- Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in January.
- Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
- Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games.
Sunday, January 10, 2010
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-3) - The story here is simple and is two fold. Will the Patriots respond without W SQUARED (aka Wes Welker) and will anybody ever beat Brady at home in the playoffs. The answers are: They will respond just fine and this Baltimore Ravens team can not win in Gillette Stadium. We initially wanted to go against the Pats in this one but knew better. Here is what everyone thinks and why the money is leaning to the Ravens. The Pats do not have W squared, do not have a dominating defense, will face a Ravens team that will try and run the ball 10,000 times and are an uninspiring 10-6. Easy to bet against them. We however, know better. Brady will refuse to lose. The Pats are running the ball a lot more effectively and have a stable of fresh RBs. Randy Moss will show up to play. The Pats defense is good enough to beat the Ravens at home. We are not concerned in this round of the playoffs. Pats win and cover! We love the head-to-head ATS numbers.
Ravens
- Ravens are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ravens are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff road games.
- Ravens are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Ravens are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in January.
- Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Ravens are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
- Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Patriots are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. loss.
- Patriots are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Patriots are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
- Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Patriots are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Patriots are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
- Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
- Patriots are 0-2-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in January.
- Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England.
Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals (-1) - The story here is simple. Slim Shady style….will the real Cardinals please stand up. Green Bay crushed the Cards last week. Yes we know the Cards pulled their starters and the loser known as Matt Leinart attempted to play QB in the NFL. However, if you look at who the Cards have played in their last ten games it is amazing they are not a higher seed. The Cards were 6-4 over their last ten games with losses to Green Bay, San Fran, Tennessee and Carolina (but Carolina back on 11/1/2009 when they still sucked). The wins were against the Rams twice, Detroit, Seattle, Bears and the one real win was against the Vikings. So are they this good or did they have the luxury of a joke of a schedule that they still did not perform well under. Also, the Cards were 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games. Green Bay is on an 8 game tear with a 7-1 record and the only loss coming by one point, with no time left on the clock to Pittsburgh. The O-line has come around and the defense is vicious with Charles Woodson having one of the best years of his already impressive career. Aaron Rodgers is playing sick on third downs and in the red zone. Favre who? We think the real Cards are the ones with an injured Boldin and Rogers-Cromartie and the same team that had one big win in their last ten games. This Cards team is not good enough to beat one of the hottest teams in the NFL. We think the Packers win and we are betting the cover!
Green Bay
- Packers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Packers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Packers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
- Packers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Packers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Packers are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games.
- Packers are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Packers are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall.
- Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
- Packers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Wildcard games.
- Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
- Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in January.
- Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
- Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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We are getting cocky but 2-0 on Saturday. KACHING !!!!!