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NFL Week 4 Free Winning Picks: Lets make it three in a row!!!

RPJ was 3-2 for the second week in a row and is now 8-8 on the season. The knockout pool is now 3-0 and rolling along. The underdog strategy took a beating and was 5-11 last week and is now 21-26-1 on the season. Sunday, October 4, 2009

Don't fall victim to VEGAS!!!

Don’t fall victim to the Vegas Trap Games Trap Game #1

Detroit at Chicago (-10) - This is a fun game to look at and has that feel good story written all over it. Lions prevented themselves from being the second team to lose 20 games or more in a row and they should be applauded. The Lions are the emotional story for the week and Vegas knows it. This line has not moved at all and 70% of the money is on the Lions to cover. When it looks like a trap and smells like a trap….guess what? It is a trap game. The Bears won two nice games in a row and are coming home. We think this has blowout written all over it. Bears win and cover easily!!

Detroit

• Lions are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Lions are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Lions are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Lions are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Lions are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Bears are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in October.

Trap Game #2

• Giants are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Giants are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• Giants are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Giants are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
• Giants are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
• Giants are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
• Giants are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Giants are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Giants are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall.

Kansas City

• Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

• Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.

Denver

• Broncos are 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games on grass.
• Broncos are 13-29-1 ATS in their last 43 games overall.
• Broncos are 5-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
• Broncos are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win.
• Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
• Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

• Chargers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chargers are 14-5-3 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog.
• Chargers are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog.
• Chargers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
• Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
• Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chargers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chargers are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. AFC.

Pittsburgh

• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Monday, October 5, 2009

Green Bay at Minnesota (-3.5) - Minnesota might be 3-0 on the season but we do not think it is as good a 3-0 as the media experts think. Favre is really not doing much and has not been in a shoot out yet. The Vikings actually needed a second half to get A. Pete going last week against a physical 49ers team and they will face another, aggressive, physical team this weekend in Green Bay. Green Bay will look to run up the score early so they can force Favre into making bad, quick decisions. The Pack are still learning their new 3-4 D but they have the personnel to pull it off and their secondary is still grabbing INTs out there. We know this game will be close and we think the Pack might pull the upset. Aaron Rodgers will have extra motivation to show that the Packers made the right move when they dumped Favre. The ATS numbers look awesome in our favor. We are betting Green Bay to cover!!!

• Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
• Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Packers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Packers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
• Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
• Packers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 Monday games.

Minnesota

• Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
• Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
• Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
• Underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
• Road team is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings.

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy is 21-26-1. Not doing so hot. We might only keep with this for another 2-3 weeks to see if it is worth tracking. Underdogs are in bold:

Detroit (+10) at Chicago

Cincy at Cleveland (+6)

Oakland (+9.5) at Houston

Week 2: Free NFL Winning Picks and Jessica Simpson has had a bad year!

Based on our three systems this is how we fared last week. RPJ went into the Monday Night Football games at 2-2 and then lost the Pats and Chargers so we finished up at 2-4. The “Bet the Underdog Only Strategy” was 7-8-1. We won our New Orleans knockout week 1 knockout pick so we get to pick in Week 2. There will be a one prominent theme this week and next week and that is the “We can not play a home game in Week 2 that sets us up to be 0-2 after this weekend or 0-3 next weekend” There is one really desperate team this week and we will get to that in RPJ’s picks. There are such great plot lines in the NFL right now; we are loving it. How is Donovan McNabb physically and mentally, Are the Pats really back with Brady, how bad a year is Jessica Simpson having as a result of affiliating herself with Tony Romo, and on and on…..

Sunday, September 20, 2009

RPJ $yndicate Picks - Last week we were 2-4 after getting crushed (0-2) on Monday Night football.

New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (+1) - Well we hate betting against home dogs but this is a rare case. Donovan McNabb is not going to play. We can read through Andy Reid’s gimmicky news confereces. McNabb is soft and will never gut it out this early in the season. That leaves Kevin Kolb, who has shown absolutely nothing, and Jeff Garcia, who is on two days worth of practice. It does look like the Eags defense has not dropped off with the horrible death of Jim Johnson but will that be enough. NO! We just do not think the Eagles will score enough to keep up with the Saints because the Saints will get their points. With only a one point line we are happy to go with Brees & Co. The ATS numbers are a bit scary and very against the Saints but have faith. We are betting the Saints to win and Cover!!!

New Orleans

• Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Saints are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
• Saints are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

• Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Eagles are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Eagles are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Eagles are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog.
• Eagles are 9-4-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
• Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head

• Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

New England at NY Jets (+3.5) - This is a terrifying game. The line opened up Pats -4.5 and has been moved down to Pats -3.5 even though 65% of the money is on the Pats. We always express concern with these reverse logic situations cause Vegas knows. Here are the story lines for this game as we see them. 1) Mark Sanchez was awesome in Week 1 and this is his first home game. Since we are USC homers, we know Sanchez is emotionally wound up and we expect him to start slow and make bad decisions right out of the gate. 2) Jets are talking smack. Never ever talk smack to the Pats. They take it personally and always respond with their best effort. 3) Jets defense looked great against Houston but this is Brady and the Pats. They know how to play it. 4) Pats D will play better than last week and look to put Sanchez off his game early. We think too many of these factors lead to a solid 7-10 point Pats win. We are betting the Patriots to win and cover!! Yes Wizard we are taking the Pats again. Guess your Jets reverse RPJ bet is a lock of the year!

New England

• Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.
• Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Patriots are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Patriots are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as a road favorite.
• Patriots are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Patriots are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.
• Patriots are 45-21-3 ATS in their last 69 games on grass.
• Patriots are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. AFC East.
• Patriots are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

This sign is directed at you Mr. Tom Brady!!!

• Jets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 2.
• Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York.
• Patriots are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
• Favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
• Road team is 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.

At least you are hitting this chick Mark cause you are in for a long day!

Arizona at Jacksonville (-3) - We call this the Arizona can not travel East and win or play well game. Minus the Jake Delhomme freak show in the playoffs last year this is what we saw last year: at Washington for a 24-17 loss; at NY Jets for a 56-35 loss; at Carolina for a 27-23 loss; at St. Louis for a 34-13 WIN; at Philly for a 48-20 loss and at NEw England for a 47-7 loss. Get the picture. Tie this in with a Super Bowl hangover and KACHING!!!! We are betting the Jags to win and cover!!!

Arizona

• Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Cardinals are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

• Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jaguars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Pittsburgh at Chicago (+3) - This is the must win, desperation game we were talking about. Throw in the fact that the line opened at Bears +3 and 95% of the money is on the Steelers and we are chomping at the bit to get in on this action. Here is what we know. 1) The Steelers can not run the ball a lick and will definitely have a tough time against the Bears 2) No Troy Palamaulo 3) The Bears almost won the game last week against the Pack, on the road, without Urlacher and with Cutler throwing 4 INTs 4) Cutler is not as bad as everybody says 5) Pack showed that you can disrupt the BEars offense by taking Olsen and Forte out of the game. The Bears know they need to make adjustments and slimmed things down this week for Cutler and the young WRs. When we look at all of this we think it screams take Chicago to win and we get 3 points. We are betting the Bears to cover!!!

• Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Steelers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Steelers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Steelers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Steelers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 2.
• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

Bears

• Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Bears are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 2.
• Bears are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
• Bears are 4-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bears are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Bears are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Bears are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Bears are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Hey Jay!!! We can not afford another choke job this week!

NY Giants at Dallas (-3) - This is definitely the Jessica Simpson had a bad week game. Not sure if you caught it but a wild coyote attacked Simpson’s dog, killed it and ate it in front of her. Check this out: Jessica Simpson’s Dog Snatched by Coyote. Not sure what to make of the Cowboys yet. They did not win impressively against Tampa Bay last week even though the end results and stats look good. Hard to explain but you had to watch the game. Romo hurt his ankle. Emotions will be high for the first regular season game in the new stadium. On the flip side, the Giants stormed out of the gate and then got lazy and dropped a lot of passes. However, the Giants defense is still sick, especially on the D-line where they rotated in 8 different players. This is going to be a close to the vest game. Both teams are not good ATS against the NFC East. Cowboys might have the slight edge playing at home but with a 3 point line, Vegas is telling us it values these teams equally. With a gimpy Romo plus the points, we are leaning NY. We are betting the NY Giants to cover!!!

NY Giants

• Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
• Giants are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Giants are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Giants are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2.
• Giants are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.
• Giants are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
• Giants are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Giants are 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 vs. NFC.
• Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East.

• Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
• Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Cowboys are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.
• Cowboys are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC East.

Underdog Strategy - Just to recap this strategy, we are literally tracking what would happen if you bet on every underdog every week. Last week this strategy was 7-8-1. All of the lines are below and the teams in bold are the underdog.

Carolina at Atlanta (-6.5)

St. Louis at Washington (-10)

Houston at Tennessee (-6.5)

New Orleans at Philadelphia (+1)

New England at NY Jets (+3.5)

Oakland at Kansas City (-3)

Arizona at Jacksonville (-3)

Cincy at Green Bay (-9.5)

Minnesota at Detroit (+10)

Tampa Bay at Buffalo (-5)

Seattle at San Fran (-1)

Pittsburgh at Chicago (+3)

Cleveland at Denver (-3)

Baltimore at San Diego (-3)

NY Giants at Dallas (-3)

Indy at Miami (+3)

Knockout Pool Pick - Last week we went with New Orleans and were rewarded. This week we are coming back with Washington at home against the Rams. It took awhile for the Skins to get going last week but they showed some life in the second half. We expect a much better showing on the offensive side against the Rams and we know their D is solid.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Flash Flash

2008 Week 12 Free NFL Winning Picks: The Return of Runny and Road Team Covers

Well Runny is fighting to get back to picking after his one game self-imposed ban. RPJ $yndicate is 16-18 on the season, Flash Flash is 9-6 on the season and Runny Pelvis is 14-25-1. RPJ had a bad week last week but as you can see with our NCAA picks, we can rebound and go on a serious run and we have thrown down undefeated NFL weekends as high as 6-0 this season. On with the picks. Of course we are going to show you some ass. Don’t you worry.

Adriana Lima = Money in the Bank!

RPJ $yndicate Picks

New England at Miami (Pick ‘EM)- Revenge is a bitch. People always say that revenge is never a factor. When they say that they are either flat out liars or born on Mars and YES it does apply in the NFL, and doubley so when you are embarassed in your own building with some freaky ass Wildcat offense. Think about this season right now. If we could tell you that New England was tied with Miami in the standings, looking up at the Jets and one of these two teams had to win this game to keep up or tie the Jets in the standings….who do you bet on? Answer to yourself. Then we tell you that the Patriots are a pick ‘em in this very scenario. Does it stop to make you think? Well we are. This is also a true line, as far as we can tell, almost 90% of the money is on the Pats and the line has moved from -3 to -1 or pick em depending on what you can get. Here are the ATS numbers:

Pats

• Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Patriots are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. loss.
• Patriots are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Patriots are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games.
• Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Patriots are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC East.
• Patriots are 43-21-3 ATS in their last 67 games on grass.

Fins

• Dolphins are 12-31-1 ATS in their last 44 home games.
• Dolphins are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Dolphins are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 vs. AFC East.
• Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Throw in the fact that the road team is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings and we think you know where we are going with this. Pats have revenge, anger coming off a loss to the Jets at home, 3 days extra rest, Belichik and Matt Cassel who just happened to lead his team to 400 passing yards, 60 yards rushing, a 4th quarter game tying comeback all in his last start. Yes, we know the pats are injured on both sides of the ball and do not have a real RB. But did you know that the Pats actually run for more yards per game than the Fins. Bet you didn’t! We are taking the Pats to cover and win outright.

Carolina at Atlanta (-1) - Panthers have been winning ugly but the key is they have been WINNING and they are looking to win their 4th straight road game. Carolina has not lost in Atlanta since 2004. This is make or break time for Atlanta with 3 of their next 4 games against division opponents. Carolina has won 4 in a row and is one game up on Tampa and 2 up on Atlanta. John Fox and his team know how important this game is. Atlanta is too young to comprehend what the NFL is all about come the end of November. Here are the ATS numbers:

Panthers

• Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
• Panthers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Panthers are 41-19-1 ATS in their last 61 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Falcons

• Falcons are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Falcons are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Falcons are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 12.
• Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC South.

Head-to-Head

• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Well that about does it. Rookie QB versus the Panthers D in a game that means a heck of a lot more to the Panthers. Panthers know they need to keep their lead and keep up with the #2 spot to get a bye in the playoffs. Falcons are just along for the ride. We are taking the Panthers to cover and we are sure they win!

Runny Pelvis Picks

NY Jets at Tennessee(-5.5): The Titans have been a HUGE surprise this year. So have the Jets. If you told me at the start of the year that at the end of November the Titans would be undefeated and the Jets would be in 1st place, I would have punched you in the face for spreadin’ lies. But, that is where we find ourselves. The Titans have been cover demons this year, and I like them to cover in this one. Why? Two words: Brett Favre. He has been playing with the house’s money for about years now. This week he goes into Tennessee to face the AFC’s best team, and arguably, the best D he has faced all year. The Titans know how to play D. They force turnovers and they will do the same this week. Favre will turn the ball over too much. Titans will win and cover.

Texans @ Browns (OVER 50.5): This is a lot of points to score in a NFL game, but these teams cannot stop anyone. I think they can put their heads together and make it a debacle. The weather is going to be terrible. It will be sloppy. That probably lends itself to taking the Under, but I have faith in how terrible these teams are. I’m taking the OVER 50.5.

49ers @ Cowboys (-9.5):If it was 15 years ago, this game would be the game of the year.But, it is 2008 and these teams are major disappointments. I like the Boys at home this week. Romo has his legs under him and he has had another week to work with Roy Williams. I think they are due for a solid offensive output game. They key to this game, however, is how solid the Boys D has been in recent weeks. They should shut down the 49ers. Although the Boys have a tendency to play down to teams, I think they will pull out the cover. I’m taking the Boys-9.5.

Runny’s Quadruple Trap Special:This is the debut of the Quadruple Trap Special!! I spotted four games this week where Vegas is trying to lure you into their clutches. Don’t fall for the trap!! Here are the games:

1). Bears @ Rams (+7.5): Don’t ask questions. Take the Rams and the points.

2). Giants @ Cards (+3): Again, don’t ask questions. Take the Cards and the points.

3). Raiders @ Broncos (+9): After the week one game, this is begging you to take the Broncos. That is not even the trap! Trust me. Take the Raiders and the points.

4). Buccaneers @ Lions (+8): The grand finale!! Take the Lions and the points.

Flash Flash Picks

Sorry folks. I got nothing today after my 1-1 MNF game.

RPJ $yndicate Boob shot of the week!

Get your Fun Bags! Big Juicy Fun Bags!!!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash Flash and Runny

2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage

Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season,  RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!

Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.

Eva Mendes is always a "Winning" choice!

RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)

Game 1

Jessica Biel needed to return to us!

Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.

Game 2

Talk About Golden Globes!! Katherine Heigl sports some round mounds of fun!

Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.

Game 3

Lindsay Lohan's Lesbian toys!

Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.

Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)

Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!

Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)

Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.

Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!

Just lovely!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

2008 WEEK 8 FREE NFL WINNING PICKS and Tig Ole Bitties!!!

RPJ had a winning week last week and just like in NCAA we are sitting around 500. RPJ $yndicate is 10-10 on the season, Runny Pelvis is 13-15-1 on the season and Flash is 5-3. We could have been 3-0 last week but Seattle backdoored us with less than two minutes to go. Flash is still pissed about it and to try and make him feel better we are going to flash a bunch of nice breasts here to take his mind off of it.

Monica Belucci - A Runny favorite!

Why not show one more set of round mounds before the picks.

Katherine Heigl should show more skin!

RPJ $yndicate Picks (10-10 On the Season)

Atlanta at Philadelphia (-9): This is a ton of points to give a hot team. No doubt Matt Ryan was worth Atlanta’s 1st round pick. He pulled a great win out of his hat last game against the Bears at home. The Bears have a solid D, too. Very, very impressive. The key to this game, however, will be the effect of the bye on the Eagles. We think it helps them HUGE-maybe more so than any other team in the league. It gives them added rest, and, most importantly, it gets Westbrook back. That cannot be under stated. Reid is a great coach and he will have the Iggles prepared. They will be riding the wave of the Phillies’ win. FACTS: Iggles are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at home against the Falcons. Take the Iggles -9.

Washington at Detroit (+7.5):This game is pretty easy to figure-the Lions are TERRIBLE. Way worse than the Fins last year. They will get pummeled in this one. Orlovsky is not a NFL QB. Calvin Johnson excluded, they have no threats on offense (averaging less than 100 yards rushing per game). Their D is suspect (they allowing nearly 5 yards per rush on D). The Skins will grind them down and roll to an easy win. FACTS: Skins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 against the Lions. Take the Skins -7.5.

Giants @ Pittsburgh (-3):Both teams are outstanding and very evenly matched. That is why we love the Dof in this one. Plus, the Steelers are a mess with the Holmes suspension and their injuries. It will be close. Take the Giants +3.

Flash’s Picks (5-3 On the Season): Nothing this Sunday. Check back with us tomorrow for our Monday Night action.

Runny’s Picks (13-15-1)

Cinncy @ Houston (-9), OVER/UNDER 45:If you read our blog, you will know we have no respect for the Bungles. I think they may be the worse franchise in sports history. Absolutely terrible. But, every Dog has its day. I think the Bungles get it done this week. They will probably lose, but they will make it a game. Fitzpatrick is slowly improving and they may finally have a running game with Cedric Benson. On the Texans side of the ball, their D is TERRIBLE. May be worse than the Bungles’. Again, that may not be enough for thge Bungles to win, but it is enough to keep it close. I’m taking the Bungles and the Points. Also, as noted, the Texans have a terrible D. So do the Bungles. It will be high scoring. Weather will not be a factor. Take the OVER 45.

Chargers @ Saints (+3): The Saints are still their enigma selves-at times they are brilliant, while at others they are terrible. One thing for sure is they have absolutely no D. None. Add that to the facts that two of their players tested positive for juice and their best offensive weapon, Reggie Bush, is out. I don’t give the Saints much of a chance. The Chargers have been called out in the press for not being tough. They will rebound this week. look for a HUGE game from LT. Take the Chargers -3.

Chiefs @ Jets (-14): This is a ton of points, but there are clear reasons for this line. The biggest two are that the Chiefs are forced to ride with their 3rd string QB again and they suspended LJ. Colby Smith cannot get it done for this team on the road. Favre will be looking for redemption for his terrible play last week in Oakland. Take the Jets in a blowout.

RPJ Breast Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

NBA PLAYOFF PICKS: DAY 4

Disappotining 1-1 last night brought our playoff record to 6-4. Not bad, but we haven’t had a losing night yet. How bad are the Wizards?!?!!?!? They are getting beat one man. Granted, that one man is LeBron, but still. Terrible showing. Anyway, on to tonight’s games. Here’s our picks:

Suns +2 @ Spurs: On paper, Game One looked like the Spurs barely won. However, watching that game was not dramatic at all. Even with Nash’s shot to tie….you just knew the Spurs had it handled. However, that said, the Suns stil covered. They played poorly and still got it done ATS. We LOVE that!! We are riding them again. Take the Suns +2.

Raptors @ Magic -6: Magic showed they are clearly the better team. They decimate them in game 2. Take the Magic -6.

Mavs +3.5 @ Hornets: Hornets spanked them pretty good in Game One. However, the Mavs shot only 33%. They won’t do that again. They had a huge lead in Game One and let it slip away. They won’t make the same mistakes again. Avery Johnson called out Dampier. Good. It was needed. Mavs cover and win. Take the Mavs +3.5.

Good luck!

Runny & Flash

WEEK 17 NFL PICKS: SUNDAY

2008 is almost upon us, but we still have a lot of work to do in 2007. Congrats to the Patriots on their perfect season, but F them for not covering for us-haha! The Pats loss ATS dropped our season record to 61-54-1. We know that sucks and we apologize. No time is better to get off the schneid than right now. Here is what we like on Sunday (sorry for the lack of explanations):

Lions +3.5 @ Packers: Packers are set for the playoffs. The Lions ar pobably playing for Mike Martz’s jo. Take the points. Lions +3.5.

Vikings -3 @ Broncos: Broncos are terrible and the Vikings are playing for the palyoffs. Take the Vikings -3.

49ers +11.5 @ Browns: Browns are playing for the playoffs and the 49ers are terrible. Exact same situation as the Vik-Broncos, but this is too many points. We like what we’ve seen from the 49ers these past few weeks. Take the points. 49ers +11.5.

Saints +1 @ Bears: Saints need this win to make the playoffs. The Bears are starting Kyle Orton. ‘Nuff said. We love the points. Saints +1.

Jags +7 @ Texans: Jags are set for the playoffs so they won’t be playing their starters. That said, we stll think their D and their 2nd string is still better than the Texans. Jags +7.

Cowboys +9 @ Skins: No starters for the Boys this week and if the Skins win, they are in the playoffs. However, Brad Johnson is a real decent back-up. He can still beat the Skins. This is too many points. Take the Boys +9.

Bengals -2.5 @ Fins: Fins are just bad. Take the Bungles -2.5.

Good luck.

Runny & Flash

NFL WEEK 15 PICKS: MONDAY NIGHT MADNESS

We are ready for some football! Another glorious Monday of football is upon us. It is amazing how fast the NFL season is flying by. We had a disappointing Sunday-going 4-5 and bringing our season record to 58-46-1. However, we do like Monday night’s game. Here is our take:

Bears +10.5 @ Vikings: The Bears are in shambles and look to Kyle Orton to salvage what’s left of their season. Orton has started games in the past, but it has been some time since he has seen meaningful playing time. All signs indicate that he has had a great week of practice and he seems to have used his time on the bench to know the offense cold. He will need all of his wits tonight as he looks to upset the heavily favored Vikings and their ferocious D. Pat Williams and Ken Williams have been monsters in the middle of that Vikings line. They should cause a lot of problems for Orton and the Bears offense.

However, the key to this game will be stopping Adrian Peterson and Tavaris Jackson. If the Bears can do that, they have a shot. Lately, they have not been able to stop anyone and the last time they saw Peterson, he crushed them. We think he will have another good game, but we think the Bears learned a lesson from the 49ers last week. The 9ers were able to make Peterson a non-factor. The Bears will do the same. We also think Jackson will come back down to earth. he is not as good as he has been. We think his play will balance itself out.

Ultimately, we think the Vikings will win. We just think the Bears will keep it close. Take the Bears +10.5.

NFL WEEK 15: CAN’T WAIT ‘TIL SATURDAY!!!!!

Full steam ahead for the NFL now!!! Games are now on Monday’s, Thursday’s, Saturday’s and Sundays!!! That is what we are talkin’ about!! Disappointing start for us for the week with Thursday’s loss. We should have known better than to take the Broncos-we fell for the Vegas trap. We should have known Vegas had us when the line shifted from Houston being favored to the dog. It was a lesson we learned-we will not make that mistake again.

With the loss on Thursday, our season record stands at 54-40-1. Here is what we like today:

Bengals -8 @ 49ers: The Bengals head out West to face a struggling 49ers team. The Bengals are a mess, but the 49ers are, too. The 49ers have had terrible QB play all season. Alex Smith appears to be a bust. He is out. So is Dilfer. Getting the starting nod today is Shaun Hill. It is the same Shaun Hill who has been a back-up the past 6 seasons. He looked pretty darn good filling in for Dilfer last week ( going 22-for-27 and throwing a touchdown pass to Arnaz Battle) and all indicators say he has had an excellent week of practice. Maybe he will be better than any QB the 49ers have had this season?

Or, maybe he will be just as bad? We think it is the later. The Bengals have been TERRIBLE all year. Very inconsistent. Very disappointing. At times it seems as though they have quit. However, they are playing better now. Last week they put up 19 on a very solid Rams D.  The week before that they lost badly to the Steelers, but that game was played in terrible weather. They did seem to quit in that game, but the week before that they SPANKED a Titans team that may make the playoffs. Overall, their play over the past few weeks has been a snapshot of their season-at times they play like everyone thought they would and at other times, they have been terrible. We think the better Bengals team shows up this week.

The 49ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Bengals are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. We think those trends continue today. We like the Bengals to cover. Take the Bengals -8.

NFL WEEK 14 PICKS

Another Thursday night winner for us in the Skins-Bears brings our record to 45-36-1. We are getting where we need to be. Week 14 is the week of the road favorite. Generally, in picking NFL games it is usually bad to go with road favorites. However, this week we like a few. Here is what we like for Sunday’s action:

Vikings -8.5 @ 49ers: This is a lot of points for the Vikings to give on the road. However, they have Adrian Peterson and they are on the road to face a terrible 49ers team. With all the credit that Adrian Peterson gets (all of it is deserved-if this kid does not win the ROY and MVP this year it will be highway robbery), the Vikings D should get some. They are flying under the radar with their play. They will strut their stuff this weekend against the 49ers. Look for heavy doses of Adrian Peterson and a lot of attacks on D. It will be a close cover, but we like the Vikings. Take the Vikings -8.5.

Cowboys -11 @Lions; OVER/UNDER 50.5: Another heavy road favorite. The Cowboys head north to the Motor City to face a struggling Lions team. Historically, the Lions have done well against the Cowboys. Will the Lions get their 10 wins? Unlikely, but if they do, they need to win this game. They won’t. The Cowboys have had 10 days to prepare for a game that is flying under the public’s radar, but not the radar of the Boys’ D. The Lions SPANKED them last year in Big D. The Boys are looking for payback. T-New and Bradie James have already come out with threats. They are focused and looking for blood. They will cover. Take the Cowboys -11. That said, the Boys D is vulnerable. Especially to the pass. With Roy Williams out for the Lions, it will limit their air attack. It won’t shut it down. The Lions will be able to score. Take the OVER 50.5. 

Browns -3.5 @ Jets: Another road favorite. The Browns roll into NY/NJ to face a Jets team fresh off a beatdown of Miami. That beatdown was a fluke. The Jets are not a good team right now and they are hurt. The Browns win easy and cover. Take the Browns -3.5.

Panthers @ Jags -10.5: This is a lot of points. The Panthers threw up some points last week against the 49ers. However, the 49ers are bad. The Jags are not. They played the Colts close and don’t have as much injuries as the Panthers. We like the Jags to roll. Take the Jags -10.5.

Rams @ Bengals -9.5: Brock Berlin gets the starting nod for the Rams this week. That’s right…Brock Berlin. We remember him from his U days. He was terrible then. We are giving him no credit this weekend. Despite the Rams having a solid D, and the Bungles being the softest team in the league, we think Cinncy rolls at home. Take the Bungles -9.5.

Chargers -1 @ Titans: Another road favorite. The Chargers have been TERRIBLE ATS in their past 8 road games. The Titans are a completely different team with Haynesworth back. That said, he is still a little banged-up. He will play, but will his hammy hold-up. We don’t think he will be effective enough to stop LT. The Chargers are playing better and can cover. Take the Chargers -1.

Steelers @ Patriots -10.5: Probably the game of the week. Nearly EVERYONE thinks the Steelers will be the team to upset the Pats. Every analyst waxes on and on about how good the Steelers will run the ball and how great their D is. However, they are a completely different road team. They lost to the Jets for goodness sakes. The teams they did beat do not have the Pats arsenal, and they have lost to some terrible teams. The Pats haven’t lost to anyone. Also, pay attention to this spread. Despite all the hype and all the money in Vegas going to the Steelers this week, the Steelers are still a double digit dog. Vegas knows. Take the Pats -10.5.

There you go. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash