ACC
2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!
We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:
1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.
2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.
3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.
We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..
Monday December 28, 2009
Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)
Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)
Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)
Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)
Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)
Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)
Friday January 1, 2010
Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)
Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)
Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)
Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)
Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)
Saturday, January 2, 2010
International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)
Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)
Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)
Monday January 4, 2010
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!
Thursday, January 7, 2010
BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
If you like what you see, like our picks and like our free analysis tools, we would appreciate it if you signed up through our website to use Bodog as your betting vehicle of choice. We love Bodog and have never had any issues getting our money out. The same can not be said for BetUs, Sportbook and other sites so bettor be warned!!!
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!
We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.
A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.
If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.
In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.
Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.
FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)
This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)
Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.
Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)
Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.
FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)
We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).
Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)
Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!
EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)
Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.
New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)
The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!
Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)
The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.
MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)
We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)
This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)
We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)
1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!
2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?
Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)
We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.
Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)
We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?
Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)
Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)
We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.
PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)
Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?
Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)
We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!
Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)
This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.
Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)
Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!
Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)
These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.
Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m. Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)
Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)
How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!
Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)
This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.
Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)
Now this is a picture.
You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.
Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)
Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.
Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)
We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.
Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)
Caprice Bourret - Yes Please!
We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.
Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)
More Caprice!
Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.
Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)
Jennifer Ellison looks delicious!
This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6
East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)
Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.
AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)
Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.
International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)
This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!
GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET Mobile, Ala. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC
Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)
More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.
Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 15 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Last Temptation of…….Betting NCAA Regular Season Saturdays
Religion and football do not mix. Where do you think we were going with that title? We will not know our records yet because we still have action going on with the Buffalo/Ball State game.
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It's Britney Bitch!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (46-52-2 and we have Ball State pending)
Navy at Army (+10.5) - This is the first HUH line of the day. This is a bizarre weekend for lines and we do not get it. More on this later. Why is this spread 10.5 points. We would expect it to be at least 20. Navy has destroyed Army for 6 straight years and continues to be the more elite team of the two. The average score over these six years was 40-12. Navy is coming off a nice road shutout of Northern Illinois and Army is mired in a 3-8 season with not much to talk about. Army even lost to Hampshire…..by 18 POINTS!!! Here are the ATS numbers:
Navy
Army
Head-to-Head
We do not expect this game to be close and the 6 year average of 40-12 is a likely outcome. We are taking Navy to win and cover!
Cinncy at Hawaii (+7.5) - Another HUH line! We think this is just a strange week because we expected this line to be in the 14-15 point range and we get to take it at 7 points. Yee haw!!! We love games like this. Cincy is physical, runs for more yards per game, gives up less running yards per game and turns the ball over less. This means they can control the clock and the game. Coach Brian Kelly has stated that he loves Cincy and is coming back next year so that got rid of that distraction. Also, this line opened at 3.5 and is now up to 7 so we know the movement is legit. Check out the ATS numbers:
Cincy
- Bearcats are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bearcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bearcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
Hawaii
- Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
We do not think this game will be close. Take Cincy to win and cover!
Boston College at Virginia Tech (pick em and UNDER 37.5) - For the second straight season, Boston College and Virginia Tech are meeting in the ACC championship game with a spot in the Orange Bowl on the line. We think this is going to line up exactly like last year as well. BC wins the regular season game, Va. Tech wins the championship game. The 28-23 game earlier this season was ugly; BC had 5 turnovers and Va. Tech had two defensive TDs. MIracle BC won in the first place. The Hokies rank sixth in the Football Bowl Subdivision in total defense (274.5 yards per game), while Boston College is eighth (276.7 ypg). One big difference in this game is the loss of BC’s QB, Chris Crane. Crane broke his collar bone on November 22 and is being replacedby a red shirt freshmen. That fact alone makes us love Va. Tech. You have ridden us to victory betting on the Va. Tech UNDER and of course we are coming back to it this week. oth teams struggle on offense and have NFL talent on defense. Here are the ATS numbers:
BC
Va. Tech
Head-to-Head
Pretty mixed bag of results. We love the UNDER play for obvious reasons. Va. Tech has gone under in 4 straight games and the trend will continue. Va. Tech has been in every single game this year and have the revenge factor on their side. We are taking Virginia Tech to win/cover and we are going to ride the UNDER one more time!
USC at UCLA (+32.5) - yeah this looks stupid just like it did with 30 points against Notre Dame and 40+ points against Washington State but guess what? All of those games covered. The crazier the better for USC. This game is comical. Pete Carroll is sending his team out in home jerseys at the Rose Bowl (UCLA’s home stadium) for the first time since 1982. He was also willing to do this even if it meant giving up 2 timeouts, one per half. The ruling came back that the The Men of Troy only have to give up one but how arrogant is that. It is awesome if it works and the worst coaching decision of all time (playing Booty with a broken hand against Stanford last year wins right now) if it fails. Not much to say about this game. The Trojans lead the nation in scoring defense (7.8 points per game) and total defense (210.6 yards per game). The Trojans have allowed only 10 touchdowns in 11 games. No team in the country has given up fewer points per game in any of the last 13 seasons. The Bruins rank 110th in total offense (294.7) and 107th in scoring (18.6 ppg). UCLA’s QB has thrown 12 INTs and no TDs in his last 4 games and last week UCLA lost bad and did not give up an offensive TD….but they gave up four to the defense. The ATS numbers do not even matter in this game. USC will crush UCLA. We are taking the Trojans to win and cover!!! Keyshawn predicted a 63-3 final on The Herd today and we love that prediction!
Missouri “Paper” Tigers versus Oklahoma Sooners (-17) - This is a monster spread for a championship game but we are not afraid. Oklahoma is that good and they dominate every statistical category we track heads up against Mizzou. We do not even like what we hear coming out of the Missouri camp. Chase Daniel is talking about how they are no playing well and are waiting to play a perfect game and blah blah blah. They have no chance. Mizzou is not as physical and has one of the worst passng defenses in the nation. Mizzou was not able to stop Kansas and they sure won’t be able to stop Oklahoma. Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS on the season and will continue to roll with a healthy DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown this team runs a lot more than people think and will really wear out Mizzou. Here are the ATS numbers:
Missouri
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Oklahoma
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Sooners are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
This is not the week to bet against Oklahoma. All signs point in their direction. We think Oklahoma can win this game in Texas Tech fashion. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
Florida (-10) a versus Alabama - Huh? Double huh, huh? Alabama is the number one rated team in the country and they are 9.5 point dogs. Are you kidding us? Alabama ranks third in the Bowl Subdivision in scoring defense (11.5 ppg) and total defense (248.5 yards per game), and is eighth in time of possession (32:32). While Alabama has won primarily by keeping opponents out of the end zone, Florida (11-1, 7-1) boasts the nation’s third-highest scoring offense. The Gators average 46.3 points, and with Tim Tebow looking as sharp as ever, they’ve put up an average of 53.7 while winning each of their last seven games by at least four touchdowns. What Florida can rely on this season that it couldn’t in 2007 is a strong defense. Though the Gators offense is the unit garnering national recognition, their defense - like the Tide’s - is in the top 10 in the FBS in scoring defense (12.3 ppg) and total defense (275.7). Florida also has forced 32 turnovers, third-most in the country. This will be the 40th time the AP’s top two teams have met, with No. 1 holding a 23-15-1 edge. This is the first 1-2 matchup in a conference championship game. Here are the ATS numbers:
Alabama
Florida
Head-to-Head
Those head-to-head numbers are interesting. Here is how we see this game shaking out and our true thoughts on the teams and yes, you SEC homers will hate us for it. These are two of the most overrated teams in college football right now. Alabama has played the 88th hardest schedule in D-1 football and Florida has played only two teams that are currently ranked in the top 25 and they lost to one of them. We had to stick it to the SEC at least once in this post. Ha ha. Oh yeah, and the SEC only has 4 teams in the top 35 in the Sagarin rankings. This game will probably be more low scoring than people think. Both teams will look to run but with Cody in the middle, Florida will have a tough time running through that Alabama defense. With the loss of Percy Harvin, Florida will have even more trouble running their “dynamic” offense. It does not matter that the game is on turf, both teams have speed on both sides of the ball. So to us, Florida’s offense is overated because they have not played anybody and Alabama’s defense is underrated. Put the two together and you get a low scoring game. Alabama is white bread and plan vanilla. They play smash mouth, running football and John Parker Wilson is efficient enough to pull off the play action pass. We think this game will be close, a lot closer than 9.5 points and do not be surprised if Alabama wins outright. Remember, only two teams smacked Florida in the mouth this year….Ole Miss, which beat them and Miami, which kept it a lot closer than the score indicated. Florida is ripe for the picking. We are taking Alabama to cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (32-36-1 on the season)
Pitt at UCONN (-2.5) : Pitt is playing well (finally). They finally have a good blend of pass and run. The thing that sticks out to me is their D. They are playing extremely wll andschmopped an explosive WVA team last week in the Backyard Brawl. UConn, although at home, does not have WVA’s firepower. I love Pitt getting points. I’m taking Pitt to cover.
South Florida at West Virginia (-7) : The Bulls are terrible on the road-very much so against Big East teams. WVA needs a win this week to salvage some respect for their season. I think this is a pretty easy one. I’m taking WVA to cover.
Arizona State at Arizona (-10.5): I’m not a fan of either team, but in civil war games like these where the teams are pretty evenly matched, I’m taking the points. Zona will win, but ASU can keep it within 10.5. I’m taking ASU and the points.
Flash Flash Picks (24-16-3 on the season)
East Carolina at Tulsa (-11.5) - I think I have lost every single game that I have bet on Tulsa this year and that flat out pisses me off. I pick the UNDER and they go OVER, I pick the OVER and they go UNDER, I pick them to win and cover and they lose outright. Well call me crazy but I am betting on these crazy bastards once again. Here is why I like it. Tulsa is 7-4 ATS on the season and is 5-0 ATS at home, they rush for 259 yards per game versus East Carolina’s 119 yards per game, have a slightly better run defense and turn the ball over less per game. Here are the ATS numbers:
East Carolina
- Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Pirates are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Pirates are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
I love that East Carolina is 0-6 in their last 6 on the road and Tulsa is 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5. Hopefully the Golden Hurricanes redeem themselves in my eyes cause if they don’t I am going to turn their Golden Hurricane into a steamy Golden Shower. I am taking Tulsa to win and cover!
RPJ $yndicate picture of the day
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!
Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)
Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season
Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!
Brad Pitt must hit that hard! Angelina Jolie needs to be naked always!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:
Illinois
Northwestern
Head-to-Head
-
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!
Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:
Duke
Virginia Tech
There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!
BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:
BYU
Utah
We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon State
Arizona
Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.
#9 is Fine!!!
This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?
Hut Hut Hike!
Here are the ATS numbers:
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Head-to-Head
-
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.
Yes, She is a TT student!
Flash Flash Picks
Megan Fox is always a fan favorite!
Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.
NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks
Some Shania for Nashville
Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.
Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!
Good luck this weekend!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!
It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!
Katherine Mcphee is actually Hot!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)
We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.
Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:
Purdue
- Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Iowa
- Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!
Marzie Prince can buff our hood all day long!
UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!
I eat Tarheels for breakfast, lunch and dinner!
Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!
More Marzie! Hot Damn!!!
Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
- Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.
Send your kids to the SEC! Pure Hotness!
Check out these scores:
2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12
2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16
2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17
2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30
See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!
The Marzie trifecta!
Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Auburn
- Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!
We love Auburn Girls!
Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
- Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!
USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!
Carmen Electra is Still Electric!
Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)
Monica Bellucci: The Runny Special!
Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.
Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.
UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.
Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.
Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.
BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.
South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.
Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.
Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.
Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)
Flash Flash for the Ass!
Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Michigan
- Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!
Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!
RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: 11/23/2008 Back to the Va Tech well!
After yesterday’s Central Michigan win (no comment on how freakin ridiculous that game was), we are now 35-42-2 on the season and that is not good. We do have some games we like for our Thursday night delight special and this brings us back to the Virginia Tech well which proved to be a winner last week.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (16-11-3 on the season)
Virginia Tech at Miami (-4.5 and OVER/UNDER 43) - When you get down to the end of the season, you get Beamer ball at its finest. Va. Tech took it to Maryland last week on prime time and they look to do the same this week against Miami. Va. Tech, just like last week, does not know who they are starting at QB. We do not think it matters once again just like it did not matter against Maryland. Va. Tech will pound the run again and again and are superior on special teams and coaching. MIami is on a 4 game winning streak and has looked pretty good on defense, a defense that ranks in the top 25. Here are the ATS numbers and the OVER/UNDER numbers:
Va. Tech
- Hokies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- Hokies are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games.
- Hokies are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hokies are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 conference games.
- Hokies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Hokies are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hokies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0 in Hokies last 8 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games on grass.
- Under is 13-5 in Hokies last 18 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 7-3 in Hokies last 10 games in November.
Miami
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hurricanes are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 conference games.
- Hurricanes are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.
- Hurricanes are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 home games.
- Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Hurricanes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week.
- Under is 8-2 in Hurricanes last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 21-7 in Hurricanes last 28 games in November.
- Under is 26-9 in Hurricanes last 35 home games.
- Under is 11-4 in Hurricanes last 15 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 21-10 in Hurricanes last 31 games on grass.
- Under is 27-13 in Hurricanes last 40 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Hokies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Those numbers say it all. Miami is improving and Randy Shannon is a good coach. Look out for THE U in 2009 or 2010 because they are getting players and Shannon is legit. However, this Canes team is not ready for the prime time and Virginia Tech always is. I am taking the Hokies to win and I am double playing this with the UNDER. Do not be surprised to see a 16-10 type of game that Va. Tech wins. I think they win outright and I get points. I love it.
I spread for the HOKIES!!!
RPJ $yndicate Pick (35-42-2 on the season)
Wyoming at UNLV (-7) - Yes Wyoming beat Tennessee at Tennessee last week and we think that is the exact reason to bet on UNLV this week. Wyoming hit this ass!!!
There is no way Wyoming is focused after pounding that ass like last wekeend. Just pathetic that an SEC team loses at home to Wyoming; and of course according to the Pope, Jesus and Mother Teresa, the SEC is the best conference in football. Makes us sick! This just shows how bad Tennessee is. Wyoming averages 11.8 points per game, gives up 28 points per game, turns the ball over three times a game and is 2-7 ATS this season. UNLV is nothing to speak of but they are playing at home against a team that is primed for a letdown. We are not even giving you the ATS numbers this week because they are irrelevant and they do not favor UNLV (worked for us with the Chips/No. Illinois game). Ha ha. Check for yourself on our matchups tool. We love UNLV in this game. They will win and they will cover! You can bet Tennessee’s sweet ass on that.
Gratuitous Ass Shot of the Week!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 11 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Utah Becomes the Next Thursday Night Victim
Nate Davis burned us last night. Thought Northern Illinois could keep him in check better then they did, although they did a nice job in the 1st quarter. With our Wednesday night loss, RPJ is now 32-38-2 on the season. We have two picks for you tonight!
Yeah we gave away our pick in the title. This is a no brainer game for bettors.
TCU (-2) at Utah - TCU has one loss this year and it was to Oklahoma. They destroyed BYU and will take their nasty defense and running attack on the road to play Utah. TCU ranks third in the nation in scoring defense (10.8 points per game), and second in total defense (214.5 ypg). Its run defense, which leads the nation with 38.9 yards allowed per game, will be tested by a Utah team that has rushed for 520 yards over its last two games. The Horned Frogs, who have won five straight games by an average of 28.4 points since a 35-10 loss to then-No. 2 Oklahoma on Sept. 27, limited UNLV to 175 total yards in Saturday’s 44-14 victory. Also, we are very cognizant that TCU has lost four of its last meetings in Utah and that scares us but this TCU team will not have a let down. They are physical and nasty and control their own destiny because they got through BYU and only have one game left after this one, a winnable game against Air Force. Two wins and TCU writes their own BCS ticket. The ATS numbers:
TCU
- Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Horned Frogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Horned Frogs are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
- Horned Frogs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Horned Frogs are 13-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Utah
- Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Utes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
- Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Utes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Utes are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Utes are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
This TCU team has witnessed Utah winning the last two years and will be ready to exact revenge. We think Utah’s offense is getting a bit stale; New Mexico showed that last week. Utah has been living dangerously close to multiple loses this year. Check out these scores. 13-10 at New Mexico, 31-28 vs. Oregon State, 30-23 at Air Force, 25-23 at Michigan. TCU on the other hand has only had one flukey game this year, a 13-7 win at Colorado State the week before the BYU game. We will chalk that one up as a look ahead game. We love this game. TCU wins big and easily!
They get better every day!
Maryland at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 42) - The fighting turtles scare the crap out of us and have burned us all year. How in the hell is NCAA football so bad the the Terps are ranked 21st in the country. This is literally the same Terps team that was shut out by Virginia and lost to Middle Tennessee State. We hate them so we are going to do what we do best, not worry about the outcome of the game and focus on the amount of points scored. Check these numbers out:
Maryland
- Under is 7-0 in Terrapins last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 conference games.
- Under is 8-2 in Terrapins last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-6 in Terrapins last 27 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Terrapins last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 10-4 in Terrapins last 14 games overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Terrapins last 10 games following a bye week.
Virginia Tech
What is the spread?
- Under is 7-0 in Hokies last 7 Thursday games.
- Under is 7-1 in Hokies last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in Hokies last 12 home games.
- Under is 17-4 in Hokies last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 12-5 in Hokies last 17 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Looks just like our lovely Northern Illinois team. Under, under, Under. We do not even know who will be playing QB for Va. Tech. Both guys are hurt and their offense was not that good to begin with. Next throw in that Maryland’s star RB, Da’Rel Scott was injured and is banged up and a bad offense just got worse. No further explanation needed. We are betting the UNDER 42 in this game! Ralph Friedgen is still fat!
RPJ Hot Chick of the Day
Trish Stratus We Love You!
Good luck with your picks.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate
First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,
Who wants to floss with my thong?
It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…
RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.
Bowling Green
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.
It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:
Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Toledo
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!
Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!
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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.
Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.
Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.
And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….
Over, over, over, over, over!!!
The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!
Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.
We really went to the wrong college. God Bless SEC girls!!!
LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!
Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:
Baylor
Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….
Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.
It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.
Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)
I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:
- Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
- Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.
Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2
Green = Ass for the Cash!!!
Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:
Colorado State
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.
SDSU
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Head-to-Head
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3
3 Asses to end my triple play!
Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:
- Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.
Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!
Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)
Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas.
Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.
Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.
Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.
Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.
BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.
Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.
Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.
Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.
UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU. Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.
South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - Thursday Night Revenge of RPJ $yndicate
Well it is really hard to say but we went 2-8-1 in NCAA football last week and that is simply unbearable. Our website coming out party was the biggest bust of our careers. Very disappointing. We would like to just say that it is one of those weeks but we know that to be that bad it hurts too much to pontificate. We SUCKED!!! To make up for it we are going to infuse our picks with heavy doses of hot chicks, round tight arses and huge melons and of course we are going to post our latest picks. So far this year we either win big, win a little or flat out suck and the sucking is killing us right now. Stay with us because our next winning weekend is right around the corner and we know we will not totally suck it like we did last week for a very long time. Also, please let us know if we are on the right track by overloading you with chicks when we pull a weekend Suckfest. We are here to serve and entertain our loyal readers.
On the season we are:
RPJ $yndicate - 24-25-2
Flash Flash - 7-4
Runny Pelvis - 16-19-2
We have opinions on both Thursday night games and we will even have a post for the Hawaii/Boise State game. No time like the present to make money back.
A little something to get you warmed up and excited for these picks.
Peek a boo!!!
Florida State at NC State (+11) - Both of these teams are coming off byes and both appear to be moving in different directions. FSU won at Miami and beat Colorado the week before that. NC State lost a close one at home to Boston College and was blown out by South Florida. We bet these FSU girls know how to blow it out.
I wonder if Coach Bowden will rub our bellies again?
The numbers for this game were pretty surprising and NC State even won the last time these two teams played a Thursday night game…24-20 in 2006. On paper, FSU should win this game pretty easily but one thing besides the ATS numbers, which you will see shortly, sticks out….Florida State is a young team that loves to turn the ball over. We have seen what happens to young teams on the road in prime time night games. Lets go to the ATS numbers.
Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Seminoles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
NC State
Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Head-to-Head
Seminoles are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
How about those ATS numbers. Makes you want to jump all over NC state doesn’t it? Well that is what we are doing. We think FSU wins but 11 points is too many points to give away in a conference game, on the road in prime time. Take NC State and the points!! Sorry NC State fans but we can not find any hot pics of your student body. Lets take a closer look at some FSU cleavage.
BYU at TCU (over/under 46) - This game is really amazing that it is going off as a pick em right now. Both teams have burned us this season and if you held guns to our heads, we would pick TCU to win. We also know that BYU is a bunch of no fun Mormons.
Wonder if Mormons are like the Southern Baptists? No vag but the ass is in play!
We are not betting on the winner of this game. The under is screaming our name, just like Northern Illinois did last week. Check this out…
BYU
Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 conference games.
Under is 11-4 in Cougars last 15 games on grass.
Under is 20-9-1 in Cougars last 30 games following a ATS loss.
TCU
Under is 7-0 in Horned Frogs last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 8-1 in Horned Frogs last 9 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
You gotta love these numbers. If TCU can hold Oklahoma to 35 on the road, they will certainly hold BYU to less than that at home. TCU does have one of the best defenses in the country. TCU, which suffered its only loss Sept. 27 on the road to then-No. 2 Oklahoma, has held five of its seven opponents to seven points or fewer. Only the Sooners scored more than 14 points against the Horned Frogs, who rank ninth in the nation in scoring defense with 11.4 points allowed per game. TCU is No. 1 in the nation in total defense at 207.4 yards per game and tops the nation in rushing defense at 20.7 ypg. Both coaches are hard nosed physical guys and this game should be super hard hitting. We know BYU can score but they only put up 21 at home against New Mexico last week. TCU got us by only beating Colorado State 13-7 last week but their starting QB, Andy Dalton, should be back for this game. He got hurt in the Oklahoma game. We think this week’s matchup is prime for a low scoring physical game. We are taking the UNDER in this game!
The Thursday Night Ass picture of the Week!
Not Keyra but another fine Latina finds her way to us!
The Thursday Night Ass video of the Week!
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Flash Flash and Runny