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Adrian Peterson

NFL Championship Game Playoff Predictions: Jets vs. Colts and Vikings vs. Saints. It is Go Time!!

We locked in another 2-2 weekend last week. This time we won both AFC games and lost both NFC games. We are now 4-4 during the playoffs with 3 games left to make some serious coin. We totally blew the Cowboys/Vikings game and to quote Bill Simmons, we wish we cold have bet the Saints/Cards game after two Kurt Warner series. The Cards were just off big time and were done in the 1st quarter. We are looking to hit both games this weekend and in honor of one of our fan requests, we are dedicating this post to wet t-shirts. One interesting tidbit to remember when you bet this weekend…Dome teams are 4-1 all-time in conference championship games played on their home turf. The Vikings were the only casualty of that scenario when they lost to Atlanta, 30-27, as 10.5-point favorites in 1998. Be careful picking both underdogs.

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Will the Colts be chasing the Jets? Read on to find out!

AFC Championship Game: NY Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-8) - First and foremost, this line is brutal. 7.5 - 8 points seems like the perfect line. We think the Colts will win but we love the value we can get with 8 points by taking the Jets and we do think the Jets have a chance to pull the major upset based on some of the finer points we list below. Betting is all about value so we really want you to understand this game before placing any bets. We are just going to throw out a bunch of points that we think matter.

- Indy is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games. The two losses were the two they tanked to end the season.

- Bettors who played the Colts haven’t seen much of a payout in Indy’s last 10 games against the Jets, going 3-6-1 ATS.

- Not sure the value in this stat but Peyton Manning is 7-5 lifetime against the Jets and has thrown 13 TDs with 13 INTs in the 12 games.

- In their first matchup, The Jets covered as 4-point road ‘dogs and the Total went Over 41.

- In their last nine home games in January, the Colts have been a solid 6-3 ATS.

- The Jets have been road warriors in their last 10 away from the Big Apple as they are 7-3 ATS and are currently on a five-game ATS win streak in that situation.

- In the green and white’s last eight games overall, they are a red-hot 7-1 ATS, including going 2-0 ATS so far in the playoffs this year.

- In the Jets’ last eight games when listed as underdogs of 8-points or less, they are 7-1 ATS.

- The Jets are 7-0 when Revis has a pick this year.

- The Jets defense was league best in the following categories this season: gave up 236 points, QBs completed 51.7% of their passes against the Jets, gave up 153.7 yards passing per game, game up 8 passing TDs all season and opposing QBs had a QB rating of 58.8 against the Jets. All we can say is WOW!

- The Colts offensive had the following highlights on the season: Threw the second most passes, had the most completions, threw for the second most passing yards with 282.2 yards per game, led the league in passing TDs, completed 66.9% of their passes and had a QB rating of 95.4.

- This line looks like a bit of a trap. The line opened at Colts -7.5 and is bouncing between -7.5 and -8. 61% of the money is on the Colts and we think with that type of action we would see this line trend upwards and it has not. Only 5Dimes has wild line swings right now and if you pick the right time you can get this line as low as -5.5 and as high as -9.5.

We love this line at Colts -8 for Jets bettors and would recommend taking the Colts at anything below 7 points. We typically try and bet underdogs to cover when we think they can win outright. We think the Jets have a slight chance of doing this, not as much as we usually like but we think 8 points provides too much value for a Championship game. With this being said, We are taking the Jets to cover!!! One last note to throw out there to make you more confident in our pick, the Colts are 0-5 straight up playing against the 3-4 Defense in their last 5 games. Take that to the bank!!!

NY Jets

• Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
• Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in January.
• Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Jets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
• Jets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.

• Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Colts are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Colts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Colts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
• Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
• Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff home games.
• Colts are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Colts are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Colts are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Colts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Colts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
• Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
• Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff home games.
• Colts are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Colts are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Over/Under

• Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games in January.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Jets last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Jets last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Jets last 9 vs. AFC.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Jets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 8-3-1 in Jets last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 5-1 in Colts last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 vs. AFC.
• Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Under is 7-2 in Colts last 9 playoff games.
• Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
• Under is 7-3 in Colts last 10 games in January.

NFC Championship Game: Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints (-3.5) - This might be a large mistake but we are not impressed with this Vikings team and we think they have some key injuries. Furthermore, the win against Dallas was not impressive at all. The Cowboys quit as soon as Suisham missed the 2nd FG (which was early). The Boys O is nowhere near as good as the Saints and the Boys were cutting them up until Romo became Romo and fumbled the ball 4 times in the 1st half. Brees will absolutely not make that mistake and he is locked in with 3 legit receivers and Shockey. The Vikes secondary is overrated and Winfield is 5′-10″. The Boys matched Roy Williams (6′4″) up against him and didn’t throw to him once. Brees will pick that match-up apart. Brees will 3 step drop and throw all game and the Vikes D line will get frustrated by not being able to get him. That was the formula the Panthers, Bears and Cards all used against the Vikes and it worked like a charm. The Boys are dumb because they watched no tape on it and Romo held the ball too long. Brees will eat that up. He is smart because he will take a 3 and out over forcing the ball any day of the week. Romo hasn’t figured that out yet. We think Reggie Bush will continue to be a force. Remember, Reggie is playing for a contract so it was not surprising to us to watch him run physically for the first time in his career. Coach Payton is not a moron like Jason Garrett and will definitely mix things up. The Super Dome will be insane and this stadium is special and getting more and more vibrant and relevant as a home field advantage as the playoffs move forward. The Vikes are clearly not as good on the road. Favre is due for a typical Favre 3 pick game. The Saints win over the Cards was way more impressive to me than the Vikes win over the Boys. The Saints dominated one of the best postseason QB’s in the league’s history and they made Fitzgerald a non-factor. I think the Saints will get up early and Favre will just start slinging the ball around. Peterson will be a non-factor and he hasn’t been good at all down the stretch. Plus, he fumbles like crazy. He had none against the Boys so we think he is due. So we bet you can sense where we are going with the smorgasbord of anti Vikings propaganda. If you thought this, you thought correct. We are betting the Saints to win and cover!

I am Super Bowl Bound Bitches!!!!

Minnesota Vikings

• Vikings are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Vikings are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Vikings are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
• Vikings are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Vikings are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Vikings are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Vikings are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.

• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Saints are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Saints are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
• Saints are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in January.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
• Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

Over/Under

• Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Vikings last 6 playoff games.
• Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 21-5 in Vikings last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Over is 8-2 in Vikings last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Under is 7-2 in Vikings last 9 games overall.
• Under is 7-2-1 in Vikings last 10 games in January.
• Under is 6-2 in Vikings last 8 vs. NFC.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Vikings last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Under is 19-7 in Vikings last 26 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Under is 36-15-1 in Vikings last 52 games following a ATS win.
• Under is 35-16-1 in Vikings last 52 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-0-1 in Saints last 5 playoff games.
• Under is 7-0 in Saints last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games overall.
• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games in January.
• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 home games.
• Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 vs. NFC.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Saints last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Over is 7-2 in Saints last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Over is 18-7-1 in Saints last 26 games following a ATS win.
• Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games as a favorite.
• Over is 12-5 in Saints last 17 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Over is 13-6-1 in Saints last 20 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Over is 48-23-2 in Saints last 73 vs. a team with a winning record.

NFL Divisional Playoff Predictions: The Weekend of the Underdog!

Well we went 2-0 on Saturday and 0-2 on Sunday in predicting the Wild Card games so we ride our two game losing streak into the divisional round. We went back to look at some of the data and found out some surprising results. The Divisional round pits the two best teams against the wild card followers and a lot of the betting experts are quick to point out that the home team wins most of the time. Well we beg to differ. Three of the four road teams in last year’s Divisional round won straight up and all three were 3-point underdogs or greater. Each of those games fell under the posted total with the dogs holding their opponents to 13, 11 and 10 points. Two years ago, both Sunday road team won outright and three years ago two road teams won. Since 2003, the road team has won outright 11 out of 24 times.  So this thinking is not rocket science but we are simply mentioning it to make you think. When we dig deeper into the games this weekend and crunch the numbers through our proprietary system, we came to the same conclusion in picking our winners….this is the weekend of the underdog!!!

Tom Brady 2010 = No trophy for you!!!

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Arizona at New Orleans (-7) - This is one of the toughest games to call this weekend. The Cardinals got smoked by Green Bay in week 17 then race out to a huge lead in the Wild Card rematch, blow the lead, miss a game winning FG and then win by freak play in overtime. The New Orleans Saints have lost 3 in a row. Some would argue that they had home field wrapped up and therefore let up but the problems started the first week of December. The Saints smoked the Pats to end November and then barely got by Atlanta and Washington. Then they lost to Dallas at home and followed it up by losing to Tampa at home and then Carolina on the road. So there are two things to think about: 1) Will the real Cardinals team please stand up and will they play for 4 quarters 2) Were the Saints tanking it and if so can they come out blazing? The brilliance of betting with a line spread is we do not care who wins. Can the Cardinals win? Sure they can. Can the Saints win by 3 TDs? Sure they can. Here is what we do know. The Cardinals can score on anybody at any time. The Packers had the second rated defense in the league and Warner had more TD passes than incompletions (5 to 4). Just sick numbers. Are you willing to be against him? The Saints have been out rushed in 5 of the last 6 games and the one game they were not out rushed they had 6 more rushing yards than their opponent. Not impressive. The Cardinals actually rushed for 150+ yards against the Packers and their coaching staff knows the value of rushing in the playoffs. They learned the Pittsburgh way… Rush and play defense. And on top of the Pittsburgh way, the Cards have Kurt Warner at QB and are deep in the offensive skill areas. It does not even matter if Boldin plays. We are not sure New Orleans can simply turn the juice back on, come out firing on offense, pressure on defense and impose their will. If we had to pick the team that can do this right now it is Arizona and with that….We are betting Arizona to cover!! The line looks legit. Saints opened at -7 and it has remained pretty flat. Right now 60% of the money is on the Cardinals and we are seeing some line drops out there.

Hey Mr. Brees....I have a ring biatch!!! What do you have?

Arizona

• Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
• Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
• Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
• Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
• Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in January.
• Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Cardinals are 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cardinals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog.
• Cardinals are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
• Cardinals are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games on fieldturf.

• Saints are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Saints are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Saints are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
• Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in January.
• Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

Head-to-Head

• Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Baltimore at Indianapolis (-6.5) - This is the one game we have been hemming and hawing about. The Ravens looked straight nasty last weekend against the Pats. Yes their QB was 4-10 for less than 40 yards, 34 to be exact, with one INT but they did not need him to win and that is scary. Ray Rice is on a tear and is earning elite status and a top 5 pick in fantasy football next season. So we have a hot Ravens team and that brings us to the Colts. A lot of times people forget the “loser” label that Peyton Manning used to have before he won the Super Bowl. The Super Bowl gave him the pass. Here are some Peyton facts. Peyton has not won, We repeat has not won a playoff game following a first round bye. Jim Caldwell has tried to mix things up this week practicing first team O versus first team D but is that really enough? time will tell. Also, since the Colts won the Super Bowl, they have won zero playoff games. So how does this positive, hot Ravens team mesh with the “losing” label of the Colts. We need to look at their historical head to head matchups. Baltimore has failed to rush for 100 yards in five straight versus Indianapolis while getting held to 3.3 per carry. Rice has 26 attempts for 94 yards in two meetings. The Ravens have committed 25 turnovers during their seven-game skid in the series and they’ve never won in four trips to Indianapolis, falling 31-3 last season. Manning threw three touchdown passes without an interception while Flacco was picked off three times. Flacco, 15 of 29 for 136 yards over the last two weeks, is bothered by a hip injury that had him limping in practice this week. So when we combine the specific Colts versus Ravens matchup we definitely have to lean one way. We do not think the Ravens are capable of repeating their efforts of last week and a rested Colts team will come out blazing. This line is holding pretty flat at Colts -7 to -6.5. 69% of the money is on the Colts, which might smell trap. Watch to see where the money and line go as we get closer to kickoff. We are betting the Colts to win and cover!

Ravens

• Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff road games.
• Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Ravens are 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Ravens are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win.
• Ravens are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a S.U. win.
• Ravens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in January.
• Ravens are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ravens are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
• Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Ravens are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Colts are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Colts are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
• Colts are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
• Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
• Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
• Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

I am looking at you Ray Lewis!!!!

Sunday, January 17, 2010

We are going to kick Brett right where it hurts!!!

Dallas at Minnesota (-3) - This will probably be one of the most viewed NFL games ever. Favre in the playoffs versus the Cowboys. Ratings City!!! A lot is being made of the Cowboys right now shaking the December and playoff bug. What is not being mentioned is how good the Cowboys are right now on both side of the ball and in the trenches. Just to recap the Cowboys 4 game winning streak and ATS winning streak….

1/9/2010 - Cowboys beat Eagles 34-14 and out rush the Eagles by 142 yards.

1/3/2010 - Cowboys beat Eagles 24-0 and out rush the Eagles by 142 yards (freaky coincidence - 142).

12/27/2010 - Cowboys beat Redskins 17-0 and out rush the Skins by 65 yards.

12/19/2010 - Cowboys win at New Orleans 24-17 and out rush the Saints by 80 yards.

Seeing a trend here? We are. Playoff football is won by rushing the ball, controlling the line of scrimmage and playing awesome defense. The Cowboys are playing sick defense and doing it without blitzing. D Ware and A Spencer are locked and loaded and destroying O-linemen. The Cowboys are running at will and Romo is playing efficient, mistake free football. Winning playoff combinations. The Vikings have an equally impressive defense but Jared Allen has slowed the last month. Not saying he will not rise up for the Cowboys game but he has not continually dominated and improved game after game like the Cowboys men down the stretch. We also get nervous for Flozell Adams. He becomes “Mr. Jump offsides” when the crowd gets noisy. Also, the Viking’s O-line is not letting A-Pete run wild like he did in the beginning of the season. It has been a loooooong time sine #28 broke 100 yards rushing. This is largely a momentum play, but we are getting points. The head-to-head stats do not support our theory so buyer beware. This line looks pretty legit. The line opened at Vikes -3 and is bouncing back and forth to -2.5 with 55% of the money on the Cowboys. We are betting the Cowboys to cover!

I just fisted you twice Philly!!!! Take that!

Dallas

• Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
• Cowboys are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in January.
• Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
• Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
• Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games.
• Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.

I could not win in Green Bay, NY and I am not going to win in Minnesota. WHY ME? Why, Why, Why???

• Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
• Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Vikings are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a S.U. win.
• Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
• Vikings are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Vikings are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Vikings are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Vikings are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Minnesota.

Time to retire again, or not, or retire, or not, or retire.

NY Jets at San Diego (-8) - The Jets run game and defense are hot right now. Sanchez played exactly as a rookie QB needs to play in the playoffs and that is playing efficiently and playing not to lose. He was perfect last week and we look for more of the same this week. There is some danger in this game if you are a Chargers fan. The Chargers were not able to run the ball well this season and certainly will not be able to run on the Jets. If the Chargers can not run then they will be pass happy and that puts them in the way of the Jets blitzes and the Jets MVP, Mr. Revis. On the flip side, the Chargers D gave up 4.45 yards per rush and the Jets O rushed for 4.53 yards per carry. Now we are not predicting a Jets victory because we do not have to. We are here to make winning bets and 8 points are too many points for this battle. This line opened at Chargers -9 and is now down to -8 or -7.5 depending on the sports book. We are seeing 63% of the money on the Jets so we know this is a true line. We are betting the Jets to cover in this game!!!

Coming at you V-Jax!!!

NY Jets

• Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
• Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Jets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Jets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Jets are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
• Jets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
• Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jets are 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

The "Dirty" Gets a W!

San Diego

• Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
• Chargers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Chargers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January.
• Chargers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Chargers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Chargers are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Chargers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Chargers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Free NFL Week 10 Winning Picks: We will make you so much money you will be wiping your arse with cash! And the Colin Cowherd NFL bet of the year!

RPJ $yndicate Picks - We were 2-2 last week and are now 24-23 on the season. Monday night football saved us from a downer weekend. In rare form, we are coming at you with a large amount of picks this week. Sometimes it is just a perfect mix of systems and we bet heavy on the weekend. This is one of those weekends. We are coming at these games hard and expecting our best weekend yet. We are going to wipe our ass with money this week!!!

Tampa Bay at Miami (-10) - On paper this game looks really ugly. We know Tampa is coming off a nice home win but they still do not have a good defense, do not have any good skill players and do not have much of anything else. Miami should really dominate this game. The Fins rush for half a yard more per rush, 55 more rushing yards per game, is 20% better converting offensive third downs, Tampa gives up 163 yards rushing per game (3rd worst in the league), gives up 4.8 yards per rush and is just terrible all around. The creamsicle unis will not work this week. This is actually Colin Cowherd’s NFL bet of the season. He rarely bets on NFL Games and he said on his show today that he called Vegas and was putting a lot of money on this game. He loves Miami, says they are the second most physical team in the league to the Steelers and the Bucs are the worst team in the NFL. We agree on all accounts. We are betting the Dolphins to win and cover with confidence!!!

Detroit at Minnesota (-16.5) - Minnesota at home coming off a bye against Detroit. This is a lot of points but a rested Vikings D will cause all sorts of problems for the Lions and a rested Vikes’ O-line will open up wide lanes for A-Pete and give Favre all the time he needs. Detroit gives up 4.65 yards per rush. That is a recipe for a loss if we ever heard one. Vikes have 30 sacks, Detroit has given up 26. Heard enough yet? We are taking Minnesota to win and cover this monster number!

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-7) - Cincy has not had much luck against their hated rivals in years past. This is the same place where Carson Palmer shredded his knee a couple of seasons ago. However, this Bengals team is like none we’ve seen in recent years. Their D gets after it and they are running the ball very, very well. They will need to do it again this week to beat the Steelers at home. The teams have identical records (6-2). The Bengals are undefeated on the road. The Steelers are undefeated at home. What will give? We think the Bengals will cover if not win outright. The Bengals want this game more. In fact, this is probably the game they had circled on their calendars all year. Carson Palmer looks great and he is locked in with Ochocinco. That spells trouble for the Steelers secondary. They key to this game will be the Bengals receivers against the secondary of the Steelers. We think they can handle Pittsburgh and Ochocinco should have a solid game. That will free up room for Cedric Benson to run between the tackles. Also, consider that the road team in this match-up is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Take the Bengals and the points.

New Orleans (-13.5) at St. Louis - We are still on the Saints bandwagon even though they have lost two covers in a row for us. We are going to get on this horse one more time. Three times is the charm right? Only thing that has us a little nervous is that the Saints D gives up 4.5 yards per rush on defense. Remember what DeAngelo Williams and Stewart did against the Saints. However, we think the Saints will get up early and pour it on and this will limit the Rams running game. Yes we said that last week but this week we think there is a better chance of a 2 TD win. We are betting the Saints to win and cover!

Buffalo at Tennessee (-6.5) - Jump on the Vince Young bandwagon. Vince Young is a winner! Tennessee has covered in both of their wins the last two weeks. We just do not know what the Bills have going on for them Trent Edwards is back but there will be no TO in the lineup. This game is going to be all about the ball control and that favors the Titans in a big way. Tennessee runs for 50 more yards per game and is averaging 5.4 yards per rush. That is sick for a team with a 2-6 record. Now you combine those Tennessee rushing stats against Buffalo’s defense and your money will be flowing to the Titans. The Bills give up 174 yards per game on the ground (worst in the league) and teams are running at a 5.2 yards per run clip. We are betting Tennessee to win and cover!!!

Seattle at Arizona (-8.5) - No Super Bowl hangover for this bunch. The Cards are nasty. Zona had their mini blip against the Panthers but they have been solid. Warner absolutely destroyed the Bears in Chicago. and has covered 4 of their last 5 ATS in general. The Cards defense is not playing that badly as well and we look for that to be the big difference maker in this game. The Cards defense is good against the run and excellent in preventing opposing offenses from converting third downs. They are actually best in the league in that category. We are betting the Cards to win and cover!

Dallas (-3) at Green Bay - Dallas is hot and Green Bay is not. The Packers can not get out of the way of their offensive line injuries and Dallas and D. Ware will tee it up against them. Rodgers is banged up and we would not be surprised if he does not make it through this game. Dallas is on a hot streak, winning 4 in a row and covering three in a row. Packers fought hard against the Vikings and then tanked it last week against the Bucs. We like the Pack but not with their patch work line right now. Look for Dallas to exploit all of Green Bay’s weaknesses. You can not give up 37 sacks through 8 games and survive the season. We are betting Dallas to win and cover!

New England at Indianapolis (-3) - As much as we have a man crush on Peyton Manning and the Colts we think this is where their winning streak comes to an end. Tom Brady looks like he has sanded off his early season rust, they are running again and Randy Moss is making big plays. The Pats have played a brutal early season schedule and has taken care of business to the tune of 6-2. New England started the year 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. Tom Brady didn’t look comfortable with his receivers and opponents didn’t seem to have much trouble slowing down the Pats’ offense. But over their last three games, the Patriots are 3-0 and have outscored their opponents 121-24. These teams look pretty similar on paper and we expect a great game but we think the Pats are the hotter, more complete team right now. We are betting the Pats to cover and will probably play the money line on top of taking the points!

Baltimore (-10.5) at Cleveland - Nothing like Monday Night Football and the Cleveland Browns to snap a decent team out of a losing 4 out of 5 funk. We are still not sure how the Browns ever beat Buffalo and the amazing thing is that the Browns have a QB rating around 40!!!! That is even worse than the Raiders. This game really needs zero analysis because we know the Ravens Defense will play into the MNF effect and be fired up. Browns have zero chance. We are betting Baltimore to win and cover!!!

Underdog Strategy - This strategy kicked ass last week going 10-3. After a slow and erratic start this plan has rebounded and is almost 500. The strategy sits at 63-64-1. All we do here is track what would happen if we bet on every single underdog each week. As dumb as this sounds there are some seasons where this pays off huge. Underdogs are in bold.

Chicago (+3) at San Francisco

Atlanta at Carolina (+2)

Tampa Bay (+10) at Miami

Detroit (+16.5) at Minnesota

Jacksonville (+7) at NY Jets

Cincinnati (+7) at Pittsburgh

New Orleans at St. Louis (+13.5)

Buffalo (+6.5) at Tennessee

Denver at Washington (+3.5)

Kansas City (+1.5) at Oakland

Seattle (+8.5) at Arizona

Dallas at Green Bay (+3)

Philadelphia (+2) at San Diego

New England (+3) at Indianapolis

Baltimore at Cleveland (+10.5)

Knockout Pool Strategy - Seattle had us nervous last week after a lackluster first half but we kept our streak alive. Here is our history and our Week 10 pick. You gotta love that we still have some of the best teams in the league alive for the home stretch. We can smell a huge payday!!!

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free Winning NFL Picks: Week 8: Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner

We were 3-4 last week. Back to back losing efforts. Our season record now stands at 21-17. We think the gambling gods are after us after we had a 5-0 week two weeks ago. We look to get back on track this weekend.

RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. Straight cash homey!!!

The blowout games: Seattle at Dallas (-9.5) and Oakland at San Diego (-16.5) - Cowboys are back playing well and are at home. Chargers get to play the Raiders at home. We will not be fooled again. Raiders blow and we will never bet them to win a game this year. We are betting the Cowboys and Chargers to win and cover!

Miami at NY Jets (-3) - Revenge, revenge, revenge. The Jets are going to unleash hell this week. They tweaked the defense to handle and attack the Wildcat offense. Down in Miami they tried to finesse it and did not attack. Rex Ryan will know how to stop the Wildcat this time around and the Jets will stop the run and hold down Henne at home. Sanchez will get over hot dog gate and manage an effective game plan. We are betting the Jets to win and cover!

Miami

• Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Dolphins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

• Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Jets are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

• Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings.
• Dolphins are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York.

Minnesota at Green Bay (-3) - This is a Colin Cowherd lock of the week. Colin is 6-1 in his locks of the week, his only loss was picking Tennessee to beat the Jets. Last week he had Oregon State over USC. Here is his logic and we have to agree. We were all over this game. Minnesota has not had its bye yet this year and the Vikes are coming off tough, physical games against the Ravens and at Pittsburgh. The Vikes have not covered in those games. Since falling to Minnesota, Green Bay has won two in a row, two easy games, and has covered in both. 72% of the money is on the Vikings and this line has not moved. The betting public is remembering the 8 sack day the Vikes had the last time these two lined up. Favre will be emotional and the scene should be amazing. We think this is the perfect storm of the Vikings being beaten down, they need their bye and the Pack primed up for this game. Vikings are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against the Pack. We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!

Minnesota

• Vikings are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Vikings are 3-11-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Vikings are 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Vikings are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.

• Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8.
• Packers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC North.
• Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Packers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

Atlanta at New Orleans (-10.5) - This seems like a ton of points but the Saints are hot. They are undefeated against the spread and punishing everybody. The Falcons have only beaten one team on the road and it was a banged up 49ers team. They lost at Dallas and New England and did not cover in either of those games. The Saints are better than the Pats and the Cowboys and are punishing teams right now. 85% of the money is on the Saints and this line is moving up. Opened at -9 and is up to -11 in some books. The Saints have the #1 offense in the league and people think it is all about Brees and the passing game. Saints are actually the third best rushing team in the league and pound out 155 yards a game. New Orleans is nasty and we are not going to bet against them until the lose ATS. We are betting the Saints to win and cover!

Atlanta

• Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
• Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Falcons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
• Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 8.
• Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC South.

• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
• Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
• Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Saints are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Saints are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite.
• Saints are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
• Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy is getting crushed. It was 2-10 last week against the spread and now sits at 45-56-1. Vegas is getting crushed right now with all of the bad teams out there. We actually heard that an old lady hit five 11 team parlays last week in Vegas last week with 5 different tickets. This strategy did have two good weeks in a row but has had its terrible weeks. We continue to monitor this but to not advise betting it.

Denver (+3.5) at Baltimore

Houston at Buffalo (+3.5)

Cleveland (+13) at Chicago

Seattle (+9.5) at Dallas

St. Louis (+4) at Detroit

San Francisco (+13) at Indianapolis

Miami (+3) at NY Jets

NY Giants at Philadelphia (+1)

Jacksonville (+3) at Tennessee

Oakland (+16.5) at San Diego

Carolina (+10) at Arizona

Minnesota (+3) at Green Bay

Atlanta (+10.5) at New Orleans

Knockout Strategy - The knockout strategy remains unbeaten. Hope you are still alive.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 6: New England Patriots

Week 7: San Diego Chargers

NFL Week 4 Free Winning Picks: Lets make it three in a row!!!

RPJ was 3-2 for the second week in a row and is now 8-8 on the season. The knockout pool is now 3-0 and rolling along. The underdog strategy took a beating and was 5-11 last week and is now 21-26-1 on the season. Sunday, October 4, 2009

Don't fall victim to VEGAS!!!

Don’t fall victim to the Vegas Trap Games Trap Game #1

Detroit at Chicago (-10) - This is a fun game to look at and has that feel good story written all over it. Lions prevented themselves from being the second team to lose 20 games or more in a row and they should be applauded. The Lions are the emotional story for the week and Vegas knows it. This line has not moved at all and 70% of the money is on the Lions to cover. When it looks like a trap and smells like a trap….guess what? It is a trap game. The Bears won two nice games in a row and are coming home. We think this has blowout written all over it. Bears win and cover easily!!

Detroit

• Lions are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Lions are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Lions are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Lions are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Lions are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Bears are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in October.

Trap Game #2

• Giants are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Giants are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• Giants are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Giants are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
• Giants are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
• Giants are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
• Giants are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Giants are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Giants are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall.

Kansas City

• Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

• Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.

Denver

• Broncos are 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games on grass.
• Broncos are 13-29-1 ATS in their last 43 games overall.
• Broncos are 5-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
• Broncos are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win.
• Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
• Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

• Chargers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Chargers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chargers are 14-5-3 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog.
• Chargers are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog.
• Chargers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
• Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
• Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chargers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chargers are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. AFC.

Pittsburgh

• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
• Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Monday, October 5, 2009

Green Bay at Minnesota (-3.5) - Minnesota might be 3-0 on the season but we do not think it is as good a 3-0 as the media experts think. Favre is really not doing much and has not been in a shoot out yet. The Vikings actually needed a second half to get A. Pete going last week against a physical 49ers team and they will face another, aggressive, physical team this weekend in Green Bay. Green Bay will look to run up the score early so they can force Favre into making bad, quick decisions. The Pack are still learning their new 3-4 D but they have the personnel to pull it off and their secondary is still grabbing INTs out there. We know this game will be close and we think the Pack might pull the upset. Aaron Rodgers will have extra motivation to show that the Packers made the right move when they dumped Favre. The ATS numbers look awesome in our favor. We are betting Green Bay to cover!!!

• Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
• Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Packers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Packers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
• Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
• Packers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 Monday games.

Minnesota

• Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
• Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
• Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
• Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
• Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
• Underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
• Road team is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings.

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy is 21-26-1. Not doing so hot. We might only keep with this for another 2-3 weeks to see if it is worth tracking. Underdogs are in bold:

Detroit (+10) at Chicago

Cincy at Cleveland (+6)

Oakland (+9.5) at Houston

Week 13 Free NFL Winning Picks 2008: blah blah, lets win money!

The NFL has been kind to us lately. Our records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 17-19 on the season, Flash Flash is 10-6 and Runny Pelvis is 17-33-1. We love a bunch of games this Sunday and are coming out swinging. We also have a new favorite hottie. Between Nina Moric and Jakki Degg, this has been one hell of a week. Check out Jakki:

Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!

RPJ $yndicate Pick

Denver at NY Jets (-8.5) - We love betting the hot team and the Jets are one of the hottest. The Jets have four covers in a row and have won 5 games in a row since a bizarre loss to the Oakland Raiders and they sit in first place. New York has scored a franchise-record 115 points in its last three games, as Favre is completing 77.4 percent of his passes for 649 yards, five touchdowns and one interception in those contests. The Jets are getting it done on both sides of the ball though. The Jets are third in the league against the run (78.0 ypg), and haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher all season. They limited the Titans to 45 yards on 11 carries last week. Somehow, the Broncos are also in first place but are doing it in different fashion with one of the worst defenses in football. The Broncos are 28th in both total defense (390.8 yards per game) and scoring defense (27.5 ppg). Denver was unable to slow down lowly Oakland last Sunday, as the Raiders, who hadn’t scored an offensive touchdown in 15 quarters, handed the Broncos a 31-10 home loss. The ATS numbers:

Broncos

Jets

We think this number might be a little high and we wish the game was scheduled for 1pm but beggars can’t be choosers. The easiest thing to do is betting is to hammer the hot team and the Jets are the hottest team in the AFC. We are taking the Jets to win and cover!

Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?

 Flash Flash Picks

NY Giants at Washington (+3.5) - A lot of bettors are betting on the Redskins and the line shows this. This line should be as high as the Jets/Broncs, if not higher. Yes, the Giants are banged up, but if you have not been paying attention this year, the Giants are THE BEST TEAM in the NFL. I want to the Cowboys/Redskins monday night football game two weeks ago and let me tell you one thing…the Redskins have zero offense when Portis is banged up and guess what…Portis is banged up. Portis will play but he is not the same back he was early in the year. And earlier in the year, the Giants held Portis to his second lowest per carry yardage of the season. The Giants just went on the road without Jacobs and Plax and destroyed the Cardinals. That win was impressive as hell. Jacobs might be back but Plax is still out. It just does not matter because the G-Men are the ultimate team and somebody like Boss, Steve Smith or Hixon always steps up. The Giants are 9-2 ATS and are 4-1 ATS on the road and the Redskins are only 2-4 ATS at home. The Giants will probably have a let down or two this year like they did against the Browns but it will not be within the NFC East. Here are the ATS numbers:

Giants

• Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East.
• Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
• Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
• Giants are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Giants are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.
• Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Giants are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win.
• Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
• Giants are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 vs. NFC.
• Giants are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Giants are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Redskins

Head-to-Head

That stat that the Skins ore 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home is significant and I have first hand knowledge. No matter what the Skins fans do, FedEx field is not loud and has no chance of being loud. Literally, Notre Dame’s stadium gets 10 times louder and that is a smaller stadium. Dan Snyder is a money grubbing whore and he destroyed the home field advantage the Skins had at RFX with the montrosity that is FedEx field. I think this game will be just like the first game…Low scoring in the first half, the better team and better coaching staff makes adjustments and comes out firing. And that team is the Giants. I am taking the Giants to win and cover!

The Jakki Degg trifecta

Runny Pelvis Picks

Panthers at Packers (-3): Panthers are playing very bad right now. Delhomme has been inconsistent, and that is putting it nicely. Going to Lambeau at the end of Novemebr is tough for any team. Even more so when they are playing bad. I’m taking the Packers and giving the points. 

Pittsburgh at New England (-1): Teams really show their worth during this time of year. In order to be champs, you have to play at a championship level. Part of that is being able to beat good teams n the road. In order to do that, you have to play outstanding D. That is just what the Steelers do. They roll into Foxboro to face a Pats team that is extrememly hot and seemingly in sync. How do you stop a team like that? Hit them in the mouth! That is what the Steelers do best. They will blitz, and blitz and blitz. They will also completely shutdown the Pats running game. Steelers win in a close one. Take the Steelers and the points. 

Kansas City at Oakland (-3): I can’t believe I’m even touching this game, but my Raiders are hot right now. They can match wits with the Chiefs at home. I’m taking the Raiders and giving the points.

 Chicago at Minnesota (-3.5): Great NFC North match-up. The Bears roll into Minnesota in a fight for 1st place. The Vikings are playing solid D and their running game is taking off. Both teams are sketchy at QB, but I like the Vikings D and running attack. I’m taking the Vikings and giving the points.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Shot of the Day

Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!

Flash Flash and Runny

2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage

Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season,  RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!

Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.

Eva Mendes is always a "Winning" choice!

RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)

Game 1

Jessica Biel needed to return to us!

Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.

Game 2

Talk About Golden Globes!! Katherine Heigl sports some round mounds of fun!

Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.

Game 3

Lindsay Lohan's Lesbian toys!

Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.

Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)

Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!

Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)

Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.

Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!

Just lovely!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

2008 WEEK 8 FREE NFL WINNING PICKS and Tig Ole Bitties!!!

RPJ had a winning week last week and just like in NCAA we are sitting around 500. RPJ $yndicate is 10-10 on the season, Runny Pelvis is 13-15-1 on the season and Flash is 5-3. We could have been 3-0 last week but Seattle backdoored us with less than two minutes to go. Flash is still pissed about it and to try and make him feel better we are going to flash a bunch of nice breasts here to take his mind off of it.

Monica Belucci - A Runny favorite!

Why not show one more set of round mounds before the picks.

Katherine Heigl should show more skin!

RPJ $yndicate Picks (10-10 On the Season)

Atlanta at Philadelphia (-9): This is a ton of points to give a hot team. No doubt Matt Ryan was worth Atlanta’s 1st round pick. He pulled a great win out of his hat last game against the Bears at home. The Bears have a solid D, too. Very, very impressive. The key to this game, however, will be the effect of the bye on the Eagles. We think it helps them HUGE-maybe more so than any other team in the league. It gives them added rest, and, most importantly, it gets Westbrook back. That cannot be under stated. Reid is a great coach and he will have the Iggles prepared. They will be riding the wave of the Phillies’ win. FACTS: Iggles are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at home against the Falcons. Take the Iggles -9.

Washington at Detroit (+7.5):This game is pretty easy to figure-the Lions are TERRIBLE. Way worse than the Fins last year. They will get pummeled in this one. Orlovsky is not a NFL QB. Calvin Johnson excluded, they have no threats on offense (averaging less than 100 yards rushing per game). Their D is suspect (they allowing nearly 5 yards per rush on D). The Skins will grind them down and roll to an easy win. FACTS: Skins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 against the Lions. Take the Skins -7.5.

Giants @ Pittsburgh (-3):Both teams are outstanding and very evenly matched. That is why we love the Dof in this one. Plus, the Steelers are a mess with the Holmes suspension and their injuries. It will be close. Take the Giants +3.

Flash’s Picks (5-3 On the Season): Nothing this Sunday. Check back with us tomorrow for our Monday Night action.

Runny’s Picks (13-15-1)

Cinncy @ Houston (-9), OVER/UNDER 45:If you read our blog, you will know we have no respect for the Bungles. I think they may be the worse franchise in sports history. Absolutely terrible. But, every Dog has its day. I think the Bungles get it done this week. They will probably lose, but they will make it a game. Fitzpatrick is slowly improving and they may finally have a running game with Cedric Benson. On the Texans side of the ball, their D is TERRIBLE. May be worse than the Bungles’. Again, that may not be enough for thge Bungles to win, but it is enough to keep it close. I’m taking the Bungles and the Points. Also, as noted, the Texans have a terrible D. So do the Bungles. It will be high scoring. Weather will not be a factor. Take the OVER 45.

Chargers @ Saints (+3): The Saints are still their enigma selves-at times they are brilliant, while at others they are terrible. One thing for sure is they have absolutely no D. None. Add that to the facts that two of their players tested positive for juice and their best offensive weapon, Reggie Bush, is out. I don’t give the Saints much of a chance. The Chargers have been called out in the press for not being tough. They will rebound this week. look for a HUGE game from LT. Take the Chargers -3.

Chiefs @ Jets (-14): This is a ton of points, but there are clear reasons for this line. The biggest two are that the Chiefs are forced to ride with their 3rd string QB again and they suspended LJ. Colby Smith cannot get it done for this team on the road. Favre will be looking for redemption for his terrible play last week in Oakland. Take the Jets in a blowout.

RPJ Breast Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

I have a spare hand if you need a replacement!

I just saw Transformers and I want to transform her panties into my face!

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

2008 NFL WEEK ONE: MONDAY NIGHT MADNESS!!!

The first Monday Night football for the 2008 NFL season!!!! And a division rivalry doubleheader to boot!! This keeps getting better and better. Flash bailed on me for these picks, but I’m not scared. We had a terrible weekend (will post our Week One results after the Monday games), but I know the season is long. Plenty of opportunities to make you and us rich! Here is what I like:

Vikings +2 @ Packers: Tons of side stories for this one; division rivals, the Vikes jockeyed for Favre; two QB’s trying to establish themselves; both teams made huge offseason moves. Plus, these teams despise each other. Should be a great game.

The Vikings made the better offseason moves. Their D is STACKED!! The acquisition of Jared Allen may be the NFL’s best offseason move. Without question it is the best D-line in the NFL. Plus, their seconday is solid and they have good linebackers. The problem for the Vikes is their QB. Jackson is supposed to be the real deal, but until he establishes himself, AP will be facing a ton of 8 man fronts.

However, the same can be said for Aaron Rogers. He has yet to show he is the man either. This is his first real test. What will give?

I think the Vikes cover. Their D is better (even though the Packers have a solid D, too) and they have the best weapon in the NFL-Adrian Peterson. The last time he played in Lambeau, he left the game with torn knee ligaments and the Vikes were spanked 34-0. That was last year though. This year’s D will pound Rogers all night and AP will eventually break one. Be warned that the ATS numbers favor the Packers quite a bit. But I’m rollin’ with the Vikings. Take the Vikes +2.

Broncos @ Raiders +3: This may be my favorite game of the week. These teams HATE each other. It is such a great rivalry. The Raiders are getting no respect, but I think they are on their way up. Run DMC will have a huge year and good career. I think Jamarcus Russell will show a lot of people he was worthy of the #1 pick. Will that translate into a cover? I think so.

The Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their 4 meetings with the Broncos. They have played them close and this is a much better team this year than they have had in recent years. Lane Kiffin is coaching for his job in every game. He is a good coach and will have them ready. On the contrary, the Broncos are worse this year. I think this adds up to a Raiders cover. Take the Raiders +3.

As always good luck with your picks.

Runny

Flash Flash Pick (0-0)

Sometimes things just happen this way. My favorite bet of the week Is the Broncos to win and cover tonight. I am a Raiders fan and I am used to watching them get spanked during opening weekend. This pains me to go against Runny and The Men In Black but it must be done. Jamarcus is not ready, the offense has not scored at all in the preseason and the Broncos have a great D and rising QB in Cutler. Broncos win and cover easily.