Air Force Falcons
2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!
We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:
1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.
2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.
3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.
We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..
Monday December 28, 2009
Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)
Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)
Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)
Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)
Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)
Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)
Friday January 1, 2010
Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)
Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)
Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)
Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)
Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)
Saturday, January 2, 2010
International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)
Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)
Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)
Monday January 4, 2010
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!
Thursday, January 7, 2010
BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!
NCAA Football Week 6 Picks: Holy Sh*T! It is Florida/LSU Week
Big weekend on tap for NCAA football. We have 11 undefeated teams right now and we will have less when the weekend is over. This is what NCAA football is all about. The weekend will revolve around the SEC with Florida traveling to play in Baton Rouge in a night game and Alabama going to Ole Miss. Lots on the line for these teams. We are going to break this week down into games that matter for your wallets and discuss the proper wager on “THE” game of the week: Florida at LSU.
Good old fashioned wallet padding games!!!
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (-22.5) - Is this really a surprise. We love Dan LeFevour and we bet every Fever game. This strategy might change as the season goes on but for right now this is what we are doing. We love Central Michigan to cover and win this one!!
Michigan State (-3.5) at Illinois - Illinois benches Juice Williams and this is the line we get; only 3.5 points. Chalk this one up as easy cash. Illinois is terrible and Michigan State is respectable for a Big Ten school. Easy money and we are all over the Spartans. We are betting Michigan State big in this one!!
TCU (-10) at Air Force - If TCU can travel to Clemson and win, they certainly can travel to Air Force and win. Ten points is just not that big a deal to this team and we would be surprised if Air Force actually scores ten points; Clemson barely did. We are betting TCU to win and cover.
West Virginia (-10) at Syracuse -We love this line. West Virginia is coming off a prime time ass whoopin of Colorado and now they get to take the Devine show on the road to upstate NY. No contest here. We are betting West Virginia to win and cover!!!
Kentucky at South Carolina (-9.5) - This website has become the bet against Kentucky at all costs website. Florida kicked their ass. Alabama kicked their ass. And those two arse whoopins were in Kentucky. Now South Carolin will kick their ass. Ten points is not a big deal. Do you really need any analysis? We are betting South Carolina to win and cover!!
Iowa State at Kansas (-19) - Yes we have a man crush on Mangino and Todd Reesing. Can you really blame us? This is a big number but Kansas is at home and will go for the kill. The ATS numbers are in our favor as well. The Home TEam is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings and Iowa State 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Rock, Chalk, Jayhawk land! We are betting Kansas to win and cover!!!
The Game of the Weekend
Florida (-7.5) at LSU - This is clearly the game of the weekend and will set the tone for the BCS standings as well as the power rankings in the SEC. Also, this game has high drama with the whole Tim Tebow concussion issue going on. We do not think he will play. As of Wednesday, Tebow was still not reading. Yes you heard that correctly. He was not reading. How in the hell is a guy who is not reading, who plays like a drunken rhinoceros going to play the way he plays. In terms of RPJ $yndicate play, there is major disagreement in house. Runny and BSL are betting on LSU to cover and Flash Flash is all over Florida.
Florida
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Gators are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Gators are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Gators are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Gators are 17-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Gators are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
- Gators are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Tigers are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
- Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.
- Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.
- Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Louisiana State.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Enjoy the picks
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Games for 12/31/2008 and Tribute to Keyra
Our records are as follows:
RPJ = 2-6 (1-1 yesterday)
RPJ Math = 9-7 (1-1 yesterday)
Flash = 2-1 (no action yesterday)
Runny = 5-5 (1-0 yesterday)
Some business to discuss…
1) Join our mailing list. We will be coming at you with special contests for cold hard cash and prizes. NCAA hoops should be the first event.
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4) This is a serious one….We were just notified by one of our readers that Sportsbook.com is not sending him his winnings and not telling him why. He thinks the U.S. government is cracking down. If you have a sportsbook.com account, try and get your money out ASAP or at least give them a call to find out if you are impacted like our friend. We do not want you to miss one of our big winning streaks and certainly want to keep our gambling brothers and sisters in the know.
5) If you have not done so yet, try out Bodog for your betting needs. We use them and we have never had any issues. Here is an ad for a 10% bonus.
We needed to invoke the spirit of Keyra Augustina and no better place to do it than on New Year’s so we could all celebrate the end of the year with one of the greatest asses of all time.
Air Force Versus Houston (-4 and OVER/UNDER 66)
RPJ is taking Air Force to cover and here is why: Air Force already won this game once when they were not supposed to and looks like the “experts” are asking them to be underdogs once again. Air Force has lost two in a row str8 up and ATS but they were against TCU and BYU and we all know Air Force is neither of those schools. They were on a 5 game win streak before that. Houston lost to Rice in their last game and is 3-1 str8 up and 2-2 ATS in their last 4 games. We know Houston can score in bunches but Air Force already played them and plays a ball control style of offense; one that is perfectly suited for keeping the ball away from Houston. Throw in the fact that there is a 17 turnover difference between their turnover margins (Air Force +12 and Houston -5) and this is where the game will be won. The ATS numbers:
Air Force
Houston
RPJ Math takes Air Force
Pitt versus Oregon State (-1 and OVER/UNDER 51)
RPJ Math selects Oregon State
Boston College versus Vanderbilt (+3.5 and OVER/UNDER 40.5)
RPJ is taking BC to win and cover and here is why: This game is in Nashville so that clearly favors Vanderbilt but this is the same Vandy team that lost in Nashville to Duke. After a fast start, Vandy is now 1-6 in their last 7 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Vandy will be pumped up though because this is their first bowl game in 26 years and they have not won one in 50 years. Vandy now is running a QB smorgasbord of suckiness. We do not know who will play or when and the last time out Vandy threw 3 QBs out there. This will not bode well against a BC team that led the nation with 26 INTs. BC has won 8 straight bowl games and looks to continue with their streak. They did lose to Va. Tech in the ACC title game after their Frosh QB was overwhelmed but the Vandy D is nowhere close to The Hokies’ D. Prior to the ACC title game, BC was 4-0 str8 up and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games. We do not think this game will be close.
RPJ Math shows no real advantage. Vanderbilt covers this game 58.3% of the time and BC 56.6% of the time. RPJ Math has no pick.
Minnesota versus Kansas (-8.5 and OVER/UNDER 59)
RPJ is taking Kansas to win and cover and here is why: Mark Mangino and Todd Reesing. We love the Fat Man and Doug Flutie II. Kansas wins the travel advantage and is 500 miles closer than Minny. Kansas is 2-2 str8 up and ATS in their last 4 games but did upset Missouri their last time out. Minnesota has been terrible since blowing their game to Northwestern in one of the biggest lapses of the season. Minny has lost 4 in a row (3 at home) and is 1-3 ATS in their last 4. Minny even lost 55-0 to Iowa in their last game and now gets to play against a well coached team with a spark plug for a QB. This might be the largest margin of victory of the bowl season. Check out these Kansas ATS numbers:
RPJ math shows no real advantage. Minnesota should cover the spread in this game 63.6% of the time and Kansas 63.1% of the time. RPJ Math has no pick!
LSU versus Georgia Tech (-4 and OVER/UNDER 53)
RPJ is picking Georgia Tech to win and cover and here is why: This game is in Georgia so Tech clearly wins the travel advantage. LSU is a mess. The Tigers have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6. The one win was a miracle comeback against Troy. Georgia Tech is hot right now and Paul Johnson has this team peaking. The Yellow Jackets have won 3 of 4, are 2-1-1 ATS in their last 4 and recently beat Georgia in a great comeback and MIami. This game might get really ugly, really fast. You know Tech wants to pound another SEC team and LSU wants to go run and hide. The ATS numbers:
LSU
Georgia Tech
RPJ Math selects Georgia Tech. This is one of the largest mismatches of the bowl season. LSU covers in this game 18-20% of the time and Georgia Tech covers 75% of the time.
Flash Flash parlay of the year: If your true degenerate side is coming out today then I have a parlay for you…..BC, Kansas and Georgia Tech. I love these three games and have them parlayed, locked, loaded and ready for action. Teaser can’t hurt either.
RPJ Video of the day. Of course we had to include the original Keyra shake her booty video. This think is mesmorizing and we think her ass would end every debate, argument and war in the world. Just show this video every time somebody has a dispute of any sort.
Hope you enjoyed the Keyra tribute!
Flash and Runny!
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!
Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)
Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season
Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:
Illinois
Northwestern
Head-to-Head
-
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!
Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:
Duke
Virginia Tech
There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!
BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:
BYU
Utah
We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon State
Arizona
Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.
This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?
Here are the ATS numbers:
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Head-to-Head
-
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.
Flash Flash Picks
Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.
NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks
Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.
Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!
Good luck this weekend!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!
It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)
We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.
Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:
Purdue
- Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Iowa
- Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!
UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!
Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!
Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
- Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.
Check out these scores:
2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12
2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16
2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17
2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30
See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!
Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Auburn
- Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!
Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
- Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!
USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!
Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)
Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.
Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.
UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.
Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.
Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.
BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.
South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.
Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.
Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.
Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)
Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Michigan
- Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!
Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!
RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 10 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Real Deal
Here is the deal. We went 0-9 in NCAA football last weekend. We are not some posers that say we win all the time and when we say our money is where our mouth is, we mean it. We lost a ton of money last weekend. Enough money to make paying the bills difficult, enough money to eat Ramen for the week cause we can’t take our ladies out to dinner, enough money so that the bank accounts literally registered zero after Saturday. Runny had to go work the street corner to dig up enough scratch to bet NFL games on Sunday (mind you, he does love him some workin’ corners, so it wasn’t too bad-haha!). Alright, that was a joke but when we say we feel the pain and share the gain, we EFFING mean it. Last weekend hurt a lot. We know we are slinging ads at you, trying to build a brand here and then follow that up with shiznitty picks and we know you wish you could meet us in a dark alley and beat the tar out of us. We are pissed too, we are a lot lighter in the wallets and we wish we had answers for last weekend. Last weekend was last weekend and if you followed us closely we went 0-9 on Saturday and then we went 9-0 Sunday through Tuesday. You know what that says…the gambling gods tried to give us a big EFF you and we came back strong. Our confidence in our models is unflappable we will turn this ship around and put money in your wallets before the year is out. Enough with the self loathing and on with the self promotion. Ha ha.
Well we have been rehashing our awful, awful weekend and we have to just put our nose to the grindstone and chalk up a sacrifice to the gambling gods. We did recover nicely though with an undefeated Sunday, Monday and Tuesday so we made all of our cash back pretty quickly. Also, if the Philadelphia Phillies can win the World Series, we all know miracles can happen. Due to superstitions we will never post anything from the Urban Dictionary ever again. So this week we are going to come at you with news of the weird and of course the hot chicks you tell us you love. Check out this story….Pub spat erupts after feces found in ice cream. If your gelato smells like poo we have a suggestion, DON’T EAT IT!!!
RPJ $yndicate is 29-36-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 14-8-2 on the season
Runny Pelvis is 19-20-1 on the season
Since we felt the pain last week and made your bank accounts lighter we are going to extend some free cash your way. Simply click on the Bodog ad in this post, sign up for a sportsbook account and we will give you an extra 10% on your initial deposit. Giving you free cash is the least we can do after our poor performance.
To make your RPJ experience even better we have also added some additional features. If at any point, you want to know what the lines are for all current sporting events, click on our LIVE ODDS tab right in this post and then bookmark it so you have a one stop shop for all of your odds. The next feature, which is even better is our MATCHUPS tab. Do us a favor. Click the matchups tab right in this post, Scroll down to the Florida/Georgia helmets and click on matchup within the helmet box. How awesome is that? You get to see an injury report for each team. ATS numbers, Betting trends, the last ten matchups head-to-head in a summary and with detail, last 5 games numbers, the weather and tons of great stats. Where else can you get that information all in one screenshot? We say nowhere. Hopefully you will bookmark our matchups page and use this great tool for your own benefit. Now on with the picks, right after this great arse!!!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (29-36-2)
Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-29.5) - We normally hate betting lines over 29 points but when the 29 points is for the home team we think twice. And who can argue with this OSU tail.
The Cowboys boast one of the top offenses in the nation, ranking seventh in scoring at 43.6 points per game and eighth in total offense at 490.8 yards per game. They’ll be taking on a defense that’s 102nd in the country in points allowed (31.6 per game) and total defense (422.8 ypg). Iowa State’s pass defense has been particularly bad lately, allowing an average of 329.0 yards through the air in four games since the start of October - second-worst in the Football Bowl Subdivision in that span. Oklahoma State’s offense is led by Robinson, who has thrown for 1,092 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception in his last five games, and Kendall Hunter, fourth in the nation in rushing yards with 1,116. Considering Hunter rushed for 161 yards on 18 attempts last week against the nation’s third-ranked run defense, he shouldn’t have trouble finding room to run against Iowa State, which has allowed 170.3 rushing yards per game and 17 touchdowns on the ground this season. Iowa State, meanwhile, has been awful on the road, losing 14 in a row away from Ames since a 42-14 win at Texas A&M on Oct. 29, 2005. It’s also dropped 33 consecutive regular season road contests against Top 25 opponents since a 33-31 win over Oklahoma on Oct. 20, 1990. Lets check out the ATS numbers:
Iowa State
Cyclones are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cyclones are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Cyclones are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss.
Cyclones are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cyclones are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Cyclones are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Cowboys are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
When you throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, we think that puts the icing on the cake. Oklahoma State wins and covers!
Florida (-6.5) at Georgia (neutral site) - If you think Urban Meyer has not put this game on his calendar, you are outta your freakin mind. Urban first referenced this game back in July and has let the bad taste in his mouth fester since then. If you think Georgia’s behavior from last year was forgotten and is behind Urban Meyer….you are outta your freakin mind. Let us remind you what happened last year.
We have been waiting for this game and for this bet since last year. We challenge you to name one game that Urban Meyer geared up for and lost. We can not find one. Florida and Urban Meyer are legit and this is the game that dreams are made of. Georgia has no freakin chance. Yes we love the word freakin this week but we are passionate about the Gators. Check out the ATS numbers:
Florida
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Gators are 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Ats numbers do not help you in this one. Urban Meyer is KING!!! Do not bet against him in this game. We are not even sure why we wrote up this game. Urban Meyer + Tim Tebow versus Mark Richt 2007 Bullshiznit = Florida wins easily. We get 6.5 points and you get a winner. Florida wins and covers easily!
Yes it is time for some arse!!!
Arizona State at Oregon State (-15.5) - There is nothing better when we can have cheerleaders battle for their team’s RPJ backing.
Even though ASU is appealing for our pick we have to go with our gut. Check out the ATS numbers:
ASU
Sun Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in November.
Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Sun Devils are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Oregon State
Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Beavers are 23-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Beavers are 42-17 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.
Beavers are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oregon State.
Is that pick easy enough for you? C’mon now. Oregon State wins easily and big!!!
Lets add some more levity to this post. Check out this real story. We can not make this crap up if we tried and believe you me we tried. Police arrest Mich. man for car wash vacuum sex. As we said, we could not make up this crap if we tried.
The Great Debate Game #4 (Flash Flash leads the season series 2-1)
Texas (-3) at Texas Tech - This game has serious BCS national title implications and we are back for another debate game. Flash is picking one side and Runny is on the other side. This is the 4th Great Debate Game for RPJ and Flash Flash wins the heads up battle at 2-1. Lets look at the ATS numbers before we give you our rationale.
Texas
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Longhorns are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.
Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games in November.
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
Red Raiders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why: You do not mess with the best. Texas is the best team in the country and quoting the good ole mantra that always matters….Defense wins championships!!! Texas is an elite TEAM, Texas Tech is an elite offense. TEAMS win games and championships. I think I might be the only person in the country who thinks this game will not be close but I am not afraid to run with the Horns. Texas has played with the best teams in its conference and it has beaten them when it counts. Texas will not overlook Texas Tech because they are playing on the road. I am ont worried about Texas’ “young secondary” because they handled Bradord and Oklahoma just fine and they handled Robinson and the Cowboys just fine. Do not count Texas out. Texas wins and covers easily!!!
Runny Pelvis is picking Texas Tech and here is why: I still think Texas is hyped way too much. Don’t get me wrong, I think they deserve to be ranked #1. They have won big games on big stages this year. However, OK State showed that they can be beat last week-they just didn’t get it done. I think this is the week they go down. The reasons? Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree. These two guys are legit and in sync. Crabtree plays like a true #1 player-he wants the ball EVERY time and he is not afraid. Texas comes into this game with a very young secondary. They have not faced a player of Crabtree’s ability yet this year. Harrell knows how to get him the ball. Statistically, Harrell’ stats are just as impressive as McCoy’s. I think once Tech wins this game, Harrell gets the Heisman. Also, most of Tech’s players are rejects from Texas. They will have an amped crowd behind them and they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. I think Tech wins outright, so I’ll gladly take the points.
One more story of the weird. We are not making this crap up….DA: H.S. Coach Spends Uniform Money At Strip Club
Flash Flash Picks (14-8-2 on the season)
Tulsa (-7) at Arkansas - I am on the Tulsa bandwagon and you can ont throw me off. And yes I know they effed me last week not meeting the OVER. Well I am back for more. Tulsa has the top ranked offense in the country and is looking to end a 16 game losing streak to Arkansas. Tulsa leads D-1 with 56.6 points and 624.7 yards per game, and has converted 61% of its third-down chances. Yes I will say it, Arkansas blos. Check out the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Golden Hurricane are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.
Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Arkansas
Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
As I said….Arkansas is not good. Tulsa should be able to handle the Razorbacks no problem. Take Tulsa to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (19-20-1 on the season)
Air Force (-7.5) at Army: I’m a huge fan of armed forces games. They are great rivalries that get totally overlooked by the media. This one is a good one, too. Army is putting together a solid season and Air Force is doing the same. Air Force may even make a Bowl-to do so they need this win to solidify their chances. The key to this game is scheduling. Air Force has played much harder teams and has been very successful. I think they will do the same this week. FACTS: Army is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Air Force and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against Air Force. Finally, Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home against military schools. I’m taking Air Force and giving the points.
West Virginia (-4) at UCONN: The Mountaineers roll into Storrs looking to solidify their hold on the Big East. They face a Huskies team that is outstanding at home. Very much so against the Big East (UConn is 7-4 ATS against Big East teams at home). I think this game comes down to health-WVA has a healthy Pat White back. That is all they need. FACTS: UConn is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against WVA and WVA is 8-1 ATS against teams that are off striaght-up, underdog wins. I’m taking WVA and giving the points.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-7.5): Short and sweet-this is another game that comes down to health for me. The Wildcats will be without their starting RB and possibly their QB. Both have been key components in NW’s success this year. Although the ATS numbers favor NW, I think the injuries will slow them down a ton in this game. Add that this is a road game against a conference rival. I think all of that is too much for NW to handle. I’m taking the Golden Gophers and giving the points.
Missouri (-21) at Baylor: This may be my favorite game of the week. Baylor can be a tough place to play, but I think Mizzou KILLS them in this one. Mizzou showed last week that they are not afraid to run up the score. Late last week against Colorado, they had the game in-hand by a mile but they kept throwing it up. They will do the same. Baylor cannot score and they will reach a point where Mizzou is so far ahead that the Bears will become on dimensional. That does not bode well for an offensively challenged team. The Bears boast the #87 passing D in the country…bad news for them this week. Chase Daniel is a Texan and will pile the points up in this one. Baylor is also starting a Freshman QB. They are done. FACTS: Mizzou is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Baylor, 12-2 ATS after Colorado and 36-3-2 ATS win they win straight-up away. This will be ugly. I’m taking Mizzou and gladly giving the points.
Washington at USC (-46): This line cracks me up!!! The funny part about it is that it should be higher. It should be over 50 all day. USC owns the Huskies at home (1-3 ATS in their last 4 meetings), and the Huskies are riding in with a lame duck coach. That does not bode well for the Huskies. USC needs to destroy this team for the polls, and they will have no problem doing it. Last week the Huskies gave-up 30+ at home to Notre Dame and could only muster one score. Well, USC has the best D in the country so that one score will not happen. USC has only given up 13 second half points ALL YEAR!!!. That’s right-13 total second half points!! Ridiculous. I’m calling this the Retainer Game because USC’s AD should have a fleet of attorneys on the sidelines to defend their players after the numerous crimes that will be committed. This game will be out of hand early. USC will score way more than 30. I’m predicting a shutout and I’m taking USC even if the line was 50.
Arkansas State (+23.5) at Alabama: This is my upset cover of the year. Arkansas State has no chance of winning this game, but covering is a different story. To me, this game is about timing-Arkansas State is catching the Tide right at the right time. Bama has had all week of people telling them they are so great. In comes a team they should beat by 40. However, Arkansas State will be rolling in with a veteran QB and they can score some points. Not enough to win, but enough to keep it close. On top of Bama’s ego, they will be looking past Red Wolves to their important match-up with LSU. The Red Wolves will catch the mighty Tide nappin’ in this one. I’m taking Arkansas State and the points.
Happy Halloween. RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny
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12/31: New Year’s Eve Winning NCAA Football Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks
We have four bets for this beautiful day and we are going to keep riding our new found success. Damn glad it showed up finally.
We have two bets that fall under the Heidi Klum category:
1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a one unit bet.
Man we hate Seal right about now….
1) Air Force versus Cal (-3.5) - Well you all know our feelings on Jeff Tedford and his turd sandwich job of coaching the Golden Shower Bears this year. You also know we love us some Air Force betting action and super back Chad Hall. Well we are going to mix it up a bit for this game because we think the smart bet is on the OVER. Right now the Over is sitting at 55.5 points. Here are the over/under numbers.
Air Force
Over is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games in December.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games overall.
Over is 13-6 in Falcons last 19 games as an underdog.
California
Over is 4-0 in Golden Bears last 4 Bowl games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Golden Bears last 7 non-conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Bears last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 9-3 in Golden Bears last 12 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Bears last 8 vs. Mountain West
We initially wanted to bet Air Force and the over because we think that is what the result is going to be but we are keeping ourselves aware of the Tedford turd sandwich factor and think that the smart bet is just taking the over. Tedford screwed us more times than the Priests mounting young boys at Notre Dame. CAL has more talent and has the ability to win this game 50-21 and they also have the ability to lose 49-7 so we think the over is the way to go. Cal will not be able to stop Air Force and we are thinking CAL will score enough points after they have had the chance to get a little more healthy. CAL held only one BCS-conference opponent under 20 points this season. Cal has been a tale of two seasons…before and after Longshore hurt his ankle. Prior to his injury CAL was putting up 39.4 points per game and after his injury they averaged 20.3 points per game. Tedford has helped the Bears win three of their last four bowl games and the last two bowl games they put up 45 and 35 points respectively. Air Force averages 29.4 points per game and first year coach, Troy Calhoun, helped turn this team around really fast. So we think the bowl Tedford team shows up after they have had a chance to rest and these two teams will throw up some serious points on each other. Bet the Over 55.5 and hopefully we hit it in the first half and can relax to watch what should be an exciting game!!!
2) Kentucky (-9.5) versus Florida State in The Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl, AKA the FSU stupid retarded player bowl Buyer beware!!!! Do not take this line over 9.5 points. We know you wanted it on Kentucky at -1 when it first opened but this still should not matter. Kentucky went through a roller coaster season and simply fell victim to hype and SEC Conference football losing 4 of their last 5 games. Kentucky’s weak point was definitely their defense and they gave up 29.8 points per game. We only assigned this game a 1 unit Heidi Klum bet because we know FSU lost tons of players to suspension but we so not know if this will be a rallying point or a problem. We know Kentucky has a bad defense and we know FSU has a bad offense. We know FSU is good stopping the run so that means the game rests pretty much in the hands of Andre Woodson. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Kentucky
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
These teams did not have too many relevant ATS numbers. We think this comes down to Kentucky having played the superior schedule this season and battling in the SEC. Kentucky is also led by the better QB who is a weathered senior and we think he will play a large part in keeping his team focused and rolling on offense. This year’s game sold out within minutes of tickets going on sale and Kentucky will have at least 27,000 fans in attendance. Kentucky also played in this bowl last year and won so they know exactly what to expect out of the travel schedule. Florida State’s suspensions are an embarassment to the program and we think they will come out and fold once they witness the dynamic Kentucky offense. Kentucky wins big and covers (-9.5) in this one!!!!
3) Auburn versus Clemson (-2.5) in the Chick-fil-A Bowl
We are assigning this bet a Dahm Triplet bet:
3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.
Yes we are going to sport some straight nudity again…
We are changing things up again for this game. We think the play is for the UNDER. Right now the UNDER is at 46.5. Of 11 games this year, Auburn hit the under 7 times and Clemson hit it 5 times. Both teams have solid defenses and not so hot offenses. There are some really powerful Over/Under numbers for this game and that is the basis for our reasoning. Check it out:
Auburn
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 Bowl games.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 Monday games.
Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. ACC.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in December.
Under is 15-5 in Tigers last 20 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games overall.
Auburn
Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 vs. SEC.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 Bowl games.
Under is 11-5 in Tigers last 16 non-conference games.
I think you can see that these numbers scream for the under. Remember the following games:
Auburn 17 Alabama 10
Auburn 17 Ole Miss 3
Auburn 9 Arkansas 7
Auburn 20 Florida 17
Auburn has no problem slowing it down, playing ball control offense and keeping the score low. They seem to prefer it in close, big games.
Clemson 23 South Carolina 21
Clemson 17 Boston College 20
Clemson 3 Georgia Tech 13
Clemson 24 FSU 18
Clemson knows how to keep it on the ground and slow it down as well. We think this game has 17-14 or 10-7 written all over it and that is what we are banking on. Take the UNDER 46.5 in the Clemson/Auburn game!!!
4) South Florida (-6) versus Oregon in the Brut Sun Bowl. We are throwing out our gal pal Eva Mendes for this bet:
5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet - We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it. It has lost once already in bowl season but that was in week 1 and this is week 2. Eva is ready to represent for us again!!!
An oldie but a goodie:
Here is the basic explanation for this game….South Florida versus a sibling of Ryan Leaf….Enough said!!! Bet South Florida at 5 times your normal bet and take this home. The Leaf family was born to lose and Ryan’s brother Brady Leaf has never won a college game. He also was injured and Oregon was forced to start Justin Roper and Cody Kempt who led them to loses as well. Oregon has not won a game since Dennis Dixon got hurt and we have to feel for them because they were one of the top teams in the country. However, when you take Dixon out of the equation, this is the Oregon team that was shut out by UCLA. Lets check out the ATS numbers so you can feel like we are doing real analysis:
Oregon
Ducks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
South Florida
Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulls are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bulls are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
The South Florida defense ranks 22nd in the nation in yards against per game with just 326.8. USF also ranks third in the nation in interceptions with 22. Only three opponents have managed to score more than 23 points against the Bulls all year. South Florida is going to prey on Oregon’s offense worse than UCLA did and that is where our confidence comes in in making this an Eva Mendes bet. Oregon’s only bright spot is RB Jonathan Stewart but he is going to have to face a South Florida defense that is 19th in the nation and only giving up 112 yards per game. We know how this game plays out…South Florida stops the run and a Leaf family member makes stupid passing mistakes the whole game. South Florida Rolls big in this game, wins and covers (-6) with ease!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
2007-2008 NCAA Football Bowl Preview: RPJ Syndicate’s Guide to Making Money
We concluded the NCAA Football regular season with a record of 59-54. We were 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets, which were our super bets meaning we bet 5 times our normal unit. This approach led us to win 13 units on the season. Take away the Vig (about 10%) and we are working with with just under 12 units….11.7 to be exact. We would have liked to win more but we won and that is a lot better than other so called “experts can say”.
The reason we started our blog is because we went 19-4 during last season’s Bowl Season. We crushed it!!!! Combining our record with an article in the Wall Street Journal about a sports picker out in Cal-Berkely who was giving away his picks for free and winning at a nice rate. Well this Cal-Berkeley guy made his picks for pay when he had enough of a fan base and he was making $10k a month in his first few months on top of his gambling money. We know our system and our picking are world class and we are revealing all of our picks to you for free. You the reader are reaping the benefits of a free winning system. The point of gambling is not to have more fun while watching games…the point is to make cold hard cash and when you follow us, as we proved during this season, you make cash!!!
Now the point of this Bowl season is to take your/our 11.7 units and turn that into a lot more. We are going to give you specific reasons why we are picking a game and sometimes we might just tell you to pick a game just like we did with our pick of PITT to cover against West Virginia for their December 1 game. Our betting system is based on a trial and tested system and we always put our money where our mouth is with no exceptions.
For this bowl season we are going to set up a system for you where you bet 1,2,3,4,5 and the Super Bet for as many betting units as you are willing to risk. The Super Bet is our 99.99999% lock!! These bets are called:
The Super Bet = The Keyra Shake that Money Maker bet - These will be our super lock bets. The bets we are taking out second mortgages, bank loans, hitting up friends and relatives…you get the picture. Bet as much as you can stomach bets.
5 Unit Bet = The Eva Mendes Bet - We love us some Eva and think she is a Goddess. Since we renamed the Brinks truck bet the Eva Mendes we went 3-1 with it.
4 Unit Bet = The Shakira Hips Don’t Lie bet- We love us some Shakira and her hip shaking bits. In honor of this Columbian love ma-cheen, we named one of our bets after her. For the Shakira bets, place 4 times your typical unit of bet.
3 Unit Bet = The Dahm Triplets bet-A lot of great things come in threes. The Dahm Triplets are no exception. Indeed, they are Dahm hot!! For these bets, bet 3 times your typical betting unit… one for each one of these lovely ladies. Be sure to send the vig to their parents as thank you for gracing us with them. The world is definitely 3 times better since they were delivered from the heavens.
2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet - In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.
1 Unit Bet = The Heidi Klum bet. You know she is hot but her judgement must be suspect cause she married one of the ugliest human beings outside of Scottie Pippen, Sam Cassell and Charlie Weis (of course we took a dig at Notre Dame in this blog). We love the Heidi Klum but something is off with her judgement so we are only comfortable making her a a one unit bet.
Below is the schedule for all bowl games this season. We are going to pick as many games as our system spits out. Do not expect us to pick every game but we will have action on most of them. We will probably post our picks on this blog 1-2 days before each bowl. Please feel free to ask us any questions or post comments on this blog. Our email is rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
Sincerely,
Flash Flash and Runny
2007-08 College Football Bowl Schedule
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia
Utah (-9) vs. Navy
Dec. 20, 9 p.m.
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Memphis (+2) vs. Florida Atlantic
Dec. 21, 8 p.m.
Papajohns.com Bowl
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati (-11)
Dec. 22, 1 p.m.
New Mexico Bowl
Nevada vs. New Mexico (-3)
Dec. 22, 4:30 p.m.
Pioneer Las Vegas
UCLA vs. BYU (-5.5)
Dec. 22, 8 p.m.
Sheraton Hawaii
Boise State (-10.5) vs. East Carolina
Dec. 23, 8 p.m.
Motor City
Purdue (-9.5) vs. Central Michigan
Dec. 26, 7:30 p.m.
Pacific Life Holiday
Arizona State (+1.5) vs. Texas
Dec. 27, 8 p.m.
Champs Sports
Boston College (-3) vs. Michigan State
Dec. 28, 5 p.m.
Texas
TCU vs. Houston (+3.5)
Dec. 28, 8 p.m.
Emerald
Maryland vs. Oregon State (-4.5)
Dec. 28, 8:30 p.m.
Meineke Car Care
UConn vs. Wake Forest (-3.5)
Dec. 29, 1 p.m.
AutoZone Liberty
UCF vs. Mississippi State (+3)
Dec. 29, 4:30 p.m.
Valero Alamo
Penn State vs. Texas A and M (+5.5)
Dec. 29, 8 p.m.
PetroSun Independence
Alabama (-3.5) vs. Colorado
Dec. 30, 8 p.m.
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
California (-4) vs. Air Force
Dec. 31, 12:30 p.m.
Roady’s Humanitarian
Georgia Tech (-4.5) vs. Fresno State
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.
Brut Sun
South Florida (-6.5) vs. Oregon
Dec. 31, 2 p.m.
Gaylord Hotels Music City
Kentucky (-1) vs. Florida State
Dec. 31, 4 p.m.
Insight
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State (-4.5)
Dec. 31, 6 p.m.
Chick-fil-A
Clemson (-2.5) vs. Auburn
Dec. 31, 7:30 p.m.
Outback
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee (-3.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 11 a.m.
AT and T Cotton
Missouri (-3.5) vs. Arkansas
Jan. 1, 2008, 11:30 a.m.
Gator
Texas Tech vs. Virginia (+5.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.
Capital One
Michigan vs. Florida (-10.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 1 p.m.
Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Illinois vs. USC (-13.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 4:30 p.m.
Allstate Sugar
Hawaii vs. Georgia (-9.5)
Jan. 1, 2008, 8:30 p.m.
Tostitos Fiesta
Oklahoma (-6.5) vs. West Virginia
Jan. 2, 2008, 8 p.m.
FedEx Orange
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. Kansas
Jan. 3, 2008, 8 p.m.
International
Rutgers (-9.5) vs. Ball State
Jan. 5, 2008, Noon
GMAC
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa (-4)
Jan. 6, 2008, 8 p.m.
Allstate BCS Championship Game
LSU (-6) vs. Ohio State
Jan. 7, 2008, 8 p.m.
NCAA Football Week 12 Picks: CHICKS, CHICKS, CHICKS and picks; if you care about picks!
Some announcements:
- All picks this week are for Saturday’s games
- We are 43-40 on the season, 3-3 Brinks truck bets (keep reading cause the Brinks Truck bet is back and has been renamed) and up 3 units.
- There are two Brinks truck opportunities this week. The first is a typical Brinks truck bet and then we are renaming the Brinks truck bet going forward. Read on to find the games.
- We want to thank all of our readers because we hit a new record today for shortest amount of time to 1,000 blog reads and the count keeps climbing….meaning after 15 days, over 1,100 readers have visited our blog. And over the last week we are averaging almost 100 hits a day. Thank you for reading us and as always please feel free to leave comments, ask us questions on this blog or if you are shy send us a private email to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
- It is becoming clearly obvious what our readers want….HOT CHICKS AND PICKS. That blog blew up so Chicks and Picks is back for a repeat effort. Enjoy!
And now on with the picks:
Wisconsin @ Minnesota (+14) = The St. Pauli Girl game. The Northern Midwesterners up in Wisconsin and Minnesota love their beer, cheese, meat products and shapely women. What better way to kick off the week than by showcasing one of our favorites…. The St. Pauli Girl!!!
Wisconsin looked strong against Michigan last week. They definitely caught them in a look ahead game but that is not their problem and they took care of business. Minnesota is flat out bad and not really competitive in the Big Ten. Add that to the fact that this is a clean sweep game and it makes our lives a lot easier. Wisconsin will have a field day running on the Gophers. Minnesota gives up 221 yards agame on the ground and is minus 13 in the turnover ration. We were actually surprised to see this line under 20 points. Some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:
Wisconsin
Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Badgers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Badgers are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Badgers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
Badgers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win.
Minnesota
Golden Gophers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Gophers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Golden Gophers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Golden Gophers are 1-5-3 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Golden Gophers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Also, when you throw in the fact that the Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota, you can see where we are going with this. Wisconsin wins BIG. Take Wisconsin to win and cover!!!
Brinks Truck Bet Alert - Ohio State @ Michigan (+4) = The Yasmine Bleeth game. Yasmine was on the top of her game, a Baywatch Babe, attending red carpet events and then whammy…..she was arrested for cocaine possession in one of the most hideous transformations ever. If you do not believe us check out the before and after pictures below.
The Before
The After:
So how does this apply to football games..it is pretty easy…a team that was living the high life is now a bust over night. Ohio State was living the high life last week, ranked number 1 in the BCS standings, enjoying a Big Ten 20 game win streak that spanned two years, playing an unranked Illinois team at home and then it was stomach punch time. A loss dropped Ohio St from 1 to 7 and ended their national title hopes. This whole game is actually a mess. Michigan is facing a ton of distractions with injuries to Henne and Hart and there are numerous rumors flying around that Lloyd Carr will step down. We already know Tressel is a much better coach than Carr and he knows the Rose Bowl is on the line and will come ready to play and he is not facing any distractions. We love this game as our return the Brinks Truck action this week. Michigan is banged up, we think the game would have been competiive with a healthy Hart and Henne but these guys are simply not healthy and can not finish games, especially against a physical Ohio State defense. Here are the ATS numbers for you:
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Buckeyes are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Buckeyes are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Buckeyes are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Michigan
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tressel owns Carr and the streak will continue. Ohio State wins this easily and covers. We are betting 5 times our normal betting unti on this game in Brinks Truck style. Back up the truck and load us up with cash!!! Kaching!!!!
Syracuse @ UCONN (-18.5) = This is the Rachel Mcadams game. She basically came out of nowhere in Wedding Crashers and we probably will not hear from her again.
UCONNS came out of nowhere this year and will lose to West Virginia next week and then probably not be heard from again for a very long time. This is a clean sweep game. UCONN Is coming off a tough loss but knows they still control their own destiny and need to win this game setting up a matchup with West Virginia for a shot at the Big East title. Syracuse is pretty much useless as a team this year and loses out to UCONN in every statistical category that we track. The ATS numbers:
Syracuse
Orange are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
Orange are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Orange are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Orange are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Orange are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Orange are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
UCONN
Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Huskies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
Do you like those ATS numbers…we do!! We would not be surprised to see UCONN win this game by 30 points. UCONN wins and covers easily!!!
San Diego State @ Air Force (-11) = This is the Chick with a gun game. Our little tribute to the armed forces. No real meaning here, just a hot chick with guns. Yeah real guns and “those” guns. Enjoy Miss Alba
Another clean sweep game here. Air Force simply dominates San Diego across the board. Air Force has a dynamic offense that emabrassed Notre Dame on the road last week and they will continue their onslaught this week. San Diego State can not stop the run; they give up over 182 yards per game and Air Force rushes for 274 yards per game. Can you say UGLY!!! The ATS numbers:
San Diego State
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Air Force
Falcons are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a striaght up win.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Falcons are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
The only thins going for San Diego State is the fact that this is Mrs. Flash Flash’s pick of the week. She has family there and wants them to win. The Syndicate thinks Air Force will pummel this team and we love that it is a home game. Clean sweep teams have a slight advantage when playing at home. Air Force wins and covers!!!
Idaho @ Boise State (-33.5) = Cheerleader versus Cheerleader Game. We are simply picking the team that has the hottest cheerleader.
Boise State
Idaho
The Idaho cheerleader second from the left is the hottest on either team. Therefore we are saying that Idaho will cover in this game. Just to be honest with you, we found an undefeated new category in our models and the models say that Idaho will cover. This is part of our proprietary juice so you just have to trust us. Too many points in this one, seriously we are taking Idaho to cover!!
Duke @ Notre Dame (+6) = This is clearly the return of the Britney Spears Train Wreck Game and this time it is a double train wreck. Both teams are a joke just like our C-section pal Britney.
We have enjoyed some consistent success bettting against Notre Dame this year and we are going to keep it going. Week after week we get to witness (thanks NBC) just how terrible and deflated The Irish are. Air Force was completely dominating the line of scrimmage last week and were driving the Notre Dame D-line back 3-5 yards on every play. Both of these teams stink but we think Duke will play with more Pride. The ATS numbers:
Duke
Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Fighting Irish are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. ACC.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
We are not confident Duke can win but we think they will cover!!!
Iowa State @ Kansas (-26.5) = This is the Anna Nicole Smith Game, meaning…Even the Big Ones have to fall and we are not talking about breasts.
So maybe you were able to figure out where we are going with this game. We think this is the game Kansas finally does not cover. The same statitical undefeated item that Idaho has shows up for Iowa State. We think Kansas wins but we think the prospects of playing against Missouri next week and the continued pressure of being the only undefeated BCS conference team will start to take its toll. Iowa State plays teams tough and the Cyclones have been outscored by an average of 14.5 points on the road this season. Well they are getting 26.5 points so we think it is just too many points. Some ATS numbers to back us up:
Iowa State
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Cyclones are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cyclones are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cyclones are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Also, throw in the fact that the Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and we feel pretty good that they can cover. Take Iowa State to cover. Sorry Kansas we think you are going to finally let us down this week. It just would not be our blog if we did not give props to Mangino (we think he might be related to Anna Nicole; they are the same size!!!):
Brinks Truck Bet Alert #2 - Oklahoma St. @ Baylor (+14) = This is our Eva Mendez pick of the week. We think this is the hottest pick out there right now and we are renaiming our Brinks truck bet the the Eva Mendes game and we think you will agree after checking out these pictures.
This is a fun game to look at, not as fun as Eva’s ass, but fun nonetheless. You want to bet this game and this is our BRINKS TRUCK (now EVA MENDES) bet of the week. We are loading up 5 times our normal betting unit on this game. So far on the season we are 3-3 with these types of bets and we have patiently been waiting for our next opportunity. Well here it is!!! We are completely dumbfounded the line is this low. Before showing you the ATS numbers, take a look at Baylor’s Big 12 games this year:
Lost at Oklahoma 52-21 - Margin of defeat was 31
Lost to Texas Tech 38-7 - Margin of defeat was 31
Lost at Kansas State 51-13 - Margin of defeat was 38
Lost to Texas 31-10 - Margin of defeat was 21
Lost at Kansas 58-10 - Margin of defeat was 48
Lost to Colorado 43-23 - Margin of defeat was 20
Lost at Texas A and M 34-10 - Margin of defeat was 24
Average margin of defeat in all of their Big 12 games this year was 30 points.
Do you see a trend here? How is this spread not more than 20 points. Now on to the ATS numbers that back us up even more:
Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cowboys are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cowboys are 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
Baylor
Bears are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Bears are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Bears are 8-26 ATS in their last 34 games in November.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
Bears are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Bears are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Throw in the fact that the favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and we are counting the dollars!!! We love this game. Oklahoma State rebounds strong, wins easily and crushes Baylor!!! We are betting 5 times our normal betting unit on this game and you can kiss the Brinks truck bet goodbye because it is now called the Eva Mendes bet!!! How hot is Eva Mendes…one more picture:
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech (+8) = This is the Lindsey Lohan Red Raider Game. All Flash no substance, Probably has an STD or 130.
Texas Tech has this glitzy razzle dazzle offense but they never win the big game. All flash and no substance and then their coach goes off on an officiating rant after the Texas game that was like a Lohan drunken coke binge. Lohan mugshot:
There was just no place for it. Throw in the fact that this is a clean sweep game and we are loving the action. Oklahoma dominates the numbers against Texas Tech and are even more efficient on offense converting third downs. Then when you thrown in the fact that Oklahoma’s defense is significantly better than Texas Tech and wins the turnover ratio battle, we do not think this game will be competitive. The ATS numbers:
Oklahoma
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sooners are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Sooners are 11-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Some more number for you…the Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. What does all of this mean….Oklahoma wins easily and covers!!!!
Miami @ Virginia Tech (-17) = This game is just an excuse to end on a video of a hot latina chick’s ass. Plain and simple. We highly recommend you check out this video.
This is another clean sweep game. Miami is coming off one of their most embarassing losses ever, a 48 point loss to Virginia at home. They also lost at home the previous week to NC State. What has become of THE U? This Miami team is terrible. The Hokies run for almost 80 more yards a game, have one of the best run defenses in the country and are plus 10 for turnover ratio. If you eliminate the last 4 minutes of the BC game, Virginia Tech has been a cover machine down the stretch, winning every game (minus the 4 minutes against BC) since September. The ATS numbers:
Miami
Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Hurricanes are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Hurricanes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Hurricanes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Virginia Tech
Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Hokies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Hokies are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win.
This spread seems high on paper and in name only. We all remember the Virginia Tech/Miami teams of the past but need to remember that this is the present. Throw in that the Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and we know this line is right. We actually think it could have been over 20 points and we still would have bet on The Hokies. Take Virginia Tech to cover and win in a blow out!!!
These are our picks. We are definitely disappointed in our NCAA season and are looking forward to ending strong and even more profitable than we are now. Please feel free to post comments or suggestions or to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We appreciate your input and we know you are out there reading this.
Flash Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Week 11 Picks: Chicks and Hot Picks or Hot Chicks and Picks? Who Cares, Both are Better than Notre Dame!!!
Right now we are 39-35 on the season, 3-3 in Brinks truck bets (5 times your normal betting unit and up 4 units on the season. West Virginia and BYU gave us the Thursday night screw job special. Heading into this weekend we have 8 more picks for you and we are going to reveal these in true celebrity fashion:
The Britney Spears Train Wreck Games - I am hoping you can figure out the reason for our picks in the following two games based on the two pictures below:
Lets get a close up on that:
Yup that is Brit up close and personal and if you look above her beaver you can see her C-section scar….YUMMY!!!!! She even grosses Paris Hilton out. Now that says a lot!! Our recommendation to Paris is to have her car seats thoroughly scrubbed. The following two picks are in true train wreck fashion, just like our pal Britney; we have puss shots, C-section scars, drugs, alcohol, Federline….Michael Jackson and OJ get to keep their kids but Brit does not. What the heck did she do to lose child privileges. She defines Train Wreck!!! Now for the games:
Train Wreck Game 1 = Texas A and M @ Missouri (-19) - We love Missouri this year, 7 and 1 against the spread (ATS) and they show a tendency to show no mercy and pour on the points. So why is this a train wreck game….it is all on Franchione, the A and M coach. He was selling insider team news to boosters for $1,200 subscripions and got caught and now he is a distraction to the university and his team. In addition, the Aggies are simply soft. Look at the Aggies road games this year…Lost at Miami 34-17, lost at Texas Tech 35-7, lost at Oklahoma 42-14. Somehow they did manage to beat Nebraska 36-14 on the road but we know Nebraska is the second worse team in the country to Notre Dame so we discount that one. Now we hear that Franchione is in buyout talks with the university and Jeff Tedford is rumoured to be in line to take over for him. There is just too much BS going on with A and M right now and we think they are going to get blown out. Just to kick them while they are down:
Texas A and M
Aggies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aggies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
We can rattle of 10 ATS numbers for why Missouri beats their ass but we do not think it is necessary. Missouri leaves C-section scars all over the Aggies, wins and covers.
Train Wreck Game 2 = USC @ California (+4) - Our good friend Jeff Tedford has found a way back into our hearts, blog and picks. As you read above, Tedford is rumoured to be inline for the Texas A and M job and that is just what we wanted to hear…Distraction city for the Cal Bears this week. Cal is a mess and has not covered in 4 games; losing outright in three of them. They barely beat Washington State at home last week. We despise Jeff Tedford and believe he has lost control of this team. He has perhaps the most weapons on offense of any school in the country and he is not using them. How is it that D. Jackson does not even lead the Bears in receptions? Way to promote your Heisman candidate coach! In addition, USC owns Nate Longshore and causes fits for Tedford’s offense. With the E-Freak coming off a 3.5 sack game against Oregon State and the USC defense racking up 9 sacks; we think Longshore will be running for his life and making very bad decisions. Some ATS numbers for you:
Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
USC
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games in November.
California
Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Golden Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Golden Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Golden Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Golden Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
USC is back on the scene, easy win and cover for the Trojans!!!
Lauren Conrad vs. Heidi Montag Smack Down Games - These two crazy bitches hate each other and love having their catty little fights on The Hills MTV show.
Basically these two feud constantly and bash each other on the show and in the media so what better games to compare them to than to two SEC battles.
Game 3 = Arkansas @ Tennessee (pick em) = We love this matchup and as a real surprise, Arkansas is a clean sweep from a stats view point. Tennessee does not have a great run defense and The Razorbacks dynamic duo is coming off a game where they ran for 487 yards combined. In addition, the Razorbacks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. One thing to think about is that Tennessee is undefeated at home this season and this is a pick em game. We think there is no time like the present for a Vols loss. Here are some ATS numbers for you:
Arkansas
Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
Razorbacks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Tennessee
Volunteers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
Take Arkansas for the win in this game!!! This is also the Mrs. Frash Flash pick of the week. She is 1-1 on the season and she likes Arkansas to win this week because crazy girls go to Tennessee. We do not know what that means but that is her logic.
Game 4 = Auburn @ Georgia (+2) - We love seeing Auburn as the road dog in an SEC game. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Georgia and the Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Auburn has a nasty defense and will be able to take advantage of Georgia’s youth on the offensive line and in the backfield. We love Auburn’s ATS numbers this week and they come across as one of the strongest opportunities we have had in awhile:
Auburn
Tigers are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bulldogs are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
Bulldogs are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Georgia is just not that impressive to us and we love whenever you can give points to Auburn on the road. Take Auburn for the cover and do not be surprised if they win.
Rosie O’Donnell Fat Slobby Pig Game - Rosie O’Donnell is a big fat nasty pig of a woman who is opinionated and loud and really does not have anything meaningful to say. Sound familiar to you, still guessing, thinking….Notre Dame Fans are loud, obnoxious, think they have a good coach, top recruiting classes, are always the team to beat, etc….Excuses, excuses, excuses!!!
Game 5 = Air Force @ Notre Dame (+3.5) - Do we really need to talk about this game? Just bet against Notre Dame and its 119th rated offense every single week. We wanted to point out that we are not the only people bashing Notre dame and Charlie Weis…check out a recent Jason Whitlock article: Weis’ NFL experience not helping him now. Also we saw this news and had to let out a chuckle, “Freshman Jimmy Clausen will start at quarterback for the Irish against Air Force on Saturday, Notre Dame announced Wednesday. Irish coach Charlie Weis did not make himself available for comment but a team spokesman said Weis would address the choice Thursday evening.” We love betting against Claussen’s noodle arm and terrible decision making ability. Some ATS numbers, not like you needed them:
Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Air Force
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Irish are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Notre Dame can not beat Navy as a favorite and now they are home underdogs to Airforce. What has this world come to? Notre Dame is defeated and Charlie is a technician, not a motivator. The Notre Dame program is in trouble!!! Take Air Force to win and cover with ease!
The Broncos Cheerleaders Game - We were not witty enough to come up with a real game comparison for the following so we decided to show a picture of the hottest Boise State cheerleader. Enjoy!
Game 6 = Boise State @ Utah State (+24.5) - This is not going to be a competitive game and the decision simply comes down to are you comfortable enough in Boise State’s ability to crush an opponent on the road by more than 24 points. Let us try to convince you! Boise State is a clean sweep team this week. They run for more than 85 yards more than Utah St., are far more efficient in converting third downs (51.4% versus 31.0%, give up 80 yards rushing less on defense per game and stop offenses from converting third downs (31.9% versus 46.7%). Can you smell the burning flesh? The Broncos are going to run all over these guys. Also, keep it in the back of your mind that Boise State plays with a lot of pride and is on a roll since losing to Washington. Boise State knows they need to remain undefeated heading into their end of season matchup at Hawaii for the title. Boise State knows what is at stake and will continue their destruction of conference foes. Some ATS numbers:
Boise State
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Utah State.
Broncos are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Utah State
Aggies are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games in November.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Boise State wins in a blow out and covers easily. Do not be afraid of the points!!!
The Keira Knightley Tribute to Pirates Game - You probably can not figure out what we mean by this game and neither can we. This was the toughest game to categorize because zero people are going to watch it cause nobody cares but degenerate gamblers like us. Enjoy the picture and we will get into the game below.
Game 7 = East Carolina @ Marshall (+7) - This game stacks up as another clean sweep game. East Carolina likes to run (173 YPG) and Marshall can not stop the run (211.4 YPG). Do you need more? How about the turnover ratio…East Carolina plus 14 and Marshall minus 12. We were salivating that this line was under 10 points and do not think this game will be competitive at all. The ATS numbers:
East Carolina
Pirates are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Pirates are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Pirates are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Pirates are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Pirates are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Pirates are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
Marshall
Thundering Herd are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
Thundering Herd are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Thundering Herd are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
Thundering Herd are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Thundering Herd are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Thundering Herd are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
East Carolina wins and covers easily!!!
The Cindy Crawford is Still Hot Game - Yep. Cindy Crawford was born in 1966, meaning she is over 40 and still damn hot. She just keeps on ticking and has been a model since she was 16. It does not matter what decade she works in, if she has kids, Cindy still rises to the top and is hot. Get where we are going with this one.
Game 8 = Kansas @ Oklahoma State (+6) - Kansas remains the only unbeaten team in Div-1 against the spread sitting at 8-0 on the season. They also destroyed Nebraska last week. They also have Mangino. People thought the points last week were too high and Kansas blasted right through it. Well this week they face an Oklahoma State team on the road, a team that led Texas 35-17 in the 4th quarter last week and choked. We know a lot of people that are picking Oklahoma for the straight upset and we are not going to get sucked in. Both teams run and are efficient on offense but Kansas has a much better defense and causes a lot more turnovers. One ATS number has us worried and that is the fact that the Jayhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Something to think about, yes, but something to change bets on, NO!!! The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Kansas looks nasty ATS-wise:
Kansas
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Cowboys are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Cowboys are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
We think Kansas is hot and will remain hot. Take the Jayhawks for the win and cover!!!!
And there you have it. Hot chicks and hot picks!!! Hope you enjoyed the blog. Please feel free to leave comments or to ask us to pick additional games for you. We are here to be used as a service and a tool to make YOU money!!! Also, sign up for our RSS feeds so you can get our posts in real time and before the lines move on you. If you signed up to our blog you probably would have received Central Michigan at minus 2.5 as a winner and not at minus 3 as a push.
Flash Flash and Runny





























































