Akron Zips

Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Weekday Extravaganza and a Salute to Curves!

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

November 11, 2009

We ended the weekend 5-4-1 and are now 63-59-3 on the season We still have a lot of work to do butt there is no time like the present. We had a nice payday when we saluted an old successful strategy: Picks and Chicks. We always love to go with what works so since we are blessed with a ton of weekday games we are going to honor Curves!!!!

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Toledo at Central Michigan (-17) - Yes this is a big number but we love us some Fever for LeFevour. Toledo has fallen apart and is on a two game losing streak to freakin Miami-Ohio and Temple and prior to getting lucky against Northern Illinois they got waxed by Western Michigan. Central Michigan is 6-2 ATS on the season but they really shine in the MAC, having lost ATS only once and they still won but missed the cover against Buffalo by 1.5 points. This game is 17 points for a reason. Toledo has been 1-4 ATS in the last five for this series. Do not be afraid. The Chips have been great to us this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!

Toledo

Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Rockets are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Rockets are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.
Chippewas are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite.
Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Chippewas are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Chippewas are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Chippewas are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Chippewas are 16-5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 22-7-2 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
Chippewas are 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite.
Chippewas are 27-11-3 ATS in their last 41 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Chippewas are 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
Chippewas are 20-9-2 ATS in their last 31 games on turf.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Ball State at Northern Illinois (-17) - We are staying in the MAC this week. Since a tough loss to Toledo, Northern Illinois has rolled off three straight wins. They have also only lost one game at home this year ATS and that was to the early season hot streaking Idaho Vandals. We would have preferred to see this line around 15 points but we think Northern Illinois is riding hot right now and do not mind giving up the extra two points. Ball State is a flat out mess with only one win and it was against an equally pathetic Eastern Michigan team. We really think this has the potential to get ugly fast. Northern Illinois dominates where it matters, which will lead to them being more physical and punishing and wearing down Ball State as the game goes on. We are all over Northern Illinois to win big and cover!!!

Ball State

Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Northern Illinois

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Huskies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Huskies are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Huskies are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games in November.

Friday, November 13, 2009

Temple (-4) at Akron - This is the week of the MAc-key attackey and we are loving it. Temple is a hot team right now, they are 7-2 on the season and 6-2 ATS. The Owls recently won at Navy, yes the same Navy team that beat Notre Dame and they are actually undefeated ATS on the road this season. This Temple team has some guts and held off a charging Miami-Ohio team last week. They blew the cover but keeping the W showed a lot of courage. This is our first bet on Temple this season and we are expecting big things. We are betting Temple to win and cover!!!

Temple

Owls are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Owls are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Owls are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Owls are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Owls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Owls are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 conference games.

Akron

Zips are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Zips are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Zips are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Zips are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Zips are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Friday games.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Akron Zips, Ball State Cardinals, Betting, Central Michigan, Dan LaFevour, Football, Free NCAA picks, NCAA, NCAA Picks, Northern Illinois, Temple Owls, Toledo Rockets, Winning Picks, ncaa football

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NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

September 25, 2009

RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.

If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!

Missouri

Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.

Nevada

Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Saturday, September 6, 2009

Road Warrior Strategy - Hopefully we got one with Mizzou and the Road Warrior strategy keeps on running. We love some of the following road favorites as well as some key road underdogs in some big games.

LSU (-12) at Mississippi State - Flash Flash always gets nervous for this game because I lost 6 figures on the LSU/Miss State game a few years back. Flash had LSU in a ten team parlay, went 9-1, and the one game missed was freakin LSU by half a point. BSL has reassured me that I should have some confidence in this game. We did hit nice on LSU last weekend and we continue to roll with them. The Head-to-head numbers say it all. We are betting LSU to win and cover!!!

BSL Says, “The Tigers have won 16 of 17 and 9 straight against the Bulldogs and have beaten MSU more than any team they’ve played in history except Tulane. The question is whether LSU is 2 TDs better than the Bulldogs, in Starkville and with MSU coming off a game in which Dan Mullen said they couldn’t have played any better. I think Mullen’s quote cuts the other way–MSU will need to play better than that to hang with LSU, which is still looking for that dominating performance which has eluded them thus far this season. LSU is hell bent on domination and will look to run it up if at all possible (and it usually is when these teams meet). Tigers roll.”

LSU

Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.

Miss State

Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Arkansas (+17.5) at Alabama - Arkansas has itself the best QB in the SEC right now. Quiet Tebow fans!!! He was terrible last weekend and showed why he will not be a top NFL QB. He is a gimmick QB. On the other hand, Ryan Mallett kicks ass. Arkansas lost their shootout with Georgia last week but Mallett looks damn good. The defense is the issue. We think Arkansas can score on anybody, even the hyped Bama defense. After Bama got lucky wearing down a Virginia Tech team they scheduled the typical Saban games against FIU and North Texas. We would not be surprised to see a high scoring affair but Arkansas will keep this closer than 17.5 points. Head-to-Head numbers are key in this game, just like in the LSU game so read on. We are betting Arkansas to cover!!!

BSL Says, “The Razorback’s high-octane offense led by passing sensation Ryan Mallett gives Arkansas a puncher’s chance to win this game outright. Yes, Everybody wants to talk about how great Saban’s defense is, particularly up front. Granted, they are much better than most but they aren’t the impenetrable wall that they are being made out to be. Bama has yet to play any team with a pulse on offense (yes VA Tech, I’m looking at you). The Hogs’ ability to use theeir aerial attack to score in bunches will keep this game close, particularly late in the game against an untested Bama secondary that will likely be playing prevent by that point. I like Arkansas to cover.”

Arkansas

Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Alabama

Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head-to-Head

Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Cal (-5.5) at Oregon - What a disappointment Oregon has been this year. The Boise State debacle, having a close home game against Purdue and being in the news cause head coach Chip Kelly refunded a fan’s expenses after receiving an invoice. What a joke. On the flip side, The Ducks righted the ship a little bit with a hard fought win at home against Utah. However, The Ducks offense ranks 111th in the nation and they will need to fire that up if they want to compete in this game. Cal has looked like one of the best teams in the Pac-10 this season and are playing a physical, punishing running game. Best looks awesome, especially after a 5 TD effort last weekend. Autzen is never an easy place to play but Cal is focused on this game and this season. Nyan Boateng is out for this game but his replacement had two catches for more than 30 years last week so The Bears can still throw the ball around when they have to. This is Cal’s year. They have the best RB in the nation and one of the most underrated, experienced defenses out there. The Tedford turd sandwich game will appear at some point this season but we think it happens against USC and not this week. We are betting Cal Bears to win and Cover!!!

California

Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Oregon

Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Head-to-Head

Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5

Miami (-2.5) at Virginia Tech - Va Tech had a great win last week but missed the cover for us. Miami is simply on fire right now so how do you bet against them. This is a conference game so we expect Miami to be at the top of their game. Miami might slip next game against Oklahoma but not in Blacksburg. A lot of the experts are saying this game will come down to Miami’s defense and we could not disagree more. Tyrod Taylor is not even completing 50% of his passes. This game will come down to Virginia Tech’s offense. Florida State and Georgia Tech had significantly better offenses than Virginia Tech so the key to this game will be The Hokies ability to score. Miami has talent on defense; the experts did not think they would have an offense but they were clearly wrong. Jacory Harris is managing the game superbly. We think Miami’s offense will continue to score and we think Miami’s defense will be able to hold the Hokies in check. We are betting on Miami to win and cover!!!

Miami

Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Va Tech

Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Florida (-21.5) at Kentucky - How about that Monte Kiffin keeping Tim Tebow in check? We loved watching that but were pissed The Gators could not cover against The Vols. Kentucky has not proven anything this season and are one of the bottom dwellers in the SEC. This is gut check time for Florida. Will they play like they did against The Vols or will the Florida run and gun sports bettors loved last year resurface? We think the later. Gators are also 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Kentucky. Yes, we do still hate everything there is about the Gators but if they make us money who cares? We are taking Florida to win and cover!!!

BSL Says, “Are they that beatable or did Tenn just play that well a week after looking like shit against a mediocre UCLA squad? I think it’s more of the latter and less of the former. Yes, Florida is beatable, particularly if it’s the all Tebow show like it was last week (24 carries is WAY too many). Florida is going to look to spread the ball around to its playmakers and yes they still have plenty of those even with Harvin and Murphy playing on Sundays. Gators’ stout defense keeps UK under 13 points on Saturday, and I don’t see the ‘Cats holding Florida under 35. Take the Gators to roll.”

Florida

Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.

Kentucky

Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

Iowa at Penn State (-10) - We love this game. Penn State is 0-3 ATS and Iowa is 2-0 ATS. Iowa is the thorn in Paterno’s side over their last ten meetings; Iowa has won 7 of those. Penn State is not as good or as dynamic as last season. They are not covering against the patsies on their schedule. This is Iowa’s season. Iowa knows they have to win this game to have any shot at a Big Ten title. We expect the Hawkeyes to bring their A game to this one just like they always do. Penn State might win but not by more than 10 points. We are betting Iowa to cover.

Iowa

Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Penn State

Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Head-to-Head

Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Ride the Horses that got you there Strategy - This strategy might sound a bit ridiculous but bet on the teams that are winning ATS. Plain and simple. Now we would not base all of our analysis on this fact because we back it up with RPJ’s Special Sauce and JuJu but do not ignore the winners. Just like you should not ignore the losers, do not ignore the winners. There we said it again.

Southern Miss at Kansas (-13.5) - Kansas is a bettor’s best friend. Mangino loves to pad the offensive stats for his boy Reesing and the players love to play for a coach who is peddle to the metal all of the time. Southern Miss has some talent and is 3-0 but they are 0-2 ATS because they have been double digit favorites and all of the games have been close. Southern Miss wins by way of the run. Kansas is only giving up 58 yards a game at a 2.23 yards per rush clip. We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

Southern Miss

Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Kansas

Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Akron at Central Michigan (-16.5) - Of course we are betting the Fever in his MAC-key Attackey home opener. The Chips are also 2-0 ATS and had a nice bye week to calm them down after beating Michigan State. If you do not pay attention to the MAC then you do not know that Akron is a disaster right now. On Wednesday, actions were taken against senior quarterback Chris Jacquemain, recruiting coordinator and running backs coach Reno Ferri and backup defensive lineman Cowles Stewart. Jacquemain, who was in his third year as the Zips starting quarterback, has been officially dismissed from the team, ending his Zips career. Ferri, who was in his sixth season with the UA program, has been placed on administrative leave with pay, pending a school review of whether he violated compliance requirements related to NCAA rules on recruiting. Stewart, a sophomore noseguard, was suspended from the team until the outcome of legal action is resolved. He has been charged with felonious assault for punching a man last month. Enough info for you? The Chips are going to beat The Akron Zips down and we are assigning this our Golden Shower game of the Week. Throw in the fact that the Zips are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Chips and We love The Fever and Central Michigan to win and Cover with ease!!!!

Akron

Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.

Straight picks - We just like these games. No theme, no nothing. Just old fashioned winners baby!

Illinois at Ohio State (-14) - Over the last three decades, not many teams have caused Ohio State more headaches and heartache than Illinois. From 1930 to 1982, the Buckeyes went 43-8-2 against the Illini. In the 24 meetings since, Ohio State is 13-11. The teams meet for the 96th time on Saturday at Ohio Stadium. Ohio State burned us last week and now we get to bet on a Tressel team in the Big Ten and that our friends is where the money is made. Tressel and Ohio State pound on the Big Ten and Illinois is not as good as we thought they would be and is 0-2 ATS this season. Pryor looked like a different man last week and we look for his success to continue against Illinois. Illinois rebounded after their pounding at the hands of Missouri by playing Illinois State but we are expecting a result similar to the Missouri game. The head-to-head ATS numbers scare us a bit but we have confidence in our formula. Ohio State plus Tressel plus Big Ten games = Bet Ohio State and that is what we are doing. We are betting on Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois

Fighting Illini are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Ohio State

Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

South Florida at Florida State (-14) - BSL told me about the power of a Jimbo Fisher offense when it gets rolling and I guess 313 yards at BYU was ROLLING. Holy moly was that a beat down last week. We are going to ride the hot team and bet against the team that just lost its life blood. Senior QB, Matt Grothe is out for South Florida and you can basically stick a fork in The Bulls. They are done. We love FSU to roll in this one, win and cover!!!

South Florida

Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.

Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.

Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Florida State

Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.

Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Washington at Stanford (-7) - Colin Cowherd has a rule that we love to follow. Always bet against the team that just pulled the major upset. You know what Washington did last week and we think that was enough to distract them for a week. Just look at USC the last 4 years; they lose the game after “THE” game. Well Sark and Holt operate the Pete Carroll way and if he can not figure it out then there is no way The Huskies can. We are all over Stanford to cover and win!!!!

Washington

Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.

Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.

Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.

Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Stanford

Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Enjoy the picks

Flash Flash and BSL

4 Comments

2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

September 2, 2009

We finally get to watch NCAA football again. This has been a long time off and we are geared up and ready to make some serious cash this season. Some changes to start the season. First, all picks are RPJ picks. We are not going to separate into RPJ, Flash Flash and Runny picks. Second, we repeat over and over again but we bet all of these games, with our own money, at the lines we post. If the lines are slightly different than what is public then it is simply a matter of us getting in before the line changes. Third, if you like what you read and want to keep up to date on our latest picks, news and annoucements then sign up for our RSS feed, Twitter account or Facebook account. The links are on the top left side of our page. We post on all of these social mediums. Fourth, make sure you check out our website in detail. We have links to matchup tools and live odds. All for free!!! Last but not least, if you do not have a bodog account yet, please try it out. We are offering a 15% sign up bonus through our website. Click below and try it out….

Thursday, September 3, 2009

South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.

USC

Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

NC State

Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.

Utah State

Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

Utah

Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Utes are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Utes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Utes are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 non-conference games.
Utes are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Aggies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Be afraid of our menacing mascot!!!! Yeah right

Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.

Oregon

Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

Boise State

Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Broncos are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Broncos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10.
Broncos are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
Broncos are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!

Tulsa

Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Tulane

Green Wave are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
Green Wave are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Green Wave are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!

Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.

Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!

Georgia

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Oklahoma State

Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Cowboys are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games as a favorite.

I am THE MAN!!!

Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!

The Juice will be loose!!!

Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:

*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***

* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.

* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.

You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!

Virginia Tech

Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Alabama

Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!

This is Purdue Football!!!

Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.

VOlS fans are ready for their showdown in the Swamp!

Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!

Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.

Arizona

Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Wildcats are 11-29 ATS in their last 40 games as a favorite.
Wildcats are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.

We got the FEVER!!!

Monday, September 7, 2009

Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.

Miami

Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

FSU

Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

Head-to-Head

Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Florida State.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Enjoy the picks. Let us know what you think. Start some dialogues on our message posting or send us emails at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. Love having football back.

Flash Flash and Runny

12 Comments

Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

October 17, 2008

We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.

The Great Debate Game

Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.

Missouri

Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.

Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.

Texas

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.

Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.

Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:

Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!). FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.

Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.

Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.

Akron

Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Eastern Michigan

Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)

Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….

I love the internet!!!

Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!

San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:

Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!

San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.

San Jose State

Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

New Mexico State

Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!

Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:

Houston

Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

SMU

Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.

Head-to-Head

Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!

Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:

Florida International

Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Troy

Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)

Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.

Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.

UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.

Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.

Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.

Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.

USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

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RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.

Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.

Flash Flash and Runny

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Week 5 NCAA Football Picks: 99 problems but picking winners ain’t one!!!

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

September 27, 2007

Here we go again for week 5. We are 15-10, have never had a losing week this season and are up 13 units in total when you count our Brinks truck bets (betting 5 times your normal amount). We do not have a Brinks truck bet for you this week but we do have 8 solid picks. We want to expand a little bit on some of the stats we use before we get into the nitty gritty. We look at rushing yards per game on offense and defense, third down conversion rate on offense and defense and turnover ratio. Why these stats…it is simple!!! I do not need to explain turnovers. Turnovers simply kill a team. As far as rushing and third down conversion, this is simply a factor of game control and game domination. If a team can rush more and convert more third down than its opponents while committing less turnovers; they are going to win plain and simple, control the clock and wear down opposing defenses. Just sharing some of our little tricks. And now for the picks:

Saturday, September 29, 2007

1) Akron Zips at UCONN (-15) - Here are the numbers….UCONN rushes for almost 60 yards a game more that Akron and converts 39.1% of their first down conversions while Akron only converts 25.4%. On defense, Akron gives up 206.8 rushing yards a game and lets its opposition convert 41.9% of its third down conversion chances while UCONN only gives up 83.8 yards a game rushing lets its opponents convert 23.6% of third down conversions. Last but not least, UCONN has a ball hawking defense and is plus 9 in the turnover ratio this season. Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers…Huskies are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 non-conference games. Huskies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games. Akron is 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Zips are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Go with UCONN all the way; if anything, bet against a team named The Zips. Idiotic mascot name.

2) Notre Dame at Purdue (-22) - I hope this game really does not need any explaining. We told you last week how bad Notre Dame is and guess what they are still terrible. They can’t rush, can’t stop the run, can’t convert third down conversions, open up the flood gates and let teams convert third downs and they are minus 2 in the turnover ratio game. I could run down how bad Notre Dame is against the spread in every situation but it is too long to fit in this blog. Purdue has a great offense and is playing at home. Although Purdue is 4-10 ATS in their last 10 home games, the Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater and we think this is the stat that is more telling especially when you couple it with the following: Boilermakers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Boilermakers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boilermakers are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Purdue will kick the lucky charms out of the funny little green leprechauns this weekend. Purdue all the way!!!

3) Florida Atlantic Owls @ Kentucky (-22) - Kentucky is on a roll. They more than double Fl. Atlantic’s rushing output per game 227.2 versus 111.2 and they are far more efficient converting third downs. On the defensive side, Fl. Atlantic gives up more yards rushing than they themselves rush for and allow teams to convert 47.4% of their third down conversions. The one place where Fl. Atlantic has the edge is that they are plus 13 in the turnover ratio margin versus Kentucky’s plus 6. Some other tidbits: Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Grass. Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September. Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. As far as the Owls go: Owls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Owls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Owls are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. We do not think this will be close and do not fear the 22 points you have to give. Kentucky rolls in this one.

4) Syracuse at Miami-Ohio (+1.5) - The Cuse showed up huge in their road win at Louisville and on paper they really are not as bad as the media experts want you to believe especially compared to Miami-Ohio. The Cuse is more efficient on offense converting third downs, gives up less rushing yards on defense and by some bizarre miracle they are actually plus 3 in the turnover ratio while Miami-Ohio is minus 4. Orange are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. MAC. Orange are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September. Orange are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games. Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East. Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. Redhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Cuse will ride the momentum and put the Orange squeeze on Miami-Ohio and win outright. Go Cuse!!!

5) Clemson @ Georgia Tech (+3) - Georgia Tech is coming off a disappointing road loss and is very banged up. Injuries have played a big factor in the team’s recent downturn. Tailback Tashard Choice, who leads the team with 356 net rushing yards and is second with four touchdowns, played only two possessions last week after attempting to return from a hamstring injury. Choice, safety Djay Jones, linebacker Shane Bowen and offensive tackle Jacob Lonowski are questionable due to injuries, while starting fullback Mike Cox and receiver James Jones missed portions of last week’s game. On the other side of the ball Clemson’s two headed running back monster keeps racking up yards. These teams rush for a very similar amount but the difference is in their offense’s efficiency. Clemson converts 42% of their third down conversions and Georgia Tech only converts 20.8%. This spread is only three and we think Georgia Tech is too banged up to compete. Clemson wins easily and covers.

6) Auburn @ Florida (-18) - This is an interesting game. Auburn started the season in the top 25 and was supposed to be one of the best teams in the SEC. Florida has been crushing people and faced a scare against Ole Miss last week. We are going off the cuff with this pick because on paper, using the stats I mentioned all the way through this post, this looks like an easy walk for Florida. Florida rushes for more yards and is more efficient on offense and stops the run better than Auburn and stops teams on third down tries more often and they are plus three in the turnover margin versus Auburn’s minus 3. They ATS numbers tell a different story though….Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Gators are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Gators are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games. Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Florida number that really jumps out at us is that they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 ATS. This is telling that they play SEC teams close. All teams will be gunning for the defending champ. This is why USC is never good against the spread because teams bring the kitchen sick, the toilet, the washing machine, etc… when they face elite squads. Auburn has the talent to match Florida on defense, if not be better, and we think this game will be far closer than the 18 point spread. Take Auburn on the road to cover, who knows they might even win.

7 ) Ohio St. @ Minnesota (+23.5) - Ohio St. is on a big roll. The stats you need to know here are that Minnesota can not stop anybody on defense and they are minus 12 in the turnover ratio, one of the worst in the country. Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on Turf. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Buckeyes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Buckeyes are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Buckeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 3-7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Golden Gophers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. Golden Gophers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Golden Gophers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Ohio St. rolls easily here and covers with no problem.

8 ) Cincinnati @ San Diego St. Aztecs (+15) - We love the Bearcats. They have caused 19 turnovers on the season and are flat out nasty on defense. The Aztecs can not stop the run and Cincy will have a field day. Throw in the fact that the Aztecs are a passing team and we envision this turning into turnover city. Just ask Oregon St. what can happen when you get behind and need to pass against these guys. Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on Grass. Bearcats are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Aztecs are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Aztecs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Bearcats will maul the Aztecs and cover this one easily. We were surprised the spread was not 21 points or more.

Please feel free to post your own picks or to ask us to pick games. We have tons of stats and performed a ridiculous amount of resaearch this week. We always put our money where our mouth is and we are enjoying a great year. Good luck and may Notre Dame continue to lead the nation in offensive ineptitude!!

Flash Flash and Runny

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Week 5 NCAA Football Picks: 99 problems but picking winners ain’t one!!!

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

September 27, 2007

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Flash Flash and Runny

1 Comment

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