Amanda Harrington
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/21/08 Games: Return of Mac-Key Attackey Double Play
Business first and I will keep it short. RPJ is 39-47-2, which is shiznitty, Runny is 27-32-1, which is shiznitty and Flash Flash is 19-12-3, which is 61% and that my friends is a winning proposition. On top of that, I own the MAC. I am picking both MAC games tonight and loving them. Since this is my post I am going to thrown tits and ass in your face all post long and I am starting now….
Angel Dark is hot!!!! And I love her name!!!
Miami-Ohio at Toledo(-3) - Nothing better than betting on a game that has two 2-8 teams playing. Miami-Ohio has lost three in a row by an average margin of 23 points, with two of those games coming at home. Meaning….they blow! Toledo has lost 4 in a row by an average margin of 17 points. I already pointed out that both teams are not good. However, Toledo’s offense is playing far better than the team’s record would indicate. Over the last three games the Rockets are averaging over 23 points on 369 total yards. It currently ranks 11th in total offense in the conference, averaging just 329 yards per game. I am getting to a point and it is simple, Toledo has a more efficient offense in the key areas, a more efficient defense in the key areas, turns the ball over less and is playing for a coach who is stepping down when the season ends. So the Toledo players are motivated and overall better players. The Toledo players are also a huge fan of the following picture:
Toledo loves Amanda Harrington
Here are the ATS numbers:
Miami-Ohio
- Redhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
- Redhawks are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Toledo
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Throw in the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Toledo is playing at home, which is always good for three points and you have a nice Toledo victory. I am taking Toledo to win and cover! I will bet her sweet ass on it.
Buffalo at Bowling Green (-4) - I am totally confused by this line and in what I think is a very profitable way. Here is the story in basic terms. Buffalo is 5-0 ATS on the road this season and Bowling Green is 0-3 ATS at home this season. Then you look at these teams where it matters most. Buffalo has a much better run offense so they can control the ball and the clock, an almost 30 yard edge on run defense per game, turn the ball over less and is more efficient converting third downs. Then you look at the line and see Bowling Green favored by 4 points and you stop and say what the EFF is going on here? Have I been staring at ass for too long and did I miss something?
Well maybe I can get lost in that Arse!!!
Here are the ATS numbers so I do not feel crazy:
Buffalo
- Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Bowling Green
- Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Well I must be on butt crack cause I am seeing a flat out Buffalo win. The betting trends are interesting too. 67% of the action is on Bowling Green and 98% of the moneyline is on Buffalo. Well I only see one thing and that is a Buffalo cover! Take Buffalo to cover!
RPJ Arse Shot of the Day!
Whoops! My arse is showing!
Good luck.
FLASH FLASH
