Angelina Jolie
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks: December 20-21 and Angelina Jolie and Alba Shows Nip!
We are pumped up to kick off the bowl season. You all know our regular season was not one of our best but we are here to step it up a notch. We are summoning Angelina Jolie’s cans to bring us good luck.
We are sticking with our formulas and adding some new wrinkles this year. Here is the deal…RPJ games are games where Flash and Runny combine their models and the game meets every single one of our tests and criteria for betting. Flash Flash games are game that registered with Flash’s model and did not hit Runny’s radar. Runny Pelvis picks are picks that registered on Runny’s system but did not appear on Flash’s radar. And in a new twist we are introducing the RPJ Math test. The RPJ math test is our way to remove all human elements from the betting game. We ran a statistical regression on the 2008 season and we are using the results to pick games….this is the RPJ Math Test pick! On with the picks….
Saturday, December 21
Navy versus Wake Forest (-3)
RPJ is taking Navy to cover and here is why: Interesting game. Navy already beat Wake Forest this year in a big upset on the road and in a game Skinner threw 4 picks. Navy was up 17 nothing at the half and fought off a furious comeback once Skinner found his way. Here are two interesting stats that we will look at throughout the bowl season: 1) Teams that travel the furthest are 23-37 ATS the last two seasons and 2) Teams playing instate are 12-6 ATS the past two seasons. Why do we bring this up….Navy is essentially playing at home cause the game is at RFK. So they meet the instate and less miles travelled test. We also like the way Navy is playing; they are on a two game win streak, a two game ATS streak and have back to back shutouts. Wake has lost two of three and is 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Navy also has some great ATS numbers: Navy is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on a neutral site, 5-2 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against the ACC. As much as we initially thought Wake would not lose back-to-back to Navy, after further review we still like Navy! This line opened at -3.5 for Wake and is bouncing in the -2.5 - -3 range and 65% of the money is on Wake. Trap City!!
RPJ Math Picks Selects Navy to Cover!
Got NIP?
Fresno State versus Colorado State (+3 and OVER/UNDER 60)
Flash Flash is taking Colorado State and here is why: Colorado State wins the travel test and is travelling less miles to get to this game. Freso State is one of the worst cover teams in the United States and has only covered 16.7% of the time this year. Fresno is 2-3 in their last 5 games and has literally only covered once since September 20. In addition, Fresno is coming off a 61-10 drubbing at the hands of Boise State. Colorado State has won two in a row and covered 3 of the last 4 games and they had to win those last two games to become bowl eligible. I know Fresno is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games but this Fresno team is a gambler’s worst nightmare and there is no way in hell I will bet with them, especially a favored Fresno team. To top it off, Fresno is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against Colorado State and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Go Rams! 62% of the money is on Fresno State and this line opened at +4 and is now in the +2.5 - +3 range. Again, that is Trap City!
Runny Pelvis is taking the OVER and here is why: I’ve lost enormous amounts of money on Colorado State and Fresno State. I’m still furious about the Wisconsin game-Flash and I were driving back from the SoCal-OSU game. We were in the desert, drivin’ the C-Note listening to the game on the radio…..I was fuming!!. Colorado State ef’d me more times than I can say as well. I’m taking the OVER because I don’t trust either team. Also, I learned from both teams is that they don’t play a lick of D. Not a lick. Fresno’s QB can move the ball and should be able to do so against a terrible Colorado State D. These teams hate each other and will look to run-up the score. I think they throw-up 70 easy.
RPJ Math Pick is Selecting Colorado State to Cover!
Memphis versus South Florida (-11)
Flash Flash is taking Memphis and here is why: This pick fails the team playing in their home state and the team travelling the farthest tests. I do not think Memphis will win but I think 11 points is too many points in this situation. Memphis has won 3 of 4 and has covered in 3 of those 4 games as well. South Florida has lost 4 of 5 games and has not looked all that good although they have covered two games in a row. This is a dangerous game for South Florida because I am sure this is a bowl game they do not want to be playing in and that is always dangerous. Memphis is a balanced team on offense and rushes for 205.6 yards per game and passes for 226.6 yards per game. I also like that fact that South Florida’s turnover margin is -7. I also like the fact that South Florida is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Memphis plays hard as a big underdog and is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as underdogs of 10.5 or more. I think Memphis can keep this game a lot closer than 11 points.
Runny Pelvis is taking South Florida and here is why: S. Florida’s QB and their coach. That is it. They are both money. This game will be in their backyard. Memphis did not play the same level of competion and they will get out played and out coached. S. Florida’s D, although not as good as it was last year, will stiffle Memphis. I think S. Florida wins by 3 TDs.
RPJ Math Pick is Selecting Memphis to Cover!
Had to replay one of our favorites on the year!
BYU at Arizona (-3.5 and Over/Under 59.5)
RPJ is taking Arizona and here is why: We feel like we have seen what this game will be and that is Utah versus BYU. BYU is slow as hell where it matters and can not hang with fast teams. Yes, BYU is physical, but when you cannot keep up, you have no chance. BYU is just like Fresno State, they are cover nightmares for bettors and covered in only 27.3% of their games this season. BYU lost in their last game by 20 points and has only covered once in their last 8 games. Arizona has been competing lately, beating Arizona State and losing close games to Oregon State and Oregon. BYU just does not have a good defense this year and that will be trouble against an Arizona team that puts up 37 points and and 400+ yards of offense per game.Throw in the fact that Zona wins the turnover margin battle and this pick looks better and better. This is the 4th straight year BYU has played in this bowl and that is a major letdown this season. BYU thought it was going to crash the BCS party and that clearly did not happen. Arizona is pumped up and enjoying its first winning season since 1998. We think Arizona runs away with this one!
Runny Pelvis is taking UNDER and here is why: Zona’s D is better than people think and they know they can shutdown Max Hall. This is a ton of points to score. Zona will win this game outright and hold BYU down. BYU showed that when they play on the road against legit D-1 teams, they choke. It will be the same this weekend. Final total will be in the low 50’s.
RPJ Math Pick is Selecting Arizona to Win and Cover!
Sunday, December 21
Troy versus Southern Miss (+4.5 and OVER/UNDER 55)
Runny Pelvis is taking Troy and here is why: This is my favorite game of the weekend. I think Troy destorys S. Miss. Troy pummeled a much better LSU team earlier in the year, only to have a complete meltdown and collapse to lose a close one. They learned from that game. They will not make the same mistake twice. Teams cannot run on them, and S. Miss is starting a freshman QB. Never trust a freshman QB on the road in a big game. Guess what? This game is both for S. Miss. Troy wins by a TD.
RPJ Math Pick Selects Southern Miss to Cover!
Enjoy the picks.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!
Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)
Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season
Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!
Brad Pitt must hit that hard! Angelina Jolie needs to be naked always!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:
Illinois
Northwestern
Head-to-Head
-
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!
Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:
Duke
Virginia Tech
There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!
BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:
BYU
Utah
We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon State
Arizona
Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.
#9 is Fine!!!
This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?
Hut Hut Hike!
Here are the ATS numbers:
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Head-to-Head
-
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.
Yes, She is a TT student!
Flash Flash Picks
Megan Fox is always a fan favorite!
Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.
NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks
Some Shania for Nashville
Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.
Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!
Good luck this weekend!
Flash Flash and Runny
9/20/2008 - Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks - Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!
First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.
Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.
Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….
And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….
And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.
Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.
Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Temple at Penn State (-28.5) - Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:
Temple
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.
Penn State
NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.
LSU at Auburn (+2.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:
LSU
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.
Auburn
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.
Wake Forest at Florida State (-5) - This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:
Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.
Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) - Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….
Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Michigan State
Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.
Head-to-Head
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.
Runny Versus Flash - The Great Debate Game
Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:
Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Arizona State
Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.
Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.
Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap - THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?
The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.
(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).
Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.
Flash Flash Picks (3-1 on the season) and the rule of 28
Seems like all my picks have 28 point spreads. Here goes:
Wyoming at BYU (-28) - BYU is coming of a total decimation of UCLA in very impressive fashion and continuing with the nation’s longest winning streak. BYU has the toughness and wants to make it into the BCS title picture. Some points to think about…Last week, the Cougars rolled up 521 total yards even though no individual player had more than 110 yards from scrimmage. The Cougars forced four turnovers and allowed nine rushing yards on 16 carries in handing UCLA its first shutout loss since 2001. Do not doubt this team for a second. 28 points does not scare me. BYU wins and covers convincingly!!!
Rice at Texas (-28) - Good things typically happen for Texas when it meets Rice. The Longhorns, who have won nine straight games over the Owls, are 37-1 against them since 1966 to improve to 68-21-1 in the all-time series, which dates to 1914. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Rice Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Texas wins and covers easily!!!
Runny Pelvis (6-6 on the season)
VaTech at UNC (-3) - UNC shocked me last week with their dominating win over Rutgers in Jersey. Pretty damn impressive. Butch Davis has completely turned that program around. He has done an excellent job of recruiting and it is starting to show. Props to him and that team. However, the Hokies have a great coach, too, and a very established program. Frank Beamer knows how to run a team. Despite the fact that they have looked bad this year and lost their opener to East Carolina, I think they cover in this one. I love the points. Some facts: Tech is 10-1 ATS on the road against opponents they beat the year before, Tech is 12-2 in their lined road openers and UNC is 2-8 as Favorites of 6 points or less. VaTech covers and wins outright.
Miss St. at GaTech (-7.5) - Miss St scrapped last week against Auburn. Impressive? Not to me. Their schedule has been a joke: the lost to LaTech and beat SE LA. That’s right-SE LA!!!! Tech, on the other hand played J’Ville St, BC and VaTech. Much more impressive to me. Paul Johnson is a great coach and within two years, he will have GaTech competing for a BCS title. They aren’t there yet, but I think they are the much better team here. Also, Miss St is 1-6 ATS in their games immediately following Auburn. That says to me that they blow their loads against Auburn. Bad timing this week. I’m taking GaTech -7.5.
Iowa at Pitt (+1) - This line says a lot about how Pitt’s season is going. With all the pre-season hype and the studs they have on this team, no way Pitt should be an underdog in this game. However, after an opening loss to Bowling Green and not destroying Buffalo, Pitt finds themselves sucking it. They haven’t covered all year, and they won’t this week. Iowa has a solid D (allowing a Nation’s best only 2.7 points per game) and they beat their bitter rival last week. We like them here, too. Facts: Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against a team .600 or better under Dave Wannstadt. Enough said for me. Take Iowa -1.
Central Michigan at Purdue (O/U: 64.5) - You readers know that we love us some Dan LaFevour. He is the man!! He knows how to run wild and throw-up some points. However, so does Curtis Painter and Purdue. I love he MAC and I researched this game more than any other this week. Honestly, I cannot figure out who will cover (at posting time, Purdue is giving 3). So, I’m not picking a team. I’m taking the game. Both teams can throw-up massive amounts of point. I love the over in this. Take the OVER 64.5.
Troy at Ohio State (-20.5) - OSU is fresh off the drubbing they received at the hands of SC last weekend. They were completely over matched and dejected by halftime. Now they come home with their tails between their legs and looking to salvage their program and self-respect. Beanie Wells is out, and there has been no decision on who will start at QB. If Tressel is smart, he will go with Pryor for the rest of the season. We watched him in person last week and think he is every bit as good as advertised. He needs to play. However, I think Tressel is still going to play him in spots. I think this is a mistake. This strategy barely beat Ohio. Troy is a MUCH better team than that. They play good D and they smell blood. Facts: Troy is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and OSU is 0-5 at home against non-conference opponents who are coming of a straight-up win. I think OSU wins, but Troy can keep it within 20.5.
Bama at Ark (+8.5) - HUGE SEC battle!! I can’t wait to watch this game. Both coaches left the NFL under high scrutiny. Both have excellent NCAA coaching histories. Bama is stacked and had, in my opinion, the best recruiting class in the country. Julio Jones is a future NFL star and an immediate difference make. Ark does not have that type of player, but they can still play. Both teams will be geeked for this game. What will give? I say Ark covers. Facts: The Dog in this series is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 match-ups, and Ark is 7-1 as underdogs off a non-conference game vs. an opponent off double digit straight-up win. Due to hurricane Ike, Ark is rested and this is the game they have had circled all year. I think they get a huge emotional edge at home. I’m taking the points and riding Ark +8.5.
Ball State at Indiana (-3) - I will be heading to this game and tailgating like a madman. This is a HUGE rivalry for the great state of Indiana. Both teams will be fired-up. I can’t wait!! Should be shootout, but I think Ball State covers. Facts: IU is 6-1-1 against the MAC and 6-1 at home against an opponent off of back-to-back straight-up ATS wins. This favors IU immensely and give that they are in the Big 10, they should blow Ball State out. However, they have had some turmoil this season (Middleton suspension) and they have not looked that great. Balls State is hot, and I can guarantee you that have had this game circled on their calendars since they were pummeled by Rutgers in last year’s final game. Nate Davis is a stud who leaves it all on the field every game. I’m taking Ball State +3.
Florida at TENN (+7.5) - THE #2 game of the week. Another HUGE SEC match-up. These teams hate each other and it is typically a good game. The ATS numbers scream take Tenn: Tenn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 match-ups and Fla is 2-6 in their last 8 September games. However, the key to me to this game is that Florida is coming off the bye. This is huge. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They will be ready. Remember, this is the same Tenn team that lost to a terrible UCLA that was crushed by BYU last week. Tenn is overrated. This spread is high because Vegas knows Tenn is bad. With the ATS numbers, the spread should not be this high. I’m taking Fla -7.5.
Enjoy the picks and feel free to make comments, tell us we suck and cost you your house or tell us what hot chicks you want to see of feel free to send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
Flash and Runny
P.S no idea why this darn blog bolded everything but this is not a beauty contest. Also, we just saw Jeff Tedford and he was eating a turd sandwich.
NCAA Football Week 14 Picks: Picks and Chicks - The Legend of Keyra
To start things off this week we want to thank you the readers. As of time of this blog, we have had over 2,650 people read us this month. To go along with these thanks we want to ask for your input, advice, suggestions, etc… Please feel free to tell us we stink or to praise us. We know you all want winners and we do to because our money is always where our mouth is.
On the season we are 53-51, 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets and up 10 units. We are disappointed about the 10 unit mark because we would like to be higher for the bowl season but we will take it. If you listened to us, you made money and that is what matters most to us. Straight Cash Homey!!!!!
We have 9 picks for you this week but we do not have an Eva Mendes bet. Also, since we know you like it, we are going to put in as much hot tail as we can!!! Lastly, we looked at every single game this weekend so if you want our opinion or any stats or lines please let us know by leaving us a comment on this blog or emailing us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
The Hot Dirty Girl Games. Basically we are jumping on the two Florida teams nobody talks about….Central Florida and Florida International. The Hot Dirty Girl Game means these are chicks nobody is thinking about. They are not the South Beach hotties or Miami models, they are simply hot, probably dirty and we love them!!!!!
Boobs and camel toe…Only in a Hooters Girl competition.
Game 1 - Tulsa at Central Florida (-7.5) - We know some people are going to jump on Tulsa but we thought this line was too low. Check out Central Florida’s games sine they lost to South Florida.
Beat Tulsa 44-23 (yeah that is right, they beat them up once already)
Beat Southern Miss 34-17
Beat Marshall 47-13
Beat UAB 45-31
Beat SMU 49-20
Beat UTEP 36-20
Then throw in the fact that Central Florida is undefeated at home this season and you have to like this game. The line opened at 6.5 and we got it at 7.5 and we are not concerned. Check out the against the spread numbers:
Tulsa
Golden Hurricane are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Golden Hurricane are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Golden Hurricane are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Golden Hurricane are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Hurricane are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Hurricane are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Hurricane are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Golden Hurricane are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Central Florida
Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
We love Central Florida in this game as they throw some extra dirty on this one!!!! Take Central Florida to win and cover!!!
Game 2 - North Texas at Florida International (+2.5) - This one is going to be a pretty surprising pick but we have to do it. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers first:
North Texas
Mean Green are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
Mean Green are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Mean Green are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Florida International
Nothing to speak of
That is right….Florida International has nothing good to speak of. North Texas is favored statistically across the board accept for one key area….They can not stop the run compared to Florida International and this little stat tells us that Florida International will cover and possibly win. North Texas is playing for nothing and Florida International is playing for an important first win on the season. We are taking Florida International to cover!!!
Game 3 - Army at Navy (-14) - The Tomb Raider Game. Basically we wanted to show support for our troops by showing you a picture of one of the hottest chicks in the world with a gun. Enjoy!
Navy runs the ball and runs it well, almost 340 yards per game and Army gives up almost 230 yards per game. Navy’s defense is bad but not as bad as Army’ and Army has a terrible offense as well…not as bad as Notre Dame’s but it is putrid. Check out the ATS numbers:
Army
Black Knights are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Black Knights are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Black Knights are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
Navy
Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Midshipmen are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Midshipmen are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a bye week.
Midshipmen are 42-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Then throw in the fact that the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and you have to love Navy. We almost threw this in as an Eva Mendes bet but we could not pull the trigger in a rivalry game. Take Navy to win and cover!!!!
Game 4 - UCLA at USC (-20) - Murder Game Number 2. We picked the USC/Arizona State game perfectly. USC is on fire right now and beat the living piss out of ASU and left ASU’s QB bloody and in pain. We think this week will be more of a beatdown. It is a revenge game for USC. USC lost last year to UCLA and lost a chance to beat the crap out of Ohio State in the National Championship Game. Check out this clip form last week to see and feel the bloodiness.
Here are the ATS numbers for you:
UCLA
Bruins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Southern California.
USC
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Trojans are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Trojans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Trojans are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Trojans are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 games as a home favorite.
Trojans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
We think USC is the best team in the country right now. The only reason Vegas would set this line this high is because all of the money is picking UCLA and Vegas thinks USC wins by 21 points or more. In addition, UCLA is terrible in the Coliseum and has no offense and we think the revenge factor will be too much for them to overcome. USC wins easily, with a lot of blood and they might actually kill a UCLA player on the field this time around. They came close in Arizona but might get the job done this time. USC wins big and covers!!!
Game 5 - Florida Atlantic at Troy (-15) - The Little Trojans Bowl. the Trojans name is hot. USC is beating people’s asses and Troy is 8 and 2 against the spread on the season. So as a reward our Little Troy Trojans get linked up with the perfect chick ass….a pic from our girl Keyra. Google this chick if you have never seen her ass and videos.
Ay Carumba!!! Gotta love it!!! Here are the ATS numbers:
Florida Atlantic
Owls are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Owls are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
Owls are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Owls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Troy
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Trojans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Trojans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Trojans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Got it? Troy Trojans represent just like the USC Trojans and lays a beat down. They will reward us for that Keyra ass shot. Troy wins and covers easily!!!
Game 6 - Oregon St. at Oregon (pick em) - Could we really pick this game without showing some authentic Beaver. We did not think so.
Oregon is probably going to end this season like they did last year by losing their last few games and getting blown out in a bowl game once the team realizes they have no chance. We feel bad for them but sympathy does not put cash in our pockets. This game opened as a pick em because Autzen is a brutal place to play and Oregon State has not faired well there the last few times. Dennis Dixon is out for the season and Brady Leaf is doubtful. When you are relying on Brady Leaf you know you are in trouble. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon St.
Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Beavers are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a ATS win.
Oregon
Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Mrs. Flash Flash is picking Oregon. Once again she is picking against us. She is 1-3 on the season and is picking the Ducks because she played touch football in Autzen stadium three Summers ago. Sorry to the Mrs. but you will be wrong again and lose your 4th straight. Oregon State has won two in a row since losing to USC and Oregon has lost two in a row with Dixon out and were shut out by a terrible UCLA team last week. We think Oregon State snaps their streak in Eugene. Take Oregon State to win!!!
Game 7 - Pittsburgh at West Virginia (-28.5) - The Whack Bowl. You probably did not see comments from USC TE Fred Davis this week but he was talking about the prospect of West Virginia facing Missouri for the national championship game. USC tight end Fred Davis is no fan of the current BCS title-game matchup. “Missouri-West Virginia? I don’t like that,’’ Davis said. “That’s a whack bowl game. But I think Oklahoma will beat Missouri anyways.” Yes we are bitter USC blew two games this year and is not playing for a BCS title. We think they have the best team. Alright enough bitching lets see some hot chicks.
We are only looking at one ATS number this week. The Mountaineers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. So what do you do with this game. West Virginia knows they need to win and they play for the national title. PITT is not that good. West Virginia has been explosive. We think this is a combo of two things. First is the Nebraska syndrome. The Nebraska Syndrome was what Tom Osborne used to do at Nebraska. For home games he would not blow teams out because he would play 2nd, 3rd, 4th string etc… so everybody got a chance to play in front of their family and boosters. We think this has Nebraska Syndrome written all over it. The second thing is one of our weird stats that you just need to trust us on and yes we know we went 0-2 the last time we told you about it but we are going to keep riding the percentages. So we think West Virginia will win but will not be able to cover. Take PITT for the cover!!!
Game 8 - Virginia Tech at Boston College (+4.5) - The Thanks for Trying Game. Jessica Simpson tried at her marriage, tried at an acting career and tried to look smart. Well thanks for trying Miss Simpson. You are hot as hell though.
So we want to thank Virginia Tech for trying. They tried damn hard to beat BC last time and they are trying really hard now to impress down the stretch. Well we want to thank them for trying cause trying does not put money in our pockets. We do not know one expert that is giving BC a chance in this game. BC was outplayed down in Blacksburg for 57 minutes but pulled out the win and that was on the road. The experts say Virginia Tech has been playing like one of the best teams in the country and there are even some fools lobbying for them to play in the national championship game. Please!!! Boston College has shown that they get the job done and win football games. We love that they are the underdog and are getting 4.5 points. Take a look at the ATS numbers:
Virginia Tech
Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Boston College
Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Eagles are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
Eagles are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 35-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Heads up the Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. We are not sure BC will win but we think this game will be 3 points or less in margin of victory. BC is not getting any respect and Va Tech is the hot pick this week. Take BC to cover!!!
Game 9 - Tennessee at LSU (-7.5) - The Pamela Anderson Game. What do we know about Pam Anderson…She is hot, she has a sick body and she has Hep C and can literally kill you.
Well Les Miles has a nice coaching pedigree, he has top 3 talent on his team easily, he has one of the best defense in the country but his decision to puruse the Michigan job killed LSU this year. We feel sorry for LSU fans this week. Les Miles is screwing them just like he did to Oklahoma State back in 2004. The nation knows he is going to interview for the Michigan job after the SEC championship game and will likely take that position. So why the hell is he still coaching the Tigers. It is a shame because with a serious coach that is fighting for his own job and for his team, there is no way they lose at home to Arkansas. As we explained last week, Les Miles is a dud when is knows he is going to leave a team… he lost his last regular season game and the bowl game for Oklahoma State in 2004 and now he loses to Arkansas, will probably lose to Tennessee and then bail on the Tigers for Michigan. Shame on you Les Miles. Take a look at the ATS numbers:
Tennessee
Volunteers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
LSU
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
LSU is simply getting worse on Defense and with Les Miles leaving we think LSU has little to no chance of winning this game. We are not advising the moneyline and we are taking Tennessee and the points. We were right last week against Arkansas and we will be right this week. Bet the Vols!!!
Getting back to Keyra…if you have not witnessed one of her videos you have to check this out. We felt like we needed to leave you with this heading into bowl season. This ass certainly psyches us up. You might need to register with youtube but it is worth it. Trust us.
Flash Flash and Runny