Arizona State
Free NCAA Football Week 11 Winning Picks: USC doesn’t lose in November and neither do we!
This has been a great week for RPJ. We have been betting every day since Wednesday, November 11. You really can not beat that feeling. Every day we have woken up and said, “Lets make some CASH today!”. We are coming at you with a whopping number picks this weekend. On with the winners! Kaching!!! We are going to be eating a lot of cake this weekend and stealin money!!!

Saturday, November 14, 2009
Georgia Tech (-12) at Duke -Neither of these teams covered their last time out but for very different reasons. Duke barely managed to score at North Carolina and lost ATS as the underdog. Georgia Tech played an always scrappy Wake Forest team and had to beat the Deacs in OT. Just remember this is Georgia Tech versus Duke. Georgia Tech has covered 5 of these games in a row, always as a double digit favorite. Duke is better but not Georgia Tech better. Duke could not score against an average Tarheels D and they certainly will not be able to compete with Tech. Georgia Tech had covered 6 in a row since they lost to Miami. Tech is legit and is looking for an ACC title and a BCS bowl bid. Giving Paul Johnson top athletes is turning into a formidable advantage foe Tech. We are betting Georgia Tech to win and cover easily!
Georgia Tech
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Yellow Jackets are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
- Yellow Jackets are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.
Duke
- Blue Devils are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Blue Devils are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Blue Devils are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Clemson (-8) at NC State - Who are we to bet against Clemson right now. The Tigers are hot and mauling ACC foes. Clemson has won 4 in a row, including a win at Miami and look nasty right now. NC State on the other hand is major disappointment this season. Yes they beat Maryland last time out but that was Maryland. NC State had not won since September and along the way was pounded by Duke and BC We just do not like the Wolf Pack right now and want to bet the hot team. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!
Clemson
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Head-to-Head
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in North Carolina State.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Iowa at Ohio State (-16.5) - This line seems insane but it really is not. Never bet against Tressel when he has a chance to go for blood in conference. Ohio State wins this game and they have a chance to go to the Rose Bowl for the first time in a long time. Since their freak loss to Purdue, Ohio State has rolled off three wins and three covers. Iowa is going to be in let down city mode. They lost a game they should not have last week and more important, they lost their leader and QB in Stanzi. Even with Stanzi, Iowa has won on comeback drives and basically freakishly good luck. Yes 16.5 points is a lot but not for this bunch. Ohio State is starting to put points on the board and their defense will be ready to go against a new, unproven Iowa QB. Ohio State was already the better team from a ball control standpoint. They are just playing much, much better than Iowa right now. We love them at home. We think this game will be ugly and we will be surprised if Iowa even scores. Yes we are that confident in this line. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 conference games.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.

Utah at TCU (-20) - We have become true believers in what the Horned Frogs are doing this season. The BCS is in agreement. Their D is insane!! They get after it and this is a team, on both sides of the ball, where the players know their roles and play into it. They play as a team and they will be more than ready for the Utes at home this week. This Utah team is not even close to the team that stomped on Bama in their Bowl game last year. Some ATS stats:
- TCU is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- TCU is 43-18 ATS in their last 61 home games.
- TCU is 31-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall.
Utah has covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings head-to-head, but it doesn’t scare us. This TCU team is nasty. This line is high for a reason (the last time it was this high was 1996-TCU was the Dog then and covered). Take TCU and give the points.

Tennessee at Ole Miss (-5.5) - We have been on the Vols bandwagon all year. We love the D Kiffin senior is putting in place. They are getting after it!! Give them one more year of recruiting and this team will be solid. Anyway, the future means nothing for us. What matters now is the what they have this week. Orgeron returns to his old Oxford stomping grounds. We think he will have a HUGE chip on his shoulder. We think the Vols will be fired up for their coach and will be looking to beat the bag out of Sneed. It does scare us that the Rebels have dominated this match-up ATS wise in recent years (6-1 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head meetings), but we like the Vols on the road this week. On the season, the Vols are 6-3 ATS (including 4 straight covers), 2-0 ATS on the road. The Rebels are 5-4 ATS, but have not covered their last two times out. They struggled at home last week with a terrible Northern Arizona team. We think the Rebels are overrated and the Vols have the better QB. Take the Vols and the points.

Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5) - The Wolverines have surprised us this year. Tate Forcier plays with a ton of heart and seems to give it his best each week. His major weakness, though, is that he has a tendency to lose focus if the team gets behind. The reason this is important this week is because this will be an extremely hostile crowd he will be facing. Is he a gamer that will feed off the negativity like Barkley did in his visit to Columbus earlier this yer? We don’t know yet. We know he brings it, but we don’t know how he will respond to the friendlies up in Madison. Until we see it for ourselves, we are saying no freakin’ way. Also, Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take the Badgers and give the points.

Future Pimp
Missouri at Kansas State (+1) - Kansas State has shocked just about everyone in the sports world with their surprise run at the Big XII North championship. They have been playing well and are down right nasty at home this year (undefeated ATS this year at home). They gave Oklahoma a good run for their money earlier in the year and pounded Colorado and Texas A&M. Mizzou has been a huge disappointment this year. Granted they lost a ton to the draft last year, but still, we all thought they would be better than they are. They are off a very sad defeat to Baylor at home. We think this team is deflated and looking forward to the offseason. K State has way more to play for and will be ready. We are betting the Wildcats to cover and we expect the win.

UAB (-1.5) at Memphis - Not much to write-up here. Memphis is a complete disaster. They just fired their coach and they are not a deep team at all. UAB has been solid and has been good in this match-up in recent history (6-2-1 ATS). We think UAB rolls. Take the Blazers and give the points.

If This is the Typical Memphis Fan, How Can You Not Take UAB?!?!?! Even His Friend In the Back Knows That This Guy Is A Douche!!!!
Arizona at California (-3) - Zona is a very good team this year. They play smart. Cal had a decent run, but fell on bad times with some surprising, big losses. What will give? Zona should win this game. Cal lost their best player last week when Jahvid Best sustained another concussion. If you saw the footage of the play-it was an amazing effort and score-it was shocking to see him laid out like that. Even before that loss, though, Cal has not been good ATS (0-3 in their last three games), while Zona has been the exact opposite (3-0 ATS in their last 3). Zona has way more to play for. This would be a HUGE road win for them and would slingshot them up the rankings. They smell blood and will get it done. They will win outright, we love them even more with the points. The Tedford turd sandwich will definitely rear its ugly head in this game. Take Zona and the points.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (-6.5) -It has been awhile since we had the chance to rip on Notre Dame and there is no time like the present. This team is on the verge of collapse. Gotta love their reaction to last week’s defeat to Navy. According to Tom Coyne of the AP:
Notre Dame associate head coach Corwin Brown criticized Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo for his postgame comments about the Irish defensive game plan and for the way the way his team uses what Brown called “malicious” illegal cut blocks.
“I thought it was very disappointing what the Navy coach said after the game,” Brown said. “He didn’t want something to be misconstrued, then he said it regarding how we prepared and what we prepared to do.”
Brown went into his criticism of Niumatalolo after practice Wednesday night, cutting off a reporter before the first question could be asked and speaking for two minutes about the Navy coach.
The Midshipmen (7-3) beat the Irish 23-21 on Saturday, the second Navy win in three years against Notre Dame (6-3) after an NCAA-record 43 straight losses. Following the game, Niumatalolo said the Navy coaches expected the Notre Dame coaches to use a similar defensive scheme as in 2008 when the Irish held the Midshipmen to 178 yards rushing in a 27-21 loss.
“I think the one thing that helped us, and I really hope this doesn’t come across wrong, but I think the thing that helped us this year was last year because we knew that they’d line up the same way,” Niumatalolo said.
Brown said Niumatalolo should have known how his comment would be taken.
“In all the classy guys I’ve watched and played under, they would never say something like that,” he said.
Brown also criticized the way Niumatalolo coaches his players to block, point to a play last season where linebacker Brian Smith sustained a sprained knee because of an illegal cut block, missing the final two regular-season games. On Saturday, Navy receiver Nick Henderson was called for personal foul on a hit on cornerback Robert Blanton.
Brown called the hit on Blanton “one of the most malicious plays I’ve ever seen since I’ve been playing.”
Brown said he called Niumatalolo about the hit, saying he considered saying something to him before the game about the way Navy blocks.
“Very malicious,” Brown said. “In this game, which we’re supposed to be playing for our kids and we’re working for our kids, you don’t let your players do something like that.”
Nice work, Irish…criticize a military school on Veteran’s Day. We think they are a bunch of un-American evil doers!!!

Coach Wannstedt, All of America will be pulling for you and your mustache!! God Bless the USA!!
Plus, Big Chuckie Weis is in the media every day defending his players or throwing his players under the bus. Really depends on the day and now a closing schedule of Pitt, UCONN and Stanford is not looking so easy anymore. 6-2, turned into 6-3 and it could turn into 6-6 before we are done.

No, Charlie, That Is Not What the AD Meant When He Said "You Are Fired." Be Careful Dipshit, You'll Shoot Your Eye Out.
This is a nightmare matchup for Notre Dame. Pitt is literally better in all of the ball control stats we track. Pitt runs the ball better, converts third downs better, stops the run better, stops third downs better and really gets after the QB to the tune of 39 sacks. Notre Dame is coming off a ridiculous loss to Navy where it almost looked fixed there were so many missed red zone opportunities and missed field goals. We can not be happier. The continuous demise of the skipping leprechauns brings smiles to our faces every day. These teams are going in opposite directions. Notre Dame has lost three in a row ATS and Pitt has won three in a row ATS. We think Pitt will win big and get after the Irish!
Notre Dame
- Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
- Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Flash Flash for the Cash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 10 Picks: Thanksgiving is Coming Early!!!
The bad definitely follows the good. We were only 5-6 last week and that pisses us off. On the season we are now 58-55-2. A winning record, but a record that is not helping us beat the vig by any means. We are getting a ton of hits on our Twitter account and our Facebook profile is growing as well. Please click the buttons on the top right of this screen to instantly join up to follow us on those social mediums. You do not want to miss when we post our picks each week. Also, join Bodog!!! Bodog is super easy to bet through and they will pay out. Do not get caught up with any of the bullshit that is going on with other websites. Bodog is legit and will pay your winnings out, even to customers located in the United States. To see what Bodog has to offer, just click on one of our Bodog ads and check it out. Also, this website is for you our readers. We know you come to see what we have to say and to ultimately make money. We are here for you so if you want us to do something differently let us know by posting a comment at the bottom of one of the betting pieces or email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. As an early thanksgiving present for you all, we have some solid winners for ya. Here you go:
Saturday, November 7, 2009
CUSE at Pitt -20 : The Greg Paulus experiment is just not living up to the preseason hype. CUSE’s best player just straight quit the team. Winter is setting in. Things are not good in the Upstate NY area (at least they have their beloved Yanks!!). So, they want nothing more than to get out of dodge. The problem is their choice of locales this week is in Pittsburgh to face the Panthers. Bad idea. Pitt needs a win to keep pace with Cincy. Although CUSE has covered the last two times head-to-head, Pitt is undefeated SU at home this year and we don’t see them losing this week either. Should be an easy cover. Take Pitt and give the points.

Baylor @ Mizzou -14: This game is a little counter-intuitive. The ATS numbers say take the Bears, but we love Mizzou at home this week. Baylor has surprised us somewhat (we thought they would be ridiculously awful and not just awful) this year. However, they are awful and not good at all on the road. We love Mizzou to ride the momentum of their impressive road win against Colorado last time out. We think it will be a close cover, but Mizzou will git ‘er done! Take Mizzou and give the points.

Oregon (-7) at Stanford - We called last week’s Oregon/USC game spot on. Oregon is straight nasty. One of the most physical, we are gonna run the ball right down your throat teams in the country. Coach Chip Kelly has his Ducks flying high and Stanford is certainly not the team to slow them down. Chip Kelly teams do not have letdowns. We are loving that this line is only Oregon -7. We would not hesitate taking this line up to 14. We are betting Oregon to win and cover!

Houston (-1) at Tulsa (Over/Under 67.5) - This game is going to be fun. Our boy Case Keenum has been lighting it up lately and he is our choice for the Heisman right now. Since the Cougs freak loss to UTEP they have put together 4 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins. After losing to Boise State, Tulsa has lost two more and it really not playing well. We know Houston’s defense stinks and we know Houston played a 50-43 game last week against Southern Miss so looking for 68 points is not even an issue. We have no idea why this line is this close and we expect Houston to dominate. We are betting Houston to win and cover and we are taking the Over.

USC (-10) at Arizona State - USC had no chance last week against Oregon but Pete Carroll’s teams just do not lose in November. A few weeks ago we watched Stanford out work and out physical Arizona State and if Stanford could do it, USC will have absolutely no trouble moving the ball on the Sun Devils. We are expecting a USC 31-10 outcome. We are betting USC to win and cover!

Western Michigan at Michigan State (-20) - This is the perfect fit in game for Michigan State. They suffered a devastating loss against Iowa and then followed that up by losing badly at Minnesota. The Western Michigan Broncos are just the team to snap Michigan State out of their funk. We are betting Michigan State to win big!

Ohio State at Penn State (-5) - Since losing a terrible game to Purdue, Ohio State is back doing what they do in the Big Ten and against inferior competition and that is winning their last two games by a margin of 83-7. Since losing to Iowa, Penn State has rattled off 5 straight wins straight up and ATS. If we are going to bet a team that needs a win and needs a win in the Big Ten, it will always be Ohio State and Jim Tressel and not the dinosaur across the way. We even get points. We are betting Ohio State to cover!!!

LSU at Alabama (-7.5) - This is the game of the week and the game of ineptitude in our eyes. Yes we are anti SEC biased but Alabama is just not that good. Their QB is terrible and that makes them one dimensional. One dimensional teams never succeed against well coached teams and teams with good defenses. These are two traits LSU has. We are not sure LSU has enough offense to win the game outright but we think they have a chance. We just think 7.5 points is way too many and LSU will do enough to keep it close. We are betting LSU to cover!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Picks, Chicks and a Salute to Texas RPJ $tyle!
We are 39-39-1 heading into the weekend while waiting for the outcome of the PITT/Rutgers game. So far we are 1-1 on the week. We are very, very afraid this week because we love a ton of games. We usually end up with 3-8 games but this week we are unleashing the fury Mitch!!! When these weeks come, when all of our models and opinions sync up, we hammer the games. This week we are going to discuss some of the marquee matchups and then sling picks for the obvious games. Enjoy the picks. May your wallets be stuffed, your beer fridge full and your girl’s face on your (insert noun here)! It is Red River rivalry and USC/Notre Dame week. We are fired up.
These teams do not need any detailed analysis Games: These picks are pretty straight forward and are set up as either a good team versus a bad team or a bad team versus a horrific team. We are not going to go into detailed analysis to save our carpel tunnel syndrome. Feel free to use our website and our free matchup tools. Click here to stroll through our free data! Just click on this link, find the game you want to analyze and click away on the matchup, supergrid and or preview functions. There is tons of free data for you to use on your own. Bodog has been an awesome partner for us and if you like our picks, which you should of late, help us out by clicking on one of the banner advertisements to sign up for a Bodog account and to get free money.
Kent State at E. Michigan (+6.5) - Give us some credit, you have to respect anyone that is going to drop any sort of knowledge on a Kent State-EMU game!!!! Sometimes we just make it easy for you. Eastern Michigan is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country, sitting at 1-4 ATS and 0-5 on the season. So do not be deceived that Eastern Michigan almost beat Northwestern. Other than that, they have been pounded by the likes of Army and Temple to name a few of the teams they lost to. They also lost to Michigan and Central Michigan but that was expected. We expect Kent State to rebound from the horrible loss to Bowling Green last week. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven. We are betting Kent State to win and cover!!!
Hawaii at Idaho (-8) - Do you know who the best cover team is in the country right now? We do and it is the Idaho Vandals. Idaho is 5-1 overall and 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came at Washington and this team actually won at Northern Illinois and Colorado State. Very impressive. Who are we to bet against them. We love any opportunity to bet on the Vandals!! We are betting Idaho to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5) - Central Michigan is one of the best cover teams in the nation sitting at 5-1. With their lone ATS loss at Buffalo by 1.5 points or so, depending on where you got the line. We also have a bizarre man crush on Dan LeFevour and we are unlikely to bet against him. We have been lucky that he rewarded us nicely two years ago when he was 100% healthy and has rewarded us again this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!
Houston at Tulane (-17) - Well Toolame burned us last week but we are persistent. Houston will run and gun and sling it all over the place. Toolame is not that good and still have the swine flu lingering around campus. Never a good combo..bad football and swine flu. Our boy Case Keenum is going to put 50 on these guys. We are betting Houston to win and cover!!!
BYU (-17) at San Diego State - Another battle of the shit show matchups. BYU has talent. San Diego State does not. BYU = 4-2 ATS. San Diego State = 1-4 ATS. San Diego State basically loses to who they are supposed to lose to. See losses to UCLA, Idaho and Air Force and they beat who they are supposed to beat most of the time. BYU will beat San Diego State and they will beat them easily. We are betting BYU to win and cover!!!
Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5) - If you have not picked up on it yet, bet against Kentucky every week you can in the SEC. They snuck one in on us at South Carolina last week but we got nice covers with Alabama and Florida. We are going to ride the anti-Kentucky bandwagon once again. We still have no clue as to how this program is in any Div 1 conference. They are terrible even for SEC standards. Auburn wins and covers!!!
Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue - Another certainty, Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten and covers most of the time. Just keep riding the wave. This is not rocket science. Ohio State has covered every Big Ten game this year (3-0) and Purdue has lost all of them (0-2). Ohio State is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Purdue is in a major transition year. New coach. New players. New offensive philosophy. They have been playing games hard, but they just don’t have the talent and cohesion OSU has. This game may be close in the first half, as the Boilermaker faithful will be out in full force and going bananas. However, OSU will pull away in the 2nd half. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!
Illinois (-3) at Indiana - We love this game!! Runny has been to it in person a couple of times. It is like a battle of the two worse state fairs you can think of!!! These teams hate each other. The Hoosiers have been a HUGE surprise this year. The fact this team has even won one game is shocking. The Illini have also blown our minds with some of the worse play in college football (we picked this team to beat Mizzou outright in week one!!!!). Juice is a huge bust. Benn is having a terrible year. So, what will give in this sideshow of a game??? The Illini will give. They are favorites based on the rep and promise over the past few seasons. This team is not the team that played SC in the Rose Bowl. The Hoosiers will win outright. Take Indiana at home with the points.
Louisville at UCONN (-13)- Big East match-up with implications. The Huskies are looking to show their program is no fluke and the Cardinals are trying to salvage some respectability at home. UConn’s pogram IS solid. They are similar to Cincy. They are well coached and play hard. They will be stoked at home. The cover will be close, but the Huskies will still pull it out. This is another one of the brainless picks. UCONN is 5-0 against the spread. Always bet into strength. This line seems awfully high but bet it with confidence. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Iowa at Wisconsin (-3) - This game is a trap!! Beware!!! There is absolutely no logical reason to justify why the Hawkeyes are the dogs in this game. The Hawkeyes are arguably the best team in the Big 10. Wisconsin is having a down year. Although the Badgers are at home in Madison where it is extremely tough to play, this team is just not that good and they are certainly not playing to the level of Iowa right now. Further proof of the trap comes from the numbers: 68% of the money is on Iowa and the line opened Iowa -1. The line should have gone up, not down to the Badgers as favorites. VEGAS KNOWS!! Don’t fall for it!! Take Iowa to win and cover!
Washington at Arizona State (-6.5) - Is it us, or does ASU break your hearts every freakin’ year? Every year this team has the promise of being good, and every year, we bet them and bet them only to get left at the alter. Not this time!! The Huskies have an entirely new lease on life. After beating USC, they have shown they have some swagger and the guts to hang in there against anyone. They played the Irish super tough in the South Bend, so they have shown that road trips do not scare them. They will be ready for the PAC-10 game. ASU may win, but it will be within a TD. Take the Huskies and the points!
Stanford at Arizona (-4.5) - Very similar game to the Washington-ASU game. Stanford gets the edge for us despite being on the road. They are really well coached (Harbaugh may be one the best coaches in Div 1 football). Harbaugh gets more out of talent than any coach in the country (except for maybe Chris Peterson in Boise). They are a smart team. Zona is solid, too, but Stanford will be ready and they are playing with a chip on their shoulders for some national respect. Take the Cards and the points.
Arkansas at Florida (-25) - This game has “let down” written all over it. Everyone has anointed the Gators as national champs despite having half the season left to go. The Gators are in cruise control. They will be at home. They have not looked dominating at all. Not at all. The Razorbacks having nothing to lose and they will pull out all the stops. They have a solid QB in Ryan Mallett. He can straight sling it!!! The gators have not faced a QB this good all year. Remember Ole Miss last year? The Razorbacks could do the same thing. Plus, don’t underestimate Petrino. He is a good coach, and we know he can play dirty (just ask Arthur Blank and the Falcons). Look for Petrino to pull an Arkansas sweathog move and knock Tebow out of the game! Take the ‘Backs and the points.
Not the Red River Rivalry but the next best game of the week!
Southern California (-10) at Notre Dame - For months people (i.e. the media and dumb Domers) have been touting the Irish as a legit BCS championship contender and one of the best teams in the country. Guess what? Another year proves yet again that they are probably the most overrated program in all of sports. If they were in the SEC they would probably be ranked #5 in the country, but we know they are a joke. Michael Floyd is out for this game so that means the only threat they have is Golden Tate. That is not enough against this SC Defense. USC comes in with tons of swagger knowing that they have stomped this team in recent years. They also are playing inspired ball from rallying behind their fallen comrad, Stephon Johnson. USC relishes playing opponents on the road under the spotlight. Barkley knows he is the man for this team, and he is grasping control of the offense more and more each week. They destroyed Cal in Berkley two weeks ago, and that team had WAAAAAAAY more talent on both sides of the ball than this Irish team. This game will not be close. Look for a HUGE game from Taylor Mays as Clausen tries to test fate and go deep on this team. Mays will get him. Now that we got our USC homerness out of the way you really need to think about this game logically. Look at the line and what do you see? USC is favored, on the road, against the 25th rated team in the country, against the QB with the best QB rating in the country, a team with multiple 4th quarter comebacks and USC is playing a true freshmen. Did you just follow that sequence of logic? Makes you want to bet Notre Dame right? Well we always say that Vegas knows and Vegas set this line at ten points because Vegas knows all of the Notre Dame idiots will easily bet this game at USC -10. That line speaks volumes. If Notre Dame was any good the line would not be USC -10. Be safe, be smart and listen to Vegas. Plus, look at the picture below….could you feel remotely safe betting on a team with that guy leading the charge?What the hell does the “CC” stand for on the banana hammock on the dude on the left? How is he not getting crushed in the papers for this? Take USC and gladly give the points.
USC
- Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. INDEP.
- Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
- Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
- Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Red River Rivalry Game of the week!
Oklahoma at Texas (-3) - The Sooners need this game more, but Texas is just too good right now. Bradford is not close to 100% and Stoops cannot win big games. McCoy is primed for a huge game. He will get it this week against the Sooners. Oklahoma is another one of those early season teams that had uncertainty on their O-line. This has not been solved due to injuries and Texas is going to bring a nasty defense to the Texas State Fair. If you watched last week’s game, Sam Bradford is not ready to go and one more week of practice will help but will certainly not make him comfortable. These teams look very similar on paper but we think the difference will be QB and O-line and Texas wins both of those matchups. And how could we forget Big Game Bob Stoops. Big Game Bob is 0-4 ATS in his last 4 in this series and we expect the pain to continue. We are betting Texas to win and cover!!!
Oklahoma
- Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Sooners are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
- Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
- Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Texas
- Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
- Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Longhorns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
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Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 15 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks and Week 14 NFL Picks: The Wildcard Returns!!!!
RPJ $yndicate uses this website to post our own picks and to post the picks of our faithful readers. Our philosophy on betting is the more info you can get, the more opinions you hear, the better off everyone will be. This is America and information and debate are allowed and encouraged. So we are bringing back one of our fatihful and most loyal content providers aka The Wild Card.
Here we go everyone. 4-2 last week, and 7-6 overall for my boys at RPJ. It’s not fantastic but I’m still in the black.
I make my picks and then review them before throwing down anything. After looking over things this week, it looks like I’m going all favorites. It’s not necessarily a bad thing, though. As long as they all cover!
Here it goes…a defining week heading into bowl season!
Florida -10 vs. Alabama (Neutral)
Starting off with the big one this weekend. Vegas is absolutely begging you to take Alabama. The #1 team in the country is undefeated in the SEC and is STILL a 10 point dog? It doesn’t matter. This game reminds me of USC / Ohio State early in the year. One team is a juggernaut and the other does just enough to get by. Florida is hungry, fast and talented. They do it with D and break the opportunistic TD. Take Florida -10 because they win by 20.
Boston College -1 vs. Virginia Tech (Neutral)
I really liked what I saw last week from BC’s freshman QB. Both defenses are tough, keeping this game close. VT has more NFL talent but they just don’t ever seem to put it together. Boston College -1 in a close one.
Ball State -15 vs. Buffalo (Neutral)
This one frightens me a bit because Buffalo always keeps their games close. I think Nate Davis comes out firing and shows people that he’s not only a NFL player but a Heisman candidate. They’ll make people want to watch them somewhere else than Detroit this Bowl season. Plus, Flash is hot on the Mac. Take Ball State -15 as they roll Buffalo.
Oklahoma -17 vs. Missouri (Neutral)
It’s tempting to take Maclin and Chase with the 17 points but I just can’t. Not with the secondary Mizzou has, and not with Oklahoma on the other side of the field. I expect this to be a Texas Tech type game for Oklahoma to prove to the world they belong over Texas. Oklahoma drops 60 again and Missouri scores some at the end of the game, but not enough to cover. Take Oklahoma -17.
Cincinnati -7 @ Hawaii
This is like a vacation for the Bearcats after already clinching the BCS game. But they just are flat out more talented than Hawaii, even after some mai tais and a 10 hour flight. Take UC -7. By the half point to play it safe.
Arizona State @ Arizona -10.5
Arizona is pretty solid at home, and if it wasn’t for the choke job against Oregon State this spread would be 20. Arizona State has no offensive line and this spread is lower than it should be. Rudy Carpenter, you’ve had a nice career. Go Arizona -10.5 as they win by 17.
Browns @ Titans -14
As a Browns fan, this one hurts. But Ken Dorsey? Without his U brother Winslow playing? No chance. The Browns won’t do anything on offense and the defense won’t hold Tennessee’s running game. This one is ugly early and the Titans -14 win by 27.
Dolphins pick em vs. Bills (Neutral)
The Dolphins do just enough to win against these crappy teams. Buffalo isn’t playing at home and their QB’s are awful. Miami wins in another close one, so take the Dolphins SU.
Redskins @ Ravens -5
The Ravens defense will completely shut down the anemic ‘Skins offense. Just like last week, the Ravens will somehow score some points on defense. Take the Ravens -5.
Bucs @ Panthers -3
The Panthers are undefeated at home, and this one is on Monday night. You have to love the Bucs grittiness, but go with the home team on Monday night who just happens to have more weapons. Go with the Panthers -3 because they win by 13.
And of course I will contribute with an Ass pic. That is the way RPJ rolls.
Sincerely,
The Wild Card
Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks (Week 15, 2008)
It has been awhile since the Herd bombed it. he turned in a 1-3 weekend last week and is now 38-25-1. That record my friends is still awesome. We are going to post what The Herd had to say this morning. Look for our picks later in the day. From The mough of the Herd:
The Herd is picking 4 games this week and he says he is winning at a 66-67% clip (if you do the math abouve it is 60%) and that since he bombed it last weekend he is due for a big weekend.
BC versus Va Tech (pick em) - There are no great teams int he ACC. It is the most balanced conference in the USA. Even Duke went on the road and won in SEC country. BC lost its QB and will be starting a red shirt freshmen. That freshmen did not play in BC’s win earlier in the year at home. Virginia Tech has great D and special teams. Even Matt Ryan could not beat Va. Tech in the ACC championship game last year. Score prediction - Va. Tech 27 BC 21. Take Virginia Tech to win!
ASU at Arizona (-11) - This is the lock of the year out West. Stoops is coaching forhis job, is at home and is coming off a bye. This is Arizona’s bowl game and game of the season. Arizona State is missing 8 starters from opening day all due to injury. Score prediction = Arizona 31 Arizona State 13. Take Arizona to win and cover!
Oklahoma versus Mizzou (+17) - Sooners have dominated this game in recent years. Missouri has an elite QB but the team does not have an elite roster. Mizzou has not won this game in 6 years. Oklahoma rolls. Score prediction = Oklahoma 51 Mizzou 21. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
Florida versus Bama (+10) - When it comes to gambling watch what the public is doing and do the opposite. The public is hammering Florida in this one. The best defensive team has won this game the past 6 years. Bama has the better defense. The higher ranked team wins this game 70% of the time. Bama is the higher ranked team. When evaluating high profile teams you need to look at their body of work against the same opponents. Ole Miss is just like Bama. A big, physical team that likes to push people around and that is what Bama will look to do. Bama can control the line of scrimmage and keep Florida off the field. Saban + big game + 10 points is a no brainer. Score prediction = Florida 30 Bama 28. Take Bama to cover!
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!
It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)
We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.
Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:
Purdue
- Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Iowa
- Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!
UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!
Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!
Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
- Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.
Check out these scores:
2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12
2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16
2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17
2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30
See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!
Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Auburn
- Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!
Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
- Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!
USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!
Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)
Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.
Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.
UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.
Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.
Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.
BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.
South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.
Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.
Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.
Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)
Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Michigan
- Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!
Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!
RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 10 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Real Deal
Here is the deal. We went 0-9 in NCAA football last weekend. We are not some posers that say we win all the time and when we say our money is where our mouth is, we mean it. We lost a ton of money last weekend. Enough money to make paying the bills difficult, enough money to eat Ramen for the week cause we can’t take our ladies out to dinner, enough money so that the bank accounts literally registered zero after Saturday. Runny had to go work the street corner to dig up enough scratch to bet NFL games on Sunday (mind you, he does love him some workin’ corners, so it wasn’t too bad-haha!). Alright, that was a joke but when we say we feel the pain and share the gain, we EFFING mean it. Last weekend hurt a lot. We know we are slinging ads at you, trying to build a brand here and then follow that up with shiznitty picks and we know you wish you could meet us in a dark alley and beat the tar out of us. We are pissed too, we are a lot lighter in the wallets and we wish we had answers for last weekend. Last weekend was last weekend and if you followed us closely we went 0-9 on Saturday and then we went 9-0 Sunday through Tuesday. You know what that says…the gambling gods tried to give us a big EFF you and we came back strong. Our confidence in our models is unflappable we will turn this ship around and put money in your wallets before the year is out. Enough with the self loathing and on with the self promotion. Ha ha.
Well we have been rehashing our awful, awful weekend and we have to just put our nose to the grindstone and chalk up a sacrifice to the gambling gods. We did recover nicely though with an undefeated Sunday, Monday and Tuesday so we made all of our cash back pretty quickly. Also, if the Philadelphia Phillies can win the World Series, we all know miracles can happen. Due to superstitions we will never post anything from the Urban Dictionary ever again. So this week we are going to come at you with news of the weird and of course the hot chicks you tell us you love. Check out this story….Pub spat erupts after feces found in ice cream. If your gelato smells like poo we have a suggestion, DON’T EAT IT!!!
RPJ $yndicate is 29-36-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 14-8-2 on the season
Runny Pelvis is 19-20-1 on the season
Since we felt the pain last week and made your bank accounts lighter we are going to extend some free cash your way. Simply click on the Bodog ad in this post, sign up for a sportsbook account and we will give you an extra 10% on your initial deposit. Giving you free cash is the least we can do after our poor performance.
To make your RPJ experience even better we have also added some additional features. If at any point, you want to know what the lines are for all current sporting events, click on our LIVE ODDS tab right in this post and then bookmark it so you have a one stop shop for all of your odds. The next feature, which is even better is our MATCHUPS tab. Do us a favor. Click the matchups tab right in this post, Scroll down to the Florida/Georgia helmets and click on matchup within the helmet box. How awesome is that? You get to see an injury report for each team. ATS numbers, Betting trends, the last ten matchups head-to-head in a summary and with detail, last 5 games numbers, the weather and tons of great stats. Where else can you get that information all in one screenshot? We say nowhere. Hopefully you will bookmark our matchups page and use this great tool for your own benefit. Now on with the picks, right after this great arse!!!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (29-36-2)
Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-29.5) - We normally hate betting lines over 29 points but when the 29 points is for the home team we think twice. And who can argue with this OSU tail.
The Cowboys boast one of the top offenses in the nation, ranking seventh in scoring at 43.6 points per game and eighth in total offense at 490.8 yards per game. They’ll be taking on a defense that’s 102nd in the country in points allowed (31.6 per game) and total defense (422.8 ypg). Iowa State’s pass defense has been particularly bad lately, allowing an average of 329.0 yards through the air in four games since the start of October - second-worst in the Football Bowl Subdivision in that span. Oklahoma State’s offense is led by Robinson, who has thrown for 1,092 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception in his last five games, and Kendall Hunter, fourth in the nation in rushing yards with 1,116. Considering Hunter rushed for 161 yards on 18 attempts last week against the nation’s third-ranked run defense, he shouldn’t have trouble finding room to run against Iowa State, which has allowed 170.3 rushing yards per game and 17 touchdowns on the ground this season. Iowa State, meanwhile, has been awful on the road, losing 14 in a row away from Ames since a 42-14 win at Texas A&M on Oct. 29, 2005. It’s also dropped 33 consecutive regular season road contests against Top 25 opponents since a 33-31 win over Oklahoma on Oct. 20, 1990. Lets check out the ATS numbers:
Iowa State
Cyclones are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cyclones are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Cyclones are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss.
Cyclones are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cyclones are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Cyclones are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Cowboys are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
When you throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, we think that puts the icing on the cake. Oklahoma State wins and covers!
Florida (-6.5) at Georgia (neutral site) - If you think Urban Meyer has not put this game on his calendar, you are outta your freakin mind. Urban first referenced this game back in July and has let the bad taste in his mouth fester since then. If you think Georgia’s behavior from last year was forgotten and is behind Urban Meyer….you are outta your freakin mind. Let us remind you what happened last year.
We have been waiting for this game and for this bet since last year. We challenge you to name one game that Urban Meyer geared up for and lost. We can not find one. Florida and Urban Meyer are legit and this is the game that dreams are made of. Georgia has no freakin chance. Yes we love the word freakin this week but we are passionate about the Gators. Check out the ATS numbers:
Florida
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Gators are 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Ats numbers do not help you in this one. Urban Meyer is KING!!! Do not bet against him in this game. We are not even sure why we wrote up this game. Urban Meyer + Tim Tebow versus Mark Richt 2007 Bullshiznit = Florida wins easily. We get 6.5 points and you get a winner. Florida wins and covers easily!
Yes it is time for some arse!!!
Arizona State at Oregon State (-15.5) - There is nothing better when we can have cheerleaders battle for their team’s RPJ backing.
Even though ASU is appealing for our pick we have to go with our gut. Check out the ATS numbers:
ASU
Sun Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in November.
Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Sun Devils are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Oregon State
Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Beavers are 23-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Beavers are 42-17 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.
Beavers are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oregon State.
Is that pick easy enough for you? C’mon now. Oregon State wins easily and big!!!
Lets add some more levity to this post. Check out this real story. We can not make this crap up if we tried and believe you me we tried. Police arrest Mich. man for car wash vacuum sex. As we said, we could not make up this crap if we tried.
The Great Debate Game #4 (Flash Flash leads the season series 2-1)
Texas (-3) at Texas Tech - This game has serious BCS national title implications and we are back for another debate game. Flash is picking one side and Runny is on the other side. This is the 4th Great Debate Game for RPJ and Flash Flash wins the heads up battle at 2-1. Lets look at the ATS numbers before we give you our rationale.
Texas
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Longhorns are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.
Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games in November.
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
Red Raiders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why: You do not mess with the best. Texas is the best team in the country and quoting the good ole mantra that always matters….Defense wins championships!!! Texas is an elite TEAM, Texas Tech is an elite offense. TEAMS win games and championships. I think I might be the only person in the country who thinks this game will not be close but I am not afraid to run with the Horns. Texas has played with the best teams in its conference and it has beaten them when it counts. Texas will not overlook Texas Tech because they are playing on the road. I am ont worried about Texas’ “young secondary” because they handled Bradord and Oklahoma just fine and they handled Robinson and the Cowboys just fine. Do not count Texas out. Texas wins and covers easily!!!
Runny Pelvis is picking Texas Tech and here is why: I still think Texas is hyped way too much. Don’t get me wrong, I think they deserve to be ranked #1. They have won big games on big stages this year. However, OK State showed that they can be beat last week-they just didn’t get it done. I think this is the week they go down. The reasons? Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree. These two guys are legit and in sync. Crabtree plays like a true #1 player-he wants the ball EVERY time and he is not afraid. Texas comes into this game with a very young secondary. They have not faced a player of Crabtree’s ability yet this year. Harrell knows how to get him the ball. Statistically, Harrell’ stats are just as impressive as McCoy’s. I think once Tech wins this game, Harrell gets the Heisman. Also, most of Tech’s players are rejects from Texas. They will have an amped crowd behind them and they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. I think Tech wins outright, so I’ll gladly take the points.
One more story of the weird. We are not making this crap up….DA: H.S. Coach Spends Uniform Money At Strip Club
Flash Flash Picks (14-8-2 on the season)
Tulsa (-7) at Arkansas - I am on the Tulsa bandwagon and you can ont throw me off. And yes I know they effed me last week not meeting the OVER. Well I am back for more. Tulsa has the top ranked offense in the country and is looking to end a 16 game losing streak to Arkansas. Tulsa leads D-1 with 56.6 points and 624.7 yards per game, and has converted 61% of its third-down chances. Yes I will say it, Arkansas blos. Check out the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Golden Hurricane are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.
Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Arkansas
Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
As I said….Arkansas is not good. Tulsa should be able to handle the Razorbacks no problem. Take Tulsa to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (19-20-1 on the season)
Air Force (-7.5) at Army: I’m a huge fan of armed forces games. They are great rivalries that get totally overlooked by the media. This one is a good one, too. Army is putting together a solid season and Air Force is doing the same. Air Force may even make a Bowl-to do so they need this win to solidify their chances. The key to this game is scheduling. Air Force has played much harder teams and has been very successful. I think they will do the same this week. FACTS: Army is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Air Force and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against Air Force. Finally, Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home against military schools. I’m taking Air Force and giving the points.
West Virginia (-4) at UCONN: The Mountaineers roll into Storrs looking to solidify their hold on the Big East. They face a Huskies team that is outstanding at home. Very much so against the Big East (UConn is 7-4 ATS against Big East teams at home). I think this game comes down to health-WVA has a healthy Pat White back. That is all they need. FACTS: UConn is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against WVA and WVA is 8-1 ATS against teams that are off striaght-up, underdog wins. I’m taking WVA and giving the points.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-7.5): Short and sweet-this is another game that comes down to health for me. The Wildcats will be without their starting RB and possibly their QB. Both have been key components in NW’s success this year. Although the ATS numbers favor NW, I think the injuries will slow them down a ton in this game. Add that this is a road game against a conference rival. I think all of that is too much for NW to handle. I’m taking the Golden Gophers and giving the points.
Missouri (-21) at Baylor: This may be my favorite game of the week. Baylor can be a tough place to play, but I think Mizzou KILLS them in this one. Mizzou showed last week that they are not afraid to run up the score. Late last week against Colorado, they had the game in-hand by a mile but they kept throwing it up. They will do the same. Baylor cannot score and they will reach a point where Mizzou is so far ahead that the Bears will become on dimensional. That does not bode well for an offensively challenged team. The Bears boast the #87 passing D in the country…bad news for them this week. Chase Daniel is a Texan and will pile the points up in this one. Baylor is also starting a Freshman QB. They are done. FACTS: Mizzou is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Baylor, 12-2 ATS after Colorado and 36-3-2 ATS win they win straight-up away. This will be ugly. I’m taking Mizzou and gladly giving the points.
Washington at USC (-46): This line cracks me up!!! The funny part about it is that it should be higher. It should be over 50 all day. USC owns the Huskies at home (1-3 ATS in their last 4 meetings), and the Huskies are riding in with a lame duck coach. That does not bode well for the Huskies. USC needs to destroy this team for the polls, and they will have no problem doing it. Last week the Huskies gave-up 30+ at home to Notre Dame and could only muster one score. Well, USC has the best D in the country so that one score will not happen. USC has only given up 13 second half points ALL YEAR!!!. That’s right-13 total second half points!! Ridiculous. I’m calling this the Retainer Game because USC’s AD should have a fleet of attorneys on the sidelines to defend their players after the numerous crimes that will be committed. This game will be out of hand early. USC will score way more than 30. I’m predicting a shutout and I’m taking USC even if the line was 50.
Arkansas State (+23.5) at Alabama: This is my upset cover of the year. Arkansas State has no chance of winning this game, but covering is a different story. To me, this game is about timing-Arkansas State is catching the Tide right at the right time. Bama has had all week of people telling them they are so great. In comes a team they should beat by 40. However, Arkansas State will be rolling in with a veteran QB and they can score some points. Not enough to win, but enough to keep it close. On top of Bama’s ego, they will be looking past Red Wolves to their important match-up with LSU. The Red Wolves will catch the mighty Tide nappin’ in this one. I’m taking Arkansas State and the points.
Happy Halloween. RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny
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Week 7 2008: Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks
Colin rebounded after a bunch of losing weeks in a row and went 3-2 last week. He is now 16-12-1 on the season and we know he will be back with a bunch of picks this week. He knows we are tracking him and no longer tries to make up his record on the air so we think that his “honesty” will continue. He did acknowledge that he was 3-2 last week and did not give a season long record. Here are his picks for Week 7:
LSU at Florida (-6) - LSU has won 3 of 4 overall and 2 of 3 in Gainesville. LSU has also won 19 straight night games including games on the road. LSU never beats themselves. LSU has 4 RBs on their roster and one of them have ever fumbled. LSU lives for the big games. The one drawback is that Florida has the better QB and The Herd does not like young QBs on the road in big games. Score prediction = Florida 27 LSU 26. Take LSU and the points.
Texas at Oklahoma (-6.5) - TEam with the higer ranking has won thisgame the last 9 years. Sam Bradford has 4 different WRs that average ten yards or more after the catch. Texas is starting two freshmen in their secondary and that means they will not be able to cover 4 great Oklahoma WRs. In the Herd’s mind, Oklahoma is the better team. Score prediction = Oklahoma 33 Texas 23. Take Oklahoma to win and cover.
Notre Dame at UNC (-8.5) - Young Notre Dame offense on the road versus young, athletic UNC defense at home. UNC defense has 12 picks and has returned 3 for TDs. They can get after the ball. UNC has played to great back-to-back games and young teams never play three great back-to-back games in a row. Score prediction = UNC 28 - Notre Dame 24. Take Notre Dame and the points.
Arizona State at USC (-28.5) - Danny Sullivan is starting for ASU, not Rudy Carpenter and his 37 what was straight starts. ASU can not run the ball so they are one dimensional and that is trouble. USC is a lousy conference cover team when the spread is over 21 points. ASU’s season is basically over and this is the one game that can save them so look for ASU to play hard. USC will win and try and get up early so they can take Sanchez out of the game. Score prediction = USC 37 ASU 17. Take ASU and the points.
Penn State at Wisconsin (+6.5) - Wisconsin is mentally spent after losing two close games late. Wisconsin’s QB will be on the run and he is not mobile. Wisconsin is all about PJ Hill and when he runs for more than 100 yards they are 15-1 overall. He will not be able to run against penn State. Score prediction = Penn State 28 Wisconsin 20. Take Penn State to win and cover.
There you go with Colin’s Wheel of Genius picks. Good luck.
9/20/2008 - Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks - Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!
First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.
Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.
Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….
And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….
And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.
Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.
Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Temple at Penn State (-28.5) - Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:
Temple
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.
Penn State
NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.
LSU at Auburn (+2.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:
LSU
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.
Auburn
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.
Wake Forest at Florida State (-5) - This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:
Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.
Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) - Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….
Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Michigan State
Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.
Head-to-Head
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.
Runny Versus Flash - The Great Debate Game
Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:
Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Arizona State
Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.
Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.
Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap - THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?
The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.
(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).
Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.
Flash Flash Picks (3-1 on the season) and the rule of 28
Seems like all my picks have 28 point spreads. Here goes:
Wyoming at BYU (-28) - BYU is coming of a total decimation of UCLA in very impressive fashion and continuing with the nation’s longest winning streak. BYU has the toughness and wants to make it into the BCS title picture. Some points to think about…Last week, the Cougars rolled up 521 total yards even though no individual player had more than 110 yards from scrimmage. The Cougars forced four turnovers and allowed nine rushing yards on 16 carries in handing UCLA its first shutout loss since 2001. Do not doubt this team for a second. 28 points does not scare me. BYU wins and covers convincingly!!!
Rice at Texas (-28) - Good things typically happen for Texas when it meets Rice. The Longhorns, who have won nine straight games over the Owls, are 37-1 against them since 1966 to improve to 68-21-1 in the all-time series, which dates to 1914. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Rice Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Texas wins and covers easily!!!
Runny Pelvis (6-6 on the season)
VaTech at UNC (-3) - UNC shocked me last week with their dominating win over Rutgers in Jersey. Pretty damn impressive. Butch Davis has completely turned that program around. He has done an excellent job of recruiting and it is starting to show. Props to him and that team. However, the Hokies have a great coach, too, and a very established program. Frank Beamer knows how to run a team. Despite the fact that they have looked bad this year and lost their opener to East Carolina, I think they cover in this one. I love the points. Some facts: Tech is 10-1 ATS on the road against opponents they beat the year before, Tech is 12-2 in their lined road openers and UNC is 2-8 as Favorites of 6 points or less. VaTech covers and wins outright.
Miss St. at GaTech (-7.5) - Miss St scrapped last week against Auburn. Impressive? Not to me. Their schedule has been a joke: the lost to LaTech and beat SE LA. That’s right-SE LA!!!! Tech, on the other hand played J’Ville St, BC and VaTech. Much more impressive to me. Paul Johnson is a great coach and within two years, he will have GaTech competing for a BCS title. They aren’t there yet, but I think they are the much better team here. Also, Miss St is 1-6 ATS in their games immediately following Auburn. That says to me that they blow their loads against Auburn. Bad timing this week. I’m taking GaTech -7.5.
Iowa at Pitt (+1) - This line says a lot about how Pitt’s season is going. With all the pre-season hype and the studs they have on this team, no way Pitt should be an underdog in this game. However, after an opening loss to Bowling Green and not destroying Buffalo, Pitt finds themselves sucking it. They haven’t covered all year, and they won’t this week. Iowa has a solid D (allowing a Nation’s best only 2.7 points per game) and they beat their bitter rival last week. We like them here, too. Facts: Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against a team .600 or better under Dave Wannstadt. Enough said for me. Take Iowa -1.
Central Michigan at Purdue (O/U: 64.5) - You readers know that we love us some Dan LaFevour. He is the man!! He knows how to run wild and throw-up some points. However, so does Curtis Painter and Purdue. I love he MAC and I researched this game more than any other this week. Honestly, I cannot figure out who will cover (at posting time, Purdue is giving 3). So, I’m not picking a team. I’m taking the game. Both teams can throw-up massive amounts of point. I love the over in this. Take the OVER 64.5.
Troy at Ohio State (-20.5) - OSU is fresh off the drubbing they received at the hands of SC last weekend. They were completely over matched and dejected by halftime. Now they come home with their tails between their legs and looking to salvage their program and self-respect. Beanie Wells is out, and there has been no decision on who will start at QB. If Tressel is smart, he will go with Pryor for the rest of the season. We watched him in person last week and think he is every bit as good as advertised. He needs to play. However, I think Tressel is still going to play him in spots. I think this is a mistake. This strategy barely beat Ohio. Troy is a MUCH better team than that. They play good D and they smell blood. Facts: Troy is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and OSU is 0-5 at home against non-conference opponents who are coming of a straight-up win. I think OSU wins, but Troy can keep it within 20.5.
Bama at Ark (+8.5) - HUGE SEC battle!! I can’t wait to watch this game. Both coaches left the NFL under high scrutiny. Both have excellent NCAA coaching histories. Bama is stacked and had, in my opinion, the best recruiting class in the country. Julio Jones is a future NFL star and an immediate difference make. Ark does not have that type of player, but they can still play. Both teams will be geeked for this game. What will give? I say Ark covers. Facts: The Dog in this series is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 match-ups, and Ark is 7-1 as underdogs off a non-conference game vs. an opponent off double digit straight-up win. Due to hurricane Ike, Ark is rested and this is the game they have had circled all year. I think they get a huge emotional edge at home. I’m taking the points and riding Ark +8.5.
Ball State at Indiana (-3) - I will be heading to this game and tailgating like a madman. This is a HUGE rivalry for the great state of Indiana. Both teams will be fired-up. I can’t wait!! Should be shootout, but I think Ball State covers. Facts: IU is 6-1-1 against the MAC and 6-1 at home against an opponent off of back-to-back straight-up ATS wins. This favors IU immensely and give that they are in the Big 10, they should blow Ball State out. However, they have had some turmoil this season (Middleton suspension) and they have not looked that great. Balls State is hot, and I can guarantee you that have had this game circled on their calendars since they were pummeled by Rutgers in last year’s final game. Nate Davis is a stud who leaves it all on the field every game. I’m taking Ball State +3.
Florida at TENN (+7.5) - THE #2 game of the week. Another HUGE SEC match-up. These teams hate each other and it is typically a good game. The ATS numbers scream take Tenn: Tenn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 match-ups and Fla is 2-6 in their last 8 September games. However, the key to me to this game is that Florida is coming off the bye. This is huge. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They will be ready. Remember, this is the same Tenn team that lost to a terrible UCLA that was crushed by BYU last week. Tenn is overrated. This spread is high because Vegas knows Tenn is bad. With the ATS numbers, the spread should not be this high. I’m taking Fla -7.5.
Enjoy the picks and feel free to make comments, tell us we suck and cost you your house or tell us what hot chicks you want to see of feel free to send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
Flash and Runny
P.S no idea why this darn blog bolded everything but this is not a beauty contest. Also, we just saw Jeff Tedford and he was eating a turd sandwich.























































































