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Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: November Rain (11/29/2008)

Well we are getting to that time of year. The NCAA football regular season is almost over. We are a little, well a lot pissed, and we are scrambling right now to make this season a profitable one and it is quickly escaping us, much like the season for the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles fans hold a slimmer of hope what the rest of the nation knows is an impossibility. Well the chance RPJ can spin its record around to better than 55% is going to be a tall order. We think our system is coming around. We had a nice winning week last week and we are looking to build on it this week and weekend. Even Runny is on a nice little winning streak and when that happens you know it is going to be a great week! We have a bunch of picks for you this weekend so enjoy. We also are very pleased to bust out more Nina Moric pics.

 

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Virginia at Virginia Tech (-8 and OVER/UNDER 38) - We have been riding the Va Tech UNDER to some nice paydays lately; hitting three in a row. Even UVA has hit the UNDER 6 of their last 8 games. This game is right in our wheel house. Virginia Tech runs for 166 yards per game, almost twice UVA. Va Tech’s defense gives up 107 yards per game rushing and UVA gives up 144. Next piece of business, UVA turns the ball over 2.5 times per game and Va Tech only gives up 1.4 turnovers per game. UVA is crumbling down the stretch and has lost three games in a row. Here are the ATS numbers:

Virginia

Cavaliers are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games on grass.

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games overall.

Under is 7-2 in Cavaliers last 9 games following a S.U. loss.

Under is 16-5-1 in Cavaliers last 22 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 16-5-2 in Cavaliers last 23 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 games in November.

Under is 11-4-2 in Cavaliers last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 22-8-3 in Cavaliers last 33 conference games.

Under is 19-7-1 in Cavaliers last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 21-8-3 in Cavaliers last 32 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 9-4-1 in Cavaliers last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

The Hokies

Hokies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in November.

Hokies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Hokies are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 conference games.

Hokies are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Hokies are 61-30-1 ATS in their last 92 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 6-1 in Hokies last 7 games on grass.

Under is 12-2 in Hokies last 14 home games.

Under is 6-1 in Hokies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 9-3 in Hokies last 12 games in November.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 conference games.

Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

This is where Beamer ball really comes to play, in a home game, against a team on the ropes. Look for Va. Tech to completely dominate this game. Also, Va. Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against UVA. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Virginia Tech. Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. We think we have shown you the light. Expect UVA not to score and Va. Tech to run the ball a lot and run the clock down which leads to a nice UNDER. We are taking Virginia Tech to win and cover and we are on betting the UNDER also! If you only want to be this one way, Va. Tech is the way to go first. Save the UNDER for the true Degenerates.

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (+7.5) - This is Oklahoma’s season. Most experts predict that Oklahoma will jump Texas in the BCS standings with a win over OK. State. In the case of a three way tie, the team with the highest BCS ranking goes to the Big 12 Title game. RETARDED!!!! But those are the rules. Oklahoma made a huge statement with their win against the Red Raiders and look for this team to continue their roll. Oklahoma has been one of the top 2 teams in the country this season and only played one half of bad football, the second half against Texas. They were winning at halftime. The Sooners have topped 60 points in each of their last three games and averaged 59.2 points and 598.0 yards in their five-game winning streak since losing to the Longhorns. The surge has made quarterback Sam Bradford a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, and he enters the game with 3,710 yards and 42 touchdown passes. But Bradford, who threw four TD passes in last year’s 49-17 win over Oklahoma State, also has a very strong backfield in DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown. Each rushed for over 100 yards against Texas Tech and combined for five touchdowns. Here are the ATS numbers:

Oklahoma

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Sooners are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Sooners are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Sooners are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Oklahoma State

Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma State.

Tough, tough numbers. We are simply going with the hot team. When you find a hot team you ride it until it bucks you off. We are taking Oklahoma to win and cover! 

Nevada (-5) at Louisiana Tech - This is one of those games where we throw out a game and a pick and you simply say huh, why are these two clowns picking this retarded game? Well it hits a blatant win and cover in our joint model and when that happens we bet it. Plain and simple. Here are the ATS numbers:

Nevada

Wolf Pack are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Wolf Pack are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.

Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

La Tech

Bulldogs are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a S.U. win.

Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Bulldogs are 7-21 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bulldogs are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Well those numbers just about give it away. Nevada has won three in a row ATS in this series and we think they will continue that streak. We are taking Nevada to win and cover!

Notre Dame at USC (-31.5) - This is our favorite game of the weekend. Lee Corso said ND has zero chance of scoring a touchdown and ESPN’s Trevor Madich gave the quote of the week. Trevor said Notre Dame can consider the game a victory if they leave without suffering any serious, disabling injuries. He says Rey Rey, Mays and Cushing will lay the lumber and Notre Dame’s young players do not know how to protect themselves. We have never heard of any ESPN announcer actually predict injury. This is freakin hilarious. This is really all you need to see from the best defense in the country.

Just so you think we analyzed this game, here are some ATS numbers:

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Fighting Irish are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.

Fighting Irish are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

USC

Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Trojans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.

Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.

Trojans are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in November.

Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Trojans are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Trojans are 30-14 ATS in their last 44 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Southern California.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

We think those head-to-head numbers really tell the story. The last 6 years, USC is an elite program and Notre Dame should play in the MAC. The Fighting Leprechauns can not hold USC’s jock, they can smell it, but they sure as hell can not hold it!!! Only thing that has us nervous is every single friend of ours is calling us to figure out how to place bets on this game. People will take USC up to 40 points no problem. We get nervous when our boy Indian Pain calls to lay some cash but the more the merrier. We know our phones will be ringing off the hook from our boys in SoCal and our Notre Dame homer fans. Does not matter to us. USC wins big and covers!!!!

Flash Flash Picks

Arkansas State at North Texas (+20.5) - Runny is missing out on the wonderful betting opportunity other wise known as the Sun Belt Conference. Yes, I am back with a Sun Belt pick this week. I really like this game. North Texas is DEFEATED against the spread at home. Check this out too….North Texas gives up 209 rushing yards per game and Arkansas State runs for 209 yards per game. You know I love numbers like that. Also, North Texas turns it over 2.7 times per game. Teams that turn the ball over and can not stop the run are in for a long, long day. Throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and I have my team. Arkansas State wins and covers!

Flash Flash 3 play - I have a three play for you today. Basically these games never showed up on Runny’s radar so we skipped them for RPJ but they fall right in my wheel house. The basic premise as it was with the Arkansas State game is as follows: I follow numerous statistical data points and when one team literally sweeps the board for all relevant stats I call it my clean sweep games. Just so you do not think I am nuts, I look for an offensive rushing advantage, a defensive rushing advantage and a turnover margin leader. I look at multiple more stats but I just wanted to give you three pieces of my clean sweep model. So there are three more clean sweep games I am going to bet this weekend because one team is the clear victor in my model.

Game 1: Tulane at Memphis (-14) - Memphis will win and cover.

Game 2: New Mexico State at Utah State (-5.5) - Two miracles here, Utah State is favored and I am betting them to win and cover.

Game 3: Southern Miss at SMU (+15) - I am taking Southern Miss to win and cover.

There you have it. The first clean sweep Flash Flash three play. Not quite like the ass rape three play that was awesome but this is my latest creation.

Runny Pelvis picks

Sorry guys but I was active today and have had a great week. I am gearing up for Sunday’s NFL games. Stay tuned.

RPJ $yndicate Pic of the Day!

 

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!

Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:

RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season

Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)

Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season

Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:

Illinois

Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Fighting Illini are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Fighting Illini are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

Fighting Illini are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games following a S.U. loss.

Fighting Illini are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.

Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Northwestern

Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wildcats are 19-41-1 ATS in their last 61 games following a S.U. win.

Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Wildcats are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head

• Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!

Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:

Duke

Under is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games in November.

Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 16-5 in Blue Devils last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 21-7 in Blue Devils last 28 road games.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games overall.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 conference games.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Virginia Tech

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 home games.

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games on grass.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games following a ATS win.

Under is 8-3 in Hokies last 11 games in November.

Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 conference games.

There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!

BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:

BYU

Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Utah

Utes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Utes are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on field turf.

Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Utes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Utes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Utes are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.

Utes are 9-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Utes are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. win.

We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!

Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:

Oregon State

Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.

Beavers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Beavers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Beavers are 43-17 ATS in their last 60 games following a ATS win.

Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Arizona

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Wildcats are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!

Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.

This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?

 

Here are the ATS numbers:

Texas Tech

Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Oklahoma

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Sooners are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November.

Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head

• Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.

 

Flash Flash Picks

Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.

NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!

Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks

Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.

Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.

RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!

Good luck this weekend!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 10 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Real Deal

Here is the deal. We went 0-9 in NCAA football last weekend. We are not some posers that say we win all the time and when we say our money is where our mouth is, we mean it. We lost a ton of money last weekend. Enough money to make paying the bills difficult, enough money to eat Ramen for the week cause we can’t take our ladies out to dinner, enough money so that the bank accounts literally registered zero after Saturday. Runny had to go work the street corner to dig up enough scratch to bet NFL games on Sunday (mind you, he does love him some workin’ corners, so it wasn’t too bad-haha!). Alright, that was a joke but when we say we feel the pain and share the gain, we EFFING mean it. Last weekend hurt a lot. We know we are slinging ads at you, trying to build a brand here and then follow that up with shiznitty picks and we know you wish you could meet us in a dark alley and beat the tar out of us. We are pissed too, we are a lot lighter in the wallets and we wish we had answers for last weekend. Last weekend was last weekend and if you followed us closely we went 0-9 on Saturday and then we went 9-0 Sunday through Tuesday. You know what that says…the gambling gods tried to give us a big EFF you and we came back strong. Our confidence in our models is unflappable we will turn this ship around and put money in your wallets before the year is out. Enough with the self loathing and on with the self promotion. Ha ha.

Well we have been rehashing our awful, awful weekend and we have to just put our nose to the grindstone and chalk up a sacrifice to the gambling gods. We did recover nicely though with an undefeated Sunday, Monday and Tuesday so we made all of our cash back pretty quickly. Also, if the Philadelphia Phillies can win the World Series, we all know miracles can happen. Due to superstitions we will never post anything from the Urban Dictionary ever again. So this week we are going to come at you with news of the weird and of course the hot chicks you tell us you love. Check out this story….Pub spat erupts after feces found in ice cream. If your gelato smells like poo we have a suggestion, DON’T EAT IT!!!

RPJ $yndicate is 29-36-2 on the season

Flash Flash is 14-8-2 on the season

Runny Pelvis is 19-20-1 on the season

Since we felt the pain last week and made your bank accounts lighter we are going to extend some free cash your way. Simply click on the Bodog ad in this post, sign up for a sportsbook account and we will give you an extra 10% on your initial deposit. Giving you free cash is the least we can do after our poor performance.

To make your RPJ experience even better we have also added some additional features. If at any point, you want to know what the lines are for all current sporting events, click on our LIVE ODDS tab right in this post and then bookmark it so you have a one stop shop for all of your odds. The next feature, which is even better is our MATCHUPS tab. Do us a favor. Click the matchups tab right in this post, Scroll down to the Florida/Georgia helmets and click on matchup within the helmet box. How awesome is that? You get to see an injury report for each team. ATS numbers, Betting trends, the last ten matchups head-to-head in a summary and with detail, last 5 games numbers, the weather and tons of great stats. Where else can you get that information all in one screenshot? We say nowhere. Hopefully you will bookmark our matchups page and use this great tool for your own benefit. Now on with the picks, right after this great arse!!!

RPJ $yndicate Picks (29-36-2)

Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-29.5) - We normally hate betting lines over 29 points but when the 29 points is for the home team we think twice. And who can argue with this OSU tail.

The Cowboys boast one of the top offenses in the nation, ranking seventh in scoring at 43.6 points per game and eighth in total offense at 490.8 yards per game. They’ll be taking on a defense that’s 102nd in the country in points allowed (31.6 per game) and total defense (422.8 ypg). Iowa State’s pass defense has been particularly bad lately, allowing an average of 329.0 yards through the air in four games since the start of October - second-worst in the Football Bowl Subdivision in that span. Oklahoma State’s offense is led by Robinson, who has thrown for 1,092 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception in his last five games, and Kendall Hunter, fourth in the nation in rushing yards with 1,116. Considering Hunter rushed for 161 yards on 18 attempts last week against the nation’s third-ranked run defense, he shouldn’t have trouble finding room to run against Iowa State, which has allowed 170.3 rushing yards per game and 17 touchdowns on the ground this season. Iowa State, meanwhile, has been awful on the road, losing 14 in a row away from Ames since a 42-14 win at Texas A&M on Oct. 29, 2005. It’s also dropped 33 consecutive regular season road contests against Top 25 opponents since a 33-31 win over Oklahoma on Oct. 20, 1990. Lets check out the ATS numbers:

Iowa State

Cyclones are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Cyclones are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Cyclones are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss.

Cyclones are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Cyclones are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Cyclones are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Oklahoma State

Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.

Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Cowboys are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Cowboys are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

When you throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, we think that puts the icing on the cake. Oklahoma State wins and covers!

Florida (-6.5) at Georgia (neutral site) - If you think Urban Meyer has not put this game on his calendar, you are outta your freakin mind. Urban first referenced this game back in July and has let the bad taste in his mouth fester since then. If you think Georgia’s behavior from last year was forgotten and is behind Urban Meyer….you are outta your freakin mind. Let us remind you what happened last year.

We have been waiting for this game and for this bet since last year. We challenge you to name one game that Urban Meyer geared up for and lost. We can not find one. Florida and Urban Meyer are legit and this is the game that dreams are made of. Georgia has no freakin chance. Yes we love the word freakin this week but we are passionate about the Gators. Check out the ATS numbers:

Florida

Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Gators are 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Georgia

Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.

Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.

Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

The Ats numbers do not help you in this one. Urban Meyer is KING!!! Do not bet against him in this game. We are not even sure why we wrote up this game. Urban Meyer + Tim Tebow versus Mark Richt 2007 Bullshiznit = Florida wins easily. We get 6.5 points and you get a winner. Florida wins and covers easily!

Yes it is time for some arse!!!

Arizona State at Oregon State (-15.5) - There is nothing better when we can have cheerleaders battle for their team’s RPJ backing.

Even though ASU is appealing for our pick we have to go with our gut. Check out the ATS numbers:

ASU

Sun Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Sun Devils are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in November.

Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.

Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Sun Devils are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.

Oregon State

Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.

Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.

Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Beavers are 23-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Beavers are 42-17 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.

Beavers are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oregon State.

Is that pick easy enough for you? C’mon now. Oregon State wins easily and big!!!

Lets add some more levity to this post. Check out this real story. We can not make this crap up if we tried and believe you me we tried. Police arrest Mich. man for car wash vacuum sex. As we said, we could not make up this crap if we tried.

The Great Debate Game #4 (Flash Flash leads the season series 2-1)

Texas (-3) at Texas Tech - This game has serious BCS national title implications and we are back for another debate game. Flash is picking one side and Runny is on the other side. This is the 4th Great Debate Game for RPJ and Flash Flash wins the heads up battle at 2-1. Lets look at the ATS numbers before we give you our rationale.

Texas

Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Longhorns are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Longhorns are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.

Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games in November.

Texas Tech

Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Red Raiders are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.

Red Raiders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why: You do not mess with the best. Texas is the best team in the country and quoting the good ole mantra that always matters….Defense wins championships!!! Texas is an elite TEAM, Texas Tech is an elite offense. TEAMS win games and championships. I think I might be the only person in the country who thinks this game will not be close but I am not afraid to run with the Horns. Texas has played with the best teams in its conference and it has beaten them when it counts. Texas will not overlook Texas Tech because they are playing on the road. I am ont worried about Texas’ “young secondary” because they handled Bradord and Oklahoma just fine and they handled Robinson and the Cowboys just fine. Do not count Texas out. Texas wins and covers easily!!!

Runny Pelvis is picking Texas Tech and here is why: I still think Texas is hyped way too much. Don’t get me wrong, I think they deserve to be ranked #1. They have won big games on big stages this year. However, OK State showed that they can be beat last week-they just didn’t get it done. I think this is the week they go down. The reasons? Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree. These two guys are legit and in sync. Crabtree plays like a true #1 player-he wants the ball EVERY time and he is not afraid. Texas comes into this game with a very young secondary. They have not faced a player of Crabtree’s ability yet this year. Harrell knows how to get him the ball. Statistically, Harrell’ stats are just as impressive as McCoy’s. I think once Tech wins this game, Harrell gets the Heisman. Also, most of Tech’s players are rejects from Texas. They will have an amped crowd behind them and they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. I think Tech wins outright, so I’ll gladly take the points.

One more story of the weird. We are not making this crap up….DA: H.S. Coach Spends Uniform Money At Strip Club

Flash Flash Picks (14-8-2 on the season)

Tulsa (-7) at Arkansas - I am on the Tulsa bandwagon and you can ont throw me off. And yes I know they effed me last week not meeting the OVER. Well I am back for more. Tulsa has the top ranked offense in the country and is looking to end a 16 game losing streak to Arkansas. Tulsa leads D-1 with 56.6 points and 624.7 yards per game, and has converted 61% of its third-down chances. Yes I will say it, Arkansas blos. Check out the ATS numbers:

Tulsa

Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Golden Hurricane are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Golden Hurricane are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.

Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.

Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Arkansas

Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

As I said….Arkansas is not good. Tulsa should be able to handle the Razorbacks no problem. Take Tulsa to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (19-20-1 on the season)

Air Force (-7.5) at Army: I’m a huge fan of armed forces games. They are great rivalries that get totally overlooked by the media. This one is a good one, too. Army is putting together a solid season and Air Force is doing the same. Air Force may even make a Bowl-to do so they need this win to solidify their chances. The key to this game is scheduling. Air Force has played much harder teams and has been very successful. I think they will do the same this week. FACTS: Army is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Air Force and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against Air Force. Finally, Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home against military schools. I’m taking Air Force and giving the points.

West Virginia (-4)  at UCONN: The Mountaineers roll into Storrs looking to solidify their hold on the Big East. They face a Huskies team that is outstanding at home. Very much so against the Big East (UConn is 7-4 ATS against Big East teams at home). I think this game comes down to health-WVA has a healthy Pat White back. That is all they need. FACTS: UConn is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against WVA and WVA is 8-1 ATS against teams that are off striaght-up, underdog wins. I’m taking WVA and giving the points.

Northwestern at Minnesota (-7.5): Short and sweet-this is another game that comes down to health for me. The Wildcats will be without their starting RB and possibly their QB. Both have been key components in NW’s success this year. Although the ATS numbers favor NW, I think the injuries will slow them down a ton in this game. Add that this is a road game against a conference rival. I think all of that is too much for NW to handle. I’m taking the Golden Gophers and giving the points.

Missouri (-21) at Baylor: This may be my favorite game of the week. Baylor can be a tough place to play, but I think Mizzou KILLS them in this one. Mizzou showed last week that they are not afraid to run up the score. Late last week against Colorado, they had the game in-hand by a mile but they kept throwing it up. They will do the same. Baylor cannot score and they will reach a point where Mizzou is so far ahead that the Bears will become on dimensional. That does not bode well for an offensively challenged team. The Bears boast the #87 passing D in the country…bad news for them this week. Chase Daniel is a Texan and will pile the points up in this one. Baylor is also starting a Freshman QB. They are done. FACTS: Mizzou is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Baylor, 12-2 ATS after Colorado and 36-3-2 ATS win they win straight-up away. This will be ugly. I’m taking Mizzou and gladly giving the points.

Washington at USC (-46): This line cracks me up!!! The funny part about it is that it should be higher. It should be over 50 all day. USC owns the Huskies at home (1-3 ATS in their last 4 meetings), and the Huskies are riding in with a lame duck coach. That does not bode well for the Huskies. USC needs to destroy this team for the polls, and they will have no problem doing it. Last week the Huskies gave-up 30+ at home to Notre Dame and could only muster one score. Well, USC has the best D in the country so that one score will not happen. USC has only given up 13 second half points ALL YEAR!!!. That’s right-13 total second half points!! Ridiculous. I’m calling this the Retainer Game because USC’s AD should have a fleet of attorneys on the sidelines to defend their players after the numerous crimes that will be committed. This game will be out of hand early. USC will score way more than 30. I’m predicting a shutout and I’m taking USC even if the line was 50.

Arkansas State (+23.5)  at Alabama: This is my upset cover of the year. Arkansas State has no chance of winning this game, but covering is a different story. To me, this game is about timing-Arkansas State is catching the Tide right at the right time. Bama has had all week of people telling them they are so great. In comes a team they should beat by 40. However, Arkansas State will be rolling in with a veteran QB and they can score some points. Not enough to win, but enough to keep it close. On top of Bama’s ego, they will be looking past Red Wolves to their important match-up with LSU. The Red Wolves will catch the mighty Tide nappin’ in this one. I’m taking Arkansas State and the points.

Happy Halloween. RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week!

Good luck with your picks!

Flash Flash and Runny

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NCAA Week 4 Football Picks: 5 Games including another Brinks Truck bet!!!

September, 28, 2007 - This is our week 4 picks…please click here for our week 5 picks.

Another week another round of victories. The Syndicate is 12-8 on the season and if you look at our picks on a unit basis we are up 8 units on the year and that is all that matters….profits and cash in our bulging pockets. As always….we put our money where our mouth is on every bet with no exceptions. If you have any games you are curious about please do not hesitate to post us a message/feedback and we will be happy to give you our thoughts. The NCAA football season finally has some history behind it and what I mean by that is that teams have played 2-3 games. A gambler’s paradise is opening weekend and bowl season. Opening weekend because there is not any information available and lines like LSU/Miss St this year and USC/Arkansas last year are terribly flawed and bowl season is equally as good because an entire season’s worth of history is available. We won our bowl bets last year at a better than 80% clip. We will not reveal everything we look at in picking our lines but this week we are going to share with you two new stats that we use to assess each matchup….Turnover margin and rushing stats. Read our picks below to understand:

Friday, September 21, 2007
1) OKLA (-23.5) @ Tulsa: We like Tulsa to cover in this one. 23.5 is too many at home. On paper both teams have a +2 turnover ratio, which is surprising considering Oklahoma has played a bunch of softies and played them at home. Tulsa is a pass first team so the running disparity will not come into play. This is Oklahoma’s first road game, and they are starting a freshman QB. Granted, he has looked amazing, but all his games have been at home and with the exception of Miami, they have not played anyone tough and is is too early to label Miami anything. Oklahoma’s O is ranked #3, but Tulsa is right behind them at #4. Tulsa is even ahead of Hawaii. We think they can keep it within 3 TDs and would not be surprised if it were much tighter in the 10-14 point range. Go with Tulsa on this one.

Saturday, September 22, 2007
2) THE BRINKS BET OF THE WEEK IS….UNC @ South Florida (-13) - South Florida is coming off a bye. They are +6 in turnover margin and rush for almost 60 more yards a game than their opponents. they won 37-20 on the road last year versus UNC and have more experience now. UNC is minus 4 in the takeaway game and has been outrushed 411 to 239. Long day for UNC and they are 4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15. South Florida is the winner and we advise betting 5 times your normal limit on this game. Our Brinks bets are 2-1 on the season. Kaching…what was that sound….Oh Yeah Kaching! Kaching! Kaching!!!!!

3) Mich St. (-11) @ ND - Notre Dame has been outrushed 718 to minus 14 on the season and is averages almost three turnovers a game. They are flat out bad and one of the worst teams in D-1 football. If you do not believe me just look at their season stats. Notre Dame literally has carried the ball 100 times for -14 yards. Do not be afraid of Michigan State’s poor showing last week against Pitt. They will come ready to play to erase the embarassing loss last year. Something to think about is Mich. St is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 road games. However, ND is 3-11 against the spread in their last 14 games on grass and Michigan St. is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 against ND. Bet Michigan St. all the way. Also, you have to love the Notre Dame homers that have dropped this line 2 points in the last couple of days.

4) Marshall @ Cincy (-24) - Cincy’s Defense is flat out nasty. They have caused 17 turnovers in three games and only committed 4. In addition they have outrushed their opponents 485 to 267 through three games. Marshall is minus 5 in the takeaway/giveaway ratio and has only caused one turnover and they have been outrushed 826 to 272. Marshall is 16-36-2 against the spread in their last 54 games…consistently terrible and we cashed with them against West Virginia. Cincy is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games overall. 23.5 points might seem but with a defense that causes turnovers, we are not worried. Cincy all the way. Also, this is a “we learned our lesson” game. Do not bet against Cincy at home. Just ask Oregon St.

5) Ark. St. @ Tennessee (-19.5) - This is a very interesting game. Ark St. is 9-3 Against the spread in their last 12 versus the SEC and Tennessee is 9-28 against the spread in their last 37 home games. Looking a little deeper, Tennessee is minus 1 in turnover margin while Ark. St. is plus 3. In addition, Tennessee has been outrushed 575 to 341 while Ark St. has outrushed their opponents 375 to 213. Ark. St. played Texas tough and Texas is better than Tennessee. Ark. St. loves to rush and Tennessee will not be able to stop them all day and this will keep the game closer than people think. Ark. St. to cover.

Good luck with the picks and do not hesitate to share your thoughts or ideas or ask us to pick a game or tell you our reasons for not picking a game. We are here to show you that we are elite and are here to make you and us money. Plain and simple.

Flash Flash and Runny

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