Army Black Knights
NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: Back to where it all started…Picks and Celebrity Chicks!
We are 47-46-1. Not terrible but certainly not profitable. We are still seeking that home run weekend and looking forward to the games this weekend. If you have not done so yet, click the links on the top right of our website to sign up for our Twitter posts and Facebook fan page. Be the first to know when our picks come out. We are going back to our roots this weekend and that means winning picks and hot celebrity chicks. We are calling on the juju gods of year’s past!
Friday, October 23, 2009
Rutgers at Army (+10): We absolutely love this game!! Rutgers is certainly in the midst of what must be a disappointing season. However, they shouldn’t hang their heads too much. This team does not have nearly close to the talent it has had the past few seasons. We think much of the hype was due to what they did in the past and not because of what they have in place right now. What is still there, however, is their coach. This team is well coached and they play right. They love the national spotlight of prime time games, too. This will not be much of a road game for Rutgers and they have more talent than the Black Knights. Army has a terrible ATS record against the Big East and is 0-6 ATS in their last six against Rutgers. Take Rutgers and give the points.
Jessica Biel
Rutgers
- Scarlet Knights are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.
- Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Black Knights are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog.
- Black Knights are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Black Knights are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Black Knights are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big East.
- Black Knights are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Beyonce
Illinois at Purdue (-10): Not much need for analysis here. The Fighting Illini have absolutely no fight in them. Purdue is playing better and are fresh off of BCS shake-up defeat of the Buckeyes. They will run through the (non) Fighting Illini like a buzzsaw. Great home game for them. We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take Purdue and give the points.
Mila Kunis
Illinois
- Fighting Illini are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 17-38 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. loss.
- Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games in October.
- Fighting Illini are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Illini are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Fighting Illini are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Fighting Illini are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Boilermakers are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Boilermakers are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October.
Marissa Miller
Central Michigan (-8) @ Bowling Green - Yes we are very predictable but when you have the MAC and the Fever, you know RPJ will not steer you wrong. Central Michigan is one of the top cover teams in the country this year with only one slip up against Buffalo and that was a 1.5 point miss. With senior leadership, The Chips are the class act of the MAC and we will ride them every single week. Look for another double digit win. Also, Chips are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings head-to-head. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!
Gabrielle Union
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
- Chippewas are 15-5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Chippewas are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 conference games.
- Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite.
- Chippewas are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 road games.
- Chippewas are 35-14-3 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
- Chippewas are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Falcons are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in October.
- Falcons are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rihanna
Adrianna Lima
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Bulls are 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Malin Ackerman
Megan Fox
- Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cyclones are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cyclones are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cornhuskers are 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cornhuskers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Cornhuskers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Cornhuskers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Cornhuskers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cornhuskers are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Olivia Wilde
Oklahoma State (-9.5) at Baylor - If Iowa State can go to Baylor and win by 14 points in a game where they easily could have won by 20+ points we are loving this game and line. Yes Oklahoma State has disappointed this year and they are facing numerous distractions with all of the issues around Dez Bryant but c’mon now folks. We all know how this game will go. Oklahoma State is on a 4 game winning streak since their fluke loss to Houston and is building momentum. Baylor is a shell of itself with Robert Griffin out for the year. No analysis needed. We are taking Oklahoma State to win big and cover!!!
Hayden Panettiere
Oklahoma State
- Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
- Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
- Cowboys are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite.
- Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in October.
- Bears are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Eva Mendes
Central Florida (-10) at Rice - Rice is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country. They are 0-7 and 1-5-1 ATS. Central Florida is 4-1 ATS. Do you need more information? Central Florida was undefeated ATS before they played Miami last week. UCF QB Brett Hodges got knocked around at Miami and suffered a bruised elbow. He has been getting treatment and will be good to go. Rice claims QB Nick Fanuzzi is going to be at full strength for the first time this year but what the hell does that mean? They will only lose by 20 instead of 30. We are betting Central Florida to win and cover!
KAte Beckinsale
Central Florida
- Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Knights are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Owls are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Owls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Owls are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Moon Bloodgood
Idaho (+16) at Nevada - The Vandals, gotta love them!!! If you have not figured this bet out yet this season then you are not making nearly enough coin! The Vandals are 6-1 on the season and an astounding 7-0 against the spread. We recently introduced you to them in our picks and we are here to ride the Idaho bandwagon. Nevada is riding a three game winning streak and has found their offense. Nevada just scraped by Utah State last week, 35-32 but were 8,5 point favorites. We are definitely calling on the gambling gods with this cover bet but when it is unblemished, keep riding it. We are betting Idaho to cover!
Diora Baird
Idaho
- Vandals are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Nevada
- Wolf Pack are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
- Wolf Pack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Natalie Gulbis
Texas @ Missouri (+12): Anyone who watched the Red River Rivalry last week (who are we kidding-we know you all did), would know that Texas is not playing well right now. McCoy is nowhere near the guy he was last year and their entire team is underachieving. McCoy comes into this game a little nicked up. Last year Texas trounced the Tigers in Austin 56-31. Both teams were much better than they are now, but we like the Tigers at home this week. Mostly because of the poor play by Texas, but also we love the home field advantage in this one. Plus, after this week Texas heads to Stillwater to play an OK State team that is finding its way despite huge issues. We think Texas takes this game for granted and looks past Mizzou. Mizzou will punch them dead in the face and get a solid cover. ATS numbers are ugly on both sides so we are going to skip them this time around. Take the Tigers at home and the points.
Heidi Klum
Indiana @ Northwestern (-5): The Hooisers stuck it to the non-Fighting Illini last week. They look to build some momentum with tough road game in Evanston against the Wildcats. We love the Hoosiers’ spirit this year, but they don’t have enough to cover this week. They may loose by only a TD, but that is enough for a NW cover. Take Northwestern and give the points.
Paris Hilton
Indiana
- Hoosiers are 8-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hoosiers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games.
- Hoosiers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Hoosiers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
- Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Northwestern.
Hope you enjoyed the ladies!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Kim Kardashian
Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!
RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.
Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!
Ball State
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
- Redhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Redhawks are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Redhawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
- Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Volunteers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Mississippi State (+9) at Vanderbilt – Vandy has several players out and is a little beaten up after tangling with LSU last weekend. Vandy has a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s got nearly zero talent around him (as several dropped passes a game will attest). Miss St will get progressively better throughout the season as the players buy in to Dan Mullen’s system. I think MSU’s defense rises to the challenge after giving up a bunch of points to Auburn last week. This is likely to be a one score game at the buzzer. We are taking Miss State to cover!
Mississippi State
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
- Commodores are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Commodores are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
- Commodores are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
- Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
UL Lafayette (+26.5) at LSU – LSU is 1-11 (and 0 for their last 7) ATS in their last 12 at home, and it’s time for that streak to end. BSL has ridden this team to the brink of economic collapse and this is where it pays off. UL-L is due for a letdown coming off of an emotional last minute win over Kansas State, UL-L’s second win over a BCS-conf school (last one was Texas A &M in 1996). Yes, UL-L is better than usual, but they are still UL-L. In 21 games against the Tigers, UL-L has scored a total of ….wait for it…22 points. Meanwhile, LSU’s offense has a big time chip on their should after turning in sub-par performances against UW and Vanderbilt and hearing all week that they don’t throw deep enough. LSU will throw deep in this one. True freshman phenom Russell Sheppard will find the endzone (maybe more than once), and LSU will roll big time. The ATS numbers are not going to be reflective on how this game plays out. We are taking the Tigers in a big way.
- Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
- Cornhuskers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Hokies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hokies are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Seminoles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Seminoles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cougars are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 15 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Last Temptation of…….Betting NCAA Regular Season Saturdays
Religion and football do not mix. Where do you think we were going with that title? We will not know our records yet because we still have action going on with the Buffalo/Ball State game.
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It's Britney Bitch!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (46-52-2 and we have Ball State pending)
Navy at Army (+10.5) - This is the first HUH line of the day. This is a bizarre weekend for lines and we do not get it. More on this later. Why is this spread 10.5 points. We would expect it to be at least 20. Navy has destroyed Army for 6 straight years and continues to be the more elite team of the two. The average score over these six years was 40-12. Navy is coming off a nice road shutout of Northern Illinois and Army is mired in a 3-8 season with not much to talk about. Army even lost to Hampshire…..by 18 POINTS!!! Here are the ATS numbers:
Navy
Army
Head-to-Head
We do not expect this game to be close and the 6 year average of 40-12 is a likely outcome. We are taking Navy to win and cover!
Cinncy at Hawaii (+7.5) - Another HUH line! We think this is just a strange week because we expected this line to be in the 14-15 point range and we get to take it at 7 points. Yee haw!!! We love games like this. Cincy is physical, runs for more yards per game, gives up less running yards per game and turns the ball over less. This means they can control the clock and the game. Coach Brian Kelly has stated that he loves Cincy and is coming back next year so that got rid of that distraction. Also, this line opened at 3.5 and is now up to 7 so we know the movement is legit. Check out the ATS numbers:
Cincy
- Bearcats are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bearcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bearcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
Hawaii
- Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
We do not think this game will be close. Take Cincy to win and cover!
Boston College at Virginia Tech (pick em and UNDER 37.5) - For the second straight season, Boston College and Virginia Tech are meeting in the ACC championship game with a spot in the Orange Bowl on the line. We think this is going to line up exactly like last year as well. BC wins the regular season game, Va. Tech wins the championship game. The 28-23 game earlier this season was ugly; BC had 5 turnovers and Va. Tech had two defensive TDs. MIracle BC won in the first place. The Hokies rank sixth in the Football Bowl Subdivision in total defense (274.5 yards per game), while Boston College is eighth (276.7 ypg). One big difference in this game is the loss of BC’s QB, Chris Crane. Crane broke his collar bone on November 22 and is being replacedby a red shirt freshmen. That fact alone makes us love Va. Tech. You have ridden us to victory betting on the Va. Tech UNDER and of course we are coming back to it this week. oth teams struggle on offense and have NFL talent on defense. Here are the ATS numbers:
BC
Va. Tech
Head-to-Head
Pretty mixed bag of results. We love the UNDER play for obvious reasons. Va. Tech has gone under in 4 straight games and the trend will continue. Va. Tech has been in every single game this year and have the revenge factor on their side. We are taking Virginia Tech to win/cover and we are going to ride the UNDER one more time!
USC at UCLA (+32.5) - yeah this looks stupid just like it did with 30 points against Notre Dame and 40+ points against Washington State but guess what? All of those games covered. The crazier the better for USC. This game is comical. Pete Carroll is sending his team out in home jerseys at the Rose Bowl (UCLA’s home stadium) for the first time since 1982. He was also willing to do this even if it meant giving up 2 timeouts, one per half. The ruling came back that the The Men of Troy only have to give up one but how arrogant is that. It is awesome if it works and the worst coaching decision of all time (playing Booty with a broken hand against Stanford last year wins right now) if it fails. Not much to say about this game. The Trojans lead the nation in scoring defense (7.8 points per game) and total defense (210.6 yards per game). The Trojans have allowed only 10 touchdowns in 11 games. No team in the country has given up fewer points per game in any of the last 13 seasons. The Bruins rank 110th in total offense (294.7) and 107th in scoring (18.6 ppg). UCLA’s QB has thrown 12 INTs and no TDs in his last 4 games and last week UCLA lost bad and did not give up an offensive TD….but they gave up four to the defense. The ATS numbers do not even matter in this game. USC will crush UCLA. We are taking the Trojans to win and cover!!! Keyshawn predicted a 63-3 final on The Herd today and we love that prediction!
Missouri “Paper” Tigers versus Oklahoma Sooners (-17) - This is a monster spread for a championship game but we are not afraid. Oklahoma is that good and they dominate every statistical category we track heads up against Mizzou. We do not even like what we hear coming out of the Missouri camp. Chase Daniel is talking about how they are no playing well and are waiting to play a perfect game and blah blah blah. They have no chance. Mizzou is not as physical and has one of the worst passng defenses in the nation. Mizzou was not able to stop Kansas and they sure won’t be able to stop Oklahoma. Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS on the season and will continue to roll with a healthy DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown this team runs a lot more than people think and will really wear out Mizzou. Here are the ATS numbers:
Missouri
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Oklahoma
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Sooners are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
This is not the week to bet against Oklahoma. All signs point in their direction. We think Oklahoma can win this game in Texas Tech fashion. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
Florida (-10) a versus Alabama - Huh? Double huh, huh? Alabama is the number one rated team in the country and they are 9.5 point dogs. Are you kidding us? Alabama ranks third in the Bowl Subdivision in scoring defense (11.5 ppg) and total defense (248.5 yards per game), and is eighth in time of possession (32:32). While Alabama has won primarily by keeping opponents out of the end zone, Florida (11-1, 7-1) boasts the nation’s third-highest scoring offense. The Gators average 46.3 points, and with Tim Tebow looking as sharp as ever, they’ve put up an average of 53.7 while winning each of their last seven games by at least four touchdowns. What Florida can rely on this season that it couldn’t in 2007 is a strong defense. Though the Gators offense is the unit garnering national recognition, their defense - like the Tide’s - is in the top 10 in the FBS in scoring defense (12.3 ppg) and total defense (275.7). Florida also has forced 32 turnovers, third-most in the country. This will be the 40th time the AP’s top two teams have met, with No. 1 holding a 23-15-1 edge. This is the first 1-2 matchup in a conference championship game. Here are the ATS numbers:
Alabama
Florida
Head-to-Head
Those head-to-head numbers are interesting. Here is how we see this game shaking out and our true thoughts on the teams and yes, you SEC homers will hate us for it. These are two of the most overrated teams in college football right now. Alabama has played the 88th hardest schedule in D-1 football and Florida has played only two teams that are currently ranked in the top 25 and they lost to one of them. We had to stick it to the SEC at least once in this post. Ha ha. Oh yeah, and the SEC only has 4 teams in the top 35 in the Sagarin rankings. This game will probably be more low scoring than people think. Both teams will look to run but with Cody in the middle, Florida will have a tough time running through that Alabama defense. With the loss of Percy Harvin, Florida will have even more trouble running their “dynamic” offense. It does not matter that the game is on turf, both teams have speed on both sides of the ball. So to us, Florida’s offense is overated because they have not played anybody and Alabama’s defense is underrated. Put the two together and you get a low scoring game. Alabama is white bread and plan vanilla. They play smash mouth, running football and John Parker Wilson is efficient enough to pull off the play action pass. We think this game will be close, a lot closer than 9.5 points and do not be surprised if Alabama wins outright. Remember, only two teams smacked Florida in the mouth this year….Ole Miss, which beat them and Miami, which kept it a lot closer than the score indicated. Florida is ripe for the picking. We are taking Alabama to cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (32-36-1 on the season)
Pitt at UCONN (-2.5) : Pitt is playing well (finally). They finally have a good blend of pass and run. The thing that sticks out to me is their D. They are playing extremely wll andschmopped an explosive WVA team last week in the Backyard Brawl. UConn, although at home, does not have WVA’s firepower. I love Pitt getting points. I’m taking Pitt to cover.
South Florida at West Virginia (-7) : The Bulls are terrible on the road-very much so against Big East teams. WVA needs a win this week to salvage some respect for their season. I think this is a pretty easy one. I’m taking WVA to cover.
Arizona State at Arizona (-10.5): I’m not a fan of either team, but in civil war games like these where the teams are pretty evenly matched, I’m taking the points. Zona will win, but ASU can keep it within 10.5. I’m taking ASU and the points.
Flash Flash Picks (24-16-3 on the season)
East Carolina at Tulsa (-11.5) - I think I have lost every single game that I have bet on Tulsa this year and that flat out pisses me off. I pick the UNDER and they go OVER, I pick the OVER and they go UNDER, I pick them to win and cover and they lose outright. Well call me crazy but I am betting on these crazy bastards once again. Here is why I like it. Tulsa is 7-4 ATS on the season and is 5-0 ATS at home, they rush for 259 yards per game versus East Carolina’s 119 yards per game, have a slightly better run defense and turn the ball over less per game. Here are the ATS numbers:
East Carolina
- Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Pirates are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Pirates are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
I love that East Carolina is 0-6 in their last 6 on the road and Tulsa is 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5. Hopefully the Golden Hurricanes redeem themselves in my eyes cause if they don’t I am going to turn their Golden Hurricane into a steamy Golden Shower. I am taking Tulsa to win and cover!
RPJ $yndicate picture of the day
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 10 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Real Deal
Here is the deal. We went 0-9 in NCAA football last weekend. We are not some posers that say we win all the time and when we say our money is where our mouth is, we mean it. We lost a ton of money last weekend. Enough money to make paying the bills difficult, enough money to eat Ramen for the week cause we can’t take our ladies out to dinner, enough money so that the bank accounts literally registered zero after Saturday. Runny had to go work the street corner to dig up enough scratch to bet NFL games on Sunday (mind you, he does love him some workin’ corners, so it wasn’t too bad-haha!). Alright, that was a joke but when we say we feel the pain and share the gain, we EFFING mean it. Last weekend hurt a lot. We know we are slinging ads at you, trying to build a brand here and then follow that up with shiznitty picks and we know you wish you could meet us in a dark alley and beat the tar out of us. We are pissed too, we are a lot lighter in the wallets and we wish we had answers for last weekend. Last weekend was last weekend and if you followed us closely we went 0-9 on Saturday and then we went 9-0 Sunday through Tuesday. You know what that says…the gambling gods tried to give us a big EFF you and we came back strong. Our confidence in our models is unflappable we will turn this ship around and put money in your wallets before the year is out. Enough with the self loathing and on with the self promotion. Ha ha.
Well we have been rehashing our awful, awful weekend and we have to just put our nose to the grindstone and chalk up a sacrifice to the gambling gods. We did recover nicely though with an undefeated Sunday, Monday and Tuesday so we made all of our cash back pretty quickly. Also, if the Philadelphia Phillies can win the World Series, we all know miracles can happen. Due to superstitions we will never post anything from the Urban Dictionary ever again. So this week we are going to come at you with news of the weird and of course the hot chicks you tell us you love. Check out this story….Pub spat erupts after feces found in ice cream. If your gelato smells like poo we have a suggestion, DON’T EAT IT!!!
RPJ $yndicate is 29-36-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 14-8-2 on the season
Runny Pelvis is 19-20-1 on the season
Since we felt the pain last week and made your bank accounts lighter we are going to extend some free cash your way. Simply click on the Bodog ad in this post, sign up for a sportsbook account and we will give you an extra 10% on your initial deposit. Giving you free cash is the least we can do after our poor performance.
To make your RPJ experience even better we have also added some additional features. If at any point, you want to know what the lines are for all current sporting events, click on our LIVE ODDS tab right in this post and then bookmark it so you have a one stop shop for all of your odds. The next feature, which is even better is our MATCHUPS tab. Do us a favor. Click the matchups tab right in this post, Scroll down to the Florida/Georgia helmets and click on matchup within the helmet box. How awesome is that? You get to see an injury report for each team. ATS numbers, Betting trends, the last ten matchups head-to-head in a summary and with detail, last 5 games numbers, the weather and tons of great stats. Where else can you get that information all in one screenshot? We say nowhere. Hopefully you will bookmark our matchups page and use this great tool for your own benefit. Now on with the picks, right after this great arse!!!
Now that is a bathing suit!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (29-36-2)
Iowa State at Oklahoma State (-29.5) - We normally hate betting lines over 29 points but when the 29 points is for the home team we think twice. And who can argue with this OSU tail.
The Cowboys boast one of the top offenses in the nation, ranking seventh in scoring at 43.6 points per game and eighth in total offense at 490.8 yards per game. They’ll be taking on a defense that’s 102nd in the country in points allowed (31.6 per game) and total defense (422.8 ypg). Iowa State’s pass defense has been particularly bad lately, allowing an average of 329.0 yards through the air in four games since the start of October - second-worst in the Football Bowl Subdivision in that span. Oklahoma State’s offense is led by Robinson, who has thrown for 1,092 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception in his last five games, and Kendall Hunter, fourth in the nation in rushing yards with 1,116. Considering Hunter rushed for 161 yards on 18 attempts last week against the nation’s third-ranked run defense, he shouldn’t have trouble finding room to run against Iowa State, which has allowed 170.3 rushing yards per game and 17 touchdowns on the ground this season. Iowa State, meanwhile, has been awful on the road, losing 14 in a row away from Ames since a 42-14 win at Texas A&M on Oct. 29, 2005. It’s also dropped 33 consecutive regular season road contests against Top 25 opponents since a 33-31 win over Oklahoma on Oct. 20, 1990. Lets check out the ATS numbers:
Iowa State
Cyclones are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cyclones are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Cyclones are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games following a ATS loss.
Cyclones are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cyclones are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cyclones are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Cyclones are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Oklahoma State
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Cowboys are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cowboys are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
When you throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings, we think that puts the icing on the cake. Oklahoma State wins and covers!
Florida (-6.5) at Georgia (neutral site) - If you think Urban Meyer has not put this game on his calendar, you are outta your freakin mind. Urban first referenced this game back in July and has let the bad taste in his mouth fester since then. If you think Georgia’s behavior from last year was forgotten and is behind Urban Meyer….you are outta your freakin mind. Let us remind you what happened last year.
We have been waiting for this game and for this bet since last year. We challenge you to name one game that Urban Meyer geared up for and lost. We can not find one. Florida and Urban Meyer are legit and this is the game that dreams are made of. Georgia has no freakin chance. Yes we love the word freakin this week but we are passionate about the Gators. Check out the ATS numbers:
Florida
Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Gators are 10-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Ats numbers do not help you in this one. Urban Meyer is KING!!! Do not bet against him in this game. We are not even sure why we wrote up this game. Urban Meyer + Tim Tebow versus Mark Richt 2007 Bullshiznit = Florida wins easily. We get 6.5 points and you get a winner. Florida wins and covers easily!
Yes it is time for some arse!!!
Gratuitous yes! Hot Yes! Ass ass ass!!!
Arizona State at Oregon State (-15.5) - There is nothing better when we can have cheerleaders battle for their team’s RPJ backing.
A Beaver shows her beaver? This is too easy!
All I want for XMAS is an RPJ win!
Even though ASU is appealing for our pick we have to go with our gut. Check out the ATS numbers:
ASU
Sun Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games in November.
Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.
Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Sun Devils are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Oregon State
Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Beavers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Beavers are 23-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Beavers are 42-17 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.
Beavers are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oregon State.
Is that pick easy enough for you? C’mon now. Oregon State wins easily and big!!!
Lets add some more levity to this post. Check out this real story. We can not make this crap up if we tried and believe you me we tried. Police arrest Mich. man for car wash vacuum sex. As we said, we could not make up this crap if we tried.
The Great Debate Game #4 (Flash Flash leads the season series 2-1)
Texas (-3) at Texas Tech - This game has serious BCS national title implications and we are back for another debate game. Flash is picking one side and Runny is on the other side. This is the 4th Great Debate Game for RPJ and Flash Flash wins the heads up battle at 2-1. Lets look at the ATS numbers before we give you our rationale.
Texas
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Longhorns are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Longhorns are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10-1 ATS in their last 36 games following a ATS loss.
Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games in November.
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
Red Raiders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why: You do not mess with the best. Texas is the best team in the country and quoting the good ole mantra that always matters….Defense wins championships!!! Texas is an elite TEAM, Texas Tech is an elite offense. TEAMS win games and championships. I think I might be the only person in the country who thinks this game will not be close but I am not afraid to run with the Horns. Texas has played with the best teams in its conference and it has beaten them when it counts. Texas will not overlook Texas Tech because they are playing on the road. I am ont worried about Texas’ “young secondary” because they handled Bradord and Oklahoma just fine and they handled Robinson and the Cowboys just fine. Do not count Texas out. Texas wins and covers easily!!!
Runny Pelvis is picking Texas Tech and here is why: I still think Texas is hyped way too much. Don’t get me wrong, I think they deserve to be ranked #1. They have won big games on big stages this year. However, OK State showed that they can be beat last week-they just didn’t get it done. I think this is the week they go down. The reasons? Graham Harrell and Michael Crabtree. These two guys are legit and in sync. Crabtree plays like a true #1 player-he wants the ball EVERY time and he is not afraid. Texas comes into this game with a very young secondary. They have not faced a player of Crabtree’s ability yet this year. Harrell knows how to get him the ball. Statistically, Harrell’ stats are just as impressive as McCoy’s. I think once Tech wins this game, Harrell gets the Heisman. Also, most of Tech’s players are rejects from Texas. They will have an amped crowd behind them and they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. I think Tech wins outright, so I’ll gladly take the points.
One more story of the weird. We are not making this crap up….DA: H.S. Coach Spends Uniform Money At Strip Club
Flash Flash Picks (14-8-2 on the season)
Tulsa (-7) at Arkansas - I am on the Tulsa bandwagon and you can ont throw me off. And yes I know they effed me last week not meeting the OVER. Well I am back for more. Tulsa has the top ranked offense in the country and is looking to end a 16 game losing streak to Arkansas. Tulsa leads D-1 with 56.6 points and 624.7 yards per game, and has converted 61% of its third-down chances. Yes I will say it, Arkansas blos. Check out the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Hurricane are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Golden Hurricane are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win.
Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games.
Golden Hurricane are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Arkansas
Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
As I said….Arkansas is not good. Tulsa should be able to handle the Razorbacks no problem. Take Tulsa to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (19-20-1 on the season)
Air Force (-7.5) at Army: I’m a huge fan of armed forces games. They are great rivalries that get totally overlooked by the media. This one is a good one, too. Army is putting together a solid season and Air Force is doing the same. Air Force may even make a Bowl-to do so they need this win to solidify their chances. The key to this game is scheduling. Air Force has played much harder teams and has been very successful. I think they will do the same this week. FACTS: Army is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Air Force and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against Air Force. Finally, Army is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home against military schools. I’m taking Air Force and giving the points.
West Virginia (-4) at UCONN: The Mountaineers roll into Storrs looking to solidify their hold on the Big East. They face a Huskies team that is outstanding at home. Very much so against the Big East (UConn is 7-4 ATS against Big East teams at home). I think this game comes down to health-WVA has a healthy Pat White back. That is all they need. FACTS: UConn is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against WVA and WVA is 8-1 ATS against teams that are off striaght-up, underdog wins. I’m taking WVA and giving the points.
Northwestern at Minnesota (-7.5): Short and sweet-this is another game that comes down to health for me. The Wildcats will be without their starting RB and possibly their QB. Both have been key components in NW’s success this year. Although the ATS numbers favor NW, I think the injuries will slow them down a ton in this game. Add that this is a road game against a conference rival. I think all of that is too much for NW to handle. I’m taking the Golden Gophers and giving the points.
Missouri (-21) at Baylor: This may be my favorite game of the week. Baylor can be a tough place to play, but I think Mizzou KILLS them in this one. Mizzou showed last week that they are not afraid to run up the score. Late last week against Colorado, they had the game in-hand by a mile but they kept throwing it up. They will do the same. Baylor cannot score and they will reach a point where Mizzou is so far ahead that the Bears will become on dimensional. That does not bode well for an offensively challenged team. The Bears boast the #87 passing D in the country…bad news for them this week. Chase Daniel is a Texan and will pile the points up in this one. Baylor is also starting a Freshman QB. They are done. FACTS: Mizzou is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Baylor, 12-2 ATS after Colorado and 36-3-2 ATS win they win straight-up away. This will be ugly. I’m taking Mizzou and gladly giving the points.
Washington at USC (-46): This line cracks me up!!! The funny part about it is that it should be higher. It should be over 50 all day. USC owns the Huskies at home (1-3 ATS in their last 4 meetings), and the Huskies are riding in with a lame duck coach. That does not bode well for the Huskies. USC needs to destroy this team for the polls, and they will have no problem doing it. Last week the Huskies gave-up 30+ at home to Notre Dame and could only muster one score. Well, USC has the best D in the country so that one score will not happen. USC has only given up 13 second half points ALL YEAR!!!. That’s right-13 total second half points!! Ridiculous. I’m calling this the Retainer Game because USC’s AD should have a fleet of attorneys on the sidelines to defend their players after the numerous crimes that will be committed. This game will be out of hand early. USC will score way more than 30. I’m predicting a shutout and I’m taking USC even if the line was 50.
Arkansas State (+23.5) at Alabama: This is my upset cover of the year. Arkansas State has no chance of winning this game, but covering is a different story. To me, this game is about timing-Arkansas State is catching the Tide right at the right time. Bama has had all week of people telling them they are so great. In comes a team they should beat by 40. However, Arkansas State will be rolling in with a veteran QB and they can score some points. Not enough to win, but enough to keep it close. On top of Bama’s ego, they will be looking past Red Wolves to their important match-up with LSU. The Red Wolves will catch the mighty Tide nappin’ in this one. I’m taking Arkansas State and the points.
Happy Halloween. RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week!
Happy Halloweenie!!!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny
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