Ball State
Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!
RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.
Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!
Ball State
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
- Redhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Redhawks are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Redhawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
- Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Volunteers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Mississippi State (+9) at Vanderbilt – Vandy has several players out and is a little beaten up after tangling with LSU last weekend. Vandy has a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s got nearly zero talent around him (as several dropped passes a game will attest). Miss St will get progressively better throughout the season as the players buy in to Dan Mullen’s system. I think MSU’s defense rises to the challenge after giving up a bunch of points to Auburn last week. This is likely to be a one score game at the buzzer. We are taking Miss State to cover!
Mississippi State
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
- Commodores are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Commodores are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
- Commodores are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
- Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
UL Lafayette (+26.5) at LSU – LSU is 1-11 (and 0 for their last 7) ATS in their last 12 at home, and it’s time for that streak to end. BSL has ridden this team to the brink of economic collapse and this is where it pays off. UL-L is due for a letdown coming off of an emotional last minute win over Kansas State, UL-L’s second win over a BCS-conf school (last one was Texas A &M in 1996). Yes, UL-L is better than usual, but they are still UL-L. In 21 games against the Tigers, UL-L has scored a total of ….wait for it…22 points. Meanwhile, LSU’s offense has a big time chip on their should after turning in sub-par performances against UW and Vanderbilt and hearing all week that they don’t throw deep enough. LSU will throw deep in this one. True freshman phenom Russell Sheppard will find the endzone (maybe more than once), and LSU will roll big time. The ATS numbers are not going to be reflective on how this game plays out. We are taking the Tigers in a big way.
- Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
- Cornhuskers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Hokies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hokies are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Seminoles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Seminoles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cougars are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate
First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,
Who wants to floss with my thong?
It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…
RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.
Bowling Green
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.
It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:
Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Toledo
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!
Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!
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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.
Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.
Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.
And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….
Over, over, over, over, over!!!
The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!
Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.
We really went to the wrong college. God Bless SEC girls!!!
LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!
Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:
Baylor
Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….
Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.
It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.
Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)
I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:
- Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
- Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.
Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2
Green = Ass for the Cash!!!
Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:
Colorado State
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.
SDSU
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Head-to-Head
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3
3 Asses to end my triple play!
Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:
- Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.
Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!
Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)
Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas.
Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.
Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.
Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.
Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.
BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.
Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.
Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.
Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.
UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU. Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.
South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
1/5/2008 - Free NCAA Bowl Pick and Hot Chicks: Rutgers Versus Ball State
Well we are scrapping along here now at 10-11 on the bowl season. We were 2-7 so this has been a nice 8-4 run through the second week of bowl season. We are doing our best to make this a money making bowl season and we are going to mix it up a bit and throw out some hot chicks that we have not normally banked on.
First off…major apologies to our man Rion…Lily Thai is hot and very talented. We found a PG version of a youtube clip and then a 30 minute porn clip on redtube that we are going to link to. If you have not seen this chick in action, we recommend you take a peak at both videos. She works it hard!!! Thanks for the heads up Rion. We know we have avid readers out there and we want more suggestions of hot chicks. Our readers are clearly in the know!!!
The PG video:
Click here for the Lily Thai porn video. You will not be disappointed.
Rutgers (-11) versus Ball State in the International Bowl
We are kicking this off with a Derek Jeter bet….
2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet - In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johansson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter. This bet is in honor of his former gal pal Miss Scarlett Johanson, one of Runny’s favorites.
Well this is not your high profile end of bowl season #1 versus #2 matchup but we do think it provides a mismatch and a lucrative betting opportunity. There are some story lines to pay attention to. Both coaches were rumored for the Michigan job and both remain with their programs. Ball State is playing its first bowl game in 11 years and is 0-4-1 in their history in bowls. Rutgers is in its third bowl in a row and coming off their first bowl win in the program’s history.
Ball State is 0-3 against teams from BCS conferences this season but did cover the spread in two of those games and its most memorable game of the year was a 41-40 loss in Lincoln against Nebraska. The Cardinals were underdogs of 24 ½ points in that late September game in which Nebraska needed a late touchdown to pull out the win. The reason this game was close, besides the obvious that Nebraska sucked as bad as Notre Dame this year, was the fact that Nebraska could not stop the pass at all. Ball State QB, Nate Davis, threw for 422 yards and three TDs. Bowling Green ended the year as the 21st ranked pass offense in the nation. Why is this game important….Rutgers owns the No. 2 defense against the pass this season, allowing a mere 160.6 yards per game. The Knights have been even stingier over their past three games when they allowed just 150 passing yards per game. When you combine this pass versus pass defense matchup and then throw in the fact that Ball State’s defense gives up almost 197 yards per game on the ground and we have a recipe for disaster. The offense is the real strength of Rutgers, which ranked 26th in the nation in yards per game with 437.2 and 190 yards per game on the ground. Ray Rice is going to run all over Ball State and that will help set up the play action pass. Running back Ray Rice has been one of the most overlooked players in the nation for the past two seasons. He ranks No. 3 in the country in rushing and has seven more yards and five more touchdowns than Heisman Trophy finalist Darren McFadden. Makes you think doesn’t it?
Lets look at the ATS numbers before revealing our winning pick:
Ball State
Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Cardinals are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Cardinals are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Cardinals are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rutgers
Scarlet Knights are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Scarlet Knights are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Scarlet Knights are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Some scary numbers from both squads. Ball State has a good coach and you can see that he gets his team to play up to their competition and especially out of conference. Rutgers has a great coach as well and gets his team to play well out of conference, as big favorites and following losses. We do not think the ATS numbers are relevant for this game and simply lead to a coin flip situation for which stats you want o pay attention to.
Rutgers and Ball State have faced one common opponent this season and both came away with a victory. The Cardinals beat Navy in overtime on Sept. 15, 34-31 while the Scarlet Knights pummeled the Midshipmen the week before 41-24. Not so relevant but showed that Rutgers was better against the common opponent.
What might just give Ball State a chance to compete with Rutgers’ potent attack is a ball-hungry defense that has 18 interceptions this season. Those picks helped the Cardinals finish third in the country in turnover margin behind only Florida Atlantic and Kansas. We do not need to remind you that FAU and Kansas both won their bowl games and covered.
There are definitely some points for Ball State that make you think, especially the way underdogs have played this bowl season and especially big underdogs with USC the lone double digit favorite that won. We think this game is different though. Rutgers’ rushing offense versus the non existent rushing defense of Ball State will help Rutgers control the offense and the Rutgers pass defense versus Ball State’s pass offense should slow down the Ball State offense. These two factors are key and we think this could turn into a blow out.
Rutgers wins big and covers!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
P.S. If you want more action on this game take the Over. The line is below both team’s scoring average by 2 points and MAC teams played to the over more than any other conference this year. Think Purdue vs. Central Michigan. We are not staking our reputation on this bet but that is how we would lean and Runny is less confident than Flash so we did not bet it.
Week 12 NCAA Picks: Tuesday Big MAC Attack aka Degenerate Night
On the season we are 43-39 overall, 3-3 on Brinks truck bets and up 4 units. Not where we want to be by any stretch but we know a big pay day is right around the corner.
It is not fair to keep all of our secrets to ourselves and we are prepared to share some new stats with you for tonight’s game. You know how the Big Mac has its secret sauce, everybody knows it is thousand island dressing but is not 100% sure they did not sneak in some pickle juice or mystery item. Well betting the over on any MAC game is the 2007 version of the secret sauce. Meaning if you were paying attention you would have known that these MAC schools put up points and put them up in a hurry but you might not believe that the MAC OVER is the most sure thing in NCAA betting right now.
Check out these numbers. You will be klicking yourself if you have not been playing this all year. Betting the over on MAC games during the 2007 season has yielded a record of 71-49-1. This is a 59% win rate. If we promised you a winning pick rate of 59% you would easily pay us a million dollars a year for our services….you will one day but not yet. Ha ha!!! So tonight’s game features Toledo at Ball State. We checked the weather in Muncie, IN and it looks great for tonight’s game.
Here are some great stats for you: The two schools have a combined 13-5 OVER record this season and Toledo games have played OVER the total eight of nine times. Right now it looks like everybody is clued into the MAC OVER for tonight. The line opened at 66.5 and has shot up to 68. We have our money at 67 and 67.5. Check out Toledo’s games this year:
Beat Eastern Michigan 52-28 = 80 points
Beat N. Illinois 70-21 = 91 points
Beat Ohio 43-40 = 83 points
Lost to Buffalo 33-43 = 76 points
Beat Liberty 35-34 = 69 points
Lost to W. Michigan 28-42 = 70 points
Beat Iowa St 36-35 = 71 points
Lost to Kansas 13-45 = 58 points
Lost to C. Michigan 31-52 = 84 points
Lost to Purdue 24-52 = 76 points
What does all of that mean…it means an 8-1 record for the over and the Liberty game did not have a line. These guys are a scoring machine. Ball St. is not as prolific in the scoring department but they are not too shabby themselves.
Here are some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:
Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 7-0 in Rockets last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 games overall.
Over is 7-0 in Rockets last 7 conference games.
Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Do you like what you are seeing? We thought so!!!
Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 13-6 in Cardinals last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Not as great but Toledo is the key here because of their running offense versus Ball State’s running defense. This will help them put up points. Toledo runs for 223 yards a game and Ball State gives up 215 yards a game and then when you hear that Toledo gives up 220 yards per game you will be even more excited. I am not even sure the defenses will be on the field during this game. They might just sit on the bench drinking gatorades while the offenses run and pass their way to TDs against air.
We are all over the MAC over tonight and felt the need to share some more info to help you win more money. We are not happy with our NCAA record and want to publically give you more opportunities to build your bankroll.
Let us know if you want us to comment on any games in particular for this coming week. We have performed our research and will be publishing 1-3 more picking segments this week. Sign up for our RSS feeds so you can get real time information on our picks and if you want to send us a private email please use: rpjsyndicate@gmail.com
Big Mac Attack!!!!! Take the OVER on tonight’s game and watch the scoring show!!!!
Flash and Runny