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2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!

We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:

1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.

2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.

3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.

We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..

Monday December 28, 2009

Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)

Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)

Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)

Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)

Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)

Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)

Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)

Friday January 1, 2010

Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)

Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)

Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)

Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)

Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)

Saturday, January 2, 2010

International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)

Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)

Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)

Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)

Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)

Monday January 4, 2010

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!

Thursday, January 7, 2010

BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!

Free NCAA Football Week 11 Winning Picks: USC doesn’t lose in November and neither do we!

This has been a great week for RPJ. We have been betting every day since Wednesday, November 11. You really can not beat that feeling. Every day we have woken up and said, “Lets make some CASH today!”. We are coming at you with a whopping number picks this weekend. On with the winners! Kaching!!! We are going to be eating a lot of cake this weekend and stealin money!!!

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Georgia Tech (-12) at Duke -Neither of these teams covered their last time out but for very different reasons. Duke barely managed to score at North Carolina and lost ATS as the underdog. Georgia Tech played an always scrappy Wake Forest team and had to beat the Deacs in OT. Just remember this is Georgia Tech versus Duke. Georgia Tech has covered 5 of these games in a row, always as a double digit favorite. Duke is better but not Georgia Tech better. Duke could not score against an average Tarheels D and they certainly will not be able to compete with Tech. Georgia Tech had covered 6 in a row since they lost to Miami. Tech is legit and is looking for an ACC title and a BCS bowl bid. Giving Paul Johnson top athletes is turning into a formidable advantage foe Tech. We are betting Georgia Tech to win and cover easily!

Georgia Tech

• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Yellow Jackets are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
• Yellow Jackets are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.

Duke

• Blue Devils are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Blue Devils are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
• Blue Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Blue Devils are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head

• Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Clemson (-8) at NC State - Who are we to bet against Clemson right now. The Tigers are hot and mauling ACC foes. Clemson has won 4 in a row, including a win at Miami and look nasty right now. NC State on the other hand is major disappointment this season. Yes they beat Maryland last time out but that was Maryland. NC State had not won since September and along the way was pounded by Duke and BC We just do not like the Wolf Pack right now and want to bet the hot team. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!

Clemson

• Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
• Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

Head-to-Head

• Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in North Carolina State.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Iowa at Ohio State (-16.5) - This line seems insane but it really is not. Never bet against Tressel when he has a chance to go for blood in conference. Ohio State wins this game and they have a chance to go to the Rose Bowl for the first time in a long time. Since their freak loss to Purdue, Ohio State has rolled off three wins and three covers. Iowa is going to be in let down city mode. They lost a game they should not have last week and more important, they lost their leader and QB in Stanzi.  Even with Stanzi, Iowa has won on comeback drives and basically freakishly good luck. Yes 16.5 points is a lot but not for this bunch. Ohio State is starting to put points on the board and their defense will be ready to go against a new, unproven Iowa QB. Ohio State was already the better team from a ball control standpoint. They are just playing much, much better than Iowa right now. We love them at home. We think this game will be ugly and we will be surprised if Iowa even scores. Yes we are that confident in this line. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
• Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
• Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 conference games.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
• Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.

Utah at TCU (-20) - We have become true believers in what the Horned Frogs are doing this season. The BCS is in agreement. Their D is insane!! They get after it and this is a team, on both sides of the ball, where the players know their roles and play into it. They play as a team and they will be more than ready for the Utes at home this week. This Utah team is not even close to the team that stomped on Bama in their Bowl game last year. Some ATS stats:

• TCU is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
• TCU is 43-18 ATS in their last 61 home games.
• TCU is 31-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall.

Utah has covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings head-to-head, but it doesn’t scare us. This TCU team is nasty. This line is high for a reason (the last time it was this high was 1996-TCU was the Dog then and covered). Take TCU and give the points.

Tennessee at Ole Miss (-5.5) - We have been on the Vols bandwagon all year. We love the D Kiffin senior is putting in place. They are getting after it!! Give them one more year of recruiting and this team will be solid. Anyway, the future means nothing for us. What matters now is the what they have this week. Orgeron returns to his old Oxford stomping grounds. We think he will have a HUGE chip on his shoulder. We think the Vols will be fired up for their coach and will be looking to beat the bag out of Sneed. It does scare us that the Rebels have dominated this match-up ATS wise in recent years (6-1 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head meetings), but we like the Vols on the road this week. On the season, the Vols are 6-3 ATS (including 4 straight covers), 2-0 ATS on the road. The Rebels are 5-4 ATS, but have not covered their last two times out. They struggled at home last week with a terrible Northern Arizona team. We think the Rebels are overrated and the Vols have the better QB. Take the Vols and the points.

Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5) - The Wolverines have surprised us this year. Tate Forcier plays with a ton of heart and seems to give it his best each week. His major weakness, though, is that he has a tendency to lose focus if the team gets behind. The reason this is important this week is because this will be an extremely hostile crowd he will be facing. Is he a gamer that will feed off the negativity like Barkley did in his visit to Columbus earlier this yer? We don’t know yet. We know he brings it, but we don’t know how he will respond to the friendlies up in Madison. Until we see it for ourselves, we are saying no freakin’ way. Also, Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take the Badgers and give the points.

Missouri at Kansas State (+1) - Kansas State has shocked just about everyone in the sports world with their surprise run at the Big XII North championship. They have been playing well and are down right nasty at home this year (undefeated ATS this year at home). They gave Oklahoma a good run for their money earlier in the year and pounded Colorado and Texas A&M. Mizzou has been a huge disappointment this year. Granted they lost a ton to the draft last year, but still, we all thought they would be better than they are. They are off a very sad defeat to Baylor at home. We think this team is deflated and looking forward to the offseason. K State has way more to play for and will be ready. We are betting the Wildcats to cover and we expect the win.

UAB (-1.5) at Memphis - Not much to write-up here. Memphis is a complete disaster. They just fired their coach and they are not a deep team at all. UAB has been solid and has been good in this match-up in recent history (6-2-1 ATS). We think UAB rolls. Take the Blazers and give the points.

Arizona at California (-3) - Zona is a very good team this year. They play smart. Cal had a decent run, but fell on bad times with some surprising, big losses. What will give? Zona should win this game. Cal lost their best player last week when Jahvid Best sustained another concussion. If you saw the footage of the play-it was an amazing effort and score-it was shocking to see him laid out like that. Even before that loss, though, Cal has not been good ATS (0-3 in their last three games), while Zona has been the exact opposite (3-0 ATS in their last 3). Zona has way more to play for. This would be a HUGE road win for them and would slingshot them up the rankings. They smell blood and will get it done. They will win outright, we love them even more with the points. The Tedford turd sandwich will definitely rear its ugly head in this game. Take Zona and the points.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (-6.5) -It has been awhile since we had the chance to rip on Notre Dame and there is no time like the present. This team is on the verge of collapse. Gotta love their reaction to last week’s defeat to Navy. According to Tom Coyne of the AP:

Notre Dame associate head coach Corwin Brown criticized Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo for his postgame comments about the Irish defensive game plan and for the way the way his team uses what Brown called “malicious” illegal cut blocks.

“I thought it was very disappointing what the Navy coach said after the game,” Brown said. “He didn’t want something to be misconstrued, then he said it regarding how we prepared and what we prepared to do.”

Brown went into his criticism of Niumatalolo after practice Wednesday night, cutting off a reporter before the first question could be asked and speaking for two minutes about the Navy coach.

The Midshipmen (7-3) beat the Irish 23-21 on Saturday, the second Navy win in three years against Notre Dame (6-3) after an NCAA-record 43 straight losses. Following the game, Niumatalolo said the Navy coaches expected the Notre Dame coaches to use a similar defensive scheme as in 2008 when the Irish held the Midshipmen to 178 yards rushing in a 27-21 loss.

“I think the one thing that helped us, and I really hope this doesn’t come across wrong, but I think the thing that helped us this year was last year because we knew that they’d line up the same way,” Niumatalolo said.

Brown said Niumatalolo should have known how his comment would be taken.

“In all the classy guys I’ve watched and played under, they would never say something like that,” he said.

Brown also criticized the way Niumatalolo coaches his players to block, point to a play last season where linebacker Brian Smith sustained a sprained knee because of an illegal cut block, missing the final two regular-season games. On Saturday, Navy receiver Nick Henderson was called for personal foul on a hit on cornerback Robert Blanton.

Brown called the hit on Blanton “one of the most malicious plays I’ve ever seen since I’ve been playing.”

Brown said he called Niumatalolo about the hit, saying he considered saying something to him before the game about the way Navy blocks.

“Very malicious,” Brown said. “In this game, which we’re supposed to be playing for our kids and we’re working for our kids, you don’t let your players do something like that.”

Nice work, Irish…criticize a military school on Veteran’s Day. We think they are a bunch of un-American evil doers!!!

Plus, Big Chuckie Weis is in the media every day defending his players or throwing his players under the bus. Really depends on the day and now a closing schedule of Pitt, UCONN and Stanford is not looking so easy anymore. 6-2, turned into 6-3 and it could turn into 6-6 before we are done.

This is a nightmare matchup for Notre Dame. Pitt is literally better in all of the ball control stats we track. Pitt runs the ball better, converts third downs better, stops the run better, stops third downs better and really gets after the QB to the tune of 39 sacks. Notre Dame is coming off a ridiculous loss to Navy where it almost looked fixed there were so many missed red zone opportunities and missed field goals. We can not be happier. The continuous demise of the skipping leprechauns brings smiles to our faces every day. These teams are going in opposite directions. Notre Dame has lost three in a row ATS and Pitt has won three in a row ATS. We think Pitt will win big and get after the Irish!

Notre Dame

• Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Irish are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Irish are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
• Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
• Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Pittsburgh

• Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Panthers are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Flash Flash for the Cash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Picks, Chicks and a Salute to Texas RPJ $tyle!

We are 39-39-1 heading into the weekend while waiting for the outcome of the PITT/Rutgers game. So far we are 1-1 on the week. We are very, very afraid this week because we love a ton of games. We usually end up with 3-8 games but this week we are unleashing the fury Mitch!!! When these weeks come, when all of our models and opinions sync up, we hammer the games. This week we are going to discuss some of the marquee matchups and then sling picks for the obvious games. Enjoy the picks. May your wallets be stuffed, your beer fridge full and your girl’s face on your (insert noun here)! It is Red River rivalry and USC/Notre Dame week. We are fired up.

These teams do not need any detailed analysis Games: These picks are pretty straight forward and are set up as either a good team versus a bad team or a bad team versus a horrific team. We are not going to go into detailed analysis to save our carpel tunnel syndrome. Feel free to use our website and our free matchup tools. Click here to stroll through our free data! Just click on this link, find the game you want to analyze and click away on the matchup, supergrid and or preview functions. There is tons of free data for you to use on your own. Bodog has been an awesome partner for us and if you like our picks, which you should of late, help us out by clicking on one of the banner advertisements to sign up for a Bodog account and to get free money.

Kent State at E. Michigan (+6.5) - Give us some credit, you have to respect anyone that is going to drop any sort of knowledge on a Kent State-EMU game!!!! Sometimes we just make it easy for you. Eastern Michigan is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country, sitting at 1-4 ATS and 0-5 on the season. So do not be deceived that Eastern Michigan almost beat Northwestern. Other than that, they have been pounded by the likes of Army and Temple to name a few of the teams they lost to. They also lost to Michigan and Central Michigan but that was expected. We expect Kent State to rebound from the horrible loss to Bowling Green last week. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven. We are betting Kent State to win and cover!!!

Hawaii at Idaho (-8) - Do you know who the best cover team is in the country right now? We do and it is the Idaho Vandals. Idaho is 5-1 overall and 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came at Washington and this team actually won at Northern Illinois and Colorado State. Very impressive. Who are we to bet against them. We love any opportunity to bet on the Vandals!! We are betting Idaho to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5) - Central Michigan is one of the best cover teams in the nation sitting at 5-1. With their lone ATS loss at Buffalo by 1.5 points or so, depending on where you got the line. We also have a bizarre man crush on Dan LeFevour and we are unlikely to bet against him. We have been lucky that he rewarded us nicely two years ago when he was 100% healthy and has rewarded us again this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Houston at Tulane (-17) - Well Toolame burned us last week but we are persistent. Houston will run and gun and sling it all over the place. Toolame is not that good and still have the swine flu lingering around campus. Never a good combo..bad football and swine flu. Our boy Case Keenum is going to put 50 on these guys. We are betting Houston to win and cover!!!

BYU (-17) at San Diego State - Another battle of the shit show matchups. BYU has talent. San Diego State does not. BYU = 4-2 ATS. San Diego State = 1-4 ATS. San Diego State basically loses to who they are supposed to lose to. See losses to UCLA, Idaho and Air Force and they beat who they are supposed to beat most of the time. BYU will beat San Diego State and they will beat them easily. We are betting BYU to win and cover!!!

Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5) - If you have not picked up on it yet, bet against Kentucky every week you can in the SEC. They snuck one in on us at South Carolina last week but we got nice covers with Alabama and Florida. We are going to ride the anti-Kentucky bandwagon once again. We still have no clue as to how this program is in any Div 1 conference. They are terrible even for SEC standards. Auburn wins and covers!!!

Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue - Another certainty, Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten and covers most of the time. Just keep riding the wave. This is not rocket science. Ohio State has covered every Big Ten game this year (3-0) and Purdue has lost all of them (0-2). Ohio State is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Purdue is in a major transition year. New coach. New players. New offensive philosophy. They have been playing games hard, but they just don’t have the talent and cohesion OSU has. This game may be close in the first half, as the Boilermaker faithful will be out in full force and going bananas. However, OSU will pull away in the 2nd half. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois (-3) at Indiana - We love this game!! Runny has been to it in person a couple of times. It is like a battle of the two worse state fairs you can think of!!! These teams hate each other. The Hoosiers have been a HUGE surprise this year. The fact this team has even won one game is shocking. The Illini have also blown our minds with some of the worse play in college football (we picked this team to beat Mizzou outright in week one!!!!). Juice is a huge bust. Benn is having a terrible year. So, what will give in this sideshow of a game??? The Illini will give. They are favorites based on the rep and promise over the past few seasons. This team is not the team that played SC in the Rose Bowl. The Hoosiers will win outright. Take Indiana at home with the points.

Louisville at UCONN (-13)- Big East match-up with implications. The Huskies are looking to show their program is no fluke and the Cardinals are trying to salvage some respectability at home. UConn’s pogram IS solid. They are similar to Cincy. They are well coached and play hard. They will be stoked at home. The cover will be close, but the Huskies will still pull it out. This is another one of the brainless picks. UCONN is 5-0 against the spread. Always bet into strength. This line seems awfully high but bet it with confidence. Take the Huskies and give the points.

Iowa at Wisconsin (-3) - This game is a trap!! Beware!!! There is absolutely no logical reason to justify why the Hawkeyes are the dogs in this game. The Hawkeyes are arguably the best team in the Big 10. Wisconsin is having a down year. Although the Badgers are at home in Madison where it is extremely tough to play, this team is just not that good and they are certainly not playing to the level of Iowa right now. Further proof of the trap comes from the numbers: 68% of the money is on Iowa and the line opened Iowa -1. The line should have gone up, not down to the Badgers as favorites. VEGAS KNOWS!! Don’t fall for it!! Take Iowa to win and cover!

Washington at Arizona State (-6.5) - Is it us, or does ASU break your hearts every freakin’ year? Every year this team has the promise of being good, and every year, we bet them and bet them only to get left at the alter. Not this time!! The Huskies have an entirely new lease on life. After beating USC, they have shown they have some swagger and the guts to hang in there against anyone. They played the Irish super tough in the South Bend, so they have shown that road trips do not scare them. They will be ready for the PAC-10 game. ASU may win, but it will be within a TD. Take the Huskies and the points!

Stanford at Arizona (-4.5) - Very similar game to the Washington-ASU game. Stanford gets the edge for us despite being on the road. They are really well coached (Harbaugh may be one the best coaches in Div 1 football). Harbaugh gets more out of talent than any coach in the country (except for maybe Chris Peterson in Boise). They are a smart team. Zona is solid, too, but Stanford will be ready and they are playing with a chip on their shoulders for some national respect. Take the Cards and the points.

Arkansas at Florida (-25) - This game has “let down” written all over it. Everyone has anointed the Gators as national champs despite having half the season left to go. The Gators are in cruise control. They will be at home. They have not looked dominating at all. Not at all. The Razorbacks having nothing to lose and they will pull out all the stops. They have a solid QB in Ryan Mallett. He can straight sling it!!! The gators have not faced a QB this good all year. Remember Ole Miss last year? The Razorbacks could do the same thing. Plus, don’t underestimate Petrino. He is a good coach, and we know he can play dirty (just ask Arthur Blank and the Falcons). Look for Petrino to pull an Arkansas sweathog move and knock Tebow out of the game! Take the ‘Backs and the points.

Not the Red River Rivalry but the next best game of the week!

Southern California (-10) at Notre Dame - For months people (i.e. the media and dumb Domers) have been touting the Irish as a legit BCS championship contender and one of the best teams in the country. Guess what? Another year proves yet again that they are probably the most overrated program in all of sports. If they were in the SEC they would probably be ranked #5 in the country, but we know they are a joke. Michael Floyd is out for this game so that means the only threat they have is Golden Tate. That is not enough against this SC Defense. USC comes in with tons of swagger knowing that they have stomped this team in recent years. They also are playing inspired ball from rallying behind their fallen comrad, Stephon Johnson. USC relishes playing opponents on the road under the spotlight. Barkley knows he is the man for this team, and he is grasping control of the offense more and more each week. They destroyed Cal in Berkley two weeks ago, and that team had WAAAAAAAY more talent on both sides of the ball than this Irish team. This game will not be close. Look for a HUGE game from Taylor Mays as Clausen tries to test fate and go deep on this team. Mays will get him. Now that we got our USC homerness out of the way you really need to think about this game logically. Look at the line and what do you see? USC is favored, on the road, against the 25th rated team in the country, against the QB with the best QB rating in the country, a team with multiple 4th quarter comebacks and USC is playing a true freshmen. Did you just follow that sequence of logic? Makes you want to bet Notre Dame right? Well we always say that Vegas knows and Vegas set this line at ten points because Vegas knows all of the Notre Dame idiots will easily bet this game at USC -10. That line speaks volumes. If Notre Dame was any good the line would not be USC -10. Be safe, be smart and listen to Vegas. Plus, look at the picture below….could you feel remotely safe betting on a team with that guy leading the charge?What the hell does the “CC” stand for on the banana hammock on the dude on the left? How is he not getting crushed in the papers for this? Take USC and gladly give the points.

USC

• Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. INDEP.
• Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
• Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Trojans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Red River Rivalry Game of the week!

Oklahoma at Texas (-3) - The Sooners need this game more, but Texas is just too good right now. Bradford is not close to 100% and Stoops cannot win big games. McCoy is primed for a huge game. He will get it this week against the Sooners. Oklahoma is another one of those early season teams that had uncertainty on their O-line. This has not been solved due to injuries and Texas is going to bring a nasty defense to the Texas State Fair. If you watched last week’s game, Sam Bradford is not ready to go and one more week of practice will help but will certainly not make him comfortable. These teams look very similar on paper but we think the difference will be QB and O-line and Texas wins both of those matchups. And how could we forget Big Game Bob Stoops. Big Game Bob is 0-4 ATS in his last 4 in this series and we expect the pain to continue. We are betting Texas to win and cover!!!

Oklahoma

• Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Sooners are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Texas

• Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
• Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Longhorns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Get the latest Sports Wagering Odds at Bodog Sportsbook

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 6 Picks: Holy Sh*T! It is Florida/LSU Week

Big weekend on tap for NCAA football. We have 11 undefeated teams right now and we will have less when the weekend is over. This is what NCAA football is all about. The weekend will revolve around the SEC with Florida traveling to play in Baton Rouge in a night game and Alabama going to Ole Miss. Lots on the line for these teams. We are going to break this week down into games that matter for your wallets and discuss the proper wager on “THE” game of the week: Florida at LSU.

Good old fashioned wallet padding games!!!

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (-22.5) - Is this really a surprise. We love Dan LeFevour and we bet every Fever game. This strategy might change as the season goes on but for right now this is what we are doing. We love Central Michigan to cover and win this one!!

Michigan State (-3.5) at Illinois - Illinois benches Juice Williams and this is the line we get; only 3.5 points. Chalk this one up as easy cash. Illinois is terrible and Michigan State is respectable for a Big Ten school. Easy money and we are all over the Spartans. We are betting Michigan State big in this one!!

TCU (-10) at Air Force - If TCU can travel to Clemson and win, they certainly can travel to Air Force and win. Ten points is just not that big a deal to this team and we would be surprised if Air Force actually scores ten points; Clemson barely did. We are betting TCU to win and cover.

West Virginia (-10) at Syracuse -We love this line. West Virginia is coming off a prime time ass whoopin of Colorado and now they get to take the Devine show on the road to upstate NY. No contest here. We are betting West Virginia to win and cover!!!

Kentucky at South Carolina (-9.5) - This website has become the bet against Kentucky at all costs website. Florida kicked their ass. Alabama kicked their ass. And those two arse whoopins were in Kentucky. Now South Carolin will kick their ass. Ten points is not a big deal. Do you really need any analysis? We are betting South Carolina to win and cover!!

Iowa State at Kansas (-19) - Yes we have a man crush on Mangino and Todd Reesing. Can you really blame us? This is a big number but Kansas is at home and will go for the kill. The ATS numbers are in our favor as well. The Home TEam is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings and Iowa State 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Rock, Chalk, Jayhawk land! We are betting Kansas to win and cover!!!

The Game of the Weekend

Florida (-7.5) at LSU - This is clearly the game of the weekend and will set the tone for the BCS standings as well as the power rankings in the SEC. Also, this game has high drama with the whole Tim Tebow concussion issue going on. We do not think he will play. As of Wednesday, Tebow was still not reading. Yes you heard that correctly. He was not reading. How in the hell is a guy who is not reading, who plays like a drunken rhinoceros going to play the way he plays. In terms of RPJ $yndicate play, there is major disagreement in house. Runny and BSL are betting on LSU to cover and Flash Flash is all over Florida.

Florida

• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Gators are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Gators are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Gators are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Gators are 17-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
• Gators are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
• Gators are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.

Enjoy the picks

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!

RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.

Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!

Ball State

• Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!

We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.

A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.

If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.

In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.

Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.

FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2

Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)

This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)

Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET  New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS  (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)

Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.

FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)

We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET  Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS  (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)

Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!

EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)

Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.

New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)

The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!

Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)

The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.

MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET  St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)

We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)

This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)

We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET  Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)

1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!

2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?

Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)

We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.

Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET  Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)

We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?

Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET  San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)

Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)

We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.

PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers  vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)

Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?

Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET  Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)

We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!

Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET  San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)

This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.

Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)

Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)

These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.

Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m.  Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)

Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET  Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)

How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!

Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)

This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)

You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)

Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.

Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)

We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.

Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)

We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET  Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)

Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.

Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)

This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6

East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)

Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)

Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.

International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)

This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!

GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET  Mobile, Ala.  ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC

Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)

More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.

Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 15 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Last Temptation of…….Betting NCAA Regular Season Saturdays

Religion and football do not mix. Where do you think we were going with that title? We will not know our records yet because we still have action going on with the Buffalo/Ball State game.

If you have not done so as of yet, you really need to check out the additional features we provide on this website. First, we have a complete set of matchup tools. Simply click on this link: RPJ Matchups and it brings you to our matchups feature. You can click on the quick links to see Bodog’s preview (which has great info), matchups, which shows records, a smart chart, injuries, trends, head to head summaries, last 5 game stats, the weather and lots more and last but not least you can click on supergrid to see lots of great stats. If youhave no idea what the hell we are talking about then shoot us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and we will be happy to walk you through it.

Second, through our Bodog affiliation, we have a direct link to all of the current live odds for every sport. Click here to see RPJ’s live odds tab.

Third, please sign up for our RSS feed. You do not want to miss the action when we put up our picks for the week and look for us to get back into the NBA and to introduce some NCAA hoops content in the near future.

Fourth, please sign up to join our email distribution list. We are going to have picking competitions for prizes and cash with the first likely coming for March Madness. You do not want to miss out on our promotions in the future.

Fifth, we have a Facebook page and you should join if you have a Facebook account. Simply search within Facebook for RPJ Syndicate and become a fan of our page. We post all of our best chick pictures there and update it regularly.

Sixth, we know you are here for the picks and girls so here you go.

RPJ $yndicate Picks (46-52-2 and we have Ball State pending)

Navy at Army (+10.5) - This is the first HUH line of the day. This is a bizarre weekend for lines and we do not get it. More on this later. Why is this spread 10.5 points. We would expect it to be at least 20. Navy has destroyed Army for 6 straight years and continues to be the more elite team of the two. The average score over these six years was 40-12. Navy is coming off a nice road shutout of Northern Illinois and Army is mired in a 3-8 season with not much to talk about. Army even lost to  Hampshire…..by 18 POINTS!!! Here are the ATS numbers:

Navy

Midshipmen are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December.

Midshipmen are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Midshipmen are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games.

Midshipmen are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a bye week.

Midshipmen are 45-21-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Army

Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Black Knights are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.

Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.

Black Knights are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

We do not expect this game to be close and the 6 year average of 40-12 is a likely outcome. We are taking Navy to win and cover!

Cinncy at Hawaii (+7.5) - Another HUH line! We think this is just a strange week because we expected this line to be in the 14-15 point range and we get to take it at 7 points. Yee haw!!! We love games like this. Cincy is physical, runs for more yards per game, gives up less running yards per game and turns the ball over less. This means they can control the clock and the game. Coach Brian Kelly has stated that he loves Cincy and is coming back next year so that got rid of that distraction. Also, this line opened at 3.5 and is now up to 7 so we know the movement is legit. Check out the ATS numbers:

Cincy

• Bearcats are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Bearcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bearcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.

Hawaii

• Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

We do not think this game will be close. Take Cincy to win and cover!

Boston College at Virginia Tech (pick em and UNDER 37.5) - For the second straight season, Boston College and Virginia Tech are meeting in the ACC championship game with a spot in the Orange Bowl on the line. We think this is going to line up exactly like last year as well. BC wins the regular season game, Va. Tech wins the championship game. The 28-23 game earlier this season was ugly; BC had 5 turnovers and Va. Tech had two defensive TDs. MIracle BC won in the first place. The Hokies rank sixth in the Football Bowl Subdivision in total defense (274.5 yards per game), while Boston College is eighth (276.7 ypg). One big difference in this game is the loss of BC’s QB, Chris Crane. Crane broke his collar bone on November 22 and is being replacedby a red shirt freshmen. That fact alone makes us love Va. Tech. You have ridden us to victory betting on the Va. Tech UNDER and of course we are coming back to it this week. oth teams struggle on offense and have NFL talent on defense. Here are the ATS numbers:

BC

Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Eagles are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Over is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 conference games.

Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 games on grass.

Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 games overall.

Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Va. Tech

Hokies are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 conference games.

Hokies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Hokies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.

Hokies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 5-0 in Hokies last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games on grass.

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games overall.

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 conference games.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 7-2 in Hokies last 9 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Virginia Tech.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Pretty mixed bag of results. We love the UNDER play for obvious reasons. Va. Tech has gone under in 4 straight games and the trend will continue. Va. Tech has been in every single game this year and have the revenge factor on their side. We are taking Virginia Tech to win/cover and we are going to ride the UNDER one more time!

USC at UCLA (+32.5) - yeah this looks stupid just like it did with 30 points against Notre Dame and 40+ points against Washington State but guess what? All of those games covered. The crazier the better for USC. This game is comical. Pete Carroll is sending his team out in home jerseys at the Rose Bowl (UCLA’s home stadium) for the first time since 1982. He was also willing to do this even if it meant giving up 2 timeouts, one per half. The ruling came back that the The Men of Troy only have to give up one but how arrogant is that. It is awesome if it works and the worst coaching decision of all time (playing Booty with a broken hand against Stanford last year wins right now) if it fails. Not much to say about this game. The Trojans lead the nation in scoring defense (7.8 points per game) and total defense (210.6 yards per game). The Trojans have allowed only 10 touchdowns in 11 games. No team in the country has given up fewer points per game in any of the last 13 seasons. The Bruins rank 110th in total offense (294.7) and 107th in scoring (18.6 ppg). UCLA’s QB has thrown 12 INTs and no TDs in his last 4 games and last week UCLA lost bad and did not give up an offensive TD….but they gave up four to the defense. The ATS numbers do not even matter in this game. USC will crush UCLA. We are taking the Trojans to win and cover!!! Keyshawn predicted a 63-3 final on The Herd today and we love that prediction!

Missouri “Paper” Tigers versus Oklahoma Sooners (-17) - This is a monster spread for a championship game but we are not afraid. Oklahoma is that good and they dominate every statistical category we track heads up against Mizzou. We do not even like what we hear coming out of the Missouri camp. Chase Daniel is talking about how they are no playing well and are waiting to play a perfect game and blah blah blah. They have no chance. Mizzou is not as physical and has one of the worst passng defenses in the nation. Mizzou was not able to stop Kansas and they sure won’t be able to stop Oklahoma. Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS on the season and will continue to roll with a healthy DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown this team runs a lot more than people think and will really wear out Mizzou. Here are the ATS numbers:

Missouri

• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Oklahoma

• Sooners are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
• Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Sooners are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.

This is not the week to bet against Oklahoma. All signs point in their direction. We think Oklahoma can win this game in Texas Tech fashion. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!

Florida (-10) a versus Alabama - Huh? Double huh, huh? Alabama is the number one rated team in the country and they are 9.5 point dogs. Are you kidding us? Alabama ranks third in the Bowl Subdivision in scoring defense (11.5 ppg) and total defense (248.5 yards per game), and is eighth in time of possession (32:32). While Alabama has won primarily by keeping opponents out of the end zone, Florida (11-1, 7-1) boasts the nation’s third-highest scoring offense. The Gators average 46.3 points, and with Tim Tebow looking as sharp as ever, they’ve put up an average of 53.7 while winning each of their last seven games by at least four touchdowns. What Florida can rely on this season that it couldn’t in 2007 is a strong defense. Though the Gators offense is the unit garnering national recognition, their defense - like the Tide’s - is in the top 10 in the FBS in scoring defense (12.3 ppg) and total defense (275.7). Florida also has forced 32 turnovers, third-most in the country. This will be the 40th time the AP’s top two teams have met, with No. 1 holding a 23-15-1 edge. This is the first 1-2 matchup in a conference championship game. Here are the ATS numbers:

Alabama

Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Florida

Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Gators are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

Head-to-Head

Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Those head-to-head numbers are interesting. Here is how we see this game shaking out and our true thoughts on the teams and yes, you SEC homers will hate us for it. These are two of the most overrated teams in college football right now. Alabama has played the 88th hardest schedule in D-1 football and Florida has played only two teams that are currently ranked in the top 25 and they lost to one of them. We had to stick it to the SEC at least once in this post. Ha ha. Oh yeah, and the SEC only has 4 teams in the top 35 in the Sagarin rankings. This game will probably be more low scoring than people think. Both teams will look to run but with Cody in the middle, Florida will have a tough time running through that Alabama defense. With the loss of Percy Harvin, Florida will have even more trouble running their “dynamic” offense. It does not matter that the game is on turf, both teams have speed on both sides of the ball. So to us, Florida’s offense is overated because they have not played anybody and Alabama’s defense is underrated. Put the two together and you get a low scoring game. Alabama is white bread and plan vanilla. They play smash mouth, running football and John Parker Wilson is efficient enough to pull off the play action pass. We think this game will be close, a lot closer than 9.5 points and do not be surprised if Alabama wins outright. Remember, only two teams smacked Florida in the mouth this year….Ole Miss, which beat them and Miami, which kept it a lot closer than the score indicated. Florida is ripe for the picking. We are taking Alabama to cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (32-36-1 on the season)

Pitt at UCONN (-2.5) : Pitt is playing well (finally). They finally have a good blend of pass and run. The thing that sticks out to me is their D. They are playing extremely wll andschmopped an explosive WVA team last week in the Backyard Brawl. UConn, although at home, does not have WVA’s firepower. I love Pitt getting points. I’m taking Pitt to cover.

South Florida at West Virginia (-7) : The Bulls are terrible on the road-very much so against Big East teams. WVA needs a win this week to salvage some respect for their season. I think this is a pretty easy one. I’m taking WVA to cover.

Arizona State at Arizona (-10.5): I’m not a fan of either team, but in civil war games like these where the teams are pretty evenly matched, I’m taking the points. Zona will win, but ASU can keep it within 10.5. I’m taking ASU and the points.

Flash Flash Picks (24-16-3 on the season)

East Carolina at Tulsa (-11.5) - I think I have lost every single game that I have bet on Tulsa this year and that flat out pisses me off. I pick the UNDER and they go OVER, I pick the OVER and they go UNDER, I pick them to win and cover and they lose outright. Well call me crazy but I am betting on these crazy bastards once again. Here is why I like it. Tulsa is 7-4 ATS on the season and is 5-0 ATS at home, they rush for 259 yards per game versus East Carolina’s 119 yards per game, have a slightly better run defense and turn the ball over less per game. Here are the ATS numbers:

East Carolina

• Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
• Pirates are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Pirates are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

I love that East Carolina is 0-6 in their last 6 on the road and Tulsa is 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5. Hopefully the Golden Hurricanes redeem themselves in my eyes cause if they don’t I am going to turn their Golden Hurricane into a steamy Golden Shower. I am taking Tulsa to win and cover!

RPJ $yndicate picture of the day

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Texas A&M at Texas

Happy Turkey Day!!!

Following Runny’s 1-1 MAC picks here are our season records: RPJ is 43-49-2, Flash is 21-14-3 and Runny is 29-34-1.

We have a mix and match for you today. Runny is picking the game and Flash is picking the OVER/UNDER.

Texas A&M at Texas (-35 and OVER/UNDER 67.5) - This is going to be a huge statement game for Texas. Oklahoma just destroyed Texas Tech, a team the Longhorns lost to, and Texas now plays an unranked A&M team while Oklahoma goes on the road to play a ranked Ok. State team. Statement and Style are going to be big for Texas. Most experts think a Sooner win will make the voters push the Sooners to leapfrog over Texas and secure a spot ahead of them in the BCS standings. Remember, in the case of a 3 way tie, the retarded Big-12 settles the matter by pushing the BCS standings leader into the title game. Totally illogical but a rule is a rule. Here are the full ATS numbers:

Aggies

Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

Aggies are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss.

Aggies are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Aggies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Aggies are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Aggies are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.

Over is 6-0 in Aggies last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 Thursday games.

Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games following a S.U. loss.

Over is 8-1 in Aggies last 9 conference games.

Over is 6-1 in Aggies last 7 games overall.

Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games on grass.

Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games in November.

Over is 26-9-2 in Aggies last 37 games following a ATS loss.

Over is 22-8-1 in Aggies last 31 road games.

Over is 17-7-1 in Aggies last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over is 35-17-2 in Aggies last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Longhorns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Longhorns are 20-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games in November.

Over is 10-2 in Longhorns last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Over is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 games on grass.

Over is 8-2 in Longhorns last 10 conference games.

Over is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games overall.

Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 5-2 in Longhorns last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 5-2-1 in Longhorns last 8 games following a bye week.

Over is 20-8-1 in Longhorns last 29 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Texas.

As you can see the numbers are very convincing for Texas and the Over. Texas remembers that A&M has beat them outright in recent memory. They will be out for revenge and they know they need to POUND A&M for the polls. Runny Says Texas wins and covers and Flash Flash says the bet is to take the Over!

Bite into this turkey leg!!!!

“In reading the lives of great men, I found that the first victory they won was over themselves…self-discipline with all of them came first” Harry Truman

Flash and Runny

Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!

Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:

RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season

Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)

Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season

Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:

Illinois

Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Fighting Illini are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Fighting Illini are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

Fighting Illini are 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games following a S.U. loss.

Fighting Illini are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.

Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Northwestern

Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wildcats are 19-41-1 ATS in their last 61 games following a S.U. win.

Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Wildcats are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head

• Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!

Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:

Duke

Under is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games in November.

Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 16-5 in Blue Devils last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 21-7 in Blue Devils last 28 road games.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games overall.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 conference games.

Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Virginia Tech

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 home games.

Under is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games on grass.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games following a ATS win.

Under is 8-3 in Hokies last 11 games in November.

Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 conference games.

There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!

BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:

BYU

Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Utah

Utes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Utes are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on field turf.

Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Utes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Utes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Utes are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.

Utes are 9-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Utes are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. win.

We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!

Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:

Oregon State

Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.

Beavers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Beavers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Beavers are 43-17 ATS in their last 60 games following a ATS win.

Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Arizona

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.

Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Wildcats are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!

Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.

This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?

 

Here are the ATS numbers:

Texas Tech

Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Red Raiders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Oklahoma

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.

Sooners are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in November.

Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head

• Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.

 

Flash Flash Picks

Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.

NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!

Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks

Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.

Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.

RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!

Good luck this weekend!

Flash Flash and Runny

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