Beavers
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!
Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)
Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season
Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!
Brad Pitt must hit that hard! Angelina Jolie needs to be naked always!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:
Illinois
Northwestern
Head-to-Head
-
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!
Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:
Duke
Virginia Tech
There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!
BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:
BYU
Utah
We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon State
Arizona
Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.
#9 is Fine!!!
This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?
Hut Hut Hike!
Here are the ATS numbers:
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Head-to-Head
-
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.
Yes, She is a TT student!
Flash Flash Picks
Megan Fox is always a fan favorite!
Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.
NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks
Some Shania for Nashville
Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.
Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!
Good luck this weekend!
Flash Flash and Runny
Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks (Week 13, 2008)
THE HERD IS AN ANIMAL THIS SEASON!!!!!! We originally started The Herd Wheel of Genius post to keep track of The Herd cause last year he inflated the hell out of his numbers. Well this season is no joke. He is coming at us with legit picks and he is 35-20-1! Yes, 35-20-1. Those are godlike numbers for the sports betting community. 56% beats the Vig and he is coming in at 64%. And he was 4-0 last week after two back to back 2-2 weeks. Well Herd we love you and your picks rule! Here are Colin’s picks for Week 13 in his words. I try and transcribe as fast as possible and get these out ASAP because he moves lines in Vegas!
The Herd is a little nervous because he feels like he has a lot of pressure cause his picks have been so good. he likes it better when people do not pay attention.
BYU at Utah (-4) - This is an intense rivalry. Utah is trying to get to a BCS bowl game. Utah has won a lot of tight games against teams that do have some speed. Utah D is quick and fast. BYU has a good QB but really slow WRs. Score prediction = Utah 28 BYU 20. Taking Utah to win and cover!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7.5) - Oklahoma is nasty at home. Oklahoma D is overrated and gives up the short pass. Texas Tech loves the short pass and lives on it. Texas Tech has one of the best O-lines in the country (only gave up 5 sacks this year) and arguably the best offensive coach, best WR and best QB in the country and they are GETTING POINTS. This is just great. Oklahoma is a great finishing team. Rarely turn the ball over an dhave one of the best red zone offenses in the country. Score prediction = Oklahoma 38 Texas Tech 36. Take Texas Tech to cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-3) - Oregon State has beaten Arizona 8 of the last 9 but those were bad Arizona teams. Arizona is 11th in the nation in scoring. Oregon State is good but they are young and all of their loses have come on the road. They lost at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. They were able to beat Cal and USC at home so this is a different team on the road. Score prediction = Arizona 31 Oregon State 24. Take Arizona to win and cover!
Michigan State at Penn State (-13.5) - Spartans were one of 4 dark horse teams this season. However, Michigan State is an unpredictable mess. Penn State is elite on both sides of the ball. Michigan State is one dimensional and Penn State will be able to contain Ringer. Score prediction = Penn State 36 Michigan State 10. Take Penn State to win and cover!
Week 5 NCAA Free Football Picks (9/25 - 9/27/08) and Booty (not John David) Chicks
Here is our rundown for the season. Last week we went a combined 10-4 so that brings our records to the following:
RPJ $yndicate is now 12-12-1 on the season. We are not happy with this but we had a solid week last week and we will continue to roll with our system that is going to start picking up winners like Spitzer picks up whores. Mark our words.
Flash Flash is now 5-1 on the season. I am loving the games I am finding. The Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week.
Runny Pelvis the Fat is now 11-9 on the season. 5-3 last week and on a roll.
We always tell you that we are here for our fans. The Wizard complained that the chicks we show are too skinny and that he wants to see curvy ladies who have asses wider than their hip bones. Sorry Klum fans but you are on the back burner this week. Here you go Wizard, a picture of Kim Kardashian, she certainly has some curves:
Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!
Sorry Wiz. Had to throw in some humor this week. Here you go with some fine pics:
You want curves, we will show you curves.
Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.
Have to show skin to win baby!!!
And a video of some booty shaking. Mr. SEC Lawyer requested as much Keyra as possible and it just does not exist so we had to mix it up. This is not Keyra quality but variety is the spice of life. Also, check out the video at the end of this post. It is solid.
Hope these met your approval Wizard and Mr. SEC Lawyer. To our other fans out there this just shows how we aim to please. Feel free to post comments, requests or shoot us emails at rpjsyndicate.com. We are here for our readers 1) to make you bucket loads of cash and 2) to show you what you want and based on where you click and read, you want to see hot ass.
Now on to the Week 5 picks and we have a lot of them for you:
RPJ $yndicate picks
North Carolina at Miami (-8) - This game is going down as the Flash Flash special and his game of the week. It just so happened that it hit all cylinders as far as our models go. UNC is coming off a horrible defeat at the hands of Virginia Tech. They had that game in hand, then lost their QB and a 4th quarter lead at home. UNC is young and will not be able to to bounce back from this. T.J. Yates gave his team a chance to win any game and now they have no chance to beat The U. Miami is actually playing pretty well. We have watched them a lot this year and they played Florida tougher than the final score showed (Effing Urban Meyer and his cover FG…douche, douche, DOUCHE!!!). Miami might have the most or second most team speed on defense. Line them up against USC and see who wins. The ATS numbers actually do not favor Miami in this game but stats do. Miami rushes for more yards per game, gives up a lot less yards per game and does not turn the ball over as much. Get on this line before it hits 10. Miami covers and wins!!!
Kent State at Ball State (-18 and over/under 59.5) - We are picking our first MACkey attackey game of the year. We love these games. Kent State stinks on defense and gives up more than 430 yards per game and to top it off they can score on offense. After they got shut out by BC in week 1, Kent State has scored 28, 24 and 27 points all while going 1-3 on the season. Ball State can score with the best of them and are generating 482 yards per game on offense and giving up 393 yards per game on defense. Ball State is 4-0 and has scored 42, 41, 35 and 48 points on the season. Ball State scored 42 last week at Indiana and lost their best player during the game and kept on scoring. We are hitting you up with a double pick on this game. Here are the ATS numbers:
Kent State
Golden Flashes are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Golden Flashes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-0 in Golden Flashes last 6 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Flashes last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Flashes last 8 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Ball State
Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Over is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games in September.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
We think the ATS numbers speak for themselves and Kent State is bad, really bad. They need to change their team name from the Golden Flashes to the Golden Showers. Ball State is going to urinate all over them. Take Ball State to win and cover and double it up with the OVER!!!
Ole Miss at Florida (-22) - This is an interesting game. Florida is coming off their Tennessee road beat down and Ole Miss has had two weeks to stew about their loss at home to Vanderbilt. Florida has looked good on paper but we do not think they are as good as their record shows. Tebow is not playing like Tebow. Maybe he should have been practicing instead of saving children in the Philthypeens this Summer. What we do know is Florida has some ridiculous talent on campus. Check this out:
Who wants to kiss my gator?
Lets check out the ATS numbers:
Ole Miss
Rebels are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Florida
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
You saw that Florida has one loss against the spread in the SEC in their last 5 and you guessed it…that game was against Ole Miss last year in a 30-24 win. Ole Miss could easily be 4-0 but has suffered a pair of disheartening losses. The Rebels outgained then-No. 20 Wake Forest on the road Sept. 6, but lost 30-28 on a last-second field goal. After beating Samford the next week, Ole Miss hosted Vanderbilt in its SEC opener last Saturday and outgained the Commodores 385-202. Jevan Snead, though, threw four interceptions and the Rebels lost two fumbles in a 23-17 defeat. Snead has talent and the swamp is no cupcake but we think this is too many points. This line opened at 24.5 and is now down to 22. We think you need to jump on it while you can. 62% of the money is betting on the Gators and the line is dropping so Vegas can take more bets for the Gators. As soon as the line stops dropping or rises we know the line is true. Get it while its hot….Ole Miss covers in this game!
Purdue at Notre Dame (Pick Em) - Holy crap this line opened at Notre Dame -3 and moved to pick em. Did hell freeze over? What the eff is going on here? 78% of the money is going to Purdue and that terrifies the hell out of us but the leaping leprechauns are putrid. The ATS numbers:
Purdue
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Boilermakers are 8-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Boilermakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Head-to-Head
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
The ATS numbers are not great but the head-to-head battle is big for Purdue. We think Vegas is out of their mind this game. Unless you live in Indiana you have no idea how important this game is for Purdue against their instate rival. Notre Dame might not give a crapola about Purdue but Purdue sure wants to beat the tar out of Notre Dame. This is Purdue’s bowl game. They hate the Irish. Purdue pissed us off last year with a no cover but they are back with a vengeance this year. The Irish are still bad, very bad. So forget the record for a moment. The Fighting Irish are 111th in the country (out of 119 teams) in rushing offense. They are 107th in total offense and 68th in total defense. Notre Dame’s offensive line, which was the worst in the history of offensive lines last year, is still weak. The only thing they have going for them is somewhat of a passing game. However, Purdue held the great Dan LaFevour down last week. If they can stop that passing game, they can certainly stop Claussen’s. We think this is easy money and is Runny’s pick of the week. Purdue wins and covers easily!!!
Fresno State at UCLA (+6.5) - Sometimes our models totally throw us for a loop and they did it in this game. Even though the pick will defy all logic, we have to stay disciplined to our models and our system. Lets look at some UCLA arse to get our minds focused on the game at hand. This is from the school’s annual undie run. Bet you wish you went there.
Always aim for the middle! Why didn't we go to a PAC 10 school?!?!?!
Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Fresno State
Bulldogs are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Bulldogs are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.
UCLA
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Bruins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bruins are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Bruins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Bruins are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Bruins are 23-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bruins are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Shocking isn’t it. We wish we had a better reason than, “trust us” but we do not. However, we are all over UCLA in this game and we are getting 6.5 points. Take UCLA and the points!!!!
Arkansas at Texas (-27.5) - Back for another rule of 28 game. This line was 28 when I started writing this post and it moved on us. Damn oddsmakers. Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week and really means absolutely nothing but in terms of golf, Rule 28 is when you are playing golf and you have to rule your ball unplayable and you are left with the following decisions:
a. Play a ball as nearly as possible at the spot from which the original ball was last played (see Rule 20-5); or
b. Drop a ball behind the point where the ball lay, keeping that point directly between the hole and the spot on which the ball is dropped, with no limit to how far behind that point the ball may be dropped; or
c. Drop a ball within two club-lengths of the spot where the ball lay, but not nearer the hole.
So we have a scenario for you. If you deem the ball in the picture unplayable what do you do?
Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?
Do you a) play the ball where it is? b) drop your ball behind the existing ball? or c) drop the ball within two club lengths. We think B is the clear winner. Drop it behind and get right in there. Is there a game associated with this? Oh yeah…The ATS numbers:
Arkansas
Razorbacks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Razorbacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Got it. Texas looks damn good this year and Arkansas blows. Alabama beat the piss out of them at Arkansas. Texas will beat them worse in Austin. Texas wins and covers!!!!!
Miss State at LSU (-24) - We did not like the points Florida had to make to cover in their game but we love it for LSU. We made some fat coin on LSU last year when they played Mississippi State and we are back for more. We love this game this week and will just show yo usome of the ATS numbers heads up:
Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.
Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Get our drift. Only thing that pisses us off about this game is the 2006 game. Flash missed a ten team parlay by 3.5 effing points when LSU benched all of their starters and let the Bulldogs come back and cover. Flash was in Vegas at the time and it would have been his biggest payday ever. LSU has defeated the Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1) eight straight times by an average margin of 32.4 points since a 17-16 road loss Oct. 23, 1999. Now that Lee is the QB, LSU should roll in this game. No way Miss. State can hang. LSU wins and covers!!!!!!
Virginia at Duke (-7) - Duke is actually favored by a TD. I think the stars are aligned funny and the world is about to end. Notre Dame is favored or a pick em against Purdue and there is a BCS opponent that Duke is favored against by a TD. Holy crap, run for the hills. Virginia is a mess and now has to play without the QB that won the starting job because he got tossed out of school. UVS sucked with him and will suck worse without him. Lalich is actually trying to get into Oregon State and will be at the USC/Beavers game this evening. Here are the ATS numbers:
Virginia
Cavaliers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Duke
Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Virginia is bad and might even be worse than Notre Dame. We know that is hard to believe but a UVA/ND matchup would probably be competitive. Man we love rubbing it in the face of ND fans. Thank god they ran Holtz out of town so the program is in shambles. Duke is on their way up and will enjoy some home town support. Duke should easily win and cover in this game!!!
Flash Flash Picks (5-1 on the season)
Florida International at Toledo (-20) - Get on this line before it goes over 21 points. Toledo can score with the best of them and lost a heartbreaker to Fresno State last week. Florida International is terrible. Do not buy into the close cover against South Florida last week. FIU was playing in their home opener and first game in a new stadium and blew their wad. Some ATS numbers: Golden Panthers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Golden Panthers are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Rockets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Rockets are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games. Toledo will come out fast and furious and FIU doe snot have an answer. Toledo wins and covers easily!!!
TCU at Oklahoma (-18.5) - Both of these teams are rolling. Nothing needs to be said about Oklahoma. Nobody really knows anything about TCU though. TCU is tough as hell and actually beat Oklahoma in 2005 as 25 point road underdogs. This year TCU has a solid offense and its defense is actually playing better than Oklahoma’s. In addition, TCU is turning the ball over less. Here are the ATS numbers:
TCU
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 12-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Horned Frogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
Oklahoma
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Good numbers out of both teams. TCU has actually won their last two games in Norman. I think 18.5 points is just too much to ask as a spread versus the TCU defense. I do not think TCU wins but I think they can keep their loss under 18.5 points. Take TCU with the points!!!
Runny Pelvis Picks (11-9 on the season)
SMU @ Tulane (-18): Flash bailed on me on this one because he is afraid of the points. Chickenshit!! I’m not scurred!! I love betting on creoles on Thursday nights!!! My penchant for crawfish aside, here are some facts: Tulane is 11-1 ATS in their 12 as favorites off non-conference game vs opponent off a SU loss, Tulane is 5-1 ATS vs opponent they beat the year before who is off back to back SU losses and they are 9-2 ATS at home off of a double digit SU win. SMU facts: they suck. I’m riding the Green Wave this week!! Take Tulane -18.
USC @ Oregon State (+25.5): The boys in Vegas are PRAYING Oregon State covers this one. The line has gone up all week, but everyone is crushing USC in this one. The Vegas books are refusing to raise the line. This scares us. So do the ATS numbers-ORST is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against USC at home, and they are 6-0 ATS off of double digit ATS win against teams that beat them the year before who are off of a SU win. Not looking good for USC. However, USC is ridiculous this year. Ridiculous. It is not the same USC team from the past 3 games in Corvallis. Think about it-USC destroyed the #5 team in the country in their last game. They will do the same this week. They are 12-3 ATS with rest. Carroll has already come out and said they want to end the game early so they can get their 4th string QB some reps!!! This will be a beatdown. Take USC -25.5.
Minn @ OSU (-18): I hate making this pick because I hate both teams so very much. However, I’m about picking winners first, so that always prevails. OSU is fresh off a massacre in SoCal and a less than sensational win (but no cover-like I said last week) last week. However, the key to last week’s game is that Tressel started Pryor. It made a huge difference. That kid is legit, and he is only gonna get better. Plus, Beanie Wells is back this week, it is OSU’s Big 10 opener and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Minn. Take OSU -18.
MSU @ IU (+8): As I mentioned last week, I was at the IU-Ball State game in Bloomington last week. IU shocked me at how bad they are. In particular, their QB play was terrible and they could not stop Ball State. Even worse, their fans were total pu$$ies. Total pu$$ies. The Ball State fans were much louder. Unacceptable during a home game. MSU has Jevon Ringer. IU couldn’t stop Ball State’s running game last week, so they have no chance of stopping Ringer. Here are some facts: MSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against IU, MSU is 4-1 ATS in the game before Iowa and IU is 1-9 ATS off a SU favorite loss against teams that beat them the year before. That is terrible. MSU wins big. Take MSU -8.
Also, we are still researching the Wisconsin-Michigan, Colorado-FSU, Tenn-Auburn, ILL-PSU and Bama-GA games, but we haven’t made up my mind yet. We will do so by Friday. Check back with us for these picks. These may be individual picks (or maybe nothing at all), but we will at least have substantial opinions on all.
We are going to leave you with this video because we know some of you like em less curvy…
Another tough day in the life of Runny and Flash. Cash and ASS!!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
12/28/2007 Free NCAA Football Bowl Pick and Hot Chicks: Maryland versus Oregon State
As we stated in our Boston College vs. Michigan State update, we have sucked it almost as bad as Notre Dame’s offense this year picking ATS bowl winners. We got one right so we are not as bad as Notre Dame, which had the worst offense in D-1 football this year.
We are laying a Derek Jeter bet on our next game.
2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet - In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johanson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter.
We had to go with Jessica Alba in this one because we know Keter will never touch her pregnant engaged ass again. We will be happy to show off her pre-pregnant engaged ass though….
And a close up of her tush courtesy of youtube….
Maryland versus Oregon State (-4.5) in the Emerald Bowl
This is a bizarre matchup. The Terps have not faced a Pac-10 opponent since 1982 so these two teams are a mystery to each other. Maryland was 9-4 last year and even had a 5 game stretch where they were 5-0 and the combined margin of victory was 13 points (think Virginia this year). This year the Terps were 6-6 but somehow managed to beat two top ten teams…Rutgers on September 29 and Boston College on November 10. They also blasted North Carolina State by shutting them out to become bowl eligible in the last game of their season. So we just told you the good…what is the bad? They lost to Florida State before the NC State beat down but that was right after the BC upset. They also lost at North Carolina. All in all the Terps were pretty competitive most of the season and lost to Wake Forest, UVA, UNC, Florida State all by 8 points or less.
We had very high hopes for Oregon State going into this season and still believe they have on eof the best offensive lines in college football. After opening with a nice win over Utah, they got blasted by Cincinatti and then lost to Arizona State, UCLA and USC….all bowl teams. Oregon State suffered through injury after injury this year and still managed to win 6 of their last 7 (USC was the only loss).
Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Maryland
Terrapins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Terrapins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Oregon State
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
Maryland and Oregon State have each won their last three bowl games under their current head coaches. This is a tricky game to bet because we know Oregon State is ending on a hot streak and Maryland has the potential so the real question is which Maryland team shows up. Maryland was one of only four teams to defeat two top-10 opponents this season. Maryland is one of only four teams in the country with two running backs to each compile at least 750 rushing yards this season. Keon Lattimore totaled 789 with 13 touchdowns and Lance Ball had 763 with 12 TDs to help the Terps rank third in the ACC with 147.3 rushing yards per game. Lattimore and Ball, however, will be facing one of the nation’s toughest run defenses. The Beavers allow 74.9 rushing yards per game to rank second in the Football Bowl Subdivision. They give up only 313.0 total yards per game, 12th-fewest in the FBS. We think this will be a hard nosed smash em out type of game. Oregon State’s best RB, Yvenson Bernard, will be back for the Beavers and both of these teams will pound the run and stay with the run all game. We think Oregon State has the better line, the better edge in skill players and the edge on defense. When it is all said and done we think Oregon State comes out on top. When you have the chance to grab some easy Beaver…you always do it!!! Oregon State wins and covers!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: The Power of 10 - 10 Winning Picks and 10 Observations from South Bend
“It is not worth an intelligent man’s time to be in the majority. By definition, there are already enough people to do that.” — Godfrey Harold Hardy
Sometimes sports betting becomes one big quandary, picks do not seem logical, spreads do not make sense and you are left scratching your head trying to find a new edge. Our picks are not going to put you in the majority of the betting world and that is a good thing. We have a system and we know it works, no matter how crazy logic fights what we are telling you to do. Do we want it to work better…sure we do but we are picking winners at a 57% right now, we have had one losing week this entire season. So while the other handicappers and sports bettors are trying to find winners we know our big pay day is right around the corner. Stick with us-we do the research so you don’t have to. Our system works and you will continue to see that we are elite. Bring on Bowl Season already!!!!
As always, our disclaimer, we are 29-22 on the season, 3-3 with our Brinks Truck bets (5 times your normal betting unit, and we are up 7 units on the season. Lastly, our money is where our mouth is. We bet every one of these games at the lines we post.
We are not laying down a Brinks truck bet this week. The truck is still in the shop!
The theme of this week is The Power of 10. We have 10 picks for you and we are going to share 10 observations from our trip to South Bend this past weekend where we witnessed just how bad the Notre Dame Cowering Irish football team really is.
Betting Group 1
Clean Sweep Games….These are games where one team has a clear statistical advantage over the other team. Some of the categories we consider are efficiency running the ball, converting third downs, stopping the run, stopping third downs and turnover ratio. If a team can control the clock and the ball, they are going to win and cover.
1 - UNC @ Wake Forest (-5.5) = This game is clear cut. Wake Forest runs for almost 50 yards more per game and is almost 10 percentage points higher converting third downs…42.2% versus 32.7%. Tie that in with a superior defense and a clear advantage in the turnover ration +4 versus -4 and you have a team playing at home in the midst of a 5 game winning streak. Some against the spread numbers (ATS) for you…Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Tar Heels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. 6 points seems high and most experts are picking UNC after they scrapped it out with South Carolina two weeks ago. The “Clean sweep” stats are what is important to us and we are taking Wake. Plus, Wake is at home against a bitter in-state rival. Wake wins and covers!
Notre Dame Observation #1: Before we walked into the game, while we were walking around campus, we actually heard a student or young alumnus say the following: “Back in the good old days, when there were no girls at Notre Dame….” We were laughing so hard that we did not even bother listening to what he said after that because he was dead serious when he said it. The ND girls are not known to be lookers but at least they are not swinging tube steaks down there. The football team is bad and now the guys do not like girls. What has become of Notre Dame.
2 - Miami-Ohio @ Vanderbilt (-14) = Vandy wins the statistical battle across the board and is coming off an awesome win at South Carolina. Vanderbilt preys on the bad..Beat Richmond 41-17, Ole Miss 31-17 and Eastern Michigan 30-7. Some ATS numbers for you… Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf. Miami-Ohio just lost to Temple. TEMPLE!!!!! We think that says it all. Vandy wins easily.
Notre Dame Observation #2: At kickoff there were actually empty seats noticeable in the entire stadium, even the student section. We even received a call that we could buy 12 tickets at face value Friday afternoon. How much of a joke is that? Now you have a school where the Boys do not like girls and even the students turned on the football team.
3 - Iowa St. @ Missouri (-28.5) = Missouri is 6 and 0 against the spread and we love picking them. Now we all know we blew it with the Oklahoma/Iowa State game but this is payback. Last week was Iowa State’s homecoming, they were playing as hard as they have all year and eventually blew the game in the end. Missouri absolutely destroyed a dynamic Texas Tech team and loves to pour on the points. Iowa State will be in let down mode and Missouri will capitalize. I do not even need to break down the statistical differences between these two teams. It is a joke. 28.5 points are nothing in this matchup. Some ATS numbers for you….Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. We think that says it all. Bet Missouri with confidence.
Notre Dame Observation #3: The fan base has turned on the team. Our favorite heckler kept yelling at Charlie Weis to run the ball three times for no gain and then punt so they could at least say they successfully punted the ball. it was loud, it was ugly and the fans are not happy in South Bend.
4 - UVA (-3) @ NC State = Here is what we know about NC State, they can not stop the run, can not run the ball and have turned the ball over 24 times this year for a minus 17 turnover ratio. Enough said? You could have given us 14 points in this game and we would have taken it. Just to rub it in….Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Wolfpack are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win. Wolfpack are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Wolfpack are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October. Wolfpack are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass. Wolfpack are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Wolfpack are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Wolfpack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. We think you can see what we are talking about.
We are breaking out a new feature this week. Mrs. Flash Flash is jealous of Mrs. Bill Simmons and her NFL picking weekly feature so she wanted to speak her mind this week. Her pick of the week is this game because she likes UVA’s uniforms better than all the other teams we selected. We are not kidding. Use this information as you will UVA wins easily so says The Syndicate and Mrs. Flash Flash.
Notre Dame Observation #4: Notre Dame had one pre season all american candidate on defense and it was Tom Zibikowksi, a senior and I think a 5th year senior at that. Well USC came out and spread the ball and put Joe McKnight, a true freshman, isolated outside against Zibikowski. You would think a 5th year senior pre-season all american would have no problem covering an 18 year old kid but Zibikowski was jumping up and down that he needed help and could not cover the kid. Lucky for him, McKnight’s number was not called. Even the TV announcers picked up on this. What a joke. Notre Dame is over hyped and under talented.
Betting Group 2
The Turnover Dilemma Games…This is an interesting development. Teams that appear to have the statistical edge in every category with the exception of turnover ratio are only 7-7 and against the spread in the last 4 weeks. When you look at the home and away breakdown of this 7-7 number we came up with an even more revealing figure…..the home team that has a statistical advantage but does not have the turnover ratio advantage does not cover. We came up with two betting situations that we like applying this theory.
5 - Indiana (+7.5) @ Wisconsin = Wisonsin’s turnover ratio is minus 6 on the season and they have turned the ball over 13 times. Indiana is plus three on the year and has a ball hawking defense that has caused 20 turnovers. Another interesting stat…the road team is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 meetings. Indiana has been streaky and a tough team to figure out this year but we do know they can score points against anybody…31 against Penn State and 38 against Iowa are two impressive performances and they covered in both. Indiana went toe to toe with Penn State and came up just short. We think Wisconsin is a shell of its former self and their home field advantage is not as relevant as it was in the Barry Alvarez days. Some ATS numbers to back up this pick….Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Hoosiers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Badgers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Badgers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games. Plus, Wisconsin’s QB plays as nervous as a long-tailed cat in a room full of rocking chairs, and IU’s QB is a stud with a phenom wideout. Indiana will cover this line and do not be surprised if they win outright.
Notre Dame observation #5: The student section gave the USC cheerleaders a standing ovation. This caught us by surprise because the male student body already was on record saying the school was better when there were no girls there and now they were applauding the USC cheerleaders and then it struck us (NOTE: These girls were extremely attractive). Due to the high level of homosexuality that is now prevalent amongst Catholic Priests, the male student body must be primarliy gay and therefore was applauding the dance moves of the cheerleaders. We researched and heard that modern dance was now the number 1 sought after major by males on campus.
6 - Stanford (+13.5) @ Oregon State = Two more scary teams. Stanford beats USC one week and loses to TCU the following week. Oregon St. gets destroyed by Cincy and then beats Cal. Standford’s RB situation is unknown at this point due to injuries and that has us nervous but we love the scrappiness of Tavita Pritchard, Stanford’s QB. He led them back against Arizona last week and has the same “never quit” attitude that Vince Young has. Just so you are not totally afraid to make this bet…..Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October. And on the flip side….Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Not much to go on but enough for us. Stanford continues to show its grit and covers.
Notre Dame Observation #6: We witnessed the strength, power and speed of the E-Freak up close and personal. Everson Griffen, #93 on the Trojans, all 6 foot 3 inches 265 pounds of him. A true freshman listed as a DE. This kid was a freak of nature out there. They brough him out primarily in passing situations and he was a beast and all over the field, even knocking down a pass. What was most impressive was when Pete Carroll lined up the E-freak at CB. Yes, he lined him up at cornerback!!!! We were dumbfounded and they ran to his side and the E-freak got involved on the tackle. You know your offense is absolutely the worst in the nation when an 18 year old defensive end can line up on your WRs. Man Notre Dame was bad!!! Look out for good things to come from the E-Freak. Watch out Dennis Dixon.
The Straight Cash Homey Picks: Sorry folks but we can not give away all our secrets. These are our special picks that we are more than happy to throw our own money on.
7 - Kansas (-2.5) @ Texas AandM = Ride the winning horse until it is defeated. Kansas is 6 and 0 against the spread. They pulled out a nice win at Colorado last week and will look to beat another Big 12 team on the road. Here are some ATS stats for you: Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Aggies are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The thing we think is most important though and the true reason for their success….Mark Mangino, the Jayhawk coach. This guy is by far one of the fattest coaches in the history of NCAA football. Check it out:
Are you kidding us with this guy?!?!? He makes Charlie Weis look like Calista Flockhart!!! This guy is a monster and we would not screw with him….Ride that Kansas horse until it needs to be shot. Jayhawks win and cover on the road!
Notre Dame Observation #7: During the third quarter, Sharpley passed to Travis Thomas who was lit up by Cary Harris and fumbled the ball which was recovered by Keith Rivers. We were on the complete opposite side of the stadium when this hit went down and we could hear it…it sounded like somebody was cracking wood. We have never been to a live sporting event and heard a hit like this in our lifetime. We are not sure how it carried over on television or even how it looked but it sounded great. It is impressive that Travis Thomas got up and his head was still attached to his body.
8 - Arizona @ Washington (-3.5) = Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in October. Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Wildcats are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Washington is extrememly well coached. Not saying AU is not, but Ty is a much better coach. He will have them ready to rock. They put up points and Oregon last week and kept that game close. AU will not like the road trip. Washington covers easily.
Notre Dame Observation #8: Jimmy Clausen’s prediction that he will never lose to USC if he is QB actually came true. Jimmy has been so good playing that Weis benched him and Jimmy was able to follow through with his bold prediction. No playing time = no chance of losing to USC. Nice work on your prediction Jimmy. Three more years to go with that one!!!
9 - Georgia @ Florida (-8.5) = This game will be a street fight. Look for big hits. These games have been close in the recent history. This game is being played in J’Ville, but the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Gators are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Bulldogs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss. Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Florida. Gators just have more athletes and more people to lay the lumber. If Florida can cover 9 against Kentucky, they can cover this. Take Florida and give the points.
Notre Dame Observation #9: We observed just how bad Notre Dame is as a team, coaches included. There is zero talent on that team and the play calling was worse than Ron Zook’s at Florida. If you do not know what I am talking about go find a Gators fan and he/she will fill you right in. Screen, screen, draw, screen, etc… You get our drift. Weis was terrible and needs to be held accountable for his game planning and the talent he recruited. He was bad and the players were bad and unprepared. Sharpley looked frantic on every passing play. We observed a horrendous ND team suffer the second worse home loss in its storied history and we loved it. Leprechaun land does not even have anything good to root for in the near term. You know the country is moving in the right direction when Notre Dame has one win and is ranked last in NCAA on offense. We love it!!!
10 - California (+3) @ Arizona State= This a BCS debacle game. We are playing the numbers here. Cal has lost two games in a row but they have not lost three straight games since losing the first 10 games of their 1-10 season in 2001. Also, the Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and none of the games have been decided by less than 17 points. Golden Bears are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Golden Bears are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Golden Bears are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. The Sun Devils best RB, Ryan Torain, their leading rusher and scorer is now out for the season. Arizona State is not battle tested and will need to step up big to compete against Cal. We do not think they can. Cal bounces back with a win and a cover.
On a side note, I am very sorry but I was not able to make Jeff Tedford eat a turd sandwich this week. I am still working on it and if he burns us again he will be forced to eat a turd sandwich and wear a very large anal plug.
“Hi my name is Jeff Tedford, I am scratching my head because I have no idea why I let a red shirt freshman ruin our season and ultimately take money out of the pockets of the readers of this fine blog. Runny and Flash are great guys and if I fail this week I will eat that turd sandwich, with an anal plug up my rectum. You can count on it.”
Notre Dame Observation #10: Although we have been bashing the beloved Leprechaun lovers in this post, we must give props where due. The entire staff on campus could not have been more polite. Seriously, it was like we were watching a game in a 5 star restaurant. An usher even gave us a “congrats” on our way out the stadium. They say a team/organization shows its true colors in a defeat. The ND staff was all class. Thanks for the hospitality.
We love the banter that has been increasing on our blog. Feel free to post your picks or ask us for our advice. We check this regularly and will post as soon as we can. Also, our blog reader base has been steadily increasing and we want to hear what you have to say about us… good or bad. Leave us a comment, leave us your picks, ask us questions….we are here for you and here for you to make money!!!
We love our picks like a fat kid loves cake!!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 7 NCAA Football Locks and the Funniest Joke of the Year: Notre Dame Surrendering Irish
“I love the smell of napalm in the morning”…Not so much but our picks last week smelled worse than napalm, they smelled like dog shit!!!. Our picks were putrid last week and gave us our first losing picking segment on the season (NCAA and NFL). Here is where we stand…
On the season NCAA picks are 20-16, our Brinks truck bets (bet 5 times your normal betting unit) are 3-2 and we are up 8 units on the season. Still profitable and only one down week in 6 weeks. This is a marathon and not a sprint and the entire goal of the season is to build a big enough bankroll to crush the bowl season and that is where the BIG MONEY is!!!! We were 19-4 last year during the bowl season and that record is what prompted us to get this blog up and running so we can prove to you how we are successful and that we can consistently make you money.
As always… our picks are below and our money is where our mouth is.
Because Week 6 was shitty we are giving you 6 great picks this time around. Just kidding this is actually how the numbers worked out this week.
Saturday, October 13, 2007
THE BRINKS TRUCK BET OF THE CENTURY. Yes you heard that right. We love our first pick of the week and will be betting 5 times our normal amount.
1) Boston College (-13.5) @ Notre Dame - This game is a joke and the Boston College bettors will get the benefit of the irrational leprechaun lovers first win last week. Lets take a look at what really happened last week…UCLA had 7 turnovers, outgained ND 2-1 on offense, held ND to under 100 yards passing and 50 yards rushing, had 11 penalties, gave up a TD to the ND defense, had to play a red shirt freshman at QB and the list goes on and on. What basically happened is every single thing that could go wrong for UCLA did and now YOU the bettor gets to take advantage of it. America is a beautiful thing isn’t it. UCLA was a 21 point favorite at home against Notre Dame and now Boston College, THE 4TH (I mean $$$th) rated team in the country is only a 13.5 favorite at Notre Dame…This has to be a joke. Notre Dame already has shown that they can not compete against athletic teams and Boston College can run, pass and play defense. BC’s defense is excellent against the run and I love any time a defense can force ND to pass. We have seen that game plan before…..drop back for a pass…oh oh oh… sacked by 5 defenders. This is a clean sweep game, which means Boston College is more efficient on offense, more efficient on defense and has a better turnover ratio on the season. The historians are going to remember all the classic BC/ND matchups that ended with game winning field goals…We could give a shit!!! We know this is a BC team that has a swagger that is gonna go into South Bend and beat some ass. Boston College wins this in a blowout!!!!! We got on this game earlier in the week and do have it a -13.5 but we would still recommend this up to -20.
2) Virginia Tech (-13.5) @ Duke - At first glance this is a bit scary because Duke is one of the best teams against the spread in the country at 5-1 and Va. Tech is only 1-4. Well the game stats do not lie. Virginia Tech gives us another clean sweep matchup…Va. Tech rushes for more yards a game, converts more 3rd downs on offense, its defense gives up less rushing yards a game than Duke and lets opposing offenses convert less third downs and is better in the turnover margin game. Here are some other historical numbers to back up our “clean sweep” stat approach…Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater. Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Hokies are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in October. Hokies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Hokies are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games. Hokies are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Hokies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games. Hokies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS win. Some reasons we do not like the Dukies include: Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in October. Blue Devils are 10-26 ATS in their last 36 home games. Blue Devils are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater. Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Basically as we see it….Va. Tech is hot after getting blown out by LSU. They destroyed Clemson on the road last week and Clemson is much better than Duke and Death Valley is 1 million times more difficult to play in then Wallace Wade Football Stadium. Lets see…Wallace Wade versus Death Valley. Unless the nerdy Duke students are going to figure out how to give the entire Hokie roster diarrhea before the game this line is a joke. Actually Va. Tech would still cover this with pants full of crap. Take Va. Tech and cash!!!!
3) Drum roll please………..We are back with our favorite team from last year!!!!We’ve got the Fever, the Fever, the Fever for LeFevour. He is back!!!! Army @ Central Michigan (-13.5) - Did you know what team was best against the spread last season…..Central Michigan. Bet you did not get that one. Now that we are 6 games into the season and Central Michigan has played some nasty road games against the likes of Purdue and Kansas and now is into the middle of the season and is no longer thinking, damn it we lost Joe Staley to the NFL, this team is on a mini roll. Central Michigan is hot after getting embarassed by North Dakota St. at home. They are 2-0 ATS in their last two and won easily at home against Northern Illinois and at Ball State and they are putting up points in bunches. Looking closer, Central Michigan is a another clean sweep stat team this week. They dominate Army across the board. Some trends of importance: Army Black Knights are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Black Knights are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on Turf. Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Black Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Central Michigan Chippewas are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games in October. Chippewas are 11-0-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. Chippewas are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games on Turf. Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Chippewas are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. Chippewas are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
We are happy to be placing money in the hands of our favorite QB. Catch the fever for LeFevour and take Central Michigan to the bank!!!!
4) Baylor @ Kansas (-26) - Another clean sweep team. Kansas dominates Baylor across the board and is 4 and 0 against the spread this season. I do not even have anything good to write about Baylor potentially pulling something here. Check this out: Bears are 18-39 ATS in their last 57 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Bears are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home. Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Bears are 1-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. And the the 0 fers: Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Bears are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Bears are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
So in other words….Baylor is flat out terrible and they are playing on the road against Kansas team that loves to throw up points. Now don’t get me wrong, Baylor is not Notre Dame terrible. Ha ha. I love a season where ND can be the brunt of every joke. This is the first Kansas team that has won at Kansas St. since 1989. This Kansas team has some toughness and should not be taken lightly. Take Kansas and don’t look back!!!
5) Missouri (+10.5) @ Oklahoma - We can not wait to watch this game. A Missouri team rolls into Oklahoma with an undefeated record and an undefeated record against the spread at 4 and 0. One of the last remaining undefeated teams against the spread in the nation. This is an interesting matchup. Both teams run the ball well but Missouri has a significant advantage moving the chains and converting third downs 59% versus 46.7% for Oklahoma. On the defensive side of the ball and this will come as no surprise, Oklahoma has a great run defense and holds opponents to 25.5% third down conversion ratio versus 37.2% for Missouri. The turnover ratio is plus 5 for Missouri and plus 4 for Oklahoma. So it comes down to the fact that there is no real clear favorite in this game and we have to wonder if playing at Oklahoma is a 10.5 point advantage. We do not think so!!! We can spit out positive against the spread stats for both teams but we are only going to focus on one….In heads up play, the underdog is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 meetings. Both teams have banged up RBs so then what do you look to…. you look at QB. Leadership at QB clearly goes to Missouri’s Chase Daniel. Sam Bradford is good but he is only in his first year and Daniel is a veteran and that is huge in games like this. We love getting this many points betting on Missouri and would not be surprised if Missouri hands the Sooners their second loss of the year.
6) Oregon St. @ Cal (-14) - This game is almost a clean sweep game. Somehow Oregon St. has a great rushing defense but we think this number is an anomaly and other than that Cal blows them out of the water. This Cal team is hot and really looked impressive at Oregon two weeks ago. On the flip side, Oregon St. just can not get things going and really ends up beating themselves with a minus 9 turnover ratio, including 23 turnovers on offense. The against the spread numbers do not really support Cal in this one but we think this is a different Cal team. Cal’s young defense causes turnovers, they run the ball extremely well and have playmakers on both sides of the ball and they are battle tested against ranked teams on the road. Taking care of an underperforming Oregon St. team at home will not be a challenge. If Cal screws us again like they did in the Colorado St. game, we are going to personally serve Jeff Tedford a giant turd sandwich. Take Cal, even if they lose we will videotape Tedford eating his turd sandwich and that will be worth it.
Good luck this week. We apologize for our lackluster 1-2 performance during week 6 but we will be back and we will be back this week. RPJ’s system is battle tested and we will prove to you that we are long term winners. “Start living the life, bet like you mean it, make a boat load of cash and deliver a strong pimp hand.”
Flash and Runny
NCAA Football: Week 2 picks - Even better than opening day!!!! - 6 picks
We went 5-2 last week.
Here are our picks for this weekend and make sure you notice the game times. One tonight, one Friday with 4 on Saturday.
Thursday, September 6
1) Oregon St (-3.5) at Cincinnati - Here is the deal with this game. Cincy is a tough team, especially at home. They almost beat Ohio St. last year. Also, Cincy opened up with a blowout of SE Missouri St. Well Bearcats fans… this is not SE Missouri St. Oregon St. is a scrappy team too. Last week they beat Utah 24-7 after starting very slow and going into the half tied at 7-7. That will not happen this week. Or. St. will be ready to play. As we stated last week, Oregon St. has one of the best offensive lines in NCAA football and they are getting Sammie Stroughter back this week. Sammie did not suit up last week and this week he will definitely be a difference maker.
Friday, September 7
2) Navy at Rutgers (-17) - This line is completely flawed and provides an opportunity just like the LSU/Miss St. game did last week. Rutgers should win this game by 30 points. Navy barely beat Temple last week and will simply can not hang with this Rutgers team. Last year the game was 34-0 and we do not see any reason why it will not be similar. We bet this game the hardest of the week at 5 times our normal bet.
3) West Virginia (-24) at Marshall - West Virginia knows they play a weak schedule and the only way the can compensate for it is to pummel teams and show off Slaton and White as Heisman candidates. Last year West Virginia won 42-10. West Virginia is 8-3-1 against the spread on turf in their last 12 and Marshall is 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 games. Marshall could not stop the run last week against Miami and this West Virginia team can run significantly better than the Canes can. Do not fear 24 points. This has blowout written all over it.
4) Cal (-14) at Colorado St. - This game has let down written all over it. Cal was 2-3 on the road last year and has not impressed away from Berkeley. Colorado St. suffered a heart breaking loss against Colorado last week and what we saw is they can not stop the run. We all saw what happened to Tennessee when they let Forsett run wild. We know the Pac-10 inside and out and we think CAL has the weapons, the swagger and the right attitude this year. They know they can play with anybody and have USC at home this year. Cal is going to continue to roll, the nation just does not know it yet.
5) Southern Miss at Tennessee (-10.5) - Tennessee has won its last 12 home openers and is coming off the game where CAL smacked them around. One good addition is that of RB LaMarcus Coker who was suspended for the CAL game. So Miss rolled up rushing yards last week against Tennessee - Martin and I think Tennessee will work long and hard this week to recover from the holes they gave up to Forsett. So. Miss is 2-7 against the spread in their last nine road games and we do not think they have what it takes to compete against Tennessee after a loss.
6) Wisconsin (-25.5) at UNLV - UNLV is playing a red shirt freshman at QB and Wisconsin starts a 5th year senior. UNLV is not good against the run and the Badgers will look to run, run and run more with PJ Hill. UNLV is 2-6 against the spread against teams with a winning record and 7-17-1 against the spread in their last 25 games on grass. This spread should be over 30 and we are going to ride Wisconsin after missing out on their performance last week.
As always… our money is where our mouth is. If you ever want our opinions on games let us know. We check the blog often and will respond quickly. We want to reiterate that we are not here to pick every game, we simply pick games where we see flaws in the lines.
Flash Flash and Runny
Utah at Oregon St. = Money making opportunity II
Here is where the syndicate stands right now:
We loaded up the Brinks truck on LSU vs. Mississippi St….Most of our cash is in at 18.5 and we threw some more coinage on it when it dropped to 18. The last time I checked today the spread was 19.5. We would not be surprised to see this go off at kickoff in the 21 point range. LSU will crush them.
Our second game of the night is Oregon St. (-6.5) at home against Utah. This is a nice game when you give less than 7 points. We expect it to be a two touchdown or more win but under 7 is a steal. Oregon St. returns 18 starters form the team that beat USC last year and this squad is always tough at home. Oregon St. has one of the best offensive lines in college football if not the best line in the nation. In 2006, Oregon St. outscored opponents 129 to 55 in the first quarter and we expect hem to get off to a fast start and it will simply be too much for Utah too handle in a hostile environment.
College football is finally here and we are pumped up.
Let us know through the comment board if you ever want our thoughts on any particular game. We are here to share our insights for now so we can prove to you that our methodology successfully picks winners and will help keep you ahead of the vig. We do not believe that football is about picking winners and losers in every game; we are here to find the favorable spreads and situations that other people are glancing over or taking for granted. We might have weeks where we pick zero or one game but we will have others where we will pick 10 if we see opportunities. Stay tuned for more commentary on this weekend and Monday’s games. We are watching the lines and will pounce when the opportunity is there. Also, we always put our money where our mouth is and will share the wins and the losses with all of our followers.
Flash Flash and Runny