Boston College
Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: We have more picks than teen girls at a Twilight: New Moon premiere
This week is unprecedented in RPJ history. We have a ridiculous amount of picks coming at you. We are never happy to pump out this many picks but we can not let the opportunity pass us by. This is a fantastic weekend to be a NCAA football bettor. Since we have so many picks we are not going to provide you with our normal banter and detailed analysis. We do not have the time and we know you want to get your bets out there. If you want detail, please click on our matchup tool analysis section of our website so you can get all of the info you need. If you have no idea what we are talking about then click here: RPJ Syndicate Match up tool. On with the picks…
Saturday, November 21, 2009
So here is the deal. We apologize for the lack of detail but we are encouraging you to use our tools. Just click the matchup tool link in the above paragraph. This week simply was the vortex of gambling gods coming together to screw with our heads. We literally only disagreed on two games and are passing on only 20+ games because we did not see any advantage in the games. So in short, we have a lot of games that simply met all of our models. This is unprecedented territory and we are ready to rock and roll and load up this weekend. In order to process this many games we are breaking them down by conference and will only provide detailed info on the Notre Dame game because it is an awesome display of how the public is a bunch of suckers for the Irish.
MAC Picks
Kent State at Temple (-10.5) - We are taking Temple
Sun Belt Picks
UL Monroe (-3.5) at UL Lafayette - We are taking UL-Monroe
Conference USA Picks
Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (-8) - We are taking Southern Miss
WAC Picks
Hawaii (-3) at San Jose State - We are taking Hawaii
Nevada (-30) at New Mexico State - We are taking Nevada
Mountain West
TCU (-31) at Wyoming - We are taking TCU
ACC Picks
North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5) - We are taking UNC. Might throw some Moneyline cash on it.
Duke at Miami (-19.5) - We are taking Miami
Virginia at Clemson (-21) - We are taking Clemson
Big Ten Picks
Penn State (-3) at Michigan State - We are taking Penn State
Big 12 Picks
Oklahoma (-6.5) at Texas Tech - We are taking Oklahoma
Kansas at Texas (-27.5) - We are taking Texas
Baylor at Texas A&M (-5) - We are taking Texas A&M
Pac-10 Picks
Oregon State (-31) at Washington State - We are taking Oregon State
California at Stanford (-8) - We are taking Cal
SEC Picks
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-16.5) - We are taking Tennessee
LSU at Mississippi (-4) - We are taking Ole Miss
Obligatory make fun of Notre Dame Pick
UCONN at Notre Dame (-6) - We are taking UCONN. We love games like this. Notre Dame opened as 7 point favorites and the line dropped to Notre Dame -6. The line dropped a full point with the public hammering Notre Dame to the tune of 81% of the money going on the Irish. When lines drop like this with all of the money going against the line drop we love to load up against the public. UCONN is a team of destiny this season. They are playing every game for their fallen teammate. UCONN might not win this game but they play damn hard all the time. Notre Dame is a mess and on the verge of quitting on the season. UCONN will be fired up this week just like Stanford will be fired up later in the season to take out the Irish. We do not think Notre Dame has any fight left in them. They lost to Navy and then Pitt and might not win another game this year. People are calling for Charlie Weis’ head and it is definitely becoming a distraction. No contest here.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: Go with the flow: Chicks and Picks part 2!
We were a solid 6-3-1 last weekend and we are now 53-49-2 on the season. We have a ridiculous amount of picks this week. We are excited for all of the freaks that will be out at NCAA games this weekend. Halloween night at Autzen might be the most insane place on earth Saturday night. We can not wait. We are back mentioning our clean sweep strategy. What this means is we have numerous stats that we look at that impacts a team’s ability to control the ball on both sides of the ball. Based on our historical analysis of this aspect of our betting algorithms, these clean sweep games provide tremendous opportunities to win bets.
Friday, October 30, 2009
West Virginia (-3) at South Florida - Love love love kicking off the week with this game. South Florida has come back to earth. For the third consecutive season, an undefeated, nationally ranked USF team has fallen off its perch and into a mid-year skid. West Virginia is winning. Why is this line where it is? This should be a 7-10 point line. This line opened at -3 and has creeped up to -3.5 in some places. Majority of the money is on West Virginia and that has us slightly nervous. We think this is an easy bet to kick off the week. No ATS numbers to speak of but check this out. We have a virtual clean sweep. West Virginia is better rushing the ball, yards per rush, offensive 3rd down conversion percentage, stopping the run (total yards and yards per rush) and defensive 3rd down percentage. We love these types of games. West Virginia wins and covers easily!
Saturday, October 31, 2009
Rutgers at UCONN (-7) - UCONN remains the best cover team in the country with a record of 7-0 ATS. Betting can be simple and who are we to say UCONN breaks their streak. When you combine this with the fact that Rutgers is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 against UCONN, you start to get excited. Start your Halloween off right and bet UCONN. UCONN wins and covers!!!
Cincinnati (-15) at Syracuse - This game should be haunted house frightening. Cincy is a beast right now and this game meets a lot of our clean sweep requirements. This will make you feel a lot better. Cincy rushes for more yards and at a better yards per rush basis; they control the clock better on offense; are significantly tighter against the run and protect the QB a lot better. Tony Pike is not going to play but Collaros has filled in just fine. We are betting Cincy to win and cover!
Cincinnati
- Bearcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Orange are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
- Orange are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
- Orange are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Mustangs are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Mustangs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Golden Hurricane are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Golden Hurricane are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Golden Hurricane are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Golden Hurricane are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Golden Hurricane are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
NC State at FSU -8: If you followed us all season, you know we have loved NC State and their QB. You would also know that we like ganing up on FSU and Bobby Bowden. This week, however, we think FSU takes it. The ATS numbers are pretty god for FSU, but that is not why we like them. We like them mosltly because they are playing inspired football ever since Bowden came under fire. We think they will be up for this game and ready to roll. Plus, FSU just has much, much more talent than NC State does. Take the Seminoles and give the points.
Ole Miss at Auburn +4.5: This is a HUGE game for both teams. Both teams need this winn to save some credibility for their seasons and to keep Bowl chances alive. We have always thought both team are overrated. The Rebels have been hit-or-miss all season, and Jevon Snead does not look like the QB he was last year. The edge in this game, despite being on the road, goes to the Rebels. Chizik is not a good coach and Snead can get the win on the road. We love that Vegas is giving Auburn no respect at home. Take the Rebels and give the points.
Georgia (+15) neutral location versus Florida - Does Florida look right to anybody out there? The Florida defense looks good but not dominating. Tim Tebow looks terrible since his concussion. Florida’s offense is not dynamic enough, is relying too much on a not right Tebow and is not focused on getting the ball in the playmakers’ hands. Something is not right with the Gators. Florida is coming off two less than inspiring efforts and Georgia righted the ship last week with a solid and needed win at Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs are still a bit miffed at the Florida coach for calling two timeouts in the final minute of last year’s 49-10 blowout, a ploy that Meyer described — apparently with his tongue firmly planted in his cheek — as merely a way to get a few extra carries for a little-used running back. The picture of Urban Meyer calling a timeout hangs all over Georgia’s training facility. The Bulldogs get to see it when they’re changing into their uniforms, when they’re lifting weights, when they’re heading off to meetings. Not sure Georgia has the horses to win this game outright but the combination of revenge and Florida sucking of late has on on the side of the Dawgs. We are betting Georgia to cover!
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
- Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
Penn State (-17) at Northwestern - This is another clean sweep game and a blatant one at that. Not even worth going into how inferior this Northwestern team is. Penn State is on a roll. 4 straight wins, 4 straight blowout wins and 4 straight covers. Northwestern is spotty at best. 17 points is a lot but expect a better performance than the Michigan performance last week and that was 35-10 on the road. Penn State wins and covers!!
Penn State
- Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Nittany Lions are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games in October.
- Nittany Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win
- Wildcats are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a S.U. win.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Yellow Jackets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Yellow Jackets are 8-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite
- Commodores are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Commodores are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Eastern Michigan at Arkansas -34.5: We are calling this the Bigfoot Bowl becuase it is so very rare that a SEC team schedules an out of conference cupcake team at home, it is like seeing Bigfoot. NOT!! The SEC is comical and the pollsters should be pounding the Razorbacks (and every other SEC team) for these types of games. That said, we know why these games happen and we are going to take advantage and win some scratch for us. Petrino will have no problem running up the score in this game. It will not be close. Take the Razorbacks and give the points.
USC (-4) at Oregon - This is the game of the week and one of the biggest games in the history of Oregon football. The nation will probably not give a crap but consider this…. USC is a top 5 BCS team so a win on the road against a top ten team elevates them against the one loss teams and the no loss teams. If Oregon wins, they will certainly jump into the mix for top 5 BCS standings. We all know that November is a mess for BCS leaders and any upset is possible. Whichever of these teams wins out, if they win out, will have an edge over the Bama/Florida loser if both pay undefeated and will have the edge over every one loss team. Now onto the game, which is what we are here to do. USC is 2-4 straight up in Oregon in their last 6. Forget the spread, Autzen is brutal. If you have never been there you just do not get it. It has the smallest space in all of NCAA football in terms of fans from the field. Fans are literally vertical straight up from the outline of the field. Now add the freak show that is the Eugene Oregon hippies and this is going to be an amazing scene in terms of freaks and noise. Regardless of USC’s record the last few years, they have struggled the last three seasons in the BCS and are only covering 35% of the time. Now we know Barkley won in South Bend and Columbus, but this is another animal. Sorry Golden Homers and Horseshoers, Autzen is a special animal. Mark Sanchez choked there two years ago filling in for the injured Booty. USC contained Dixon but could not make up for Sanchez’s mistakes. We love betting teams we think will win straight up when they are underdogs and Oregon is that animal this week. You know we are USC homers but we love making money as well. Oregon is a no brainer this week. Take Oregon to cover!
USC
- Trojans are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
- Ducks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Ducks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Ducks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Ducks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Ducks are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Ducks are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ducks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
- Ducks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Ducks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Ducks are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Games for 12/31/2008 and Tribute to Keyra
Our records are as follows:
RPJ = 2-6 (1-1 yesterday)
RPJ Math = 9-7 (1-1 yesterday)
Flash = 2-1 (no action yesterday)
Runny = 5-5 (1-0 yesterday)
Some business to discuss…
1) Join our mailing list. We will be coming at you with special contests for cold hard cash and prizes. NCAA hoops should be the first event.
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3) Sign up for our RSS feed so you can be the first to know when we post our picks. Lines move fast so do not miss out.
4) This is a serious one….We were just notified by one of our readers that Sportsbook.com is not sending him his winnings and not telling him why. He thinks the U.S. government is cracking down. If you have a sportsbook.com account, try and get your money out ASAP or at least give them a call to find out if you are impacted like our friend. We do not want you to miss one of our big winning streaks and certainly want to keep our gambling brothers and sisters in the know.
5) If you have not done so yet, try out Bodog for your betting needs. We use them and we have never had any issues. Here is an ad for a 10% bonus.
We needed to invoke the spirit of Keyra Augustina and no better place to do it than on New Year’s so we could all celebrate the end of the year with one of the greatest asses of all time.
Air Force Versus Houston (-4 and OVER/UNDER 66)
RPJ is taking Air Force to cover and here is why: Air Force already won this game once when they were not supposed to and looks like the “experts” are asking them to be underdogs once again. Air Force has lost two in a row str8 up and ATS but they were against TCU and BYU and we all know Air Force is neither of those schools. They were on a 5 game win streak before that. Houston lost to Rice in their last game and is 3-1 str8 up and 2-2 ATS in their last 4 games. We know Houston can score in bunches but Air Force already played them and plays a ball control style of offense; one that is perfectly suited for keeping the ball away from Houston. Throw in the fact that there is a 17 turnover difference between their turnover margins (Air Force +12 and Houston -5) and this is where the game will be won. The ATS numbers:
Air Force
Houston
RPJ Math takes Air Force
This pic should be in the Louvre!
Pitt versus Oregon State (-1 and OVER/UNDER 51)
RPJ Math selects Oregon State
Boston College versus Vanderbilt (+3.5 and OVER/UNDER 40.5)
RPJ is taking BC to win and cover and here is why: This game is in Nashville so that clearly favors Vanderbilt but this is the same Vandy team that lost in Nashville to Duke. After a fast start, Vandy is now 1-6 in their last 7 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Vandy will be pumped up though because this is their first bowl game in 26 years and they have not won one in 50 years. Vandy now is running a QB smorgasbord of suckiness. We do not know who will play or when and the last time out Vandy threw 3 QBs out there. This will not bode well against a BC team that led the nation with 26 INTs. BC has won 8 straight bowl games and looks to continue with their streak. They did lose to Va. Tech in the ACC title game after their Frosh QB was overwhelmed but the Vandy D is nowhere close to The Hokies’ D. Prior to the ACC title game, BC was 4-0 str8 up and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games. We do not think this game will be close.
RPJ Math shows no real advantage. Vanderbilt covers this game 58.3% of the time and BC 56.6% of the time. RPJ Math has no pick.
Minnesota versus Kansas (-8.5 and OVER/UNDER 59)
RPJ is taking Kansas to win and cover and here is why: Mark Mangino and Todd Reesing. We love the Fat Man and Doug Flutie II. Kansas wins the travel advantage and is 500 miles closer than Minny. Kansas is 2-2 str8 up and ATS in their last 4 games but did upset Missouri their last time out. Minnesota has been terrible since blowing their game to Northwestern in one of the biggest lapses of the season. Minny has lost 4 in a row (3 at home) and is 1-3 ATS in their last 4. Minny even lost 55-0 to Iowa in their last game and now gets to play against a well coached team with a spark plug for a QB. This might be the largest margin of victory of the bowl season. Check out these Kansas ATS numbers:
RPJ math shows no real advantage. Minnesota should cover the spread in this game 63.6% of the time and Kansas 63.1% of the time. RPJ Math has no pick!
LSU versus Georgia Tech (-4 and OVER/UNDER 53)
RPJ is picking Georgia Tech to win and cover and here is why: This game is in Georgia so Tech clearly wins the travel advantage. LSU is a mess. The Tigers have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6. The one win was a miracle comeback against Troy. Georgia Tech is hot right now and Paul Johnson has this team peaking. The Yellow Jackets have won 3 of 4, are 2-1-1 ATS in their last 4 and recently beat Georgia in a great comeback and MIami. This game might get really ugly, really fast. You know Tech wants to pound another SEC team and LSU wants to go run and hide. The ATS numbers:
LSU
Georgia Tech
RPJ Math selects Georgia Tech. This is one of the largest mismatches of the bowl season. LSU covers in this game 18-20% of the time and Georgia Tech covers 75% of the time.
Flash Flash parlay of the year: If your true degenerate side is coming out today then I have a parlay for you…..BC, Kansas and Georgia Tech. I love these three games and have them parlayed, locked, loaded and ready for action. Teaser can’t hurt either.
RPJ Video of the day. Of course we had to include the original Keyra shake her booty video. This think is mesmorizing and we think her ass would end every debate, argument and war in the world. Just show this video every time somebody has a dispute of any sort.
Hope you enjoyed the Keyra tribute!
Flash and Runny!
NCAA Free Winning Bowl Picks: The Wildcard picks the last games of 2008
Double your pleasure!
RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!
We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.
A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.
If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.
In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.
Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.
FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)
This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)
Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.
Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)
Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.
FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)
We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).
Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)
Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!
EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)
Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.
New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)
The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!
Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)
The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.
MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)
We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)
This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)
We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)
1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!
2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?
Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)
We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.
Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)
We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?
Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)
Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)
We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.
PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)
Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?
Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)
We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!
Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)
This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.
Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)
Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!
Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)
These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.
Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m. Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)
Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)
How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!
Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)
This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.
Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)
Now this is a picture.
You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.
Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)
Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.
Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)
We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.
Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)
Caprice Bourret - Yes Please!
We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.
Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)
More Caprice!
Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.
Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)
Jennifer Ellison looks delicious!
This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6
East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)
Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.
AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)
Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.
International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)
This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!
GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET Mobile, Ala. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC
Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)
More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.
Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 15 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: The Last Temptation of…….Betting NCAA Regular Season Saturdays
Religion and football do not mix. Where do you think we were going with that title? We will not know our records yet because we still have action going on with the Buffalo/Ball State game.
If you have not done so as of yet, you really need to check out the additional features we provide on this website. First, we have a complete set of matchup tools. Simply click on this link: RPJ Matchups and it brings you to our matchups feature. You can click on the quick links to see Bodog’s preview (which has great info), matchups, which shows records, a smart chart, injuries, trends, head to head summaries, last 5 game stats, the weather and lots more and last but not least you can click on supergrid to see lots of great stats. If youhave no idea what the hell we are talking about then shoot us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and we will be happy to walk you through it.
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Sixth, we know you are here for the picks and girls so here you go.
It's Britney Bitch!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (46-52-2 and we have Ball State pending)
Navy at Army (+10.5) - This is the first HUH line of the day. This is a bizarre weekend for lines and we do not get it. More on this later. Why is this spread 10.5 points. We would expect it to be at least 20. Navy has destroyed Army for 6 straight years and continues to be the more elite team of the two. The average score over these six years was 40-12. Navy is coming off a nice road shutout of Northern Illinois and Army is mired in a 3-8 season with not much to talk about. Army even lost to Hampshire…..by 18 POINTS!!! Here are the ATS numbers:
Navy
Army
Head-to-Head
We do not expect this game to be close and the 6 year average of 40-12 is a likely outcome. We are taking Navy to win and cover!
Cinncy at Hawaii (+7.5) - Another HUH line! We think this is just a strange week because we expected this line to be in the 14-15 point range and we get to take it at 7 points. Yee haw!!! We love games like this. Cincy is physical, runs for more yards per game, gives up less running yards per game and turns the ball over less. This means they can control the clock and the game. Coach Brian Kelly has stated that he loves Cincy and is coming back next year so that got rid of that distraction. Also, this line opened at 3.5 and is now up to 7 so we know the movement is legit. Check out the ATS numbers:
Cincy
- Bearcats are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bearcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bearcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
Hawaii
- Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
We do not think this game will be close. Take Cincy to win and cover!
Boston College at Virginia Tech (pick em and UNDER 37.5) - For the second straight season, Boston College and Virginia Tech are meeting in the ACC championship game with a spot in the Orange Bowl on the line. We think this is going to line up exactly like last year as well. BC wins the regular season game, Va. Tech wins the championship game. The 28-23 game earlier this season was ugly; BC had 5 turnovers and Va. Tech had two defensive TDs. MIracle BC won in the first place. The Hokies rank sixth in the Football Bowl Subdivision in total defense (274.5 yards per game), while Boston College is eighth (276.7 ypg). One big difference in this game is the loss of BC’s QB, Chris Crane. Crane broke his collar bone on November 22 and is being replacedby a red shirt freshmen. That fact alone makes us love Va. Tech. You have ridden us to victory betting on the Va. Tech UNDER and of course we are coming back to it this week. oth teams struggle on offense and have NFL talent on defense. Here are the ATS numbers:
BC
Va. Tech
Head-to-Head
Pretty mixed bag of results. We love the UNDER play for obvious reasons. Va. Tech has gone under in 4 straight games and the trend will continue. Va. Tech has been in every single game this year and have the revenge factor on their side. We are taking Virginia Tech to win/cover and we are going to ride the UNDER one more time!
USC at UCLA (+32.5) - yeah this looks stupid just like it did with 30 points against Notre Dame and 40+ points against Washington State but guess what? All of those games covered. The crazier the better for USC. This game is comical. Pete Carroll is sending his team out in home jerseys at the Rose Bowl (UCLA’s home stadium) for the first time since 1982. He was also willing to do this even if it meant giving up 2 timeouts, one per half. The ruling came back that the The Men of Troy only have to give up one but how arrogant is that. It is awesome if it works and the worst coaching decision of all time (playing Booty with a broken hand against Stanford last year wins right now) if it fails. Not much to say about this game. The Trojans lead the nation in scoring defense (7.8 points per game) and total defense (210.6 yards per game). The Trojans have allowed only 10 touchdowns in 11 games. No team in the country has given up fewer points per game in any of the last 13 seasons. The Bruins rank 110th in total offense (294.7) and 107th in scoring (18.6 ppg). UCLA’s QB has thrown 12 INTs and no TDs in his last 4 games and last week UCLA lost bad and did not give up an offensive TD….but they gave up four to the defense. The ATS numbers do not even matter in this game. USC will crush UCLA. We are taking the Trojans to win and cover!!! Keyshawn predicted a 63-3 final on The Herd today and we love that prediction!
Missouri “Paper” Tigers versus Oklahoma Sooners (-17) - This is a monster spread for a championship game but we are not afraid. Oklahoma is that good and they dominate every statistical category we track heads up against Mizzou. We do not even like what we hear coming out of the Missouri camp. Chase Daniel is talking about how they are no playing well and are waiting to play a perfect game and blah blah blah. They have no chance. Mizzou is not as physical and has one of the worst passng defenses in the nation. Mizzou was not able to stop Kansas and they sure won’t be able to stop Oklahoma. Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS on the season and will continue to roll with a healthy DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown this team runs a lot more than people think and will really wear out Mizzou. Here are the ATS numbers:
Missouri
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Oklahoma
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Sooners are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Sooners are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
This is not the week to bet against Oklahoma. All signs point in their direction. We think Oklahoma can win this game in Texas Tech fashion. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
Florida (-10) a versus Alabama - Huh? Double huh, huh? Alabama is the number one rated team in the country and they are 9.5 point dogs. Are you kidding us? Alabama ranks third in the Bowl Subdivision in scoring defense (11.5 ppg) and total defense (248.5 yards per game), and is eighth in time of possession (32:32). While Alabama has won primarily by keeping opponents out of the end zone, Florida (11-1, 7-1) boasts the nation’s third-highest scoring offense. The Gators average 46.3 points, and with Tim Tebow looking as sharp as ever, they’ve put up an average of 53.7 while winning each of their last seven games by at least four touchdowns. What Florida can rely on this season that it couldn’t in 2007 is a strong defense. Though the Gators offense is the unit garnering national recognition, their defense - like the Tide’s - is in the top 10 in the FBS in scoring defense (12.3 ppg) and total defense (275.7). Florida also has forced 32 turnovers, third-most in the country. This will be the 40th time the AP’s top two teams have met, with No. 1 holding a 23-15-1 edge. This is the first 1-2 matchup in a conference championship game. Here are the ATS numbers:
Alabama
Florida
Head-to-Head
Those head-to-head numbers are interesting. Here is how we see this game shaking out and our true thoughts on the teams and yes, you SEC homers will hate us for it. These are two of the most overrated teams in college football right now. Alabama has played the 88th hardest schedule in D-1 football and Florida has played only two teams that are currently ranked in the top 25 and they lost to one of them. We had to stick it to the SEC at least once in this post. Ha ha. Oh yeah, and the SEC only has 4 teams in the top 35 in the Sagarin rankings. This game will probably be more low scoring than people think. Both teams will look to run but with Cody in the middle, Florida will have a tough time running through that Alabama defense. With the loss of Percy Harvin, Florida will have even more trouble running their “dynamic” offense. It does not matter that the game is on turf, both teams have speed on both sides of the ball. So to us, Florida’s offense is overated because they have not played anybody and Alabama’s defense is underrated. Put the two together and you get a low scoring game. Alabama is white bread and plan vanilla. They play smash mouth, running football and John Parker Wilson is efficient enough to pull off the play action pass. We think this game will be close, a lot closer than 9.5 points and do not be surprised if Alabama wins outright. Remember, only two teams smacked Florida in the mouth this year….Ole Miss, which beat them and Miami, which kept it a lot closer than the score indicated. Florida is ripe for the picking. We are taking Alabama to cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (32-36-1 on the season)
Pitt at UCONN (-2.5) : Pitt is playing well (finally). They finally have a good blend of pass and run. The thing that sticks out to me is their D. They are playing extremely wll andschmopped an explosive WVA team last week in the Backyard Brawl. UConn, although at home, does not have WVA’s firepower. I love Pitt getting points. I’m taking Pitt to cover.
South Florida at West Virginia (-7) : The Bulls are terrible on the road-very much so against Big East teams. WVA needs a win this week to salvage some respect for their season. I think this is a pretty easy one. I’m taking WVA to cover.
Arizona State at Arizona (-10.5): I’m not a fan of either team, but in civil war games like these where the teams are pretty evenly matched, I’m taking the points. Zona will win, but ASU can keep it within 10.5. I’m taking ASU and the points.
Flash Flash Picks (24-16-3 on the season)
East Carolina at Tulsa (-11.5) - I think I have lost every single game that I have bet on Tulsa this year and that flat out pisses me off. I pick the UNDER and they go OVER, I pick the OVER and they go UNDER, I pick them to win and cover and they lose outright. Well call me crazy but I am betting on these crazy bastards once again. Here is why I like it. Tulsa is 7-4 ATS on the season and is 5-0 ATS at home, they rush for 259 yards per game versus East Carolina’s 119 yards per game, have a slightly better run defense and turn the ball over less per game. Here are the ATS numbers:
East Carolina
- Pirates are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Pirates are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Pirates are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Pirates are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
I love that East Carolina is 0-6 in their last 6 on the road and Tulsa is 5-0 ATS at home in their last 5. Hopefully the Golden Hurricanes redeem themselves in my eyes cause if they don’t I am going to turn their Golden Hurricane into a steamy Golden Shower. I am taking Tulsa to win and cover!
RPJ $yndicate picture of the day
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 15 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks and Week 14 NFL Picks: The Wildcard Returns!!!!
RPJ $yndicate uses this website to post our own picks and to post the picks of our faithful readers. Our philosophy on betting is the more info you can get, the more opinions you hear, the better off everyone will be. This is America and information and debate are allowed and encouraged. So we are bringing back one of our fatihful and most loyal content providers aka The Wild Card.
Here we go everyone. 4-2 last week, and 7-6 overall for my boys at RPJ. It’s not fantastic but I’m still in the black.
I make my picks and then review them before throwing down anything. After looking over things this week, it looks like I’m going all favorites. It’s not necessarily a bad thing, though. As long as they all cover!
Here it goes…a defining week heading into bowl season!
Florida -10 vs. Alabama (Neutral)
Starting off with the big one this weekend. Vegas is absolutely begging you to take Alabama. The #1 team in the country is undefeated in the SEC and is STILL a 10 point dog? It doesn’t matter. This game reminds me of USC / Ohio State early in the year. One team is a juggernaut and the other does just enough to get by. Florida is hungry, fast and talented. They do it with D and break the opportunistic TD. Take Florida -10 because they win by 20.
Boston College -1 vs. Virginia Tech (Neutral)
I really liked what I saw last week from BC’s freshman QB. Both defenses are tough, keeping this game close. VT has more NFL talent but they just don’t ever seem to put it together. Boston College -1 in a close one.
Ball State -15 vs. Buffalo (Neutral)
This one frightens me a bit because Buffalo always keeps their games close. I think Nate Davis comes out firing and shows people that he’s not only a NFL player but a Heisman candidate. They’ll make people want to watch them somewhere else than Detroit this Bowl season. Plus, Flash is hot on the Mac. Take Ball State -15 as they roll Buffalo.
Oklahoma -17 vs. Missouri (Neutral)
It’s tempting to take Maclin and Chase with the 17 points but I just can’t. Not with the secondary Mizzou has, and not with Oklahoma on the other side of the field. I expect this to be a Texas Tech type game for Oklahoma to prove to the world they belong over Texas. Oklahoma drops 60 again and Missouri scores some at the end of the game, but not enough to cover. Take Oklahoma -17.
Cincinnati -7 @ Hawaii
This is like a vacation for the Bearcats after already clinching the BCS game. But they just are flat out more talented than Hawaii, even after some mai tais and a 10 hour flight. Take UC -7. By the half point to play it safe.
Arizona State @ Arizona -10.5
Arizona is pretty solid at home, and if it wasn’t for the choke job against Oregon State this spread would be 20. Arizona State has no offensive line and this spread is lower than it should be. Rudy Carpenter, you’ve had a nice career. Go Arizona -10.5 as they win by 17.
Browns @ Titans -14
As a Browns fan, this one hurts. But Ken Dorsey? Without his U brother Winslow playing? No chance. The Browns won’t do anything on offense and the defense won’t hold Tennessee’s running game. This one is ugly early and the Titans -14 win by 27.
Dolphins pick em vs. Bills (Neutral)
The Dolphins do just enough to win against these crappy teams. Buffalo isn’t playing at home and their QB’s are awful. Miami wins in another close one, so take the Dolphins SU.
Redskins @ Ravens -5
The Ravens defense will completely shut down the anemic ‘Skins offense. Just like last week, the Ravens will somehow score some points on defense. Take the Ravens -5.
Bucs @ Panthers -3
The Panthers are undefeated at home, and this one is on Monday night. You have to love the Bucs grittiness, but go with the home team on Monday night who just happens to have more weapons. Go with the Panthers -3 because they win by 13.
And of course I will contribute with an Ass pic. That is the way RPJ rolls.
How you doing back there?
Sincerely,
The Wild Card
Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks (Week 15, 2008)
It has been awhile since the Herd bombed it. he turned in a 1-3 weekend last week and is now 38-25-1. That record my friends is still awesome. We are going to post what The Herd had to say this morning. Look for our picks later in the day. From The mough of the Herd:
The Herd is picking 4 games this week and he says he is winning at a 66-67% clip (if you do the math abouve it is 60%) and that since he bombed it last weekend he is due for a big weekend.
BC versus Va Tech (pick em) - There are no great teams int he ACC. It is the most balanced conference in the USA. Even Duke went on the road and won in SEC country. BC lost its QB and will be starting a red shirt freshmen. That freshmen did not play in BC’s win earlier in the year at home. Virginia Tech has great D and special teams. Even Matt Ryan could not beat Va. Tech in the ACC championship game last year. Score prediction - Va. Tech 27 BC 21. Take Virginia Tech to win!
ASU at Arizona (-11) - This is the lock of the year out West. Stoops is coaching forhis job, is at home and is coming off a bye. This is Arizona’s bowl game and game of the season. Arizona State is missing 8 starters from opening day all due to injury. Score prediction = Arizona 31 Arizona State 13. Take Arizona to win and cover!
Oklahoma versus Mizzou (+17) - Sooners have dominated this game in recent years. Missouri has an elite QB but the team does not have an elite roster. Mizzou has not won this game in 6 years. Oklahoma rolls. Score prediction = Oklahoma 51 Mizzou 21. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
Florida versus Bama (+10) - When it comes to gambling watch what the public is doing and do the opposite. The public is hammering Florida in this one. The best defensive team has won this game the past 6 years. Bama has the better defense. The higher ranked team wins this game 70% of the time. Bama is the higher ranked team. When evaluating high profile teams you need to look at their body of work against the same opponents. Ole Miss is just like Bama. A big, physical team that likes to push people around and that is what Bama will look to do. Bama can control the line of scrimmage and keep Florida off the field. Saban + big game + 10 points is a no brainer. Score prediction = Florida 30 Bama 28. Take Bama to cover!
Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Robbie Picks again!
After posting a 3-4 record, Robbie asked us if he could try and show what he can do one more time. Here are his picks. Good luck Robbie!
Keep me honest here fellas: 3-4 last week. For the weekend: NC State +1.5. Big win last week and they catch a reeling ‘Canes team at home. Tha U is talented but they’re young and their psyche is damaged. Wake -4. Vandy is playing some pretty bad football as of late. Wake is at home and are a very good coached ball club. In an odd out of conference game like this that is golden. BC -6.5. They’re at home, white-hot with a conference championship to play for. What’s not to like? Cincy -22. Syracuse’s season was made last week…they’re done. Big let down to a team who needs to win to lock up a BCS bid. At home nonetheless! Oklahoma -7. I know, every team in the Big12 who has won a big game this year has been at home. But it’s different, and Oklahoma finally comes through in the end and stops the choking streak. Oregon State -3. Home rivalry game with everything to play for. Again, take the team with more motivation. Even if their frosh RB is out.
Really like these. Hopefully I pull through for you guys this week.
Ruthless Robbbie
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate
First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,
Who wants to floss with my thong?
It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…
RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.
Bowling Green
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.
It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:
Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Toledo
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!
Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!
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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.
Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.
Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.
And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….
Over, over, over, over, over!!!
The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!
Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.
We really went to the wrong college. God Bless SEC girls!!!
LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!
Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:
Baylor
Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….
Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.
It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.
Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)
I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:
- Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
- Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.
Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2
Green = Ass for the Cash!!!
Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:
Colorado State
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.
SDSU
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Head-to-Head
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3
3 Asses to end my triple play!
Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:
- Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.
Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!
Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)
Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas.
Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.
Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.
Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.
Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.
BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.
Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.
Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.
Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.
UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU. Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.
South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny