Darren Sharper
Super Bowl Predictions: New Orleans Saints versus Indianapolis Colts
We went into a bit of mourning after the Championship games. We were scrappy jonesing it in these playoffs at 4-4. Going 2-2 each weekend and then blew it two weeks ago missing out on both games. We hope you saved some money for the Super Bowl because we love the action we are seeing on this game.
Sunday, February 7, 2010
New Orleans Saints versus Indianapolis Colts (-4.5 and Over/Under 56.5) - This game is more than just who will win, who will cover and which way you bet on the Over/under. Every knucklehead on earth comes out with crazy stats and predictions. For example, and this was in the Wall Street Journal, when the over/under is less than the halftime band members’ average age, the NFC wins two thirds of the time. Advantage Saints. Then you get the prop bets. The following are actual possible bets for this Sunday’s game:
- What color will the gatorade be for the gatorade coaches dousing? Yellow is the favorite at less than even money with “clear” or water coming in second at 8/5. Orange is posted at 11/2, lime green at 6/1 and we round out the odds with blue and red at 25/2. You can even attempt to predict whether defensive or offensive players will do the pouring.
- Two sports figures that are sure to be there are Archie and Eli Manning. Oddsmakers have given the patriarchal Manning an over/under appearance number of 4 and Eli a total of 3. We heard Archie knows of this prop bet and may watch the game out of the spotlight. Take the UNDER!
- Kim Kardashian, who boasts Saints all-purpose back Reggie Bush as her beau, has been given an appearance total of 2.5. You can even wager on what color top Kim will be wearing at the big game. Black is the favorite at 5/6, white comes in at 53/20 and any other color is 6/5. If you want to get Kim’s sister involved, you can bet who will score more points this weekend, Reggie Bush or Lamar Odom.
- Will a member of The Who smash a guitar on stage during the halftime show? Books assume the band has mellowed in their later years with the answer of “YES” getting +155 odds.
So bet the Super Bowl, bet for fun and see if you can get lucky on any of these crazy prop bets. Why not? This is the last football game you can bet for months. We are really here to inspect this game in detail so you can be more informed. We have our bet in and we will give you our pick at the end of this article.
ATS NUMBERS
Indianapolis Colts
- Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Colts are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Colts are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Colts are 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Colts are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
- Colts are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Colts are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Colts are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Colts are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
- Colts are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.
- Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
- Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Saints are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Saints are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
- Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Saints are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Saints last 6 playoff games.
- Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 14-6-1 in Saints last 21 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Saints last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 16-7 in Saints last 23 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Over is 49-23-2 in Saints last 74 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 19-9 in Saints last 28 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-1 in Colts last 6 games overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3 in Colts last 10 playoff games.
- Over is 13-6 in Colts last 19 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Nineteen of the games included franchises whose defenses were both in the top 10, most recently for Super Bowl XLII, the 2007 season.
- After the 2009 regular season, Indianapolis ranked 18th defensively and New Orleans was No. 25.
- Although the Saints’ defense ranked statistically in the league’s bottom quadrant, New Orleans had the NFL’s second-most takeaways (39). The Saints led the league in defensive touchdowns (eight) and were plus-11 in turnover/takeaway differential.
- the Saints surrendered 21.3 points per game IN THE REGULAR SEASON, and only 12 teams allowed more.
- New Orleans allowed an average touchdown drive of 6.5 plays, but was susceptible to the big play at times, permitting 13 touchdown drives of four plays or fewer and six TDs of 50 yards or more.
- Of the 34 Super Bowl games in which a team had an advantage in turnover/takeaway differential, the club that held the edge won 31 times.
- Tony Dungy, speaking to The New York Times in Miami, said the Saints won’t be able to do enough to force the Colts into needing a final, last-minute drive to win the Super Bowl. ”I think they’re going to be so far ahead that people are going to say, ‘Oh, ho-hum, he played a good game, they won by two scores, the Colts won their second championship,’ ” Dungy said of Manning on Thursday. “He’s going to have those rings Sunday night. I don’t think it’s going to be close.” Dungy, who led Indianapolis to a Super Bowl XLI victory in 2007, said the Saints’ difficulty in closing out the Vikings in the NFC title game was evidence the Colts will have a convincing upper hand come Sunday.
- Peyton Manning has the edge in his meetings with Saints D-Coordinator Gregg Williams, who has faced Manning seven times (losing five of those meetings) as a coach for four different teams. Williams was defensive coordinator of the Titans when Tennessee beat Manning and the Colts 19-16 in the 1999 divisional playoffs, Manning’s second season.
