Free NCAA picks

2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!

We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:

1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.

2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.

3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.

We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..

Monday December 28, 2009

Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)

Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)

Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)

Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)

Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)

Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)

Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)

Friday January 1, 2010

Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)

Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)

Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)

Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)

Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)

Saturday, January 2, 2010

International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)

Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)

Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)

Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)

Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)

Monday January 4, 2010

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!

Thursday, January 7, 2010

BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

Music City Bowl: Kentucky Wildcats versus Clemson Tigers (-7):

Sunday, December 27, 2009

Music City Bowl: Kentucky Wildcats versus Clemson Tigers (-7) - Only five teams in the SEC will be making at least their fourth straight trip to a bowl game this season, and Kentucky is one of them. The other four are Alabama, Florida, Georgia and LSU. It was another solid season for Rich Brooks & Co., but could have been a whole lot better if Kentucky could have punched the ball in for a touchdown at the end of regulation against Tennessee. The Wildcats couldn’t and were beaten in overtime by the Vols — again. Kentucky has lost 25 consecutive games to Tennessee, the longest active losing streak in the country involving teams that play every year. Kentucky is looking to win its fourth bowl game in a row, which is something that has never happened. Clemson on the other hand is looking to avoid its 4th straight bowl loss. Clemson (8-5) reached the ACC championship game against then-No. 10 Georgia Tech on Dec. 5, with the school’s first league title since 1991 and a spot in the Orange Bowl at stake. Despite 233 yards rushing and four touchdowns from Spiller, the Tigers lost 39-34. The player in this game that will draw the most attention is the versatile Spiller, who finished sixth in the Heisman Trophy voting and is the first Tiger to win ACC player of the year honors since Michael Dean Perry in 1987. He ranks fourth nationally in all-purpose yards with 194.0 per game and is the only player in the country to score a touchdown in every game this year, finishing with a school-record 20. Even the best defenses had trouble containing Spiller and Kentucky struggled against the run all season, giving up 183.1 yards per game to rank 100th out of 120 Football Bowl Subdivision teams. Kentucky’s defense will also be without its best player. Linebacker Sam Maxwell, who had 80 tackles and tied for second in the SEC with six interceptions, is out following shoulder surgery. We think Spiller will go out in a blaze of glory. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!!!

Kentucky

Clemson
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
  • Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
  • Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games as a favorite.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games.

December 26, 2009 Winning Bowl Game Predictions: Little Caesars Pizza Bowl, Meineke Car Care Bowl and Emerald Bowl

We are becoming one of the best indicators of this NCAA football bowl season. We are now 1-5. Of the 5 we lost, we did not even have the winner of the game correct. Disaster city but we will press on. Just bet the opposite of what we are saying.

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: Ohio Bobcats (-3) versus Marshall Thundering Herd - This is hands down one of the worst named bowls of all time. This is the tale of two ATS teams right now. Ohio is on a bit of a hot streak, covering in 4 straight games. Marshall has lost three in a row against the spread and has lost 3 out of 4 games straight up. Marhsall’s skid prompted their coach to high tale it out of town and in steps new coach, Doc Holliday. We love the name Doc Holliday but we do not see Marshall showing up to play an inspired ball game. Ohio has really played well down the stretch. They won at Ball State and Buffalo and then beat Northern Illinois and Temple at home. They did lose by 10 to Central Michigan and Dan LeFevour their last time out but they pulled the cover and Dan LeFevour is the man so that was fine with us. We are going to ride the hot team. We are betting on Ohio to win and cover!

Ohio Bobcats

  • Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Bobcats are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Bobcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
  • Bobcats are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Marshall Thundering Herd
  • Thundering Herd are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
  • Thundering Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games.
  • Thundering Herd are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games.
  • Thundering Herd are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
  • Thundering Herd are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. MAC.
Meineke Car Care Bowl: North Carolina Tar Heels versus Pittsburgh Panthers (-3) - This pains us to write but this is another one of the games where we bet the underdog to cover because they give up less than 100 yards rushing on defense. We already blew it once with Central Florida and Rutgers but we are going back to the well. We wanted to take Rutgers but the strategy told us otherwise. Same situation here. We would normally take UNC in this case but the under 100 yard strategy not only wins but it literally picks outright winners. 70% of the teams win outright so getting points is like a sundae with extra fudge and whipped cream. Our gut says go UNC but you know the drill. On one note, Pitt is terrible against the ACC and terrible in bowl games. Check out the numbers below. We are taking UNC to cover!
North Carolina
  • Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Tar Heels are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Tar Heels are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
  • Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. ACC.
  • Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
Emerald “Deez Nuts” Bowl: Boston College Eagles versus USC Trojans - Oh how the mighty have fallen. USC’s season was more than a disappointment. The team literally imploded. The offense did not improve at all during the whole season and the defense looked like a pop warner team against the likes of Oregon and Stanford. Throw in horrific choking losses to Washington and Arizona and you have your 8-4 USC Trojans. USC was also 3-9 ATS on the season. Now we look at USC’s problems. The coaching staff is a shell of itself following the championship teams of yesteryear. Pete Carroll is micro managing. He let Norm Chow go because of ego and the team has not been the same since. Now there are more quality control issues. Joe McKnight is driving around in Range Rovers. Players are showing up academically ineligible for bowl games. We see distractions, distractions and more distractions. Distractions and an under performing team lead to bowl losses. Is Boston College good? Not really. They play well on defense and have a mediocre offense. Sounds a lot like USC but BC gets 9 points. It is almost sacrilege to bet against USC in a bowl game, but we have to do it. We are betting that BC covers!!!
Boston College
  • Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as an underdog.
  • Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Eagles are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Eagles are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog.
  • Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
  • Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
USC
  • Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.
  • Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Bowl games as a favorite.
  • Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Trojans are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Trojans are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 non-conference games.
  • Trojans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Trojans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Trojans are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
  • Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Hawaii Bowl: SMU Mustangs versus Nevada Wolfpack (-12.5): June Jones Returns to the Islands!

We finally got our first win of the bowl season! Thank you Tedford Turd Sandwich. IT feels damn good to get a Cal bet right. Hopefully that sets us up well for next year.

God Bless Hawaii!!!!

God Bless Hawaii!!!!

Thursday December 24, 2009

Hawaii Bowl: SMU Mustangs versus Nevada Wolfpack (-12.5) - This should be a shootout. Nevada is really fun to watch. It is disappointing that Nevada’s RB, Vai Taua, is academically ineligible for the game. He must have been hanging out with the USC Trojans this past month. We love Nevada’s QB, Colin Kaepernick, and he will definitely become our man crush next year as we look to replace the departing Dan LeFevour. Colin has back to back 1,000 yard rushing season and this year he completed 60% of his passes for almost 2,000 yards and a 19:5 TD to INT ratio. He is a stud. SMU gives up 170 yards on the ground and Nevada rushes for 363 yards per game. Trouble spot #1. Nevada converts 51% of its offensive third down conversions. SMU 29.3%. Trouble spot #2. SMU gave up 34 sacks this year, Nevada 10. Trouble spot #3. THREE STRIKES AND YOU ARE OUT!!! We are all over Nevada to win and cover with ease!!!

SMU

Nevada
  • Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 vs. WAC.
  • Over is 16-5 in Mustangs last 21 games following a S.U. win.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in Mustangs last 21 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Mustangs last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in Mustangs last 11 games as an underdog.

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah versus Cal (-3.5): The Curse of the Tedford Turd Sandwich

“Since there are so many bowl games we will probably have posts out and not know our overall results. Case in point, this will be published before the BYU/OSU game.” We clearly wrote that last night and out of pure disgust we were not physically able to post anything. This brings back memories of the last two years when we sucked it so bad in bowls we lost all of the money we had built up during the season. We are now 0-4, have not even picked one winner and now we face the Jeff Tedford Turd Sandwich. There is no God!!!

December 23, 2009

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah Utes verus California Golden Bears (-3.5) - Loyal readers of this website know that Jeff Tedford is the bane of our existence and we always refer to him as a turd sandwich. When we bet on Cal they get destroyed and when we bet against Cal they win some game outright that they should not have any business doing so. This is the curse of the Jeff Tedford Turd Sandwich and we are using this game to try and break the spell. Cal was destroyed in their last game against Washington and now they play a Utah team that has one of the longest bowl winning streaks in the nation. Do you really think Cal wants to play in this game and play without Jahvid Best. These teams are very similar on paper. Utah holds the edge in having the better offensive line (only given up 17 sacks versus 27 for Cal) and is about 7% more efficient on defense in allowing third downs. Then you throw in the fact that Utah will play up for this game and Cal will play sideways probably or who the hell really knows what they will do. In our minds, Kyle Whittingham is 1,000 times the coach Turd Sandwich is. Utah also has won 8 bowl games in a row. Tops in the nation. We are Betting Utah to cover in this game!!!

Utah

King of the TURD SANDWICH!!!

King of the TURD SANDWICH!!!

California
  • Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Golden Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
  • Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
  • Golden Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Golden Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Maaco Las Vegas Bowl: BYU versus Oregon State (-2.5): Rodgers and Rodgers hit the strip!

Nothing like starting the bowl season 0-3. We took a beating this past weekend and were not even close. Of course we jinxed ourselves with the damn defense holding teams under 100 yards rushing guarantee. That guarantee is now worth a pile of shiznit! RPJ Betting $yndicate really knows how to pick bowl games!

Where the Mormon Women at?

Where the Mormon Women at?

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Maaco Las Vegas Bowl: BYU versus Oregon State (-2.5) - This game will be a whole hell of a lot of fun. The Las Vegas Bowl usually is. Runny’s favorite player in all of NCAA football is Jacquizz Rodgers. That little man can play. He is a lot bigger and stronger than people think. Think Maurice Jones-Drew Part II. This game has a couple of story lines. 1) Will the BYU players be able to bring their children to Sin City? If they are not, will it impact their play? 2) How many pairs of magic underwear will the BYU fan base soil in Sin City? Will they have learned their lesson that Crazy Horse II and Spearmint Rhino are not petting zoos? We are not sure. There could be a run on magic underwear and that could lead to unnecessary chaffing. 3) Which team will be more pumped up to play in this game? BYU beat Utah to end their season but BYU seems to live at the Las Vegas Bowl. Oregon State lost in the Civil War and lost their chance at the Rose Bowl. Will the Beavers be pumped up to play this bowl game. The one thing we like is that Oregon State is smart enough to motivate their team and are talking about using this game as a 2010 Heisman launch for Runny’s boy Jacquizz. We think this game will be close and we think top to bottom, Oregon State has more talent and a more motivated coach. Look for a high scoring affair, look for the Rodgers Bros to go bananas and look for one hell of a fun game. We are taking Oregon State to win and cover!!!

BYU

Oregon State
  • Beavers are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
  • Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games.
  • Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games.
  • Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games as a favorite.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Beavers are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
  • Beavers are 49-19 ATS in their last 68 games following a ATS win.
  • Beavers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. MWC.
  • Beavers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
  • Beavers are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

2009-2010 NCAA Football Bowl Kickoff: New Mexico, St. Petersburg and New Orleans Bowl Previews!

In terms of full disclosure we were 94-81-3 on the season picking NCAA football games. We are wiping the slate clean because bowl games are a completely different animal than the regular season and we think they are far more predictable. There are tried and true bowl betting strategies, like the underdog who gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense, that we will never sway from. We also have our own juju that we use to exploit the matchups. Remember, we have this website because we went 18-3 picking bowl games a few years ago and our friends begged us to publish our picks for all to see. We think the 2009-2010 Bowl season provides an unprecedented level of opportunity and we are ready to pounce. We are going to write up every single bowl game this year and we are going to tell you why you need to bet the game and/or why you need to watch the game. So lets get this money making party started!

Saturday December 19, 2009

New Mexico Bowl - Wyoming versus Fresno State (-10.5) - We love this matchup. Pat Hill’s team are nasty farm boys that always come to play and are always physical. Wyoming is in its first bowl in five years and will simply be happy to be here. Fresno State’s offense gets overlooked by conference rivals Boise State and Nevada, but Fresno State has one of the most solid rushing attacks in the country. Fresno State runs for 231.6 yards per game, a stat that certainly bodes well against Wyoming and a defense that gives up more than 170 yards per game, ranking outside the top 90. So why do you watch this game? For Ryan Mathews. Quietly, Fresno State running back Ryan Mathews rose to the top of the Football Bowl Subdivision statistical rankings. Mathews, who ran for more than 170 yards and three touchdowns against the Illini, leads the nation in rushing yards per game with 151.3. The junior averages more than one touchdown per game through 25 career games and has rushed for more than 2,600 yards, the fourth-most in school history. If the Cowboys hope to succeed in their goal of not only getting to a bowl, but winning it, they’ll need to do something they haven’t done all year — beat a team with a winning record. Yeah you read that right. UW has scored just one touchdown against such teams this season, and that came on a gadget play at Utah. Blowout city baby!!! We are all over Fresno State to win and cover!!

Wyoming

Fresno State
  • Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
St. Petersburg Bowl - Central Florida versus Rutgers (-3) - This is the first game in a long line of one of the most profitable betting strategies we have ever seen. Teams that are the underdog and give up less than 100 yards rushing on defense, win the games outright more than 70% of the time. Yes, you heard that right. One quick point to note, both teams can not be under 100 yards, only the underdog. Since we started this website, this strategy has never lost. We usually only see this strategy come into play 1-2 times per bowl season but this is the first of 6 games this year. So based on this simple strategy we are not even going to justify our pick with any other info. Just bet on it! We are taking Central Florida to cover!!!
Central Florida
  • Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Knights are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Knights are 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Rutgers
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Bowl games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
  • Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. CUSA.
  • Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Scarlet Knights are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • Scarlet Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
New Orleans Bowl - Middle Tennessee State versus Southern Miss (-3.5) - These teams look really similar when you line them up stat-wise. Same balanced offense, same balanced defense. One thing these teams do not have in common is bowl experience. Middle Tenn State is going to its second bowl game ever. Southern Miss always goes bowling, 8 straight years and 12 of 13, and even has players on its roster that are familiar with the New Orleans Bowl. The line looks deceptive at only -3.5 and you look at MTSU and see 9-3 SU and 9-3 ATS and it does make you go hmmmm. MTSU has won and covered 6 games in a row and Southern Miss is coming off a loss to ECU. However, Southern Miss has covered three in a row and almost took down Houston. Talent, coaching and experience have us leaning to Southern Miss and we have Flash Flash’s gut feeling for what that is worth. Flash loves betting teams with Golden in their names so he can bust out Golden Shower references. He is the sick of the group! We are taking Southern Miss to win and cover!
Your MTSU Blue Raiders!!!

Your MTSU Blue Raiders!!!

Middle Tennessee State
  • Blue Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. CUSA.
  • Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
  • Blue Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Blue Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
  • Blue Raiders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
  • Blue Raiders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
  • Blue Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Blue Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Southern Miss
  • Golden Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. S-Belt.
  • Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Golden Eagles are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Golden Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
The Perfect Ass for the Perfect Weekend!

The Perfect Ass for the Perfect Weekend!

Check back often. We will cover every single bowl game this year.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 14 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Elin Nordegren is about to be $300 Million Richer, We Help Her Bet NCAA Football

What an amazing week in sports with the whole Tiger Woods fiasco. Looks like this guy got more poon than a porn set. To quote Chris Rock, “A man is only as faithful as his options!” Man does that hold true with this story. Elin is better looking than the string of infidels that Tiger bedded. Check her out:

The $300 million bikini

The $300 million bikini

We also hope that the rumors of her beating his ass are true because we are hoping she overtakes Tawny Kitaen as our favorite athlete beater. Chuck Finley could finally get some rest!!! Well it will come as no surprise that we are dedicating this post to Tiger, Elin and his gaggle of ho-bags and we will of course pick some winning NCAA football games. We are not in love with our record this season but for all of our fans you know this has been our best season on record so we will take it. We hope we made you some killer coin on the season. RPJ $yndicate’s record on the season is 92-78-3 and we are going to make some more money this weekend.

Friday, December 4, 2009

Ohio at Central Michigan (-13) - Just wanted to point something out in case you have not been loyal followers of our picks. Central Michigan is the #2 cover team in the entire nation at 9-2 ATS. Dan LeFevour is one of the best players in the country. The Fever has the following stats: 71% completion, 2,787 passing yards, 25 TDs to 5 INTs, 652 yards rushing at 4 yards per rush and 14 rushing TDs. Yes, he is responsible for 39 TDs on the season. Tim Tebow on the other hand is only responsible for 20 TDs, Suck on that Tebow bible pounders. Just to show that we are not total homers and willing to break away from our man crush, Central Michigan has a far superior offense in general and we do not think Ohio will be able to keep up. The Chips run for more than 55 yards more per game, more than a full yard per rush, pass for more yards, convert offensive third downs 17% better (50% vs. 33%) and on defense The Chips are better against the run and about even against the pass. Chips win the game. We are not going to mess with a good thing. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Ohio

Central Michigan
  • Chippewas are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
  • Chippewas are 25-7-2 ATS in their last 34 conference games.
  • Chippewas are 25-8-2 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
  • Chippewas are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Chippewas are 39-15-3 ATS in their last 57 games overall.
  • Chippewas are 23-9-2 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS win.
  • Chippewas are 25-10-2 ATS in their last 37 games following a S.U. win.
  • Chippewas are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
  • Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Rachel Uchitel My legs may be crossed now but I am simply waiting for some Tiger meat!!!

Rachel Uchitel "My legs may be crossed now but I am simply waiting for some Tiger meat!!!"

Saturday, December 5, 2009
The Yes we are Actually Betting These Retarded Games - If you have followed out impressive winning streak session, you know that we pull some of the games right out of our arses. We do not tell you why we are betting them nor do we give you any insight and more times than not these games hit for big wins. Here are our idiotic games of the week.
The sweet smell of money!!!

The sweet smell of money!!!

San Jose State at Louisiana Tech (-23.5) - We are taking Louisiana Tech to win and cover. Just ask Boise State how hard it is to play in the Bayou light.
Florida Atlantic at Florida International (-2) - We are calling for the upset. Our money is on FAU. The FAU defense is bad but FIU’s is not much better. The difference is on Offense. FIU is flat out terrible; ranked 107th in the nation and FAU is actually 21st; the second best team in the state.
Kalika Moquin I may be Miss Butterface but Tiger loved it when I smeared my butter on his driver for good luck

Kalika Moquin "I may be Miss Butterface but Tiger loved it when I smeared my butter on his driver for good luck"

Last Chance to Bet the Best Cover Team in the Country
South Florida at UCONN (-7) - The UCONN Huskies are 10-1 ATS this season. We have had the pleasure of betting them a few times and we will continue to ride these guys. A round of applause again for winning at Notre Dame. We always have the rule of not messing with a team of destiny. When UCONN lost their teammate Jasper Howard, they immediately became a team of destiny. UCONN did lose three in a row after Jazz went down but they were to 47-45 to Cincy, 28-24 to Rutgers and 28-24 to West Virginia. They could have won all of these games. Now they are on a roll beating Notre Dame and pounding Cuse last weekend and we are going to stay on them. These teams have similar stats that we look at but UCONN gets the nod for being the hotter team and playing at home. South Florida is coming off a rough sandwich stretch where they got pounded by Miami and Rutgers with a win against Louisville int he middle. UCONN is the team of destiny!!! We are betting UCONN to win and cover!
Jaimee Grubbs I spent all my free time on Tigers Tool (academy)

Jaimee Grubbs "I spent all my free time on Tiger's Tool (academy)"


The Sec Championship Game
Alabama versus Florida (-5) - You want to know something funny. We are using the same logic for this game as we used for the FAU/FIU game. These two teams are really similar on defense with Bama having a slight edge. The difference though is on offense. Check out these comparisons:
Rushing yards per game: Florida = 236.7 Alabama = 213.1
Yards per rush: Florida = 5.6 Alabama = 5.2
Passing yards per game: Florida 214.7 Alabama = 194.5
Offensive third down conversions: Florida = 50% Alabama 37.7%
That last stat right there is reason enough to be comfortable with a TD line. Alabama has no offense. We also think Mark Ingram, Jr. is injured and not 100%. We expect him to play but will he be the workhouse that ground down South Carolina and the like, HELL NO!!! Then we have Tim Tebow, do you expect him to lose this game? We do not. He is touched by God. Then we have the coaches. Urban Meyer wins everywhere and more importantly wins the big game. Nick Saban wins games but does not win THE game. Just ask him what it was like to play Utah last year in a BCS bowl game. Saban is talking about using trick and gimmick plays this week to play against Florida. You are a little too late clown. Florida has NFL players across the board on D and will not fall for shenanigans. This line was Florida -10 last season and we are surprised it is not hat high again. Anything less and we are all over Florida. We are taking Florida to win and cover!
Florida
  • Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
  • Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Gators are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Gators are 20-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Gators are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
  • Gators are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
  • Gators are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Gators are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. win.
  • Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
  • Gators are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
  • Gators are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Alabama
  • Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
  • Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Hey Tiger, I own you now. No literally, I own you. My poon is now worth $300 million and you are not getting any of it! Dumb Ass!!!

Hey Tiger, I own you now. No literally, I own you. My poon is now worth $300 million and you are not getting any of it! Dumb Ass!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition

Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing

Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.

Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.

Troy (-9.5) at UL-Lafayette - We are picking Troy to win and cover.

New Mexico State at San Jose State (-11.5) - We are picking New Mexico State to cover.

Navy (-9.5) at Hawaii - We are picking Navy to win and cover.

The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-8) - We are going to bet this game at the last possible minute. The line is not necessarily reflective of what we are going to get the line at because the wise guys will be doing exactly what we are going to do. Here is the scenario: a) we will bet Oklahoma if Zac Robinson is clearly not healthy or not playing and b) we will bet Oklahoma State if Zac Robinson is 100% healthy and starting. Just so you know, Zac is questionable with a head injury and we think he is unlikely to be 100% healthy.
UCLA at USC (-13) - We are picking USC to win and cover!
Best of the Rest Traditional Rivalry Games

North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.

Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.

Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.

Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.

Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!

Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football!  We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Its Rivalry Week! Somebody needs to lose!

We are coming off a sick, sick weekend. We went 14-7 and upped our season record to 84-72-3. Also, we were 2-1 in the NFL so far this week. We are going to come at you with a bunch of games this week and weekend as well. This piece will address all of the weekday games we are going to bet and we will follow up with another piece to cover the Saturday games.

Congrats to Colt McCoys girlfriend. She now gets to sleep with a Heisman winner!

Congrats to Colt McCoy's girlfriend. She now gets to sleep with a Heisman winner!

Friday, November 27, 2009

Nebraska (-10) at Colorado - We are a little nervous with this game for hangover reasons. Nebraska’s win over Kansas State clinched the Big 12 North for the Huskers and Texas awaits in the Big 12 championship game. On paper, Nebraska is significantly better than Colorado and should blow this game out. But we hate betting on teams that have nothing to play for. Colorado has been scrappy but is not winning because they can not get away from their own mistakes and bad coaching. When we look at the important numbers we salivate over this game. Nebraska runs for more than 50 yards more per game than Colorado, Runs for more than 1.5 yards more per rush than the Buffs, is more efficient on third downs and is better across the board on defense in all of these categories. We think Nebraska might start a little slow but they will get it going as they start to wear down Colorado in the second half. We are betting Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Nebraska

Colorado
  • Buffaloes are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
  • Buffaloes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Buffaloes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buffaloes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Nevada at Boise State (-13.5) - This is going to be a fun game. After losing their first three games, Nevada has won 8 in a row and has done so with an insane offense that has put up more than 52 points in 3 of the last 4 games and has scored more than 30 in every game during their winning streak. The scores in this series have been crazy the last two years. BSU won 41-34 last year and two years ago BSU won 69-67. Colin Kaepernick, Nevada’s QB, has played at Boise State so he knows what to expect playing on the smurf turf. This Nevada offense really is sick right now. On the season they have averaged 374 yards rushing, 7.77 yards per rush, only given up 8 sacks and converts third downs at a 53.4% clip. When you stack that up against Boise State you start to say Hmmmmm….Can Nevada actually win this game? We think they can and as 13.5 point dogs we love getting that many points. We are betting Nevada to cover and taking the over!
Nevada
  • Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
  • Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Wolf Pack are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
  • Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Boise State
  • Numbers are all favorable for Boise State.
Over
  • Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Over is 6-1 in Wolf Pack last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Over is 5-1 in Wolf Pack last 6 games in November.
  • Over is 9-3 in Wolf Pack last 12 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 6-2 in Wolf Pack last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
  • Over is 5-2 in Wolf Pack last 7 games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 5-2 in Wolf Pack last 7 road games.
  • Over is 7-3 in Wolf Pack last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-3 in Wolf Pack last 10 conference games.
  • Over is 13-6-1 in Wolf Pack last 20 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 Friday games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games in November.
  • Over is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 conference games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
  • Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Come back to get our picks for Saturday’s games. Good luck.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Sports Betting at the Sportsbook