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2008 Week 11 Free NFL Winning Picks: Sunday Funday!

We lost the Pats/Jets game on Thursday and we sit at 16-15 on the season. Flash Flash is 7-3 and Runny is 14-22-1. We have a bunch of picks for you this week and sticking with our NCAA theme we are coming at you with straight picks and hot chicks.

RPJ $ndicate Picks

Denver at Atlanta (-6.5): Denver’s D is terrible and Hotlanta is raising some eyebrows with their play. Who knew Matt Ryan would be this good?!??! We thought he would be a draft bust-nice work on showing us up Ryan. You and your team are rollin’ and could win the South. We are taking the Falcons and giving the points.

Oakland at Miami (-10.5)- Teams are 0-12 when they travel West to East this season and the Raiders are freakin terrible and run by a Vampire.

The Fins play really well at home and look nothing like the ‘07 team. The Raiders are just a mess. We are taking the Fins and giving the points.

Arizona at Seattle (+3): This is our upset special of the week. The Cards are TERRIBLE on the road. They get their asses handed to them everytime they leave lovely Zona. Playing in Seattle is tough. The Cards will have nothing for the ‘Hawks this week. FACTS: ‘Hawks are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games against the Cards at home. We are taking the ‘Hawks and the points.

Flash Picks

Eagles at Bungles (+9.5): The Bungles just have nothing to offer. The Eagles are desperate for a win to keep any kind of pace in their division. We don’t like the points, but the Eagles should be fine. FACTS: Eagles are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 against the Bungles (I’m going against the numbers). Take the Eagles and give the points.

Baltimore at NY Giants (-7): The Gints are clearly the best team in football right now. The Ravens, although surprising people with how well they have rallied around Flacco, are just not there yet. Going on the road into the Meadowlands is just too much to ask of them to keep this game close. The Ravens will not be able to keep pace with the Gints. I’m taking the Gints and giving the points.

 

Dallas at Washington (+1): I’m road-tripping for this game so I can see the downfall of the Cowboys firsthand. They are terrible and having Romo back means nothing-they were terrible before he was injured. The Boys are 3-6 ATS on the season and the Skins always have their number. It is a joke that the Skins are getting points in this one. I like the Skins to win and cover!

Runny Picks

Texans @ Colts (-8): The Colts are off an impressive win in Pittsburgh last week. One thing is for sure-they know how to rally. That could be the turning point of their season. However, I like this game more for who is not playing for the Texans-Schaub. Sage cannot do it on the road. FACTS: The Colts are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at home against the Texans. I’m taking the Colts and give the points.

Bears @ Packers (-3.5): Bitter rivalry game and I love it!! The Bears go into another week not sure if Grossman will still be their QB. I don’t think it will matter. The Bears D is good enough to keep this game close, and the Packers D is not very good. Even if Grossman gets the nod, the Bears can keep this game within a field goal. I’m taking the Bears and the points.

Saints @ Chiefs (+5.5): The Saints have a terrible D. The Chiefs are playing better, but just not winning. They had a chance last weke to beat the Chargers at home. If they can keep it close against the Chargers D, they can do the same against the Saints. I love the points. Take them and the Chiefs.

RPJ $yndicate Cleavage Shot of the Day!

Good luck with your picks.

Flash Flash and Runny

2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage

Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season,  RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!

Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.

RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)

Game 1

Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.

Game 2

Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.

Game 3

Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.

Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)

Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!

Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)

Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.

Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

2008 WEEK 8 FREE NFL WINNING PICKS and Tig Ole Bitties!!!

RPJ had a winning week last week and just like in NCAA we are sitting around 500. RPJ $yndicate is 10-10 on the season, Runny Pelvis is 13-15-1 on the season and Flash is 5-3. We could have been 3-0 last week but Seattle backdoored us with less than two minutes to go. Flash is still pissed about it and to try and make him feel better we are going to flash a bunch of nice breasts here to take his mind off of it.

Why not show one more set of round mounds before the picks.

RPJ $yndicate Picks (10-10 On the Season)

Atlanta at Philadelphia (-9): This is a ton of points to give a hot team. No doubt Matt Ryan was worth Atlanta’s 1st round pick. He pulled a great win out of his hat last game against the Bears at home. The Bears have a solid D, too. Very, very impressive. The key to this game, however, will be the effect of the bye on the Eagles. We think it helps them HUGE-maybe more so than any other team in the league. It gives them added rest, and, most importantly, it gets Westbrook back. That cannot be under stated. Reid is a great coach and he will have the Iggles prepared. They will be riding the wave of the Phillies’ win. FACTS: Iggles are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at home against the Falcons. Take the Iggles -9.

Washington at Detroit (+7.5):This game is pretty easy to figure-the Lions are TERRIBLE. Way worse than the Fins last year. They will get pummeled in this one. Orlovsky is not a NFL QB. Calvin Johnson excluded, they have no threats on offense (averaging less than 100 yards rushing per game). Their D is suspect (they allowing nearly 5 yards per rush on D). The Skins will grind them down and roll to an easy win. FACTS: Skins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 against the Lions. Take the Skins -7.5.

Giants @ Pittsburgh (-3):Both teams are outstanding and very evenly matched. That is why we love the Dof in this one. Plus, the Steelers are a mess with the Holmes suspension and their injuries. It will be close. Take the Giants +3.

Flash’s Picks (5-3 On the Season): Nothing this Sunday. Check back with us tomorrow for our Monday Night action.

Runny’s Picks (13-15-1)

Cinncy @ Houston (-9), OVER/UNDER 45:If you read our blog, you will know we have no respect for the Bungles. I think they may be the worse franchise in sports history. Absolutely terrible. But, every Dog has its day. I think the Bungles get it done this week. They will probably lose, but they will make it a game. Fitzpatrick is slowly improving and they may finally have a running game with Cedric Benson. On the Texans side of the ball, their D is TERRIBLE. May be worse than the Bungles’. Again, that may not be enough for thge Bungles to win, but it is enough to keep it close. I’m taking the Bungles and the Points. Also, as noted, the Texans have a terrible D. So do the Bungles. It will be high scoring. Weather will not be a factor. Take the OVER 45.

Chargers @ Saints (+3): The Saints are still their enigma selves-at times they are brilliant, while at others they are terrible. One thing for sure is they have absolutely no D. None. Add that to the facts that two of their players tested positive for juice and their best offensive weapon, Reggie Bush, is out. I don’t give the Saints much of a chance. The Chargers have been called out in the press for not being tough. They will rebound this week. look for a HUGE game from LT. Take the Chargers -3.

Chiefs @ Jets (-14): This is a ton of points, but there are clear reasons for this line. The biggest two are that the Chiefs are forced to ride with their 3rd string QB again and they suspended LJ. Colby Smith cannot get it done for this team on the road. Favre will be looking for redemption for his terrible play last week in Oakland. Take the Jets in a blowout.

RPJ Breast Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

2008 NFL Week Four: Free Winning Picks and Chicks

Greetings folks. A decent, but not good, Week Three brought us back a little closer to respectability. However, we know we have a ton of work to do to right the ship. Our NFL season records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 3-7, Flash is 2-1 and Runny is 5-7. Still pretty bad, but we ain’t stopping!!!!

Well in keeping with tradition, when we blow we show more picks of hot chicks:

Here is what we like this week:

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Cardinals @ Jets (-1): The Cards looked awful last week against a Skins team that we think is pretty overrated. The Jets were just as bad against a hungry Chargers team on Monday night. What will give? The key to his game is the Cards and their road woes. They are terrible on the road. They have studs on offense and a decent D. There is no reason they should be Dogs in this game (or their last). Also, look at these facts: Jets are 11-1 ATS as home favorites vs. opponents that are .600 or better and 12-2 ATS off of Monday Night games. Nuff said. Take the Jets -1.

Falcons @ Panthers (-6.5): Don’t be fooled by the Falcons. Although they are 2-1, their two wins were against terrible teams (Lions and Chiefs). Their sole loss was a beatdown against the Bucs. The Panthers are more like the Bucs than the Lions and Chiefs. They will win, and when they win at home they are 44-8 ATS. Also, never take rookie QBs on the road. Take the Panthers -6.5.

Runny Picks

Chargers @ Raiders (+7.5): This pick pains me because I like Lane Kiffin and I think the Raiders are better than they get credit for being. I just don’t think they have enough this week, despite the fact that the Chargers are traveling off of Monday Night (if you are a reader of our blog, you’ll understand the reference and stat). Facts: Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home against the Chargers. This is a lot of points, but Rivers is the best QB in the league right now. Take the Chargers -7.5.

49ers @ Saints (-4): The Niners are off of a dominating win last week at home. They are young and their D seems to be on the right track. However, I am not sold on J.T. O’Sullivan. Plus, they re going on the road against a Saints team that can do some damage on offense. Facts: Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against the Saints and under Nolan, the Niners are 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS away against non-division teams. I love the Saints in this. Take the Saints -4.

Bills @ Rams (+8): The Rams are lost and Linehan has lost this team. Players are openly stating that they don’t want to play for him and Trent Green is getting the start this week. Terrible. The Bills are loaded and are playing well. Facts: Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Bills and 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS against inning teams under Linehan. This will be bloody. Take the Bills -8.

Flash Flash Picks

I should be 3-0 and I am not bitter about it or anything. I love the backdoor but I hate backdoor covers.

Only one pick for me this week and that is Redskins (+11) at Dallas. This is too many points and I live the ATS numbers.

Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Redskins are 21-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.

Head-to-Head
Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings.

I do not think the Skins will win but I think they are playing better and can keep this within ten points. Take the Skins with the points!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

NFL WEEK ONE 2008 PICKS: LET THE GAMES BEGIN!!!!

Greetings!!! Another glorious NFL season is upon us and we cannot wait!!! We love this stuff!!!! Thursday is the 2008 season kickoff and features two bitter, division rivals in the Skins at the Giants. This is going to be a good one. The Giants open their season at home as the World Champions. The Skins roll in looking to knock them off their pedestals and set the tone for the season. Tonight’s game is another one that Flash and I could not agree on, but I feel good about it and I’m willing to roll. Let the games begin!!!

This is a much, much different Giants team than the one that upset the Pats in the Super Bowl. Gone is Strahan. Kevin Boss looks like he has come back down to earth (could that guy pick-up any run blocks in pre-season?!?!?!?!) and that could be huge without Shockey. That will be the key to the game.

The Skins are somewhat healthy and they have enough to protect Campbell. Portis can still tote the rock and we will see plenty of him in this game. The Skins will attack the Giants new line with Portis and dumpoffs to Cooley. I think both have a great game. The Giants will just not have enough. Although the ATS numbers favor the Giants (Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head match-ups),  Take the points and the Skins +4.5.

Runny Pelvis

This is a Runny pick only. RPJ Syndicate picks will be out later in the week.

NFL WEEK 15 PICKS

Another Sunday is upon us and the NFL regular season is winding down. Teams are jockying for playoff spots, 1st week byes and draft positions. Very exciting stuff. Of course the Bungles sucked it on Saturday night to bring our season record to 54-41-1. We are disappointed, but still happy with how our season is going. We know we do our best work on Sundays. With that said, this is what e like Sunday:

Jags +3 @ Steelers: No guarantees by the Steelers this week as they host the Jags. Big playoff implications in this on. The Jags are playing very sound football right now while the Steelers have been two different teams-brilliant at home and terrible on the road. They are at home this week and they are getting players back from the medical ward. It won’t matter in this one. The jags are banged-up, but they know how to overcome. They will keep it close if not win outright. Take the Jags +3.

Colts @ Raiders +10.5: The Colts roll into Oaktown to face a young Raiders team. The Colts have looked like a team that is primed for the playoffs-despite the injuries. They are banged-up again for this one. The Raiders were terrible in Green Bay last week. All the ATS numbers point to the Colts covering easy. And, most of the money in Vegas is on the Colts (94% as of the time of this post). That is why we like the Raiders at home. Kiffin grew up watching Dungy. He will have his boys ready. Take the Raiders +10.5. 

Ravens -3.5 @ Dolphins: Could there be a worse team than the Fins?!?! Just when you think it could not get any worse, they lose 38-17 to the Bills. There is no relief in sight. The only things they have going for them in this one is that they are at home and the Ravens have a lot of key injuries. We don;t think it will matter in this one. Take the Ravens -3.5.

Titans -4 @ Chiefs: The Chiefs are a mess. They could be looking at using their 4th string RB this week. That is not good against a solid Tennessee D. The Chiefs just are not a good team right now. They are not well coached, and they are injured. Despite the huge home-field advantage, this all adds up to a Titans cover. Take the Titans -4.

Falcons +12.5 @ Buccaneers:Don’t get us wrong-the Falcons are terrible. Petrino walking out on them was just another sign that things are not getting any better in Hotlanta anytime soon. That said, 12.5 is too many points. They will rally around each other after Petrino quit on them and keep this game with 12.5. Take the Falcons +12.5.

Eagles +10 @ Cowboys: The Cowboys return home after a sucker win against the Lions. They had no business winning that one and that game revealed a lot about this team-they are extremely soft on D and very undisciplined on O. They have a lot of talent on both sides of the field, but need a lot of improvement if they want to get through the playoffs. The Linos showed that the Cowboys can be physically dominated with hard hits. The Eagles definitely know how to do that. They will cover if not win outright. Also, keep in mind that the last time the Cowboys had a lucky win like last week was also on the road. It was in Buffalo on Monday night. What happened the following week? They got spanked at home by the Patriots. This will be the Eagles Super Bowl. Nothing will please them more than to beat the Cowboys in Big D. Take the Eagles +10.

Seahawks -7 @ Panters: The Seahawks are hot right now. They have been decimating teams at home and on the road. They look to continue that play against a struggling Panthers team this week. The injury bug has hit the Panthers particularily hard this year. That does no bode well for them against a hot ‘Hawks team. We think the Seahawks will have too much for them this week. Take the Seahawks -7.

Jets @ Patriots -21: Another lopsided spread for the Pats. This line actually opened at 24.5 and has dropped. We think it is due to the weather and the fact that a huge majority of the bets in Vegas are on the Jets. We think that is comical. Even with the weather, the Pats are gonna steamroll this Jets team. They have no threats at all. Kellen Clemens has not seen this team in action and the Jets D will not be able to stop the Pats. Belichek despises Mangini and if he was willing to run up the score on Joe Gibbs, what do you think he will do in this one?!?! We don’t think the Jets will even score. Take the Pats -21.

Redskins @ Giants -5: The Skins are injured and are limping into their match-up with the Giants. Losing Jason Campbell is a HUGE loss. Todd Collins is not answer. The Giants will roll at home. Take the Giants -5.

9 picks for Sunday! Good luck with your picks!

Runny & Flash

NFL WEEK 10 PICKS

Greetings folks. First things first-we went 4-4 last week bringing our season record to 24-15-2. There is no need to tell us that that is a terrible record. We know. It will improve. Stick with us. We are in the same boat. But we ain’t quittin’!!! Let’s roll into Week 10!!!! Here’s our picks:

Bills -2.5 @ Dolphins: This game has “trap” written all over it. This line is almost too tempting. Vegas always knows and this screams that they want you to take the Bills. Any team can cover a field goal against the Fins, right? There answer should be an obvious “yes,” but again, Vegas knows. Each week we look for these games and stay away. In fact, that is always our first step in our analysis. However, the last time the Bills did not cover was 2003. They shut them out last year in their final match-up and this Fins team is way worse. Even though it could be a Vegas trap, we like the Bills. Take the Bills -2.5.

Browns +10 @ Steelers: The Steelers are deadly at home. They CRUSHED the Ravens last Monday night (I don’t think I’ve seen a worse beatdwon. Well, maybe the Pats-Skins this year). They hate the Brownies, too. I’m sure they will try to do the same thing they did to the Ravens. However, the Ravens are terrible right now and the Browns are hot. Derek Anderson has that team rolling. He can lead the Browns to keep it within 10. Take the Browns +10.

Vikings +5.5 @ Packers: Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Adrian Peterson. Brad Childress finally figured it out-feed AP the ball all day. The guy is a mchine. They will run it down the Packers’ throat and keep it with in 5.5. Take the Vikings +5.5.

Bengals +3.5 @ Ravens: Both teams are a mess. This game is about picking who is more of a debacle. The Ravens are and we are taking the points. Take the Bengals +3.5.

Cowboys -1.5 @ Giants: This spread is tricky. The .5 has “F Us” written all over it. The Boys should win this game. Both teams are better than they were in Week 1. The Boys get Tank Johnson this week to sure up their middle. This game will be a shootout, but the Boys have more weapons. Romo will make less mistakes than Eli. Take the Boys -1.5.

Colts @ Chargers (O/U 47.5): This is over is way too high. look at the Colts last week against the Pats-they only scored 44 points total. The Chargers do not have the Pats offense. Take the Under 47.5

There are our picks. Use whatever you want. Let us know what you tink. Good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash.

NFL Preview: A gambler’s intro to making money

The Vegas odds on the NFL season have finally arrived and we wanted to point out to you some of the simple techniques we use to consistently make money. Lets take a look at the over/under win total for each team:

NFC East
Dallas - 9
Philly - 9
NYG- 8
Skins - 7.5

South
Carolina - 9
NO - 9
ATL - 7.5
TB - 7

North
Bears - 10
GB - 7.5
MINN - 6.5
Det - 6

West
Seattle - 9
SF - 7.5
St. Louis - 7.5
Zona - 7

AFC East
NE - 11.5
NYJ - 8
Miami - 7
Bills - 6

South
Indy - 10.5
Jacksonville - 9
TENN - 7
Houston - 6.5

North
Baltimore - 9
Pitt - 9
Cincy - 9
Cle - 5.5

West
SD - 10.5
Denver - 9.5
KC - 7.5
Oak 5

Simply put…Vegas is saying that the Patriots are the best team at 11.5 wins and the Raiders are the worst team at 5 wins. Why are the over/under win totals important? These early lines are the backbone for how Vegas is going to set their point lines this year.

Lets break down these win totals from a historic perspective:

NFL teams that won 11 or more games
2006=5
2005=10
2004=6
2003=7
2002=5
2001=8
6 year average - 6.83333

Why is this important? Well on average for the upcoming 2007 NFL season there will be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games. Vegas right now is only saying that the Pats will win more than 11 games and has the Colts and Chargers at 10.5, close but not 11. Plain and simple numbers are saying that there should be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games and Vegas only has one team identified that can do this. Even if you take the low numbers of 5 teams from 2002 and 2006, that still means there are 4 chances to beat these numbers.

NFL Teams that won 5 games or less in a season
2006= 6
2005=10
2004=7
2003=10
2002=6
2001=7
year average - 7.66666

This stat is even more telling. Vegas has only one team at 5 wins and this stat says that on average, over the last 6 years, there will be 7.6 teams that win 5 games or less. Again this is creating a money making opportunity to find the 6-7 other teams besides the Raiders that will win only 5 games or less. These will be easy under bets.

So to start off this betting year we have identified 11 betting opportunities where we feel Vegas is off by 3 games under or over.

Lets look at the over opportunites. We have spotted 5 opportunities to beat Vegas:

1) Bears - The Bears have an easy schedule and play in a weak division. We think they will win 14 games and Vegas only thinks they will win 10.

2) Saints - The Saints are also in an easy division and Vegas has them tied with Carolina with 9 wins. We think this is a joke and the Saints ar emuch better and will win the conference and come in with 13 wins.

3) Rams - Vegas has this high flying time under .500 at 7.5. C’mon now. S. Jackson will tear it up this year and the offense will be tough to stop with Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael as new additions. Rams win 11 games and the division.

4) Bengals - The Bengals play in a tough division but we think they have a favorable schedule and will win 13 games. Vegas has them at 9.

5) Chargers - We think the Chargers are the best team in the AFC and play in an easy division. This team will be on a mission. We see them at 15-1 and Vegas has them only at 10.5 wins.

Now for the fun stuff and finding the teams that will stink up the joint this year. It is amazing to us that Vegas only put one team at 5 wins. We see 6 money making opportunities for betting unders.

1) Vikings - Vegas puts this team at 6.5. We are laughing hysterically at this pick. Go look for yourself and find even 3 games you think they will win. We think this is the worst team in the league and will be lucky to win more than one game.

2) Atlanta - This speaks for itself. This team is a mess following the Vick legal mess. Vegas thinks they win 7.5 games and we think it looks more like 2. Go find 8 wins on this teams schedule. WE DARE YOU!!!!!

3) Tampa Bay - Vegas puts this team at 7 wins. Lets take a look….No RBs, no WRs, a gay QB and lame duck coach. 7 wins…..we think it will be more like 4.

4) Miami - The Trent Green experiment will go as sour as a Cleo Lemon. Vegas put this win total at 7 wins. We sharted ourselves laughing so hard that the experts think they can win 7 games. We think they will win one game.

5) Houston - Vegas put this team at 6.5 wins. The Matt Schaub experiment showed us all that he is a born loser. He might have put up some stats in the past but he sure knows how to lose and he will not enjoy throwing behind that line that ran Carr out of town. They will be lucky to win more than 3 games.

6) KC Chiefs - This team is the Raiders with Larry Johnson and a worse Defense. Vegas thinks they can win 7.5 games and we think 7.5 is the number of coaching mistakes Herm Edwards will average during each game. Chiefs might win 2 games this year.

So there you have it. We outlined where we think Vegas has made mistakes and we are putting our money where our predictions are. The Rams are probably the hottest pick going right now so you probably want to jump on that one before the lines move too much.

Flash Flash and Runny

NFL Preview: A gambler’s intro to making money

The Vegas odds on the NFL season have finally arrived and we wanted to point out to you some of the simple techniques we use to consistently make money. Lets take a look at the over/under win total for each team:

NFC East
Dallas - 9
Philly - 9
NYG- 8
Skins - 7.5

South
Carolina - 9
NO - 9
ATL - 7.5
TB - 7

North
Bears - 10
GB - 7.5
MINN - 6.5
Det - 6

West
Seattle - 9
SF - 7.5
St. Louis - 7.5
Zona - 7

AFC East
NE - 11.5
NYJ - 8
Miami - 7
Bills - 6

South
Indy - 10.5
Jacksonville - 9
TENN - 7
Houston - 6.5

North
Baltimore - 9
Pitt - 9
Cincy - 9
Cle - 5.5

West
SD - 10.5
Denver - 9.5
KC - 7.5
Oak 5

Simply put…Vegas is saying that the Patriots are the best team at 11.5 wins and the Raiders are the worst team at 5 wins. Why are the over/under win totals important? These early lines are the backbone for how Vegas is going to set their point lines this year.

Lets break down these win totals from a historic perspective:

NFL teams that won 11 or more games
2006=5
2005=10
2004=6
2003=7
2002=5
2001=8
6 year average - 6.83333

Why is this important? Well on average for the upcoming 2007 NFL season there will be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games. Vegas right now is only saying that the Pats will win more than 11 games and has the Colts and Chargers at 10.5, close but not 11. Plain and simple numbers are saying that there should be 6.8 teams that win 11 or more games and Vegas only has one team identified that can do this. Even if you take the low numbers of 5 teams from 2002 and 2006, that still means there are 4 chances to beat these numbers.

NFL Teams that won 5 games or less in a season
2006= 6
2005=10
2004=7
2003=10
2002=6
2001=7
year average - 7.66666

This stat is even more telling. Vegas has only one team at 5 wins and this stat says that on average, over the last 6 years, there will be 7.6 teams that win 5 games or less. Again this is creating a money making opportunity to find the 6-7 other teams besides the Raiders that will win only 5 games or less. These will be easy under bets.

So to start off this betting year we have identified 11 betting opportunities where we feel Vegas is off by 3 games under or over.

Lets look at the over opportunites. We have spotted 5 opportunities to beat Vegas:

1) Bears - The Bears have an easy schedule and play in a weak division. We think they will win 14 games and Vegas only thinks they will win 10.

2) Saints - The Saints are also in an easy division and Vegas has them tied with Carolina with 9 wins. We think this is a joke and the Saints ar emuch better and will win the conference and come in with 13 wins.

3) Rams - Vegas has this high flying time under .500 at 7.5. C’mon now. S. Jackson will tear it up this year and the offense will be tough to stop with Drew Bennett and Randy McMichael as new additions. Rams win 11 games and the division.

4) Bengals - The Bengals play in a tough division but we think they have a favorable schedule and will win 13 games. Vegas has them at 9.

5) Chargers - We think the Chargers are the best team in the AFC and play in an easy division. This team will be on a mission. We see them at 15-1 and Vegas has them only at 10.5 wins.

Now for the fun stuff and finding the teams that will stink up the joint this year. It is amazing to us that Vegas only put one team at 5 wins. We see 6 money making opportunities for betting unders.

1) Vikings - Vegas puts this team at 6.5. We are laughing hysterically at this pick. Go look for yourself and find even 3 games you think they will win. We think this is the worst team in the league and will be lucky to win more than one game.

2) Atlanta - This speaks for itself. This team is a mess following the Vick legal mess. Vegas thinks they win 7.5 games and we think it looks more like 2. Go find 8 wins on this teams schedule. WE DARE YOU!!!!!

3) Tampa Bay - Vegas puts this team at 7 wins. Lets take a look….No RBs, no WRs, a gay QB and lame duck coach. 7 wins…..we think it will be more like 4.

4) Miami - The Trent Green experiment will go as sour as a Cleo Lemon. Vegas put this win total at 7 wins. We sharted ourselves laughing so hard that the experts think they can win 7 games. We think they will win one game.

5) Houston - Vegas put this team at 6.5 wins. The Matt Schaub experiment showed us all that he is a born loser. He might have put up some stats in the past but he sure knows how to lose and he will not enjoy throwing behind that line that ran Carr out of town. They will be lucky to win more than 3 games.

6) KC Chiefs - This team is the Raiders with Larry Johnson and a worse Defense. Vegas thinks they can win 7.5 games and we think 7.5 is the number of coaching mistakes Herm Edwards will average during each game. Chiefs might win 2 games this year.

So there you have it. We outlined where we think Vegas has made mistakes and we are putting our money where our predictions are. The Rams are probably the hottest pick going right now so you probably want to jump on that one before the lines move too much.

Flash Flash and Runny

Great American Road Trip 2007

Greetings. The Summer is upon us and the weather couldn’t be better. That said, I’m on the verge of fulfilling a dream of mine I’ve had for as long as I can remember. I’m going to take the Summer off and drive across the great United States. Still in the planning phase, but my goal is to see as many MLB stadiums, National parks, large balls of rubberbands, blocks of cheese and sketchy people as I can see in a little over 30 days.  That said, I worked out my itinerary and wanted to pass it along for any feedback or suggestions anyone can give.

Here is the breakdown so far:

• Thursday, 7/26/07: St. Louis for the Cubs-Cards. I live in Chicago,
• Friday, 7/27/07: Budweiser Brewery Tour, The Arch, STL sites, drive to KC.
• Saturday, 7/28/07: Negro League Hall of Fame, Get ribs at Arthur’s, Royals-Rangers game.
• Sunday, 7/29/07: Drive to Denver/Boulder;
• Monday, 7/30/07: Drive to Jackson, WY. Visit Rocky Mountain National Park and Tetan National Park on the way.
• Tueaday, 7/31/07: Drive to Missoula, MT. Do whatever it is they do in Montana. Is Sam Hoffman still up there?!?!
• Wednesday, 8/1/07: Drive to Seattle. Mariners-Angels game.
• Thursday, 8/2/07: Begin drive to San Fran. Stop somewhere in OR or WA.
• Friday, 8/3/07: Arrive in San Fran./Oaktown. See the sites. Track down Al Davis and MC Hammer. A’s-Angels game (I’m going to try and get Vlad Guerrero to ride with me from Seattle to Oakland between games).
• Saturday, 8/4/07: Tour SF.
• Sunday, 8/5/07: Napa.
• Monday, 8/6/07: Monterray, Big Sur and Giants-Nationals game.
• Tuesday, 8/7/07: Drive to LA. Angels-Red Sox game.
• Wednesday, 8/8/07: Drive to Phoenix. D’Backs-Bucks game.
• Thursday, 8/9/07: Drive to Santa Fe.
• Friday, 8/10/07: Drive to Denver. Rockies-Cubs game.
• Saturday, 8/11/07: Drive to Arlington/Dallas. Stop in OK City. See the Bombing Monument. Hangout with Nate Newton, Michael Irvin and TO. Hopefully avoid any stabbings. Rangers-Royals game.
• Sunday, 8/12/07: Drive to Houston. Astros-Brewers game.
• Monday, 8/13/07: Drive to San Antonio. See the sites.
• Tuesday, 8/14/07: Drive to Jackson, MI. Take the Civil Rights tour. Listen to some Blues.
• Wednesday, 8/15/07: Drive to Hotlanta. Enter Peanut in Michael Vick’s next dog fighting match. He will represent. Braves-Giants game.
• Thursday, 8/16/07: Drive to Orlando. Possibly hit Disney. Or, head to Ft. Lauderdale to hit the beach.
• Friday, 8/17/07: Drive to Miami. Hit South Beach.
• Saturday, 8/18/07: South Beach. Marlins-Giants game.
• Sunday, 8/19/07: Drive to Tampa Bay. D’Ray-Indians game.
• Monday, 8/20/07: Hangout in FLA.
• Tuesday, 8/21/07: Drive to NC. Hit Outter Banks.
• Wednesday, 8/22/07: Outter Banks.
• Thursday, 8/23/07: Outter Banks.
• Friday, 8/24/07: Drive to Baltimore. Orioles-Twins game.
• Saturday, 8/25/07: Drive to Philly/S. Jersey. Phillies-Padres game.
• Sunday, 8/26/07: Drive to NYC. Mets-Dodgers game.
• Monday, 8/27/07: Drive to Philly. See the sites.
• Tuesday, 8/28/07: Drive to NYC. Yanks-Red Sox game!!!!
• Wednesday, 8/29/07: Head to Upstate. Do a massive amount of laundry.
• Thursday, 8/30/07: Upstate.
• Friday, 8/31/07: Drive to Toronto. Blue Jays-Mariners game.
• Saturday, 9/1/07: Drive back to Chitown.
• Sunday, 9/2/07: Cubs-Astros game.

 That’s the plan for now. Feel free to give feedback and suggestions.

Runny

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