Green Bay Packers

NFL Wild Card Playoff Predictions: 4 Games, 4 Stories, 4 Toes and 4 Winners!

We love the NFL playoffs. We crushed them last season and we are taking our winning regular season record into the postseason. We are going to pick all 4 games for you and the trends are easy to spot. You do not stink it up the week before the playoffs against the same opponent and come out strong and you do not beat Tom Brady at home. We are mingling our picks with a Wild Card playoff salute to the Toe of the Camel. On with the picks…

Saturday, January 9, 2010

NY Jets at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5) - You have to love the Cinderella kid Jets. Rex Ryan is calling them a Super Bowl team and playing the disrespect game. The Jets don’t get none! This line opened at Bungles -4 and is now down to -2.5 and during this time period 63% of the money is on the Bungles. Trap City!!! Do not fall for it. Vegas is begging for you to take the Bungles. The Bungles were the feel good team but have not been the same since Chris Henry died and the Jets have the perfect defense to counteract the Bungles offense. All the Jets need to do is stop the run, easy for them, and keep the ball out of OchoStinko’s hands, easy for Revis to do. The only X factor is the emotional, hot headedness of Mark Dirty Sanchez. If he can keep himself under control, the Jets win this easy. If Dirty gets too fired up and ahead of himself then he can easily throw 4 picks and blow the game. We think the combo of the Vegas trap and the Jets kryptonite effects on the Bungles will make for a straight up win. With that, we are definitely taking the Jets to cover! The story line here is definitely Mark Sanchez.

NY Jets

Bengals
  • Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
  • Bengals are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
  • Bengals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Bengals are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
  • Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4) - Too much is being put into the Cowboys streaks in December and their inability to win postseason games and Wade Phillips track record as a coach. Well as we have seen after a Saints win and back to back shutouts….streaks are made to be broken. The Cowboys are hot right now and the reason is good old fashioned logic, The Cowboys play in the trenches on both sides of the ball. The o-line is holding up and the d-line is playing lights out. These two reasons make it easy to control the line of scrimmage, maximize play-action effectiveness and keep teams on their toes. Now the Eagles. They sucked last week. Showed they have no confidence in their running game and showed that Donovan is zeroed in on D-Jax. You take D-Jax out of the game, you take Donovan out of the game. We think the suckitude of Donovan McNabb is enough to warrant the Cowboys win at this point. Donovan might be playing his last game for the Birds and he knows it. The Philly fans are ready to throw him out of town after he threw his team under the bus again last week. He blamed their loss on the youth and inexperience of the team. How about you make an effing play now and again Donovan? How about you assuming the leadership position on the team? You would think it would be time for you to take responsibility and step up but noooooooo you just blame others and get spoon fed some Chunky soup from Mama McNabb. Try not to vomit on the star this weekend. Cowboys win and cover! The Eagles ATS record in these spots is terrifying. The story will be Donovan McNabb. Will he respond or will he choke?

Eagles

Cowboys
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
  • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • Cowboys are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. NFC.
  • Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC East.
  • Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in January.
  • Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
  • Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games.

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-3) - The story here is simple and is two fold. Will the Patriots respond without W SQUARED (aka Wes Welker) and will anybody ever beat Brady at home in the playoffs. The answers are: They will respond just fine and this Baltimore Ravens team can not win in Gillette Stadium. We initially wanted to go against the Pats in this one but knew better. Here is what everyone thinks and why the money is leaning to the Ravens. The Pats do not have W squared, do not have a dominating defense, will face a Ravens team that will try and run the ball 10,000 times and are an uninspiring 10-6. Easy to bet against them. We however, know better. Brady will refuse to lose. The Pats are running the ball a lot more effectively and have a stable of fresh RBs. Randy Moss will show up to play. The Pats defense is good enough to beat the Ravens at home. We are not concerned in this round of the playoffs. Pats win and cover! We love the head-to-head ATS numbers.

Ravens

Patriots
  • Patriots are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Patriots are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Patriots are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
  • Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
  • Patriots are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
  • Patriots are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
  • Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
  • Patriots are 0-2-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in January.
Head-to-Head
  • Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Ravens are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England.

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals (-1) - The story here is simple. Slim Shady style….will the real Cardinals please stand up. Green Bay crushed the Cards last week. Yes we know the Cards pulled their starters and the loser known as Matt Leinart attempted to play QB in the NFL. However, if you look at who the Cards have played in their last ten games it is amazing they are not a higher seed. The Cards were 6-4 over their last ten games with losses to Green Bay, San Fran, Tennessee and Carolina (but Carolina back on 11/1/2009 when they still sucked). The wins were against the Rams twice, Detroit, Seattle, Bears and the one real win was against the Vikings. So are they this good or did they have the luxury of a joke of a schedule that they still did not perform well under. Also, the Cards were 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games. Green Bay is on an 8 game tear with a 7-1 record and the only loss coming by one point, with no time left on the clock to Pittsburgh. The O-line has come around and the defense is vicious with Charles Woodson having one of the best years of his already impressive career. Aaron Rodgers is playing sick on third downs and in the red zone. Favre who? We think the real Cards are the ones with an injured Boldin and Rogers-Cromartie and the same team that had one big win in their last ten games. This Cards team is not good enough to beat one of the hottest teams in the NFL. We think the Packers win and we are betting the cover!

Green Bay

Cardinals
  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games.
  • Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in January.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cardinals are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
  • Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Enjoy the picks!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

Week 17 Winning NFL Picks: The End of the Road!

RPJ Betting $yndicate - We threw in a loser last week and were 4-5 on the weekend. Our record now stands at 56-48-1. Nothing to get too excited about but it is a winning record. We are not going to pick games for Week 17. Who knows what kind of effort and players you will get this week. Better to avoid it and recoup for the playoffs next week.

Underdog Strategy - Not much going on here last week. This strategy was 8-7-1 and now stands at 125-110-4 on the season. For not using your brain, this is a pretty decent strategy. Underdog is in bold:

Indy +8 at Buffalo

Saints +7 at Panthers

Jags +1.5 at Browns

Bears at Lions +3

Pats +7 at Texans

Steelers at Dolphins +3

Giants +9 at Vikes

49ers at Rams +8

Falcons at Bucs +1.5

Packers +3 at Cards

Chiefs +10 at Broncos

Ravens at Raiders +10.5

Skins +3 at Chargers

Titans at Seahawks +6

Eagles +3 at Cowboys

Bengals +9.5 at Jets

Knockout Pool Strategy - We were back on the winning side last week with the Cards with our second chance pick. Not sure how our league is going to handle the multiple teams that are still left but the Commish will hand out the verdict later in the week. We have our last regular season pick of the season.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Week 14: Tennessee Titans

Week 15: Denver Broncos (losing pick)

Week 16: Arizona Cardinals

Week 17: NY J - E - T - S, Jets, Jets, Jets

Week 16 NFL Winning Picks: Playoff Implications All Around with lucky #7!

Crazy week in NFL. RPJ was a winner, the underdog strategy was a winner but we are sad to say we were knocked out of the winner’s bracket of our knockout pool. We now get lumped into the second chance grouping but will not win major coinage. Very sad. Crazy lines this week. Most of them seem to be 7 points or 14 points and there are a ton of 7-7 teams competing for a playoff spot. Hopefully 7 is our lucky number this week!

RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks - We have been hot lately and we credit the list format. The more analysis we give you the more we lose so now we are relegated to simply telling you what we are going to bet. Two weeks ago we were 8-4 and this past week we were 4-3-1. On the season, RPJ is now 52-43-1. So here is the list of the week:

Buffalo at Atlanta (-9) - We are betting the Falcons to win and cover!

Kansas City at Cincinnati (-14) - We are betting the Bengals to win and cover!

Seattle at Green Bay (-14) - We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!

Houston at Miami (-3) - We are betting Miami to win and cover!

Carolina at NY Giants (-7) - We are betting the Giants to win and cover!

NY Jets at Indianapolis (-5.5) - We are betting the NY Jets to pull the cover!

Denver at Philadelphia (-7) - We are betting Philly to win and cover!

Dallas at Washington (+7) - We are betting Dallas to win and cover!

Minnesota at Chicago (+7) - We are betting the Vikings to win and cover!

The Underdog Strategy - Every time we feel like writing this strategy off, it goes nuts on us. Last week, underdogs were 11-4-1 in the NFL. That is a serious payday. On the season, this strategy is now 117-103-3. It seems to us that when the favorites go on a big run, the following week is a HUGE opportunity to bet the underdogs. Vegas tends to get carried away with their lines. We think this has validity. Underdogs in bold

San Diego (+3) at Tennessee

Buffalo (+9) at Atlanta

Kansas City (+14) at Cincinnati

Oakland (+3) at Cleveland

Seattle (+14) at Green Bay

Houston (+3) at Miami

Carolina (+7) at NY Giants

Jacksonville (+8) at New England

Tampa Bay (+14) at New Orleans

Baltimore (+3) at Pittsburgh

St. Louis (+14) at Arizona

Detroit (+12) at San Francisco

NY Jets at (+5.5) Indiananpolis

Denver (+7) at Philadelphia

Dallas at Washington (+7)

Minnesota at Chicago (+7)

Knockout Pool Strategy - It was a very sad day in RPJ Land last week. Effing Raiders dashed our HUGE payout in the knockout pool. Effing Raiders and their last minute come from behind win against the freakin Denver Broncos, 14 point favorite Denver Broncos, with Jamarcus, 10th string, Russell engineering the come from behind win. Yes we are bitter. Our knockout pool has a second bracket for the losers to keep playing but the payout sucks because it is chopped between all remaining losers when the winner’s bracket ends. Probably end up with $50 even if we win and that blows. So based on this we are still picking.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Week 14: Tennessee Titans

Week 15: Denver Broncos (losing pick)

Week 16: Arizona Cardinals

Week 15 NFL Winning Picks: We will make you more money than Tiger Woods paid his Mistresses!!! And that is a lot!

RPJ Betting $yndicate - We predicted the exact truth once again, we lost our first game of the week. Jags almost had it but did not come through in the end. Kudos to Peyton & Co. We are now 48-40 on the season. We have a ton of games for you once again. Last week we simply listed them out and went 8-4 so we are not going to mess with what works. If you want any detailed insight, feel free to use our matchup tool on our website or contact us directly via email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com or sign up for our Facebook and/or Twitter feeds (top right of this website) and get in touch with us that way. On with the picks:

Not anymore Tiger!!!

Not anymore Tiger!!!

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-11) - We like the Ravens to win and cover

New England (-7) at Buffalo Bills - We like the Patriots to win and cover

Arizona Cardinals (-13) at Detroit Lions - we like the Lions to pull the cover

Atlanta Falcons at NY Jets (-6) - We like the Jets to win and cover

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) - We like the Eagles to win and cover

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-14) - We like the Broncos to win and cover

Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers (-7) - We like the Bengals to cover

Underdog Strategy - Underdog strategy was 7-9 last week and is now 106-99-2 on the season. Team in bold is the underdog.

Dallas Cowboys (+8) New Orleans Saints

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) - Already have one underdog loser.

Chicago Bears (+11) at Baltimore Ravens

New England at Buffalo Bills (+7)

Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions (+13)

Cleveland Browns (+2) at Kansas City Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons (+6) at NY Jets

San Francisco 49ers (+7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

Houston Texans at St. Louis Rams (+12.5)

Miami Dolphins (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans

Oakland Raiders (+14) at Denver Broncos

Cincinnati Bengals (+7) at San Diego Chargers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Green Bay Packers (+2) at Pittsburgh Steelers

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+9)

NY Giants at Washington Redskins (+3)

Rich Mistress Jamie Jungers

Rich Mistress Jamie Jungers

Knockout Pool Strategy - Our knockout pool is down to 11 people and we have a bad feeling all 11 are going to take our pick this week. For us, it is a huge no brainer to bet on the Denver Broncos to beat the bag out of the Raiders at home. We would not be surprised if this game was over in the first 5 minutes.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Week 14: Tennessee Titans

Week 15: Denver Broncos

NFL Week 14 Winning Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: Unleash the Hell!

RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. Only one game tonight and we will be back later in the week with the rest of our weekend picks.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-9.5) at Cleveland Browns - Accuscore is calling for a Steelers 23-13 win tonight. We like how they are thinking but we are not sure the Browns will be able to put up 13 points tonight in the snow. After Mike Tomlin’s now famous unleash hell comments the Steelers responded with a freakish loss at home to the Raiders. If you watched that game you know that the football gods screwed with the Steelers just like the god did when the Raiders beat the Bengals by freak plays. We do think the Steelers will unleash hell and we would not be surprised to see them win out. Big Ben is back, Mendenhall looks good, Holmes and Wallace will fill in just fine for a banged up Hines Ward tonight. Remember what this game is, the defending Super Bowl champs are playing the Browns. The 1-11 Browns. The Brady Quinn led Browns and we all know that no good QBs come out of Notre Dame since Joe Montana. Notre Dame’s season may be over but we will still find ways to rip them. Cleveland’s D is atrocious. They give up twice the rushing yards that Pittsburgh does and they gave up 26 points a game, which is 4th worst in the league. We think Pittsburgh does unleash hell tonight, even in the snow. We are betting Pittsburgh to win and cover!!

Pittsburgh

Cleveland
  • Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 14.
  • Browns are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Browns are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
  • Browns are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Head-to-Head
  • Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
  • Steelers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
  • Favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Underdog Strategy - Another big week out of the underdog strategy. Last week it was 10-6 and now sits at 99-90-2. This is not great but just remember: A) this is a winning strategy and B) all this is is picking the underdog every week. You would not have become rich doing this but you would have won more than lost. Underdogs in bold:

Pittsburgh at Cleveland (+9.5)

New Orleans at Atlanta (+10.5)

Detroit (+13.5) at Baltimore

Green Bay at Chicago (+3)

Seattle (+6) at Houston

Denver (+7) at Indianapolis

Miami (+3) at Jacksonville

Buffalo at Kansas City - Pick em

Cincinnati (+6.5) at Minnesota

Carolina (+13.5) at New England

NY Jets at Tampa Bay (+3)

St. Louis (+13) at Tennessee

Washington at Oakland (+1)

San Diego (+3) at Dallas

Philadelphia (+1) at NY Giants

Arizona at San Francisco (+3.5)

We love the Tiger Woods Ho Patrol: This is another one that worked in porn: Miss Holly Sampson

We love the Tiger Woods Ho Patrol: This is another one that worked in porn: Miss Holly Sampson

Knockout Pool Strategy - We picked another winner for you and remain alive in our high stakes knockout pool. Problem for us is we still have 16 smart players alive in ours and we actually think we might pick winners all the way through the end of the season. Never has the NFL been more predictable amongst the elite versus bad teams.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Week 14: Tennessee Titans

NFL Week 13 Free Winning Picks: Straight Cash Homey!!!

RPJ $yndicate Picks - After going 5-4 last week, we are now 37-32 on the season. We still have a few weeks to show some improvement and all this really shows is if you take our our 5-0 week we are simply 500 on the season. We went on a late season surge with our NCAA picks and we plan on doing the same here.

Sunday December 6, 2009

Philadelphia (-5) at Atlanta - What is the over/under on Michael Vick references in this game. Probably enough to make us vomit in our mouths. This game is the culmination of horrible injuries for the Falcons. No Matt Ryan, if he plays Michael Turner will not be effective and starting guard Harvey Dahl went out last week. Yes, the Falcons won the game but they only rushed for 75 yards against the #32 rushing defense at the time. The Eagles are always capable of putting a beat down on somebody. We know the Eags are fighting their own injuries (Westbrook, their secondary and D Jax) but the Eagles have been here before. When they need somebody to step up, they step up. Grab Avant this week if you need a WR in fantasy football. So coming in to this game knowing Atlanta is banged up on offense, they really do not want to face the Eagles defense, which is a lot better than Atlanta’s. We also love the fact that the Falcons have the second worst defensive 3rd down conversion percentage. They let teams convert 3rd downs 47% of the time. That is horrific. We are betting the Eagles to win and cover big!

Philadelphia

Atlanta
  • Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
  • Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Falcons are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Head-to-Head
  • Eagles are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
  • Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Oakland at Pittsburgh (-14.5) - Big Ben back, Raiders still suck. Final score prediction 35-3. NEXT!!!

The Saints made me their Bitch!!!

The Saints made me their Bitch!!!

New England at Miami (+4) - This is a bizarre game on paper because when we look at the stats we look at and see one team ahead in the relevant stats by a wide margin we call that a clean sweep game, a no brainer! In this game, Miami is that team. Just to highlight a couple of them: Miami runs for more than 40 yards more per game, 6/10ths more per rush, converts offensive third downs 4 percentage points better and gives up less rushing yards, yards per rush and 3rd down conversions on defense. What does this all mean? It means Miami is the perfect antithesis of the Pats and should be able to control the clock and keep this game close. That is what we are banking on. We are betting the Dolphins to cover!

New England

Miami
  • Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East.
  • Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
  • Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Minnesota (-3) at Arizona - Favre is playing out of his 40 year old head right now and we are not going to stand in his way. Warner might not have a head left to play with. He is battling concussions. Leinart played OK last week and fell victim to insanity by Vincy Young once again but we do not expect him to be able to compete against the Vikings defense. Also, if Warner does play, we are not convinced he will last the game. He is Mr. Fragile at this stage of his career. Some of the numbers we like include the Vikes running the ball better and converting 48.7% of their 3rd downs compared to 35.6% for the Cards. This is a huge advantage. Next thing for the Cards, they give up 4.53 yards per rush. So besides Favre playing out of his head, we would not be surprised to see A-Pete top the 200 yard mark in this game and Favre go nuts on play action pass all day long. Long day in store for the Cards. We are betting the Vikings to win and cover!
Minnesota
  • Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Vikings are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
  • Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Arizona
  • Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
  • Cardinals are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
  • Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
  • Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
  • Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 13.
Head-to-Head
  • Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Baltimore at Green Bay (-3) - We did not expect this but Green Bay, like we explained for Miami, is another clean sweep team. They look better statistically in all the right places against the Ravens. We are not worried about Green Bay’s line because the Ravens only have 21 sacks on the season and have numerous injuries on the defensive side of the ball. This is a winnable game for the Pack and we expect Aaron Rodgers to remain hot. We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!!!

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy bombed last week to end what was one hell of a tear. On the season this strategy is now 89-84-2. Pretty interesting that all you have to do is bet every underdog and you come out with a winning record. Underdogs in bold:

NY Jets at Buffalo (+3.5) - Bills lose

Philadelphia at Atlanta (+5)

Tampa Bay (+5.5) at Carolina

St. Louis (+9.5) at Chicago

Detroit (+13) at Cincinnati

Tennessee (+6.5) at Indianapolis

Houston at Jacksonville - No action due to pick em

Denver at Kansas City (+5)

Oakland (+14.5) at Pittsburgh

New Orleans at Washington (+9.5)

New England at Miami (+4)

San Diego at Cleveland (+13.5)

Dallas at NY Giants (+2.5)

San Francisco at Seattle - No action due to pick em

Minnesota at Arizona (+3)

Baltimore (+3) at Green Bay

Knockout Pool - We are still rocking along here. Our knockout pool is down to 17 people. Hopefully you are still alive in yours. We caught some guff this week from some of you knockout pool players, saying our strategy is dumb and we need to chart out our picks. Well we stick our nose up at you. Our strategy is simple, Take the opening lines of the week and pick the home team with the highest line. So for you naysayers, we are still here winning and guess what? We get to play the Colts this week!

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Week 13: Indianapolis Colts

Free NFL Week 12 Picks: Happy Turkey Day! We are sinking our teeth into some meaty breasts, legs and thighs!!!

RPJ Bets of the Day: We were only 2-2 last week and now stand at 32-28 on the season. We have been streaky, either coming in around 500 or blowing out the weekend with a 5-0 pick. We are going to kick off turkey day with a tribute to fleshy meat and pick three games on the day. We will be back on Saturday with the rest of our picks.

Green Bay at Detroit (+10.5) - This is definitely a scary line. The Lions fought admirably last week and pulled the W against the Browns. They ended up smashing up their two best players in Stafford and Megatron; both are doubtful for tomorrow. You never know what you will get with Green Bay but it appears that their O-line is coming together and they pulled nice wins at home against Dallas and San Francisco. Then you look at this series and you realize that Green Bay has covered in 6 of the last 7. We are scared of the 10.5 points but we think the best team will win and will win big. We are taking Green Bay to win and cover!

Green Bay

Detroit
  • Lions are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games in November.
  • Lions are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC.
  • Lions are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
  • Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Lions are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf.
  • Lions are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games.
  • Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
  • Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Head-to-Head
  • Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Oakland at Dallas (-13.5) - Nothing like betting against the Raiders on Thanksgiving Day. Something the whole family can enjoy together; even your crazy Uncle Joe will get on board. One thing is consistent this year with the Raiders and that is the fact that they follow up every win with a huge loss. Beat KC 13-10, lose 23-3 at home to Denver; beat the Eagles 13-9 and lose to the Jets 38-0; beat the Bengals 20-17 and lose to the Cowboys 56-3. Well we filled in the last score but we have no reason to think otherwise. We do not think this game will be close at any point. Also, the betting public is demented on this one based on last week’s results. 54% of the money is on the Raiders at time of print. We look at a team’s body of work in the NFL and do not focus on the game to game. Do not bet with the public in this game. We are betting the Cowboys to win and cover!!!

Oakland

Dallas
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
  • Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.
  • Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in November.
  • Cowboys are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
  • Cowboys are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games on fieldturf.

NY Giants at Denver (+6) - Get on the bus. It is pick on Denver Broncos time. Not only has Denver lost 4 in a row, they have lost 4 in a row ATS. Their smallest margin of loss over this stretch was 10 points to the lowly Washington Redskins. The Broncos lost to Pittsburgh at home by 18, lost to San Diego at home by 29 and will lose to the Giants by a margin larger than 6 points. Also, during this 4 game losing stretch, the Broncos were outgained on the ground by 88, 54, 146 and 59. Now the Giants come to town and will continue this domination. The Giants had their own 4 game losing streak but broke through last week against the Falcons. We will look for them to keep rolling. We are betting the Giants to win and cover!!!

NY Giants

Denver
  • Broncos are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 7-15 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
  • Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.
  • Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 12.
  • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy nailed another huge weekend. It was 10-5-1 and is now 83-74-2 on the season. Just a few weeks ago this thing was many games under 500 and we almost stopped tracking it. These late season underdogs are really helping Vegas make their money back. If you have been getting burned betting on the favorites then switch to this. It has nailed it for the last month. Underdogs in bold.

Green Bay at Detroit (+10.5)

Oakland (+13.5) at Dallas

NY Giants at Denver (+6)

Tampa Bay (+12) at Atlanta

Miami at Buffalo (+3)

Cleveland (+14) At Cincinnati

Indianapolis at Houston (+3)

Carolina (+3) at NY Jets

Washington (+9) at Philadelphia

Seattle at St. Louis (+3)

Kansas City (+13.5) at San Diego

Jacksonville (+3) at San Francisco

Arizona at Tennessee - no line yet

Chicago (+10.5) at Minnesota

Pittsburgh at Baltimore - No line yet

New England (+3) at New Orleans

Knockout Pool Strategy - We are getting closer and closer to having a winner in our big knockout pool. We can smell the $$$$$ coming our way. With just a few upsets more we will be good to go. This week is a solid time to take the Bengals. Bengals are coming off the dreadful Oakland trip, just ask Philly about that one, and the Browns are coming off a deflating, season busting loss to the Lions. Week 13 here we come.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals

Free NFL Week 11 Winning Picks: Time to separate the men from the boys!

The NFL is gearing up for an awesome second half of the season. Will the Saints and Colts go undefeated? Will the Benglas win their division? How many more superstars will get knocked out: Westbrook, Turner, Ronnie Brown, etc… How many more gay slurs can Larry Johnson fit in the rest of the season? Should be a great rest of the season.

RPJ Syndicate Picks: We were 6-3 last week and are now 30-26 on the season. These are our straight picks and we are really zeroing in on the NFL right now.

Washington at Dallas (-10.5) - Cowboys laid a big fat egg in Green Bay last week. The Redskins scored more than 17 points for the first time this season and won a game. Only reason they won was because Orton was knocked out but that is inconsequential. The Cowboys will not pull a dud against an NFC East foe. No way, no how.  The Skins have only covered 1 of their last 4 and the Cowboys have only not covered 1 in their last 4 and both were last week. Look for a fired up Cowboys team to take it to the Skins. The Skins Defense did not respond until Orton was knocked out of the game. Trust Flash Flash, he was there, the Skins are terrible and the Cowboys are not as bad as they looked. On top of that, the Cowboys win a statistical sweep of the important metrics we track and should be able to run the ball up and down the field and keep the Skins offense off the field. We are looking for a game along the lines of 27-10. We are betting the Cowboys to win and cover!!

Washington

Dallas
  • Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
  • Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
  • Cowboys are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Atlanta at NY Giants (-6.5) - The Giants have not won a game since playing Oakland on October 11, losing 4 in a row. It is amazing how Oakland’s power of Suck transferred to the Giants and have brought them down as well. The Giants loss to the Chargers was heartbreaking and they had the bye week to let their skid really sink in. It will be interesting to see how the G-men respond. tom Coughlin made the San Diego game a “must win” game and they did not win. The Giants are a professional bunch and any team with a Manning on it is pretty much guaranteed to compete so that brings us to the Falcons. The Falcons lost Michael Turner last week and that is a major blow. Snelling, his replacement averaged about 3 yards a carry last week and Norwood is still banged up. Ryan is having some growing pains this season and the Giants nasty pass rush is not one to help reverse any struggles. The Giants will be too much for the Falcons to handle right now. We are betting the Giants to win and cover!!!

Atlanta

Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 11.

NY Giants

Seattle at Minnesota (-10.5) - Favre is having one hell of a season, Childress signed an extension, A-Pete is running wild, Jared Allen is racking up sacks; things are good in Minnesota right now. Seattle has lost 3 of 4 ATS with the lone win against lowly Detroit. Also, in case you did not notice, Seattle has not covered on the road this season. Going to Minnesota two weeks after the Vikes bye and one week after the Detroit game will be difficult. The Vikes will be fresh and ready to roll. We do not think Seattle has a chance in this game. Minnesota wins and covers!!!
Seattle
  • Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
  • Seahawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
  • Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
  • Seahawks are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
  • Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Minnesota
  • Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.
  • Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

New Orleans (-11) at Tampa Bay - We really like to torture ourselves. As soon as we got on the Saints bandwagon, they go and lose three ATS in a row to the likes of Atlanta, Carolina and St. Louis. C’mon now Saints!!! Well we are going back to the well again this week. The Saints owe us per se. Tampa Bay is hot right now as well. They beat Green Bay and should have beat Miami last week. We know they donot have the fire power to compete with the Saints and we expect their rookie QB to make some mistakes pressing the action. Sharper pick 6 anybody? So now we are going to look at some stats so you do not think we are betting out of spite, maybe a little spite, but not a lot of spite. Saints run for more than 50 yards more per game, 4.7 versus 4.0 yards per rush per game, complete 47% of their 3rd down conversions to the Bucs 30% and the Bucs D gives up 167 yards per game on the ground (2nd worst in the league), 4.9 yards per rush and lets teams convert 42% of their third down attempts. Also, the Bucs D only has 17 sacks on the season so they will not get to Brees. This will be a long, rude, awakening for Tampa Bay. The Saints win and cover!

New Orleans

Tampa Bay
  • Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Buccaneers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Buccaneers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Buccaneers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
  • Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
  • Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay.
  • Road team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Underdog Strategy: The underdog strategy is freakin on fire. The underdog strategy was 10-5 last week and is now 73-69-1 on the season. This thing has been hot. Right when we were going to write this strategy off it turned real fast and is now crushing it. Underdog is in bold.

Miami (+3) at Carolina - Already 1-0 this week

Indianapolis at Baltimore (+2)

Washington (+10.5) at Dallas

Cleveland (+3.5) at Detroit

San Francisco (+6.5) at Green Bay

Buffalo (+9) at Jacksonville

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (+10)

Seattle (+10.5) at Minnesota

Atlanta (+6.5) at NY Giants

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+11)

Arizona at St. Louis (+9.5)

San Diego at Denver - no line yet

NY Jets (+10.5) at New England

Cincinnati at Oakland (+9.5)

Philadelphia at Chicago (+3)

Tennessee (+4.5) at Houston

Knockout Pool Strategy: Hopefully you are like us right now and still alive in your knockout pool. We are down to about 20-25 people in ours and we are feeling good about the NFL right now. We love our pick this week. Remember the basic rules for your knockout pool. 1) Never bet on a road team 2) never save teams for later in the season. All you need to do is pick the team with the highest opening line that is playing at home. We know some people will take Detroit this week to try and get lucky. We say good luck. There is no reason to ever select a terrible team.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars

Free NFL Week 10 Winning Picks: We will make you so much money you will be wiping your arse with cash! And the Colin Cowherd NFL bet of the year!

RPJ $yndicate Picks - We were 2-2 last week and are now 24-23 on the season. Monday night football saved us from a downer weekend. In rare form, we are coming at you with a large amount of picks this week. Sometimes it is just a perfect mix of systems and we bet heavy on the weekend. This is one of those weekends. We are coming at these games hard and expecting our best weekend yet. We are going to wipe our ass with money this week!!!

Tampa Bay at Miami (-10) - On paper this game looks really ugly. We know Tampa is coming off a nice home win but they still do not have a good defense, do not have any good skill players and do not have much of anything else. Miami should really dominate this game. The Fins rush for half a yard more per rush, 55 more rushing yards per game, is 20% better converting offensive third downs, Tampa gives up 163 yards rushing per game (3rd worst in the league), gives up 4.8 yards per rush and is just terrible all around. The creamsicle unis will not work this week. This is actually Colin Cowherd’s NFL bet of the season. He rarely bets on NFL Games and he said on his show today that he called Vegas and was putting a lot of money on this game. He loves Miami, says they are the second most physical team in the league to the Steelers and the Bucs are the worst team in the NFL. We agree on all accounts. We are betting the Dolphins to win and cover with confidence!!!

Detroit at Minnesota (-16.5) - Minnesota at home coming off a bye against Detroit. This is a lot of points but a rested Vikings D will cause all sorts of problems for the Lions and a rested Vikes’ O-line will open up wide lanes for A-Pete and give Favre all the time he needs. Detroit gives up 4.65 yards per rush. That is a recipe for a loss if we ever heard one. Vikes have 30 sacks, Detroit has given up 26. Heard enough yet? We are taking Minnesota to win and cover this monster number!

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (-7) - Cincy has not had much luck against their hated rivals in years past. This is the same place where Carson Palmer shredded his knee a couple of seasons ago. However, this Bengals team is like none we’ve seen in recent years. Their D gets after it and they are running the ball very, very well. They will need to do it again this week to beat the Steelers at home. The teams have identical records (6-2). The Bengals are undefeated on the road. The Steelers are undefeated at home. What will give? We think the Bengals will cover if not win outright. The Bengals want this game more. In fact, this is probably the game they had circled on their calendars all year. Carson Palmer looks great and he is locked in with Ochocinco. That spells trouble for the Steelers secondary. They key to this game will be the Bengals receivers against the secondary of the Steelers. We think they can handle Pittsburgh and Ochocinco should have a solid game. That will free up room for Cedric Benson to run between the tackles. Also, consider that the road team in this match-up is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Take the Bengals and the points.

New Orleans (-13.5) at St. Louis - We are still on the Saints bandwagon even though they have lost two covers in a row for us. We are going to get on this horse one more time. Three times is the charm right? Only thing that has us a little nervous is that the Saints D gives up 4.5 yards per rush on defense. Remember what DeAngelo Williams and Stewart did against the Saints. However, we think the Saints will get up early and pour it on and this will limit the Rams running game. Yes we said that last week but this week we think there is a better chance of a 2 TD win. We are betting the Saints to win and cover!

Buffalo at Tennessee (-6.5) - Jump on the Vince Young bandwagon. Vince Young is a winner! Tennessee has covered in both of their wins the last two weeks. We just do not know what the Bills have going on for them Trent Edwards is back but there will be no TO in the lineup. This game is going to be all about the ball control and that favors the Titans in a big way. Tennessee runs for 50 more yards per game and is averaging 5.4 yards per rush. That is sick for a team with a 2-6 record. Now you combine those Tennessee rushing stats against Buffalo’s defense and your money will be flowing to the Titans. The Bills give up 174 yards per game on the ground (worst in the league) and teams are running at a 5.2 yards per run clip. We are betting Tennessee to win and cover!!!

Seattle at Arizona (-8.5) - No Super Bowl hangover for this bunch. The Cards are nasty. Zona had their mini blip against the Panthers but they have been solid. Warner absolutely destroyed the Bears in Chicago. and has covered 4 of their last 5 ATS in general. The Cards defense is not playing that badly as well and we look for that to be the big difference maker in this game. The Cards defense is good against the run and excellent in preventing opposing offenses from converting third downs. They are actually best in the league in that category. We are betting the Cards to win and cover!

Dallas (-3) at Green Bay - Dallas is hot and Green Bay is not. The Packers can not get out of the way of their offensive line injuries and Dallas and D. Ware will tee it up against them. Rodgers is banged up and we would not be surprised if he does not make it through this game. Dallas is on a hot streak, winning 4 in a row and covering three in a row. Packers fought hard against the Vikings and then tanked it last week against the Bucs. We like the Pack but not with their patch work line right now. Look for Dallas to exploit all of Green Bay’s weaknesses. You can not give up 37 sacks through 8 games and survive the season. We are betting Dallas to win and cover!

New England at Indianapolis (-3) - As much as we have a man crush on Peyton Manning and the Colts we think this is where their winning streak comes to an end. Tom Brady looks like he has sanded off his early season rust, they are running again and Randy Moss is making big plays. The Pats have played a brutal early season schedule and has taken care of business to the tune of 6-2. New England started the year 3-2 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. Tom Brady didn’t look comfortable with his receivers and opponents didn’t seem to have much trouble slowing down the Pats’ offense. But over their last three games, the Patriots are 3-0 and have outscored their opponents 121-24. These teams look pretty similar on paper and we expect a great game but we think the Pats are the hotter, more complete team right now. We are betting the Pats to cover and will probably play the money line on top of taking the points!

Baltimore (-10.5) at Cleveland - Nothing like Monday Night Football and the Cleveland Browns to snap a decent team out of a losing 4 out of 5 funk. We are still not sure how the Browns ever beat Buffalo and the amazing thing is that the Browns have a QB rating around 40!!!! That is even worse than the Raiders. This game really needs zero analysis because we know the Ravens Defense will play into the MNF effect and be fired up. Browns have zero chance. We are betting Baltimore to win and cover!!!

Underdog Strategy - This strategy kicked ass last week going 10-3. After a slow and erratic start this plan has rebounded and is almost 500. The strategy sits at 63-64-1. All we do here is track what would happen if we bet on every single underdog each week. As dumb as this sounds there are some seasons where this pays off huge. Underdogs are in bold.

Chicago (+3) at San Francisco

Atlanta at Carolina (+2)

Tampa Bay (+10) at Miami

Detroit (+16.5) at Minnesota

Jacksonville (+7) at NY Jets

Cincinnati (+7) at Pittsburgh

New Orleans at St. Louis (+13.5)

Buffalo (+6.5) at Tennessee

Denver at Washington (+3.5)

Kansas City (+1.5) at Oakland

Seattle (+8.5) at Arizona

Dallas at Green Bay (+3)

Philadelphia (+2) at San Diego

New England (+3) at Indianapolis

Baltimore at Cleveland (+10.5)

Knockout Pool Strategy - Seattle had us nervous last week after a lackluster first half but we kept our streak alive. Here is our history and our Week 10 pick. You gotta love that we still have some of the best teams in the league alive for the home stretch. We can smell a huge payday!!!

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Week 10: Minnesota Vikings

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NFL Winning Picks Week 9: Slim Pickings so we salute you..Mr. I love cleavage sports bettor!

On the season we are now 22-21. We gave away our early season gains and have been in a rut the last two weeks. Last week was flat out terrible but we will recover. We did go 5-0 earlier in the season.

RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. We sucked it up at 1-4 last weekend but feel good about our picks this week. We normally want to come back strong after a terrible showing but we only have three picks for you this week.

Carolina at New Orleans (-13) - We are jumping right back on the Saints bandwagon. We jinxed them last week but are ready for a rebound. Thirteen points is definitely a lot and Carolina is coming off a nice win against a hot Cardinals team. We think this is mismatch city. Carolina will try to run the ball, will get behind, will start to press and Jake Delhomme will go pick 6 to Sharper. The Saints can score and the Saints defense is nasty. Saints win and cover!

Detroit at Seattle (-10) - We seem to pick a lot of these games. Lions are bad, really bad. Lose to the Rams bad. Megatron is banged up, they either have a turnover machine in Culpepper or a rookie in Stafford out there. They really do not have much talent. Not like Seattle is a superstar but they are strong enough on defense and with Hasselback under center they at least have a fighter’s chance to score some points. Seahawks will be too much. Seattle wins and covers!

Dallas at Philadelphia (-3) - Both teams are hot but Philly has the defense to get Romo throwing those interceptions again. Miles Austin is tearing it up but who did he go against. Now he will go against Asante Samuels and they Eags secondary and it will be a different story. The line is saying these teams are basically even. We disagree. At this point in the season, the Eagles have been far more impressive on their current run. Do not buy into the Cowboys in this situation. Eagles win and cover!

Underdog Strategy - Every time we threaten to stop tracking the underdog strategy it produces a winner. Last week the underdog strategy was 8-5 and now sits at 53-61-1 on the season. All we track here is what would happen if you bet the underdog every single week. Underdog in bold.

Washington (+9) at Atlanta

Arizona (+3) at Chicago

Baltimore at Cincinnati (+3)

Houston (+9) at Indianapolis

Kansas City (+6.5) at Jacksonville

Green Bay at Tampa Bay (+10)

Miami (+11) at New England

Carolina (+13) at New Orleans

Detroit (+10) at Seattle

San Diego (+4.5) at NY Giants

Tennessee (+4.5) at San Francisco

Dallas (+3) at Philadelphia

Pittsburgh at Denver (+3)

Knockout Pool Strategy -This is pretty simple. We have been advising people that play in a knockout pool. All you need to do is pick one team to win and if you win that game you can not use that team again. We are still alive in our knockout pools and hope you are as well.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Chicago Bears

Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 7: New England Patriots

Week 8: San Diego Chargers

Week 9: Seattle Seahawks

Enjoy the picks!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook