Horned Frogs
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks: TCU versus Boise State
Couple of things….if you have not become a fan of our page on Facebook you need to do so ASAP. Within Facebook, search all for RPJ Betting Syndicate and it will lead you to our page and you can become a fan there. Why become a fan you ask? Because we post all of the pics that appear on this website so you can go to one easy spot and see the hot babies. Second, you need to start using our website to check out the live odds and matchup analysis tools through our relationship with Bodog. We can be your free one stop shop for all things betting. Last but not least, if you are not betting through Bodog you are missing out. That is all we will say. On with the picks….
Here is our bowl record to date:
RPJ is 1-1
Runny is 3-1
Flash is 1-1
RPJ Math is 3-2
TCU (-3 OVER/UNDER 46) versus Boise State
We think we found Natalie Holloway. 2nd Chick from the left.
RPJ is taking TCU and here is why: Boise State did not bust the BCS dance this year even though they went undefeated. The knock on Boise is that they did not face any elite competition this year and they only played one ranked team; an Oregon team they did beat on the road. TCU is flat out nasty on defense and has a well balanced offense. TCU’s defense is second in scoring in the nation and the best against the run. They even held Oklahoma to 25 yards rushing. TCU has held 8 opponents to ten points or fewer. Guess who gets to challenge this defense…a freshman QB. TCU is a little more efficient on offense and defense but the easily win the turnover margin battle. TCU is 6-1 since losing to Oklahoma and 5-2 ATS over that time. Boise State is undefeated and is 4-2-1 ATS in their last 7. Boise State also wins the travel advantage contest. Here are the ATS numbers:
TCU
Boise State
This should be an awesome game. The only thing betting wise that we can see that favors Boise is the fact that they travel less to get to this game. The ATS numbers do support both teams and we are definitely nervous TCU will be without its best defensive player and we have the same arrogant pick juju we had in the TCU versus Utah game. We are sticking to our guns though. We are taking TCU to win and cover!
RPJ Math is Selecting TCU
RPJ Pic of the Day
Kayleigh Pearson
Runny and Flash
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!
Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)
Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season
Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!
Brad Pitt must hit that hard! Angelina Jolie needs to be naked always!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:
Illinois
Northwestern
Head-to-Head
-
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!
Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:
Duke
Virginia Tech
There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!
BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:
BYU
Utah
We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon State
Arizona
Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.
#9 is Fine!!!
This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?
Hut Hut Hike!
Here are the ATS numbers:
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Head-to-Head
-
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.
Yes, She is a TT student!
Flash Flash Picks
Megan Fox is always a fan favorite!
Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.
NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks
Some Shania for Nashville
Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.
Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!
Good luck this weekend!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 11 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Utah Becomes the Next Thursday Night Victim
Nate Davis burned us last night. Thought Northern Illinois could keep him in check better then they did, although they did a nice job in the 1st quarter. With our Wednesday night loss, RPJ is now 32-38-2 on the season. We have two picks for you tonight!
Yeah we gave away our pick in the title. This is a no brainer game for bettors.
TCU (-2) at Utah - TCU has one loss this year and it was to Oklahoma. They destroyed BYU and will take their nasty defense and running attack on the road to play Utah. TCU ranks third in the nation in scoring defense (10.8 points per game), and second in total defense (214.5 ypg). Its run defense, which leads the nation with 38.9 yards allowed per game, will be tested by a Utah team that has rushed for 520 yards over its last two games. The Horned Frogs, who have won five straight games by an average of 28.4 points since a 35-10 loss to then-No. 2 Oklahoma on Sept. 27, limited UNLV to 175 total yards in Saturday’s 44-14 victory. Also, we are very cognizant that TCU has lost four of its last meetings in Utah and that scares us but this TCU team will not have a let down. They are physical and nasty and control their own destiny because they got through BYU and only have one game left after this one, a winnable game against Air Force. Two wins and TCU writes their own BCS ticket. The ATS numbers:
TCU
- Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Horned Frogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Horned Frogs are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Horned Frogs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
- Horned Frogs are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Horned Frogs are 13-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Utah
- Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Utes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
- Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Utes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Utes are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Utes are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
This TCU team has witnessed Utah winning the last two years and will be ready to exact revenge. We think Utah’s offense is getting a bit stale; New Mexico showed that last week. Utah has been living dangerously close to multiple loses this year. Check out these scores. 13-10 at New Mexico, 31-28 vs. Oregon State, 30-23 at Air Force, 25-23 at Michigan. TCU on the other hand has only had one flukey game this year, a 13-7 win at Colorado State the week before the BYU game. We will chalk that one up as a look ahead game. We love this game. TCU wins big and easily!
They get better every day!
Maryland at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 42) - The fighting turtles scare the crap out of us and have burned us all year. How in the hell is NCAA football so bad the the Terps are ranked 21st in the country. This is literally the same Terps team that was shut out by Virginia and lost to Middle Tennessee State. We hate them so we are going to do what we do best, not worry about the outcome of the game and focus on the amount of points scored. Check these numbers out:
Maryland
- Under is 7-0 in Terrapins last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Terrapins last 6 conference games.
- Under is 8-2 in Terrapins last 10 Thursday games.
- Under is 4-1 in Terrapins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-6 in Terrapins last 27 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Terrapins last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 10-4 in Terrapins last 14 games overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Terrapins last 10 games following a bye week.
Virginia Tech
What is the spread?
- Under is 7-0 in Hokies last 7 Thursday games.
- Under is 7-1 in Hokies last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in Hokies last 12 home games.
- Under is 17-4 in Hokies last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 12-5 in Hokies last 17 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Looks just like our lovely Northern Illinois team. Under, under, Under. We do not even know who will be playing QB for Va. Tech. Both guys are hurt and their offense was not that good to begin with. Next throw in that Maryland’s star RB, Da’Rel Scott was injured and is banged up and a bad offense just got worse. No further explanation needed. We are betting the UNDER 42 in this game! Ralph Friedgen is still fat!
RPJ Hot Chick of the Day
Trish Stratus We Love You!
Good luck with your picks.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate
First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,
Who wants to floss with my thong?
It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…
RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:
Eastern Michigan
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.
Bowling Green
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.
It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:
Central Michigan
Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.
Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.
Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.
Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Toledo
Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!
Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!
Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!
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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:
Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.
Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.
Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.
Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.
And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….
Over, over, over, over, over!!!
The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!
Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.
We really went to the wrong college. God Bless SEC girls!!!
LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!
Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:
Baylor
Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.
Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….
Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.
It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.
Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)
I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1
Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:
- Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
- Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
- Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
- Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.
Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2
Green = Ass for the Cash!!!
Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:
Colorado State
Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.
SDSU
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Head-to-Head
Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.
Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!
Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3
3 Asses to end my triple play!
Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:
- Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
- Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
- Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.
Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!
Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)
Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas.
Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.
Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.
Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.
Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.
BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.
Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.
Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.
Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.
UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU. Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.
South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash and Runny
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Introducing The Wizard
We always say we are here for our fans and to make our readers as much money as possible. This post comes from one of our readers and regular posters….The Wizard. He emails us on the side and has provided his insight on some of our picks. This week we are giving him his own post, with picture and all. From Wizard:
These are the games that I like coming up. The ones that I really like, I will put a $$$ on it.
Illinois (4-3) -1 at Wisconsin (3-4)
The defensive number are about the same, however Illinois offense averages 100yds more than Wisconsin. Illinois runs the spread option which is hard to defend. Illinois went to Penn st and only lost by 14. Wisconsin got blown out at home by Penn St and their spread offense. Illinois blew out Michigan, Wisconsin LOST to Michigan. Illinois lost in a shootout to Mizzou. Wisconsin’s starting QB, who was nothing special, is day-to-day with a bum leg.
ILL are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
WISC are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
WISC are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
TAKE ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan (2-6) at No. 22 Ball State (7-0) -24 $$$$$
Ball State scores 37.1 and gives up 15. E.Michigan scores 22 and gives up 31. Ball State has won the last 2 between them by no less than 18. E.Michigan got blown out at home by 24 to Toledo. Ball St went to Toledo and blew them out 31-0. No need for more info after that statement.
EMICH are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
BALL ST are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
BALL ST are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
BALL ST are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass
EMICH are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE BALL STATE FOR BIG MONEY
Wake Forest (4-2) at Miami (4-3) -3
Wake Forest just got blown out and shutout by Maryland for Christ sakes Wake Forest barely got by Clemson and lost to Navy. TAKE MIAMI
Kentucky (5-2) +24.5 at No. 7 Florida (5-1)
Florida is coming off a huge win vs LSU. It’s almost a guarantee that there will be a letdown. Florida hasn’t beaten Kentucky by 24 since 2001. Kentucky has a great defense and it’s rare that an SEC game is a blowout by 24 or more. If you still aren’t sure, tease it up to+30.5. TAKE KENTUCKY AND THE POINTS
No. 5 Oklahoma (6-1) -19 at Kansas State (4-3)
I think Oklahoma wins this big, just a little scared on the 19pts. It minds well be 21pts. I will tease this one down to Oklahoma -13 along with another game. Oklahoma scores 8 points more on offense and gives up 7 less on defense than KState does. Oklahoma is still in the hunt for the Championship so they are going to make sure to blow people out. K State has several DB hurt and hobbling.
OKLA are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
KANST are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
TEASE OKLAHOMA -13 (read below for teaser combo)
UNLV (3-4) at No. 17 Brigham Young -22.5 (6-1)
I am going to tease this one with the Oklahoma game to bring it down to BYU -16.5. BYU gives up 13 ppg and UNLV gives up 33 to teams lest potent than BYU. That looks to me that BYU is gonna score 50+ to put UNLV out of its misery.
UNLV are 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 road games.
BYU are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
BYU are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games on grass.
TEASE BYU DOWN TO -16.5
UCLA (3-4) at California (4-2) -17
The ATS numbers don’t show any advantages, but Common Sense and off/def numbers do.
Cal scores 17 more ppg and gives up 7ppg less on defense than UCLA. I just don’t see how UCLA can hang with Cal for 4 quarters. TAKE CAL
Rutgers (2-5) at No. 20 Pittsburgh (5-1) -8.5
Pittsburgh has been getting better since the opening day lost to Bowling Green. They haven’t lost since and are coming home after 3 straight road W’s. Rutgers has been getting outgained damn near every game. Pitt averages 11pts more per game despite playing on the road for most of the season. I think -8.5 is low. TAKE PITT.
Bowling Green (3-4) at Northern Illinois (4-3) -7.5
Definitely buy this one down to -7. N. Ill has a great defense and a running game. BG can’t stop the run and gives up 12pts more on defense. N. Illinois defense held a very good Toledo to 7pts.
NOILL are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
TAKE N ILLINOIS
Wyoming (2-5) at No. 15 Texas Christian (7-1) -31.5
Wyoming can’t score on sorry defenses. They’ve scored 7,0,7 and 16 pts in the last 4 games. Now they have to go on the road to play one of the best defenses in the nation in TCU who only gives up 9.0 pts a game. I doubt Wyoming scores. I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread is covered by halftime.
WYOM are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games.
WYOM are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall
TAKE TCU
No. 3 Penn State (8-0) -2.5 at No. 10 Ohio State (7-1)
OSU has been the most hyped but falling short of expectations team for years now. Penn State has one of the top defenses and one of the top offenses in the country Pryor is good, but he can’t hang with the Penn offense yet. Penn St averages 20 ppg more than OSU and 2pts less on defense. This will be another big game that OSU falls short.
OHIST are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
TAKE PENN ST
Central Florida (2-4) at No. 19 Tulsa (7-0) -23 $$$
Tulsa has scored 77,37,63,62,56,56,45 and 63 points in every game this season. They have yet to lose the Game or the Yardage battle. They avg 56ppg and Central Florida averages 17.7. they are roughly the same on defense. Central Florida lost to UTEP 13-58. Tulsa blew out UTEP 77-35.
CENFL are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
CENFL are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 road games.
TAKE TULSA and watch for the ovr/under numbers when they come out
No. 25 Minnesota (6-1) +1 at Purdue (2-5)
Minnesota scores 8 more points per game on offense and gives up 8 less on defense than Purdue. Only one of the ATS numbers concern me though, but i think that its just a sign of Purdue having better teams in the past. Adam Weber of Minny doesn’t turn the ball over. Purdue’s QB does. Purdue is horrible against the run and has lost 4 straight.
MINN are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2-1 in PURD last 10 games on field turf.
Under is 27-8-2 in PURD last 37 home games.
PURD are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
MINN are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Favorite is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE MINNY TO WIN
Bring your lunch box and tools, cause you got to work overtime on this ass!
Thanks for your picks and your pic Wizard!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - Thursday Night Revenge of RPJ $yndicate
Well it is really hard to say but we went 2-8-1 in NCAA football last week and that is simply unbearable. Our website coming out party was the biggest bust of our careers. Very disappointing. We would like to just say that it is one of those weeks but we know that to be that bad it hurts too much to pontificate. We SUCKED!!! To make up for it we are going to infuse our picks with heavy doses of hot chicks, round tight arses and huge melons and of course we are going to post our latest picks. So far this year we either win big, win a little or flat out suck and the sucking is killing us right now. Stay with us because our next winning weekend is right around the corner and we know we will not totally suck it like we did last week for a very long time. Also, please let us know if we are on the right track by overloading you with chicks when we pull a weekend Suckfest. We are here to serve and entertain our loyal readers.
On the season we are:
RPJ $yndicate - 24-25-2
Flash Flash - 7-4
Runny Pelvis - 16-19-2
We have opinions on both Thursday night games and we will even have a post for the Hawaii/Boise State game. No time like the present to make money back.
A little something to get you warmed up and excited for these picks.
Peek a boo!!!
Florida State at NC State (+11) - Both of these teams are coming off byes and both appear to be moving in different directions. FSU won at Miami and beat Colorado the week before that. NC State lost a close one at home to Boston College and was blown out by South Florida. We bet these FSU girls know how to blow it out.
I wonder if Coach Bowden will rub our bellies again?
The numbers for this game were pretty surprising and NC State even won the last time these two teams played a Thursday night game…24-20 in 2006. On paper, FSU should win this game pretty easily but one thing besides the ATS numbers, which you will see shortly, sticks out….Florida State is a young team that loves to turn the ball over. We have seen what happens to young teams on the road in prime time night games. Lets go to the ATS numbers.
Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Seminoles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
NC State
Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wolfpack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Head-to-Head
Seminoles are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
How about those ATS numbers. Makes you want to jump all over NC state doesn’t it? Well that is what we are doing. We think FSU wins but 11 points is too many points to give away in a conference game, on the road in prime time. Take NC State and the points!! Sorry NC State fans but we can not find any hot pics of your student body. Lets take a closer look at some FSU cleavage.
BYU at TCU (over/under 46) - This game is really amazing that it is going off as a pick em right now. Both teams have burned us this season and if you held guns to our heads, we would pick TCU to win. We also know that BYU is a bunch of no fun Mormons.
Wonder if Mormons are like the Southern Baptists? No vag but the ass is in play!
We are not betting on the winner of this game. The under is screaming our name, just like Northern Illinois did last week. Check this out…
BYU
Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 conference games.
Under is 11-4 in Cougars last 15 games on grass.
Under is 20-9-1 in Cougars last 30 games following a ATS loss.
TCU
Under is 7-0 in Horned Frogs last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 8-1 in Horned Frogs last 9 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Horned Frogs last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
You gotta love these numbers. If TCU can hold Oklahoma to 35 on the road, they will certainly hold BYU to less than that at home. TCU does have one of the best defenses in the country. TCU, which suffered its only loss Sept. 27 on the road to then-No. 2 Oklahoma, has held five of its seven opponents to seven points or fewer. Only the Sooners scored more than 14 points against the Horned Frogs, who rank ninth in the nation in scoring defense with 11.4 points allowed per game. TCU is No. 1 in the nation in total defense at 207.4 yards per game and tops the nation in rushing defense at 20.7 ypg. Both coaches are hard nosed physical guys and this game should be super hard hitting. We know BYU can score but they only put up 21 at home against New Mexico last week. TCU got us by only beating Colorado State 13-7 last week but their starting QB, Andy Dalton, should be back for this game. He got hurt in the Oklahoma game. We think this week’s matchup is prime for a low scoring physical game. We are taking the UNDER in this game!
The Thursday Night Ass picture of the Week!
Not Keyra but another fine Latina finds her way to us!
The Thursday Night Ass video of the Week!
If you have not done so already, make sure you sign up for our RSS feeds so you can be the first to see when we post our picks and get the betting lines at the lines we got them. If you do not know what an RSS feed is then click the orange symbol on the top right of our website. Also, our Facebook page is coming soon. Hopefully we are less than 7 days from launching that.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 7 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks (10/11/2008): RPJ Saves the Economy through Wins and Hot Chicks!
Well we lobbied for our economic bailout package but Congress did not see eye to eye with us. So we created an official website, we are giving away our picks for free and we are continuing to show some hot ass. We are super pumped up for our new website. More than 760,000 of you read our blog and we are making this more useful for our fans and readers. Our free picks will continue on this new website and we have added some aditional features like a live odds tab with a lot more to come. We hope we can provide you with a good resource to listen to our insights and then research your own picks over time as we turn on new bells and whistles. Our blog readers know the deal….we provide our sports picks and back up our picks with our own cold hard cash. We are here to make money and in turn make you money. We have a lot of readers and our blog recently passed the three quarters of a million users mark, which is awesome because you all found us. We do not advertise.
On the season our record is as follows:
RPJ $yndicate = 22-17-1 - We want to do better and right now we are picking at a 56% win clip. Just enough to beat the vig.
Flash Flash = 7-4 - 63% win rate. Lovin life.
Runny Pelvis = 16-19-2 - Not winning. Cleaning the office toilet to make up for his bad picks.
Runny is pissed he is not performing up to snuff, especially with the $yndicate and Flash representing.
We know you came to our blog for two things. We have already addressed the picks and you know what reason #2 is……ASS!!! We will continue to display the finest ass on the planet and we have had some requests for more breast shots. Flash Flash was not breast fed as a kid so he is not such a breast man but Runny agrees and the fine round mounds of pleasure will be featured more prominently going forward. In addition we are going to end each of our NCAA posts with an ass picture an ass video of the week. Enjoy! We know you all love some Keyra arse photos so here you go.
Man that never gets old!
On with the picks!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
East Carolina at Virginia (+6.5) - Virginia is a two headed monster. They totally blow and then beat Maryland’s ass with a shutout. East Carolina beats Va. Tech and West Virginia, gets ranked in the top 15 and then proceeds to lose to Houston and NC State. We know ECU burned us in that Tulane game and Virginia got us against Maryland but we are taking another look. The ATS numbers:
East Carolina
Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Pirates are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Pirates are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Pirates are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Pirates are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.
Pirates are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games on grass.
Pirates are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
Virginia
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Cavaliers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
This is a redemption game for East Carolina. Virginia knows they do not have the talent as a team, have played musical QBs and are coming off their biggest win of the season. East Carolina has a superior coach, is coming off two bad beats and we think Skip Holtz will have ECU ready to play. The ATS numbers also scream ECU and that is what we are doing. Take ECU to win and cover!
Michigan State at Northwestern (+1.5) - We have made some nice coin riding Michigan State this year but Northwestern is the team that pops up on our radar this week just like it did when we picked UCLA to cover against Fresno State. Throw in the fact that Michigan State really does not want to play this game, on the road, against an undefeated fired up Northwestern team the week before the Ohio State game. We have seen what happens when teams play inferior opponents before their big game of the year. Just ask Arizona State. Northwestern is also coming off a bye after their emotional come from behind victory against Iowa. Northwestern has won four of the last six meetings as well. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Michigan State
Spartans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 conference games.
Spartans are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Northwestern
Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Head-to-Head
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
We expect this to be a great game and with a one and a half point spread this is basically a pick em and we are picking Northwestern to win. Take Northwestern and the points!
TCU at Colorado State (+15) - We have enjoyed betting against Colorado State this year and this week is no different. TCU might have gotten blown out by Oklahoma on the road but Colorado State is not Colorado. We can go into an in depth analysis of this game but we do not think it is worth it. Here are some tidbits. Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings. This line should be higher but bettors are spooked because of the Oklahoma game. Do not be. TCU wins easily and covers!
Oklahoma State at Missouri (O/U 78) - We joked that if the O/U in this game was 100 points we would still take the over. We are partly kidding because we feel like a 55-52 score is within reason for this game. We do not even want to predict who will win this game and by how much but we know one thing….these teams are going to score with reckless abandon. On the season Oklahoma State has scored 39, 56, 57, 55 and 56 points and Missouri has scored 52, 52, 69, 42 and 52 points. We love Missouri games because the team considers field goals to be a failure. They think TD, TD, TD on every single drive and that is awesome. Check out these O/U stats:
Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 10-2 in Cowboys last 12 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games overall.
Over is 23-9 in Cowboys last 32 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 31-14 in Cowboys last 45 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Tigers last 14 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 conference games.
Over is 13-6 in Tigers last 19 games overall.
Here are some more tidbits. Missouri is second in the nation in scoring at 53.4 points a game and they have had 17 TD drives that have taken less than 2 minutes. They score a lot and they score fast. Also, Missouri has yet to go three and out in any series this season. Ok. St. is 3rd in the nation in scoring at 52.6 points a game. It is a concern that Ok. St. loves to run the ball and runs for about 315 yards a game. Running means time off the clock. The key here is that Missouri will score fast and often and Ok. State will have to keep up. Enough already with this…..we love the OVER and that is our bet on this game!
Damn Censorship!
It is Mac-key attackey bets of the week time.
Miami-Ohio at Northern Illinois (-11 and O/U 43) - Here comes two way action. Kind of like Tila Tequila who likes to play both sides of the gene pool.
Me love you long time...and her and him and her and him.
Northern Illinois almost took down Tennessee on the road last weekend and now only has to face Miami-Ohio. These ATS numbers are sweet, especially for the under:
Miami (Ohio)
Redhawks are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Redhawks are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Redhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Under is 7-1 in Redhawks last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-1 in Redhawks last 7 games in October.
Under is 6-1 in Redhawks last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Redhawks last 5 games on turf.
Under is 9-3 in Redhawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-4 in Redhawks last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Redhawks last 7 road games.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Huskies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Huskies are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 home games.
Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 12-2 in Huskies last 14 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 10-2 in Huskies last 12 games in October.
Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 11-3 in Huskies last 14 games on turf.
Under is 6-2 in Huskies last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Huskies last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 20-7 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
Under is 8-3 in Huskies last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
I think the UNDER is yelling at us this week. Holy moly we have never seen more compelling numbers than that. Throw in the fact that Miami-Ohio really is not a D-1 program. They only have one win and it was to a 1-AA school and they only won by 11. N. Illinois almost won at Minnesota and they are undefeated against the spread on the season. We think Northern Illinois wins this game big and Miami-Ohio does not score. So for your two way play take Northern Illinois to cover and take the UNDER!
Ball State at Western Kentucky (+16.5) - Well Western Kentucky bit us on the arse last week with their Va. Tech cover but they have not faced the likes of the ATS undefeated….the Ball State Cardinals. Ball State is sitting at 5-0 ATS and are ranked for the first time in the history of the school. The ATS numbers for Ball State are (Western Kentucky has none):
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Cardinals are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. INDEP.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games.
Cardinals are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games overall.
During the Indiana game, Ball State lost arguably the best WR in the nation, Dante Love, forever. He is out for the season and is not allowed to play football again. Never bet against a team that has a rallying point and this Ball State team is using Love’s injury as pure emotional lets win one for the gipper attitude. Nate Davis, Ball State’s QB is jacked and will keep the Cardinals on the right path and that path is an easy road victory. Take Ball State to win and cover!!!! We love the MAC! You thought we were going to be excited about the ATS unbeaten game of Texas versus Oklahoma but we give you two MAC ATS unbeatens. College football…Live it, love it!
Tennessee at Georgia (-12) - BSL summed up this game pretty well. Tennessee blows and Georgia is good. Georgia is also still fuming from their Alabama beat down and still fuming at their 35-14 loss to Tennessee at Tennessee last year. That loss essentially kept Georgia out of the SEC championship game, which could have meant a trip to the national title game. Do not think they have forgotten. Georgia has won 9 of its last ten coming off a bye and this week will be no different. Throw in the fact that Georgia has a better run offense, better run defense and turns the ball over half as much as Tennessee and you can start to get a feel for where we are putting this game. The ATS numbers:
Tennessee
Volunteers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Volunteers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Volunteers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Georgia
Bulldogs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
Bulldogs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
We think Georgia comes back strong and will try and get Knowshon Moreno going early. They forgot about him during the Alabama smack down. Take Georgia to win and cover! This chick is!
You can play with our BALL any day! Hut Hut Hike!!
Arizona at Stanford (+7) - It has been awhile since we nailed some Pac-10 games and there is no time like the present. We love when we see games like this. Arizona is what we call a clean sweep across the board, meaning they meet every single test we throw at our models. Willie Tuitama is a real threat at Arizona, completing 66% of his passes and throwing 13 TDs versus only 2 picks. Stanford won this game last year in Arizona and this week is payback. We also love that Arizona has been putting it to teams recently beating Washington 48-14 and winning at UCLA 31-10. Yes we know they lost to New Mexico but they also spanked Toledo and Idaho. Stanford is 3-3 on the season but we are not impressed with their wins and Tavita Pritchard is not playing well and not nearly as well as Tuitama. The ATS numbers:
Arizona
Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Stanford
Cardinal are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 conference games.
Cardinal are 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Stoops keeps Arizona rolling and gets them ready to host CAL and USC in back to back weeks after this one. Arizona wins and covers!
Nebraska at Texas Tech (-20.5) - Texas Tech is fun as hell to watch and are rolling with their #7 ranking. Texas Tech’s offense is just as dynamic as Missouri’s is, if not more. Missouri beat Nebraska, at Nebraska, 52-17. It is crazy to say but this is Nebraska’s first road game. Guess Bo Pelini really is taking a play from LSU’s playbook. Never leave the state!!! Texas Tech is undefeated against the spread this year with their only blemish, a 36 point push against SMU. When you win at Kansas State by 30, you can certainly beat Nebraska at home by 21.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Cornhuskers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Cornhuskers are 2-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cornhuskers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Red Raiders are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games in October.
We think this game will be ugly. Pelini does not have the horses yet at Nebraska and you can not coach untalented defensive players into stopping the best offenses in the country. Texas Tech might even whoop them worse then Missouri did. Take Texas Tech to win and cover!
Texas at Oklahoma (-6) - Of course we were not going to leave you without discussing the game of the week. Sorry SEC fans but Florida/LSU is big but not as big as this one. We are sure you saw the ESPN stats that showed that the winner of this game has won by at least 7 points since 1997. Both of these teams are undefeated and undefeated against the spread. The Sooners have won the last three games when both teams are ranked in the top 5, most recently a 12-0 win in 2004. This is gonna be a tough one to pick after you see these ATS stats:
Texas
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Longhorns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Oklahoma
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
We know who we are going to take in this game and we think you should follow us. However, if you do not, think about simply who is going to win the game and why. The game will probably be won by at least 10 points. We think Bradford is better than McCoy. Stoops is better than Brown. Oklahoma’s O-line is significantly better than Texas’ line. Texas’ secondary is too young and inexperienced; they start two freshmen. Oklahoma is the best team in the country right now and they will prove it this weekend. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
The Great Debate Game
LSU at Florida (-6) -Well it happened again. We disagree on the outcome of this game. The last time this happened was the UGA/Arizona State game and Flash won that argument by picking Georgia to win and cover easily. Here are the ATS numbers and then we will get into our rationale:
LSU
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Tigers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Florida
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Gators are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Gators are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Flash Flash is picking LSU to cover and here is why. I think Florida does in fact win but not by 6 points, more like 3-4 points. I am not putting too much attention on Ricky Jean-Francois’ idiotic comments this week and Florida does not need bulletin board material to win this game. LSU has won 4 of the last 6 meetings and won 2 of the last 3 in Gainesville. LSU is pounding the run with Charles Scott and finally settled on a QB in Jarrett Lee. Tebow has not been Heisman Tebow this season and Percy Harvin is coming off an injury. They say Harvin is fine and will play but I am not convinced. I do think LSU has a chance to win, not a big chance, but a chance. LSU has won 19 straight night games and that includes games at home and on the road. LSU has the superior defense and it will have to play tough and physical to see what the Gators are really made of. The Swamp is no longer SEC nasty after Ole Miss went in there and stole a win. As I said….Take LSU and the points.
Runny Pelvis is picking the Gators and here is why. Never trust an inexperienced QB on the road in a HUGE conference game. Oregon tried those shennanigans last week in SoCal and look what happened. It will be worse for LSU. Despite having the additional week to prepare, Jarrett Lee is not ready for this game. He will exit early forcing LSU to bring Hatch back. That is not good for the Tigers either. Florida will take advantage of their crowd and roll. LSU will not up for another 4th quarter comeback.Also, coming into this season, the Gators are 15-1-1 ATS off SUATS wins against conference foes that beat them the last time they played. I’m taking The Gators.
Flash Flash Picks - Sorry guys but no picks this week. All of my picks were snatched up by RPJ.
Runny Pelvis Picks - Same here. We are coming at you with a ton of games this week and if I decide to pick additional games it will be in a new post. It is not likely but I am revisiting some games.
RPJ $yndicate’s Ass Video of the Week! This is more of an Ass montage video but we do not think you will mind.
RPJ $yndicate’s Ass Picture of the Week!
Some see an artistic shot, we see fine perfect ass!!!!
Hope you enjoy the new website. Tell us how we can better serve you. Feel free to post comments on this website or send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. Make sure you sign up to receive us as an RSS feed. Stay tuned for our Facebook page. We are going to spread the gospel of RPJ $yndicate to the world.
Thanks again for your support.
Flash and Runny
Week 5 NCAA Free Football Picks (9/25 - 9/27/08) and Booty (not John David) Chicks
Here is our rundown for the season. Last week we went a combined 10-4 so that brings our records to the following:
RPJ $yndicate is now 12-12-1 on the season. We are not happy with this but we had a solid week last week and we will continue to roll with our system that is going to start picking up winners like Spitzer picks up whores. Mark our words.
Flash Flash is now 5-1 on the season. I am loving the games I am finding. The Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week.
Runny Pelvis the Fat is now 11-9 on the season. 5-3 last week and on a roll.
We always tell you that we are here for our fans. The Wizard complained that the chicks we show are too skinny and that he wants to see curvy ladies who have asses wider than their hip bones. Sorry Klum fans but you are on the back burner this week. Here you go Wizard, a picture of Kim Kardashian, she certainly has some curves:
Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!
Sorry Wiz. Had to throw in some humor this week. Here you go with some fine pics:
You want curves, we will show you curves.
Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.
Have to show skin to win baby!!!
And a video of some booty shaking. Mr. SEC Lawyer requested as much Keyra as possible and it just does not exist so we had to mix it up. This is not Keyra quality but variety is the spice of life. Also, check out the video at the end of this post. It is solid.
Hope these met your approval Wizard and Mr. SEC Lawyer. To our other fans out there this just shows how we aim to please. Feel free to post comments, requests or shoot us emails at rpjsyndicate.com. We are here for our readers 1) to make you bucket loads of cash and 2) to show you what you want and based on where you click and read, you want to see hot ass.
Now on to the Week 5 picks and we have a lot of them for you:
RPJ $yndicate picks
North Carolina at Miami (-8) - This game is going down as the Flash Flash special and his game of the week. It just so happened that it hit all cylinders as far as our models go. UNC is coming off a horrible defeat at the hands of Virginia Tech. They had that game in hand, then lost their QB and a 4th quarter lead at home. UNC is young and will not be able to to bounce back from this. T.J. Yates gave his team a chance to win any game and now they have no chance to beat The U. Miami is actually playing pretty well. We have watched them a lot this year and they played Florida tougher than the final score showed (Effing Urban Meyer and his cover FG…douche, douche, DOUCHE!!!). Miami might have the most or second most team speed on defense. Line them up against USC and see who wins. The ATS numbers actually do not favor Miami in this game but stats do. Miami rushes for more yards per game, gives up a lot less yards per game and does not turn the ball over as much. Get on this line before it hits 10. Miami covers and wins!!!
Kent State at Ball State (-18 and over/under 59.5) - We are picking our first MACkey attackey game of the year. We love these games. Kent State stinks on defense and gives up more than 430 yards per game and to top it off they can score on offense. After they got shut out by BC in week 1, Kent State has scored 28, 24 and 27 points all while going 1-3 on the season. Ball State can score with the best of them and are generating 482 yards per game on offense and giving up 393 yards per game on defense. Ball State is 4-0 and has scored 42, 41, 35 and 48 points on the season. Ball State scored 42 last week at Indiana and lost their best player during the game and kept on scoring. We are hitting you up with a double pick on this game. Here are the ATS numbers:
Kent State
Golden Flashes are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Golden Flashes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-0 in Golden Flashes last 6 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Flashes last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Flashes last 8 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Ball State
Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Over is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games in September.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
We think the ATS numbers speak for themselves and Kent State is bad, really bad. They need to change their team name from the Golden Flashes to the Golden Showers. Ball State is going to urinate all over them. Take Ball State to win and cover and double it up with the OVER!!!
Ole Miss at Florida (-22) - This is an interesting game. Florida is coming off their Tennessee road beat down and Ole Miss has had two weeks to stew about their loss at home to Vanderbilt. Florida has looked good on paper but we do not think they are as good as their record shows. Tebow is not playing like Tebow. Maybe he should have been practicing instead of saving children in the Philthypeens this Summer. What we do know is Florida has some ridiculous talent on campus. Check this out:
Who wants to kiss my gator?
Lets check out the ATS numbers:
Ole Miss
Rebels are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Florida
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
You saw that Florida has one loss against the spread in the SEC in their last 5 and you guessed it…that game was against Ole Miss last year in a 30-24 win. Ole Miss could easily be 4-0 but has suffered a pair of disheartening losses. The Rebels outgained then-No. 20 Wake Forest on the road Sept. 6, but lost 30-28 on a last-second field goal. After beating Samford the next week, Ole Miss hosted Vanderbilt in its SEC opener last Saturday and outgained the Commodores 385-202. Jevan Snead, though, threw four interceptions and the Rebels lost two fumbles in a 23-17 defeat. Snead has talent and the swamp is no cupcake but we think this is too many points. This line opened at 24.5 and is now down to 22. We think you need to jump on it while you can. 62% of the money is betting on the Gators and the line is dropping so Vegas can take more bets for the Gators. As soon as the line stops dropping or rises we know the line is true. Get it while its hot….Ole Miss covers in this game!
Purdue at Notre Dame (Pick Em) - Holy crap this line opened at Notre Dame -3 and moved to pick em. Did hell freeze over? What the eff is going on here? 78% of the money is going to Purdue and that terrifies the hell out of us but the leaping leprechauns are putrid. The ATS numbers:
Purdue
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Boilermakers are 8-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Boilermakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Head-to-Head
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
The ATS numbers are not great but the head-to-head battle is big for Purdue. We think Vegas is out of their mind this game. Unless you live in Indiana you have no idea how important this game is for Purdue against their instate rival. Notre Dame might not give a crapola about Purdue but Purdue sure wants to beat the tar out of Notre Dame. This is Purdue’s bowl game. They hate the Irish. Purdue pissed us off last year with a no cover but they are back with a vengeance this year. The Irish are still bad, very bad. So forget the record for a moment. The Fighting Irish are 111th in the country (out of 119 teams) in rushing offense. They are 107th in total offense and 68th in total defense. Notre Dame’s offensive line, which was the worst in the history of offensive lines last year, is still weak. The only thing they have going for them is somewhat of a passing game. However, Purdue held the great Dan LaFevour down last week. If they can stop that passing game, they can certainly stop Claussen’s. We think this is easy money and is Runny’s pick of the week. Purdue wins and covers easily!!!
Fresno State at UCLA (+6.5) - Sometimes our models totally throw us for a loop and they did it in this game. Even though the pick will defy all logic, we have to stay disciplined to our models and our system. Lets look at some UCLA arse to get our minds focused on the game at hand. This is from the school’s annual undie run. Bet you wish you went there.
Always aim for the middle! Why didn't we go to a PAC 10 school?!?!?!
Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Fresno State
Bulldogs are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Bulldogs are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.
UCLA
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Bruins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bruins are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Bruins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Bruins are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Bruins are 23-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bruins are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Shocking isn’t it. We wish we had a better reason than, “trust us” but we do not. However, we are all over UCLA in this game and we are getting 6.5 points. Take UCLA and the points!!!!
Arkansas at Texas (-27.5) - Back for another rule of 28 game. This line was 28 when I started writing this post and it moved on us. Damn oddsmakers. Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week and really means absolutely nothing but in terms of golf, Rule 28 is when you are playing golf and you have to rule your ball unplayable and you are left with the following decisions:
a. Play a ball as nearly as possible at the spot from which the original ball was last played (see Rule 20-5); or
b. Drop a ball behind the point where the ball lay, keeping that point directly between the hole and the spot on which the ball is dropped, with no limit to how far behind that point the ball may be dropped; or
c. Drop a ball within two club-lengths of the spot where the ball lay, but not nearer the hole.
So we have a scenario for you. If you deem the ball in the picture unplayable what do you do?
Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?
Do you a) play the ball where it is? b) drop your ball behind the existing ball? or c) drop the ball within two club lengths. We think B is the clear winner. Drop it behind and get right in there. Is there a game associated with this? Oh yeah…The ATS numbers:
Arkansas
Razorbacks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Razorbacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Got it. Texas looks damn good this year and Arkansas blows. Alabama beat the piss out of them at Arkansas. Texas will beat them worse in Austin. Texas wins and covers!!!!!
Miss State at LSU (-24) - We did not like the points Florida had to make to cover in their game but we love it for LSU. We made some fat coin on LSU last year when they played Mississippi State and we are back for more. We love this game this week and will just show yo usome of the ATS numbers heads up:
Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.
Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Get our drift. Only thing that pisses us off about this game is the 2006 game. Flash missed a ten team parlay by 3.5 effing points when LSU benched all of their starters and let the Bulldogs come back and cover. Flash was in Vegas at the time and it would have been his biggest payday ever. LSU has defeated the Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1) eight straight times by an average margin of 32.4 points since a 17-16 road loss Oct. 23, 1999. Now that Lee is the QB, LSU should roll in this game. No way Miss. State can hang. LSU wins and covers!!!!!!
Virginia at Duke (-7) - Duke is actually favored by a TD. I think the stars are aligned funny and the world is about to end. Notre Dame is favored or a pick em against Purdue and there is a BCS opponent that Duke is favored against by a TD. Holy crap, run for the hills. Virginia is a mess and now has to play without the QB that won the starting job because he got tossed out of school. UVS sucked with him and will suck worse without him. Lalich is actually trying to get into Oregon State and will be at the USC/Beavers game this evening. Here are the ATS numbers:
Virginia
Cavaliers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Duke
Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Head-to-Head
Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Virginia is bad and might even be worse than Notre Dame. We know that is hard to believe but a UVA/ND matchup would probably be competitive. Man we love rubbing it in the face of ND fans. Thank god they ran Holtz out of town so the program is in shambles. Duke is on their way up and will enjoy some home town support. Duke should easily win and cover in this game!!!
Flash Flash Picks (5-1 on the season)
Florida International at Toledo (-20) - Get on this line before it goes over 21 points. Toledo can score with the best of them and lost a heartbreaker to Fresno State last week. Florida International is terrible. Do not buy into the close cover against South Florida last week. FIU was playing in their home opener and first game in a new stadium and blew their wad. Some ATS numbers: Golden Panthers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Golden Panthers are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Rockets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Rockets are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games. Toledo will come out fast and furious and FIU doe snot have an answer. Toledo wins and covers easily!!!
TCU at Oklahoma (-18.5) - Both of these teams are rolling. Nothing needs to be said about Oklahoma. Nobody really knows anything about TCU though. TCU is tough as hell and actually beat Oklahoma in 2005 as 25 point road underdogs. This year TCU has a solid offense and its defense is actually playing better than Oklahoma’s. In addition, TCU is turning the ball over less. Here are the ATS numbers:
TCU
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 12-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Horned Frogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
Oklahoma
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Good numbers out of both teams. TCU has actually won their last two games in Norman. I think 18.5 points is just too much to ask as a spread versus the TCU defense. I do not think TCU wins but I think they can keep their loss under 18.5 points. Take TCU with the points!!!
Runny Pelvis Picks (11-9 on the season)
SMU @ Tulane (-18): Flash bailed on me on this one because he is afraid of the points. Chickenshit!! I’m not scurred!! I love betting on creoles on Thursday nights!!! My penchant for crawfish aside, here are some facts: Tulane is 11-1 ATS in their 12 as favorites off non-conference game vs opponent off a SU loss, Tulane is 5-1 ATS vs opponent they beat the year before who is off back to back SU losses and they are 9-2 ATS at home off of a double digit SU win. SMU facts: they suck. I’m riding the Green Wave this week!! Take Tulane -18.
USC @ Oregon State (+25.5): The boys in Vegas are PRAYING Oregon State covers this one. The line has gone up all week, but everyone is crushing USC in this one. The Vegas books are refusing to raise the line. This scares us. So do the ATS numbers-ORST is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against USC at home, and they are 6-0 ATS off of double digit ATS win against teams that beat them the year before who are off of a SU win. Not looking good for USC. However, USC is ridiculous this year. Ridiculous. It is not the same USC team from the past 3 games in Corvallis. Think about it-USC destroyed the #5 team in the country in their last game. They will do the same this week. They are 12-3 ATS with rest. Carroll has already come out and said they want to end the game early so they can get their 4th string QB some reps!!! This will be a beatdown. Take USC -25.5.
Minn @ OSU (-18): I hate making this pick because I hate both teams so very much. However, I’m about picking winners first, so that always prevails. OSU is fresh off a massacre in SoCal and a less than sensational win (but no cover-like I said last week) last week. However, the key to last week’s game is that Tressel started Pryor. It made a huge difference. That kid is legit, and he is only gonna get better. Plus, Beanie Wells is back this week, it is OSU’s Big 10 opener and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Minn. Take OSU -18.
MSU @ IU (+8): As I mentioned last week, I was at the IU-Ball State game in Bloomington last week. IU shocked me at how bad they are. In particular, their QB play was terrible and they could not stop Ball State. Even worse, their fans were total pu$$ies. Total pu$$ies. The Ball State fans were much louder. Unacceptable during a home game. MSU has Jevon Ringer. IU couldn’t stop Ball State’s running game last week, so they have no chance of stopping Ringer. Here are some facts: MSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against IU, MSU is 4-1 ATS in the game before Iowa and IU is 1-9 ATS off a SU favorite loss against teams that beat them the year before. That is terrible. MSU wins big. Take MSU -8.
Also, we are still researching the Wisconsin-Michigan, Colorado-FSU, Tenn-Auburn, ILL-PSU and Bama-GA games, but we haven’t made up my mind yet. We will do so by Friday. Check back with us for these picks. These may be individual picks (or maybe nothing at all), but we will at least have substantial opinions on all.
We are going to leave you with this video because we know some of you like em less curvy…
Another tough day in the life of Runny and Flash. Cash and ASS!!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Week 11 Picks: The Significance of November 8 (hint: Rudy Ruettiger) and Thursday’s picks
First things first, on the season we are 39-33, 3-3 for Brinks truck bets and up 6 units on the season. It was nice to start the week 1-0. We knew the LeFevour would not let us down.
November 8, 1975 is a magical day in the history of NCAA football. This is the date the biggest ahole, loser in college football played in his one and only game. Yes, Daniel E. ‘Rudy’ Ruettiger dressed for Notre Dame in his final game against Georgia Tech. Just to debunk some of the Rudy myths….the crowd was not chanting Rudy’s name at all and he played in two plays, not one. The first play he was useless and on the second play he recorded half a sack. If you listen to the broadcast they do not even mention his name. Here is the Youtube clip of the game.
In addition, the team did not actually lay the jerseys on the desk. Rudy admits this on his website. In reality, the team captain, who speaks for the team, went to the coach and asked him to give Rudy a chance and let him play in a game. Because Notre Dame is having such a great season we thought we would honor Rudy and point out that he is just as big a fraud as the current Notre Dame Meek Irish. In case you did not figure it out yet, we decided that Notre Dame is no longer the “Fighting Irish”. They lost the right to call themselves that during the Georgia Tech game this year. Was there anybody else in America that watched the Navy/Notre Dame game and could not tell who was who? Somebody needs to research the NCAA recruiting trade rags because there is no way in hell Notre Dame has recruited a top ten class for the last three years. Notre Dameis a joke and has won one national championship in the last thirty years; the same as schools like CLemson and Washington. Time to move on folks….We live in the present not the past.
Now on to the picks:
1 - Louisville @ West Virginia (-16.5) - West Virginia is coming off a bye, which will give Pat White a chance to get healthy and this is a revenge game after Louisville won 44-34 last year. All stats point to West Virginia in this one and they know that they are still in the hunt to play in the BCS National Championship game if they can win out and get some help. Louisville is a mess, their defense has been bad all year and now their offense can not get going against the likes of Pitt (won 24-17), Uconn (lost 21-17), Cincy (won 28-24). West Virginia is going to run all over these guys….they literally run for double what Louisville does…298 to 150…meaning West Virginia is going to control the game clock and wear down an already terrible defense. Some against the spread (ATS) numbers for you:
West Virginia
Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. Mountaineers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week. Mountaineers are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 conference games. Mountaineers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Louisville
Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
These teams have only met 7 times since 1985 and West Virginia is 4-2-1 ATS in those contests. Out of these 7 games, West Virginia is 4-1 ATS when playing at home. We think West Virginia wins this going away. Think Rutgers but worse.
2 - TCU @ BYU (-7) - BYU is nasty at home and on Thursday nights. Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite. BYU has been a nice home cover team as well this year. They have won every game ATS at home this season and blew out Colorado State 35-16 but did not cover the 21 points they needed; came darn close though. We think BYU can easily beat TCU by 10 or more. TCU is spotty at best has one two game win streak on the season and BYU has won 5 in a row. Some more ATS numbers:
TCU
Horned Frogs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Horned Frogs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. Horned Frogs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. Horned Frogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
BYU
Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Cougars are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite. Cougars are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games on grass. Cougars are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.
One other thing to consider….The weather in Fort Worth Texas this week is averaging 75 degrees. The weather in Provo, Utah at game time….a balmy 38 degrees. Always bet against the warm weather team travelling to the cold.
BYU wins easily
We will be back again this week with our weekend picks.
Flash Flash and Runny