Humor and Sports
FREE NBA PICKS FOR DECEMBER 29, 2009
Greetings. We were very bad last night-our first losing night in quite some time- with a terrible 3-4 record. We did nail our Lock, but our overall season ATS record now stands at 109-92-5. For Locks, we are 4-2-1. On with tonight’s picks:
LOCKS:
Knicks @ Pistons -4.5: Only one Lock tonight and this is it. The Pistons are finally getting their stars healthy, but they are in a terrible funk. It will take some time for them to get back to the standards they are used to. That said, we love them tonight. Consider that the home team in this match-up is 17-8 ATS in their last 25 meetings. We love the healthy Pistons. Take the Pistons and give the points.
PICKS
Thunder @ Wizards +1: For the first time this season the Thunder have won 3 straight games. They go for their 4th tonight and we love their chances. They are hot right now and Kevin Durant is playing as well as anyone. Take the Thunder and give the point.
Cavs @ Hawks -2: We love that the Hawks are favored in this. We think they are a much better team. They play well together and they can run with anyone. They have too many weapons. Look for a terrible game from Shaq tonight. Take the Hawks and give the points.
Pacers @ Bulls -7: This line is pretty comical given how bad the Bulls are and their coaching woes. Still, they should rally around their coach and play with some intensity at home, but don’t be surprised if the pacers win outright. This is too many points to pass up. Take the Pacers and the points.
Timberwolves @ Spurs -11: The T’Wolves are on a decent spell as of late while the Spurs have been consistently inconsistent. On paper the Spurs dominate this match-up, but the Spurs are only 2-12 ATS in their last 14 against the NBA Northwest and they are very bad as double digit favorites. Take the T’Wolves and the points.
Hornets @ Rockets -6: We are very curious as to how the Rockets are going to respond to the TMac drama. The Hornets are iffy at best, but we love the points. Plus, the Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Houston. We like CP3 in this one. He will get them the cover. Take the Hornets and the points.
Warriors @ Lakers -11.5: The Lakers seem to be in one of their ruts, but they are at home facing a Warriors team that is still injured and just not as good. This is the perfect rebound game for the Lakers. Even without Artest, the Lakers should dominate this game. Take the Lakers and give the points.
Seven more games. Good luck.
Flash and Runny
FREE NBA PICKS FOR DECEMBER 28, 2009
Greetings. We are closing the 2009 portion of the season in winning style. Our season ATS record stands at 106-88-5. Of that, our locks are 3-2-1. We know it is not where we need to be, but we are winning each night. 7 Games on the docket tonight. This is what we like:
LOCKS
Thunder @ Nets +6: The Nets are making a habit of getting blown out this year. Of their 28 losses, only 9 have been by fewer than 10 points. They are a joke of a team right now. The Thunder will win their third straight. Take the Thunder and give the points.
PICKS
Bucks @ Bobcats -4.5: Bobcats are a completely different team at home (24-11 ATS in their last 35 home games) and they love Monday night games (9-2 ATS in their last 11). However, we still aren’t buying that they are a good team. Brandon Jennings has come down to reality as of late, but we like them to cover. They match-up well with the Bobcats. Take the Bucks and the points.
Wizards @ Grizzlies -5.5: We love the Wizards’ D in this game. We think they match-up well against the Grizzlies. Don’t be surprised in Washington wins outright. Take the Wizards and the points.
Lakers @ Suns +1: The Lakers have dominated this match-up as of late and look to build some momentum after their overtime win against the Kings. The Lakers are exactly what the Suns hate-a large and athletic team that plays well together. That is the recipe for beating the Suns. The Suns are off one of their worse performances of the season last time out. Even without Artest, the Lakers will still get the best of them. Take the Lakers and give the point.
Nuggets @ Kings +2: The Nuggets have been terrible since Chauncey Billups injured his groin. However, the Kings will probably be without Tyreke Evans and Sean May tonight. Those are bigger losses. Take the Nuggets and give the points.
76ers @ Trail Blazers -6: The 76ers have dominated this match-up as of late and they should get Iverson back tonight. The Blazers have been hot-covering in their last 4 games. We don’t think it will be 5 straight tonight. Take the 76ers and the points.
Celtics @ Warriors +6: The Celtics are one of the best road teams in the league, but they have not done well when visiting the Warriors. Still, they play outstanding D. The Warriors are hot off their pounding of a Suns team that played no D whatsoever. Tonight will be different. They will get all the D they can handle tonight. Take the Celtics and give the points.
Road team sweep for us tonight. That hasn’t happened before, but we are sticking with our system.
Good Luck,
Runny & Flash
Week 15 NFL Winning Picks: We will make you more money than Tiger Woods paid his Mistresses!!! And that is a lot!
RPJ Betting $yndicate - We predicted the exact truth once again, we lost our first game of the week. Jags almost had it but did not come through in the end. Kudos to Peyton & Co. We are now 48-40 on the season. We have a ton of games for you once again. Last week we simply listed them out and went 8-4 so we are not going to mess with what works. If you want any detailed insight, feel free to use our matchup tool on our website or contact us directly via email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com or sign up for our Facebook and/or Twitter feeds (top right of this website) and get in touch with us that way. On with the picks:
Not anymore Tiger!!!
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-11) - We like the Ravens to win and cover
New England (-7) at Buffalo Bills - We like the Patriots to win and cover
Arizona Cardinals (-13) at Detroit Lions - we like the Lions to pull the cover
Atlanta Falcons at NY Jets (-6) - We like the Jets to win and cover
San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) - We like the Eagles to win and cover
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-14) - We like the Broncos to win and cover
Cincinnati Bengals at San Diego Chargers (-7) - We like the Bengals to cover
Underdog Strategy - Underdog strategy was 7-9 last week and is now 106-99-2 on the season. Team in bold is the underdog.
Dallas Cowboys (+8) New Orleans Saints
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) - Already have one underdog loser.
Chicago Bears (+11) at Baltimore Ravens
New England at Buffalo Bills (+7)
Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions (+13)
Cleveland Browns (+2) at Kansas City Chiefs
Atlanta Falcons (+6) at NY Jets
San Francisco 49ers (+7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Houston Texans at St. Louis Rams (+12.5)
Miami Dolphins (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans
Oakland Raiders (+14) at Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals (+7) at San Diego Chargers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers (+2) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers (+9)
NY Giants at Washington Redskins (+3)
Rich Mistress Jamie Jungers
Knockout Pool Strategy - Our knockout pool is down to 11 people and we have a bad feeling all 11 are going to take our pick this week. For us, it is a huge no brainer to bet on the Denver Broncos to beat the bag out of the Raiders at home. We would not be surprised if this game was over in the first 5 minutes.
Week 1: New Orleans Saints
Week 2: Washington Redskins
Week 3: Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: Chicago Bears
Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles
Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 7: New England Patriots
Week 8: San Diego Chargers
Week 9: Seattle Seahawks
Week 10: Minnesota Vikings
Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals
Week 13: Indianapolis Colts
Week 14: Tennessee Titans
Week 15: Denver Broncos
FREE NBA PICKS FOR DECEMBER 16, 2009
Greetings folks. We are loving this NBA season and we are coming at you with new angles with which you can make some scratch. Between early NFL action this week, the NCAA Bowl Season and NBA every night, we’ve been crunching numbers like mad!!! For the NBA, our overall season ATS record stands at 93-80-4. Of that, we are 3-1 ATS in our locks. If you’ve followed our site, you know that typically we have stayed away from giving “locks.” This is because we are confident with every game we pick/make public. Simply put, if it doesn’t pass our tests, we don’t pick it. That said, through our numbers crunching, we’ve noticed things that seem to come true even more than our typical picks. These are our “locks,” but note that they don’t pop-up too much so there may be nights where none exist. Tonight, we have two!!!!! Here is what we like:
LOCKS OF THE NIGHT
Lakers @ Bucks +5.5: The Lakers are the lock. Press this like crazy. Take the Lakers and give the points.
Wizards @ Kings -3: The Wizards are the lock. Go crazy. Take the Wizards and the points.
PICKS
Cavs @ 76ers +6: Take the Cavs and give the points.
Raptors @ Magic -11: Take the Magic and give the points.
Bobcats @ Pacers -3.5: Take the Bobcats and the points.
Grizzlies @ Hawks -9.5: Take the Grizzlies and the points.
Jazz @ Nets +8.5: Take the Nets and the points.
Mavs @ Thunder +2.5: Take the Thunder and the points.
Pistons @ Hornets -4.5: Take the Hornets and give the points.
Clippers @ T’Wolves -1.5: Take the Clippers and the points.
Rockets @ Nuggets -8.5: Take the Nuggets and give the points.
Spurs @ Warriors +5.5: Take the Warriors and the points.
There you go-12 winners for tonight!!!!
Good luck,
Runny & Flash
NFL Week 13 Free Winning Picks: Straight Cash Homey!!!
RPJ $yndicate Picks - After going 5-4 last week, we are now 37-32 on the season. We still have a few weeks to show some improvement and all this really shows is if you take our our 5-0 week we are simply 500 on the season. We went on a late season surge with our NCAA picks and we plan on doing the same here.
Sunday December 6, 2009
Philadelphia (-5) at Atlanta - What is the over/under on Michael Vick references in this game. Probably enough to make us vomit in our mouths. This game is the culmination of horrible injuries for the Falcons. No Matt Ryan, if he plays Michael Turner will not be effective and starting guard Harvey Dahl went out last week. Yes, the Falcons won the game but they only rushed for 75 yards against the #32 rushing defense at the time. The Eagles are always capable of putting a beat down on somebody. We know the Eags are fighting their own injuries (Westbrook, their secondary and D Jax) but the Eagles have been here before. When they need somebody to step up, they step up. Grab Avant this week if you need a WR in fantasy football. So coming in to this game knowing Atlanta is banged up on offense, they really do not want to face the Eagles defense, which is a lot better than Atlanta’s. We also love the fact that the Falcons have the second worst defensive 3rd down conversion percentage. They let teams convert 3rd downs 47% of the time. That is horrific. We are betting the Eagles to win and cover big!
Philadelphia
- Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Eagles are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 13.
- Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
- Eagles are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Eagles are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 vs. NFC.
- Eagles are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
- Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Falcons are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Falcons are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Eagles are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Oakland at Pittsburgh (-14.5) - Big Ben back, Raiders still suck. Final score prediction 35-3. NEXT!!!
The Saints made me their Bitch!!!
New England at Miami (+4) - This is a bizarre game on paper because when we look at the stats we look at and see one team ahead in the relevant stats by a wide margin we call that a clean sweep game, a no brainer! In this game, Miami is that team. Just to highlight a couple of them: Miami runs for more than 40 yards more per game, 6/10ths more per rush, converts offensive third downs 4 percentage points better and gives up less rushing yards, yards per rush and 3rd down conversions on defense. What does this all mean? It means Miami is the perfect antithesis of the Pats and should be able to control the clock and keep this game close. That is what we are banking on. We are betting the Dolphins to cover!
New England
- Patriots are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss.
- Patriots are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Patriots are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
- Patriots are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Patriots are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games as a road favorite.
- Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Patriots are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Patriots are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
- Patriots are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Patriots are 37-18-2 ATS in their last 57 road games.
- Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East.
- Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
- Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
- Vikings are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Vikings are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
- Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.
- Cardinals are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
- Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
- Cardinals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 13.
- Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
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Baltimore at Green Bay (-3) - We did not expect this but Green Bay, like we explained for Miami, is another clean sweep team. They look better statistically in all the right places against the Ravens. We are not worried about Green Bay’s line because the Ravens only have 21 sacks on the season and have numerous injuries on the defensive side of the ball. This is a winnable game for the Pack and we expect Aaron Rodgers to remain hot. We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!!!
Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy bombed last week to end what was one hell of a tear. On the season this strategy is now 89-84-2. Pretty interesting that all you have to do is bet every underdog and you come out with a winning record. Underdogs in bold:
NY Jets at Buffalo (+3.5) - Bills lose
Philadelphia at Atlanta (+5)
Tampa Bay (+5.5) at Carolina
St. Louis (+9.5) at Chicago
Detroit (+13) at Cincinnati
Tennessee (+6.5) at Indianapolis
Houston at Jacksonville - No action due to pick em
Denver at Kansas City (+5)
Oakland (+14.5) at Pittsburgh
New Orleans at Washington (+9.5)
New England at Miami (+4)
San Diego at Cleveland (+13.5)
Dallas at NY Giants (+2.5)
San Francisco at Seattle - No action due to pick em
Minnesota at Arizona (+3)
Baltimore (+3) at Green Bay
Knockout Pool - We are still rocking along here. Our knockout pool is down to 17 people. Hopefully you are still alive in yours. We caught some guff this week from some of you knockout pool players, saying our strategy is dumb and we need to chart out our picks. Well we stick our nose up at you. Our strategy is simple, Take the opening lines of the week and pick the home team with the highest line. So for you naysayers, we are still here winning and guess what? We get to play the Colts this week!
Week 1: New Orleans Saints
Week 2: Washington Redskins
Week 3: Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: Chicago Bears
Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles
Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 7: New England Patriots
Week 8: San Diego Chargers
Week 9: Seattle Seahawks
Week 10: Minnesota Vikings
Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals
Week 13: Indianapolis Colts
Free NFL Week 12 Picks: Happy Turkey Day! We are sinking our teeth into some meaty breasts, legs and thighs!!!
RPJ Bets of the Day: We were only 2-2 last week and now stand at 32-28 on the season. We have been streaky, either coming in around 500 or blowing out the weekend with a 5-0 pick. We are going to kick off turkey day with a tribute to fleshy meat and pick three games on the day. We will be back on Saturday with the rest of our picks.
Green Bay at Detroit (+10.5) - This is definitely a scary line. The Lions fought admirably last week and pulled the W against the Browns. They ended up smashing up their two best players in Stafford and Megatron; both are doubtful for tomorrow. You never know what you will get with Green Bay but it appears that their O-line is coming together and they pulled nice wins at home against Dallas and San Francisco. Then you look at this series and you realize that Green Bay has covered in 6 of the last 7. We are scared of the 10.5 points but we think the best team will win and will win big. We are taking Green Bay to win and cover!
Green Bay
- Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Packers are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Packers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Packers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC North.
- Packers are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 road games.
- Packers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite.
- Lions are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Lions are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games in November.
- Lions are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. NFC.
- Lions are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Lions are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Lions are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on fieldturf.
- Lions are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games.
- Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
- Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Lions are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
- Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Lions are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Detroit.
Oakland at Dallas (-13.5) - Nothing like betting against the Raiders on Thanksgiving Day. Something the whole family can enjoy together; even your crazy Uncle Joe will get on board. One thing is consistent this year with the Raiders and that is the fact that they follow up every win with a huge loss. Beat KC 13-10, lose 23-3 at home to Denver; beat the Eagles 13-9 and lose to the Jets 38-0; beat the Bengals 20-17 and lose to the Cowboys 56-3. Well we filled in the last score but we have no reason to think otherwise. We do not think this game will be close at any point. Also, the betting public is demented on this one based on last week’s results. 54% of the money is on the Raiders at time of print. We look at a team’s body of work in the NFL and do not focus on the game to game. Do not bet with the public in this game. We are betting the Cowboys to win and cover!!!
Oakland
- Raiders are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
- Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Raiders are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
- Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.
- Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in November.
- Cowboys are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
- Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games on fieldturf.
NY Giants at Denver (+6) - Get on the bus. It is pick on Denver Broncos time. Not only has Denver lost 4 in a row, they have lost 4 in a row ATS. Their smallest margin of loss over this stretch was 10 points to the lowly Washington Redskins. The Broncos lost to Pittsburgh at home by 18, lost to San Diego at home by 29 and will lose to the Giants by a margin larger than 6 points. Also, during this 4 game losing stretch, the Broncos were outgained on the ground by 88, 54, 146 and 59. Now the Giants come to town and will continue this domination. The Giants had their own 4 game losing streak but broke through last week against the Falcons. We will look for them to keep rolling. We are betting the Giants to win and cover!!!
NY Giants
- Giants are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 road games.
- Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Giants are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. win.
- Giants are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Giants are 15-32-2 ATS in their last 49 games in November.
- Broncos are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Broncos are 7-15 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
- Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Broncos are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss.
- Broncos are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 12.
- Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
- Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy nailed another huge weekend. It was 10-5-1 and is now 83-74-2 on the season. Just a few weeks ago this thing was many games under 500 and we almost stopped tracking it. These late season underdogs are really helping Vegas make their money back. If you have been getting burned betting on the favorites then switch to this. It has nailed it for the last month. Underdogs in bold.
Green Bay at Detroit (+10.5)
Oakland (+13.5) at Dallas
NY Giants at Denver (+6)
Tampa Bay (+12) at Atlanta
Miami at Buffalo (+3)
Cleveland (+14) At Cincinnati
Indianapolis at Houston (+3)
Carolina (+3) at NY Jets
Washington (+9) at Philadelphia
Seattle at St. Louis (+3)
Kansas City (+13.5) at San Diego
Jacksonville (+3) at San Francisco
Arizona at Tennessee - no line yet
Chicago (+10.5) at Minnesota
Pittsburgh at Baltimore - No line yet
New England (+3) at New Orleans
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Knockout Pool Strategy - We are getting closer and closer to having a winner in our big knockout pool. We can smell the $$$$$ coming our way. With just a few upsets more we will be good to go. This week is a solid time to take the Bengals. Bengals are coming off the dreadful Oakland trip, just ask Philly about that one, and the Browns are coming off a deflating, season busting loss to the Lions. Week 13 here we come.
Week 1: New Orleans Saints
Week 2: Washington Redskins
Week 3: Baltimore Ravens
Week 4: Chicago Bears
Week 5: Philadelphia Eagles
Week 6: Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 7: New England Patriots
Week 8: San Diego Chargers
Week 9: Seattle Seahawks
Week 10: Minnesota Vikings
Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 12: Cincinnati Bengals
FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 23, 2009
Greetings folks. Our season ATS record stands at 48-42-1. Despite our winning record, we feel terrible. Not as bad as these guys…
Is That The Little Person Kobe & Lebron?!?!?!
…but still pretty bad. Not a bad record, but not even close to the vicinity we are aiming for (65%). We are in a slump, but we know what we are capable of and will keep applying our system. That said, this is what we recommend for tonight:
Kings @ Grizzlies -5.5:If this game was in Arco, our analysis would be different. We love the direction both teams are heading and this should be an exciting game. The Kings have been in some very tough defeats as of late, losing by two to the Mavs last Friday and by seven to the Rockets on Saturday night. They should be rested, but Tyreke Evans is doubtful. Without Evans, the Kings are a completely different team. They need him to produce and they need his energy with Kevin Martin out of the line-up for the foreseeable future. We like the Grizzlies in this game because they are at home and they have a ton of young talent that can score and run the court all game long. And, as well as the Kings have played, they have been terrible on the road. Take the Grizzlies and give the points.
Grizzlies Haters Beware!!!! They Aren't That Bad!!!!
Yeap. That Guy Got It Right.
FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 20, 2009
Greetings folks! We hope to build some momentum off our 2-1 night last night. Typically on nights with only 3 games, we expect to be 3-0. However, we’ll take the wins as we can. As it stands, our season record ATS is 45-35-1. Due to some time constraints, we are leaving out a lot of the detail we typically provide. Know that everything below fits our models and is what we personally are backing. That said, here is what we are rollin’ with:
Cavs @ Pacers +4: Take the Cavs and give the points-LeBron will play and be fine.
Grizzlies @ 76ers -5: Take the Grizzlies and the points.
Heat @ Raptors -3: Take the Heat and the points.
Rockets @ Hawks -7: Take the Hawks and give the points.
Magic @ Celtics -6: Take the Celtics and give the points.
Wizards @ Thunder -4: Take the Wizards and the points.
Kings @ Mavericks -11: Take the Kings and the points.
Bobcats @ Bucks -4: Take the Bobcats and the points.
Trailblazers @ Warriors: +8: Take the Blazers and give the points.
Nuggets @ Clippers +9: Take the Nuggets and give the points.
Sorry for the brief post. As always, good luck with your picks.
Flash & Runny
FREE NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 19, 2009
Greetings. Back-to-back terrible nights for us. We went 3-5 ATS on Tuesday and followed it up with a 6-6 night. Not a losing night (except for the vig), but not even in the same area code of where we need to be. With that, our season record ATS stands at 43-34-1. Here is what we like tonight:
Suns @ Hornets +8: The Suns must be looking forward to rollin’ into the Big Easy right now. Especially Steve Nash who will not have to put up with Chris Paul on either side of the ball. This is HUGE for this match-up. With CP3 in the line-up, this is a much different team. It will free-up Nash on both sides of the ball. Phoenix are terrible on their last few Thursday games (5-17 ATS in their last 22) and against the Hornets (2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings). However the head-to-head stat, we think, is a product of CP3. Now that he is out, this is a different game. The only injury the Suns have is Robin Lopez. This won’t be a factor. Take the Suns and give the points.
Beware Hornets!! If All Else Fails, The Suns Will Resort to Groping to Get Us a Cover!!!!
Jazz @ Spurs -5: The home team (19-7 ATS in their last 26 meetings) and favorite (19-7 ATS in their last 26 meetings) has a huge advantage in their series as of late. Both teams are off games last night with the Jazz travelling into San Antonio for tonight’s game. The Spurs are off a tough loss to the Mavericks in Dallas last night. That game showed us that the Spurs cannot beat good teams with just Tim Duncan alone. It is too much to ask. Tonight, there is a good chance he rides solo again as Ginobili is out and there is a good chance Tony Parker will not play. Not good for the Spurs. Deron Williams is getting his legs back underneath him, and he looked great last night. That will be the key to this game-the Jazz bring way too many healthy weapons to the court. They may not win, but they will cover. Take the Jazz and the points.
Although He Won't Be Playing Tonight, His Annoying Style of Play Will Still Manage to Annoy Us From the Bench. The Flop Will Not Cover!!!!
Bulls @ Lakers -9.5: Game two for the Bulls on their annual circus road trip. They spanked the Kings in game one. Tonight they get a much harder opponent in the Lakers. The Lakers have struggled as of late, but they seemed to turn it around last time out against the Pistons. They get a HUGE lift tonight as Pau Gasol is scheduled to return. He poses huge problems for the Bulls. He will be the key along with the Lakers front court. They will have too much for the Bulls. We are going against the grain a little on this-most of the significant ATS numbers scream take the Bulls. Take the Lakers and give the points.
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash
NBA PICKS FOR NOVEMBER 18, 2009
Greetings folks. We had a terrible night last night with a 3-5 record. It is our first losing night in over a week. We have had a good run as of late, but we know another 3-5 night can happen at any point and we need to stay focused. The 3-5 night brings our season ATS record to 37-28-1. That is not even close to where we need to be (our goal is 65%). So, back to work….here is what we like tonight:
Cavs @ Wizards +5: The Cavs are just not covering and they are pretty banged up. Shaq is out again and there is a good chance no Anderson Varejao tonight. Even without them in the line-up, they are a good team, but this will be a tough road game. Washington has played the Cavs well in recent years and the Dog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. This game will come down to Agent 0 and whether he has learned to follow his instincts like he did in the past. He has been a tentative player and if the Wizards are to keep this game close, they need to Agent 0 that drives to the basket and plays instinctively. We think he will do it tonight. Plus, the Wizards may be getting Antawn Jamison back tonight for the 1st time during the regular season. Take the Wizards and the points.
Agent 0 Sees A Win In His Future Tonight and So Do We!!!!!
Bobcats @ 76ers -4: The Sixers have been extremely inconsistent. They don’t play D andtheir front court has no clue how to rebound. In our opinion, Elton Brand has been a bust, and at best, was the wrong guy to fit in with their style of play. The Bobcats are fresh off a close loss to the Magic. Stephen Jackson looked solid in his debut. Hopefully for the Bobcats, he will be a positive force on and off the court this year. Larry Brown does have some experience successfully managing problem child players. This will be a tough game for them because the Sixers are rested and waiting for them. However, the Sixers will be without Marreese Speights tonight. Speights has arguably been their spark on offense this year. We’ll see how the Sixers respond. We think Jackson will have a solid game and keep it within 4. Take the Bobcats and the points.
Trust Us, If This Guy Comes Down Your Chimney This Christmas, Call The Cops Immediately!!!!! All We Want For Christmas Are Some Covers!!!!
Thunder @ Magic -12.5: Just when the Magic seem to get all of the pieces of their puzzle together on the court at once, they lose a major piece. Jameer Nelson is out for the next 4-6 weeks with a bum knee. This is a HUGE blow for the Magic, who struggled at times in their win Monday night against the Bobcats. However, Jason Williams will get the starting nod tonight in Nelson’s absence. He is certainly not the player he once was, but he is not terrible. We think he will surprise teams with his ball handling ability. The Thunder are legit and are off a HUGE win last night against the Heat. However, this Magic team is much, much better than the Heat team they faced last night. The Magic are rested, too. The game will come down to the front courts of each team. The Thunder, surprisingly, rebound much better than the Magic do. They also play better D. They also gave the Magic their worse loss of the season earlier in Oklahoma City. The Magic will be out for revenge and should be focused for tonight’s game. The Thunder have not lost by double digits all year and the Magic, with the exception of one game against the winless Nets, have not covered double digit spreads. We think the Thunder will have the energy needed to keep it within 12.5. Take the Thunder and the points.
We Are Here To Claim The Reward....We Found His Jumpshot. It Will Be In Orlando Tonight.
Knicks @ Pacers -6.5:Man, the Knicks are so sad. The are to the NBA what the New York Mets are to baseball-overrated by the market they are in and very, very disappointing. The Knicks are winless on the road this year and probably will not get their first win on the road tonight. This Pacers team is good and really gets after the ball on both sides of the court. Danny Granger has to be an early MVP candidate and Roy Hibbert has been ridiculous in the middle. The Knicks will have no response for either. The Pacers are HOT (5 straight wins and covers) while the Knicks are not (6 straight losses and not covering in 5 of those 6 losses). The line is low because the Pacers played last night and the Knicks are rested. We don’t care. Take the Pacers and give the points.
That Is All We Have To Say About That...
Heat @ Hawks -7.5: The Heat looked terrible last night against the Thunder. They could not handle the size and energy the Thunder brought to the table. Things look bad for them tonight because that is exactly what the Hawks will bring at home. This team is young, athletic and fast. Each game they player better and better together. They will be a force in the regular and post seasons this year. The Heat are good, too, but they won’t have enough in the tank tonight. Look for another low scoring Heat performance. We love this line. The Hawks have covered every time they were the favorite this year. Take the Hawks and give the points.
Warriors @ Celtics -16.5: The walking wounded Warriors limp into Beantown to face a rested Celtics team. The Celtics have struggled as of late and look to avoid a 3rd straight loss. They will. We think they cover, too. Despite the spread being high, we think the Celtics are exactly what the Warriors don’t want to see right now: a rested, veteran team that is deep and plays well together. We think the game will be somewhat close until the 4th. The Celtics win big. Take the Celtics and give the points.
Hate to Be Spoilers, But The Celtics Win Big Tonight.
Rockets @ T’Wolves +5.5: The Rockets are off a big home loss to the Suns last night. The T’Wolves are off losses to pretty much everyone. They may get Al Jefferson back tonight, but even if they do, it won’t matter. Even a sluggish, tired Rockets team will cover this spread. The T’Wolves just have no answer for anyone right now. Trevor Ariza is opening eyes with his new role as a starter. He should have a solid night again. Take the Rockets and give the points.
Nets @ Bucks -10: The Nets have yet to win this season and are a dismal 4-7 ATS. The Bucks have been been outstanding this year and are tied for 2nd in the Central. With the exception of the Warriors, the Nets may have the most injured team in the league. It will not help them on back-to-back nights against a hot, relentless Bucks team at home. The Bucks will have just too much depth. Take the Bucks and give the points.
Clippers @ Grizzlies -5: The Grizzlies look to build on their win and avenge an earlier season loss against the Clippers tonight. We don’t think it will happen. Although we love OJ Mayo and Rudy Gay, we think the Clippers have a better roster. Plus they play much better D. We don’t think thegame last night will have too much of an effect on the Clippers tonight. The Grizzlies may win, but it will be close. Take the Clippers and the points.
Raptors @ Jazz -7.5: Deron Williams is back for the Jazz. That is HUGE for them. This has been along road trip for the Raptors who were crushed last night by the Nuggets. A rested Carlos Boozer should have enough to keep Bosh in check. The Jazz should win big. Take the Jazz and give the points.
Spurs @ Mavericks -2: The Spurs finally have their bug guns healthy, but even without them, they beat the Mavericks outright earlier in the month by 9. The Spurs are just a better team and the Mavericks are soft. Not much analysis for us on this one. The Spurs are winless on the road. They will right their ship tonight. They will win outright. We love the points. Take the Spurs and the points.
Could Be The Worse Photo in Sports History...No Wonder Steve Nash Left Dallas.
Pistons @ Blazers -10.5: This is one of our favorite games of the night. The Pistons are fresh off a beatdown at the hands of the Lakers last night. They are understaffed without Prince andHamilton. Travelling to Portland for a game in consecutive nights to face a rested Trailbalzerssquad is not what the doctor ordered. Portland is just much, much better in every phase of the game right now. Until the Pistons get Prince and Hamilton, they have only two legit scoring threats. One of those threats, Ben Gordon, plays crazy at times. Andre Miller will eat him alive. This game will not be close. Take the Blazers and give the points.
As always, good luck with your picks.
Runny & Flash