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Jim Tressel

NCAA Football Week 5 Free Picks: If September is any indication, October will be AWESOME!!!

Last week turned into one big clown show; both for NCAA power rankings and for our bets. We had some games dead on like Iowa and the ones we were wrong on we were way wrong like Cal. We did warn of the Tedford turd sandwich we just did not think it would be his largest turd sandwich ever. On the BCS front, Houston looks great, Florida State is done, Ole Miss done, Cal done, Miami done. We love it. Every week that goes by like this the closer we will get to a playoff system. The Flash Flash/Backwoods Southern Lawyer approach has not slayed it yet and Runny will be back soon to get us back on track. We also look forward to our statistical models rolling out in the coming weeks. Lots of picks this week. We pick the winners in the big games (USC-CAL) and we continue to hammer some of the biggest losers (think Miami-Ohio).

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Also, If you look at the top right of our Home Page tab, we have tabs for you to click to join us on Facebook as well as on Twitter. We are all over the social media crapola right now. Last but certainly not least, we would love it if you opened a Bodog account through our website by clicking one of the banner ads. Granted our picks have not filled the bank accounts by any means but we are offering these picks out of the goodness of our hearts and providing you with great content. We have full faith our picks are on the verge of turning around, especially when we crank out our statistical models which will be any day now. If you think we are a bunch of clowns then don’t do a thing. Well maybe click an ad here or there on our website. Ha ha. On with the picks….

Friday, October 2, 2009

Utah State at BYU (-23.5) - Well we are back on the BYU bandwagon. Besides the FSU debacle, BYU has covered in each game. Utah State has done a good job as 20 point underdogs and covered against Texas A&M and Utah. Both games were set at 20.5 points. The home team in this series is 5-0-1 in their last 6 meetings and BYU is certainly no cupcake place to play. Max Hall and Co. will run up the score early and ram it down The Aggies throats late. Besides the ATS head-to-head numbers the other ATS numbers scream Aggies. This might be the last time we bet BYU this season if they lose because we are expecting a game of 38-7 or 56-10 or something along those lines. Utah State has the 117th ranked defense in the country and only has 2 sacks. No pressure on Max Hall = bad results. Utah State actually has the 9th rated offense in the nation, which blows our minds because they have a 22.5% offensive 3rd down success rate. BYU wins and covers!!

Saturday October 3, 2009

Wisconsin at Minnesota (-2.5) - Totally surprised to see Minnesota favored in this one. Wisconsin actually has some nice, hard fought victories against the likes of Michigan State, Fresno State and Northern Illinois. Minnesota is enjoying their new stadium but really do not have as impressive a run going. These teams look identical on defense with Wisconsin holding a slight edge where it matters. The largest difference is on offense. Wisconsin is significantly better at running the ball and converting third downs. That formula leads to better ball control and the ability to wear down a defense. We also like the fact that the Badgers are 5-2 heads up ATS in their last seven against Minnesota. We are betting Wisconsin to win, cover and Golden Shower the Golden Gophers!

Wisconsin

• Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Badgers are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
• Badgers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Badgers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
• Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Alabama (-15.5) at Kentucky - Does this really need any sort of analysis? See Kentucky at home against Florida -21 and now you have Kentucky at home against Alabama -15.5. Kentucky is just not that good. Where is the media now talking up the SEC? Kentucky might not be able to beat anybody this season in conference. What we do love is that Kentucky is shaking up the BCS in their own way by knocking out Tim Tebow. Just remember what happened to Penn State’s QB last year after he got a concussion…PSU lost to Iowa the next week. The Gator’s showdown in Baton Rouge next week will be awesome. Those Alabama fans who worried that Greg McElroy would have a hard time replacing John Parker Wilson stopped worrying Sept. 5. McElroy is third nationally in pass efficiency and might be throwing it better than Wilson ever did. We like Alabama to pound on Kentucky and cover easily!!!

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Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cincinnati (-27.5) at Miami (Ohio) - Time to jump on the Cincy bandwagon and no matter what we are going to bet against Miami-Ohio every time it makes sense. Cincy has solid wins at Rutgers and Oregon State. Oregon State is incredibly impressive because it is nasty heading up to Corvallis. Miami-Ohio just might be the worst team in the country and they have not been favored in any game this season. On top of that they are 0-4 ATS this season. 27.5 points is a lot to get by but Cincy blew these guys out last year by a score of 45-20 and Miami-Ohio is significantly worse this year. Tony Pike is the man. Jump on the Cincy bandwagon while you can! We like Cincy to cover and win easily!!!!

• Bearcats are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Bearcats are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
• Bearcats are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Miami-Ohio

• Redhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
• Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.
• Redhawks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Redhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Tulane at Army (-6.5) - This is the BSL special. BSL is from Baton Rouge and loves picking on Toolame. We hit nice wins against them earlier in the season when they had swine flu and could not cover against Tulsa and BYU. Time to dump on them again. It is 1,350 miles from New Orleans to West Point and that is asking a lot to go play against a rowdy, disciplined Army team. Army takes care of business just like they did 44-13 on the road last season. No contest. We are betting Army to win and cover!!!

Tulane

• Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Green Wave are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
• Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
• Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

LSU at Georgia (-2.5) - I could not get BSL to take credit for this bet because it makes him sick as a Tigers fan. This is classic SEC brutal scheduling. LSU travels to Georgia the week before they host Florida and focus will be spotty. Georgia is actually running a 3 game winning streak against LSU and the games have been ugly. Neither of these teams have helped bettors this year. LSU has one cover and it was against UL-Lafayette and Georgia has one cover and it was at Arkansas. These teams look like mirror images of each other on defense. LSU is sporting a weak offense and is ranked 105th in the country but Georgia’s numbers are not that much better. With a spread under -3 for the home field advantage we will take Georgia all day long. There is a reason the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. We are betting Georgia to win and cover!!!

LSU

• Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Tigers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
• Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Penn State (-6.5) at Illinois - Big rebound game for Penn State. Illinois showed who they are this year and that is a bad team. See games against Missouri and Ohio State. Joe Pa will have the Nittany Lions ready to play and rebound from their second half break down against Iowa last week. Both teams are O-fer ATS this season but we think the Iowa game provided Penn State with the necessary wake up call. Look for big things from the Penn State offense. We are betting Penn State to win and cover!!!

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
• Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

• Fighting Illini are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a S.U. loss.
• Fighting Illini are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Fighting Illini are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 7-25 ATS in their last 32 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
• Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Illini are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head

• Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Illinois.
• Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Ohio State (-17.5) at Indiana - It is that time of year again. Ohio State rolls through the Big Ten bringing sports bettors along for a great ride. Yes Indiana gave Michigan a run for its money but we do not know anything about Michigan yet but the fact that their defense is suspect and everyone loves Forcier. What do we know about Ohio State? Tressel and the Buckeyes roll through the Big Ten every year. Maybe they slip up once but maybe they don’t. They certainly will not slip against Indiana. Ohio State is on fire, posting back to back shutouts. Look at the Head-to-Head ATS numbers and you will get on board. We love and are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
• Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
• Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Buckeyes are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
• Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in October.
• Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
• Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Buckeyes are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Tulsa (-15.5) at Rice - Tulsa has an offense and Rice stinks. We loaded up on Tulsa against Toolame and we look to capitalize some more on the Golden Hurricanes. We might just pick Tulsa so we can make more Golden Shower references but that will be up to you to decide. We are betting Tulsa to win, cover and Golden Hurricane (extreme golden shower)!!!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
• Golden Hurricane are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Golden Hurricane are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

USC (-5) at Cal - This is another painful one to put in the books but we have to be realistic. The only reason USC is favored is because of the historic USC, not this season’s USC and because CAL was thumped by Oregon last weekend. Stafon Johnson just went out for this game due to a freak weight lifting accident and Matt Barkley is still banged up. USC is decimated. They lost more guys to injury on defense last week against Washington State, Stafon will be out, RoJo is out, Taylor Mays is banged up. This USC is too beat up. Also, USC’s offense is anemic and a CAL team at home will score points, even on USC’s defense. If they score 20 points it just might be enough. Yes USC has the 6th rated defense in the country but Cal is not too shabby. They are giving up less than 3 yards per rush on defense and have 14 sacks so they might be able to get to Barkley more than other teams have. Here is the truly frightening stat; USC only converts 25% of their 3rd down opportunities on offense. That is horrific. Cal for example is up at 43%. This might very well be the difference. We would not be surprised to see a game much like we saw in USC at Ohio State. USC’s defense will play awesome and keep the team in the game until the offense comes through or does not come through. We think Cal will win a close one but even if USC wins it will not be by more than a FG. We are taking Cal to cover!!!

We love that we finally have a picture of a big turd sandwich for Tedford!!!

USC

• Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Trojans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

California

• Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
• Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on turf.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Virginia Tech (-17) at Duke - Va Tech started at +15.5 and is now up to +17.  Va Tech coming off their game of the year after dominating Miami.  Duke with nothing to lose….nothing but the game we guess, but we think they do that by less than 2 tds. We are betting Duke to cover!!!

Va Tech

• Hokies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
• Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Next up: The Miss Idaho Game!!!

Colorado St. (-3) at Idaho - Both teams are fairly decent (for loser teams from loser conferences).  Both are 3-1, with loses coming by way of identical 42-23 scores.  Difference is that Colorado St. lost to BYU and Idaho lost to Washington.  Most importantly, the line started out higher and is falling.  Obviously, the betting public loves the Vandals.  We are betting Colorado State to win and Cover this one easily!!!

Colorado State

• Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. WAC.

• Vandals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Washington at Notre Dame (-13.5) - It has been too long since we found a reason to bet against Notre Dame. ND is banged up on offense and has not shown a defense this season. Washington is now definitely over their win over USC after Stanford beat them and out-toughed them. Nick Holt will not let that happen again this season. We do not think Notre Dame can blow anybody out but Nevada. Notre Dame has shown that they have the same talent level as the Big Ten and no more. They easily should have lost to Michigan State and Purdue and then would be sitting on one win. ND is not good but the public does not know it yet. Washington will be fired up to get their first win ever against Notre Dame. We think Washington covers and if you have some extra scratch, take the money line!!!

Houston (-14.5) at UTEP -Houston is undefeated ATS this season and rolling through their schedule taking down Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. This team is good and Case Keenum is awesome. Yes, Houston’s defense is ranked 97th but UTEP’s is ranked 109th. The difference here, Houston has the 2nd rated offense and UTEP is dead last at 120th. Houston wins this by 30 points as Keenum pads his Heisman stats. We are betting heavy on Houston to win and cover!!!

Coach Sumlin has bettors happy this season!!!!

Houston

• Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

All Hail Case Keenum!!!

NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy

RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.

If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!

Missouri

• Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.

• Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
• Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Saturday, September 6, 2009

• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.

Miss State

• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
• Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
• Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

• Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

• Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
• Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Head-to-Head

• Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5

• Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Va Tech

• Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

• Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
• Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.

Kentucky

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.

• Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
• Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Head-to-Head

• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
• Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

Southern Miss at Kansas (-13.5) - Kansas is a bettor’s best friend. Mangino loves to pad the offensive stats for his boy Reesing and the players love to play for a coach who is peddle to the metal all of the time. Southern Miss has some talent and is 3-0 but they are 0-2 ATS because they have been double digit favorites and all of the games have been close. Southern Miss wins by way of the run. Kansas is only giving up 58 yards a game at a 2.23 yards per rush clip. We love Kansas to win and cover!!!

• Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
• Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
• Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Akron at Central Michigan (-16.5) - Of course we are betting the Fever in his MAC-key Attackey home opener. The Chips are also 2-0 ATS and had a nice bye week to calm them down after beating Michigan State. If you do not pay attention to the MAC then you do not know that Akron is a disaster right now. On Wednesday, actions were taken against senior quarterback Chris Jacquemain, recruiting coordinator and running backs coach Reno Ferri and backup defensive lineman Cowles Stewart. Jacquemain, who was in his third year as the Zips starting quarterback, has been officially dismissed from the team, ending his Zips career. Ferri, who was in his sixth season with the UA program, has been placed on administrative leave with pay, pending a school review of whether he violated compliance requirements related to NCAA rules on recruiting. Stewart, a sophomore noseguard, was suspended from the team until the outcome of legal action is resolved. He has been charged with felonious assault for punching a man last month. Enough info for you? The Chips are going to beat The Akron Zips down and we are assigning this our Golden Shower game of the Week. Throw in the fact that the Zips are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Chips and We love The Fever and Central Michigan to win and Cover with ease!!!!

Akron

• Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
• Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
• Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
• Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
• Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.

Straight picks - We just like these games. No theme, no nothing. Just old fashioned winners baby!

Illinois at Ohio State (-14) - Over the last three decades, not many teams have caused Ohio State more headaches and heartache than Illinois. From 1930 to 1982, the Buckeyes went 43-8-2 against the Illini. In the 24 meetings since, Ohio State is 13-11. The teams meet for the 96th time on Saturday at Ohio Stadium. Ohio State burned us last week and now we get to bet on a Tressel team in the Big Ten and that our friends is where the money is made. Tressel and Ohio State pound on the Big Ten and Illinois is not as good as we thought they would be and is 0-2 ATS this season. Pryor looked like a different man last week and we look for his success to continue against Illinois. Illinois rebounded after their pounding at the hands of Missouri by playing Illinois State but we are expecting a result similar to the Missouri game. The head-to-head ATS numbers scare us a bit but we have confidence in our formula. Ohio State plus Tressel plus Big Ten games = Bet Ohio State and that is what we are doing. We are betting on Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois

• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
• Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
• Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

South Florida at Florida State (-14) - BSL told me about the power of a Jimbo Fisher offense when it gets rolling and I guess 313 yards at BYU was ROLLING. Holy moly was that a beat down last week. We are going to ride the hot team and bet against the team that just lost its life blood. Senior QB, Matt Grothe is out for South Florida and you can basically stick a fork in The Bulls. They are done. We love FSU to roll in this one, win and cover!!!

South Florida

• Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Florida State

• Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Washington at Stanford (-7) - Colin Cowherd has a rule that we love to follow. Always bet against the team that just pulled the major upset. You know what Washington did last week and we think that was enough to distract them for a week. Just look at USC the last 4 years; they lose the game after “THE” game. Well Sark and Holt operate the Pete Carroll way and if he can not figure it out then there is no way The Huskies can. We are all over Stanford to cover and win!!!!

Washington

• Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.
• Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.
• Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Stanford

• Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Enjoy the picks

Flash Flash and BSL

2009 NCAA Football: Week 2 picks: Taking our head out of our Arse! Ohio State Versus USC Week!

We were 5-9 in Week 1. Really unexcuseable so no excuses will be made. Hopefully you read our preview piece and were able to capitalize on some of the predictions we made yet were too ignorant to put in our freakin Week 1 pick piece. We are pissed and we promise to take our heads out of our arses for Week 2.

RPJ will take its head out of its ass this week!

Week 2 picks

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Iowa at Iowa State (+6.5) - This really has turned into the series of ineptitude. Iowa either has big hopes and totally lays a dud int he game and does not cover or even gets upset. It happens year after year after year. Both teams played 1-AA school last week and Iowa almost lost; only won by one freakin point. This was a team that was supposed to contend for the Big-10 title. Well at least until Jewel Hampton went down. Iowa State has covered in this game 6 years in a row, winning two of them as underdogs. We are playing with history here. Check out these Head to Head numbers:

• Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
• Hawkeyes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

These two will not be happy come Saturday!

Central Michigan at Michigan State (-14.5) - In-state rivals dial it up for a backyard brawl of sorts. MAC vs. Big 10. If you read our posts, you know we love us some MAC. You will also know we hate the Big 10. Are we homers? Maybe, but we have a presence in the Midwest and we see these teams firsthand week in and week out. The Big 10 is way overhyped. In this one, we are not even sure MSU is the better team, let alone 14.5 point favorites.  CMU put on a decent, yet controversial display last week in Zona to squeak by with a cover for us. We like them again this week. The Spartans play at Notre Dame next week and in the past two seasons under Mark Dantonio, have failed to cover the spread in the game before playing the Fighting Irish. Take CMU and the points.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
• Chippewas are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
• Chippewas are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Chippewas are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
• Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Chippewas are 31-13-3 ATS in their last 47 games overall.
• Chippewas are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Chippewas are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
• Chippewas are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

• Spartans are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
• Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

My name is Ryan Lovette and I was kicked out of MSU for psoing in Playboy. Supoort my cause and bet against the Spartans.

Houston at Oklahoma State (-15.5) - OSU is too legit to quit!! Great win last week at home against a coveted SEC team. They will destroy Houston. This is way too few points to give at home. Take OSU and give the points.

Its OSU Hammer Time!!!

Houston

• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

UNC at UConn (+3.5) - UNC is stacked this year with young talent and they may have had the best recruting class in the ACC. UConn lost a ton of skill and experience on both sides of the ball. No doubt UConn has overachieved since it started playing football 8 years ago, but UNC just has too much experience.  UNC’s veteran O-Line and QB will be too much for the Huskies. Take the Heels and give the points.

UNC

• Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

• Huskies are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Huskies are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Do cheerleader pics ever get old?

TCU at Virginia (+11) -Generally we like to avoid road favorites. However, TCU’s D is just too stacked not to like them in this one. Jerry Hughes is a mean man. One of the best defenders in the country. This team is pissed they went 11-2 last year!!!! Andy Dalton is progressing at QB. Virginia has no offensive threats we even care to mention. Take TCU and give the points.

TCU

• Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Horned Frogs are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
• Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

• Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
• Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
• Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.

If I am not careful I will get horned by one of those Texas frogs!

UCLA at Tennessee (-10) - Tennessee did exactly what we thought they would do last week-play mean and run up the score. They will do the same this week. Kifin hates UCLA and Neuheisel, but that aside, the key to this game will be the same it was last week-DEFENSE. Pops Kiffin is one of the defensive minds the game has ever seen. He will throw things at UCLA’s QB that he has never seen before. For that alone, Tennessee will be outstanding this year. This is way too far for UCAL to travel and it is a VOLS revenge game. Look for the Vols in a route. Take the Vols and give the points.

UCLA

• Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
• Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
• Bruins are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
• Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
• Bruins are 27-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

• Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Volunteers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Volunteers are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Volunteers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

ATS numbers do not favor Tennessee but this is a new regime in Knoxville. Lane and Monte Kiffin and the coaching staff is top notch.

Kiffin's wife is top notch also!!!

Hawaii at Washington State (+2) - Another laugher, but it is another opportunity. Hawaii beat Washington State by 14 last year at home. They return a senior QB, senior RB and a veteran O-Line. Washington State returns as the same terrible team. Hawaii can make somewhat of a statement by beating a BCS Conference team (even though that team is terrible) on the road. They can win by a fieldgoal. Take Hawaii and give the points.

Hawaii

• Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Warriors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Warriors are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on turf.

Is Hawaiian Tropic close enough to Hawaii? We thought so!

BYU at Tulane (+17.5) - BYU showed the nation what they can do this season. Bradford going out with an injury was not an excuse. The senior leadership and superior line play were key. Tulane, coming off a spanking by Tulsa will have no reason being in this game. Do not even think BYU will have any type of hangover either. BYU is led by senior leadership and is highly disciplined. Yeah we blew a nice cover last week by ignoring all of the signs in Norman but we are on the BYU bandwagon. Take BYU in a blowout!!

BYU

• Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Cougars are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Green Wave are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
• Green Wave are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Green Wave are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games on turf.
• Green Wave are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
• Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Mormons know how to party!!!

Kansas at UTEP (+12.5) - Kansas finally has a line and we are all over it. UTEP lost at home to Buffalo, you think they are going to compete with Kansas. This does not even need a write-up. Remember Mangino and Todd Reesing!!! Take Kansas in a blowout!!!

Kansas

• Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
• Jayhawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on turf.
• Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Jayhawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in September.
• Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
• Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
• Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Jayhawks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.
• Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

• Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
• Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Miners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big 12.
• Miners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
• Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.

Tulsa at New Mexico (+17.5) - Tulsa responded well for us last week on the road and this game is no different. Tulsa puts the peddle to the metal all game, every game. Tulsa won by 42 points last season and we do not see why that can not happen again. New Mexico was blown out by a medicore Texas A&M team and this season is not looking good for them. We love Tulsa to cover in this one.

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Golden Hurricane are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

• Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• Lobos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

New Mexico gets golden showered by the Golden Hurricanes

South Carolina at Georgia (-7 and O/38) - South Carolina surprised us last week. We learned a lot…their offense is still terrible and their defense is fast and nasty. Georgia got stomped at OSU like we said and lost their QB and left tackle in the process. Cox might play but is banged up. What does this lead to? A clear play on the UNDER. Also, we really do not see either team scoring and that helps us lean towards The Cocks. The ATS numbers are all over the board but the Head to Head stats are beautiful. Check this out:

• Under is 12-0 in the last 12 meetings.
• Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia.
• Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Last time I played in the Big House I threw 7 INTs and was sacked 8 times!!! Has anything changed?

Game of the Week!!!! Collision in Columbus!!!!

Game of the Week!!!

USC at Ohio State (+6.5) - If you read us regularly this pick will come as no surprise so lets look at the ATS numbers first:

USC

• Trojans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
• Trojans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Trojans are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
• Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Ohio State

• Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-10.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
• Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Hope we had enough girls for you this week!

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

More food please!

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

Would you bet against this man?

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

Caption says it all!!!

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

Like we needed 77 reasons.

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

"Rangers Lead the Way"

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

Not in my house!!!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 5 NCAA Free Football Picks (9/25 - 9/27/08) and Booty (not John David) Chicks

Here is our rundown for the season. Last week we went a combined 10-4 so that brings our records to the following:

RPJ $yndicate is now 12-12-1 on the season. We are not happy with this but we had a solid week last week and we will continue to roll with our system that is going to start picking up winners like Spitzer picks up whores. Mark our words.

Flash Flash is now 5-1 on the season. I am loving the games I am finding. The Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week.

Runny Pelvis the Fat is now 11-9 on the season. 5-3 last week and on a roll.

We always tell you that we are here for our fans. The Wizard complained that the chicks we show are too skinny and that he wants to see curvy ladies who have asses wider than their hip bones. Sorry Klum fans but you are on the back burner this week. Here you go Wizard, a picture of Kim Kardashian, she certainly has some curves:

Look at those curves. She is voluptuous!!!

Sorry Wiz. Had to throw in some humor this week. Here you go with some fine pics:

You want curves, we will show you curves.

Wish she would lean forward. We saved the best picture for last.

Have to show skin to win baby!!!

And a video of some booty shaking. Mr. SEC Lawyer requested as much Keyra as possible and it just does not exist so we had to mix it up. This is not Keyra quality but variety is the spice of life. Also, check out the video at the end of this post. It is solid.

Hope these met your approval Wizard and Mr. SEC Lawyer. To our other fans out there this just shows how we aim to please. Feel free to post comments, requests or shoot us emails at rpjsyndicate.com. We are here for our readers 1) to make you bucket loads of cash and 2) to show you what you want and based on where you click and read, you want to see hot ass.

Now on to the Week 5 picks and we have a lot of them for you:

RPJ $yndicate picks

North Carolina at Miami (-8) - This game is going down as the Flash Flash special and his game of the week. It just so happened that it hit all cylinders as far as our models go. UNC is coming off a horrible defeat at the hands of Virginia Tech. They had that game in hand, then lost their QB and a 4th quarter lead at home. UNC is young and will not be able to to bounce back from this. T.J. Yates gave his team a chance to win any game and now they have no chance to beat The U. Miami is actually playing pretty well. We have watched them a lot this year and they played Florida tougher than the final score showed (Effing Urban Meyer and his cover FG…douche, douche, DOUCHE!!!). Miami might have the most or second most team speed on defense. Line them up against USC and see who wins. The ATS numbers actually do not favor Miami in this game but stats do. Miami rushes for more yards per game, gives up a lot less yards per game and does not turn the ball over as much. Get on this line before it hits 10. Miami covers and wins!!!

Kent State at Ball State (-18 and over/under 59.5) - We are picking our first MACkey attackey game of the year. We love these games. Kent State stinks on defense and gives up more than 430 yards per game and to top it off they can score on offense. After they got shut out by BC in week 1, Kent State has scored 28, 24 and 27 points all while going 1-3 on the season. Ball State can score with the best of them and are generating 482 yards per game on offense and giving up 393 yards per game on defense. Ball State is 4-0 and has scored 42, 41, 35 and 48 points on the season. Ball State scored 42 last week at Indiana and lost their best player during the game and kept on scoring. We are hitting you up with a double pick on this game. Here are the ATS numbers:

Kent State
Golden Flashes are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Flashes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Golden Flashes are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Golden Flashes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Flashes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Flashes are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 6-0 in Golden Flashes last 6 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Golden Flashes last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Flashes last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Golden Flashes last 8 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Golden Flashes last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

Ball State
Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cardinals are 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cardinals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Over is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games in September.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

We think the ATS numbers speak for themselves and Kent State is bad, really bad. They need to change their team name from the Golden Flashes to the Golden Showers. Ball State is going to urinate all over them. Take Ball State to win and cover and double it up with the OVER!!!

Ole Miss at Florida (-22) - This is an interesting game. Florida is coming off their Tennessee road beat down and Ole Miss has had two weeks to stew about their loss at home to Vanderbilt. Florida has looked good on paper but we do not think they are as good as their record shows. Tebow is not playing like Tebow. Maybe he should have been practicing instead of saving children in the Philthypeens this Summer. What we do know is Florida has some ridiculous talent on campus. Check this out:

Who wants to kiss my gator?

Lets check out the ATS numbers:

Ole Miss
Rebels are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Rebels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Florida
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Gators are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

You saw that Florida has one loss against the spread in the SEC in their last 5 and you guessed it…that game was against Ole Miss last year in a 30-24 win. Ole Miss could easily be 4-0 but has suffered a pair of disheartening losses. The Rebels outgained then-No. 20 Wake Forest on the road Sept. 6, but lost 30-28 on a last-second field goal. After beating Samford the next week, Ole Miss hosted Vanderbilt in its SEC opener last Saturday and outgained the Commodores 385-202. Jevan Snead, though, threw four interceptions and the Rebels lost two fumbles in a 23-17 defeat. Snead has talent and the swamp is no cupcake but we think this is too many points. This line opened at 24.5 and is now down to 22. We think you need to jump on it while you can. 62% of the money is betting on the Gators and the line is dropping so Vegas can take more bets for the Gators. As soon as the line stops dropping or rises we know the line is true. Get it while its hot….Ole Miss covers in this game!

Purdue at Notre Dame (Pick Em) - Holy crap this line opened at Notre Dame -3 and moved to pick em. Did hell freeze over? What the eff is going on here? 78% of the money is going to Purdue and that terrifies the hell out of us but the leaping leprechauns are putrid. The ATS numbers:

Purdue
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Boilermakers are 8-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Boilermakers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Fighting Irish are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.

Head-to-Head
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The ATS numbers are not great but the head-to-head battle is big for Purdue. We think Vegas is out of their mind this game. Unless you live in Indiana you have no idea how important this game is for Purdue against their instate rival. Notre Dame might not give a crapola about Purdue but Purdue sure wants to beat the tar out of Notre Dame. This is Purdue’s bowl game. They hate the Irish. Purdue pissed us off last year with a no cover but they are back with a vengeance this year. The Irish are still bad, very bad. So forget the record for a moment. The Fighting Irish are 111th in the country (out of 119 teams) in rushing offense. They are 107th in total offense and 68th in total defense. Notre Dame’s offensive line, which was the worst in the history of offensive lines last year, is still weak. The only thing they have going for them is somewhat of a passing game. However, Purdue held the great Dan LaFevour down last week. If they can stop that passing game, they can certainly stop Claussen’s. We think this is easy money and is Runny’s pick of the week. Purdue wins and covers easily!!!

Fresno State at UCLA (+6.5) - Sometimes our models totally throw us for a loop and they did it in this game. Even though the pick will defy all logic, we have to stay disciplined to our models and our system. Lets look at some UCLA arse to get our minds focused on the game at hand. This is from the school’s annual undie run. Bet you wish you went there.

Always aim for the middle! Why didn't we go to a PAC 10 school?!?!?!

Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Fresno State
Bulldogs are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Bulldogs are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

UCLA
Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Bruins are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bruins are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Bruins are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Bruins are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Bruins are 23-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Bruins are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bruins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in September.

Shocking isn’t it. We wish we had a better reason than, “trust us” but we do not. However, we are all over UCLA in this game and we are getting 6.5 points. Take UCLA and the points!!!!

Arkansas at Texas (-27.5) - Back for another rule of 28 game. This line was 28 when I started writing this post and it moved on us. Damn oddsmakers. Rule of 28 was 2-0 last week and really means absolutely nothing but in terms of golf, Rule 28 is when you are playing golf and you have to rule your ball unplayable and you are left with the following decisions:

a. Play a ball as nearly as possible at the spot from which the original ball was last played (see Rule 20-5); or
b. Drop a ball behind the point where the ball lay, keeping that point directly between the hole and the spot on which the ball is dropped, with no limit to how far behind that point the ball may be dropped; or
c. Drop a ball within two club-lengths of the spot where the ball lay, but not nearer the hole.

So we have a scenario for you. If you deem the ball in the picture unplayable what do you do?

Your ball is currently unplayable, what do you do?

Do you a) play the ball where it is? b) drop your ball behind the existing ball? or c) drop the ball within two club lengths. We think B is the clear winner. Drop it behind and get right in there. Is there a game associated with this? Oh yeah…The ATS numbers:

Arkansas
Razorbacks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Razorbacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.

Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Got it. Texas looks damn good this year and Arkansas blows. Alabama beat the piss out of them at Arkansas. Texas will beat them worse in Austin. Texas wins and covers!!!!!

Miss State at LSU (-24) - We did not like the points Florida had to make to cover in their game but we love it for LSU. We made some fat coin on LSU last year when they played Mississippi State and we are back for more. We love this game this week and will just show yo usome of the ATS numbers heads up:

Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Louisiana State.
Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Get our drift. Only thing that pisses us off about this game is the 2006 game. Flash missed a ten team parlay by 3.5 effing points when LSU benched all of their starters and let the Bulldogs come back and cover. Flash was in Vegas at the time and it would have been his biggest payday ever. LSU has defeated the Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1) eight straight times by an average margin of 32.4 points since a 17-16 road loss Oct. 23, 1999. Now that Lee is the QB, LSU should roll in this game. No way Miss. State can hang. LSU wins and covers!!!!!!

Virginia at Duke (-7) - Duke is actually favored by a TD. I think the stars are aligned funny and the world is about to end. Notre Dame is favored or a pick em against Purdue and there is a BCS opponent that Duke is favored against by a TD. Holy crap, run for the hills. Virginia is a mess and now has to play without the QB that won the starting job because he got tossed out of school. UVS sucked with him and will suck worse without him. Lalich is actually trying to get into Oregon State and will be at the USC/Beavers game this evening. Here are the ATS numbers:

Virginia
Cavaliers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 road games.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Duke
Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

Virginia is bad and might even be worse than Notre Dame. We know that is hard to believe but a UVA/ND matchup would probably be competitive. Man we love rubbing it in the face of ND fans. Thank god they ran Holtz out of town so the program is in shambles. Duke is on their way up and will enjoy some home town support. Duke should easily win and cover in this game!!!

Flash Flash Picks (5-1 on the season)

Florida International at Toledo (-20) - Get on this line before it goes over 21 points. Toledo can score with the best of them and lost a heartbreaker to Fresno State last week. Florida International is terrible. Do not buy into the close cover against South Florida last week. FIU was playing in their home opener and first game in a new stadium and blew their wad. Some ATS numbers: Golden Panthers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Golden Panthers are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Rockets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Rockets are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games. Toledo will come out fast and furious and FIU doe snot have an answer. Toledo wins and covers easily!!!

TCU at Oklahoma (-18.5) - Both of these teams are rolling. Nothing needs to be said about Oklahoma. Nobody really knows anything about TCU though. TCU is tough as hell and actually beat Oklahoma in 2005 as 25 point road underdogs. This year TCU has a solid offense and its defense is actually playing better than Oklahoma’s. In addition, TCU is turning the ball over less. Here are the ATS numbers:

TCU
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big 12.
Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Horned Frogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 12-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Horned Frogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Horned Frogs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Horned Frogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.

Oklahoma
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games.
Sooners are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Good numbers out of both teams. TCU has actually won their last two games in Norman. I think 18.5 points is just too much to ask as a spread versus the TCU defense. I do not think TCU wins but I think they can keep their loss under 18.5 points. Take TCU with the points!!!

Runny Pelvis Picks (11-9 on the season)

SMU @ Tulane (-18): Flash bailed on me on this one because he is afraid of the points. Chickenshit!! I’m not scurred!! I love betting on creoles on Thursday nights!!! My penchant for crawfish aside, here are some facts: Tulane is 11-1 ATS in their 12 as favorites off non-conference game vs opponent off a SU loss, Tulane is 5-1 ATS vs opponent they beat the year before who is off back to back SU losses and they are 9-2 ATS at home off of a double digit SU win. SMU facts: they suck. I’m riding the Green Wave this week!! Take Tulane -18.

USC @ Oregon State (+25.5): The boys in Vegas are PRAYING Oregon State covers this one. The line has gone up all week, but everyone is crushing USC in this one. The Vegas books are refusing to raise the line. This scares us. So do the ATS numbers-ORST is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against USC at home, and they are 6-0 ATS off of double digit ATS win against teams that beat them the year before who are off of a SU win. Not looking good for USC. However, USC is ridiculous this year. Ridiculous. It is not the same USC team from the past 3 games in Corvallis. Think about it-USC destroyed the #5 team in the country in their last game. They will do the same this week. They are 12-3 ATS with rest. Carroll has already come out and said they want to end the game early so they can get their 4th string QB some reps!!! This will be a beatdown. Take USC -25.5.

Minn @ OSU (-18): I hate making this pick because I hate both teams so very much. However, I’m about picking winners first, so that always prevails. OSU is fresh off a massacre in SoCal and a less than sensational win (but no cover-like I said last week) last week. However, the key to last week’s game is that Tressel started Pryor. It made a huge difference. That kid is legit, and he is only gonna get better. Plus, Beanie Wells is back this week, it is OSU’s Big 10 opener and they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Minn. Take OSU -18.

MSU @ IU (+8): As I mentioned last week, I was at the IU-Ball State game in Bloomington last week. IU shocked me at how bad they are. In particular, their QB play was terrible and they could not stop Ball State. Even worse, their fans were total pu$$ies. Total pu$$ies. The Ball State fans were much louder. Unacceptable during a home game. MSU has Jevon Ringer. IU couldn’t stop Ball State’s running game last week, so they have no chance of stopping Ringer. Here are some facts: MSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against IU, MSU is 4-1 ATS in the game before Iowa and IU is 1-9 ATS off a SU favorite loss against teams that beat them the year before. That is terrible. MSU wins big. Take MSU -8.

Also, we are still researching the Wisconsin-Michigan, Colorado-FSU, Tenn-Auburn, ILL-PSU and Bama-GA games, but we haven’t made up my mind yet. We will do so by Friday. Check back with us for these picks. These may be individual picks (or maybe nothing at all), but we will at least have substantial opinions on all.

We are going to leave you with this video because we know some of you like em less curvy…

Another tough day in the life of Runny and Flash. Cash and ASS!!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

NCAA WEEK 4 PREDICTIONS: FUCK ESPN!!!!!!!!!!!!!

People call me Magic Rat because that is my government name. I think it is a good handle and I started liking it in the 4th grade. It still works, so I’m sticking with it.

I met the boys from RPJ at last week’s SC-OSU massacre. They are some cool cats andI like what they have to say. I don’t agree with(personally, I think they are sucking off Colin Cowherd right now) everything they post, but they play it from the heart. That’s cool with me. I love talking about games and handicapping. I could talk plays all day, every day. The boys at RPJ are the same way.

Most of all, I like to point out stupidity every time I can. Living in our TV driven world lends itself to soooomany opportunities to find stupidity. For every Hills episode, for every dumbass shit that comes of a Kardashian’s mouth andfor every time there is proof that Paris Hilton does not have the sense Christ gave a woodchuck, the most stupid shit I see is usually on ESPN. Sorry folks, but I DESPISE that network. I love sports, but I hate ESPN with a passion. I hate Stewart Scott’s wandering, multi-colored eyes. I hate Stephen A. Smith’s militant, I know everything about Kobe Bryant spit. I hate Scott Van Pelt’s I have people buried in my basement look and persona. I hate that Trey Wingo’s name is “Trey” and that he makes people call him that. Trey is tres dumb to me.

Mostly, I hate how hypocritical ESPN is. Seriously. The hypocrisy is so thick you can see it on the screen. Need an example? Why hasn’t anyone said anything about Chris Berman’s Shwami-way of handicapping a game without saying the network supports gambling??! The whole point of the network is to tell you who is hurt, what teams do in the past in certain conditions and how they think they will play. Call a spade a spade. That is the essence of handicapping. F ESPN!!!!

All of these clowns handicap games and tell you where to put your money, but won’t admit what they are really doing. So, I’m going to give you some of my predictions for this week. See if the dumbasses at ESPN agree.

Here are my predictions:

1). Photos of Tebow and Clay Aiken together in Cabo finally surface and Tebow is forced to reveal that he is Aiken’s babydaddy. This will be revealed by halftime. Tennessee exploits the news by distracting Tebow by having the music from Celine Dion Live at the Acropolis pumped into his headset on 3rd down plays. Tebow is giddy. He throws 7 picks in the 2nd half and Tennessee wins 3-2.

Tebow Kryptonite...Satan Has a Face!!!

2). Iowa blows out Pitt…Najeh Davenport returns to Pittsburgh and takes a dump in Wannstedt’s closet. http://espn.go.com/nfl/news/2002/0729/1411363.html

3).Charlie Weis blows out his elbow reaching for extra sprinkles at Dairy Queen needing Tommy John surgery. He promptly sues DQ for being fat and asks Brady to be his star witness. Again.

Your Honor, The Witness Is Too Fat To Testify. If His Suit Can't Fit, You Must Acquit.

He loses and Jevon Ringer promptly tallies 700 yards on the ground. MSU wins by 3,000. Also, every MSU LB will sack Claussen and take turns shaving his head. Have you seen a worse haircut?!?!?!

4). Troy beats OSU outright. Now obnoxious Big 10 fans will know they can’t even hang against the Sun Belt either. OSU promptly moves to the Missouri Valley Conference in hopes of back dooring their way into another BCS final next year. They open their 2009 season at home against Bowdoin College, but lose game 2 to Illinois State. Tresselbegins looking into creating a new conference with Sarah Palin in Alaska. She gets federal earmarks and he plays games against pick-up Eskimo teams.

As If Living Off Of Whale Blubber Didn't Already Make You Feel Bad Enough...

 OSU plays LSU again in the 2009 finals. LSU wins by 2,000 and their dumb creole fans think they played a legit team and deserve to be ranked in the top 5 ’til the end of time.

5). Buffalo covers against Mizzou.

6). The Bama-Ark game becomes known as The PieceOshitDirtBagWelcher Bowl as Saban and Petrino jockey for raises before the game, tell their players that they will be BFF’s like LC and Heidi and then immediately quit at the coin toss. Petrino becomes Bama’s coach and Saban joins Ark.

OMG!!! The New Faces of BFF's Saban and Petrino. F Off SEC Fans!! Your Conference Is WAAAAAY Overrated. Like, Totally Overrated.

Bama and Ark boosters both feel the moves were what was best for the teams. Idiots. The boosters then sleep with their sisters and throw parties and weddings across the south at every Waffle House they can find. Chick-fil-a for everyone!!

WE ARE SEC FOOTBALL!!!!!

7). Central Michigan and Purdue combine to score 300 points. At the half. They give LeFevour the Heisman at the end of the 3rd quarter.

Cooler Than Chuck Norris and Way More Deadly. Smokin' Suckahs Since March 19, 1987.

8). Some how every SEC team will lose (even though they play each other), but each will still climb two spots in the polls.

Talk About a Monkey F'ing a Football...LSU and Auburn Both Lose and Move-Up to #1 and #2 Respectively

9). Ray Maualuga, despite not playing this weekend, records 18 tackles and a pick 6 on campus. The NCAA reprimands USC and Pete Carrollis forced to wheel Maualuga into every game on the Hannibal Lecter cart complete with face guard.

Betcha Tressel Wishes He Had This On Maualuga Last Weekend

10). Les Miles, hearing of the Mauluga reprimand, schedules South East Central West CrenshawLouisianaState at home next year in their season opener. His justification is that they want to play a team “with a good kicker.” He won’t take Pete Carrol’s calls about scheduling a home-and-home in 2010-2011.

11). Up by 30 with 2 seconds left, Urban Meyer realizes that his team needs a safety to cover. So, he has Emmanuel Moody don a Volunteers jersey and limp into the endzone with the ball. Every defensive player tackles him at the buzzer. (Piece of crap. How is their not a Tim Donaghy investigation into this clown?!?!?!). Somehow Fullmer is OK with this.

I Don't Care How Much Time Is Left..Kick The Field Goal...We Are Layin' 24!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I’m willing to put all of these predictions into an 11 team parlay.

Regards,

Rat

9/20/2008 - Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks - Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!

First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.

Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.

Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….

And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….

And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.

Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.

Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Temple at Penn State (-28.5) - Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:

Temple
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.

Penn State
NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.

LSU at Auburn (+2.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:

LSU
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.

Auburn
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.

Wake Forest at Florida State (-5) - This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:

Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.

Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) - Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….

Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Michigan State
Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.

Head-to-Head
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.

Runny Versus Flash - The Great Debate Game

Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Arizona State
Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.

Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.

Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap - THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?

The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.

(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).

Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.