Matt Cassel
Week 13 Free NFL Winning Picks 2008: blah blah, lets win money!
The NFL has been kind to us lately. Our records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 17-19 on the season, Flash Flash is 10-6 and Runny Pelvis is 17-33-1. We love a bunch of games this Sunday and are coming out swinging. We also have a new favorite hottie. Between Nina Moric and Jakki Degg, this has been one hell of a week. Check out Jakki:
Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!
RPJ $yndicate Pick
Denver at NY Jets (-8.5) - We love betting the hot team and the Jets are one of the hottest. The Jets have four covers in a row and have won 5 games in a row since a bizarre loss to the Oakland Raiders and they sit in first place. New York has scored a franchise-record 115 points in its last three games, as Favre is completing 77.4 percent of his passes for 649 yards, five touchdowns and one interception in those contests. The Jets are getting it done on both sides of the ball though. The Jets are third in the league against the run (78.0 ypg), and haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher all season. They limited the Titans to 45 yards on 11 carries last week. Somehow, the Broncos are also in first place but are doing it in different fashion with one of the worst defenses in football. The Broncos are 28th in both total defense (390.8 yards per game) and scoring defense (27.5 ppg). Denver was unable to slow down lowly Oakland last Sunday, as the Raiders, who hadn’t scored an offensive touchdown in 15 quarters, handed the Broncos a 31-10 home loss. The ATS numbers:
Broncos
Jets
We think this number might be a little high and we wish the game was scheduled for 1pm but beggars can’t be choosers. The easiest thing to do is betting is to hammer the hot team and the Jets are the hottest team in the AFC. We are taking the Jets to win and cover!
Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?
Flash Flash Picks
NY Giants at Washington (+3.5) - A lot of bettors are betting on the Redskins and the line shows this. This line should be as high as the Jets/Broncs, if not higher. Yes, the Giants are banged up, but if you have not been paying attention this year, the Giants are THE BEST TEAM in the NFL. I want to the Cowboys/Redskins monday night football game two weeks ago and let me tell you one thing…the Redskins have zero offense when Portis is banged up and guess what…Portis is banged up. Portis will play but he is not the same back he was early in the year. And earlier in the year, the Giants held Portis to his second lowest per carry yardage of the season. The Giants just went on the road without Jacobs and Plax and destroyed the Cardinals. That win was impressive as hell. Jacobs might be back but Plax is still out. It just does not matter because the G-Men are the ultimate team and somebody like Boss, Steve Smith or Hixon always steps up. The Giants are 9-2 ATS and are 4-1 ATS on the road and the Redskins are only 2-4 ATS at home. The Giants will probably have a let down or two this year like they did against the Browns but it will not be within the NFC East. Here are the ATS numbers:
Giants
- Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC East.
- Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.
- Giants are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Giants are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games.
- Giants are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Giants are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win.
- Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
- Giants are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 vs. NFC.
- Giants are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Redskins
Head-to-Head
That stat that the Skins ore 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home is significant and I have first hand knowledge. No matter what the Skins fans do, FedEx field is not loud and has no chance of being loud. Literally, Notre Dame’s stadium gets 10 times louder and that is a smaller stadium. Dan Snyder is a money grubbing whore and he destroyed the home field advantage the Skins had at RFX with the montrosity that is FedEx field. I think this game will be just like the first game…Low scoring in the first half, the better team and better coaching staff makes adjustments and comes out firing. And that team is the Giants. I am taking the Giants to win and cover!
The Jakki Degg trifecta
Runny Pelvis Picks
Panthers at Packers (-3): Panthers are playing very bad right now. Delhomme has been inconsistent, and that is putting it nicely. Going to Lambeau at the end of Novemebr is tough for any team. Even more so when they are playing bad. I’m taking the Packers and giving the points.
Pittsburgh at New England (-1): Teams really show their worth during this time of year. In order to be champs, you have to play at a championship level. Part of that is being able to beat good teams n the road. In order to do that, you have to play outstanding D. That is just what the Steelers do. They roll into Foxboro to face a Pats team that is extrememly hot and seemingly in sync. How do you stop a team like that? Hit them in the mouth! That is what the Steelers do best. They will blitz, and blitz and blitz. They will also completely shutdown the Pats running game. Steelers win in a close one. Take the Steelers and the points.
Kansas City at Oakland (-3): I can’t believe I’m even touching this game, but my Raiders are hot right now. They can match wits with the Chiefs at home. I’m taking the Raiders and giving the points.
Chicago at Minnesota (-3.5): Great NFC North match-up. The Bears roll into Minnesota in a fight for 1st place. The Vikings are playing solid D and their running game is taking off. Both teams are sketchy at QB, but I like the Vikings D and running attack. I’m taking the Vikings and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Shot of the Day
Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!
Flash Flash and Runny
2008 Week 11 Free NFL Winning Picks: Favre versus Brady
You thought we were dumb didn’t you. Our picks might be terrible but we are having Favre compete with Brady….In an Ass-off! That is right…an Ass off. Here you go.
Brett Favre or Tom Brady Ass supporter. Who will win?
We are basing our pick solely on whose ass is the winner. Since Favre has her legs closed she is the loser. Brady is spread and ready to go, which means the Pats win this game. Alright if you really want some analysis we will give it to you.
NY Jets at New England Patriots (-3.5) - This is a battle for first place. 58% of the money is going on the Jets and this line has moved from Pats -4 to Pats -3.5 so we know the line is true. On paper, Favre versus Matt Cassel seems like an easy proposition from a sentimental standpoint but we think the Pats defense is underrated. The Pats have given up less than 12 points per game in their last 4 and their offense is starting to ball control very well. Here are the ATS numbers:
Jets
- Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Pats
- Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 11.
- Patriots are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Patriots are 16-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Patriots are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 vs. AFC East.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- Jets are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
We think this will come down to one thing and one thing only….Brett Favre. Will he try and do too much and make mistakes or will he play within himself and limit turnovers? If we know one thing, we know Brett Favre and he is a gunslinger. The Pats D will be able to put pressure on him, sorry Faneca and the boys, but the Pats D has really stepped it up lately. Pressure on Favre means Brett is forced to make quick decisions and quick decisions for him lead to turnovers. We think the Pats can easily win this game and that is where our money is going. Pats win and cover!
Good luck with the game.
Flash and Runny