Michigan Wolverines
Free NCAA Football Week 11 Winning Picks: USC doesn’t lose in November and neither do we!
This has been a great week for RPJ. We have been betting every day since Wednesday, November 11. You really can not beat that feeling. Every day we have woken up and said, “Lets make some CASH today!”. We are coming at you with a whopping number picks this weekend. On with the winners! Kaching!!! We are going to be eating a lot of cake this weekend and stealin money!!!

Saturday, November 14, 2009
Georgia Tech (-12) at Duke -Neither of these teams covered their last time out but for very different reasons. Duke barely managed to score at North Carolina and lost ATS as the underdog. Georgia Tech played an always scrappy Wake Forest team and had to beat the Deacs in OT. Just remember this is Georgia Tech versus Duke. Georgia Tech has covered 5 of these games in a row, always as a double digit favorite. Duke is better but not Georgia Tech better. Duke could not score against an average Tarheels D and they certainly will not be able to compete with Tech. Georgia Tech had covered 6 in a row since they lost to Miami. Tech is legit and is looking for an ACC title and a BCS bowl bid. Giving Paul Johnson top athletes is turning into a formidable advantage foe Tech. We are betting Georgia Tech to win and cover easily!
Georgia Tech
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Yellow Jackets are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
- Yellow Jackets are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.
Duke
- Blue Devils are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Blue Devils are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Blue Devils are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Clemson (-8) at NC State - Who are we to bet against Clemson right now. The Tigers are hot and mauling ACC foes. Clemson has won 4 in a row, including a win at Miami and look nasty right now. NC State on the other hand is major disappointment this season. Yes they beat Maryland last time out but that was Maryland. NC State had not won since September and along the way was pounded by Duke and BC We just do not like the Wolf Pack right now and want to bet the hot team. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!
Clemson
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Head-to-Head
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in North Carolina State.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Iowa at Ohio State (-16.5) - This line seems insane but it really is not. Never bet against Tressel when he has a chance to go for blood in conference. Ohio State wins this game and they have a chance to go to the Rose Bowl for the first time in a long time. Since their freak loss to Purdue, Ohio State has rolled off three wins and three covers. Iowa is going to be in let down city mode. They lost a game they should not have last week and more important, they lost their leader and QB in Stanzi. Even with Stanzi, Iowa has won on comeback drives and basically freakishly good luck. Yes 16.5 points is a lot but not for this bunch. Ohio State is starting to put points on the board and their defense will be ready to go against a new, unproven Iowa QB. Ohio State was already the better team from a ball control standpoint. They are just playing much, much better than Iowa right now. We love them at home. We think this game will be ugly and we will be surprised if Iowa even scores. Yes we are that confident in this line. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 conference games.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.

Utah at TCU (-20) - We have become true believers in what the Horned Frogs are doing this season. The BCS is in agreement. Their D is insane!! They get after it and this is a team, on both sides of the ball, where the players know their roles and play into it. They play as a team and they will be more than ready for the Utes at home this week. This Utah team is not even close to the team that stomped on Bama in their Bowl game last year. Some ATS stats:
- TCU is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- TCU is 43-18 ATS in their last 61 home games.
- TCU is 31-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall.
Utah has covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings head-to-head, but it doesn’t scare us. This TCU team is nasty. This line is high for a reason (the last time it was this high was 1996-TCU was the Dog then and covered). Take TCU and give the points.

Tennessee at Ole Miss (-5.5) - We have been on the Vols bandwagon all year. We love the D Kiffin senior is putting in place. They are getting after it!! Give them one more year of recruiting and this team will be solid. Anyway, the future means nothing for us. What matters now is the what they have this week. Orgeron returns to his old Oxford stomping grounds. We think he will have a HUGE chip on his shoulder. We think the Vols will be fired up for their coach and will be looking to beat the bag out of Sneed. It does scare us that the Rebels have dominated this match-up ATS wise in recent years (6-1 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head meetings), but we like the Vols on the road this week. On the season, the Vols are 6-3 ATS (including 4 straight covers), 2-0 ATS on the road. The Rebels are 5-4 ATS, but have not covered their last two times out. They struggled at home last week with a terrible Northern Arizona team. We think the Rebels are overrated and the Vols have the better QB. Take the Vols and the points.

Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5) - The Wolverines have surprised us this year. Tate Forcier plays with a ton of heart and seems to give it his best each week. His major weakness, though, is that he has a tendency to lose focus if the team gets behind. The reason this is important this week is because this will be an extremely hostile crowd he will be facing. Is he a gamer that will feed off the negativity like Barkley did in his visit to Columbus earlier this yer? We don’t know yet. We know he brings it, but we don’t know how he will respond to the friendlies up in Madison. Until we see it for ourselves, we are saying no freakin’ way. Also, Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take the Badgers and give the points.

Future Pimp
Missouri at Kansas State (+1) - Kansas State has shocked just about everyone in the sports world with their surprise run at the Big XII North championship. They have been playing well and are down right nasty at home this year (undefeated ATS this year at home). They gave Oklahoma a good run for their money earlier in the year and pounded Colorado and Texas A&M. Mizzou has been a huge disappointment this year. Granted they lost a ton to the draft last year, but still, we all thought they would be better than they are. They are off a very sad defeat to Baylor at home. We think this team is deflated and looking forward to the offseason. K State has way more to play for and will be ready. We are betting the Wildcats to cover and we expect the win.

UAB (-1.5) at Memphis - Not much to write-up here. Memphis is a complete disaster. They just fired their coach and they are not a deep team at all. UAB has been solid and has been good in this match-up in recent history (6-2-1 ATS). We think UAB rolls. Take the Blazers and give the points.

If This is the Typical Memphis Fan, How Can You Not Take UAB?!?!?! Even His Friend In the Back Knows That This Guy Is A Douche!!!!
Arizona at California (-3) - Zona is a very good team this year. They play smart. Cal had a decent run, but fell on bad times with some surprising, big losses. What will give? Zona should win this game. Cal lost their best player last week when Jahvid Best sustained another concussion. If you saw the footage of the play-it was an amazing effort and score-it was shocking to see him laid out like that. Even before that loss, though, Cal has not been good ATS (0-3 in their last three games), while Zona has been the exact opposite (3-0 ATS in their last 3). Zona has way more to play for. This would be a HUGE road win for them and would slingshot them up the rankings. They smell blood and will get it done. They will win outright, we love them even more with the points. The Tedford turd sandwich will definitely rear its ugly head in this game. Take Zona and the points.

Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (-6.5) -It has been awhile since we had the chance to rip on Notre Dame and there is no time like the present. This team is on the verge of collapse. Gotta love their reaction to last week’s defeat to Navy. According to Tom Coyne of the AP:
Notre Dame associate head coach Corwin Brown criticized Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo for his postgame comments about the Irish defensive game plan and for the way the way his team uses what Brown called “malicious” illegal cut blocks.
“I thought it was very disappointing what the Navy coach said after the game,” Brown said. “He didn’t want something to be misconstrued, then he said it regarding how we prepared and what we prepared to do.”
Brown went into his criticism of Niumatalolo after practice Wednesday night, cutting off a reporter before the first question could be asked and speaking for two minutes about the Navy coach.
The Midshipmen (7-3) beat the Irish 23-21 on Saturday, the second Navy win in three years against Notre Dame (6-3) after an NCAA-record 43 straight losses. Following the game, Niumatalolo said the Navy coaches expected the Notre Dame coaches to use a similar defensive scheme as in 2008 when the Irish held the Midshipmen to 178 yards rushing in a 27-21 loss.
“I think the one thing that helped us, and I really hope this doesn’t come across wrong, but I think the thing that helped us this year was last year because we knew that they’d line up the same way,” Niumatalolo said.
Brown said Niumatalolo should have known how his comment would be taken.
“In all the classy guys I’ve watched and played under, they would never say something like that,” he said.
Brown also criticized the way Niumatalolo coaches his players to block, point to a play last season where linebacker Brian Smith sustained a sprained knee because of an illegal cut block, missing the final two regular-season games. On Saturday, Navy receiver Nick Henderson was called for personal foul on a hit on cornerback Robert Blanton.
Brown called the hit on Blanton “one of the most malicious plays I’ve ever seen since I’ve been playing.”
Brown said he called Niumatalolo about the hit, saying he considered saying something to him before the game about the way Navy blocks.
“Very malicious,” Brown said. “In this game, which we’re supposed to be playing for our kids and we’re working for our kids, you don’t let your players do something like that.”
Nice work, Irish…criticize a military school on Veteran’s Day. We think they are a bunch of un-American evil doers!!!

Coach Wannstedt, All of America will be pulling for you and your mustache!! God Bless the USA!!
Plus, Big Chuckie Weis is in the media every day defending his players or throwing his players under the bus. Really depends on the day and now a closing schedule of Pitt, UCONN and Stanford is not looking so easy anymore. 6-2, turned into 6-3 and it could turn into 6-6 before we are done.

No, Charlie, That Is Not What the AD Meant When He Said "You Are Fired." Be Careful Dipshit, You'll Shoot Your Eye Out.
This is a nightmare matchup for Notre Dame. Pitt is literally better in all of the ball control stats we track. Pitt runs the ball better, converts third downs better, stops the run better, stops third downs better and really gets after the QB to the tune of 39 sacks. Notre Dame is coming off a ridiculous loss to Navy where it almost looked fixed there were so many missed red zone opportunities and missed field goals. We can not be happier. The continuous demise of the skipping leprechauns brings smiles to our faces every day. These teams are going in opposite directions. Notre Dame has lost three in a row ATS and Pitt has won three in a row ATS. We think Pitt will win big and get after the Irish!
Notre Dame
- Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
- Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Flash Flash for the Cash and Runny Pelvis
2009 NCAA Football: Week 2 picks: Taking our head out of our Arse! Ohio State Versus USC Week!
We were 5-9 in Week 1. Really unexcuseable so no excuses will be made. Hopefully you read our preview piece and were able to capitalize on some of the predictions we made yet were too ignorant to put in our freakin Week 1 pick piece. We are pissed and we promise to take our heads out of our arses for Week 2.
Week 2 picks
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Iowa at Iowa State (+6.5) - This really has turned into the series of ineptitude. Iowa either has big hopes and totally lays a dud int he game and does not cover or even gets upset. It happens year after year after year. Both teams played 1-AA school last week and Iowa almost lost; only won by one freakin point. This was a team that was supposed to contend for the Big-10 title. Well at least until Jewel Hampton went down. Iowa State has covered in this game 6 years in a row, winning two of them as underdogs. We are playing with history here. Check out these Head to Head numbers:
- Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
- Hawkeyes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Central Michigan at Michigan State (-14.5) - In-state rivals dial it up for a backyard brawl of sorts. MAC vs. Big 10. If you read our posts, you know we love us some MAC. You will also know we hate the Big 10. Are we homers? Maybe, but we have a presence in the Midwest and we see these teams firsthand week in and week out. The Big 10 is way overhyped. In this one, we are not even sure MSU is the better team, let alone 14.5 point favorites. CMU put on a decent, yet controversial display last week in Zona to squeak by with a cover for us. We like them again this week. The Spartans play at Notre Dame next week and in the past two seasons under Mark Dantonio, have failed to cover the spread in the game before playing the Fighting Irish. Take CMU and the points.
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
- Chippewas are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
- Chippewas are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Chippewas are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 31-13-3 ATS in their last 47 games overall.
- Chippewas are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Chippewas are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
- Chippewas are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
- Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Houston at Oklahoma State (-15.5) - OSU is too legit to quit!! Great win last week at home against a coveted SEC team. They will destroy Houston. This is way too few points to give at home. Take OSU and give the points.
Houston
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Cowboys are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Cowboys are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cowboys are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cowboys are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 games as a favorite.
UNC at UConn (+3.5) - UNC is stacked this year with young talent and they may have had the best recruting class in the ACC. UConn lost a ton of skill and experience on both sides of the ball. No doubt UConn has overachieved since it started playing football 8 years ago, but UNC just has too much experience. UNC’s veteran O-Line and QB will be too much for the Huskies. Take the Heels and give the points.
UNC
- Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
TCU at Virginia (+11) -Generally we like to avoid road favorites. However, TCU’s D is just too stacked not to like them in this one. Jerry Hughes is a mean man. One of the best defenders in the country. This team is pissed they went 11-2 last year!!!! Andy Dalton is progressing at QB. Virginia has no offensive threats we even care to mention. Take TCU and give the points.
TCU
- Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Horned Frogs are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
- Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
- Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
- Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.
UCLA at Tennessee (-10) - Tennessee did exactly what we thought they would do last week-play mean and run up the score. They will do the same this week. Kifin hates UCLA and Neuheisel, but that aside, the key to this game will be the same it was last week-DEFENSE. Pops Kiffin is one of the defensive minds the game has ever seen. He will throw things at UCLA’s QB that he has never seen before. For that alone, Tennessee will be outstanding this year. This is way too far for UCAL to travel and it is a VOLS revenge game. Look for the Vols in a route. Take the Vols and give the points.
UCLA
- Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
- Bruins are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
- Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
- Bruins are 27-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Volunteers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.
Hawaii at Washington State (+2) - Another laugher, but it is another opportunity. Hawaii beat Washington State by 14 last year at home. They return a senior QB, senior RB and a veteran O-Line. Washington State returns as the same terrible team. Hawaii can make somewhat of a statement by beating a BCS Conference team (even though that team is terrible) on the road. They can win by a fieldgoal. Take Hawaii and give the points.
Hawaii
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Warriors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on turf.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
BYU at Tulane (+17.5) - BYU showed the nation what they can do this season. Bradford going out with an injury was not an excuse. The senior leadership and superior line play were key. Tulane, coming off a spanking by Tulsa will have no reason being in this game. Do not even think BYU will have any type of hangover either. BYU is led by senior leadership and is highly disciplined. Yeah we blew a nice cover last week by ignoring all of the signs in Norman but we are on the BYU bandwagon. Take BYU in a blowout!!
BYU
- Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Cougars are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Green Wave are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Green Wave are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games on turf.
- Green Wave are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
- Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Kansas at UTEP (+12.5) - Kansas finally has a line and we are all over it. UTEP lost at home to Buffalo, you think they are going to compete with Kansas. This does not even need a write-up. Remember Mangino and Todd Reesing!!! Take Kansas in a blowout!!!
Kansas
- Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Jayhawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
- Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Miners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big 12.
- Miners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Tulsa at New Mexico (+17.5) - Tulsa responded well for us last week on the road and this game is no different. Tulsa puts the peddle to the metal all game, every game. Tulsa won by 42 points last season and we do not see why that can not happen again. New Mexico was blown out by a medicore Texas A&M team and this season is not looking good for them. We love Tulsa to cover in this one.
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Lobos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
South Carolina at Georgia (-7 and O/38) - South Carolina surprised us last week. We learned a lot…their offense is still terrible and their defense is fast and nasty. Georgia got stomped at OSU like we said and lost their QB and left tackle in the process. Cox might play but is banged up. What does this lead to? A clear play on the UNDER. Also, we really do not see either team scoring and that helps us lean towards The Cocks. The ATS numbers are all over the board but the Head to Head stats are beautiful. Check this out:
- Under is 12-0 in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia.
- Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- The Favorite is 3-17 ATS over the last 20 years.
Game of the Week!!!! Collision in Columbus!!!!
USC at Ohio State (+6.5) - If you read us regularly this pick will come as no surprise so lets look at the ATS numbers first:
USC
- Trojans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
- Trojans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
- Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-10.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
- Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: A New Contributor Steps Up!!!
We have stated it before but one of our key focal points is finding local talent all across the country. Sometimes people choke like Maury the Wig and the Backwoods Southern Lawyer and other times people rise to the challenge. This week we are giving props to Robbie. Robbie wrote up some great ideas on NCAA football and he even got in the swing of things and sent along a fine ass in true RPJ style. Thanks for the picks Robbie!
Ruthless Robbie Picks
Michigan @ Ohio State -20.5
From everyone I’ve talked to, I seem to be the only one who is touching this game. Michigan is terrible. A home loss to Toledo? Come on. Ohio State is better than Michigan at EVERY position. The only problem is that Coach Sweatervest doesn’t like to run the score up, and I highly doubt he starts with Michigan. I firmly believe that Ohio State will have this one covered by halftime, and in the second half Michigan won’t be able to stop Ohio State’s run game even when they know it’s coming. Ohio State wins big. Ohio State 39, Michigan 13.
Oregon State @ Arizona -2.5
This one really pains me to pick. Arizona is an (almost) world beater at home and a fantastic team. They took USC to the wire and probably should have won the game. I know Oregon State has more to play for and Mike Riley might be the coach of the year, but I have to go with my brain instead of my heart. Who doesn’t want to see Oregon State muck up the BCS? Still, Arizona has athletes and players that play above their means at home. Arizona 33, Oregon State 27
Michigan State @ Penn State -15.5
15.5 is a lot of points to give a damn good Michigan State team. They may be one dimensional, but they are good at what they do. If Penn State plays up to their talent then this could get ugly, but Michigan State plays more like a team than any other in the Big 10. Michigan State will stick around against a moping Penn State squad but lose it late. Take the points. Penn State 30, Michigan State 19
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma -7
I know. Oklahoma is fantastic at home and they have been on a roll lately. They’re on pace to score 70 this weekend. I think both teams put up a crazy amount of points. Texas Tech’s defense is just a little stiffer (boner joke?) than Oklahoma’s, but again, Oklahoma is at home. Picking a road team to go out and steal one is against my college football beliefs, but I think TTU will do it on Saturday. Either way, take 7 points. In a game where Oklahoma’s defense can’t stop Harrell, it’ll stay close all the way. Take the points, but I think TTU wins. TTU 48, Oklahoma 45
NC State @ North Carolina -11
North Carolina thrives on mistakes, but NC State just doesn’t make them ever since Wilson has taken over. Without field position and turnovers NC won’t know what to do. They’re also pretty banged up and have QB issues. Young teams fizzle towards the home stretch. North Carolina wins, but take the points. North Carolina 20, NC State 19.
Florida State @ Maryland +1
Florida State is coming off a devastating home loss and Maryland a huge home win. I think Maryland takes it with Heyward-Bey just blowing up. A home underdog is way to good to pass on. Maryland 24, Florida State 20
Iowa @ Minnesota +6
My head says Iowa, the statistics say Minnesota. I’m going to buck the trend here a little bit and take Iowa. I don’t feel very strongly about this, but I don’t know if Decker is 100% yet. Iowa 24, Minnesota 16
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!
It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)
We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.
Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:
Purdue
- Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Iowa
- Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!
UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!
Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!
Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
- Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.
Check out these scores:
2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12
2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16
2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17
2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30
See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!
Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Auburn
- Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!
Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
- Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!
USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!
Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)
Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.
Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.
UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.
Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.
Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.
BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.
South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.
Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.
Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.
Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)
Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Michigan
- Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!
Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!
RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2
We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.
The Great Debate Game
Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.
Missouri
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.
Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.
Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:
Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!). FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.
Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.
Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.
Akron
- Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Eastern Michigan
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Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)
- Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….
Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!
San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:
- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
- Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!
San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.
San Jose State
- Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
New Mexico State
- Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
-
Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!
Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:
Houston
- Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
SMU
- Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
- Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.
Head-to-Head
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!
Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:
Florida International
- Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Troy
- Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)
Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.
Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.
Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.
UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.
Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.
Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.
Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.
Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.
USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.
Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 6 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks (10/4/2008): How We Got Senate to Vote on Bailout
Well last week was a mixed bag of tricks. RPJ $yndicate was 6-3 last week and is now 18-15-1 on the season. Flash was 0-2 last week and is now 5-3 on the season. Runny was 2-5 last week and is now 13-14 on the season. We are questioning our experiment to post our own personal picks. Not sure it is bringing much value to our readers because we know our RPJ picks are on a roll after back-to-back solid weeks. If you want all of our picks let us know by posting a comment or shoot us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We are here to make you money so we will try and contribute to your wallets as many ways as possible.
This week we are helping the U.S Government deal with the economic crisis and we have two words for you…..More Cowbell!!!!
If only Congress and Wall Street had more cowbell we would not be in our current predicament. We also are proposing legalized sports betting across all 50 states. Let the government set the lines and keep the vig. That has to be worth a few billion with all the degenerates in the good Ole US of A.
And yes of course we are going to show you some hot ass and ass in thongs and bring back some new pictures of Keyra Augustina (sorry Heidi Klum fans, but the Keyra fans have spoken in mass)….
RPJ $yndicate Picks of the Week
Iowa at Michigan State (-6.5) - This is another trust us game. The same exact model that helped us find the UCLA/Fresno State winner last week is rearing its winning head in this game. This is a huge Big 10 match-up. These teams need this win. The photo below alone should show you who to take!!! Gotta love strategically placed Hawkeye stickers!!!
FACTS: Iowa is 7-0 ATS in the game before IU, MSU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 head-to-head meetings with Iowa and MSU is 1-8 ATS as home favorites of 24 or less off a straight-up win. We think MSU will win this game, but it will be close. Take Iowa +6.5.
Texas at Colorado (-13)- Texas has been lights out this year. Now they get a Big 12 rival on the road. Colorado has been good, but they got smoked last week against an overrated FSU team. They will not fair much better at home this week. Texas will look to make a statement with this game. FACTS: Texas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Colorado (3-0 ATS in Colorado) and Colorado is 0-5 ATS in the game before Kansas and when they lose a game (which they will this week), they are only 5-33 ATS. When they lose, they lose big!!! Now throw in the fact that Texas, a team that leads D-1 football in sacks with 16, rolls into Boulder to face a Buffs line that just lost two more starting linemen so they are now down 4 on the season. Ugly Ugly Ugly possibilities. Texas is 4-0 ATS this season and will continue their roll. Take the Longhorns -13.
Nevada at Idaho (+24) - Idaho has been TERRIBLE all year. They have been blown out in nearly every game. They have not looked competitive. Nevada has not been great, but they can score. They should be able to put up a lot against the Vandals. FACTS: Idaho is 0-6 ATS as conference underdogs of 21 points of more. They can’t cover against big teams in their conference. They will not do it here either. Take Neveda -24.
Western Kentucky at Virginia Tech (-28) - WKU may be the worse DIV-1 team. They are terrible. Although they are 2-3, their two wins have come against non DIV-1 teams. In their games against DIV-1 teams, they have been outscored 113-23. This does not bode well for them heading into Blacksburg to face the Hokies. Blacksburg is one of the toughest places to play. They will get trounced again. FACTS: VaTech is 11-1 ATS off a straight-up underdog win. They may never stop scoring this week, and WKU may never start. Also, we are 3-0 combined on 28 point spreads. Keeping the juju working. Take VaTech -28.
Penn State at Purdue (+13.5)- Another big Big 10 game. Penn State is off their defeat at home of Illinois. Purdue was embarrassed against the Irish. No way Purdue was looking past the Irish-they are just disappointing. Penn State is not. Their D is outstanding and they have a great offense. Penn State will be looking to keep their Big 10 authority. FACTS: PSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 against Purdue and Purdue is 1-9 ATS as underdogs following a double digit ATS loss. Penn State rolls. Take Penn State -13.5.
Illinois @ Michigan (-2): Illinois stayed with Penn State last week, but when the pressure got on, Juice folded. Can that guy not turn the ball over?!?!? Very bad QB. He makes bad decisions and Illinois cannot come from behind with him managing the game. He gets another tough road test in Ann Arbor. Michigan is not good either, but they are playing with a lot of confidence. Their comeback last week became an instant classic. Rodriguez is proof positive that coaching in college football makes a HUGE difference. FACTS: Illinois is 0-11 ATS away after allowing 35 or more points and Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Illinois. Take Michigan -2.
Flash Flash Picks
South Carolina at Ole Miss (-2.5) - Ole Miss is going to be in let down mode and USC really needs to get going again. Also, chalk one up to the Sports Illustrated curse, which was nice enough to feature Ole Miss on their cover this week.
I love the fact that the road team in this matchup is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 and I think USC comes ready to play. They have a great defense and now need to work that Spurrier magic to get the O going. I am taking USC to cover and might throw some dough on the moneyline if it is profitable enough.
Maryland at Virginia (+13.5) - Virginia is really a mess. They should play a tournament with Syracuse, Western Kentucky and Idaho to see who the worst team is in D-1 with the loser getting tossed down to D-III so they can play NESCAC games against the likes of Hamilton and Bates in front of 10 fans in -32 degree weather. Now I would watch that Battle Royale. Look at the ATS numbers…
Virginia
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Where are the positive UVA items you ask? They are in Ralph Friedgen’s belly….
Maryland wins this game big!!!!
Ohio State (-1) at Wisconsin - The Buckeyes own the Big 10. Own it own it own it. Got that…Let me say it again….BUCKEYES OWN THE BIG TEN. Beanie Wells is back, Pryor is at QB and Ohio State is still motivated because they know they can run the Big Ten table (remember they own it) and still lay claim to being the best team in the land because their one loss will be when they were minus Beanie, on the road against the then #1 team in the country and still getting Pryor involved with the offense. Throw in the fact that Ohio State can stop the run on defense and turns the ball over a lot less than Wisconsin and you can see where this is going. The ATS numbers:
Ohio State
Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.
Buckeyes are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. (scary stat but one that will reverse)
Wisconsin
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Badgers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. (Remember the Big 10 is bad)
This game is basically a pick the winner game. Wisconsin played the typical look ahead game last week and blew a 19 point lead in The Big House. That is terrible. This team also should have lost at Fresno State, thanks to the Fresno kicker. Defense and turnovers win ball games and that favors Ohio State. Ohio State wins and covers!
Runny Picks
Indiana @ Minnesota (-7): IU has been extremely disappointing this year. We thought they would play better for Hep, but they have been terrible. Off the field issues have plagued them and maybe it has effected their play. Who knows? What I do know is they suck. Minnesota has been surprisingly decent. I gave them no credit coming into the season, but they have shown me wrong. Huge cover for them last week. I think they continue that momentum this week at home. FACTS: Minn is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against IU and 9-1 ATS against teams that are .400 or worse. IU has a great ATS road record in the Big 10 (10-1 in their last 11), but I don’t think it matters this week. This is their first game outside of Bloomington. Take Minnesota -7.
Texas Tech @ Kansas State (+7); OVER 66: Two picks for the price of one here. This line is pretty low considering how much Tech can score. Crabtree may be the best player in NCAA. Tech has dominated this series ATS in recent years (4-0 ATS in their last 4). However, they go on the road this week to a rival that is good at home. To me, that is why the line is so low. That and because KState can score, too. I think Tech wins, but it will be a close shootout. I’m taking KState +7 and the OVER 66.
Kansas @ Iowa State (+11.5): My first Mangino bet of the year!! I’m lovin’ it!! The Cyclones usually put up a good fight at home. However, hurricane Magino is coming to town this week!!!! FACTS: Kansas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Iowa State, 4-0 ATS in their 4 as road favorites and 7-1 ATS with rest. They cover. Take Kansas -11.5.
Ball State @ Toledo (+7.5), OVER 64: Another two-for-one special. Ball State is riding high, despite their HUGE loss of Love. Tragic injury and we hope for the best. They get a tough MAC road game this week. Toldeo can score. Both D’s are bad. I think this game will be high scoring and they should hit the over easily. In regards to the line, I think this is Ball State’s year. I’m riding them until they prove me wrong. FACTS: Ball State is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with Toledo and they are 6-1 ATS in the 1st of back-to-back road games. I’m taking Ball State -7.5 and the OVER 64.
We could not agree on the Auburn at Vanderbilt game so we will just show you a sweet pic…
Good luck, may your wallets be full and your whores STD free.
Flash Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Week 3 Winning Picks: The Best of the Rest!!!
We are ready to put last week behind us. Last week, The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), down 1 unit, Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). The 2-6 really was painful and we know we blew a lot of your beer and nudie bar money. To make up for it we are going to post some hot ass to start this blog. Literally hot ass!!!!
and the legendary Keyra Augustina in video (one of the greatest of all time)
Since we are heading out to Vegas and LA to party and go to the Ohio State/USC game we are putting these out a little bit early this week. All of these bets are 1 unit bets.
Friday, September 12
Kansas at South Florida (-3) - It feels good to lay down a Mangino bet. This is our favorite coach in all of college football. How can you root against a guy larger than Refrigerator Perry?
Mangino is large and in charge just like the Jayhawks who have picked up right where they left off last year. Last week, South Florida had the classic look ahead game and almost lost to Central Florida. We love the Big 12 this year and hate the Big East. The ATS numbers:
Kansas
Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.
Jayhawks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in September.
Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
South Florida
Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
We love that Kansas is getting points. Not sure who is making this line but Reesing is playing really well right now completing almost 77% of his passes and a 6-1 TD to INT ratio. Kansas wins this game outright and Mangino gets his first RPJ Syndicate love of the season.
Saturday, September 13
Cal at Maryland (+14.5) - We are scared to death betting this game. Jeff Tedford always finds a way to screw us over. He basically looks at what The Syndicate says to do and then effs it up for us and our fans.
You can open a bank with how much this clown has cost us the last few years. Cal has been rolling. They beat Michigan State and then destroyed Washington State. Maryland on the other hand barely beat Delaware and then actually lost at Middle Tennessee State. We are surprised this line is not 24 points or more and it basically comes down to the Tedford factor. We know he will choke at some point, usually it is against USC but sometimes it jumps up and bites us sooner. Last year he lost to Washington and Stanford. The ATS numbers:
California
Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Golden Bears are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Golden Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Maryland
Terrapins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Terrapins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Terrapins are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Man those Cal numbers are scary. We know Tedford will blow a game, we know he does not travel well and we know the Pac-10 does not travel well heading coast to coast but we know that the Terps suck it far worse than any of Cal’s issues. Cal wins this one easily!
Nevada at Missouri (-26.5) - When a team is hot you get on and ride it until they burn you. Missouri has been on an ATS roll since last season. Chase Daniel might be the best QB in the entire country (man we jumped fast off the Pat White flaming train to hell). Chase can flat out rip it. Missouri has a kill mentality too. Chase is often quoted in saying that he expects to score every time he touches the ball and that is in fact his goal. Throw in the fact that Nevada lost its leading rusher last week against Texas Tech and we think the Wolf Pack will be pretty demoralized and have a tough time keeping up with Missouri. The ATS numbers:
Nevada
Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Wolf Pack are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolf Pack are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Missouri
Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Missouri is a team on a mission this year. They want to go undefeated and they want Chase to win the Heisman trophy. We think all of this is possible because they are explosive as hell on offense. This game might start close but Missouri will keep putting the accelerator to the floor and when it is all said and done they will have a win and a cover! If Nevada gets behind and is forced to abandon the run then it will be over quick.
Georgia at South Carolina (+7.5) - This has trap written all over it. Only 7 points, Georgia looks great and USC just lost to Vanderbilt in ugly fashion. What gives? This is game 1 of Georgia’s brutal stretch of USC/Arizona State/Alabama. Last year South Carolina went into Athens and beat the Bulldogs 16-12. Do not think for a minute that Moreno and Stafford forgot about this game and that means it is revenge time. The other point of concern is that Mark Richt has already come out and said he hates playing against Steve Spurrier teams. Way to psyche up your team coach. The ATS numbers:
Georgia
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
South Carolina
Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Gamecocks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Gamecocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Gamecocks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
If those ATS numbers did not sway you then we do not know what will. Take the Bulldogs to win this game easily. South Carolina is not as good, this is a revenge game, and the superior team is only giving 7.5 points. Jump on Georgia and ride them to the bank!
Penn State at Syracuse (+27) - Well one thing has become obvious in the first two games of this season, Penn State found their offense. Daryll Clark looks good running the show and Penn State has put up 45 and 66 points. Syracuse on the other hand is terrible and got blown out by Akron at home last week. Syracuse is not that far from State College and Cuse football tickets are easy to come by (Side Note: Our buddy, Big Sherm, has Cuse season tickets and he doesn’t even like going). This will be a home game away from home for Penn State. The ATS numbers:
Penn State
Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
Syracuse
Orange are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Orange are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Orange are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Orange are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
Orange are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Orange are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Both of these teams do not look good against the spread but Syracuse looks worse and is simply one of the worst teams in D-1 football. Penn State continues with their offensive explosion and wins and cover easily up to 30 points.
Auburn at Mississippi State (+10.5) - Another SEC revenge matchup. Mississippi State went to Auburn last year and beat them 19-14. Tuberville, in our opinion, is one of the best SEC road coaches in the conference, if not the best. In 2006 and 2007, Auburn shut out Miss State and had covered five years in a row before last year. Mississippi State was dumb enough to open on the road and lost to La-Laf. Check out the ATS numbers:
Auburn
Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Mississippi State
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Bulldogs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Only clash we see is that Miss State covers more in September. We know Auburn is not where they want to be on offense but Tuberville is a great coach and this team will improve over the course of the season. This is something we can not say about Miss State. Auburn gets their revenge with a win and easy cover!
Michigan at Notre Dame (+1.5) - It is great to get Notre Dame back on the Syndicate’s docket. It was awesome last week when the San Diego State coach was unable to determine whether or not Notre Dame was better than Cal Poly. What a freakin joke. Notre Dame showed absolutely nothing last week and was lucky to get a win against San Diego State. We love watching Notre Dame play to try and find all of those 5 star recruits they supposedly have. Notre Dame makes the excuse that all of these 5 star guys are freshmen and sophs so they are not on the field. Well USC plays freshmen, Alabama plays freshmen, Florida plays freshmen. These programs have the real 5 star recruits, not magazine inflated recruits so Notre Dame retard fans buy the magazines. What a lovely year it will be in South Bend once again. The ATS numbers:
Michigan
Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Wolverines are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Wolverines are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Wolverines are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 10-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wolverines are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games in September.
Wolverines are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Fighting Irish are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Rich Rodriguez is a better coach than Charlie Weis. Charlie is an arrogant prick that lets his ego get in the way of his team’s progress. Weis also gave Michigan fans and the team bulletin board material a few months back when he called out Michigan. This is Rich’s first year at Michigan and he will have some growing pains because he needs to recruit speed and skill players that can get the job done in his offense. We think this game will be ugly and low scoring but in the end the team that has the better defense will win out and that is Michigan. Michigan wins and covers the -1.5!
Flash Flash Picks (3-0 on the season)
I have one game for you this week….Keep riding that East Carolina horse until it loses. East Carolina wins and covers against Tulane (+12.5).
Runny Pelvis Picks (4-3 on the season)
UNC @ Rutgers (-5): This game will be a good one. I like UNC a lot this year and think they have a great chance of pulling some huge upsets. Butch Davis has really turned that program around and has pulled in some outstanding recruits. I think Rutgers lost a lot last season with Rice going pro. They have not looked good this year. However, I think they have what it takes to cover in this one. Rutgers is 9-1 ATS against non-conference opponents. They are at home, they have had more than a week to prepare and will be a primetime game. They have a much better QB, and although I think UNC’s D is better, Rutgers has enough to stop UNC. I think they win by at least 6, but it will be a great game. Take Rutgers -5.
Utah -24 @ Utah State: Bitter in-state rivalry and this is a ton of points. I think Utah will cover though. They are a legit BCS contender and could win their conference. Also, they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at Utah State. I’m taking Utah -24.
Wisconsin @ Fresno State (+1.5): I like Fresno getting points in this game. I think they should be the favorite. They went into Rutgers and beat them easily in Week One. They are rested and have had two weeks to prepare. Wisconsin, although 2-0, did not look that good against Marshall last week (despite the score-they piled it on late and Marshall sucks). I don’t think Wisconsin will travel well. I’m taking the points and Fresno to cover.
Oregon -8 @ Purdue: This is a ton of points to give a Purdue team that has a solid offense with a good QB at the helm. However, their win last week at home against N. Colorado just was not impressive to me. Oregon has looked really balanced and explosive. They have traveled well, especially against the Big 10 (7-2 ATS in their last 9 against the Big 10). I’m taking Oregon -8.
NC State +18.5 @ Clemson: Clemson will be looking to beat-up on a conference foe. However, I don’t think they are as good as everyone thinks. Plus, I think Bowden is one of the most overrated coaches in football. This is a lot of points to give. NC State will surprise them this week. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 head-to-head meetings. Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against NC State. Clemson will win, but I’m taking NC State to cover +18.5.
Flash Flash and Runny
Feel free to post comments and talk smack or give us props. You can also contact us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.
Week 2: 2008 NCAA Football Betting Recap
Well we had a really ugly week….The Syndicate was 2-6 (6-7 on the season), Flash was 1-0 (3-0 on the season) and Runny was 3-1 (4-3 on the season). A lot of you gave us crap on the side via email and it was justified. Remember, we tell it like it is and take the pain with you. Other yahoos out there say they win every week and then charge you $500 a week for picks. We have years of successful betting wins and the NCAA season is a marathon, not a sprint. We are confident our picks will return. Points from the weekend:
1) East Carolina is solid and Coach Holtz just made himself millions of dollars. Expect Holtz to bolt after this season and get a serious pay raise. Serious props to the Pirates. No more Heisman for Pat White.
2) Do you think South Florida was looking ahead to their showdown with Kansas this week?
3) Ohio State is not as bad as they showed and their lackluster performance will probably end up helping them this week. Tressel will beat the crap out of them this week in practice and get the team re-focused. USC watched that terrible performance and now thinks they will win easily. Now you can see how it helps Ohio State cause USC will probably take the Buckeyes too lightly. USC got bored playing Virginia and they just watched a terrible Ohio State performance and Coach Carroll will have to get them fired up this week. Spread is now USC -10.5 and that is a terrifying number. Expect a lot more from us on this game because we will be doing The Swingers drive from Vegas to the game and back. We are pumped for a sweet trip.
4) Big East is still terrible. Pitt lost to Bowling Green and Bowling Green lost to Big 10 bottom dweller Minnesota. U-G-L-Y!!!
5) Don’t think for a second that coaches do not know what the lines are. Thank you Urban Meyer for screwing all of us on your damn field goal with less than 90 seconds to go. We hope you get nut cancer. A half point always matter when you bet. Also, Miami kept this game a lot closer than people thought they would. The U has some serious speed on defense.
6) Notre Dame is not good. Where are all of their 5 star recruits? What a joke. San Diego State at home. Michigan stinks too. Have fun next week playing for nothing.
7) Georgia Tech still has a jacked D and tons of talent on the D-line.
Washington would not have won their game in OT. Quit your whining Ty!!!
9) Will anybody be able to stop Oklahoma’s Offense?
10) Jeff Tedford’s Cal team won big but, in our opinion, he still loves turd sandwiches.
Flash and Runny
Week 1: Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks
We like to make note of handicappers that seem to be in the know whether or not they are good or bad handicappers. ESPN Radio’s Colin Cowherd always has Vegas insiders on his show and every Friday he puts out his picks of the week known as The Wheel of Genius. A lot of the time he is a blowhard and toots his own horn a little too much. We are going to keep track of him this year. He claims to have never had a losing season and last year we think he inflated his numbers significantly. One thing Colin always does do though is have one or two perfect weekends. His picks are worth throwing in a parlay for when he does hit it big. Here are his picks for week 1:
USC to cover against UVA
Missouri to cover against Illinois
Tennessee to cover against UCLA
Utah to cover against Michigan
Cal to cover against Michigan State
Oregon to cover again Washington
Here are Colin’s picks and yes we will be watching and monitoring him. We are keeping a close eye on you Mr. Cowherd and your picks will be tracked.
Flash Flash and Runny

























































































