Mississippi State
Auburn (-1.5) at Miss. State - Pick of the Day!
Well we opened week 1 with a winning start. We came in at 3-2 and are pissed off at the LSU/UNC fix that was in. We thought that game was in the bag and are still fuming. We always hated Butch Davis, not as much as Jeff Tedford Turd Sandwich but he is up there. We have one pick for you for 9/10 and it is down in the South….
Auburn (-1.5) at Mississippi State - We love this line and do not get it. Auburn has experience on the OL and that is all that matters for an early September game. OL and QB and the edge goes to Auburn.
Auburn quarterback Cameron Newton was named the SEC’s offensive player of the week for his impressive debut with the Tigers. Now, he hopes his performance translates to conference play.
The 21st-ranked Tigers open their SEC slate on Thursday night at Mississippi State, which hopes to prevent a fifth consecutive Auburn victory in Starkville.
Newton arrived at Auburn this season after starting his career with Florida, then spending the 2009 season leading Blinn College to the junior college national championship.
He didn’t waste any time sparking the Tigers (1-0) to victory, throwing for 186 yards and three touchdowns and adding 171 rushing yards and two scores in a 52-26 win over Arkansas State on Saturday.
The Tigers have won eight of nine meetings with Mississippi State, including four straight on the road. Their most lopsided SEC win last year was a 49-24 victory over the Bulldogs on Sept. 12. Mississippi State had few answers for Auburn’s running game, which totaled five touchdowns and 390 yards — matching its most since totaling 405 yards on the ground against the Bulldogs on Oct. 18, 2003.
We like Auburn to win convincingly and we are picking the Tigers to win and cover.
Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition
Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!
Saturday, November 28, 2009
Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing
Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.
Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.
Troy (-9.5) at UL-Lafayette - We are picking Troy to win and cover.
New Mexico State at San Jose State (-11.5) - We are picking New Mexico State to cover.
The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.
North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.
Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.
Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.
Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.
Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!
Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football! We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy
RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.
If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.
Friday, September 25, 2009
Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!
Missouri
- Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
- Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
- Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Arkansas (+17.5) at Alabama - Arkansas has itself the best QB in the SEC right now. Quiet Tebow fans!!! He was terrible last weekend and showed why he will not be a top NFL QB. He is a gimmick QB. On the other hand, Ryan Mallett kicks ass. Arkansas lost their shootout with Georgia last week but Mallett looks damn good. The defense is the issue. We think Arkansas can score on anybody, even the hyped Bama defense. After Bama got lucky wearing down a Virginia Tech team they scheduled the typical Saban games against FIU and North Texas. We would not be surprised to see a high scoring affair but Arkansas will keep this closer than 17.5 points. Head-to-Head numbers are key in this game, just like in the LSU game so read on. We are betting Arkansas to cover!!!
- Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5
- Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
- Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
- Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
- Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
- Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
- Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
- Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.
- Fighting Illini are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
- Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
- Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.
- Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.
- Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Free NCAA Week 3 Picks: Jump on the Suck Factor!!!
RPJ is sitting here at 12-15, were 7-6 last weekend and are sitting here waiting for the results on the Boise State/Fresno State game. We have not been able to get off to a rolling start yet this year in either NFL or NCAA. I (Flash Flash) am going to call it the curse of Runny Pelvis. As I mentioned in the Boise piece, Runny is out of the country. In his place stands Backwoods Southern Lawyer and we are putting our brains together to crush it this weekend. You will notice the heavy SEC influence.
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Introducing the Suck Factor strategy - There are always going to be teams that are flat out terrible and no matter where Vegas sets the line, these teams almost know how bad they need to suck so they do not cover. We have started to identify some of these teams and we plan on betting heavily against them.
Ball State (+7) at Army – If there’s one team in the nation that we would take Army and give 7 points to, it’s Ball State. Ball State is simply terrible. Not as bad as some of the truly putrid teams we are identifying this week but terrible nonetheless. This is not the Nate Davis led Ball State team of last year. Ball State lost to New Hampshire and North Texas at home as favorites. Yes you read that correctly. Ball State’s QB is completing 44% of his passes. Ball State registers a 9 on the RPJ Suck Factor. We love Army!!!
Ball State
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Black Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Black Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
- Redhawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
- Redhawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Redhawks are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Redhawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
- Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Volunteers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Volunteers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Gators are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Gators are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Gators are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Florida.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Mississippi State (+9) at Vanderbilt – Vandy has several players out and is a little beaten up after tangling with LSU last weekend. Vandy has a legit dual-threat QB, but he’s got nearly zero talent around him (as several dropped passes a game will attest). Miss St will get progressively better throughout the season as the players buy in to Dan Mullen’s system. I think MSU’s defense rises to the challenge after giving up a bunch of points to Auburn last week. This is likely to be a one score game at the buzzer. We are taking Miss State to cover!
Mississippi State
- Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
- Commodores are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Commodores are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
- Commodores are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
- Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
UL Lafayette (+26.5) at LSU – LSU is 1-11 (and 0 for their last 7) ATS in their last 12 at home, and it’s time for that streak to end. BSL has ridden this team to the brink of economic collapse and this is where it pays off. UL-L is due for a letdown coming off of an emotional last minute win over Kansas State, UL-L’s second win over a BCS-conf school (last one was Texas A &M in 1996). Yes, UL-L is better than usual, but they are still UL-L. In 21 games against the Tigers, UL-L has scored a total of ….wait for it…22 points. Meanwhile, LSU’s offense has a big time chip on their should after turning in sub-par performances against UW and Vanderbilt and hearing all week that they don’t throw deep enough. LSU will throw deep in this one. True freshman phenom Russell Sheppard will find the endzone (maybe more than once), and LSU will roll big time. The ATS numbers are not going to be reflective on how this game plays out. We are taking the Tigers in a big way.
- Blue Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Rockets are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
- Cornhuskers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Hokies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Hokies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hokies are 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Hokies are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Midshipmen are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Midshipmen are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Seminoles are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Seminoles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cougars are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!
It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!
Katherine Mcphee is actually Hot!
RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)
We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.
Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:
Purdue
- Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Iowa
- Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
- Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!
Marzie Prince can buff our hood all day long!
UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!
I eat Tarheels for breakfast, lunch and dinner!
Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!
More Marzie! Hot Damn!!!
Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
- Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.
Send your kids to the SEC! Pure Hotness!
Check out these scores:
2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12
2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16
2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17
2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30
See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!
The Marzie trifecta!
Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Auburn
- Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!
We love Auburn Girls!
Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
- Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!
USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!
Carmen Electra is Still Electric!
Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)
Monica Bellucci: The Runny Special!
Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.
Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.
UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.
Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.
Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.
BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.
South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.
Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.
Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.
Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.
Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)
Flash Flash for the Ass!
Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Michigan
- Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!
Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!
RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Week 12 SEC NCAA Football Picks - Backwoods Southern Lawyer’s Redemption Song!
Greetings and salutations to all. BSL here, back with another installation of my razor sharp SEC picks this year. Yours truly has had to make with the color commentary as of late because the picks themselves have been garbage. No, make that garbage with diarrhea on top of it. In any event, with each passing week comes a chance at sweet redemption and so, without further ado, I humbly present the following for your consideration:
Georgia (minus 10) at Auburn. Bulldogs are better than Auburn. Much, much better. Auburn is coming off an unimpressive victory over div. I-AA competition, which made it painfully clear that the AU Tigers are just trying to get the season over with as quickly as possible so they can start thinking about how to right the ship for next year. In all likelihood, their loss to Florida knocked Georgia out of the BCS picture, and was a major blow to the team psyche. Still, the Bulldogs pulled it together enough to win a nail-biter at Kentucky, and I think UGA wins this one by at least 2 TDs.
Ole Miss (minus 22.5) vs. UL-Monroe. Ole Miss has done very little in terms of winning by daylight this year, and they are playing a UL-M squad with a penchant for keeping things reasonably close. I think Ole Miss wins this one by 21 points, and since that’s less than 22.5, I’m taking UL-M in this one.
Florida (minus 22.5) vs. South Carolina. Follow this logic if you can: Ole Miss beats Florida, South Carolina beats Ole Miss, and now that South Carolina is playing Florida, the Gamecocks are 3-TD dogs. Apparently the transitive laws do not apply in the SEC, and quite frankly, in this case they shouldn’t. The Gators have been absolute world beaters since their loss to Ole Miss. They are, in my humble opinion, the best college football team in the universe right now. South Carolina, on the other hand has been taking care of business against lesser teams (but not blowing them out). Still, 22.5 points is an awful lot to give Spurrier and the Gamecock defense, and the Gators can’t blow everyone out for the rest of the year (can they?). I think Florida wins comfortably, but not by more than 20, so I’m going to play with the ‘Cocks.
Miss St. (minus 22) at Alabama. What’s the deal with the 22-point lines in the SEC this weekend? Jerry Seinfeld wants to know. I think Miss. State has stopped believing that they can win. Alabama, fresh off an OT scare at LSU last week, will be able to get their playmakers (namely, Julio Jones and Glen Coffee) into open space, and that means touchdowns. Also, Miss St may not score. I see this as a 31-0 type of job. So, take Bama to win and cover.
Troy (minus 17) at LSU. A battle of 6-3 teams, except one LSU’s losses have been to Alabama, Georgia and Florida, while Troy is a Sun Belt team that lost to UL-Monroe two weeks ago. All the wise guys are picking Troy in this one. Fuggetaboutit. LSU (it appears) has finally figured out how to play defense, and I think the Tigers roll in this one by at least 3 TDs. Take LSU to win and cover.
Vanderbilt (plus 4) at Kentucky. Vanderbilt was at 5 wins a month ago and they still are. Somewhere along the way, they lost their direction and belief that they can win. Meanwhile, Kentucky has looked pretty decent these last few games and is playing for a fairly respectable bowl game. I like the Wildcats to win by a comfortable margin in this one. Take UK.
And those are the picks, folks. Thanks again to Runny, Flash and everyone at the Syndicate for sticking with me, and good luck to everybody this weekend.
BSL
Week 8 SEC NCAA Football Picks - Backwoods Southern Lawyer is back after a winning weekend!
Sorry for the late post — this week the BSL was fighting for his life in front of a know-nothing judge who I’m sure doesn’t like SEC football (not that yours truly had the chance to ask His Honor that in open court, but I just get that feeling from the way he continually raised his voice when overruling my objections and then lowered it to read the jury verdict in my favor — BOO–YOW!!!!).
Anyway, there are two components to making money when wagering on sports. One is picking winners (something I’ve been able to do fairly consistently within the SEC). The other, equally important, aspect is knowing how to bet (which is something that I have a proven history of absolutely sucking at). Take last weekend for example: I pick more winners than losers, but get blanked at the ticket windows because I loaded up on my Miss St - LSU money line parlay, which was only half right (meaning it was all wrong). So, to hell with the telling folks how to wager. If you want to make money, take a proven system like RPJ and bet in equal units. You may go up and down, but in the end it will be more of the former and less of the latter. Now, for those of you who want the BSL’s take on this week’s SEC action, read on.
TAKE VANDY (plus 14.5) AT GEORGIA — This is a tough one. Georgia is due for a blow out, and Vandy’s glass slipper has a crack or two after last week’s loss at Miss St. However, there is no denying the Vandy is a decent team, and Georgia has not been blowing teams out of the water. Add the fact that Vandy and Georgia’s last two games have been decided by a total of 5 points, and I think you have the makings of a moderately close game here.
TAKE OLE MISS (plus 11.5) AT ALABAMA — I like this pick. The last 3 times these teams have played, Bama has won by a field goal. I’ve previously praised Coach Nutt’s ability to put Ole Miss in a position to win big games, and he proved me right with the big one over Florida. Alabama is like Drago in Rock IV. They are only human; if you cut them, they bleed just like the rest of us. Look for a 7-10 point game.
TAKE KENTUCKY (minus 7) VS. ARKANSAS — I don’t care that they beat Auburn. Arkansas is not a good football team, and one week doesn’t change that. Kentucky isn’t so hot either, but they’ve got the defense to hold the Hogs in check and enough offense to cover 8 points. I like the Wildcats to win by double digits.
TAKE SOUTH CAROLINA (plus 2.5) VS. LSU — I never would’ve picked this game this way before I saw the LSU-Florida game. Florida exposed LSU as one of this season’s pretender teams. LSU’s defense (which it rode to both of its recent national championships) is highly suspect. Never in history has a defense with so much talent performed so poorly (note to Les Miles — your dual defensive coordinator scheme isn’t working). South Carolina has turned their season around and will be fired up to play this game at home. I like their chances to win outright.
TAKE MISS STATE (plus 7.5) at TENNESSEE — Mississippi State is not that bad. I think they really started getting things together after the Georgia Tech game where they got their asses handed to them. This year’s Tennessee team has an palpable absence of character and leadership. For some reason, I put Tennessee and Clemson in the same boat this year. Sometimes, you just don’t have that mojo that makes average teams good and good teams great. The Vols are barely average, and I like Miss St to keep this one close, if not win it outright.
So there you have it. Again, a big tip of the hat to the gents at the Syndicate; keep up the good work boys. Good luck to everybody this weekend.
Sincerely,
BSL - Backwoods Southern Lawyer
Week 7 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks (10/11/2008): RPJ Saves the Economy through Wins and Hot Chicks!
Well we lobbied for our economic bailout package but Congress did not see eye to eye with us. So we created an official website, we are giving away our picks for free and we are continuing to show some hot ass. We are super pumped up for our new website. More than 760,000 of you read our blog and we are making this more useful for our fans and readers. Our free picks will continue on this new website and we have added some aditional features like a live odds tab with a lot more to come. We hope we can provide you with a good resource to listen to our insights and then research your own picks over time as we turn on new bells and whistles. Our blog readers know the deal….we provide our sports picks and back up our picks with our own cold hard cash. We are here to make money and in turn make you money. We have a lot of readers and our blog recently passed the three quarters of a million users mark, which is awesome because you all found us. We do not advertise.
On the season our record is as follows:
RPJ $yndicate = 22-17-1 - We want to do better and right now we are picking at a 56% win clip. Just enough to beat the vig.
Flash Flash = 7-4 - 63% win rate. Lovin life.
Runny Pelvis = 16-19-2 - Not winning. Cleaning the office toilet to make up for his bad picks.
Runny is pissed he is not performing up to snuff, especially with the $yndicate and Flash representing.
We know you came to our blog for two things. We have already addressed the picks and you know what reason #2 is……ASS!!! We will continue to display the finest ass on the planet and we have had some requests for more breast shots. Flash Flash was not breast fed as a kid so he is not such a breast man but Runny agrees and the fine round mounds of pleasure will be featured more prominently going forward. In addition we are going to end each of our NCAA posts with an ass picture an ass video of the week. Enjoy! We know you all love some Keyra arse photos so here you go.
Man that never gets old!
On with the picks!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
East Carolina at Virginia (+6.5) - Virginia is a two headed monster. They totally blow and then beat Maryland’s ass with a shutout. East Carolina beats Va. Tech and West Virginia, gets ranked in the top 15 and then proceeds to lose to Houston and NC State. We know ECU burned us in that Tulane game and Virginia got us against Maryland but we are taking another look. The ATS numbers:
East Carolina
Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Pirates are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Pirates are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Pirates are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
Pirates are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.
Pirates are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games on grass.
Pirates are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games.
Virginia
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Cavaliers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cavaliers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
This is a redemption game for East Carolina. Virginia knows they do not have the talent as a team, have played musical QBs and are coming off their biggest win of the season. East Carolina has a superior coach, is coming off two bad beats and we think Skip Holtz will have ECU ready to play. The ATS numbers also scream ECU and that is what we are doing. Take ECU to win and cover!
Michigan State at Northwestern (+1.5) - We have made some nice coin riding Michigan State this year but Northwestern is the team that pops up on our radar this week just like it did when we picked UCLA to cover against Fresno State. Throw in the fact that Michigan State really does not want to play this game, on the road, against an undefeated fired up Northwestern team the week before the Ohio State game. We have seen what happens when teams play inferior opponents before their big game of the year. Just ask Arizona State. Northwestern is also coming off a bye after their emotional come from behind victory against Iowa. Northwestern has won four of the last six meetings as well. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Michigan State
Spartans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 conference games.
Spartans are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
Northwestern
Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Head-to-Head
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
We expect this to be a great game and with a one and a half point spread this is basically a pick em and we are picking Northwestern to win. Take Northwestern and the points!
TCU at Colorado State (+15) - We have enjoyed betting against Colorado State this year and this week is no different. TCU might have gotten blown out by Oklahoma on the road but Colorado State is not Colorado. We can go into an in depth analysis of this game but we do not think it is worth it. Here are some tidbits. Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings. This line should be higher but bettors are spooked because of the Oklahoma game. Do not be. TCU wins easily and covers!
Oklahoma State at Missouri (O/U 78) - We joked that if the O/U in this game was 100 points we would still take the over. We are partly kidding because we feel like a 55-52 score is within reason for this game. We do not even want to predict who will win this game and by how much but we know one thing….these teams are going to score with reckless abandon. On the season Oklahoma State has scored 39, 56, 57, 55 and 56 points and Missouri has scored 52, 52, 69, 42 and 52 points. We love Missouri games because the team considers field goals to be a failure. They think TD, TD, TD on every single drive and that is awesome. Check out these O/U stats:
Over is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 10-2 in Cowboys last 12 games in October.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games overall.
Over is 23-9 in Cowboys last 32 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 31-14 in Cowboys last 45 conference games.
Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Tigers last 14 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 conference games.
Over is 13-6 in Tigers last 19 games overall.
Here are some more tidbits. Missouri is second in the nation in scoring at 53.4 points a game and they have had 17 TD drives that have taken less than 2 minutes. They score a lot and they score fast. Also, Missouri has yet to go three and out in any series this season. Ok. St. is 3rd in the nation in scoring at 52.6 points a game. It is a concern that Ok. St. loves to run the ball and runs for about 315 yards a game. Running means time off the clock. The key here is that Missouri will score fast and often and Ok. State will have to keep up. Enough already with this…..we love the OVER and that is our bet on this game!
Damn Censorship!
It is Mac-key attackey bets of the week time.
Miami-Ohio at Northern Illinois (-11 and O/U 43) - Here comes two way action. Kind of like Tila Tequila who likes to play both sides of the gene pool.
Me love you long time...and her and him and her and him.
Northern Illinois almost took down Tennessee on the road last weekend and now only has to face Miami-Ohio. These ATS numbers are sweet, especially for the under:
Miami (Ohio)
Redhawks are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Redhawks are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Redhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Under is 7-1 in Redhawks last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-1 in Redhawks last 7 games in October.
Under is 6-1 in Redhawks last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Redhawks last 5 games on turf.
Under is 9-3 in Redhawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-4 in Redhawks last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Redhawks last 7 road games.
Northern Illinois
Huskies are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Huskies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Huskies are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 home games.
Under is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 12-2 in Huskies last 14 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 10-2 in Huskies last 12 games in October.
Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 11-3 in Huskies last 14 games on turf.
Under is 6-2 in Huskies last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Huskies last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 20-7 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
Under is 8-3 in Huskies last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
I think the UNDER is yelling at us this week. Holy moly we have never seen more compelling numbers than that. Throw in the fact that Miami-Ohio really is not a D-1 program. They only have one win and it was to a 1-AA school and they only won by 11. N. Illinois almost won at Minnesota and they are undefeated against the spread on the season. We think Northern Illinois wins this game big and Miami-Ohio does not score. So for your two way play take Northern Illinois to cover and take the UNDER!
Ball State at Western Kentucky (+16.5) - Well Western Kentucky bit us on the arse last week with their Va. Tech cover but they have not faced the likes of the ATS undefeated….the Ball State Cardinals. Ball State is sitting at 5-0 ATS and are ranked for the first time in the history of the school. The ATS numbers for Ball State are (Western Kentucky has none):
Ball State
Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Cardinals are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. INDEP.
Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games.
Cardinals are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. win.
Cardinals are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games overall.
During the Indiana game, Ball State lost arguably the best WR in the nation, Dante Love, forever. He is out for the season and is not allowed to play football again. Never bet against a team that has a rallying point and this Ball State team is using Love’s injury as pure emotional lets win one for the gipper attitude. Nate Davis, Ball State’s QB is jacked and will keep the Cardinals on the right path and that path is an easy road victory. Take Ball State to win and cover!!!! We love the MAC! You thought we were going to be excited about the ATS unbeaten game of Texas versus Oklahoma but we give you two MAC ATS unbeatens. College football…Live it, love it!
Tennessee at Georgia (-12) - BSL summed up this game pretty well. Tennessee blows and Georgia is good. Georgia is also still fuming from their Alabama beat down and still fuming at their 35-14 loss to Tennessee at Tennessee last year. That loss essentially kept Georgia out of the SEC championship game, which could have meant a trip to the national title game. Do not think they have forgotten. Georgia has won 9 of its last ten coming off a bye and this week will be no different. Throw in the fact that Georgia has a better run offense, better run defense and turns the ball over half as much as Tennessee and you can start to get a feel for where we are putting this game. The ATS numbers:
Tennessee
Volunteers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Volunteers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Volunteers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Georgia
Bulldogs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bulldogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
Bulldogs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
We think Georgia comes back strong and will try and get Knowshon Moreno going early. They forgot about him during the Alabama smack down. Take Georgia to win and cover! This chick is!
You can play with our BALL any day! Hut Hut Hike!!
Arizona at Stanford (+7) - It has been awhile since we nailed some Pac-10 games and there is no time like the present. We love when we see games like this. Arizona is what we call a clean sweep across the board, meaning they meet every single test we throw at our models. Willie Tuitama is a real threat at Arizona, completing 66% of his passes and throwing 13 TDs versus only 2 picks. Stanford won this game last year in Arizona and this week is payback. We also love that Arizona has been putting it to teams recently beating Washington 48-14 and winning at UCLA 31-10. Yes we know they lost to New Mexico but they also spanked Toledo and Idaho. Stanford is 3-3 on the season but we are not impressed with their wins and Tavita Pritchard is not playing well and not nearly as well as Tuitama. The ATS numbers:
Arizona
Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Stanford
Cardinal are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 conference games.
Cardinal are 5-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Head-to-Head
Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Stoops keeps Arizona rolling and gets them ready to host CAL and USC in back to back weeks after this one. Arizona wins and covers!
Nebraska at Texas Tech (-20.5) - Texas Tech is fun as hell to watch and are rolling with their #7 ranking. Texas Tech’s offense is just as dynamic as Missouri’s is, if not more. Missouri beat Nebraska, at Nebraska, 52-17. It is crazy to say but this is Nebraska’s first road game. Guess Bo Pelini really is taking a play from LSU’s playbook. Never leave the state!!! Texas Tech is undefeated against the spread this year with their only blemish, a 36 point push against SMU. When you win at Kansas State by 30, you can certainly beat Nebraska at home by 21.
Nebraska
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Cornhuskers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Cornhuskers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Cornhuskers are 2-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cornhuskers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
Texas Tech
Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
Red Raiders are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games in October.
We think this game will be ugly. Pelini does not have the horses yet at Nebraska and you can not coach untalented defensive players into stopping the best offenses in the country. Texas Tech might even whoop them worse then Missouri did. Take Texas Tech to win and cover!
Texas at Oklahoma (-6) - Of course we were not going to leave you without discussing the game of the week. Sorry SEC fans but Florida/LSU is big but not as big as this one. We are sure you saw the ESPN stats that showed that the winner of this game has won by at least 7 points since 1997. Both of these teams are undefeated and undefeated against the spread. The Sooners have won the last three games when both teams are ranked in the top 5, most recently a 12-0 win in 2004. This is gonna be a tough one to pick after you see these ATS stats:
Texas
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Longhorns are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Oklahoma
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Sooners are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
We know who we are going to take in this game and we think you should follow us. However, if you do not, think about simply who is going to win the game and why. The game will probably be won by at least 10 points. We think Bradford is better than McCoy. Stoops is better than Brown. Oklahoma’s O-line is significantly better than Texas’ line. Texas’ secondary is too young and inexperienced; they start two freshmen. Oklahoma is the best team in the country right now and they will prove it this weekend. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
The Great Debate Game
LSU at Florida (-6) -Well it happened again. We disagree on the outcome of this game. The last time this happened was the UGA/Arizona State game and Flash won that argument by picking Georgia to win and cover easily. Here are the ATS numbers and then we will get into our rationale:
LSU
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Tigers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Tigers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Florida
Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Gators are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Gators are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Flash Flash is picking LSU to cover and here is why. I think Florida does in fact win but not by 6 points, more like 3-4 points. I am not putting too much attention on Ricky Jean-Francois’ idiotic comments this week and Florida does not need bulletin board material to win this game. LSU has won 4 of the last 6 meetings and won 2 of the last 3 in Gainesville. LSU is pounding the run with Charles Scott and finally settled on a QB in Jarrett Lee. Tebow has not been Heisman Tebow this season and Percy Harvin is coming off an injury. They say Harvin is fine and will play but I am not convinced. I do think LSU has a chance to win, not a big chance, but a chance. LSU has won 19 straight night games and that includes games at home and on the road. LSU has the superior defense and it will have to play tough and physical to see what the Gators are really made of. The Swamp is no longer SEC nasty after Ole Miss went in there and stole a win. As I said….Take LSU and the points.
Runny Pelvis is picking the Gators and here is why. Never trust an inexperienced QB on the road in a HUGE conference game. Oregon tried those shennanigans last week in SoCal and look what happened. It will be worse for LSU. Despite having the additional week to prepare, Jarrett Lee is not ready for this game. He will exit early forcing LSU to bring Hatch back. That is not good for the Tigers either. Florida will take advantage of their crowd and roll. LSU will not up for another 4th quarter comeback.Also, coming into this season, the Gators are 15-1-1 ATS off SUATS wins against conference foes that beat them the last time they played. I’m taking The Gators.
Flash Flash Picks - Sorry guys but no picks this week. All of my picks were snatched up by RPJ.
Runny Pelvis Picks - Same here. We are coming at you with a ton of games this week and if I decide to pick additional games it will be in a new post. It is not likely but I am revisiting some games.
RPJ $yndicate’s Ass Video of the Week! This is more of an Ass montage video but we do not think you will mind.
RPJ $yndicate’s Ass Picture of the Week!
Some see an artistic shot, we see fine perfect ass!!!!
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Flash and Runny
Week 7 NCAA Free Football Picks (10/11/2008): - The Backwoods Southern Lawyer Picks SEC Winners
BSL here. My picks for the last two weeks have gone off about as well as my last deposition.
After another crap-the-sheets, 2-2 performance last week, I’m hovering just above .500 and ready to make something happen. I just so happen to have a 5-star, blistering hot, balls deep mortal lock for this weekend, which I absolutely love: take LSU and Miss St. on a money line parlay and laugh all the way to the bank.
LSU (plus 6) at FLORIDA. In case you’ve missed it, the news in: Florida is just not that great of a football team. I’ve felt uneasy about this Gator squad all year; something is just not right in Gainesville. They were 9-4 last year and will end up near that mark again this year. LSU is simply better on both sides of the ball and will win this one outright (perhaps by double digits). LSU, by the way, will win (or at least come awfully close to winning) the national championship this year.
MISS. STATE (plus 3) vs. VANDERBILT. When it comes to Vanderbilt, I’m the jerk at the table with a stack of black on the “Don’t Come” line. With the exception of the Ga Tech game, MSU has been performing better each week and is sitting on a big effort. MSU’s new QB is sitting on a big effort, and Vandy will bounce after last week’s emotional upset of Auburn. Also, all of the fan money is on Vandy, which makes me feel great about the Bulldogs. MSU wins this one outright.
This is your cure for the looming financial crisis. I feel very strongly about this play. $100 wins you $550. Add a zero to those figures and you’ve got Sizzler money. Cha-ching.
The only play I’m making this weekend is what you see above. However, for those of you of with enquiring minds, here are my other SEC picks for this weekend
TAKE GEORGIA (minus 13) vs. TENNESSEE. Georgia is a good football team, and Tennessee is a very bad football team.
TAKE SOUTH CAROLINA (-1.5) AT KENTUCKY. Another tough call. Both have great defenses. After Smelly’s big week last time out, I give South Carolina the edge on offense.
TAKE ARKANSAS (plus 18.5) AT AUBURN. There are very few teams that Auburn is capable of beating by 19 points, and none of those teams is in the SEC. Arkansas hung with Florida for three and a half quarters last Saturday and is certainly getting tired of having their ass handed to them on a weekly basis. Now they can their offense coorfdinator. Please. Tubberville never bought into Tony Frankin’s spread offense and really never gave it a chance. I blame Tuberville for failing to commit to an offense he bought into when he brought Franklin on board. Random Prediction: Petrino leaves Arkansas in disgrace within 3 years (possibly 4).
Thanks to the boys at RPJ for giving me a place to spew my SEC venom. The website looks great.
Yours Truly,
Backwoods Southern Lawyer