Missouri
2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!
We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:
1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.
2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.
3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.
We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..
Monday December 28, 2009
Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)
Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)
Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)
Thursday, December 31, 2009
Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)
Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)
Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)
Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)
Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)
Friday January 1, 2010
Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)
Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)
Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)
Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)
Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)
Saturday, January 2, 2010
International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)
Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)
Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)
Monday January 4, 2010
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!
Thursday, January 7, 2010
BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!
Free NCAA Football Week 11 Winning Picks: USC doesn’t lose in November and neither do we!
This has been a great week for RPJ. We have been betting every day since Wednesday, November 11. You really can not beat that feeling. Every day we have woken up and said, “Lets make some CASH today!”. We are coming at you with a whopping number picks this weekend. On with the winners! Kaching!!! We are going to be eating a lot of cake this weekend and stealin money!!!
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Georgia Tech (-12) at Duke -Neither of these teams covered their last time out but for very different reasons. Duke barely managed to score at North Carolina and lost ATS as the underdog. Georgia Tech played an always scrappy Wake Forest team and had to beat the Deacs in OT. Just remember this is Georgia Tech versus Duke. Georgia Tech has covered 5 of these games in a row, always as a double digit favorite. Duke is better but not Georgia Tech better. Duke could not score against an average Tarheels D and they certainly will not be able to compete with Tech. Georgia Tech had covered 6 in a row since they lost to Miami. Tech is legit and is looking for an ACC title and a BCS bowl bid. Giving Paul Johnson top athletes is turning into a formidable advantage foe Tech. We are betting Georgia Tech to win and cover easily!
Georgia Tech
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Yellow Jackets are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
- Yellow Jackets are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.
Duke
- Blue Devils are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Blue Devils are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Blue Devils are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Clemson (-8) at NC State - Who are we to bet against Clemson right now. The Tigers are hot and mauling ACC foes. Clemson has won 4 in a row, including a win at Miami and look nasty right now. NC State on the other hand is major disappointment this season. Yes they beat Maryland last time out but that was Maryland. NC State had not won since September and along the way was pounded by Duke and BC We just do not like the Wolf Pack right now and want to bet the hot team. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!
Clemson
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Head-to-Head
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in North Carolina State.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Iowa at Ohio State (-16.5) - This line seems insane but it really is not. Never bet against Tressel when he has a chance to go for blood in conference. Ohio State wins this game and they have a chance to go to the Rose Bowl for the first time in a long time. Since their freak loss to Purdue, Ohio State has rolled off three wins and three covers. Iowa is going to be in let down city mode. They lost a game they should not have last week and more important, they lost their leader and QB in Stanzi. Even with Stanzi, Iowa has won on comeback drives and basically freakishly good luck. Yes 16.5 points is a lot but not for this bunch. Ohio State is starting to put points on the board and their defense will be ready to go against a new, unproven Iowa QB. Ohio State was already the better team from a ball control standpoint. They are just playing much, much better than Iowa right now. We love them at home. We think this game will be ugly and we will be surprised if Iowa even scores. Yes we are that confident in this line. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 conference games.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
Utah at TCU (-20) - We have become true believers in what the Horned Frogs are doing this season. The BCS is in agreement. Their D is insane!! They get after it and this is a team, on both sides of the ball, where the players know their roles and play into it. They play as a team and they will be more than ready for the Utes at home this week. This Utah team is not even close to the team that stomped on Bama in their Bowl game last year. Some ATS stats:
- TCU is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- TCU is 43-18 ATS in their last 61 home games.
- TCU is 31-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall.
Utah has covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings head-to-head, but it doesn’t scare us. This TCU team is nasty. This line is high for a reason (the last time it was this high was 1996-TCU was the Dog then and covered). Take TCU and give the points.
Tennessee at Ole Miss (-5.5) - We have been on the Vols bandwagon all year. We love the D Kiffin senior is putting in place. They are getting after it!! Give them one more year of recruiting and this team will be solid. Anyway, the future means nothing for us. What matters now is the what they have this week. Orgeron returns to his old Oxford stomping grounds. We think he will have a HUGE chip on his shoulder. We think the Vols will be fired up for their coach and will be looking to beat the bag out of Sneed. It does scare us that the Rebels have dominated this match-up ATS wise in recent years (6-1 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head meetings), but we like the Vols on the road this week. On the season, the Vols are 6-3 ATS (including 4 straight covers), 2-0 ATS on the road. The Rebels are 5-4 ATS, but have not covered their last two times out. They struggled at home last week with a terrible Northern Arizona team. We think the Rebels are overrated and the Vols have the better QB. Take the Vols and the points.
Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5) - The Wolverines have surprised us this year. Tate Forcier plays with a ton of heart and seems to give it his best each week. His major weakness, though, is that he has a tendency to lose focus if the team gets behind. The reason this is important this week is because this will be an extremely hostile crowd he will be facing. Is he a gamer that will feed off the negativity like Barkley did in his visit to Columbus earlier this yer? We don’t know yet. We know he brings it, but we don’t know how he will respond to the friendlies up in Madison. Until we see it for ourselves, we are saying no freakin’ way. Also, Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Future Pimp
Missouri at Kansas State (+1) - Kansas State has shocked just about everyone in the sports world with their surprise run at the Big XII North championship. They have been playing well and are down right nasty at home this year (undefeated ATS this year at home). They gave Oklahoma a good run for their money earlier in the year and pounded Colorado and Texas A&M. Mizzou has been a huge disappointment this year. Granted they lost a ton to the draft last year, but still, we all thought they would be better than they are. They are off a very sad defeat to Baylor at home. We think this team is deflated and looking forward to the offseason. K State has way more to play for and will be ready. We are betting the Wildcats to cover and we expect the win.
UAB (-1.5) at Memphis - Not much to write-up here. Memphis is a complete disaster. They just fired their coach and they are not a deep team at all. UAB has been solid and has been good in this match-up in recent history (6-2-1 ATS). We think UAB rolls. Take the Blazers and give the points.
If This is the Typical Memphis Fan, How Can You Not Take UAB?!?!?! Even His Friend In the Back Knows That This Guy Is A Douche!!!!
Arizona at California (-3) - Zona is a very good team this year. They play smart. Cal had a decent run, but fell on bad times with some surprising, big losses. What will give? Zona should win this game. Cal lost their best player last week when Jahvid Best sustained another concussion. If you saw the footage of the play-it was an amazing effort and score-it was shocking to see him laid out like that. Even before that loss, though, Cal has not been good ATS (0-3 in their last three games), while Zona has been the exact opposite (3-0 ATS in their last 3). Zona has way more to play for. This would be a HUGE road win for them and would slingshot them up the rankings. They smell blood and will get it done. They will win outright, we love them even more with the points. The Tedford turd sandwich will definitely rear its ugly head in this game. Take Zona and the points.
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (-6.5) -It has been awhile since we had the chance to rip on Notre Dame and there is no time like the present. This team is on the verge of collapse. Gotta love their reaction to last week’s defeat to Navy. According to Tom Coyne of the AP:
Notre Dame associate head coach Corwin Brown criticized Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo for his postgame comments about the Irish defensive game plan and for the way the way his team uses what Brown called “malicious” illegal cut blocks.
“I thought it was very disappointing what the Navy coach said after the game,” Brown said. “He didn’t want something to be misconstrued, then he said it regarding how we prepared and what we prepared to do.”
Brown went into his criticism of Niumatalolo after practice Wednesday night, cutting off a reporter before the first question could be asked and speaking for two minutes about the Navy coach.
The Midshipmen (7-3) beat the Irish 23-21 on Saturday, the second Navy win in three years against Notre Dame (6-3) after an NCAA-record 43 straight losses. Following the game, Niumatalolo said the Navy coaches expected the Notre Dame coaches to use a similar defensive scheme as in 2008 when the Irish held the Midshipmen to 178 yards rushing in a 27-21 loss.
“I think the one thing that helped us, and I really hope this doesn’t come across wrong, but I think the thing that helped us this year was last year because we knew that they’d line up the same way,” Niumatalolo said.
Brown said Niumatalolo should have known how his comment would be taken.
“In all the classy guys I’ve watched and played under, they would never say something like that,” he said.
Brown also criticized the way Niumatalolo coaches his players to block, point to a play last season where linebacker Brian Smith sustained a sprained knee because of an illegal cut block, missing the final two regular-season games. On Saturday, Navy receiver Nick Henderson was called for personal foul on a hit on cornerback Robert Blanton.
Brown called the hit on Blanton “one of the most malicious plays I’ve ever seen since I’ve been playing.”
Brown said he called Niumatalolo about the hit, saying he considered saying something to him before the game about the way Navy blocks.
“Very malicious,” Brown said. “In this game, which we’re supposed to be playing for our kids and we’re working for our kids, you don’t let your players do something like that.”
Nice work, Irish…criticize a military school on Veteran’s Day. We think they are a bunch of un-American evil doers!!!
Coach Wannstedt, All of America will be pulling for you and your mustache!! God Bless the USA!!
Plus, Big Chuckie Weis is in the media every day defending his players or throwing his players under the bus. Really depends on the day and now a closing schedule of Pitt, UCONN and Stanford is not looking so easy anymore. 6-2, turned into 6-3 and it could turn into 6-6 before we are done.
No, Charlie, That Is Not What the AD Meant When He Said "You Are Fired." Be Careful Dipshit, You'll Shoot Your Eye Out.
This is a nightmare matchup for Notre Dame. Pitt is literally better in all of the ball control stats we track. Pitt runs the ball better, converts third downs better, stops the run better, stops third downs better and really gets after the QB to the tune of 39 sacks. Notre Dame is coming off a ridiculous loss to Navy where it almost looked fixed there were so many missed red zone opportunities and missed field goals. We can not be happier. The continuous demise of the skipping leprechauns brings smiles to our faces every day. These teams are going in opposite directions. Notre Dame has lost three in a row ATS and Pitt has won three in a row ATS. We think Pitt will win big and get after the Irish!
Notre Dame
- Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
- Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Flash Flash for the Cash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 10 Picks: Thanksgiving is Coming Early!!!
The bad definitely follows the good. We were only 5-6 last week and that pisses us off. On the season we are now 58-55-2. A winning record, but a record that is not helping us beat the vig by any means. We are getting a ton of hits on our Twitter account and our Facebook profile is growing as well. Please click the buttons on the top right of this screen to instantly join up to follow us on those social mediums. You do not want to miss when we post our picks each week. Also, join Bodog!!! Bodog is super easy to bet through and they will pay out. Do not get caught up with any of the bullshit that is going on with other websites. Bodog is legit and will pay your winnings out, even to customers located in the United States. To see what Bodog has to offer, just click on one of our Bodog ads and check it out. Also, this website is for you our readers. We know you come to see what we have to say and to ultimately make money. We are here for you so if you want us to do something differently let us know by posting a comment at the bottom of one of the betting pieces or email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. As an early thanksgiving present for you all, we have some solid winners for ya. Here you go:
Saturday, November 7, 2009
CUSE at Pitt -20 : The Greg Paulus experiment is just not living up to the preseason hype. CUSE’s best player just straight quit the team. Winter is setting in. Things are not good in the Upstate NY area (at least they have their beloved Yanks!!). So, they want nothing more than to get out of dodge. The problem is their choice of locales this week is in Pittsburgh to face the Panthers. Bad idea. Pitt needs a win to keep pace with Cincy. Although CUSE has covered the last two times head-to-head, Pitt is undefeated SU at home this year and we don’t see them losing this week either. Should be an easy cover. Take Pitt and give the points.
Baylor @ Mizzou -14: This game is a little counter-intuitive. The ATS numbers say take the Bears, but we love Mizzou at home this week. Baylor has surprised us somewhat (we thought they would be ridiculously awful and not just awful) this year. However, they are awful and not good at all on the road. We love Mizzou to ride the momentum of their impressive road win against Colorado last time out. We think it will be a close cover, but Mizzou will git ‘er done! Take Mizzou and give the points.
Oregon (-7) at Stanford - We called last week’s Oregon/USC game spot on. Oregon is straight nasty. One of the most physical, we are gonna run the ball right down your throat teams in the country. Coach Chip Kelly has his Ducks flying high and Stanford is certainly not the team to slow them down. Chip Kelly teams do not have letdowns. We are loving that this line is only Oregon -7. We would not hesitate taking this line up to 14. We are betting Oregon to win and cover!
Houston (-1) at Tulsa (Over/Under 67.5) - This game is going to be fun. Our boy Case Keenum has been lighting it up lately and he is our choice for the Heisman right now. Since the Cougs freak loss to UTEP they have put together 4 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins. After losing to Boise State, Tulsa has lost two more and it really not playing well. We know Houston’s defense stinks and we know Houston played a 50-43 game last week against Southern Miss so looking for 68 points is not even an issue. We have no idea why this line is this close and we expect Houston to dominate. We are betting Houston to win and cover and we are taking the Over.
USC (-10) at Arizona State - USC had no chance last week against Oregon but Pete Carroll’s teams just do not lose in November. A few weeks ago we watched Stanford out work and out physical Arizona State and if Stanford could do it, USC will have absolutely no trouble moving the ball on the Sun Devils. We are expecting a USC 31-10 outcome. We are betting USC to win and cover!
Western Michigan at Michigan State (-20) - This is the perfect fit in game for Michigan State. They suffered a devastating loss against Iowa and then followed that up by losing badly at Minnesota. The Western Michigan Broncos are just the team to snap Michigan State out of their funk. We are betting Michigan State to win big!
Ohio State at Penn State (-5) - Since losing a terrible game to Purdue, Ohio State is back doing what they do in the Big Ten and against inferior competition and that is winning their last two games by a margin of 83-7. Since losing to Iowa, Penn State has rattled off 5 straight wins straight up and ATS. If we are going to bet a team that needs a win and needs a win in the Big Ten, it will always be Ohio State and Jim Tressel and not the dinosaur across the way. We even get points. We are betting Ohio State to cover!!!
LSU at Alabama (-7.5) - This is the game of the week and the game of ineptitude in our eyes. Yes we are anti SEC biased but Alabama is just not that good. Their QB is terrible and that makes them one dimensional. One dimensional teams never succeed against well coached teams and teams with good defenses. These are two traits LSU has. We are not sure LSU has enough offense to win the game outright but we think they have a chance. We just think 7.5 points is way too many and LSU will do enough to keep it close. We are betting LSU to cover!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: Back to where it all started…Picks and Celebrity Chicks!
We are 47-46-1. Not terrible but certainly not profitable. We are still seeking that home run weekend and looking forward to the games this weekend. If you have not done so yet, click the links on the top right of our website to sign up for our Twitter posts and Facebook fan page. Be the first to know when our picks come out. We are going back to our roots this weekend and that means winning picks and hot celebrity chicks. We are calling on the juju gods of year’s past!
Friday, October 23, 2009
Rutgers at Army (+10): We absolutely love this game!! Rutgers is certainly in the midst of what must be a disappointing season. However, they shouldn’t hang their heads too much. This team does not have nearly close to the talent it has had the past few seasons. We think much of the hype was due to what they did in the past and not because of what they have in place right now. What is still there, however, is their coach. This team is well coached and they play right. They love the national spotlight of prime time games, too. This will not be much of a road game for Rutgers and they have more talent than the Black Knights. Army has a terrible ATS record against the Big East and is 0-6 ATS in their last six against Rutgers. Take Rutgers and give the points.
Jessica Biel
Rutgers
- Scarlet Knights are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
- Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.
- Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Black Knights are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog.
- Black Knights are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Black Knights are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Black Knights are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big East.
- Black Knights are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Beyonce
Illinois at Purdue (-10): Not much need for analysis here. The Fighting Illini have absolutely no fight in them. Purdue is playing better and are fresh off of BCS shake-up defeat of the Buckeyes. They will run through the (non) Fighting Illini like a buzzsaw. Great home game for them. We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take Purdue and give the points.
Mila Kunis
Illinois
- Fighting Illini are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 17-38 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. loss.
- Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games in October.
- Fighting Illini are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Illini are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Fighting Illini are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Fighting Illini are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Boilermakers are 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Boilermakers are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games in October.
Marissa Miller
Central Michigan (-8) @ Bowling Green - Yes we are very predictable but when you have the MAC and the Fever, you know RPJ will not steer you wrong. Central Michigan is one of the top cover teams in the country this year with only one slip up against Buffalo and that was a 1.5 point miss. With senior leadership, The Chips are the class act of the MAC and we will ride them every single week. Look for another double digit win. Also, Chips are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings head-to-head. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!
Gabrielle Union
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
- Chippewas are 15-5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Chippewas are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 conference games.
- Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite.
- Chippewas are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 road games.
- Chippewas are 35-14-3 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
- Chippewas are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Falcons are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games in October.
- Falcons are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Rihanna
Adrianna Lima
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Bulls are 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Malin Ackerman
Megan Fox
- Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cyclones are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cyclones are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Cornhuskers are 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cornhuskers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Cornhuskers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Cornhuskers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Cornhuskers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cornhuskers are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Olivia Wilde
Oklahoma State (-9.5) at Baylor - If Iowa State can go to Baylor and win by 14 points in a game where they easily could have won by 20+ points we are loving this game and line. Yes Oklahoma State has disappointed this year and they are facing numerous distractions with all of the issues around Dez Bryant but c’mon now folks. We all know how this game will go. Oklahoma State is on a 4 game winning streak since their fluke loss to Houston and is building momentum. Baylor is a shell of itself with Robert Griffin out for the year. No analysis needed. We are taking Oklahoma State to win big and cover!!!
Hayden Panettiere
Oklahoma State
- Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
- Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
- Cowboys are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite.
- Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in October.
- Bears are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Cowboys are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Eva Mendes
Central Florida (-10) at Rice - Rice is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country. They are 0-7 and 1-5-1 ATS. Central Florida is 4-1 ATS. Do you need more information? Central Florida was undefeated ATS before they played Miami last week. UCF QB Brett Hodges got knocked around at Miami and suffered a bruised elbow. He has been getting treatment and will be good to go. Rice claims QB Nick Fanuzzi is going to be at full strength for the first time this year but what the hell does that mean? They will only lose by 20 instead of 30. We are betting Central Florida to win and cover!
KAte Beckinsale
Central Florida
- Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Knights are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Owls are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Owls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Owls are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Owls are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Moon Bloodgood
Idaho (+16) at Nevada - The Vandals, gotta love them!!! If you have not figured this bet out yet this season then you are not making nearly enough coin! The Vandals are 6-1 on the season and an astounding 7-0 against the spread. We recently introduced you to them in our picks and we are here to ride the Idaho bandwagon. Nevada is riding a three game winning streak and has found their offense. Nevada just scraped by Utah State last week, 35-32 but were 8,5 point favorites. We are definitely calling on the gambling gods with this cover bet but when it is unblemished, keep riding it. We are betting Idaho to cover!
Diora Baird
Idaho
- Vandals are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Nevada
- Wolf Pack are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
- Wolf Pack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Natalie Gulbis
Texas @ Missouri (+12): Anyone who watched the Red River Rivalry last week (who are we kidding-we know you all did), would know that Texas is not playing well right now. McCoy is nowhere near the guy he was last year and their entire team is underachieving. McCoy comes into this game a little nicked up. Last year Texas trounced the Tigers in Austin 56-31. Both teams were much better than they are now, but we like the Tigers at home this week. Mostly because of the poor play by Texas, but also we love the home field advantage in this one. Plus, after this week Texas heads to Stillwater to play an OK State team that is finding its way despite huge issues. We think Texas takes this game for granted and looks past Mizzou. Mizzou will punch them dead in the face and get a solid cover. ATS numbers are ugly on both sides so we are going to skip them this time around. Take the Tigers at home and the points.
Heidi Klum
Indiana @ Northwestern (-5): The Hooisers stuck it to the non-Fighting Illini last week. They look to build some momentum with tough road game in Evanston against the Wildcats. We love the Hoosiers’ spirit this year, but they don’t have enough to cover this week. They may loose by only a TD, but that is enough for a NW cover. Take Northwestern and give the points.
Paris Hilton
Indiana
- Hoosiers are 8-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hoosiers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games.
- Hoosiers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Hoosiers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
- Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
- Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Northwestern
- Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Northwestern.
Hope you enjoyed the ladies!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Kim Kardashian
NCAA Football Week 6 Free Picks: Nebraska at Missouri: Holy Sh*t Week!!!
RPJ is stinking it up right now. September was not kind and we are rolling in at 32-35-1. The one good thing is that Runny Pelvis is back from his honeymoon and we are ready to get down to business. We are kicking this week off with a little Thursday night delight and we are calling this the Holy Sh*t Week, which will be self explanatory.
Thursday, October 8, 2009
Nebraska (-3) at Missouri - Nebraska has had little trouble shutting down opponents, while Missouri has been scoring with ease. Those trends seem unlikely to continue as the teams begin Big 12 play. With both squads coming off a bye, the No. 21 Cornhuskers and 24th-ranked Tigers open their conference schedules at Faurot Field on Thursday night. Bo Pelini has Nebraska playing well. They should be undefeated rolling into this game because they gave Va. Tech everything they could and fell short to a last minute defeat. Without that loss, both of these teams would be undefeated right now. Nebraska is 4-0 ATS on the season and we love betting on the “winners”. This is what we like to call a clean sweep game. Nebraska is simply better across the board where it matters. Nebraska stops the run and 3rd down conversions better on defense and runs the ball better and converts third downs better on offense. We love these game. We are betting Nebraska to win and cover!!!
Nebraska
- Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cornhuskers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cornhuskers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy
RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.
If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.
Friday, September 25, 2009
Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!
Missouri
- Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Wolf Pack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Wolf Pack are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Wolf Pack are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Tigers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Mississippi State.
- Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
- Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Arkansas (+17.5) at Alabama - Arkansas has itself the best QB in the SEC right now. Quiet Tebow fans!!! He was terrible last weekend and showed why he will not be a top NFL QB. He is a gimmick QB. On the other hand, Ryan Mallett kicks ass. Arkansas lost their shootout with Georgia last week but Mallett looks damn good. The defense is the issue. We think Arkansas can score on anybody, even the hyped Bama defense. After Bama got lucky wearing down a Virginia Tech team they scheduled the typical Saban games against FIU and North Texas. We would not be surprised to see a high scoring affair but Arkansas will keep this closer than 17.5 points. Head-to-Head numbers are key in this game, just like in the LSU game so read on. We are betting Arkansas to cover!!!
- Razorbacks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Razorbacks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Razorbacks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Razorbacks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Alabama.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Golden Bears are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Ducks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Cal has won the last three ATS and 4 out of the last 5
- Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Hurricanes are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hokies are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
- Hokies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hokies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Gators are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Gators are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Gators are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Gators are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Gators are 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Gators are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Gators are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
- Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Wildcats are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Hawkeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Hawkeyes are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hawkeyes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Nittany Lions are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Nittany Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Nittany Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Penn State.
- Hawkeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
- Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- Golden Eagles are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
- Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Jayhawks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games.
- Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
- Jayhawks are 11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Jayhawks are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Zips are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Chippewas are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Chippewas are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 home games.
- Chippewas are 13-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Chippewas are 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Chippewas are 32-13-3 ATS in their last 48 games overall.
- Chippewas are 18-8-2 ATS in their last 28 games on turf.
- Fighting Illini are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
- Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
- Fighting Illini are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Bulls are 2-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- Seminoles are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Huskies are 27-55-4 ATS in their last 86 games overall.
- Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 23-53-2 ATS in their last 78 conference games.
- Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Huskies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Huskies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cardinal are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Cardinal are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!
Thursday, September 3, 2009
South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.
USC
- Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.
Utah State
- Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
- Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
- Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Utes are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Utes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Utes are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 non-conference games.
- Utes are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Aggies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Be afraid of our menacing mascot!!!! Yeah right
Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.
Oregon
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
- Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
- Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
- Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
- Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
- Broncos are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Broncos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10.
- Broncos are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
- Broncos are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.
Friday, September 4, 2009
Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
- Green Wave are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Saturday, September 5, 2009
Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!
Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.
Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games as a favorite.
I am THE MAN!!!
Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!
The Juice will be loose!!!
Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:
*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***
* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.
* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.
You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!
Virginia Tech
- Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
- Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!
This is Purdue Football!!!
Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.
VOlS fans are ready for their showdown in the Swamp!
Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!
Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Wildcats are 11-29 ATS in their last 40 games as a favorite.
- Wildcats are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.
We got the FEVER!!!
Monday, September 7, 2009
Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.
Miami
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Florida State.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Colin Cowherd NCAA Football pick - Illinois vs. Missouri
Colin Cowherd just came out with his first NCAA pick of the season and claims to have put his own money on the pick already.
The Herd loves Illinois big over Missouri. Missouri lost their QB and a ton of talent. Illinois returns a lot of players and players that are holding a grudge since they lost to Missouri last year. Take Illinois to win and cover in this one.
Stay tuned for RPJ Syndicate’s pre-season NCAA and NFL pre-season betting spectaculars. We have been working overtime getting behind the scenes, tracking Spring ball, tracking the early season camp news and we are stacked and ready to roll this season.
2009 March Madness Free Sweet 16 Picks and Predictions: Flash Flash style
My NCAA bracket came out a little below what I was expecting. I was 23-9 in the first round games and only 10-6 in the second round games. This added up to a winning percentage of 69% and the model was supposed to return winners at a 74% clip. If you followed me you probably still have a great chance to win your office pool though because I still have every elite 8 team left. Based on the games that were played and the new matchups I applied my picking system to the 16 teams that remain and low and behold…the whole bracket is turned upside down now. Here is what my math system predicts now…..
Most likely to win their next game….Louisville, Pitt and UNC - This comes as no surprise.
Favored teams most likely to scrape by in a close one to advance….UCONN and Duke - Do not be surprised if Purdue keeps the UCONN game close. These teams matchup really tightly. Purdue is hot and sneaking under the radar. The Duke Nova game should be one for the ages and my system has Duke sneaking out a hard fought, close win.
Who wins the pick em game….Syracuse - This should be another close game but the edge now goes to Cuse. Cuse is playing really well right now and I like their effort.
Upsets in the round of 16…Kansas and Missouri - Yup you heard it hear first. Missouri is going to upset Memphis. Not sure Kansas is much of an upset but they are not favored.
Teams that will play in the Final 4….Kansas, Missouri, Pitt and UNC - I absolutely hate this Final 4 but this is what the math told me. If you remember from my first post of the tourney, I removed all bias from my picks and simply picked on a mathematical model I developed that picked winners at a 74.4% rate. As much as this Final 4 looks retarded, this is what I am posting.
Enjoy the games and good luck with your picks.
Flash Flash