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Nevada

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Its Rivalry Week! Somebody needs to lose!

We are coming off a sick, sick weekend. We went 14-7 and upped our season record to 84-72-3. Also, we were 2-1 in the NFL so far this week. We are going to come at you with a bunch of games this week and weekend as well. This piece will address all of the weekday games we are going to bet and we will follow up with another piece to cover the Saturday games.

Friday, November 27, 2009

Nebraska (-10) at Colorado - We are a little nervous with this game for hangover reasons. Nebraska’s win over Kansas State clinched the Big 12 North for the Huskers and Texas awaits in the Big 12 championship game. On paper, Nebraska is significantly better than Colorado and should blow this game out. But we hate betting on teams that have nothing to play for. Colorado has been scrappy but is not winning because they can not get away from their own mistakes and bad coaching. When we look at the important numbers we salivate over this game. Nebraska runs for more than 50 yards more per game than Colorado, Runs for more than 1.5 yards more per rush than the Buffs, is more efficient on third downs and is better across the board on defense in all of these categories. We think Nebraska might start a little slow but they will get it going as they start to wear down Colorado in the second half. We are betting Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Nebraska

• Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Cornhuskers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cornhuskers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: We have more picks than teen girls at a Twilight: New Moon premiere

This week is unprecedented in RPJ history. We have a ridiculous amount of picks coming at you. We are never happy to pump out this many picks but we can not let the opportunity pass us by. This is a fantastic weekend to be a NCAA football bettor. Since we have so many picks we are not going to provide you with our normal banter and detailed analysis. We do not have the time and we know you want to get your bets out there. If you want detail, please click on our matchup tool analysis section of our website so you can get all of the info you need. If you have no idea what we are talking about then click here: RPJ Syndicate Match up tool. On with the picks…

Saturday, November 21, 2009

So here is the deal. We apologize for the lack of detail but we are encouraging you to use our tools. Just click the matchup tool link in the above paragraph. This week simply was the vortex of gambling gods coming together to screw with our heads. We literally only disagreed on two games and are passing on only 20+ games because we did not see any advantage in the games. So in short, we have a lot of games that simply met all of our models. This is unprecedented territory and we are ready to rock and roll and load up this weekend. In order to process this many games we are breaking them down by conference and will only provide detailed info on the Notre Dame game because it is an awesome display of how the public is a bunch of suckers for the Irish.

MAC Picks

Kent State at Temple (-10.5) - We are taking Temple

Sun Belt Picks

UL Monroe (-3.5) at UL Lafayette - We are taking UL-Monroe

Conference USA Picks

Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (-8) - We are taking Southern Miss

WAC Picks

Hawaii (-3) at San Jose State - We are taking Hawaii

Nevada (-30) at New Mexico State - We are taking Nevada

Mountain West

TCU (-31) at Wyoming - We are taking TCU

ACC Picks

North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5) - We are taking UNC. Might throw some Moneyline cash on it.

Duke at Miami (-19.5) - We are taking Miami

Virginia at Clemson (-21) - We are taking Clemson

Big Ten Picks

Penn State (-3) at Michigan State - We are taking Penn State

Big 12 Picks

Oklahoma (-6.5) at Texas Tech - We are taking Oklahoma

Kansas at Texas (-27.5) - We are taking Texas

Baylor at Texas A&M (-5) - We are taking Texas A&M

Pac-10 Picks

Oregon State (-31) at Washington State - We are taking Oregon State

California at Stanford (-8) - We are taking Cal

SEC Picks

Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-16.5) - We are taking Tennessee

LSU at Mississippi (-4) - We are taking Ole Miss

Obligatory make fun of Notre Dame Pick

UCONN at Notre Dame (-6) - We are taking UCONN. We love games like this. Notre Dame opened as 7 point favorites and the line dropped to Notre Dame -6. The line dropped a full point with the public hammering Notre Dame to the tune of 81% of the money going on the Irish. When lines drop like this with all of the money going against the line drop we love to load up against the public. UCONN is a team of destiny this season. They are playing every game for their fallen teammate. UCONN might not win this game but they play damn hard all the time. Notre Dame is a mess and on the verge of quitting on the season. UCONN will be fired up this week just like Stanford will be fired up later in the season to take out the Irish. We do not think Notre Dame has any fight left in them. They lost to Navy and then Pitt and might not win another game this year. People are calling for Charlie Weis’ head and it is definitely becoming a distraction. No contest here.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: Back to where it all started…Picks and Celebrity Chicks!

We are 47-46-1. Not terrible but certainly not profitable. We are still seeking that home run weekend and looking forward to the games this weekend. If you have not done so yet, click the links on the top right of our website to sign up for our Twitter posts and Facebook fan page. Be the first to know when our picks come out. We are going back to our roots this weekend and that means winning picks and hot celebrity chicks. We are calling on the juju gods of year’s past!

Friday, October 23, 2009

Rutgers at Army (+10): We absolutely love this game!! Rutgers is certainly in the midst of what must be a disappointing season. However, they shouldn’t hang their heads too much. This team does not have nearly close to the talent it has had the past few seasons. We think much of the hype was due to what they did in the past and not because of what they have in place right now. What is still there, however, is their coach. This team is well coached and they play right. They love the national spotlight of prime time games, too. This will not be much of a road game for Rutgers and they have more talent than the Black Knights. Army has a terrible ATS record against the Big East and is 0-6 ATS in their last six against Rutgers. Take Rutgers and give the points.

Rutgers

• Scarlet Knights are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.

Illinois at Purdue (-10): Not much need for analysis here. The Fighting Illini have absolutely no fight in them. Purdue is playing better and are fresh off of BCS shake-up defeat of the Buckeyes. They will run through the (non) Fighting Illini like a buzzsaw. Great home game for them. We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take Purdue and give the points.

Illinois

• Fighting Illini are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 17-38 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. loss.
• Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games in October.
• Fighting Illini are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Illini are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS loss.
• Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Fighting Illini are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
• Fighting Illini are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Central Michigan (-8) @ Bowling Green - Yes we are very predictable but when you have the MAC and the Fever, you know RPJ will not steer you wrong. Central Michigan is one of the top cover teams in the country this year with only one slip up against Buffalo and that was a 1.5 point miss. With senior leadership, The Chips are the class act of the MAC and we will ride them every single week. Look for another double digit win. Also, Chips are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings head-to-head. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
• Chippewas are 15-5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Chippewas are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 conference games.
• Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite.
• Chippewas are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 road games.
• Chippewas are 35-14-3 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
• Chippewas are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.

Oklahoma State (-9.5) at Baylor - If Iowa State can go to Baylor and win by 14 points in a game where they easily could have won by 20+ points we are loving this game and line. Yes Oklahoma State has disappointed this year and they are facing numerous distractions with all of the issues around Dez Bryant but c’mon now folks. We all know how this game will go. Oklahoma State is on a 4 game winning streak since their fluke loss to Houston and is building momentum. Baylor is a shell of itself with Robert Griffin out for the year. No analysis needed. We are taking Oklahoma State to win big and cover!!!

Oklahoma State

• Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
• Cowboys are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite.

Central Florida (-10) at Rice - Rice is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country. They are 0-7 and 1-5-1 ATS. Central Florida is 4-1 ATS. Do you need more information? Central Florida was undefeated ATS before they played Miami last week. UCF QB Brett Hodges got knocked around at Miami and suffered a bruised elbow. He has been getting treatment and will be good to go. Rice claims QB Nick Fanuzzi is going to be at full strength for the first time this year but what the hell does that mean? They will only lose by 20 instead of 30. We are betting Central Florida to win and cover!

Central Florida

• Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Knights are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Idaho (+16) at Nevada - The Vandals, gotta love them!!! If you have not figured this bet out yet this season then you are not making nearly enough coin! The Vandals are 6-1 on the season and an astounding 7-0 against the spread. We recently introduced you to them in our picks and we are here to ride the Idaho bandwagon. Nevada is riding a three game winning streak and has found their offense. Nevada just scraped by Utah State last week, 35-32 but were 8,5 point favorites. We are definitely calling on the gambling gods with this cover bet but when it is unblemished, keep riding it. We are betting Idaho to cover!

Idaho

• Vandals are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
• Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Nevada

• Wolf Pack are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Wolf Pack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Texas @ Missouri (+12): Anyone who watched the Red River Rivalry last week (who are we kidding-we know you all did), would know that Texas is not playing well right now. McCoy is nowhere near the guy he was last year and their entire team is underachieving. McCoy comes into this game a little nicked up. Last year Texas trounced the Tigers in Austin 56-31. Both teams were much better than they are now, but we like the Tigers at home this week. Mostly because of the poor play by Texas, but also we love the home field advantage in this one. Plus, after this week Texas heads to Stillwater to play an OK State team that is finding its way despite huge issues. We think Texas takes this game for granted and looks past Mizzou. Mizzou will punch them dead in the face and get a solid cover. ATS numbers are ugly on both sides so we are going to skip them this time around. Take the Tigers at home and the points.

Indiana @ Northwestern (-5): The Hooisers stuck it to the non-Fighting Illini last week. They look to build some momentum with tough road game in Evanston against the Wildcats. We love the Hoosiers’ spirit this year, but they don’t have enough to cover this week. They may loose by only a TD, but that is enough for a NW cover. Take Northwestern and give the points.

Indiana

• Hoosiers are 8-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hoosiers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games.
• Hoosiers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Hoosiers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
• Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
• Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Northwestern

• Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Northwestern.

Hope you enjoyed the ladies!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 6 Picks: La. Tech at Nevada: Holy Sh*t, It is the WAC-Key Attackey!

As we wait for the end of the Nebraska vs. Mizzou game we are ready with our Friday night pick. Prior to games this week, we were 32-35-1. Not great but we are on the verge of greatness. We will crush it soon enough. This damn Nebraska bet is looking terrible just like most of our first bets of the week. You definitely want to bet against us on Thursday/Friday, whenever we bet our first game. What we love to do though to follow a loser is to load up on the WAC-key attackey conference. We have crushed this conference before and we will do it again. Get on board!!!

Friday, October 2009

Louisiana Tech at Nevada (-10.5) - This line opened at Nevada -6 and is climbing by the second. The bettering public definitely got a sense of what Nevada is capable of last week. The Wolf Pack beat UNLV 63-28 while running for 559 yards, generating 773 yards of offense all while losing 4 fumbles. Yes you saw all of those stats correctly. When Nevada is on, they can score. This is why we bet the OVER in the Notre Dame game to start the season. Unfortunately for us it has taken a long time to get this team going.Just to throw it out there, Nevada had 3 guys rush for more than 170 yards last week. SO why do we think Nevada can do it again. La. Tech has the 82nd ranked defense, gives up 186 yards per game on the ground, lets teams rush for 4.23 yards per rush (anything over 4 is a death sentence, and lets teams convert 43% of their third down conversions. LA. Tech is going on the road and will get blown out. Plain and simple. We are betting Nevada to win and cover!!!

Louisiana Tech

• Bulldogs are 13-28 ATS in their last 41 games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games as a road underdog.
• Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.
• Bulldogs are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 14-37-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.
• Bulldogs are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 9-28-1 ATS in their last 38 games following a S.U. win.
• Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Bulldogs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Bulldogs are 5-22 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Nevada

• Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Wolf Pack are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Wolf Pack are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite.
• Wolf Pack are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 4 Free Picks: The Road Warrior Strategy

RPJ is sitting here at 19-21-1 and we love a lot of games this weekend. Quick sidebar on the Ole Miss loss last night. The play calling was hideous and execution was just as putrid. How does Ole Miss have #22 and barely get him the ball through three quarters. When they finally wake up and realize Dexter did not have enough touches they proceed to run wild over USC. Houston can suck my Nutts this morning.

If you have not familiarized yourself with our website, please do so. You can sign up to be a friend of ours on Facebook or follow us on Twitter. Just click the icon on the top left of the page. Also, we are affiliated with Bodog and giving 15% bonuses to anybody that signs up. Why do we mention this when we are 19-21-1? Because we care about our fans. There is still a bunch of BS going on right now in the online betting world and many vendors are accepting USA money but they are not paying it out. Bodog is safe on both ends. Do not get burned. Now on to this week’s picks. One common theme is we are expecting a lot of the Road teams to win so we are calling this the weekend of the Road Warrior.

Friday, September 25, 2009

Missouri at Nevada (+7) - No time like the present to launch the Road Warrior Pick strategy. This is Nevada’s home opener and we expect them to come out fighting since they are 0-2. The fact that the Pack is 0-2 at this point is disappointing, but not surprising. Beating Notre Dame was a long shot and we think the season will show that Colorado State is a decent football team. However, Nevada does not seem well prepared this season. Their coach has been there forever and it is probably time for a change. Missouri is 3-0 and coming off a pounding of Furman after Bowling Green almost stole one out from under Mizzou. Last year Missouri beat Nevada 69-17 and although revenge might be a factor for Nevada, we do not think they have the horses. The line is only 7 and we see Missouri winning by double digits. We are taking Missouri to win and cover!!!

Missouri

• Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Tigers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Tigers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.

2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!

Thursday, September 3, 2009

South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.

USC

• Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.

Utah State

• Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
• Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
• Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
• Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
• Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!

Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.

Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!

Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:

*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***

* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.

* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.

You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!

Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.

Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!

Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.

Monday, September 7, 2009

Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.

Miami

• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Games for 12/30/08

RPJ is rolling along for the bowl games. We have our 4 systems…RPJ, RPJ Math, Runny and Flash. RPJ is doing terribly right now but we are looking to finish strong. We have opinions on every game today. For the record:

RPJ is 1-5

RPJ Math is 8-6

Runny is 4-5

Flash is 2-1

Some points of note….Please sign up to become a fan of ours on Facebook. Search RPJ Betting Syndicate and become a fan to see all of our best pics and for general shits and giggles. Please explore this website for your betting needs. We have live odds and matchup tool analysis. A lot of you bet on sportsbook or through bookies; if you have not tried Bodog yet then you are missing out. Click on one of our ads and get some free cash from us. On with the picks….

Nevada versus Maryland (+3 and OVER/UNDER 59)

RPJ is taking Nevada and here is why: Nevada wins the travel battle in this one because Maryland is travelling all the way across the country to freakin Boise. Nevada has won 3 of 4 str8 up and is 2-2 ATS in that time span. Maryland has lost 3 of 4 str8 up and 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Maryland is a terrible travel team and this will be their toughest trip yet. Maryland lost to Middle Tenn St by 10 and was shut out by UVA 31-0. This trip does not bode well for them. Nevada won a nice road game at La. Tech last time out and has some good momentum. The ATS numbers:

Nevada

Wolf Pack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.

Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

Wolf Pack are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.

Wolf Pack are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Wolf Pack are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games as a favorite.

Maryland

Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Terrapins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.

Should be an interesting game. We are going against Maryland’s travel ability and comparing their numbers on turf. You really think an ACC Maryland team wants to play in this shitbox of a bowl game. Even though the ACC is undefeated ATS in bowls so far, there is no time like the present for a loss. Nevada will be pumped up and ready to roll.

RPJ Math does not see an edge in this game. Nevada covers in this game 45.7% of the time and Maryland covers 46.4% of the time. No Juice!

Western Michigan versus Rice (-3 and OVER/UNDER 74)

RPJ is taking Rice and here is why: This game is in Texas and should be a home game for Rice who will be fired up and super motivated since the Owls have not won a bowl game in 50 years. This should be a fun game to watch if you are bored and have nothing to do. Both teams pass more than 40 times per game and are in the top 25 in offense. Both of these teams have terrible defenses but the one major point that sticks out is turnover margin…Rice is +13 and Western Michigan is -3. This will be huge. Western Michigan lost their last game to Ball State but had a 3 game winning streak prior to that. In their last 5 games, Western Michigan is 2-3 ATS. Rice is hot; since they lost to Tulsa on October 4, the Owls have won 6 in a row and are 5-1 ATS during that time period. The ATS numbers:

Western Michigan

Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.

Broncos are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rice

Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Rice playing essentially a home game with the more ball hawking D comes out on top in this one.

RPJ Math takes Rice

Oregon versus Oklahoma State (-3 and OVER/UNDER 76)

Runny Pelvis is taking Oregon and here is why: Statistically speaking, these teams are almost identical twins. The key to this game is the two-headed monster running attack of Oregon. Their backs can run all day and Oregon knows how to use both to keep them fresh throughout the game. Oregon will use their backs to control the ball and keep the ball out of the hands of OK State’s Zach Robinson. If they can keep Robinson away from the ball, they will win this game. I think they will. Also, Oregon’s QB is playing really well right now. I’m taking Oregon and the points.

Flash Flash loves Oregon cheerleaders and here is why (this is not a pick):

RPJ Math selects Oklahoma State

RPJ Pic of the Day. Of course we were not going to have an ass free post. We know what you were thinking.

Flash and Runny

RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!

We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.

A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.

If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.

In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.

Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.

FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2

Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)

This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)

Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET  New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS  (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)

Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.

FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)

We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET  Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS  (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)

Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!

EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)

Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.

New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)

The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!

Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)

The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.

MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET  St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)

We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)

This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)

We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET  Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)

1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!

2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?

Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)

We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.

Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET  Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)

We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?

Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET  San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)

Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)

We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.

PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers  vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)

Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?

Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET  Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)

We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!

Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET  San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)

This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.

Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)

Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)

These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.

Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m.  Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)

Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET  Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)

How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!

Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)

This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)

You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)

Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.

Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)

We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.

Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)

We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET  Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)

Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.

Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)

This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6

East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)

Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)

Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.

International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)

This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!

GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET  Mobile, Ala.  ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC

Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)

More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.

Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: November Rain (11/29/2008)

Well we are getting to that time of year. The NCAA football regular season is almost over. We are a little, well a lot pissed, and we are scrambling right now to make this season a profitable one and it is quickly escaping us, much like the season for the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles fans hold a slimmer of hope what the rest of the nation knows is an impossibility. Well the chance RPJ can spin its record around to better than 55% is going to be a tall order. We think our system is coming around. We had a nice winning week last week and we are looking to build on it this week and weekend. Even Runny is on a nice little winning streak and when that happens you know it is going to be a great week! We have a bunch of picks for you this weekend so enjoy. We also are very pleased to bust out more Nina Moric pics.

 

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Virginia at Virginia Tech (-8 and OVER/UNDER 38) - We have been riding the Va Tech UNDER to some nice paydays lately; hitting three in a row. Even UVA has hit the UNDER 6 of their last 8 games. This game is right in our wheel house. Virginia Tech runs for 166 yards per game, almost twice UVA. Va Tech’s defense gives up 107 yards per game rushing and UVA gives up 144. Next piece of business, UVA turns the ball over 2.5 times per game and Va Tech only gives up 1.4 turnovers per game. UVA is crumbling down the stretch and has lost three games in a row. Here are the ATS numbers:

Virginia

Cavaliers are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games.

Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games on grass.

Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games overall.

Under is 7-2 in Cavaliers last 9 games following a S.U. loss.

Under is 16-5-1 in Cavaliers last 22 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Under is 16-5-2 in Cavaliers last 23 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 11-4 in Cavaliers last 15 games in November.

Under is 11-4-2 in Cavaliers last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Under is 22-8-3 in Cavaliers last 33 conference games.

Under is 19-7-1 in Cavaliers last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Under is 21-8-3 in Cavaliers last 32 games following a ATS loss.

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Under is 9-4-1 in Cavaliers last 14 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

The Hokies

Hokies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in November.

Hokies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Hokies are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 conference games.

Hokies are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Hokies are 61-30-1 ATS in their last 92 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 6-1 in Hokies last 7 games on grass.

Under is 12-2 in Hokies last 14 home games.

Under is 6-1 in Hokies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Hokies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Under is 4-1 in Hokies last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Under is 9-3 in Hokies last 12 games in November.

Under is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 conference games.

Under is 5-2 in Hokies last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

This is where Beamer ball really comes to play, in a home game, against a team on the ropes. Look for Va. Tech to completely dominate this game. Also, Va. Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against UVA. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Virginia Tech. Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. We think we have shown you the light. Expect UVA not to score and Va. Tech to run the ball a lot and run the clock down which leads to a nice UNDER. We are taking Virginia Tech to win and cover and we are on betting the UNDER also! If you only want to be this one way, Va. Tech is the way to go first. Save the UNDER for the true Degenerates.

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (+7.5) - This is Oklahoma’s season. Most experts predict that Oklahoma will jump Texas in the BCS standings with a win over OK. State. In the case of a three way tie, the team with the highest BCS ranking goes to the Big 12 Title game. RETARDED!!!! But those are the rules. Oklahoma made a huge statement with their win against the Red Raiders and look for this team to continue their roll. Oklahoma has been one of the top 2 teams in the country this season and only played one half of bad football, the second half against Texas. They were winning at halftime. The Sooners have topped 60 points in each of their last three games and averaged 59.2 points and 598.0 yards in their five-game winning streak since losing to the Longhorns. The surge has made quarterback Sam Bradford a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, and he enters the game with 3,710 yards and 42 touchdown passes. But Bradford, who threw four TD passes in last year’s 49-17 win over Oklahoma State, also has a very strong backfield in DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown. Each rushed for over 100 yards against Texas Tech and combined for five touchdowns. Here are the ATS numbers:

Oklahoma

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Sooners are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Sooners are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Sooners are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Sooners are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Sooners are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Oklahoma State

Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cowboys are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Cowboys are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Cowboys are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma State.

Tough, tough numbers. We are simply going with the hot team. When you find a hot team you ride it until it bucks you off. We are taking Oklahoma to win and cover! 

Nevada (-5) at Louisiana Tech - This is one of those games where we throw out a game and a pick and you simply say huh, why are these two clowns picking this retarded game? Well it hits a blatant win and cover in our joint model and when that happens we bet it. Plain and simple. Here are the ATS numbers:

Nevada

Wolf Pack are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Wolf Pack are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.

Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

La Tech

Bulldogs are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a S.U. win.

Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Bulldogs are 7-21 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bulldogs are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
• Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Well those numbers just about give it away. Nevada has won three in a row ATS in this series and we think they will continue that streak. We are taking Nevada to win and cover!

Notre Dame at USC (-31.5) - This is our favorite game of the weekend. Lee Corso said ND has zero chance of scoring a touchdown and ESPN’s Trevor Madich gave the quote of the week. Trevor said Notre Dame can consider the game a victory if they leave without suffering any serious, disabling injuries. He says Rey Rey, Mays and Cushing will lay the lumber and Notre Dame’s young players do not know how to protect themselves. We have never heard of any ESPN announcer actually predict injury. This is freakin hilarious. This is really all you need to see from the best defense in the country.

Just so you think we analyzed this game, here are some ATS numbers:

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.

Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Fighting Irish are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye week.

Fighting Irish are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

USC

Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Trojans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.

Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.

Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a bye week.

Trojans are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games in November.

Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Trojans are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Trojans are 30-14 ATS in their last 44 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Southern California.
• Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

We think those head-to-head numbers really tell the story. The last 6 years, USC is an elite program and Notre Dame should play in the MAC. The Fighting Leprechauns can not hold USC’s jock, they can smell it, but they sure as hell can not hold it!!! Only thing that has us nervous is every single friend of ours is calling us to figure out how to place bets on this game. People will take USC up to 40 points no problem. We get nervous when our boy Indian Pain calls to lay some cash but the more the merrier. We know our phones will be ringing off the hook from our boys in SoCal and our Notre Dame homer fans. Does not matter to us. USC wins big and covers!!!!

Flash Flash Picks

Arkansas State at North Texas (+20.5) - Runny is missing out on the wonderful betting opportunity other wise known as the Sun Belt Conference. Yes, I am back with a Sun Belt pick this week. I really like this game. North Texas is DEFEATED against the spread at home. Check this out too….North Texas gives up 209 rushing yards per game and Arkansas State runs for 209 yards per game. You know I love numbers like that. Also, North Texas turns it over 2.7 times per game. Teams that turn the ball over and can not stop the run are in for a long, long day. Throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and I have my team. Arkansas State wins and covers!

Flash Flash 3 play - I have a three play for you today. Basically these games never showed up on Runny’s radar so we skipped them for RPJ but they fall right in my wheel house. The basic premise as it was with the Arkansas State game is as follows: I follow numerous statistical data points and when one team literally sweeps the board for all relevant stats I call it my clean sweep games. Just so you do not think I am nuts, I look for an offensive rushing advantage, a defensive rushing advantage and a turnover margin leader. I look at multiple more stats but I just wanted to give you three pieces of my clean sweep model. So there are three more clean sweep games I am going to bet this weekend because one team is the clear victor in my model.

Game 1: Tulane at Memphis (-14) - Memphis will win and cover.

Game 2: New Mexico State at Utah State (-5.5) - Two miracles here, Utah State is favored and I am betting them to win and cover.

Game 3: Southern Miss at SMU (+15) - I am taking Southern Miss to win and cover.

There you have it. The first clean sweep Flash Flash three play. Not quite like the ass rape three play that was awesome but this is my latest creation.

Runny Pelvis picks

Sorry guys but I was active today and have had a great week. I am gearing up for Sunday’s NFL games. Stay tuned.

RPJ $yndicate Pic of the Day!

 

Flash Flash and Runny

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