New Mexico State Aggies
Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition
Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!
Saturday, November 28, 2009
Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing
Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.
Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.
Troy (-9.5) at UL-Lafayette - We are picking Troy to win and cover.
New Mexico State at San Jose State (-11.5) - We are picking New Mexico State to cover.
The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.
North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.
Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.
Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.
Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.
Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!
Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football! We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: We have more picks than teen girls at a Twilight: New Moon premiere
This week is unprecedented in RPJ history. We have a ridiculous amount of picks coming at you. We are never happy to pump out this many picks but we can not let the opportunity pass us by. This is a fantastic weekend to be a NCAA football bettor. Since we have so many picks we are not going to provide you with our normal banter and detailed analysis. We do not have the time and we know you want to get your bets out there. If you want detail, please click on our matchup tool analysis section of our website so you can get all of the info you need. If you have no idea what we are talking about then click here: RPJ Syndicate Match up tool. On with the picks…
Saturday, November 21, 2009
So here is the deal. We apologize for the lack of detail but we are encouraging you to use our tools. Just click the matchup tool link in the above paragraph. This week simply was the vortex of gambling gods coming together to screw with our heads. We literally only disagreed on two games and are passing on only 20+ games because we did not see any advantage in the games. So in short, we have a lot of games that simply met all of our models. This is unprecedented territory and we are ready to rock and roll and load up this weekend. In order to process this many games we are breaking them down by conference and will only provide detailed info on the Notre Dame game because it is an awesome display of how the public is a bunch of suckers for the Irish.
MAC Picks
Kent State at Temple (-10.5) - We are taking Temple
Sun Belt Picks
UL Monroe (-3.5) at UL Lafayette - We are taking UL-Monroe
Conference USA Picks
Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (-8) - We are taking Southern Miss
WAC Picks
Hawaii (-3) at San Jose State - We are taking Hawaii
Nevada (-30) at New Mexico State - We are taking Nevada
Mountain West
TCU (-31) at Wyoming - We are taking TCU
ACC Picks
North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5) - We are taking UNC. Might throw some Moneyline cash on it.
Duke at Miami (-19.5) - We are taking Miami
Virginia at Clemson (-21) - We are taking Clemson
Big Ten Picks
Penn State (-3) at Michigan State - We are taking Penn State
Big 12 Picks
Oklahoma (-6.5) at Texas Tech - We are taking Oklahoma
Kansas at Texas (-27.5) - We are taking Texas
Baylor at Texas A&M (-5) - We are taking Texas A&M
Pac-10 Picks
Oregon State (-31) at Washington State - We are taking Oregon State
California at Stanford (-8) - We are taking Cal
SEC Picks
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-16.5) - We are taking Tennessee
LSU at Mississippi (-4) - We are taking Ole Miss
Obligatory make fun of Notre Dame Pick
UCONN at Notre Dame (-6) - We are taking UCONN. We love games like this. Notre Dame opened as 7 point favorites and the line dropped to Notre Dame -6. The line dropped a full point with the public hammering Notre Dame to the tune of 81% of the money going on the Irish. When lines drop like this with all of the money going against the line drop we love to load up against the public. UCONN is a team of destiny this season. They are playing every game for their fallen teammate. UCONN might not win this game but they play damn hard all the time. Notre Dame is a mess and on the verge of quitting on the season. UCONN will be fired up this week just like Stanford will be fired up later in the season to take out the Irish. We do not think Notre Dame has any fight left in them. They lost to Navy and then Pitt and might not win another game this year. People are calling for Charlie Weis’ head and it is definitely becoming a distraction. No contest here.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
If you like what you see, like our picks and like our free analysis tools, we would appreciate it if you signed up through our website to use Bodog as your betting vehicle of choice. We love Bodog and have never had any issues getting our money out. The same can not be said for BetUs, Sportbook and other sites so bettor be warned!!!
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Bodog is operated in North America under License by Morris Mohawk Gaming Group.
In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: November Rain (11/29/2008)
Well we are getting to that time of year. The NCAA football regular season is almost over. We are a little, well a lot pissed, and we are scrambling right now to make this season a profitable one and it is quickly escaping us, much like the season for the Philadelphia Eagles. Eagles fans hold a slimmer of hope what the rest of the nation knows is an impossibility. Well the chance RPJ can spin its record around to better than 55% is going to be a tall order. We think our system is coming around. We had a nice winning week last week and we are looking to build on it this week and weekend. Even Runny is on a nice little winning streak and when that happens you know it is going to be a great week! We have a bunch of picks for you this weekend so enjoy. We also are very pleased to bust out more Nina Moric pics.
Nina Moric might be our new favorite Hottie!!!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Virginia at Virginia Tech (-8 and OVER/UNDER 38) - We have been riding the Va Tech UNDER to some nice paydays lately; hitting three in a row. Even UVA has hit the UNDER 6 of their last 8 games. This game is right in our wheel house. Virginia Tech runs for 166 yards per game, almost twice UVA. Va Tech’s defense gives up 107 yards per game rushing and UVA gives up 144. Next piece of business, UVA turns the ball over 2.5 times per game and Va Tech only gives up 1.4 turnovers per game. UVA is crumbling down the stretch and has lost three games in a row. Here are the ATS numbers:
Virginia
The Hokies
This is where Beamer ball really comes to play, in a home game, against a team on the ropes. Look for Va. Tech to completely dominate this game. Also, Va. Tech is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against UVA. Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Virginia Tech. Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. We think we have shown you the light. Expect UVA not to score and Va. Tech to run the ball a lot and run the clock down which leads to a nice UNDER. We are taking Virginia Tech to win and cover and we are on betting the UNDER also! If you only want to be this one way, Va. Tech is the way to go first. Save the UNDER for the true Degenerates.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (+7.5) - This is Oklahoma’s season. Most experts predict that Oklahoma will jump Texas in the BCS standings with a win over OK. State. In the case of a three way tie, the team with the highest BCS ranking goes to the Big 12 Title game. RETARDED!!!! But those are the rules. Oklahoma made a huge statement with their win against the Red Raiders and look for this team to continue their roll. Oklahoma has been one of the top 2 teams in the country this season and only played one half of bad football, the second half against Texas. They were winning at halftime. The Sooners have topped 60 points in each of their last three games and averaged 59.2 points and 598.0 yards in their five-game winning streak since losing to the Longhorns. The surge has made quarterback Sam Bradford a frontrunner for the Heisman Trophy, and he enters the game with 3,710 yards and 42 touchdown passes. But Bradford, who threw four TD passes in last year’s 49-17 win over Oklahoma State, also has a very strong backfield in DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown. Each rushed for over 100 yards against Texas Tech and combined for five touchdowns. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Head-to-Head
Tough, tough numbers. We are simply going with the hot team. When you find a hot team you ride it until it bucks you off. We are taking Oklahoma to win and cover!
Nevada (-5) at Louisiana Tech - This is one of those games where we throw out a game and a pick and you simply say huh, why are these two clowns picking this retarded game? Well it hits a blatant win and cover in our joint model and when that happens we bet it. Plain and simple. Here are the ATS numbers:
Nevada
La Tech
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Wolf Pack are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Well those numbers just about give it away. Nevada has won three in a row ATS in this series and we think they will continue that streak. We are taking Nevada to win and cover!
Notre Dame at USC (-31.5) - This is our favorite game of the weekend. Lee Corso said ND has zero chance of scoring a touchdown and ESPN’s Trevor Madich gave the quote of the week. Trevor said Notre Dame can consider the game a victory if they leave without suffering any serious, disabling injuries. He says Rey Rey, Mays and Cushing will lay the lumber and Notre Dame’s young players do not know how to protect themselves. We have never heard of any ESPN announcer actually predict injury. This is freakin hilarious. This is really all you need to see from the best defense in the country.
Just so you think we analyzed this game, here are some ATS numbers:
Notre Dame
USC
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Southern California.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
We think those head-to-head numbers really tell the story. The last 6 years, USC is an elite program and Notre Dame should play in the MAC. The Fighting Leprechauns can not hold USC’s jock, they can smell it, but they sure as hell can not hold it!!! Only thing that has us nervous is every single friend of ours is calling us to figure out how to place bets on this game. People will take USC up to 40 points no problem. We get nervous when our boy Indian Pain calls to lay some cash but the more the merrier. We know our phones will be ringing off the hook from our boys in SoCal and our Notre Dame homer fans. Does not matter to us. USC wins big and covers!!!!
Flash Flash Picks
Arkansas State at North Texas (+20.5) - Runny is missing out on the wonderful betting opportunity other wise known as the Sun Belt Conference. Yes, I am back with a Sun Belt pick this week. I really like this game. North Texas is DEFEATED against the spread at home. Check this out too….North Texas gives up 209 rushing yards per game and Arkansas State runs for 209 yards per game. You know I love numbers like that. Also, North Texas turns it over 2.7 times per game. Teams that turn the ball over and can not stop the run are in for a long, long day. Throw in the fact that the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and I have my team. Arkansas State wins and covers!
Flash Flash 3 play - I have a three play for you today. Basically these games never showed up on Runny’s radar so we skipped them for RPJ but they fall right in my wheel house. The basic premise as it was with the Arkansas State game is as follows: I follow numerous statistical data points and when one team literally sweeps the board for all relevant stats I call it my clean sweep games. Just so you do not think I am nuts, I look for an offensive rushing advantage, a defensive rushing advantage and a turnover margin leader. I look at multiple more stats but I just wanted to give you three pieces of my clean sweep model. So there are three more clean sweep games I am going to bet this weekend because one team is the clear victor in my model.
Game 1: Tulane at Memphis (-14) - Memphis will win and cover.
Game 2: New Mexico State at Utah State (-5.5) - Two miracles here, Utah State is favored and I am betting them to win and cover.
Game 3: Southern Miss at SMU (+15) - I am taking Southern Miss to win and cover.
There you have it. The first clean sweep Flash Flash three play. Not quite like the ass rape three play that was awesome but this is my latest creation.
Runny Pelvis picks
Sorry guys but I was active today and have had a great week. I am gearing up for Sunday’s NFL games. Stay tuned.
RPJ $yndicate Pic of the Day!
Nina Moric rules this post!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2
We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.
The Great Debate Game
Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.
Missouri
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.
Texas
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.
Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:
Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!). FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.
Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.
Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.
Akron
- Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
- Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Eastern Michigan
-
Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)
- Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….
I love the internet!!!
Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!
San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:
- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
- Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!
San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.
San Jose State
- Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
- Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
New Mexico State
- Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
-
Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!
Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:
Houston
- Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
SMU
- Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
- Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.
Head-to-Head
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!
Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:
Florida International
- Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Troy
- Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)
Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.
Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.
Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.
UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.
Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.
Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.
Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.
Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.
USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.
RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week
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RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.
Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.
Flash Flash and Runny