Notre Dame
Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition
Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!
Saturday, November 28, 2009
Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing
Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.
Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.
Troy (-9.5) at UL-Lafayette - We are picking Troy to win and cover.
New Mexico State at San Jose State (-11.5) - We are picking New Mexico State to cover.
The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.
North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.
Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.
Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.
Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.
Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!
Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football! We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: We have more picks than teen girls at a Twilight: New Moon premiere
This week is unprecedented in RPJ history. We have a ridiculous amount of picks coming at you. We are never happy to pump out this many picks but we can not let the opportunity pass us by. This is a fantastic weekend to be a NCAA football bettor. Since we have so many picks we are not going to provide you with our normal banter and detailed analysis. We do not have the time and we know you want to get your bets out there. If you want detail, please click on our matchup tool analysis section of our website so you can get all of the info you need. If you have no idea what we are talking about then click here: RPJ Syndicate Match up tool. On with the picks…
Saturday, November 21, 2009
So here is the deal. We apologize for the lack of detail but we are encouraging you to use our tools. Just click the matchup tool link in the above paragraph. This week simply was the vortex of gambling gods coming together to screw with our heads. We literally only disagreed on two games and are passing on only 20+ games because we did not see any advantage in the games. So in short, we have a lot of games that simply met all of our models. This is unprecedented territory and we are ready to rock and roll and load up this weekend. In order to process this many games we are breaking them down by conference and will only provide detailed info on the Notre Dame game because it is an awesome display of how the public is a bunch of suckers for the Irish.
MAC Picks
Kent State at Temple (-10.5) - We are taking Temple
Sun Belt Picks
UL Monroe (-3.5) at UL Lafayette - We are taking UL-Monroe
Conference USA Picks
Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (-8) - We are taking Southern Miss
WAC Picks
Hawaii (-3) at San Jose State - We are taking Hawaii
Nevada (-30) at New Mexico State - We are taking Nevada
Mountain West
TCU (-31) at Wyoming - We are taking TCU
ACC Picks
North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5) - We are taking UNC. Might throw some Moneyline cash on it.
Duke at Miami (-19.5) - We are taking Miami
Virginia at Clemson (-21) - We are taking Clemson
Big Ten Picks
Penn State (-3) at Michigan State - We are taking Penn State
Big 12 Picks
Oklahoma (-6.5) at Texas Tech - We are taking Oklahoma
Kansas at Texas (-27.5) - We are taking Texas
Baylor at Texas A&M (-5) - We are taking Texas A&M
Pac-10 Picks
Oregon State (-31) at Washington State - We are taking Oregon State
California at Stanford (-8) - We are taking Cal
SEC Picks
Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-16.5) - We are taking Tennessee
LSU at Mississippi (-4) - We are taking Ole Miss
Obligatory make fun of Notre Dame Pick
UCONN at Notre Dame (-6) - We are taking UCONN. We love games like this. Notre Dame opened as 7 point favorites and the line dropped to Notre Dame -6. The line dropped a full point with the public hammering Notre Dame to the tune of 81% of the money going on the Irish. When lines drop like this with all of the money going against the line drop we love to load up against the public. UCONN is a team of destiny this season. They are playing every game for their fallen teammate. UCONN might not win this game but they play damn hard all the time. Notre Dame is a mess and on the verge of quitting on the season. UCONN will be fired up this week just like Stanford will be fired up later in the season to take out the Irish. We do not think Notre Dame has any fight left in them. They lost to Navy and then Pitt and might not win another game this year. People are calling for Charlie Weis’ head and it is definitely becoming a distraction. No contest here.
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Free NCAA Football Week 11 Winning Picks: USC doesn’t lose in November and neither do we!
This has been a great week for RPJ. We have been betting every day since Wednesday, November 11. You really can not beat that feeling. Every day we have woken up and said, “Lets make some CASH today!”. We are coming at you with a whopping number picks this weekend. On with the winners! Kaching!!! We are going to be eating a lot of cake this weekend and stealin money!!!
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Georgia Tech (-12) at Duke -Neither of these teams covered their last time out but for very different reasons. Duke barely managed to score at North Carolina and lost ATS as the underdog. Georgia Tech played an always scrappy Wake Forest team and had to beat the Deacs in OT. Just remember this is Georgia Tech versus Duke. Georgia Tech has covered 5 of these games in a row, always as a double digit favorite. Duke is better but not Georgia Tech better. Duke could not score against an average Tarheels D and they certainly will not be able to compete with Tech. Georgia Tech had covered 6 in a row since they lost to Miami. Tech is legit and is looking for an ACC title and a BCS bowl bid. Giving Paul Johnson top athletes is turning into a formidable advantage foe Tech. We are betting Georgia Tech to win and cover easily!
Georgia Tech
- Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
- Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Yellow Jackets are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
- Yellow Jackets are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.
Duke
- Blue Devils are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Blue Devils are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
- Blue Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Blue Devils are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Head-to-Head
- Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Clemson (-8) at NC State - Who are we to bet against Clemson right now. The Tigers are hot and mauling ACC foes. Clemson has won 4 in a row, including a win at Miami and look nasty right now. NC State on the other hand is major disappointment this season. Yes they beat Maryland last time out but that was Maryland. NC State had not won since September and along the way was pounded by Duke and BC We just do not like the Wolf Pack right now and want to bet the hot team. We are betting Clemson to win and cover!
Clemson
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Head-to-Head
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in North Carolina State.
- Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Iowa at Ohio State (-16.5) - This line seems insane but it really is not. Never bet against Tressel when he has a chance to go for blood in conference. Ohio State wins this game and they have a chance to go to the Rose Bowl for the first time in a long time. Since their freak loss to Purdue, Ohio State has rolled off three wins and three covers. Iowa is going to be in let down city mode. They lost a game they should not have last week and more important, they lost their leader and QB in Stanzi. Even with Stanzi, Iowa has won on comeback drives and basically freakishly good luck. Yes 16.5 points is a lot but not for this bunch. Ohio State is starting to put points on the board and their defense will be ready to go against a new, unproven Iowa QB. Ohio State was already the better team from a ball control standpoint. They are just playing much, much better than Iowa right now. We love them at home. We think this game will be ugly and we will be surprised if Iowa even scores. Yes we are that confident in this line. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 conference games.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State.
Utah at TCU (-20) - We have become true believers in what the Horned Frogs are doing this season. The BCS is in agreement. Their D is insane!! They get after it and this is a team, on both sides of the ball, where the players know their roles and play into it. They play as a team and they will be more than ready for the Utes at home this week. This Utah team is not even close to the team that stomped on Bama in their Bowl game last year. Some ATS stats:
- TCU is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
- TCU is 43-18 ATS in their last 61 home games.
- TCU is 31-18-1 ATS in their last 56 games overall.
Utah has covered in 4 of their last 6 meetings head-to-head, but it doesn’t scare us. This TCU team is nasty. This line is high for a reason (the last time it was this high was 1996-TCU was the Dog then and covered). Take TCU and give the points.
Tennessee at Ole Miss (-5.5) - We have been on the Vols bandwagon all year. We love the D Kiffin senior is putting in place. They are getting after it!! Give them one more year of recruiting and this team will be solid. Anyway, the future means nothing for us. What matters now is the what they have this week. Orgeron returns to his old Oxford stomping grounds. We think he will have a HUGE chip on his shoulder. We think the Vols will be fired up for their coach and will be looking to beat the bag out of Sneed. It does scare us that the Rebels have dominated this match-up ATS wise in recent years (6-1 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head meetings), but we like the Vols on the road this week. On the season, the Vols are 6-3 ATS (including 4 straight covers), 2-0 ATS on the road. The Rebels are 5-4 ATS, but have not covered their last two times out. They struggled at home last week with a terrible Northern Arizona team. We think the Rebels are overrated and the Vols have the better QB. Take the Vols and the points.
Michigan at Wisconsin (-8.5) - The Wolverines have surprised us this year. Tate Forcier plays with a ton of heart and seems to give it his best each week. His major weakness, though, is that he has a tendency to lose focus if the team gets behind. The reason this is important this week is because this will be an extremely hostile crowd he will be facing. Is he a gamer that will feed off the negativity like Barkley did in his visit to Columbus earlier this yer? We don’t know yet. We know he brings it, but we don’t know how he will respond to the friendlies up in Madison. Until we see it for ourselves, we are saying no freakin’ way. Also, Michigan is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take the Badgers and give the points.
Future Pimp
Missouri at Kansas State (+1) - Kansas State has shocked just about everyone in the sports world with their surprise run at the Big XII North championship. They have been playing well and are down right nasty at home this year (undefeated ATS this year at home). They gave Oklahoma a good run for their money earlier in the year and pounded Colorado and Texas A&M. Mizzou has been a huge disappointment this year. Granted they lost a ton to the draft last year, but still, we all thought they would be better than they are. They are off a very sad defeat to Baylor at home. We think this team is deflated and looking forward to the offseason. K State has way more to play for and will be ready. We are betting the Wildcats to cover and we expect the win.
UAB (-1.5) at Memphis - Not much to write-up here. Memphis is a complete disaster. They just fired their coach and they are not a deep team at all. UAB has been solid and has been good in this match-up in recent history (6-2-1 ATS). We think UAB rolls. Take the Blazers and give the points.
If This is the Typical Memphis Fan, How Can You Not Take UAB?!?!?! Even His Friend In the Back Knows That This Guy Is A Douche!!!!
Arizona at California (-3) - Zona is a very good team this year. They play smart. Cal had a decent run, but fell on bad times with some surprising, big losses. What will give? Zona should win this game. Cal lost their best player last week when Jahvid Best sustained another concussion. If you saw the footage of the play-it was an amazing effort and score-it was shocking to see him laid out like that. Even before that loss, though, Cal has not been good ATS (0-3 in their last three games), while Zona has been the exact opposite (3-0 ATS in their last 3). Zona has way more to play for. This would be a HUGE road win for them and would slingshot them up the rankings. They smell blood and will get it done. They will win outright, we love them even more with the points. The Tedford turd sandwich will definitely rear its ugly head in this game. Take Zona and the points.
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (-6.5) -It has been awhile since we had the chance to rip on Notre Dame and there is no time like the present. This team is on the verge of collapse. Gotta love their reaction to last week’s defeat to Navy. According to Tom Coyne of the AP:
Notre Dame associate head coach Corwin Brown criticized Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo for his postgame comments about the Irish defensive game plan and for the way the way his team uses what Brown called “malicious” illegal cut blocks.
“I thought it was very disappointing what the Navy coach said after the game,” Brown said. “He didn’t want something to be misconstrued, then he said it regarding how we prepared and what we prepared to do.”
Brown went into his criticism of Niumatalolo after practice Wednesday night, cutting off a reporter before the first question could be asked and speaking for two minutes about the Navy coach.
The Midshipmen (7-3) beat the Irish 23-21 on Saturday, the second Navy win in three years against Notre Dame (6-3) after an NCAA-record 43 straight losses. Following the game, Niumatalolo said the Navy coaches expected the Notre Dame coaches to use a similar defensive scheme as in 2008 when the Irish held the Midshipmen to 178 yards rushing in a 27-21 loss.
“I think the one thing that helped us, and I really hope this doesn’t come across wrong, but I think the thing that helped us this year was last year because we knew that they’d line up the same way,” Niumatalolo said.
Brown said Niumatalolo should have known how his comment would be taken.
“In all the classy guys I’ve watched and played under, they would never say something like that,” he said.
Brown also criticized the way Niumatalolo coaches his players to block, point to a play last season where linebacker Brian Smith sustained a sprained knee because of an illegal cut block, missing the final two regular-season games. On Saturday, Navy receiver Nick Henderson was called for personal foul on a hit on cornerback Robert Blanton.
Brown called the hit on Blanton “one of the most malicious plays I’ve ever seen since I’ve been playing.”
Brown said he called Niumatalolo about the hit, saying he considered saying something to him before the game about the way Navy blocks.
“Very malicious,” Brown said. “In this game, which we’re supposed to be playing for our kids and we’re working for our kids, you don’t let your players do something like that.”
Nice work, Irish…criticize a military school on Veteran’s Day. We think they are a bunch of un-American evil doers!!!
Coach Wannstedt, All of America will be pulling for you and your mustache!! God Bless the USA!!
Plus, Big Chuckie Weis is in the media every day defending his players or throwing his players under the bus. Really depends on the day and now a closing schedule of Pitt, UCONN and Stanford is not looking so easy anymore. 6-2, turned into 6-3 and it could turn into 6-6 before we are done.
No, Charlie, That Is Not What the AD Meant When He Said "You Are Fired." Be Careful Dipshit, You'll Shoot Your Eye Out.
This is a nightmare matchup for Notre Dame. Pitt is literally better in all of the ball control stats we track. Pitt runs the ball better, converts third downs better, stops the run better, stops third downs better and really gets after the QB to the tune of 39 sacks. Notre Dame is coming off a ridiculous loss to Navy where it almost looked fixed there were so many missed red zone opportunities and missed field goals. We can not be happier. The continuous demise of the skipping leprechauns brings smiles to our faces every day. These teams are going in opposite directions. Notre Dame has lost three in a row ATS and Pitt has won three in a row ATS. We think Pitt will win big and get after the Irish!
Notre Dame
- Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big East.
- Fighting Irish are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Flash Flash for the Cash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Picks, Chicks and a Salute to Texas RPJ $tyle!
We are 39-39-1 heading into the weekend while waiting for the outcome of the PITT/Rutgers game. So far we are 1-1 on the week. We are very, very afraid this week because we love a ton of games. We usually end up with 3-8 games but this week we are unleashing the fury Mitch!!! When these weeks come, when all of our models and opinions sync up, we hammer the games. This week we are going to discuss some of the marquee matchups and then sling picks for the obvious games. Enjoy the picks. May your wallets be stuffed, your beer fridge full and your girl’s face on your (insert noun here)! It is Red River rivalry and USC/Notre Dame week. We are fired up.
These teams do not need any detailed analysis Games: These picks are pretty straight forward and are set up as either a good team versus a bad team or a bad team versus a horrific team. We are not going to go into detailed analysis to save our carpel tunnel syndrome. Feel free to use our website and our free matchup tools. Click here to stroll through our free data! Just click on this link, find the game you want to analyze and click away on the matchup, supergrid and or preview functions. There is tons of free data for you to use on your own. Bodog has been an awesome partner for us and if you like our picks, which you should of late, help us out by clicking on one of the banner advertisements to sign up for a Bodog account and to get free money.
Kent State at E. Michigan (+6.5) - Give us some credit, you have to respect anyone that is going to drop any sort of knowledge on a Kent State-EMU game!!!! Sometimes we just make it easy for you. Eastern Michigan is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country, sitting at 1-4 ATS and 0-5 on the season. So do not be deceived that Eastern Michigan almost beat Northwestern. Other than that, they have been pounded by the likes of Army and Temple to name a few of the teams they lost to. They also lost to Michigan and Central Michigan but that was expected. We expect Kent State to rebound from the horrible loss to Bowling Green last week. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven. We are betting Kent State to win and cover!!!
Hawaii at Idaho (-8) - Do you know who the best cover team is in the country right now? We do and it is the Idaho Vandals. Idaho is 5-1 overall and 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came at Washington and this team actually won at Northern Illinois and Colorado State. Very impressive. Who are we to bet against them. We love any opportunity to bet on the Vandals!! We are betting Idaho to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5) - Central Michigan is one of the best cover teams in the nation sitting at 5-1. With their lone ATS loss at Buffalo by 1.5 points or so, depending on where you got the line. We also have a bizarre man crush on Dan LeFevour and we are unlikely to bet against him. We have been lucky that he rewarded us nicely two years ago when he was 100% healthy and has rewarded us again this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!
Houston at Tulane (-17) - Well Toolame burned us last week but we are persistent. Houston will run and gun and sling it all over the place. Toolame is not that good and still have the swine flu lingering around campus. Never a good combo..bad football and swine flu. Our boy Case Keenum is going to put 50 on these guys. We are betting Houston to win and cover!!!
BYU (-17) at San Diego State - Another battle of the shit show matchups. BYU has talent. San Diego State does not. BYU = 4-2 ATS. San Diego State = 1-4 ATS. San Diego State basically loses to who they are supposed to lose to. See losses to UCLA, Idaho and Air Force and they beat who they are supposed to beat most of the time. BYU will beat San Diego State and they will beat them easily. We are betting BYU to win and cover!!!
Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5) - If you have not picked up on it yet, bet against Kentucky every week you can in the SEC. They snuck one in on us at South Carolina last week but we got nice covers with Alabama and Florida. We are going to ride the anti-Kentucky bandwagon once again. We still have no clue as to how this program is in any Div 1 conference. They are terrible even for SEC standards. Auburn wins and covers!!!
Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue - Another certainty, Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten and covers most of the time. Just keep riding the wave. This is not rocket science. Ohio State has covered every Big Ten game this year (3-0) and Purdue has lost all of them (0-2). Ohio State is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Purdue is in a major transition year. New coach. New players. New offensive philosophy. They have been playing games hard, but they just don’t have the talent and cohesion OSU has. This game may be close in the first half, as the Boilermaker faithful will be out in full force and going bananas. However, OSU will pull away in the 2nd half. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!
Illinois (-3) at Indiana - We love this game!! Runny has been to it in person a couple of times. It is like a battle of the two worse state fairs you can think of!!! These teams hate each other. The Hoosiers have been a HUGE surprise this year. The fact this team has even won one game is shocking. The Illini have also blown our minds with some of the worse play in college football (we picked this team to beat Mizzou outright in week one!!!!). Juice is a huge bust. Benn is having a terrible year. So, what will give in this sideshow of a game??? The Illini will give. They are favorites based on the rep and promise over the past few seasons. This team is not the team that played SC in the Rose Bowl. The Hoosiers will win outright. Take Indiana at home with the points.
Louisville at UCONN (-13)- Big East match-up with implications. The Huskies are looking to show their program is no fluke and the Cardinals are trying to salvage some respectability at home. UConn’s pogram IS solid. They are similar to Cincy. They are well coached and play hard. They will be stoked at home. The cover will be close, but the Huskies will still pull it out. This is another one of the brainless picks. UCONN is 5-0 against the spread. Always bet into strength. This line seems awfully high but bet it with confidence. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Iowa at Wisconsin (-3) - This game is a trap!! Beware!!! There is absolutely no logical reason to justify why the Hawkeyes are the dogs in this game. The Hawkeyes are arguably the best team in the Big 10. Wisconsin is having a down year. Although the Badgers are at home in Madison where it is extremely tough to play, this team is just not that good and they are certainly not playing to the level of Iowa right now. Further proof of the trap comes from the numbers: 68% of the money is on Iowa and the line opened Iowa -1. The line should have gone up, not down to the Badgers as favorites. VEGAS KNOWS!! Don’t fall for it!! Take Iowa to win and cover!
Washington at Arizona State (-6.5) - Is it us, or does ASU break your hearts every freakin’ year? Every year this team has the promise of being good, and every year, we bet them and bet them only to get left at the alter. Not this time!! The Huskies have an entirely new lease on life. After beating USC, they have shown they have some swagger and the guts to hang in there against anyone. They played the Irish super tough in the South Bend, so they have shown that road trips do not scare them. They will be ready for the PAC-10 game. ASU may win, but it will be within a TD. Take the Huskies and the points!
Stanford at Arizona (-4.5) - Very similar game to the Washington-ASU game. Stanford gets the edge for us despite being on the road. They are really well coached (Harbaugh may be one the best coaches in Div 1 football). Harbaugh gets more out of talent than any coach in the country (except for maybe Chris Peterson in Boise). They are a smart team. Zona is solid, too, but Stanford will be ready and they are playing with a chip on their shoulders for some national respect. Take the Cards and the points.
Arkansas at Florida (-25) - This game has “let down” written all over it. Everyone has anointed the Gators as national champs despite having half the season left to go. The Gators are in cruise control. They will be at home. They have not looked dominating at all. Not at all. The Razorbacks having nothing to lose and they will pull out all the stops. They have a solid QB in Ryan Mallett. He can straight sling it!!! The gators have not faced a QB this good all year. Remember Ole Miss last year? The Razorbacks could do the same thing. Plus, don’t underestimate Petrino. He is a good coach, and we know he can play dirty (just ask Arthur Blank and the Falcons). Look for Petrino to pull an Arkansas sweathog move and knock Tebow out of the game! Take the ‘Backs and the points.
Not the Red River Rivalry but the next best game of the week!
Southern California (-10) at Notre Dame - For months people (i.e. the media and dumb Domers) have been touting the Irish as a legit BCS championship contender and one of the best teams in the country. Guess what? Another year proves yet again that they are probably the most overrated program in all of sports. If they were in the SEC they would probably be ranked #5 in the country, but we know they are a joke. Michael Floyd is out for this game so that means the only threat they have is Golden Tate. That is not enough against this SC Defense. USC comes in with tons of swagger knowing that they have stomped this team in recent years. They also are playing inspired ball from rallying behind their fallen comrad, Stephon Johnson. USC relishes playing opponents on the road under the spotlight. Barkley knows he is the man for this team, and he is grasping control of the offense more and more each week. They destroyed Cal in Berkley two weeks ago, and that team had WAAAAAAAY more talent on both sides of the ball than this Irish team. This game will not be close. Look for a HUGE game from Taylor Mays as Clausen tries to test fate and go deep on this team. Mays will get him. Now that we got our USC homerness out of the way you really need to think about this game logically. Look at the line and what do you see? USC is favored, on the road, against the 25th rated team in the country, against the QB with the best QB rating in the country, a team with multiple 4th quarter comebacks and USC is playing a true freshmen. Did you just follow that sequence of logic? Makes you want to bet Notre Dame right? Well we always say that Vegas knows and Vegas set this line at ten points because Vegas knows all of the Notre Dame idiots will easily bet this game at USC -10. That line speaks volumes. If Notre Dame was any good the line would not be USC -10. Be safe, be smart and listen to Vegas. Plus, look at the picture below….could you feel remotely safe betting on a team with that guy leading the charge?What the hell does the “CC” stand for on the banana hammock on the dude on the left? How is he not getting crushed in the papers for this? Take USC and gladly give the points.
USC
- Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. INDEP.
- Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
- Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
- Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Red River Rivalry Game of the week!
Oklahoma at Texas (-3) - The Sooners need this game more, but Texas is just too good right now. Bradford is not close to 100% and Stoops cannot win big games. McCoy is primed for a huge game. He will get it this week against the Sooners. Oklahoma is another one of those early season teams that had uncertainty on their O-line. This has not been solved due to injuries and Texas is going to bring a nasty defense to the Texas State Fair. If you watched last week’s game, Sam Bradford is not ready to go and one more week of practice will help but will certainly not make him comfortable. These teams look very similar on paper but we think the difference will be QB and O-line and Texas wins both of those matchups. And how could we forget Big Game Bob Stoops. Big Game Bob is 0-4 ATS in his last 4 in this series and we expect the pain to continue. We are betting Texas to win and cover!!!
Texas is up my ass somewhere!!!
Oklahoma
- Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Sooners are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
- Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
- Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Texas
- Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
- Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Longhorns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
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Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
NCAA Football Week 5 Free Picks: If September is any indication, October will be AWESOME!!!
Last week turned into one big clown show; both for NCAA power rankings and for our bets. We had some games dead on like Iowa and the ones we were wrong on we were way wrong like Cal. We did warn of the Tedford turd sandwich we just did not think it would be his largest turd sandwich ever. On the BCS front, Houston looks great, Florida State is done, Ole Miss done, Cal done, Miami done. We love it. Every week that goes by like this the closer we will get to a playoff system. The Flash Flash/Backwoods Southern Lawyer approach has not slayed it yet and Runny will be back soon to get us back on track. We also look forward to our statistical models rolling out in the coming weeks. Lots of picks this week. We pick the winners in the big games (USC-CAL) and we continue to hammer some of the biggest losers (think Miami-Ohio).
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Friday, October 2, 2009
Utah State at BYU (-23.5) - Well we are back on the BYU bandwagon. Besides the FSU debacle, BYU has covered in each game. Utah State has done a good job as 20 point underdogs and covered against Texas A&M and Utah. Both games were set at 20.5 points. The home team in this series is 5-0-1 in their last 6 meetings and BYU is certainly no cupcake place to play. Max Hall and Co. will run up the score early and ram it down The Aggies throats late. Besides the ATS head-to-head numbers the other ATS numbers scream Aggies. This might be the last time we bet BYU this season if they lose because we are expecting a game of 38-7 or 56-10 or something along those lines. Utah State has the 117th ranked defense in the country and only has 2 sacks. No pressure on Max Hall = bad results. Utah State actually has the 9th rated offense in the nation, which blows our minds because they have a 22.5% offensive 3rd down success rate. BYU wins and covers!!
Saturday October 3, 2009
Wisconsin at Minnesota (-2.5) - Totally surprised to see Minnesota favored in this one. Wisconsin actually has some nice, hard fought victories against the likes of Michigan State, Fresno State and Northern Illinois. Minnesota is enjoying their new stadium but really do not have as impressive a run going. These teams look identical on defense with Wisconsin holding a slight edge where it matters. The largest difference is on offense. Wisconsin is significantly better at running the ball and converting third downs. That formula leads to better ball control and the ability to wear down a defense. We also like the fact that the Badgers are 5-2 heads up ATS in their last seven against Minnesota. We are betting Wisconsin to win, cover and Golden Shower the Golden Gophers!
Wisconsin
- Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Badgers are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
- Badgers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Badgers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Golden Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Golden Gophers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
- Golden Gophers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
- Golden Gophers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
- Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Alabama (-15.5) at Kentucky - Does this really need any sort of analysis? See Kentucky at home against Florida -21 and now you have Kentucky at home against Alabama -15.5. Kentucky is just not that good. Where is the media now talking up the SEC? Kentucky might not be able to beat anybody this season in conference. What we do love is that Kentucky is shaking up the BCS in their own way by knocking out Tim Tebow. Just remember what happened to Penn State’s QB last year after he got a concussion…PSU lost to Iowa the next week. The Gator’s showdown in Baton Rouge next week will be awesome. Those Alabama fans who worried that Greg McElroy would have a hard time replacing John Parker Wilson stopped worrying Sept. 5. McElroy is third nationally in pass efficiency and might be throwing it better than Wilson ever did. We like Alabama to pound on Kentucky and cover easily!!!
ht
Alabama
- Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Crimson Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.
- Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
- Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Bearcats are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bearcats are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
- Bearcats are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.
- Redhawks are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Redhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Redhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Redhawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Redhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Bearcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Tulane at Army (-6.5) - This is the BSL special. BSL is from Baton Rouge and loves picking on Toolame. We hit nice wins against them earlier in the season when they had swine flu and could not cover against Tulsa and BYU. Time to dump on them again. It is 1,350 miles from New Orleans to West Point and that is asking a lot to go play against a rowdy, disciplined Army team. Army takes care of business just like they did 44-13 on the road last season. No contest. We are betting Army to win and cover!!!
Tulane
- Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Green Wave are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.
- Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Black Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
- Home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
- Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Army.
LSU at Georgia (-2.5) - I could not get BSL to take credit for this bet because it makes him sick as a Tigers fan. This is classic SEC brutal scheduling. LSU travels to Georgia the week before they host Florida and focus will be spotty. Georgia is actually running a 3 game winning streak against LSU and the games have been ugly. Neither of these teams have helped bettors this year. LSU has one cover and it was against UL-Lafayette and Georgia has one cover and it was at Arkansas. These teams look like mirror images of each other on defense. LSU is sporting a weak offense and is ranked 105th in the country but Georgia’s numbers are not that much better. With a spread under -3 for the home field advantage we will take Georgia all day long. There is a reason the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. We are betting Georgia to win and cover!!!
LSU
- Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
- Tigers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
- Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Tigers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
- Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
- Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in October.
- Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Bulldogs are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Chippewas are 14-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Chippewas are 22-7-3 ATS in their last 32 conference games.
- Chippewas are 23-8-1 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
- Chippewas are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
- Chippewas are 33-13-3 ATS in their last 49 games overall.
- Chippewas are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a S.U. win.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Bulls are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Bulls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Penn State (-6.5) at Illinois - Big rebound game for Penn State. Illinois showed who they are this year and that is a bad team. See games against Missouri and Ohio State. Joe Pa will have the Nittany Lions ready to play and rebound from their second half break down against Iowa last week. Both teams are O-fer ATS this season but we think the Iowa game provided Penn State with the necessary wake up call. Look for big things from the Penn State offense. We are betting Penn State to win and cover!!!
Penn State
- Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
- Nittany Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a S.U. loss.
- Fighting Illini are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Fighting Illini are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 7-25 ATS in their last 32 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Illini are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Illinois.
- Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Ohio State (-17.5) at Indiana - It is that time of year again. Ohio State rolls through the Big Ten bringing sports bettors along for a great ride. Yes Indiana gave Michigan a run for its money but we do not know anything about Michigan yet but the fact that their defense is suspect and everyone loves Forcier. What do we know about Ohio State? Tressel and the Buckeyes roll through the Big Ten every year. Maybe they slip up once but maybe they don’t. They certainly will not slip against Indiana. Ohio State is on fire, posting back to back shutouts. Look at the Head-to-Head ATS numbers and you will get on board. We love and are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Buckeyes are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
- Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
- Buckeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Buckeyes are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in October.
- Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Buckeyes are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Buckeyes are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hoosiers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
- Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
- Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Indiana.
- Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Tulsa (-15.5) at Rice - Tulsa has an offense and Rice stinks. We loaded up on Tulsa against Toolame and we look to capitalize some more on the Golden Hurricanes. We might just pick Tulsa so we can make more Golden Shower references but that will be up to you to decide. We are betting Tulsa to win, cover and Golden Hurricane (extreme golden shower)!!!
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Golden Hurricane are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Golden Hurricane are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Owls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Owls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Owls are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home underdog.
- Owls are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
- Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Owls are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
USC (-5) at Cal - This is another painful one to put in the books but we have to be realistic. The only reason USC is favored is because of the historic USC, not this season’s USC and because CAL was thumped by Oregon last weekend. Stafon Johnson just went out for this game due to a freak weight lifting accident and Matt Barkley is still banged up. USC is decimated. They lost more guys to injury on defense last week against Washington State, Stafon will be out, RoJo is out, Taylor Mays is banged up. This USC is too beat up. Also, USC’s offense is anemic and a CAL team at home will score points, even on USC’s defense. If they score 20 points it just might be enough. Yes USC has the 6th rated defense in the country but Cal is not too shabby. They are giving up less than 3 yards per rush on defense and have 14 sacks so they might be able to get to Barkley more than other teams have. Here is the truly frightening stat; USC only converts 25% of their 3rd down opportunities on offense. That is horrific. Cal for example is up at 43%. This might very well be the difference. We would not be surprised to see a game much like we saw in USC at Ohio State. USC’s defense will play awesome and keep the team in the game until the offense comes through or does not come through. We think Cal will win a close one but even if USC wins it will not be by more than a FG. We are taking Cal to cover!!!
We love that we finally have a picture of a big turd sandwich for Tedford!!!
USC
- Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Trojans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
- Trojans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Trojans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
California
- Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Golden Bears are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
- Golden Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Golden Bears are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on turf.
- Golden Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
- Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Golden Bears are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Golden Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Golden Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Virginia Tech (-17) at Duke - Va Tech started at +15.5 and is now up to +17. Va Tech coming off their game of the year after dominating Miami. Duke with nothing to lose….nothing but the game we guess, but we think they do that by less than 2 tds. We are betting Duke to cover!!!
Va Tech
- Hokies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Hokies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Next up: The Miss Idaho Game!!!
Colorado St. (-3) at Idaho - Both teams are fairly decent (for loser teams from loser conferences). Both are 3-1, with loses coming by way of identical 42-23 scores. Difference is that Colorado St. lost to BYU and Idaho lost to Washington. Most importantly, the line started out higher and is falling. Obviously, the betting public loves the Vandals. We are betting Colorado State to win and Cover this one easily!!!
Colorado State
- Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. WAC.
- Vandals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Houston (-14.5) at UTEP -Houston is undefeated ATS this season and rolling through their schedule taking down Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. This team is good and Case Keenum is awesome. Yes, Houston’s defense is ranked 97th but UTEP’s is ranked 109th. The difference here, Houston has the 2nd rated offense and UTEP is dead last at 120th. Houston wins this by 30 points as Keenum pads his Heisman stats. We are betting heavy on Houston to win and cover!!!
Coach Sumlin has bettors happy this season!!!!
Houston
- Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
All Hail Case Keenum!!!
- Miners are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. loss.
- Miners are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Miners are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Miners are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Miners are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Miners are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Miners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Miners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Miners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Miners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Miners are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games on turf.
- Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Miners are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
2009 NCAA Football: Week 2 picks: Taking our head out of our Arse! Ohio State Versus USC Week!
We were 5-9 in Week 1. Really unexcuseable so no excuses will be made. Hopefully you read our preview piece and were able to capitalize on some of the predictions we made yet were too ignorant to put in our freakin Week 1 pick piece. We are pissed and we promise to take our heads out of our arses for Week 2.
RPJ will take its head out of its ass this week!
Week 2 picks
Saturday, September 12, 2009
Iowa at Iowa State (+6.5) - This really has turned into the series of ineptitude. Iowa either has big hopes and totally lays a dud int he game and does not cover or even gets upset. It happens year after year after year. Both teams played 1-AA school last week and Iowa almost lost; only won by one freakin point. This was a team that was supposed to contend for the Big-10 title. Well at least until Jewel Hampton went down. Iowa State has covered in this game 6 years in a row, winning two of them as underdogs. We are playing with history here. Check out these Head to Head numbers:
- Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa State.
- Hawkeyes are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
- Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
These two will not be happy come Saturday!
Central Michigan at Michigan State (-14.5) - In-state rivals dial it up for a backyard brawl of sorts. MAC vs. Big 10. If you read our posts, you know we love us some MAC. You will also know we hate the Big 10. Are we homers? Maybe, but we have a presence in the Midwest and we see these teams firsthand week in and week out. The Big 10 is way overhyped. In this one, we are not even sure MSU is the better team, let alone 14.5 point favorites. CMU put on a decent, yet controversial display last week in Zona to squeak by with a cover for us. We like them again this week. The Spartans play at Notre Dame next week and in the past two seasons under Mark Dantonio, have failed to cover the spread in the game before playing the Fighting Irish. Take CMU and the points.
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Chippewas are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten.
- Chippewas are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
- Chippewas are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Chippewas are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
- Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Chippewas are 31-13-3 ATS in their last 47 games overall.
- Chippewas are 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Chippewas are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
- Chippewas are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Spartans are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 home games.
- Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
My name is Ryan Lovette and I was kicked out of MSU for psoing in Playboy. Supoort my cause and bet against the Spartans.
Houston at Oklahoma State (-15.5) - OSU is too legit to quit!! Great win last week at home against a coveted SEC team. They will destroy Houston. This is way too few points to give at home. Take OSU and give the points.
Its OSU Hammer Time!!!
Houston
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Cowboys are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Cowboys are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Cowboys are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
- Cowboys are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cowboys are 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 games as a favorite.
UNC at UConn (+3.5) - UNC is stacked this year with young talent and they may have had the best recruting class in the ACC. UConn lost a ton of skill and experience on both sides of the ball. No doubt UConn has overachieved since it started playing football 8 years ago, but UNC just has too much experience. UNC’s veteran O-Line and QB will be too much for the Huskies. Take the Heels and give the points.
UNC
- Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Huskies are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Huskies are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Do cheerleader pics ever get old?
TCU at Virginia (+11) -Generally we like to avoid road favorites. However, TCU’s D is just too stacked not to like them in this one. Jerry Hughes is a mean man. One of the best defenders in the country. This team is pissed they went 11-2 last year!!!! Andy Dalton is progressing at QB. Virginia has no offensive threats we even care to mention. Take TCU and give the points.
TCU
- Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Horned Frogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Horned Frogs are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite.
- Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games in September.
- Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
- Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.
If I am not careful I will get horned by one of those Texas frogs!
UCLA at Tennessee (-10) - Tennessee did exactly what we thought they would do last week-play mean and run up the score. They will do the same this week. Kifin hates UCLA and Neuheisel, but that aside, the key to this game will be the same it was last week-DEFENSE. Pops Kiffin is one of the defensive minds the game has ever seen. He will throw things at UCLA’s QB that he has never seen before. For that alone, Tennessee will be outstanding this year. This is way too far for UCAL to travel and it is a VOLS revenge game. Look for the Vols in a route. Take the Vols and give the points.
UCLA
- Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. SEC.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Bruins are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
- Bruins are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
- Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
- Bruins are 27-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bruins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Volunteers are 8-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Volunteers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Volunteers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Volunteers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Pac-10.
Kiffin's wife is top notch also!!!
Hawaii at Washington State (+2) - Another laugher, but it is another opportunity. Hawaii beat Washington State by 14 last year at home. They return a senior QB, senior RB and a veteran O-Line. Washington State returns as the same terrible team. Hawaii can make somewhat of a statement by beating a BCS Conference team (even though that team is terrible) on the road. They can win by a fieldgoal. Take Hawaii and give the points.
Hawaii
- Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Warriors are 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Warriors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Warriors are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on turf.
- Cougars are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on turf.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Is Hawaiian Tropic close enough to Hawaii? We thought so!
BYU at Tulane (+17.5) - BYU showed the nation what they can do this season. Bradford going out with an injury was not an excuse. The senior leadership and superior line play were key. Tulane, coming off a spanking by Tulsa will have no reason being in this game. Do not even think BYU will have any type of hangover either. BYU is led by senior leadership and is highly disciplined. Yeah we blew a nice cover last week by ignoring all of the signs in Norman but we are on the BYU bandwagon. Take BYU in a blowout!!
BYU
- Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Cougars are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
- Green Wave are 8-20 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Green Wave are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games on turf.
- Green Wave are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
- Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Mormons know how to party!!!
Kansas at UTEP (+12.5) - Kansas finally has a line and we are all over it. UTEP lost at home to Buffalo, you think they are going to compete with Kansas. This does not even need a write-up. Remember Mangino and Todd Reesing!!! Take Kansas in a blowout!!!
Kansas
- Jayhawks are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
- Jayhawks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on turf.
- Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- Jayhawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Jayhawks are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games in September.
- Jayhawks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
- Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win.
- Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Jayhawks are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a favorite.
- Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a S.U. loss.
- Miners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Miners are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big 12.
- Miners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
- Miners are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Tulsa at New Mexico (+17.5) - Tulsa responded well for us last week on the road and this game is no different. Tulsa puts the peddle to the metal all game, every game. Tulsa won by 42 points last season and we do not see why that can not happen again. New Mexico was blown out by a medicore Texas A&M team and this season is not looking good for them. We love Tulsa to cover in this one.
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Golden Hurricane are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Lobos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Lobos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
New Mexico gets golden showered by the Golden Hurricanes
South Carolina at Georgia (-7 and O/38) - South Carolina surprised us last week. We learned a lot…their offense is still terrible and their defense is fast and nasty. Georgia got stomped at OSU like we said and lost their QB and left tackle in the process. Cox might play but is banged up. What does this lead to? A clear play on the UNDER. Also, we really do not see either team scoring and that helps us lean towards The Cocks. The ATS numbers are all over the board but the Head to Head stats are beautiful. Check this out:
- Under is 12-0 in the last 12 meetings.
- Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Georgia.
- Road team is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- This cheerleader loves COCKS!!! We need to find out where she lives!
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- The Favorite is 3-17 ATS over the last 20 years.
Last time I played in the Big House I threw 7 INTs and was sacked 8 times!!! Has anything changed?
Game of the Week!!!! Collision in Columbus!!!!
Game of the Week!!!
USC at Ohio State (+6.5) - If you read us regularly this pick will come as no surprise so lets look at the ATS numbers first:
USC
- Trojans are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big Ten.
- Trojans are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Trojans are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 non-conference games.
- Trojans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Ohio State
- Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pac-10.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.
- Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Hope we had enough girls for you this week!
2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!
Thursday, September 3, 2009
South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.
USC
- Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.
Utah State
- Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
- Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
- Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
- Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Utes are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Utes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
- Utes are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 non-conference games.
- Utes are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
- Aggies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Be afraid of our menacing mascot!!!! Yeah right
Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.
Oregon
- Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
- Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
- Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
- Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
- Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.
- Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
- Broncos are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Broncos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10.
- Broncos are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
- Broncos are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.
Friday, September 4, 2009
Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!
Tulsa
- Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
- Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
- Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
- Green Wave are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
- Green Wave are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games.
- Green Wave are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Saturday, September 5, 2009
Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!
Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.
Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
- Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
- Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Cowboys are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games as a favorite.
I am THE MAN!!!
Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!
The Juice will be loose!!!
Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:
*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***
* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.
* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.
You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!
Virginia Tech
- Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
- Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!
This is Purdue Football!!!
Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.
VOlS fans are ready for their showdown in the Swamp!
Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!
Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.
Central Michigan
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
- Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
- Wildcats are 11-29 ATS in their last 40 games as a favorite.
- Wildcats are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite.
We got the FEVER!!!
Monday, September 7, 2009
Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.
Miami
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Florida State.
- Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football
Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.
We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate. Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.
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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…
2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations
140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.
More food please!
139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.
138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.
137 - 1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!
The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!
136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.
135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.
134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!
133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.
Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!
132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.
131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.
130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.
Would you bet against this man?
129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.
128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.
127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?
126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.
125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.
124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.
123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.
122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.
Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!
121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.
120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.
119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.
118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!
117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.
116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.
115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.
Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!
114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.
113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!
112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.
111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.
110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.
109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.
108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!
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Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.
107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.
106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.
105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!
104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!
103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.
102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.
101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.
100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.
99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!
Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?
98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.
97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.
96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.
95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.
94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….
Caption says it all!!!
93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.
92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.
91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.
90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.
89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!
88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.
87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.
86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.
The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!
85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.
84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.
83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.
82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.
Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?
81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.
80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…
Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....
79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.
78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.
77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…
Like we needed 77 reasons.
76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.
75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?
74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.
73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.
72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.
71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.
70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.
69 - Use your imagination…
68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.
67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.
66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.
65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.
64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.
63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.
62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.
61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.
60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.
I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!
59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.
58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.
57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.
56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.
54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.
53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.
52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.
Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!
51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.
50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.
49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.
48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.
47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.
46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.
45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!
44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.
43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.
42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.
41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.
40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.
"Rangers Lead the Way"
39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.
38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.
Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!
37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.
36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.
35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!
34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!
33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.
32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.
31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!
30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?
29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC. To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.
28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.
27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.
26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.
25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.
24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.
23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!
22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.
21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.
20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.
19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.
18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.
17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.
16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.
15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.
14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.
13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.
12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.
Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman
11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.
10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.
9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!
8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.
7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.
6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?
5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.
4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.
3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.
2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!
Not in my house!!!
1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.
We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks: Hawaii versus Notre Dame and Santa is coming!
Hawaii versus Notre Dame (-2 and OVER/UNDER 48.5)
RPJ is picking Hawaii to Cover and here is why: This is in Hawaii so it is a home game for the Rainbows and Notre Dame has to travel far for this one. Notre Dame had a horrible flight with delays in South Bend and in LA and are not going on much sleep. Notre Dame has lost 4 of 5 straight up and ATS and really looked awful in losses to Syracuse and USC. Hawaii lost a battle with Cincy in their last game and was winning that contest in the 4th. Hawaii has won 3 of 4 straight up and ATS. Notre Dame has not won a bowl game since 1994. If the Irish get a healthy Michael Floyd back he might help the stagnant ND offense but having him healthy is a maybe; he will play but we will see how much of a factor he can be. Notre Dame looked great in some games early in the season but had trouble closing out games. Lately it looks like the Irish flat out gave up. If the Rainows can smack em around a little bit to let them know they are in a game, we would expect the Irish to lay down again. Here are the ATS numbers:
Hawaii
Notre Dame
This one took some inhouse fighting to make it an RPJ bet but Runny was reminded that the Irish are bad, not playing well and even though they are favored, Vegas knows all the Irish homers will bet the Irish no matter what. In true form, this line opened up with Hawaii as a 1.5 point favorite and now the Irish are favored by 2. All of the money is going on the Irish and we think that is the wrong bet. Hawaii covers!
Runny Pelvis is taking the OVER and here is why: As much as I despise the Irish, I know they can score. Especially if they have some time to prepare. For the past few weeks, they’ve had everyone and their mothers tell them that they are disappointments and that they should not even bother playing this game. They are disappointments, but Weiss knows his team needs to make a good showing to keep his job and set-up future recruiting trips. One thing is for sure, if ND lays an egg in this one, they can kiss goodbye any 5 star recruits they may have had on their radar. That said, the Warriors can score, too. Especially at home. This will be a shootout. I think they score in the mid-50’s easy.
RPJ Math is taking Hawaii!
RPJ Pic of the Day
Flash and Runny
NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks: The Wildcard Part II…TCU and Hawaii
Seasons Greetings!
The Wildcard