NY Giants

Free Winning NFL Picks: Week 8: Winner, Winner, Chicken Dinner

We were 3-4 last week. Back to back losing efforts. Our season record now stands at 21-17. We think the gambling gods are after us after we had a 5-0 week two weeks ago. We look to get back on track this weekend.

RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. Straight cash homey!!!

The blowout games: Seattle at Dallas (-9.5) and Oakland at San Diego (-16.5) - Cowboys are back playing well and are at home. Chargers get to play the Raiders at home. We will not be fooled again. Raiders blow and we will never bet them to win a game this year. We are betting the Cowboys and Chargers to win and cover!

Miami at NY Jets (-3) - Revenge, revenge, revenge. The Jets are going to unleash hell this week. They tweaked the defense to handle and attack the Wildcat offense. Down in Miami they tried to finesse it and did not attack. Rex Ryan will know how to stop the Wildcat this time around and the Jets will stop the run and hold down Henne at home. Sanchez will get over hot dog gate and manage an effective game plan. We are betting the Jets to win and cover!

Miami

NY Jets
  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
  • Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Jets are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Jets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Head-to-Head
  • Dolphins are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 meetings.
  • Dolphins are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York.

Minnesota at Green Bay (-3) - This is a Colin Cowherd lock of the week. Colin is 6-1 in his locks of the week, his only loss was picking Tennessee to beat the Jets. Last week he had Oregon State over USC. Here is his logic and we have to agree. We were all over this game. Minnesota has not had its bye yet this year and the Vikes are coming off tough, physical games against the Ravens and at Pittsburgh. The Vikes have not covered in those games. Since falling to Minnesota, Green Bay has won two in a row, two easy games, and has covered in both. 72% of the money is on the Vikings and this line has not moved. The betting public is remembering the 8 sack day the Vikes had the last time these two lined up. Favre will be emotional and the scene should be amazing. We think this is the perfect storm of the Vikings being beaten down, they need their bye and the Pack primed up for this game. Vikings are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against the Pack. We are betting Green Bay to win and cover!

Minnesota

Green Bay
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8.
  • Packers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Packers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC North.
  • Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Packers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in November.

Atlanta at New Orleans (-10.5) - This seems like a ton of points but the Saints are hot. They are undefeated against the spread and punishing everybody. The Falcons have only beaten one team on the road and it was a banged up 49ers team. They lost at Dallas and New England and did not cover in either of those games. The Saints are better than the Pats and the Cowboys and are punishing teams right now. 85% of the money is on the Saints and this line is moving up. Opened at -9 and is up to -11 in some books. The Saints have the #1 offense in the league and people think it is all about Brees and the passing game. Saints are actually the third best rushing team in the league and pound out 155 yards a game. New Orleans is nasty and we are not going to bet against them until the lose ATS. We are betting the Saints to win and cover!

Atlanta

New Orleans
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Saints are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Saints are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
  • Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
  • Saints are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
  • Saints are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite.
  • Saints are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Head-to-Head
  • Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
  • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy is getting crushed. It was 2-10 last week against the spread and now sits at 45-56-1. Vegas is getting crushed right now with all of the bad teams out there. We actually heard that an old lady hit five 11 team parlays last week in Vegas last week with 5 different tickets. This strategy did have two good weeks in a row but has had its terrible weeks. We continue to monitor this but to not advise betting it.

Denver (+3.5) at Baltimore

Houston at Buffalo (+3.5)

Cleveland (+13) at Chicago

Seattle (+9.5) at Dallas

St. Louis (+4) at Detroit

San Francisco (+13) at Indianapolis

Miami (+3) at NY Jets

NY Giants at Philadelphia (+1)

Jacksonville (+3) at Tennessee

Oakland (+16.5) at San Diego

Carolina (+10) at Arizona

Minnesota (+3) at Green Bay

Atlanta (+10.5) at New Orleans

Knockout Strategy - The knockout strategy remains unbeaten. Hope you are still alive.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 6: New England Patriots

Week 7: San Diego Chargers

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

Week 7 Free NFL Picks: One Week until Halloween, bet the Raiders, Al Davis is a Vampire!

Well our arrogance got the best of us last week. We followed a 5-0 week with a 1-3 week. Have to remember to be humble with the Gambling gods. We are now 18-14 on the season. We also won our knockout pool pick. Hopefully you are like our knockout league and there is about 1/3 of the participants left. The underdog strategy was actually 9-5 last week and is now 43-46-1. Two weeks in a row as a winner.

RPJ $yndicate Picks: These are our straight picks and we are 18-14 on the season.

San Diego at Kansas City (+5) - If you’ve followed our posts, you would know that we have been huge on the Chiefs the past two weeks. Make it three in a row!!!! The Chiefs are not as bad as their record shows. We are not saying they are a good team, but of the teams in their ranks (i.e., the Lions, Raiders, Skins, etc.) they are a clear step above the pack. We like them again this week for two reasons: 1). the Chargers are coming off a tough Monday night loss and not as good as people think, and 2). the Chiefs are at home. Arrowhead could be the best homefield advantage in the NFL (maybe all of sports). Their fans are loyal and the house will be rockin’. The Chargers are going to want no part of the Chiefs. Also, consider that teams traveling after Monday night have terrible win-loss records, and that the Dog in this game is 11-4-1 ATS. Take the Chiefs and the points.

San Diego

Kansas City
  • Chiefs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.
  • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Head-to-Head
  • Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Chargers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Kansas City.
  • Underdog is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.

Indianapolis at St. Louis (-13) - Very little analysis is needed for this game. The Rams are a joke. The Colts are rolling. We’ve heard analyists say this could the game where the Rams catch the Colts napping. We don’t but it for one primary reason-Payton Manning. The dude is a winner and lives to compete. Also, the only weapon the Rams have is Steven Jackson, but Bob Sanders returns for the Colts Sunday, so there goes any chance of the Rams running the ball. This line should be higher. Here are some ATS numbers to support our case:

This game will be over by the end of the first half. Take the Colts and give the points.

New England (-14) at Tampa Bay - You saw the game last week. New England went bananas in the snow. Now they get to travel to London for a game against Tampa. We talk about it in our knockout section but this game will come down to a) talent and b) preparation. Pats have more talent then Bucs. Check 1. Pats know how to travel and play in cities where they do not normally play. Think Super Bowl. Bucs have a rookie coach who will not know what to do. We think these two factors are enough to justify our blowout prediction. Pats win and cover big!!!

New England

Tampa Bay
  • Buccaneers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buccaneers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7.
  • Buccaneers are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Buccaneers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.

Buffalo at Carolina (-7) - The Bills roll into Carolina fresh off a HUGE win against the struggling Jets. The thing about that game is that the Jets are nowhere near as good as people think. They were 3-3 last year at this same point in the seaon and they had ole #4 calling the shots. We are not buying the hype. So, the Bills win, although big for them, was nothing great. Orchard Park is a tough place to play in October. The Panthers are underachieving, but they have a lot of talent. Probably the best backfield in football and Julius Peppers is heating up. We love them in this game. Look for huge days from Stewart and Williams and for Steve Smith to finally get on track. Take the Panthers and give the points.

Buffalo

Carolina
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Panthers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.

Green Bay at Cleveland (+7) - We were tempted to go with the Browns to get another cover for us but then thought better after reading reports that a significant number of players have swine flu and have been limited in practice this week. Green Bay had a nice offensive and defensive showing against the Lions last week and we look for that to continue. The Packers defense will come around because it has a lot of play makers and when the Pack O-line fixes their issues, and they will, this team is going to be a serious contender. Now think about this, Cleveland has the worst defense in the league, can’t stop the run at all, is horrible on defensive 3rd downs, are second to last in offense and really just to not excel in any facet of the game. We expect the Packers to win and cover easily!

Green Bay

Cleveland
  • Browns are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Browns are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Browns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Browns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Browns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Browns are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Browns are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
  • Browns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
NY Jets (-6) at Oakland -Don’t look now, but the Raiders have a win streak going!!!! This game may be our favorite game of the day. We love the Raiders this week. All the world has been calling them out and they responded with a solid punch to the Eagles’ face. Their D line played some inspired football and dominated the line of scrimmage. The Jets are banged-up up front, so we think the Richard Seymour led D with have another solid game. Also, as noted above, the Jets are not that good. Dirty Sanchez will be a good QB, but he is not there yet. He has a ton to learn. Look for Nnamdi to have a big game and maybe even a couple of picks. The Jets may win the game, but it will be closer than a TD. Take the Raiders and the points.
NY Jets
  • Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Jets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
  • Jets are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
  • Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Jets are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Jets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
  • Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Jets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Jets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
  • Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Jets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Oakland
- Do you really think Oakland has good ATS numbers? C’mon now!!
Head-to-Head
  • Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oakland.
Arizona at NY Giants (-7) - If you thought we liked Oakland, wait until you hear about this game. We love the Giants this week. Arizona is on a two game winning streak and even won easily on the road last week at Seattle. The Giants are pissed off. They went to New Orleans and did not play Giants football and were not able to put any pressure on Brees. Well Brees is not Kurt Warner. Brees drops back and gets rid of the ball quickly. Warner drops back and waits and waits and waits. The Giants are going to tee off and get all of their aggression out on the Cards. Also, the Cards are horrible travelers to the East Coast on a historic basis. They did beat Carolina in the playoffs last year and did win in Jacksonville this year but those teams are not the Giants. Giants win big in the Meadowlands. We are betting the Giants to win and cover! Both teams are good ATS. No reason to show it.

Underdog Strategy: Underdog strategy has two winning weeks in a row. 8-6 and 9-5 for a 17-11 record, or 64.7%. This thing might bear fruit after all. Underdog is listed below in bold.

Packers @ Browns +7

49ers +3.5 @ Texans

Chargers @ Chiefs +5

Colts @ Rams +13

Patriots @ Buccaneers +14

Vikings +4 @ Steelers

Bills +7 @ Panthers

Jets @ Raiders +6

Bears +3 @ Bengals

Falcons +3 @ Cowboys

Saints @ Dolphins +7

Cardinals +7 @ Giants

Eagles at Redskins +7

Knockout Pool Picks: Do not get tricky or try and outsmart the knockout strategy. Some of you are probably tempted to pick the Raiders or Panthers this week. We advise against it. We are a little nervous that our pick this week is on a neutral site but who do you think will be better prepared? Belichick or a rookie coach? No contest really. Pats should have the largest margin of victory again this week.

Week 1: New Orleans Saints

Week 2: Washington Redskins

Week 3: Baltimore Ravens

Week 4: Philadelphia Eagles

Week 5: Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 6: New England Patriots

Good luck with the picks.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 5 Free NFL Picks: The Cream Always Rises!!!

On the season RPJ $yndicate is 12-11. Nice to have a winning record but we need to stretch it out some. We have correctly picked four winners for you knockout pool fans. The underdog strategy (betting all underdogs every week) is not doing so well and we will stop tracking it if it brings in another bad weekend. This strategy is 26-35-1. We are going to break this down into a couple of categories. This first category is the Obvious category and there are a lot of them this week. The second category is the Home Dog category and then we will have a third category just because we are running out of idea.

Obvious Games of the Week: These games are easy to pick. The best teams are playing some of the worst teams and we plan on capitalizing on it. To top it off, we do not think any analysis is necessary. Sorry folks but these games are that easy.

Tampa Bay at Philadelphia (-14.5) - We are taking the Eagles to win and cover.

Oakland at NY Giants (-15) - We are taking the Giants to win and cover.

Minnesota (-10) at St. Louis - We are taking Favre and the Vikes to win and cover.

The Home Dog Strategy: Some of the other games we love to bet on are home dogs when we actually think the home team has a better than 65% chance of winning the game outright.

NY Jets at Miami Dolphins (+2) - A couple of things need to be pointed out here. First, the Mark Sanchez project is slowly going down hill. Just check out his numbers from his last three games. Not pretty. The Saints won the game last week because of Sanchez. Second, the Dolphins were underdogs last week and destroyed the Bills. We think the Jets are worse than people think and Sanchez is coming back to reality. On the flip side, even with Pennington out, the Fins are not as bad as people think. We think this is the type of game, home game, national spot light, division rivalry. All signs point to the Fins for us and they are the UNDERDOG. Another thing to think about, 92% of the money is on the Jets, the line opened at Jets -1 and is now Jets -2. Vegas is taking all the action and encouraging all of the to go to the Jets. Do not do it!!! We are betting the Dolphins to cover in this game!!!

NY Jets

Dolphins
  • Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC East.
  • Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Just Because Game - These are simply the games we like this week.
Cleveland (+6) at Buffalo - The Braylon Edwards project is over. The Browns competed last week against the Bengals and they will compete again. Mangini does not get enough credit. He is tough, he is demanding, not all the players like him, but he demands excellence and he does get it out of his players. It is never easy to go to Buffalo and play but 6 points is simply too many. The Browns will be fine. We are taking the Browns to cover!
Cleveland
  • Browns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
  • Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Browns are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Browns are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Buffalo
  • Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.
  • Bills are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Underdog Strategy - Just to repeat, all we do here is track what would happen if we bet every single underdog. No thought process just bet on every underdog. In the past, this strategy sometimes has paid off very well. This season not so much. 26-35-1 on the season. Underdogs in Bold.

Bengals (+9) at Ravens

Cleveland (+6) at Buffalo

Washington (+4) at Carolina

Pittsburgh at Detroit (+10.5)

Dallas at Kansas City (+9)

Oakland (+15) at NY Giants

Tampa Bay (+14.5) at Philadelphia

Minnesota at St. Louis (+10)

Atlanta (+2.5) at San Francisco

Houston (+5.5) at Arizona

New England at Denver (+3)

Jacksonville (+1) at Seattle

Colts at Titans (+3.5)

NY Jets at Miami (+2)

Knockout Pool Pick: We are 4-0 and moving to 5-0 after this weekend. Tons of options this week and we would normally have taken the Giants but we will save them for down the road and we do not know what Eli’s backup QB can do. We know what Donovan’s backup can do and Kolb can easily beat the Bucs.

Week 1: New Orleans

Week 2: Washington

Week 3: Baltimore

Week 4: Chicago

Week 5: Philadelphia

NFL Week 4 Free Winning Picks: Lets make it three in a row!!!

RPJ was 3-2 for the second week in a row and is now 8-8 on the season. The knockout pool is now 3-0 and rolling along. The underdog strategy took a beating and was 5-11 last week and is now 21-26-1 on the season. Sunday, October 4, 2009

Dont fall victim to VEGAS!!!

Don't fall victim to VEGAS!!!

Don’t fall victim to the Vegas Trap Games Trap Game #1

Detroit at Chicago (-10) - This is a fun game to look at and has that feel good story written all over it. Lions prevented themselves from being the second team to lose 20 games or more in a row and they should be applauded. The Lions are the emotional story for the week and Vegas knows it. This line has not moved at all and 70% of the money is on the Lions to cover. When it looks like a trap and smells like a trap….guess what? It is a trap game. The Bears won two nice games in a row and are coming home. We think this has blowout written all over it. Bears win and cover easily!!

Detroit

Chicago
  • Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Bears are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in October.
Trap Game #2
Cincinnati (-6) at Cleveland - This game sounds like pure lunacy but we think Mangini is actually a good coach. Derek Anderson gets the start this week and he will have a week to prepare. Yes the Bungles are 2-1 but they are still the Bengals. Browns have a lot to prove at 3-0 and Mangini is at risk of losing the locker room. About 5 players are filing grievances with the league on Mangini but I am sure Mangini does not give a crap and will keep on keeping on. Remember, Mangini is the guy that helped build the Jets team that is now 3-0. He knows what he is doing. Not sure the Browns can win but we think they can keep it close. Now in looking at the numbers. This line has not moved a lick and 93% of the betting population is taking the Bengals. We are more than happy to bet away from the public. Underdog is also 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Can you smell the upset? We are taking the Browns to cover!!!
Cincinnati
  • Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC North.
  • Bengals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
  • Bengals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Bengals are 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 games in October.
  • Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Bengals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Bengals are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 4.
Cleveland
  • Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
  • Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
  • Browns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Browns are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Beatdowns - We just think these are great teams versus average teams. Get in on the action! The NY Giants should be bet every week this season.
NY Giants (-8.5) at Kansas City - The great thing about the NFL is you get really really good teams playing horrible teams every single week. NY Giants are filthy and even though Kansas City is a tough place to play, it won’t be playing this Chiefs team. Chiefs have close to zero on offense and terrible QBs. Giants are also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. We love the Giants to win big and back to back shutouts are not out of the question!!!
NY Giants
  • Giants are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
  • Giants are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Giants are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 road games.
  • Giants are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
  • Giants are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
  • Giants are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. win.
  • Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
  • Giants are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
  • Giants are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Giants are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Giants are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
Kansas City
  • Chiefs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Seattle at Indianapolis (-10) - The Colts are looking awesome right now. It will hurt that Freeney is going to miss at least two games but it won’t matter against the Seahawks. Peyton and crew are just en fuego right now. We do not think this game will be close in any way. We are taking the Colts to win and cover!!!
Seattle
  • Seahawks are 2-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Seahawks are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games in October.
  • Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Indy
  • Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
  • Colts are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October.

Straight picking: No themes, no gimmicks. These are just games we like flat out.
Dallas (-3) at Denver - Yes, Denver is 3-0 but the Bengals game was a fluke or simply Roy Williams missing tackles like he routinely did in Big-D. They also played the Browns and the Raiders, two of the worst teams in the league. Dallas has played tough this year and their defense played significantly better against Carolina. Romo is still getting used to his WRs and the backfield is a box full of corpses. The Cowboys RBs could not be more injured. We think this is the game the Broncos finally come back to earth. The Denver defense is not the Orange Crush defense of old. Fans need to get a grip in the Mile High City. Cowboys will do just enough to win by more than 3. Thinks 24-20. We are betting the Cowboys to win and cover!!!
Dallas
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Cowboys are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
  • Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
Denver
  • Broncos are 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games on grass.
  • Broncos are 13-29-1 ATS in their last 43 games overall.
  • Broncos are 5-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
  • Broncos are 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a S.U. win.
  • Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4.
  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
San Diego at Pittsburgh (-6.5) - Not sure what the Steelers are doing to be favored by so much in this game. Pittsburgh could easily be 0-3 on the season. The issues are the Steelers are not being very Steeler-like. They can not run the ball well, their O-line is allowing too much pressure on Big Ben and the loss of Troy P in the secondary is proving to be a huge hurdle. The Steelers are yet to cover on the season and the reason is that the betting public will always bet Steelers. We like to go against the grain and think San Diego will be in this game for 4 quarters. We are betting the Chargers to cover!!
San Diego
  • Chargers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Chargers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Chargers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Chargers are 14-5-3 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog.
  • Chargers are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog.
  • Chargers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games in October.
  • Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
  • Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Chargers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Chargers are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. AFC.
Pittsburgh
  • Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
  • Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Monday, October 5, 2009
Green Bay at Minnesota (-3.5) - Minnesota might be 3-0 on the season but we do not think it is as good a 3-0 as the media experts think. Favre is really not doing much and has not been in a shoot out yet. The Vikings actually needed a second half to get A. Pete going last week against a physical 49ers team and they will face another, aggressive, physical team this weekend in Green Bay. Green Bay will look to run up the score early so they can force Favre into making bad, quick decisions. The Pack are still learning their new 3-4 D but they have the personnel to pull it off and their secondary is still grabbing INTs out there. We know this game will be close and we think the Pack might pull the upset. Aaron Rodgers will have extra motivation to show that the Packers made the right move when they dumped Favre. The ATS numbers look awesome in our favor. We are betting Green Bay to cover!!!
Green Bay
  • Packers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
  • Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
  • Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Packers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
  • Packers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games.
  • Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
  • Packers are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 Monday games.
Minnesota
  • Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC North.
  • Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
  • Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
  • Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
  • Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Vikings are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4.
  • Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
  • Vikings are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Vikings are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Head-to-Head
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
  • Underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
  • Road team is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Underdog Strategy - The underdog strategy is 21-26-1. Not doing so hot. We might only keep with this for another 2-3 weeks to see if it is worth tracking. Underdogs are in bold:
Detroit (+10) at Chicago
Cincy at Cleveland (+6)
Oakland (+9.5) at Houston
Seattle (+10) at Indy
Tennessee at Jacksonville (+3)
NY Giants at Kansas City (+8.5)
Baltimore (+2) at New England
Tampa Bay (+7) at Washington
Buffalo at Miami (+2)
NY Jets (+7) at New Orleans
Dallas at Denver (+3)
St. Louis (+10) at San Francisco
San Diego (+6.5) at Pittsburgh
Green Bay (+3.5) at Minnesota
Knockout Pool Strategy - We are rolling along picking winner after winner. This is like taking candy from a baby. Simply use Danny Sheridan’s opening lines, take the home team with the largest opening line and you will win your knockout pool more times than not. No reason to ever take a team on the road.
Week 1 = New Orleans
Week 2 = Redskins
Week 3 = Baltimore
Week 4 = Bears
Enjoy the picks!!!
Flash Flash and BSL

Week 3: Free NFL Winning Picks: Lions, Rams, Bucs and Kardashians! Say What?

Well we pulled out a winning week all around in the NFL last week. RPJ finished on the plus side of 500, as did the Underdog Strategy and we have picked two winners for you knockout pool players. We are looking to build on our momentum and knock one of these weeks out of the park.

RPJ $yndicate Picks - These are our straight picks. We rebounded from our terrible 2-4 start to go 3-2 last week and are now 5-6 on the season. We look to lock em down again this weekend. Some great games on the docket and some desperate teams need wins badly. Only two teams have ever made the playoffs after starting 0-3 and both of those teams lost in the first round of the playoffs. We are going to make our first three picks easy this week and in tune with these 0-2 desperate teams that are playing at home. We are hoping to bet against the general public on these as well and get to do that on 2 out of 3.

The Desperate Three: Lions, Rams and Bucs….They Suck!!! But will cover! Guess who else sucks….The Kardashians. So in our tribute to three bad teams, we will highlight three slutty ho bags.

NY Giants at Tampa Bay (+6.5) - Tampa Bay is not great but they have shown that signing Leftwich was a good idea. He has played really well. Giants are playing game 2 of back to back road games and they are playing desperate team #1 in Tampa.  This line opened at Giants -6.5 and 95% of the money has poured onto the Giants. Guess what? The line has not moved and that means Vegas knows something. Scott Van Pelt likes this too. We are taking the Bucs to cover!

NY Giants

Tampa Bay
  • Buccaneers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Buccaneers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 3.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Green Bay at St. Louis (+6.5) - Green Bay has not been the team that they were in the preseason. We have seen that a lot lately. Remember the Spurrier Redskins. Preseason means nothing. Green Bay is trying to adjust on defense to their new scheme and Aaron Rodgers is flat out not a proven winner yet. He barely got by the Bears in week 1 when Cutler threw 4 INTs and he flat out lost last week to the Bungles. Not saying the Rams can win because they look terrible but they are a desperate team playing at home. Also, this is a classic example of watching Vegas. This line opened at Packers -8.5 and has moved down to Packers -6.5 and guess what? 95% of the money is on Green Bay. Vegas is begging you to take the Packers. Don’t buy into it. Another Scott Van Pelt pick. We are taking the Rams to cover!!!
Green Bay
  • Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
  • Packers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
  • Packers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
  • Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
  • Packers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Packers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
  • Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC.
  • Rams are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
  • Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Rams are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games.
  • Rams are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Rams are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Rams are 14-38 ATS in their last 52 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Rams are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
  • Rams are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games in September.
  • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
Washington at Detroit (+6.5) - We would argue that the Lions actually have a better offense than the Skins. Skins have looked hideous the last two weeks. Lions need to learn how to play 4 quarters of football. Saints blew them out of the building but the Lions played a great first half against the Vikes last week. This is desperate team #3 of the week and we think the Lions can cover in this one and maybe even get their frst win in what seems like decades. We are betting the Lions to cover!!!
Washington
  • Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
  • Redskins are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 3.
  • Redskins are 3-8-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Redskins are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
  • Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
  • Redskins are 1-4-3 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Redskins are 3-13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Detroit
  • Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Lions are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
  • Lions are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. NFC.
  • Lions are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Lions are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
  • Lions are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
  • Lions are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
  • Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
The Home Dog Strategy - We love betting on NFL teams that are home underdogs. NFL is too even once you get away from the elite teams and home field advantage is always good for three points in the NFL. This is why we never pick road teams in our knockout pool. Just not worth it cause the home team sneaks in a cover or even pulls upset wins. We see one stand out home underdog this week.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+4) - The public is in love with the Steelers. One of the largest fan bases in the NFL outside of the Cowboys and that means the betting public is biased. The Steelers barely beat Tennessee and then lost to the Bears as we predicted. The Steel now needs to travel to a fired up Bengals squad that just won in Lambeau. We do not think this is a let down game for the Bengals because the Steelers have issues this season. Big Ben is dropping back behind a suspect line and the Steelers flat out can not run the ball. Bengals getting a decent amount of points at home is good enough for us. This line opened at Steelers -6 and has been bet down but the action is still 52% Steelers, 48% Bengals so Vegas is not sure what to do with this game as of yet. We love the Bengals to cover this week!
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
  • Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.
  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Bengals are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
  • Bengals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC.
  • Bengals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC North.
The Underdog Strategy - To refresh your memory, all we are doing here is tracking what would happen if you bet on the underdog every single week. No gimmicks, just straight underdogs all the time. This strategy was 9-7 last week and is now 16-15-1 on the season. Underdog is in Bold.

Tennessee (+3) at NY Jets

Jacksonville (+3.5) at Houston

Kansas City (+9) at Philadelphia

Cleveland (+13.5) at Baltimore

NY Giants at Tampa Bay (+6.5)

Washington at Detroit (+6.5)

Green Bay at St. Louis (+6.5)

San Francisco (+7) at Minnesota

Atlanta (+4.5) at New England

Chicago at Seattle (+2)

New Orleans at Buffalo (+6)

Miami (+6) at San Diego

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (+4)

Denver at Oakland (+2)

Indianapolis (+2.5) at Arizona

Carolina (+9) at Dallas

Knockout Pool Strategy - We have picked two winners and we look to continue with a week 3 W. The Skins scared the pants off of us but they still pulled the win and that is all that matters. Skins might now win another game and if we had some Monster Cajones we would pick the Lions this week. However, we are too rational for that and we love the Baltimore Ravens this week!!!

Week 1 = New Orleans Saints

Week 2 = Washington Redskins

Week3 = Baltimore Ravens

Stay tuned for our Monday Night Football pick. We love the game this week.

Flash Flash and BSL

Week 1 Free NFL picks: Kim Kardashian, Britney Spears and Cheerleaders!

NFL Season is here!!! We are going to take a bit of a different approach this season by running two betting strategies and one knock out pool strategy. First, we will make our RPJ Syndicate picks just like we always do. Second, we will set up a betting vehicle that will simply bet every underdog every week. As ridiculous as this sounds, this has actually been a profitable strategy in the past. Think about it for one second, of the 32 teams in the league, who are actually elite teams out of those 32. We would argue that there are less than 10. So with the parity in the league, bet the underdog. Third, we are going to make our knockout pool picks available this year. What we mean by this, and this is an every growing pool in terms of popularity, we are going to pick one guaranteed winner (spread does not count) each week and then when that team wins we will not be able to pick that team again. Very simply theory and we have actually won cash doing this the last two seasons.

RPJ Syndicate Picks

Kim Kardashian ass crack...Wonder if we will find Reggie up in there?

Kim Kardashian ass crack...Wonder if we will find Reggie up in there?

Titans at Steelers (-6) - These teams hate each other and there is plenty of heat going into this game. The Steelers stomped them last year when it mattered, they return as world champs and have an explosive offense. The Titans wants revenge and can make a staement on opening night in front of the world. There will be some hard hits in this one. The key will be the lack of offense by the Titans and how much they lost on D. The Haynsworth loss is HUGE. The Steelers have lost a lot on O-Line, but they have not lost as much as the Titans. The Steelers will be able to move the ball in this one. They will squeak by for the cover. Take the Steelers and give the points.

Titans

Steelers
  • Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
  • Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1.
  • Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
  • Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Steelers are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
The only thing terrible about that towel is that it is hiding great arse!

The only thing terrible about that towel is that it is hiding great arse!

Cowboys at Bucs (+6) - They key to this game is the lack of QB for the Bucs. That is really it. The Cowboys have one of the better defenses in the league. Demarcus Ware is arguably the best defender in the NFL. He is going to have a huge game this week (no matter who plays QB for the Bucs). The Bucs are banged-up at RB. The Boys are healthy on both sides of the ball. Look for a big game from Felix Jones. The Boys will also look to show the world that they don’t need TO. They will run up the score. The Bucs will not be able to stay with them on offense. The Boys roll to an easy cover.

Cowboys

Bucs
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Shake your moneymakers!!!

Shake your moneymakers!!!

Lions at Saints (-13)- The Lions are starting rookie Matthew Stafford…..enough said. They Lions are terrible. They will be even wrose with a rookie QB who was not that great in college. The Saints are explosive. They will crush the Lions. Take the Saints and roll.

Lions

Saints
  • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Saints are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Saints are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
These girls lost their beads!

These girls lost their beads!

Bears at Packers (-3.5, O/U 46)- The Packers looked like they were in mid-season from during the preseason. Aarons Rogers was on fire!! They host their hated rivals on opening night who are rolling in with a new gunslinger of their own. Cutler looked very comfortable during the preseason. He showed he can move the ball. The Packers are still better on both sides, but both teams should be able to move the ball and score. The weather should be good, too. Take the OVER 46.

Bears

Over is 28-12-1 in Bears last 41 vs. NFC.

Packers

The Underdog Strategy

The underdog is the team in bold

Tennessee at Pittsburgh (-6)

Miami at Atlanta (-4)

KC at Baltimore (-13)

Philadelphia at Carolina (+1)

Denver at Cincy (-4)

Minnesota at Cleveland (+4)

Jets at Houston (-4.5)

Jacksonville at Indy (-7)

Detroit at New Orleans (-13)

Dallas at Tampa Bay (+6)

San Fran at Arizona (-6.5)

Washington at NY Giants (-6.5)

St. Louis at Seattle (-9)

Chicago at Green Bay (-3.5)

Buffalo at New England (-10.5)

San Diego at Oakland (+9)

Britney Spears upskirt - We would like to split those uprights!

Britney Spears upskirt - We would like to split those uprights!

Knockout Strategy

This is very simple for us. We only pick home favorites and pick extreme home favorites. As dumb and simple as this sounds, it works. This week we were torn between Baltimore and New Orleans but we think New Orleans is the more proven team so our knockout money is on New Orleans!

Had to throw in one classic RPJ thong pic!

Had to throw in one classic RPJ thong pic!

Enjoy the picks.

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 13 Free NFL Winning Picks 2008: blah blah, lets win money!

The NFL has been kind to us lately. Our records are as follows: RPJ $yndicate is 17-19 on the season, Flash Flash is 10-6 and Runny Pelvis is 17-33-1. We love a bunch of games this Sunday and are coming out swinging. We also have a new favorite hottie. Between Nina Moric and Jakki Degg, this has been one hell of a week. Check out Jakki:

 

Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!

Jakki Degg: Our new favorite hottie!

RPJ $yndicate Pick

Denver at NY Jets (-8.5) - We love betting the hot team and the Jets are one of the hottest. The Jets have four covers in a row and have won 5 games in a row since a bizarre loss to the Oakland Raiders and they sit in first place. New York has scored a franchise-record 115 points in its last three games, as Favre is completing 77.4 percent of his passes for 649 yards, five touchdowns and one interception in those contests. The Jets are getting it done on both sides of the ball though. The Jets are third in the league against the run (78.0 ypg), and haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher all season. They limited the Titans to 45 yards on 11 carries last week. Somehow, the Broncos are also in first place but are doing it in different fashion with one of the worst defenses in football. The Broncos are 28th in both total defense (390.8 yards per game) and scoring defense (27.5 ppg). Denver was unable to slow down lowly Oakland last Sunday, as the Raiders, who hadn’t scored an offensive touchdown in 15 quarters, handed the Broncos a 31-10 home loss. The ATS numbers:

Broncos

  • Broncos are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games.
  • Broncos are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.
  • Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC.
  • Broncos are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Broncos are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games overall.
  • Broncos are 4-12 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13.
  • Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Jets

  • Jets are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
  • Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 13.
  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • We think this number might be a little high and we wish the game was scheduled for 1pm but beggars can’t be choosers. The easiest thing to do is betting is to hammer the hot team and the Jets are the hottest team in the AFC. We are taking the Jets to win and cover!

    Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?

    Any other Jakki Degg fans out there?

     Flash Flash Picks

    NY Giants at Washington (+3.5) - A lot of bettors are betting on the Redskins and the line shows this. This line should be as high as the Jets/Broncs, if not higher. Yes, the Giants are banged up, but if you have not been paying attention this year, the Giants are THE BEST TEAM in the NFL. I want to the Cowboys/Redskins monday night football game two weeks ago and let me tell you one thing…the Redskins have zero offense when Portis is banged up and guess what…Portis is banged up. Portis will play but he is not the same back he was early in the year. And earlier in the year, the Giants held Portis to his second lowest per carry yardage of the season. The Giants just went on the road without Jacobs and Plax and destroyed the Cardinals. That win was impressive as hell. Jacobs might be back but Plax is still out. It just does not matter because the G-Men are the ultimate team and somebody like Boss, Steve Smith or Hixon always steps up. The Giants are 9-2 ATS and are 4-1 ATS on the road and the Redskins are only 2-4 ATS at home. The Giants will probably have a let down or two this year like they did against the Browns but it will not be within the NFC East. Here are the ATS numbers:

    Giants

    Redskins

  • Redskins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf.
  • Redskins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
  • Redskins are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Head-to-Head

  • Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
  • That stat that the Skins ore 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home is significant and I have first hand knowledge. No matter what the Skins fans do, FedEx field is not loud and has no chance of being loud. Literally, Notre Dame’s stadium gets 10 times louder and that is a smaller stadium. Dan Snyder is a money grubbing whore and he destroyed the home field advantage the Skins had at RFX with the montrosity that is FedEx field. I think this game will be just like the first game…Low scoring in the first half, the better team and better coaching staff makes adjustments and comes out firing. And that team is the Giants. I am taking the Giants to win and cover!

     

    The Jakki Degg trifecta

    The Jakki Degg trifecta

    Runny Pelvis Picks

    Panthers at Packers (-3): Panthers are playing very bad right now. Delhomme has been inconsistent, and that is putting it nicely. Going to Lambeau at the end of Novemebr is tough for any team. Even more so when they are playing bad. I’m taking the Packers and giving the points

    Pittsburgh at New England (-1): Teams really show their worth during this time of year. In order to be champs, you have to play at a championship level. Part of that is being able to beat good teams n the road. In order to do that, you have to play outstanding D. That is just what the Steelers do. They roll into Foxboro to face a Pats team that is extrememly hot and seemingly in sync. How do you stop a team like that? Hit them in the mouth! That is what the Steelers do best. They will blitz, and blitz and blitz. They will also completely shutdown the Pats running game. Steelers win in a close one. Take the Steelers and the points. 

    Kansas City at Oakland (-3): I can’t believe I’m even touching this game, but my Raiders are hot right now. They can match wits with the Chiefs at home. I’m taking the Raiders and giving the points.

     Chicago at Minnesota (-3.5): Great NFC North match-up. The Bears roll into Minnesota in a fight for 1st place. The Vikings are playing solid D and their running game is taking off. Both teams are sketchy at QB, but I like the Vikings D and running attack. I’m taking the Vikings and giving the points.

    RPJ $yndicate Ass Shot of the Day

    Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!

    Sun, Sand and Ass! A winning combo!

    Flash Flash and Runny

    2008 Week 12 Free NFL Winning Picks: The Return of Runny and Road Team Covers

    Well Runny is fighting to get back to picking after his one game self-imposed ban. RPJ $yndicate is 16-18 on the season, Flash Flash is 9-6 on the season and Runny Pelvis is 14-25-1. RPJ had a bad week last week but as you can see with our NCAA picks, we can rebound and go on a serious run and we have thrown down undefeated NFL weekends as high as 6-0 this season. On with the picks. Of course we are going to show you some ass. Don’t you worry.

    Adriana Lima = Money in the Bank!

    Adriana Lima = Money in the Bank!

    RPJ $yndicate Picks

    New England at Miami (Pick ‘EM)- Revenge is a bitch. People always say that revenge is never a factor. When they say that they are either flat out liars or born on Mars and YES it does apply in the NFL, and doubley so when you are embarassed in your own building with some freaky ass Wildcat offense. Think about this season right now. If we could tell you that New England was tied with Miami in the standings, looking up at the Jets and one of these two teams had to win this game to keep up or tie the Jets in the standings….who do you bet on? Answer to yourself. Then we tell you that the Patriots are a pick ‘em in this very scenario. Does it stop to make you think? Well we are. This is also a true line, as far as we can tell, almost 90% of the money is on the Pats and the line has moved from -3 to -1 or pick em depending on what you can get. Here are the ATS numbers:

    Pats

    Fins

    Throw in the fact that the road team is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings and we think you know where we are going with this. Pats have revenge, anger coming off a loss to the Jets at home, 3 days extra rest, Belichik and Matt Cassel who just happened to lead his team to 400 passing yards, 60 yards rushing, a 4th quarter game tying comeback all in his last start. Yes, we know the pats are injured on both sides of the ball and do not have a real RB. But did you know that the Pats actually run for more yards per game than the Fins. Bet you didn’t! We are taking the Pats to cover and win outright.

    Carolina at Atlanta (-1) - Panthers have been winning ugly but the key is they have been WINNING and they are looking to win their 4th straight road game. Carolina has not lost in Atlanta since 2004. This is make or break time for Atlanta with 3 of their next 4 games against division opponents. Carolina has won 4 in a row and is one game up on Tampa and 2 up on Atlanta. John Fox and his team know how important this game is. Atlanta is too young to comprehend what the NFL is all about come the end of November. Here are the ATS numbers:

    Panthers

    Falcons

    Head-to-Head

    Well that about does it. Rookie QB versus the Panthers D in a game that means a heck of a lot more to the Panthers. Panthers know they need to keep their lead and keep up with the #2 spot to get a bye in the playoffs. Falcons are just along for the ride. We are taking the Panthers to cover and we are sure they win!

    Runny Pelvis Picks

    NY Jets at Tennessee(-5.5): The Titans have been a HUGE surprise this year. So have the Jets. If you told me at the start of the year that at the end of November the Titans would be undefeated and the Jets would be in 1st place, I would have punched you in the face for spreadin’ lies. But, that is where we find ourselves. The Titans have been cover demons this year, and I like them to cover in this one. Why? Two words: Brett Favre. He has been playing with the house’s money for about years now. This week he goes into Tennessee to face the AFC’s best team, and arguably, the best D he has faced all year. The Titans know how to play D. They force turnovers and they will do the same this week. Favre will turn the ball over too much. Titans will win and cover.

    Texans @ Browns (OVER 50.5): This is a lot of points to score in a NFL game, but these teams cannot stop anyone. I think they can put their heads together and make it a debacle. The weather is going to be terrible. It will be sloppy. That probably lends itself to taking the Under, but I have faith in how terrible these teams are. I’m taking the OVER 50.5.

    49ers @ Cowboys (-9.5):If it was 15 years ago, this game would be the game of the year.But, it is 2008 and these teams are major disappointments. I like the Boys at home this week. Romo has his legs under him and he has had another week to work with Roy Williams. I think they are due for a solid offensive output game. They key to this game, however, is how solid the Boys D has been in recent weeks. They should shut down the 49ers. Although the Boys have a tendency to play down to teams, I think they will pull out the cover. I’m taking the Boys-9.5.

    Runny’s Quadruple Trap Special:This is the debut of the Quadruple Trap Special!! I spotted four games this week where Vegas is trying to lure you into their clutches. Don’t fall for the trap!! Here are the games:

    1). Bears @ Rams (+7.5): Don’t ask questions. Take the Rams and the points.

    2). Giants @ Cards (+3): Again, don’t ask questions. Take the Cards and the points.

    3). Raiders @ Broncos (+9): After the week one game, this is begging you to take the Broncos. That is not even the trap! Trust me. Take the Raiders and the points.

    4). Buccaneers @ Lions (+8): The grand finale!! Take the Lions and the points.

    Flash Flash Picks

    Sorry folks. I got nothing today after my 1-1 MNF game.

    RPJ $yndicate Boob shot of the week!

    Get your Fun Bags! Big Juicy Fun Bags!!!

    Get your Fun Bags! Big Juicy Fun Bags!!!

    As always, good luck with your picks.

    Flash Flash and Runny

    2008 Week 11 Free NFL Winning Picks: Sunday Funday!

    We lost the Pats/Jets game on Thursday and we sit at 16-15 on the season. Flash Flash is 7-3 and Runny is 14-22-1. We have a bunch of picks for you this week and sticking with our NCAA theme we are coming at you with straight picks and hot chicks.

    Pam might be old but she never gets old!

    Pam might be old but she never gets old!

    RPJ $ndicate Picks

    Denver at Atlanta (-6.5): Denver’s D is terrible and Hotlanta is raising some eyebrows with their play. Who knew Matt Ryan would be this good?!??! We thought he would be a draft bust-nice work on showing us up Ryan. You and your team are rollin’ and could win the South. We are taking the Falcons and giving the points.

    Oakland at Miami (-10.5)- Teams are 0-12 when they travel West to East this season and the Raiders are freakin terrible and run by a Vampire.

    Al Davis is a Vampire!

    Al Davis is a Vampire!

    The Fins play really well at home and look nothing like the ‘07 team. The Raiders are just a mess. We are taking the Fins and giving the points.

    Arizona at Seattle (+3): This is our upset special of the week. The Cards are TERRIBLE on the road. They get their asses handed to them everytime they leave lovely Zona. Playing in Seattle is tough. The Cards will have nothing for the ‘Hawks this week. FACTS: ‘Hawks are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games against the Cards at home. We are taking the ‘Hawks and the points.

    Flash Picks

    Eagles at Bungles (+9.5): The Bungles just have nothing to offer. The Eagles are desperate for a win to keep any kind of pace in their division. We don’t like the points, but the Eagles should be fine. FACTS: Eagles are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 against the Bungles (I’m going against the numbers). Take the Eagles and give the points.

    Baltimore at NY Giants (-7): The Gints are clearly the best team in football right now. The Ravens, although surprising people with how well they have rallied around Flacco, are just not there yet. Going on the road into the Meadowlands is just too much to ask of them to keep this game close. The Ravens will not be able to keep pace with the Gints. I’m taking the Gints and giving the points.

     

    Dallas at Washington (+1): I’m road-tripping for this game so I can see the downfall of the Cowboys firsthand. They are terrible and having Romo back means nothing-they were terrible before he was injured. The Boys are 3-6 ATS on the season and the Skins always have their number. It is a joke that the Skins are getting points in this one. I like the Skins to win and cover!

    Runny Picks

    Texans @ Colts (-8): The Colts are off an impressive win in Pittsburgh last week. One thing is for sure-they know how to rally. That could be the turning point of their season. However, I like this game more for who is not playing for the Texans-Schaub. Sage cannot do it on the road. FACTS: The Colts are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at home against the Texans. I’m taking the Colts and give the points.

    Bears @ Packers (-3.5): Bitter rivalry game and I love it!! The Bears go into another week not sure if Grossman will still be their QB. I don’t think it will matter. The Bears D is good enough to keep this game close, and the Packers D is not very good. Even if Grossman gets the nod, the Bears can keep this game within a field goal. I’m taking the Bears and the points.

    Saints @ Chiefs (+5.5): The Saints have a terrible D. The Chiefs are playing better, but just not winning. They had a chance last weke to beat the Chargers at home. If they can keep it close against the Chargers D, they can do the same against the Saints. I love the points. Take them and the Chiefs.

    RPJ $yndicate Cleavage Shot of the Day!

    Good luck with your picks.

    Flash Flash and Runny

    2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage

    Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season,  RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!

    Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

    Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.

    Eva Mendes is always a "winning" choice!

    Eva Mendes is always a "Winning" choice!

    RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)

    Game 1

    Jessica Biel needed to return to us!

    Jessica Biel needed to return to us!

    Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.

    Game 2

    Katherine Heigl sports some round mounds of fun!

    Talk About Golden Globes!! Katherine Heigl sports some round mounds of fun!

    Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.

    Game 3

    Lindsay Lohan's lesbian toys!

    Lindsay Lohan's Lesbian toys!

    Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.

    Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)

    Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!

    Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)

    Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.

    Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.

    RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!

    Just lovely!

    Just lovely!

    As always, good luck with your picks.

    Runny & Flash

    Sports Betting at the Sportsbook