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NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: Back to where it all started…Picks and Celebrity Chicks!

We are 47-46-1. Not terrible but certainly not profitable. We are still seeking that home run weekend and looking forward to the games this weekend. If you have not done so yet, click the links on the top right of our website to sign up for our Twitter posts and Facebook fan page. Be the first to know when our picks come out. We are going back to our roots this weekend and that means winning picks and hot celebrity chicks. We are calling on the juju gods of year’s past!

Friday, October 23, 2009

Rutgers at Army (+10): We absolutely love this game!! Rutgers is certainly in the midst of what must be a disappointing season. However, they shouldn’t hang their heads too much. This team does not have nearly close to the talent it has had the past few seasons. We think much of the hype was due to what they did in the past and not because of what they have in place right now. What is still there, however, is their coach. This team is well coached and they play right. They love the national spotlight of prime time games, too. This will not be much of a road game for Rutgers and they have more talent than the Black Knights. Army has a terrible ATS record against the Big East and is 0-6 ATS in their last six against Rutgers. Take Rutgers and give the points.

Rutgers

• Scarlet Knights are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
• Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.

Illinois at Purdue (-10): Not much need for analysis here. The Fighting Illini have absolutely no fight in them. Purdue is playing better and are fresh off of BCS shake-up defeat of the Buckeyes. They will run through the (non) Fighting Illini like a buzzsaw. Great home game for them. We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take Purdue and give the points.

Illinois

• Fighting Illini are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 17-38 ATS in their last 55 games following a S.U. loss.
• Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games in October.
• Fighting Illini are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Fighting Illini are 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS loss.
• Fighting Illini are 4-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Fighting Illini are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
• Fighting Illini are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• Fighting Illini are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Central Michigan (-8) @ Bowling Green - Yes we are very predictable but when you have the MAC and the Fever, you know RPJ will not steer you wrong. Central Michigan is one of the top cover teams in the country this year with only one slip up against Buffalo and that was a 1.5 point miss. With senior leadership, The Chips are the class act of the MAC and we will ride them every single week. Look for another double digit win. Also, Chips are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings head-to-head. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
• Chippewas are 15-5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Chippewas are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 conference games.
• Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Chippewas are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite.
• Chippewas are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 road games.
• Chippewas are 35-14-3 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
• Chippewas are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS win.

Oklahoma State (-9.5) at Baylor - If Iowa State can go to Baylor and win by 14 points in a game where they easily could have won by 20+ points we are loving this game and line. Yes Oklahoma State has disappointed this year and they are facing numerous distractions with all of the issues around Dez Bryant but c’mon now folks. We all know how this game will go. Oklahoma State is on a 4 game winning streak since their fluke loss to Houston and is building momentum. Baylor is a shell of itself with Robert Griffin out for the year. No analysis needed. We are taking Oklahoma State to win big and cover!!!

Oklahoma State

• Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite.
• Cowboys are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite.

Central Florida (-10) at Rice - Rice is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country. They are 0-7 and 1-5-1 ATS. Central Florida is 4-1 ATS. Do you need more information? Central Florida was undefeated ATS before they played Miami last week. UCF QB Brett Hodges got knocked around at Miami and suffered a bruised elbow. He has been getting treatment and will be good to go. Rice claims QB Nick Fanuzzi is going to be at full strength for the first time this year but what the hell does that mean? They will only lose by 20 instead of 30. We are betting Central Florida to win and cover!

Central Florida

• Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Knights are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Idaho (+16) at Nevada - The Vandals, gotta love them!!! If you have not figured this bet out yet this season then you are not making nearly enough coin! The Vandals are 6-1 on the season and an astounding 7-0 against the spread. We recently introduced you to them in our picks and we are here to ride the Idaho bandwagon. Nevada is riding a three game winning streak and has found their offense. Nevada just scraped by Utah State last week, 35-32 but were 8,5 point favorites. We are definitely calling on the gambling gods with this cover bet but when it is unblemished, keep riding it. We are betting Idaho to cover!

Idaho

• Vandals are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Vandals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
• Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Vandals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Vandals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Vandals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Vandals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Nevada

• Wolf Pack are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Wolf Pack are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Wolf Pack are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Texas @ Missouri (+12): Anyone who watched the Red River Rivalry last week (who are we kidding-we know you all did), would know that Texas is not playing well right now. McCoy is nowhere near the guy he was last year and their entire team is underachieving. McCoy comes into this game a little nicked up. Last year Texas trounced the Tigers in Austin 56-31. Both teams were much better than they are now, but we like the Tigers at home this week. Mostly because of the poor play by Texas, but also we love the home field advantage in this one. Plus, after this week Texas heads to Stillwater to play an OK State team that is finding its way despite huge issues. We think Texas takes this game for granted and looks past Mizzou. Mizzou will punch them dead in the face and get a solid cover. ATS numbers are ugly on both sides so we are going to skip them this time around. Take the Tigers at home and the points.

Indiana @ Northwestern (-5): The Hooisers stuck it to the non-Fighting Illini last week. They look to build some momentum with tough road game in Evanston against the Wildcats. We love the Hoosiers’ spirit this year, but they don’t have enough to cover this week. They may loose by only a TD, but that is enough for a NW cover. Take Northwestern and give the points.

Indiana

• Hoosiers are 8-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Hoosiers are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games.
• Hoosiers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
• Hoosiers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
• Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
• Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Northwestern

• Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
• Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Northwestern.

Hope you enjoyed the ladies!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Picks, Chicks and a Salute to Texas RPJ $tyle!

We are 39-39-1 heading into the weekend while waiting for the outcome of the PITT/Rutgers game. So far we are 1-1 on the week. We are very, very afraid this week because we love a ton of games. We usually end up with 3-8 games but this week we are unleashing the fury Mitch!!! When these weeks come, when all of our models and opinions sync up, we hammer the games. This week we are going to discuss some of the marquee matchups and then sling picks for the obvious games. Enjoy the picks. May your wallets be stuffed, your beer fridge full and your girl’s face on your (insert noun here)! It is Red River rivalry and USC/Notre Dame week. We are fired up.

These teams do not need any detailed analysis Games: These picks are pretty straight forward and are set up as either a good team versus a bad team or a bad team versus a horrific team. We are not going to go into detailed analysis to save our carpel tunnel syndrome. Feel free to use our website and our free matchup tools. Click here to stroll through our free data! Just click on this link, find the game you want to analyze and click away on the matchup, supergrid and or preview functions. There is tons of free data for you to use on your own. Bodog has been an awesome partner for us and if you like our picks, which you should of late, help us out by clicking on one of the banner advertisements to sign up for a Bodog account and to get free money.

Kent State at E. Michigan (+6.5) - Give us some credit, you have to respect anyone that is going to drop any sort of knowledge on a Kent State-EMU game!!!! Sometimes we just make it easy for you. Eastern Michigan is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country, sitting at 1-4 ATS and 0-5 on the season. So do not be deceived that Eastern Michigan almost beat Northwestern. Other than that, they have been pounded by the likes of Army and Temple to name a few of the teams they lost to. They also lost to Michigan and Central Michigan but that was expected. We expect Kent State to rebound from the horrible loss to Bowling Green last week. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven. We are betting Kent State to win and cover!!!

Hawaii at Idaho (-8) - Do you know who the best cover team is in the country right now? We do and it is the Idaho Vandals. Idaho is 5-1 overall and 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came at Washington and this team actually won at Northern Illinois and Colorado State. Very impressive. Who are we to bet against them. We love any opportunity to bet on the Vandals!! We are betting Idaho to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5) - Central Michigan is one of the best cover teams in the nation sitting at 5-1. With their lone ATS loss at Buffalo by 1.5 points or so, depending on where you got the line. We also have a bizarre man crush on Dan LeFevour and we are unlikely to bet against him. We have been lucky that he rewarded us nicely two years ago when he was 100% healthy and has rewarded us again this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!

Houston at Tulane (-17) - Well Toolame burned us last week but we are persistent. Houston will run and gun and sling it all over the place. Toolame is not that good and still have the swine flu lingering around campus. Never a good combo..bad football and swine flu. Our boy Case Keenum is going to put 50 on these guys. We are betting Houston to win and cover!!!

BYU (-17) at San Diego State - Another battle of the shit show matchups. BYU has talent. San Diego State does not. BYU = 4-2 ATS. San Diego State = 1-4 ATS. San Diego State basically loses to who they are supposed to lose to. See losses to UCLA, Idaho and Air Force and they beat who they are supposed to beat most of the time. BYU will beat San Diego State and they will beat them easily. We are betting BYU to win and cover!!!

Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5) - If you have not picked up on it yet, bet against Kentucky every week you can in the SEC. They snuck one in on us at South Carolina last week but we got nice covers with Alabama and Florida. We are going to ride the anti-Kentucky bandwagon once again. We still have no clue as to how this program is in any Div 1 conference. They are terrible even for SEC standards. Auburn wins and covers!!!

Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue - Another certainty, Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten and covers most of the time. Just keep riding the wave. This is not rocket science. Ohio State has covered every Big Ten game this year (3-0) and Purdue has lost all of them (0-2). Ohio State is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Purdue is in a major transition year. New coach. New players. New offensive philosophy. They have been playing games hard, but they just don’t have the talent and cohesion OSU has. This game may be close in the first half, as the Boilermaker faithful will be out in full force and going bananas. However, OSU will pull away in the 2nd half. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!

Illinois (-3) at Indiana - We love this game!! Runny has been to it in person a couple of times. It is like a battle of the two worse state fairs you can think of!!! These teams hate each other. The Hoosiers have been a HUGE surprise this year. The fact this team has even won one game is shocking. The Illini have also blown our minds with some of the worse play in college football (we picked this team to beat Mizzou outright in week one!!!!). Juice is a huge bust. Benn is having a terrible year. So, what will give in this sideshow of a game??? The Illini will give. They are favorites based on the rep and promise over the past few seasons. This team is not the team that played SC in the Rose Bowl. The Hoosiers will win outright. Take Indiana at home with the points.

Louisville at UCONN (-13)- Big East match-up with implications. The Huskies are looking to show their program is no fluke and the Cardinals are trying to salvage some respectability at home. UConn’s pogram IS solid. They are similar to Cincy. They are well coached and play hard. They will be stoked at home. The cover will be close, but the Huskies will still pull it out. This is another one of the brainless picks. UCONN is 5-0 against the spread. Always bet into strength. This line seems awfully high but bet it with confidence. Take the Huskies and give the points.

Iowa at Wisconsin (-3) - This game is a trap!! Beware!!! There is absolutely no logical reason to justify why the Hawkeyes are the dogs in this game. The Hawkeyes are arguably the best team in the Big 10. Wisconsin is having a down year. Although the Badgers are at home in Madison where it is extremely tough to play, this team is just not that good and they are certainly not playing to the level of Iowa right now. Further proof of the trap comes from the numbers: 68% of the money is on Iowa and the line opened Iowa -1. The line should have gone up, not down to the Badgers as favorites. VEGAS KNOWS!! Don’t fall for it!! Take Iowa to win and cover!

Washington at Arizona State (-6.5) - Is it us, or does ASU break your hearts every freakin’ year? Every year this team has the promise of being good, and every year, we bet them and bet them only to get left at the alter. Not this time!! The Huskies have an entirely new lease on life. After beating USC, they have shown they have some swagger and the guts to hang in there against anyone. They played the Irish super tough in the South Bend, so they have shown that road trips do not scare them. They will be ready for the PAC-10 game. ASU may win, but it will be within a TD. Take the Huskies and the points!

Stanford at Arizona (-4.5) - Very similar game to the Washington-ASU game. Stanford gets the edge for us despite being on the road. They are really well coached (Harbaugh may be one the best coaches in Div 1 football). Harbaugh gets more out of talent than any coach in the country (except for maybe Chris Peterson in Boise). They are a smart team. Zona is solid, too, but Stanford will be ready and they are playing with a chip on their shoulders for some national respect. Take the Cards and the points.

Arkansas at Florida (-25) - This game has “let down” written all over it. Everyone has anointed the Gators as national champs despite having half the season left to go. The Gators are in cruise control. They will be at home. They have not looked dominating at all. Not at all. The Razorbacks having nothing to lose and they will pull out all the stops. They have a solid QB in Ryan Mallett. He can straight sling it!!! The gators have not faced a QB this good all year. Remember Ole Miss last year? The Razorbacks could do the same thing. Plus, don’t underestimate Petrino. He is a good coach, and we know he can play dirty (just ask Arthur Blank and the Falcons). Look for Petrino to pull an Arkansas sweathog move and knock Tebow out of the game! Take the ‘Backs and the points.

Not the Red River Rivalry but the next best game of the week!

Southern California (-10) at Notre Dame - For months people (i.e. the media and dumb Domers) have been touting the Irish as a legit BCS championship contender and one of the best teams in the country. Guess what? Another year proves yet again that they are probably the most overrated program in all of sports. If they were in the SEC they would probably be ranked #5 in the country, but we know they are a joke. Michael Floyd is out for this game so that means the only threat they have is Golden Tate. That is not enough against this SC Defense. USC comes in with tons of swagger knowing that they have stomped this team in recent years. They also are playing inspired ball from rallying behind their fallen comrad, Stephon Johnson. USC relishes playing opponents on the road under the spotlight. Barkley knows he is the man for this team, and he is grasping control of the offense more and more each week. They destroyed Cal in Berkley two weeks ago, and that team had WAAAAAAAY more talent on both sides of the ball than this Irish team. This game will not be close. Look for a HUGE game from Taylor Mays as Clausen tries to test fate and go deep on this team. Mays will get him. Now that we got our USC homerness out of the way you really need to think about this game logically. Look at the line and what do you see? USC is favored, on the road, against the 25th rated team in the country, against the QB with the best QB rating in the country, a team with multiple 4th quarter comebacks and USC is playing a true freshmen. Did you just follow that sequence of logic? Makes you want to bet Notre Dame right? Well we always say that Vegas knows and Vegas set this line at ten points because Vegas knows all of the Notre Dame idiots will easily bet this game at USC -10. That line speaks volumes. If Notre Dame was any good the line would not be USC -10. Be safe, be smart and listen to Vegas. Plus, look at the picture below….could you feel remotely safe betting on a team with that guy leading the charge?What the hell does the “CC” stand for on the banana hammock on the dude on the left? How is he not getting crushed in the papers for this? Take USC and gladly give the points.

USC

• Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. INDEP.
• Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
• Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Trojans are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Trojans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Red River Rivalry Game of the week!

Oklahoma at Texas (-3) - The Sooners need this game more, but Texas is just too good right now. Bradford is not close to 100% and Stoops cannot win big games. McCoy is primed for a huge game. He will get it this week against the Sooners. Oklahoma is another one of those early season teams that had uncertainty on their O-line. This has not been solved due to injuries and Texas is going to bring a nasty defense to the Texas State Fair. If you watched last week’s game, Sam Bradford is not ready to go and one more week of practice will help but will certainly not make him comfortable. These teams look very similar on paper but we think the difference will be QB and O-line and Texas wins both of those matchups. And how could we forget Big Game Bob Stoops. Big Game Bob is 0-4 ATS in his last 4 in this series and we expect the pain to continue. We are betting Texas to win and cover!!!

Oklahoma

• Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Sooners are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
• Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
• Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
• Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Texas

• Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
• Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
• Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Longhorns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
• Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Get the latest Sports Wagering Odds at Bodog Sportsbook

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!

Thursday, September 3, 2009

South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.

USC

• Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.

Utah State

• Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
• Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
• Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
• Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
• Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!

Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.

Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!

Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:

*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***

* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.

* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.

You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!

Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.

Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!

Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.

Monday, September 7, 2009

Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.

Miami

• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

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In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!

It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!

RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)

We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.

Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:

Purdue

• Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
• Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Iowa

• Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
• Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
• Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!

UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!

Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!

Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
• Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.

Check out these scores:

2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12

2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16

2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17

2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30

See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!

Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.

Auburn

• Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!

Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
• Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

Houston

• Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
• Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
• Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
• Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.

We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!

USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!

Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)

Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.

Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.

Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.

UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.

Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.

Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.

Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.

BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.

South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.

Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.

Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.

Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.

Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)

Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:

Northwestern

• Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Michigan

• Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!

Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!

RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!

Good luck with your picks!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 11 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks and the Return of Heidi Klum

We are pretty surprised and pissed off that we are having a down year. Here we are with a new website, awesome tools from Bodog and generally speaking, for the season as a whole, our picks are not as good as last year and we are down money or pretty flat. Well we are invoking the spirit of Heidi Klum. She was with us last year for a lot of wins and we think she provides us with great gambling juju. It just happens to coincide with a new Heidi Klum ad for Guitar Hero. We have the video and a bunch of pictures to support her holiness.

If you did not enjoy that then you have serious problems.

We have a still photo also.

Business first. On the season we are:

RPJ is 33-39-2

Flash Flash is 15-9-2

Runny Pelvis is 22-23-1

If you have not taken advantage of our new live odds tool as well as our matchup tool then you are seriously missing out. By coming to our website, you can instantly check the lines on games and you can check out relevant ATS stats, team stats, injury reports, the weather etc… Please, for your own good, check these out.

Click here for RPJ $yndicate’s live odds tab.

Click here to use our Matchups tool. We love this one. At first glance it looks like you just get one page but if you look in the box at the top of the matchups page, you can click on each relevant sport and dive in to whatever you want to learn about. On with the picks.

RPJ Betting $yndicate (33-39-2 on the season)

We do not have that many picks for you this week. Most degenerate gamblers would keep pressing and pressing to try and make their money back and bet games they are not 100% confident in. Well we are disciplined bettors and if a week comes up where we only pick a couple of games, then that is all we are going to do. Of course we want to win our money back and win it back fast but if the games are not there we have to stick to our discipline and stay away.

Alabama (-3) at LSU - This one really pains us. In our eyes, Alabama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. LSU on paper should be good and is playing at home but as we saw with Georgia, this is not the same LSU team. They entire key to this game is Terrance Cody, Alabama’s 6′5″ 380 pound nose tackle. When Terrance plays, Alabama gives up only 2.6 yards per carry and 65.6 rushing yards per game, which is second in D-1. The key is not Alabama’s offense or John Parker Wilson, the key is Cody. LSU’s offense is a mess and if they have trouble running they will really have trouble because they do not have a good passing game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Alabama

• Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

LSU

• Tigers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Tigers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Louisiana State.
• Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Road team is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

LSU is definitely a sentimental favorite and the mere thought that the talented Tigers team can lose back-to-back SEC games at home seems unbelievable. Throw in the fact that this is Saban’s first visit back and you know the LSU homers will be fired up and the crowd will be insane. Unfortunately for Tigers fans, this is not their year. They do not have a viable QB, their defense has been torched multiple times this year and when the dust settles, Saban will have his victory and the Crimson Tide will leave with a media friendly convincing win. This is simply not the LSU team that won a title last year and was stacked the previous years. Alabama might start slow but they will win convincingly. Alabama wins and covers!

Georgia (-12) at Kentucky - We are terrified we are picking two games with the Backwoods Southern Lawyer. We correctly predicted the Florida/Georgia beatdown. That was an easy one. So now people will be down on Georgia and as far as Georgia versus Kentucky goes….there really is no contest. Georgia is 10-1 versus Kentucky since 1997. The Bulldogs’ offense is averaging an SEC-leading 427.6 yards thanks to quarterback Matthew Stafford, who paces the conference with 245.7 passing yards per game, and running back Knowshon Moreno, whose 110.0 rushing yards per game rank third in the SEC. Kentucky has a decent defense but a young defense and they will not be able to keep up with Georgia. Kentucky gives up too many rushing yards and turns the ball over more than Georgia. Richt is a good coach and will get the Dawgs refocused. Here are the ATS numbers:

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Kentucky

• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Wildcats are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

We do not expect this game to be close. Moreno will be running and Stafford will be throwing. Both are proud and have a lot to prove after their disappointing Florida performances. Georgia wins and covers!

Baylor at Texas (-28) - Well Texas gets to come home and get rid of some of their frustration on Baylor. The Longhorns suffered an incredible defeat at the hands of Texas Tech last week and this week is payback. Check out these ATS numbers:

Baylor

• Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
• Bears are 6-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Bears are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
• Bears are 10-30 ATS in their last 40 games in November.
• Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Texas

• Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Longhorns are 20-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Longhorns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss.
• Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

We have enjoyed betting against Baylor at the right times this year and this weekend is definitely the right time. Texas wins big and covers!

Flash Flash Picks (15-9-2 on the season)

I am going to make this short and sweet this week. No analysis, just straight picks and girls. Yes I did the analysis but all of these games have the same exact reason for betting them. Based on my statistical models, each team clearly dominates the other team based on my weighted categories and all three of them feature ranked teams playing at home against inferior opponents.

San Diego State at BYU (-36.5) - BYU wins big and covers!

Utah State at Boise State (-35) - Boise State wins big and covers!

Kansas State at Missouri (-27) - Missouri wins big and covers!

These three games will simply be beat downs.

Purdue at Michigan State (-10) Purdue broke their 5 game losing streak last week versus Michigan but they are about to start a new one. Michigan State still thinks they have a shot to win the Big Ten title and that will help motivate them at home versus an inferior opponent. After this week, the Spartans have a week off before they go play Penn State. Michigan State escaped with a with a win against Wisconsin and they will look to continue with their momentum. The ATS numbers:

Purdue

• Boilermakers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
• Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Boilermakers are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Boilermakers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

Michigan State

• Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
• Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State.

I think Michigan State will look to make a serious statement in this game and Dantonio will have his team ready to play. Michigan State wins and covers!

Runny Pelvis Picks (22-23-1 on the season)

I’m following Flash and making this short and sweet, too. We gave you the chicks, now I’m just going to drop my picks. No need for much analysis. Here you go:

Florida at Vanderbilt (+24): Vandy covers. This is way too many points. Take ‘Em.

Oklahoma at Texas A&M (+27): Oklahoma is still, in my book, the best of the super talented Big 12 South. I don’t give a darn about records. However, this is too many points to give an A&M team at home. They will keep it close. Oklahoma will be looking ahead to next week. Take A&M and the points.

OK State @ Texas Tech (-4.5): Tech will ride the wave of last week’s win into another cover. OK State is darn good, but Tech knows they can beat anyone. My pick would be different if this was in Oklahoma, but it is not. Take Tech and give the points.

RPJ Ass shot of the week!

Good luck with your picks!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate

First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,

It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…

RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)

Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:

Eastern Michigan

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Ball State

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.

Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.

Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.

Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.

Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.

Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.

Bowling Green

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.

Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Northern Illinois

Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.

It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.

Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.

Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.

Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Toledo

Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.

Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.

Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!

Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!

Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!

 

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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:

Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.

Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.

Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.

Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.

Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.

And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….

The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!

Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.

LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!

Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:

Baylor

Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.

Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.

Nebraska

Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.

Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.

Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….

Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Penn State

Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Ohio State

Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.

Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.

It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.

Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)

I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:

• Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
• Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
• Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
• Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
• Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
• Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
• Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
• Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.

Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!

Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2

Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:

Colorado State

Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.

SDSU

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Head-to-Head

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.

Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!

Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3

Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:

• Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
• Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
• Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.

Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!

Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)

Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas. 

Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.

Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.

Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.

Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.

BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.

Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.

Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.

Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.

UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU.  Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.

South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash and Runny

Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Introducing The Wizard

We always say we are here for our fans and to make our readers as much money as possible. This post comes from one of our readers and regular posters….The Wizard. He emails us on the side and has provided his insight on some of our picks. This week we are giving him his own post, with picture and all. From Wizard:

These are the games that I like coming up. The ones that I really like, I will put a $$$ on it.

Illinois (4-3) -1 at Wisconsin (3-4)
The defensive number are about the same, however Illinois offense averages 100yds more than Wisconsin. Illinois runs the spread option which is hard to defend. Illinois went to Penn st and only lost by 14. Wisconsin got blown out at home by Penn St and their spread offense. Illinois blew out Michigan, Wisconsin LOST to Michigan. Illinois lost in a shootout to Mizzou. Wisconsin’s starting QB, who was nothing special, is day-to-day with a bum leg.
ILL are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
WISC are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
WISC are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
TAKE ILLINOIS

Eastern Michigan (2-6) at No. 22 Ball State (7-0) -24 $$$$$
Ball State scores 37.1 and gives up 15. E.Michigan scores 22 and gives up 31. Ball State has won the last 2 between them by no less than 18. E.Michigan got blown out at home by 24 to Toledo. Ball St went to Toledo and blew them out 31-0. No need for more info after that statement.
EMICH are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
BALL ST are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
BALL ST are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
BALL ST are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass
EMICH are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE BALL STATE FOR BIG MONEY

Wake Forest (4-2) at Miami (4-3) -3
Wake Forest just got blown out and shutout by Maryland for Christ sakes Wake Forest barely got by Clemson and lost to Navy. TAKE MIAMI

Kentucky (5-2) +24.5 at No. 7 Florida (5-1)
Florida is coming off a huge win vs LSU. It’s almost a guarantee that there will be a letdown. Florida hasn’t beaten Kentucky by 24 since 2001. Kentucky has a great defense and it’s rare that an SEC game is a blowout by 24 or more. If you still aren’t sure, tease it up to+30.5. TAKE KENTUCKY AND THE POINTS

No. 5 Oklahoma (6-1) -19 at Kansas State (4-3)
I think Oklahoma wins this big, just a little scared on the 19pts. It minds well be 21pts. I will tease this one down to Oklahoma -13 along with another game. Oklahoma scores 8 points more on offense and gives up 7 less on defense than KState does. Oklahoma is still in the hunt for the Championship so they are going to make sure to blow people out. K State has several DB hurt and hobbling.
OKLA are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
KANST are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
TEASE OKLAHOMA -13 (read below for teaser combo)

UNLV (3-4) at No. 17 Brigham Young -22.5 (6-1)
I am going to tease this one with the Oklahoma game to bring it down to BYU -16.5. BYU gives up 13 ppg and UNLV gives up 33 to teams lest potent than BYU. That looks to me that BYU is gonna score 50+ to put UNLV out of its misery.
UNLV are 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 road games.
BYU are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
BYU are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games on grass.
TEASE BYU DOWN TO -16.5

UCLA (3-4) at California (4-2) -17
The ATS numbers don’t show any advantages, but Common Sense and off/def numbers do.
Cal scores 17 more ppg and gives up 7ppg less on defense than UCLA. I just don’t see how UCLA can hang with Cal for 4 quarters. TAKE CAL

Rutgers (2-5) at No. 20 Pittsburgh (5-1) -8.5
Pittsburgh has been getting better since the opening day lost to Bowling Green. They haven’t lost since and are coming home after 3 straight road W’s. Rutgers has been getting outgained damn near every game. Pitt averages 11pts more per game despite playing on the road for most of the season. I think -8.5 is low. TAKE PITT.

Bowling Green (3-4) at Northern Illinois (4-3) -7.5
Definitely buy this one down to -7. N. Ill has a great defense and a running game. BG can’t stop the run and gives up 12pts more on defense. N. Illinois defense held a very good Toledo to 7pts.
NOILL are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
TAKE N ILLINOIS

Wyoming (2-5) at No. 15 Texas Christian (7-1) -31.5
Wyoming can’t score on sorry defenses. They’ve scored 7,0,7 and 16 pts in the last 4 games. Now they have to go on the road to play one of the best defenses in the nation in TCU who only gives up 9.0 pts a game. I doubt Wyoming scores. I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread is covered by halftime.
WYOM are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games.
WYOM are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall
TAKE TCU

No. 3 Penn State (8-0) -2.5 at No. 10 Ohio State (7-1)
OSU has been the most hyped but falling short of expectations team for years now. Penn State has one of the top defenses and one of the top offenses in the country Pryor is good, but he can’t hang with the Penn offense yet. Penn St averages 20 ppg more than OSU and 2pts less on defense. This will be another big game that OSU falls short.
OHIST are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
TAKE PENN ST

Central Florida (2-4) at No. 19 Tulsa (7-0) -23 $$$
Tulsa has scored 77,37,63,62,56,56,45 and 63 points in every game this season. They have yet to lose the Game or the Yardage battle. They avg 56ppg and Central Florida averages 17.7. they are roughly the same on defense. Central Florida lost to UTEP 13-58. Tulsa blew out UTEP 77-35.
CENFL are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
CENFL are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 road games.

TAKE TULSA and watch for the ovr/under numbers when they come out

No. 25 Minnesota (6-1) +1 at Purdue (2-5)
Minnesota scores 8 more points per game on offense and gives up 8 less on defense than Purdue. Only one of the ATS numbers concern me though, but i think that its just a sign of Purdue having better teams in the past. Adam Weber of Minny doesn’t turn the ball over. Purdue’s QB does. Purdue is horrible against the run and has lost 4 straight.

MINN are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2-1 in PURD last 10 games on field turf.
Under is 27-8-2 in PURD last 37 home games.
PURD are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
MINN are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Favorite is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE MINNY TO WIN

Thanks for your picks and your pic Wizard!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2

We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.

The Great Debate Game

Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.

Missouri

Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.

Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.

Texas

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.

Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.

Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:

Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!).  FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.

 

Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.

Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.

Akron

• Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Eastern Michigan

• Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)

• Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….

Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!

San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:

• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
• Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!

San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.

San Jose State

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

New Mexico State

• Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!

Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:

Houston

• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

SMU

• Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
• Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!

Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:

Florida International

• Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Troy

• Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)

Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.

Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.

UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.

Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.

Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.

Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.

USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.

Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.

Flash Flash and Runny

Week 6 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks (10/4/2008): How We Got Senate to Vote on Bailout

Well last week was a mixed bag of tricks. RPJ $yndicate was 6-3 last week and is now 18-15-1 on the season. Flash was 0-2 last week and is now 5-3 on the season. Runny was 2-5 last week and is now 13-14 on the season. We are questioning our experiment to post our own personal picks. Not sure it is bringing much value to our readers because we know our RPJ picks are on a roll after back-to-back solid weeks. If you want all of our picks let us know by posting a comment or shoot us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. We are here to make you money so we will try and contribute to your wallets as many ways as possible.

This week we are helping the U.S Government deal with the economic crisis and we have two words for you…..More Cowbell!!!!

If only Congress and Wall Street had more cowbell we would not be in our current predicament. We also are proposing legalized sports betting across all 50 states. Let the government set the lines and keep the vig. That has to be worth a few billion with all the degenerates in the good Ole US of A.

And yes of course we are going to show you some hot ass and ass in thongs and bring back some new pictures of Keyra Augustina (sorry Heidi Klum fans, but the Keyra fans have spoken in mass)….

RPJ $yndicate Picks of the Week

Iowa at Michigan State (-6.5) - This is another trust us game. The same exact model that helped us find the UCLA/Fresno State winner last week is rearing its winning head in this game. This is a huge Big 10 match-up. These teams need this win. The photo below alone should show you who to take!!! Gotta love strategically placed Hawkeye stickers!!!

FACTS: Iowa is 7-0 ATS in the game before IU, MSU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 head-to-head meetings with Iowa and MSU is 1-8 ATS as home favorites of 24 or less off a straight-up win. We think MSU will win this game, but it will be close. Take Iowa +6.5.

Texas at Colorado (-13)- Texas has been lights out this year. Now they get a Big 12 rival on the road. Colorado has been good, but they got smoked last week against an overrated FSU team. They will not fair much better at home this week. Texas will look to make a statement with this game. FACTS: Texas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Colorado (3-0 ATS in Colorado) and Colorado is 0-5 ATS in the game before Kansas and when they lose a game (which they will this week), they are only 5-33 ATS. When they lose, they lose big!!! Now throw in the fact that Texas, a team that leads D-1 football in sacks with 16, rolls into Boulder to face a Buffs line that just lost two more starting linemen so they are now down 4 on the season. Ugly Ugly Ugly possibilities. Texas is 4-0 ATS this season and will continue their roll. Take the Longhorns -13.

Nevada at Idaho (+24) - Idaho has been TERRIBLE all year. They have been blown out in nearly every game. They have not looked competitive. Nevada has not been great, but they can score. They should be able to put up a lot against the Vandals. FACTS: Idaho is 0-6 ATS as conference underdogs of 21 points of more. They can’t cover against big teams in their conference. They will not do it here either. Take Neveda -24.

Western Kentucky at Virginia Tech (-28) - WKU may be the worse DIV-1 team. They are terrible. Although they are 2-3, their two wins have come against non DIV-1 teams. In their games against DIV-1 teams, they have been outscored 113-23. This does not bode well for them heading into Blacksburg to face the Hokies. Blacksburg is one of the toughest places to play. They will get trounced again. FACTS: VaTech is 11-1 ATS off a straight-up underdog win. They may never stop scoring this week, and WKU may never start. Also, we are 3-0 combined on 28 point spreads. Keeping the juju working. Take VaTech -28.

Penn State at Purdue (+13.5)- Another big Big 10 game. Penn State is off their defeat at home of Illinois. Purdue was embarrassed against the Irish. No way Purdue was looking past the Irish-they are just disappointing. Penn State is not. Their D is outstanding and they have a great offense. Penn State will be looking to keep their Big 10 authority. FACTS: PSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 against Purdue and Purdue is 1-9 ATS as underdogs following a double digit ATS loss. Penn State rolls. Take Penn State -13.5.

Illinois @ Michigan (-2): Illinois stayed with Penn State last week, but when the pressure got on, Juice folded. Can that guy not turn the ball over?!?!? Very bad QB. He makes bad decisions and Illinois cannot come from behind with him managing the game. He gets another tough road test in Ann Arbor. Michigan is not good either, but they are playing with a lot of confidence. Their comeback last week became an instant classic. Rodriguez is proof positive that coaching in college football makes a HUGE difference. FACTS: Illinois is 0-11 ATS away after allowing 35 or more points and Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Illinois. Take Michigan -2.

Flash Flash Picks

South Carolina at Ole Miss (-2.5) - Ole Miss is going to be in let down mode and USC really needs to get going again. Also, chalk one up to the Sports Illustrated curse, which was nice enough to feature Ole Miss on their cover this week.

I love the fact that the road team in this matchup is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 and I think USC comes ready to play. They have a great defense and now need to work that Spurrier magic to get the O going. I am taking USC to cover and might throw some dough on the moneyline if it is profitable enough.

Maryland at Virginia (+13.5) - Virginia is really a mess. They should play a tournament with Syracuse, Western Kentucky and Idaho to see who the worst team is in D-1 with the loser getting tossed down to D-III so they can play NESCAC games against the likes of Hamilton and Bates in front of 10 fans in -32 degree weather. Now I would watch that Battle Royale. Look at the ATS numbers…

Virginia
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Where are the positive UVA items you ask? They are in Ralph Friedgen’s belly….

Maryland wins this game big!!!!

Ohio State (-1) at Wisconsin - The Buckeyes own the Big 10. Own it own it own it. Got that…Let me say it again….BUCKEYES OWN THE BIG TEN. Beanie Wells is back, Pryor is at QB and Ohio State is still motivated because they know they can run the Big Ten table (remember they own it) and still lay claim to being the best team in the land because their one loss will be when they were minus Beanie, on the road against the then #1 team in the country and still getting Pryor involved with the offense. Throw in the fact that Ohio State can stop the run on defense and turns the ball over a lot less than Wisconsin and you can see where this is going. The ATS numbers:

Ohio State
Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Buckeyes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Buckeyes are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 conference games.
Buckeyes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.
Buckeyes are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. (scary stat but one that will reverse)

Wisconsin
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Badgers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games. (Remember the Big 10 is bad)

This game is basically a pick the winner game. Wisconsin played the typical look ahead game last week and blew a 19 point lead in The Big House. That is terrible. This team also should have lost at Fresno State, thanks to the Fresno kicker. Defense and turnovers win ball games and that favors Ohio State. Ohio State wins and covers!

Runny Picks

Indiana @ Minnesota (-7): IU has been extremely disappointing this year. We thought they would play better for Hep, but they have been terrible. Off the field issues have plagued them and maybe it has effected their play. Who knows? What I do know is they suck. Minnesota has been surprisingly decent. I gave them no credit coming into the season, but they have shown me wrong. Huge cover for them last week. I think they continue that momentum this week at home. FACTS: Minn is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 against IU and 9-1 ATS against teams that are .400 or worse. IU has a great ATS road record in the Big 10 (10-1 in their last 11), but I don’t think it matters this week. This is their first game outside of Bloomington. Take Minnesota -7.

Texas Tech @ Kansas State (+7); OVER 66: Two picks for the price of one here. This line is pretty low considering how much Tech can score. Crabtree may be the best player in NCAA. Tech has  dominated this series ATS in recent years (4-0 ATS in their last 4). However, they go on the road this week to a rival that is good at home. To me, that is why the line is so low. That and because KState can score, too. I think Tech wins, but it will be a close shootout. I’m taking KState +7 and the OVER 66.

Kansas @ Iowa State (+11.5): My first Mangino bet of the year!! I’m lovin’ it!! The Cyclones usually put up a good fight at home. However, hurricane Magino is coming to town this week!!!! FACTS: Kansas is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against Iowa State, 4-0 ATS in their 4 as road favorites and 7-1 ATS with rest. They cover. Take Kansas -11.5.

Ball State @ Toledo (+7.5), OVER 64: Another two-for-one special. Ball State is riding high, despite their HUGE loss of Love. Tragic injury and we hope for the best. They get a tough MAC road game this week. Toldeo can score. Both D’s are bad. I think this game will be high scoring and they should hit the over easily. In regards to the line, I think this is Ball State’s year. I’m riding them until they prove me wrong. FACTS: Ball State is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with Toledo and they are 6-1 ATS in the 1st of back-to-back road games. I’m taking Ball State -7.5 and the OVER 64.

We could not agree on the Auburn at Vanderbilt game so we will just show you a sweet pic…

Good luck, may your wallets be full and your whores STD free.

Flash Flash and Runny

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