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2008 Week 9 Free NFL Winning Picks and Celebrity Cleavage

Last week we were money with our NFL bets…4-0!!! On the season,  RPJ $yndicate is now 14-10, Flash Flash is 5-3 and Runny is 13-19-1. There seems to be a recurring trend around the office; Flash Flash good, Runny bad and the $yndicate runs great or terrible. This weekend we look to keep the great going and our NCAA picks were back to their winning ways so we are feeling good. We are still running our free cash promotion. Simply click on the ad below, sign up for a Bodog account and we will give you a free 10% deposit bonus on your money. We lost money last weekend and we want to make it up to you with free cash!!!

Also, we have added some great resources to our website. Click on our live odds tabto get the latest lines information for every relevant sport. Last but certainly not least, we added a matchups tab to our website. Here is what you do…Click on this matchups link, Click NFL in the little box on the top of the page, then click matchups. You can then click on all of the games to see what is going on. For example, click on preview in the Jets/Bills box. How great is that information? Go back and click on matchups. Now you get to look at great stats, head-to-head matchups, injuries, stats from the last 5 games, the weather report and other great information. We are giving this stuff away for free to help you make the right decisions for your own betting needs. We give you our picks and then you can use our website to research them yourself. We are pumped up for our new website and for our partnership with Bodog. We hope you are enjoying it as much as we are. Now on with the picks and gratuitous hot chicas.

RPJ Betting $yndicate Picks (14-10 on the season)

Game 1

Jags @ Bungles (-7.5): The Jags need a rebound game after their upsetting loss last week to the terrible Browns. Good thing for them they get the Bungles this week. Cincy is terrible. Absolutely the worse team in the league. They have no threats anymore. Their season was done after week one. They are soft. The Jags are the exact opposite. We don’t think the Bungles score a point against this team. FACTS: Bungles are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 match-ups with the Jags and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Jags. It will be ugly. Take the Jags and give the points.

Game 2

Ravens @ Browns (-2):These teams hate each other and the Ravens delivered a beatdown when these teams met earlier in the season. In that game, Flacco went bonkers and showed he was worthy of a 1st round pick. We think he snuck-up on the league early in the season. The Browns will know what to expect this week. The Browns are playing better and are slowly getting the players back. We like them to rebound here. FACTS: Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Ravens at home. Take the Browns and give the points.

Game 3

Packers @ Titans (-4.5): The Packers roll into Tennessee with a freshly minted QB at their helm to face the undefeated Titans. The Titans put it on the Colts last Monday night. Their D is sick! They are well coached and play the game very, very well. The Packers are good, too, but we think the Titans have too much for them at home. Rodgers has shown that he does not do well against D’s that bring consistent pressure from different spots. FACTS: The Titans are undefeated ATS this year. Take the Titans -4.5.

Flash Flash Picks (5-3 On the Season)

Cowboys at Giants (-9.5) - I had to pull a sneak attack on Runny with this picks. He is a huge Cowboys fan and did not want me to write this game up. This is one of my favorite games of the week. Giants hate the Cowboys and have been talking about this game all week. Giants get the Cowboys at home, minus Romo, minus Felix Jones and the Boys limp in on both sides of the ball. Giants will be looking for the knockout punch to send the Cowboys as far down the standings as they can. Some tasty tidbits…Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC East. Cowboys are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Easy money. I am picking the Giants to win and cover!

Runny Picks (13-19-1 On the Season)

Eagles @ Seahawks (+7): The Eagles are finally healthy, and it showed last week in their beatdown of the Falcons. This is a tough road game for them, but I still like them to cover. They are well coached and they will be playing a Seahawks team that is DECIMATED with injuries. I think the Eagles roll here. Take the Eagles and give the points.

Pats @ Colts (-6):These teams hate each other and their are so many side stories to this game. However, it is a different meeting given injuries to key players (i.e. Tom Brady). It is not certain that Reggie Wayne will play, but I don’t think it matters. The Colts need a rebound win immediately. This game is their season. I like them at home, and I don’t trust Matt Cassel in big games. FACTS: Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings against the Pats (all of those games had Brady). Take the Colts and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Breast shot of the week!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny & Flash

2008 WEEK 8 FREE NFL WINNING PICKS and Tig Ole Bitties!!!

RPJ had a winning week last week and just like in NCAA we are sitting around 500. RPJ $yndicate is 10-10 on the season, Runny Pelvis is 13-15-1 on the season and Flash is 5-3. We could have been 3-0 last week but Seattle backdoored us with less than two minutes to go. Flash is still pissed about it and to try and make him feel better we are going to flash a bunch of nice breasts here to take his mind off of it.

Why not show one more set of round mounds before the picks.

RPJ $yndicate Picks (10-10 On the Season)

Atlanta at Philadelphia (-9): This is a ton of points to give a hot team. No doubt Matt Ryan was worth Atlanta’s 1st round pick. He pulled a great win out of his hat last game against the Bears at home. The Bears have a solid D, too. Very, very impressive. The key to this game, however, will be the effect of the bye on the Eagles. We think it helps them HUGE-maybe more so than any other team in the league. It gives them added rest, and, most importantly, it gets Westbrook back. That cannot be under stated. Reid is a great coach and he will have the Iggles prepared. They will be riding the wave of the Phillies’ win. FACTS: Iggles are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 at home against the Falcons. Take the Iggles -9.

Washington at Detroit (+7.5):This game is pretty easy to figure-the Lions are TERRIBLE. Way worse than the Fins last year. They will get pummeled in this one. Orlovsky is not a NFL QB. Calvin Johnson excluded, they have no threats on offense (averaging less than 100 yards rushing per game). Their D is suspect (they allowing nearly 5 yards per rush on D). The Skins will grind them down and roll to an easy win. FACTS: Skins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 against the Lions. Take the Skins -7.5.

Giants @ Pittsburgh (-3):Both teams are outstanding and very evenly matched. That is why we love the Dof in this one. Plus, the Steelers are a mess with the Holmes suspension and their injuries. It will be close. Take the Giants +3.

Flash’s Picks (5-3 On the Season): Nothing this Sunday. Check back with us tomorrow for our Monday Night action.

Runny’s Picks (13-15-1)

Cinncy @ Houston (-9), OVER/UNDER 45:If you read our blog, you will know we have no respect for the Bungles. I think they may be the worse franchise in sports history. Absolutely terrible. But, every Dog has its day. I think the Bungles get it done this week. They will probably lose, but they will make it a game. Fitzpatrick is slowly improving and they may finally have a running game with Cedric Benson. On the Texans side of the ball, their D is TERRIBLE. May be worse than the Bungles’. Again, that may not be enough for thge Bungles to win, but it is enough to keep it close. I’m taking the Bungles and the Points. Also, as noted, the Texans have a terrible D. So do the Bungles. It will be high scoring. Weather will not be a factor. Take the OVER 45.

Chargers @ Saints (+3): The Saints are still their enigma selves-at times they are brilliant, while at others they are terrible. One thing for sure is they have absolutely no D. None. Add that to the facts that two of their players tested positive for juice and their best offensive weapon, Reggie Bush, is out. I don’t give the Saints much of a chance. The Chargers have been called out in the press for not being tough. They will rebound this week. look for a HUGE game from LT. Take the Chargers -3.

Chiefs @ Jets (-14): This is a ton of points, but there are clear reasons for this line. The biggest two are that the Chiefs are forced to ride with their 3rd string QB again and they suspended LJ. Colby Smith cannot get it done for this team on the road. Favre will be looking for redemption for his terrible play last week in Oakland. Take the Jets in a blowout.

RPJ Breast Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate

First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,

It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…

RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)

Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:

Eastern Michigan

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Ball State

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.

Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.

Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.

Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.

Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.

Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.

Bowling Green

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.

Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Northern Illinois

Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.

It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.

Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.

Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.

Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Toledo

Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.

Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.

Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!

Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!

Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!

 

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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:

Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.

Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.

Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.

Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.

Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.

And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….

The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!

Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.

LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!

Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:

Baylor

Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.

Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.

Nebraska

Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.

Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.

Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….

Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Penn State

Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Ohio State

Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.

Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.

It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.

Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)

I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:

• Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
• Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
• Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
• Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
• Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
• Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
• Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
• Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.

Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!

Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2

Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:

Colorado State

Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.

SDSU

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Head-to-Head

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.

Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!

Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3

Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:

• Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
• Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
• Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.

Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!

Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)

Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas. 

Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.

Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.

Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.

Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.

BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.

Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.

Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.

Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.

UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU.  Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.

South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash and Runny

2008 NFL WEEK Three: Free Winning Picks

This is truly terrible and hard to publish. RPJ $yndicate is now 2-5 for our NFL picks. Flash is still 1-0 with a no game last week and Runny came back to the plus side on the week and is now 2-6. This is ugly but it will reverse. We destroyed college football yesterday (10-4 collectively), and we know where we’ve been in the past. Not even sure what we can do to make you feel better. Last week we tried to invoke the spirit of Sarah Palin and that failed miserably. Shame on us for posting a picture of a semi MILF. We think the only thing we can do to reverse it is to show some hot pictures….

Nice crack Miss Klum…

Golf anyone? This is the best picture of Natalie Gulbis ever.

Hopefully those two pics appease the football gods and our picks come around this weekend.

RPJ $yndicate picks

Houston at Tennessee (-4.5) - The return of Kerry Collins. What a glorious thing. If only we knew whether or not he was back on the sauce. Sauce = wins for Kerry Collins. With or without Kerry, the Titans D owns the Texans. And in the NFL, teams like the Ravens and Bears can make the Super Bowl with a jacked D and a mediocre QB that will not turn the ball over. With the Titans running game, we do not expect Kerry to screw things up to badly. The ATS numbers:

Houston
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Texans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South.
Texans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Tennessee
Titans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Titans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC South.
Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.

Heads Up
Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Do you really need any more information? Tennessee wins and covers easily!!!

Miami at New England (-12.5) - Nice of Joey Porter to provide the Pats with bulletin board material. This rocket scientist is going on the road, to New England with an 0-2 team. Click here to see what he said. Bill Parcells might actually rip Joey’s head off before the game, poo down his neck cavity and then feed him to lions. The ATS numbers:

Miami
Dolphins are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Dolphins are 5-22-2 ATS in their last 29 vs. AFC East.
Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Dolphins are 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September.

New England
Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Patriots are 25-11 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Patriots are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 vs. AFC East.
Patriots are 39-18-2 ATS in their last 59 games following a ATS win.

Head-to-Head
Home team is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.

Again, the ATS numbers say it all and we will bet against any team that gives the Pats bulletin board material. Look for Randy Moss to inject himself again in the lineup in this game. Dolphins have no chance. Pats win and cover easily!

Bungles at Giants (-13) - The Giants continue their COVER roll. These guys are money and are 2-0 on the season. The Bungles by the way are lining up to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. The owner is undercutting Marvin Lewis by bringing back Chris Henry and Ocho Cinco and TJ Housh are either playing hurt or just playing like shiznit. Can these guys drop any more passes. We love us some Ocho Cinco and will even show a highlight reel of him to show our love….

Well Mr. Ocho….it looks like those highlights will be few and far between this year. Also, when your QB hosts cornhole tournaments you know you are in serious trouble. We love us some USC but Carson is taking it a little too far. If you do not know what we are talking about then click here (Carson Palmer Cornhole Classic). Carson even charges people, you can buy a package or sponsor Carson’s cornhole. What a business. Here are the ATS numbers for the game:

Cincinnati
Bengals are 5-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

New York
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Giants are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
Giants are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

The Giants are cover machines right now and we are not going to step in front of this train. Take the Giants to cover and win!!!

Runny Picks

Panthers @ Vikings (-3): The Vikings as favorites in this game really scares me. It has trap written all over it. No doubt the Vikings have a good D, but their QB play has been some of the worse in the league. Changing to Ferotte is probably be a good things, but let’s not forget that he is Gus Freakin’ Ferotte!! There are many reasons why he has not been a starting QB. Now add to the mess that Adrian Peterson is gimpy and may not play. The Panthers get Steve Smith and they have pulled out some great wins. I typically stay away from games that are too good to be true, but I like this one. I’m taking Carolina and the points.

Steelers @ Eagles (-3.5): Clash of the Keystone State Titans!! This will be a great game. Both teams are fundamentally sound and are coached extremely well. The Iggles are fresh of their barn-burner in Big D last Monday. A game, I feel, they should have won outright. Did you see Brian Westbrook?!?! He is the man!! The Steelers beat their hated rival Browns in the Ike Bowl with winds that could make even the toughest team flinch. What will give? I like the home team in this one. I think the Iggles are playing better all around. I also thing Big Ben’s shoulder is hurt much more than they are letting on. I think the Iggles win by at leats a TD. Take the Iggles -3.5.

Jags @ Colts (-4.5): These teams always play each other tough. Always great games. Both teams limp into this one with huge injuries-primarily to their O-Lines. Manning has not been the Manning we are accustomed to seeing. The Jags have not been able to run the ball like we are used to seeing either. That said, I think the Jags get on the right track this week. The reason? Bob Saunders. He is out this week for the Colts. That spells huge trouble for the Colts’ run D. Mo Drew and Fred Taylor will finally get on track. I think the Colt will win, but the Jags will be able to control the ball enough to keep it close. Take the Jags +4.5.

Browns @ Ravens (-2.5): Another huge rivalry game. These teams DESPISE one another and the games are usually a blast to watch. This one is pretty simple to me. No way the Browns go 0-3 against a rookie QB. The Ravens have a solid D, but the Browns have the talent to attack them. I’m taking the Browns and the points (+2.5).

Cowboys @ Packers (+3): Another great game. The Boys covered last year against them in Big D (line was -7.5). If you remember, the Boys jumped on them early and knocked Favre out of the game. Rogers stepped in and actually played much better than Favre did. He almost beat them. But, he didn’t and the Boys went on to make Flash and I some cash. What about this year? The Packers are the same team, except old #4 is gone. The Boys are much better. Romo is coming home to play his childhood favorite team. Lambeau does not have the same homefield advantage in Septmber as it does in December. I think the Boys win easy. Again. Take the Boys -3.

Flash Flash “The all good things must come to an end” picks

These picks will defy logic but you just have to go with them.

Houston at Tennessee over/under 39 points - We already gave you our pick in this game but I am seeing a trend this season and this week. Here are the ATS numbers:

Houston
Over is 8-0 in Texans last 8 vs. AFC South.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games in September.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games on grass.
Over is 8-2-1 in Texans last 11 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 vs. AFC.
Over is 16-5 in Texans last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.

Tennessee
Under is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games on grass.
Under is 6-0 in Titans last 6 games in September.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 11-1-1 in Titans last 13 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-1-1 in Titans last 10 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games in Week 3.
Under is 6-2-1 in Titans last 9 home games.

Head-to-Head
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

So it looks like a pretty even split; the Houston over and the Titans Under. The only thing that throws it off is their last 4 head to head, which has been consistently Over. What I am looking at is this year and this year the Titans are 2-0 for the under and their defense is nasty. Houston is coming off a hurricane induced bye and the players are more concerned about their families than they are about this game. Look for Houston to get shut down by the titans defense and look for the Titans to run the ball a lot. The more they run, the faster the game clock ticks down and the less time they have to score points. I am taking the under 39 in this game.

Tampa Bay at Chicago Over/Under 36 points - Here we go with another one against the grain but it is not as blatant as the Texans/Titans. Lets jump into the ATS numbers:

Tampa Bay
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 9-3 in Buccaneers last 12 games in September.
Over is 6-2 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC.

Chicago
Over is 22-7-1 in Bears last 30 vs. NFC.
Over is 15-5 in Bears last 20 home games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Bears last 8 games in Week 3.
Over is 14-6 in Bears last 20 games following a ATS loss.

Head-to-Head
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

This is an interesting one for the Vegas odds makers. These teams are 3-1 for the under this season and the lines have been trending down. Chicago has seen 43 and 37.5 points and went under both times and Tampa has seen 43 and 37.5 points and went over the 43 by one point and then hit the under. Vegas keeps ratcheting the line down and now it sits at 36 points. The Bucs are averaging 22 points on O and giving up 17.5 points on D and that adds up to 39.5 points. The Bears are averaging 23 points on O and giving up 16.5 points on D and that adds up to 39.5 points. I think Vegas set this under too low. These two teams are efficient on offense. Tampa always is and Orton plays conservative ball and Forte has been a stud. These teams have played to the Under in 4 of their last 5 meetings but I am going the other way. I am taking the Over in this game!!!

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash and Runny

NFL WEEK TWO Free Winning Picks: NO PLACE TO GO BUT UP!!

Greetings folks. If you followed us last week, you took a bad beating. We did, but we have had bad weeks in the past. We always right the ship. We can only go up from here and we know we will. Our records on the season are as follows:

RPJ PICKS: 2-3
FLASH PICKS: 1-0
RUNNY PICKS: 0-5

No explanation for that crap. We know it is terrible, but we practice full disclosure. Feel free to blast us anyway you want. It won’t stop us from picking. We are imploring the will of Sarah Palin to bust us out of our mini slump. She jacked up McCain’s approval rating and good fortune and now we call on you…Mrs. Governor of Alaska and VP running mate to spread your goodwill and make our picks come in.

C’mon Sarah….bring home the cold hard cash!!!!!

That said, here is what we like in Week Two:

Raiders @ Chiefs (-3.5): The Raiders looked terrible on Monday. They played about as bad as a team could play. On the contrary, the Chiefs held their own against the mighty Pats in Foxboro last week. Their D looked really, really good. The Raiders are on a short week. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Riaders, but we don’t think it matters in this one. Take the Chiefs -3.5.

Saints -1 @ Skins: The Skins disppointed us in Week One in NY/NJ. We don’t think they are as bad as they played and we think they will improve playing at home this week. However, the Saints just have more talent and a much better coach. The Saints beat a very good Tampa team last week and Colston was not productive. His loss impacts the team for the ling run but it doe snot impact them for this game. Also, the Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in DC. This line is essentially a pick-em. Take the Saints -1.

Runny picks:

Pats +1.5 @ Jets: This game will be the most hyped game of the week. Jets fans are foaming at the mouth with the opportunity to have Favre pound the Bradyless Pats at home. No doubt the Pats are a completely different team. However, Belichek is one of the best coaches in the game. He will come-up with a plan to exploit Cassel’ talents. Don’t forget, Matt Cassel is a USC product. He has talent and he has studied under Belichk and Brady his whole career. He has excellent skill players around him. He can get it done. Don’t forget, the Pats are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 at the Jets. The Jets did win against the Fins last week, but the Fins still suck. The Pats win outright. Take the Pats +1.5.

Chargers (-1) @ Broncos: The Broncos certainly had an outstanding debut against the Raiders on Monday night. Now they head home to face a Chargers team that is reeling from the heartbreaking loss at home to Carolina and from knowing that Merriman is out for the year. Tough blows. However, Carolina is much better than the Raiders and that game could have easily gone in the Chargers’ favor. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS against the Broncos. Take the Chargers -1.

Steelers @ Browns (+6): The Brownies looked terrible at home last week against the Boys. Romo had all day to pass and he ate them up. The Steelers were the exact opposite against the Texans last week. What will give? The ATS numbers favor the Steelers by a lot (Browns: 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against the Steelers; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 at home against the Steelers), but we think the Browns will make adjustments and figure out how to get pressure on Big Ben. They may not win, but they can keep it within 6.5. They will be fired up to avenge their terrible play last week and show the Steelers they can hang. Keep in mind that the Browns were destroyed last year in Week One (by the Steelers) but came back to drop 51 on the Bungles. Take the Browns +6.

Flash Flash Picks:

Baltimore at Houston (-4) - The tale of opposites. Houston was spanked on the road last week. Baltimore and Joe Flacco won against the Bungles. Houston is better than they showed and will be at home. Baltimore did not show anything but still won. Rookie QBs are comfortable at home and playing on the road is a whole nother ball game on the road. I think Baltimore gets blown out by more than 10 and I am even picking this game in all of my knockout pools this week. Some ATS numbers:

Ravens are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Ravens are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 road games.
Ravens are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Ravens are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Ravens are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Texans are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Texans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.

Pick the Texans at home to cover!!!

Come back for the Monday Night pick. As always, good luck with your picks.

Runny and Flash

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