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Scarlet Knights

NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Pittsburgh (-4.5) at Rutgers

We are putting this post out while the Cincy/USF game is still going on so we are 38-39-1 with one game pending. We loved the fact that there was football for 8 straight days. Love October. Has to be the best month of the year.

Friday, October 16, 2009

Pittsburgh (-4.5) at Rutgers - We love these paper tiger match ups. Not saying Pitt is a BCS contender but Rutgers is not a good football team and Pitt is competitive. Rutgers was one of the early season teams we identified as having O-line problems and this showed when they got destroyed by Cincinnati in their home opener. Since then, Rutgers has reeled off 4 straight wins against power house teams such as Howard, Florida International, Maryland and Texas Southern. That’s right…2 1-AA schools. Looks like an SEC schedule to us. Pitt at least has challenged itself by playing Navy and NC State out of conference and started in their Big East schedule against UCONN and Louisville. They had a great comeback win against UCONN last time out. No current Panther has ever played in a victory over Rutgers, which has won four in a row over Pitt. This seems to be the year with Rutgers starting a freshmen QB and Pitt bringing a lot of experienced players. These teams look pretty similar on paper so we think the ultimate result will come down to QB and O-line play and both of these favor Pitt. We are betting Pitt to win and cover!!!

Pittsburgh

• Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games.
• Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
• Panthers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.
• Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Panthers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
• Panthers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a favorite.
• Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.

Get the latest Sports Wagering Odds at Bodog Sportsbook

RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!

We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.

A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.

If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.

In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.

Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.

FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2

Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)

This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)

Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET  New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS  (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)

Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.

FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)

We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET  Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS  (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)

Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!

EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)

Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.

New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)

The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!

Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)

The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.

MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET  St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)

We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)

This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)

We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET  Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)

1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!

2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?

Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)

We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.

Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET  Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)

We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?

Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET  San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)

Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)

We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.

PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers  vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)

Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?

Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET  Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)

We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!

Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET  San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)

This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.

Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)

Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)

These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.

Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m.  Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)

Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET  Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)

How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!

Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)

This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)

You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)

Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.

Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)

We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.

Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)

We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET  Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)

Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.

Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)

This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6

East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)

Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)

Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.

International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)

This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!

GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET  Mobile, Ala.  ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC

Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)

More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.

Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Nittany Lions Lose and the Return of Terry Tate

First things first. RPJ $yndicate is 27-27-2 on the season, pissed off and ready to roll to another winning week. Flash Flash, after his degenerate Tuesday two play is 13-6-2 on the season. Runny Pelvis is still cleaning toilets and bringing up the rear at 21-23-2. On a positive note, all three of our NCAA systems produced winning weekends last week and we are looking to continue with this momentum. If you are new to this website, our story is an easy one to get your hands around. We publish our picks for free and back up 100% of our picks with cold hard cash. RPJ $syndicate picks are our best ideas of the week and Flash and Runny’s individual picks are picks that did not meet the combo test for RPJ but are picks we still love on our own and are betting. When you follow our picks and win, we share the gains and we will not mention the flip side of the equation. All positive thoughts this week!!! We do not only put up our picks for free, we paste our website with hot chicks. NCAA football picks revolve around hot chicks and nice arses. For example,

It has been brought to our attention that the more pics of hot chicks we post, the better our football picks are so enjoy the show this week. If you want to send us an email send it to rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and on of these days our Facebook page will be up and running. On with the picks…

RPJ $yndicate Picks (27-27-2 record this season)

Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-25.5) - This is the first game in our MAC-Key attackey tri-fecta play. We always say that when you find a good thing you keep riding it. This game is just like Bronco Busting. Bronco Busting occurs when a guy is penetrating a woman while in the missionary position or doggy style. He has his friends hiding in the closet (planned before the sexual act will happen)and when he yells a code word such as “tokyo” the friends bust out of the closet, and the guy who is performing the sex act must try to stay on top of the girl similar to a Bull Riding Rodeo. This is where the act of Bronco Busting occurs. Well Ball State is like the bronco, they are 6-0 against the spread and we are going to bet them until they fail us. Nate Davis is legit and Ball State’s D is coming around. Runny is actually road tripping for this one so he can be there to watch the beatdown in person . The ATS numbers:

Eastern Michigan

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Eagles are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Ball State

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.

Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Cardinals are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Cardinals are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. win.

Cardinals are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.

Cardinals are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.

Cardinals are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

Cardinals are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.

Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Throw in the fact that Eastern Michigan is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings and this one is signed, sealed and delivered. Ball State wins and covers!!!

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (-7.5) - Game 2 in MAC-key attackey and we are pulling another slogan from the Urban Dictionary. This is the Hot Giblet Game. A Hot Giblet is while plowing a chick from behind, the man poos in his hand and smacks the girl in the face with it. Northern Illinois and their 5-1 record agains the spread is going to Hot Giblet Bowling Green.

Bowling Green

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.

Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Northern Illinois

Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.

Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on turf.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The ATS numbers are pretty positive for both teams with the home team getting the edge. Also, Bowling Green can not stop the run and N. Illinois runs the ball very effectivley. Throw in the fact that Bowling Green turns the ball over at an almost 2-1 clip and we have ourselves a winner. We are taking Northern Illinois to win and cover!!!

Central Michigan (-4.5) at Toledo -We are finally coming back to our boy LeFevour.

It has been a long time since we jumped on his bandwagon but it is time to do so again. We got word that LeFevour is probable this weekend but his backup, Brian Brunner is now slouch himself. This game is definitely the Screaming Rhino game. A Screaming Rhino is when you are getting a rimjob and let out a scream followed by a poo in the chick’s face, thus followed by a loud, deep, grunt!!! The Chips are going to Screaming Rhino all over Toledo. The ATS numbers are:

Central Michigan

Chippewas are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Chippewas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Chippewas are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Chippewas are 13-3-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Chippewas are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Chippewas are 21-5-3 ATS in their last 29 conference games.

Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games on turf.

Chippewas are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS win.

Chippewas are 28-9-3 ATS in their last 40 games overall.

Chippewas are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Chippewas are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Toledo

Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Rockets are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 home games.

Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in October.

Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Rockets are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Not overwhelmingly in The Chips favor but throw in the fact that The Chips are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Toledo and we are good to go. Central Michigan wins and covers!

Duke at Vanderbilt (-10.5) -The battle of the Southern nerds. Just saying Vandy is from the SEC and Duke is from the ACC should be enough to set you straight on this game. Also, Duke is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Vanderbilt and this game is over. Vanderbilt is one of the best cover teams in the country at 6-1 ATS and is 3-0 ATS at home. Heard enough yet? Vandy wins and covers easily!

Virginia at Georgia Tech (-14) - Virginia has seen a bit of a turnaround since their USC beat down and QB debacle. However, Georgia Tech has a great coach and one of the best front 7 on defense in the country. Georgia Tech won at Clemson and Boston College and their only blemish is a 3 point loss at VA Tech but they did cover and are 5-0 ATS on the season. We love riding winning cover teams until they blow it. We love Georgia Tech’s defense as a whole. Their D is ranked in the top 10 in the nation and leads the nation in tackles for loss with 9.0 per game. Ridiculous. Also, Georgia Tech is 5th in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 points per game allowed. We do not expec this game to be close and are not afraid of the 14 points. Here are three ATS points we love.Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Georgia Tech. This is a revenge game for Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech wins big and covers!!!

 

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Oklahoma State at Texas (OVER 68.5) -We are not even going to worry about who wins this game. What we do know is that both teams score in bunches. The OVER is screaming to take it in this game. Check this out:

Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Over is 10-4 in Cowboys last 14 games in October.

Over is 32-13 in Cowboys last 45 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 15-7 in Cowboys last 22 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Over is 23-11 in Cowboys last 34 games following a ATS win.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games overall.

Over is 6-0 in Longhorns last 6 conference games.

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-1 in Longhorns last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Over is 5-1 in Longhorns last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over is 7-2 in Longhorns last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over is 18-6-1 in Longhorns last 25 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over is 6-2 in Longhorns last 8 games on grass.

Over is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 games following a ATS win.

Over is 25-10-1 in Longhorns last 36 games following a S.U. win.

And the icing on the cake….Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Time for some girls….

The girls say to take the OVER and so do we!!!

Georgia at LSU (-1) -The girls of the SEC really know how to support their teams.

LSU is coming off their win at South Carolina and Georgia is coming off another disappointing win. All wins are good but the tires are coming off the hot rod in Athens. Georgia can not get through this season with their schedule and inexperience on their OL. This season will set the Dawgs up for next year but this is not their year. LSU’s defense will run through Georgia’s line all day long and that will limit Knowshon and turn Georgia into a one dimensional team. Stafford has shown that he is not capable of carrying the load. The ATS numbers primarily back Georgia but the most important one in thie contest is the fact that the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. It is never easy to play in Baton Rouge. LSU has won 6 consecutive games against top 10 teams and the streak will continue this weekend. We are taking LSU to win and cover!

Baylor at Nebraska (-13) -This is one of our favorite games of the weekend. Bo Pelini is showing signs of turning things around in Lincoln. Nebraska won at Iowa State last weekend and took Texas Tech to the wire on the road. The only real non-competitive game was against Missouri when Mizzou was running hot. Baylor is just not good and will be playing this game on the road where they are not good. Baylor is 0-2 on the road this season, lost 6 straight on the road overall and lost 8 straight road game sin the Big 12. Here are the ATS numbers:

Baylor

Bears are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games overall.

Bears are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf.

Bears are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. loss.

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bears are 5-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Bears are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.

Nebraska

Cornhuskers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Cornhuskers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Cornhuskers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games on field turf.

Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Cornhuskers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.

Cornhuskers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Well the ATS numbers were underwhelming but the Head-to-Head numbers are great. Also, Nebraska hits our secret model that helped us pick the UCLA/Fresno State game. A lot of you have asked what this model is and we have to keep it a secret. Nobody else looks at games like us and when these opportunities come up we just tell you to take it. This model was our best bet in 2007 as a 7-1 winner. With that we are taking Nebraska to win and cover!!!

Before we get to the game of the week, Terry Tate returned to video this week. We love Terry Tate and here he literally jacks up Sarah Palin. Check this out….

Penn State at Ohio State (+2.5) - This is the game of the week. If Ohio State wins, it validates USC’s season and if Penn State wins it significantly enhances their chances to run the table. The Vegas wiseguys pounced on this line when it opened at 1 and bet it up to the 2 - 2.5 range. This scares the pants off of us but we do not get it. Do you know where Penn State was ranked in the pre-season AP Top 25? They were ranked 22nd; behind Ohio State, Wisconsin and Illinois in the Big Ten. Why are we bringing up the pre-season. It is simple, all “the experts” want to talk about is how Ohio State struggles against elite teams, fast teams and teams that run the spread offense. Well Penn State’s talent, speed and elite status are not justified in the realm of comparing them to the talent on USC, Florida, LSU, Texas, Oklahoma, etc… Penn State is Big Ten elite on paper right now but has not faced a defense like Ohio State’s this season. Ohio State has depth on both sides of the ball and experience on both sides of the ball. When the season started who did you hear about….Boeckman, Beanie, Laurinitus, Jenkins, etc… Penn State was an afterthought. This game is not going to be a blow out for multiple reasons; 1) the game is in Columbus, a place Penn State has not won since 1978 and has never won at since they joined the Big 10. 2) Defense wins games and Ohio State’s is better top to bottom 3) Ohio State is better than they were at USC and Pryor is a workhorse who is improving every game. 4) Penn State is completely untested and will be tested in this game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Penn State

Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Nittany Lions are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Nittany Lions are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Nittany Lions are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

Ohio State

Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.

Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 conference games.

Buckeyes are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Buckeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Buckeyes are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Buckeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Head-to-Head

Home team is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Nittany Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Ohio State.

It looked pretty good for Penn State until we go to the Head-to-Head numbers. Just like it is tough to play in Baton Rouge, it is tough to play in Columbus, during Ohio State’s homecoming on national tv. We will end on one note and to steer you mentally in the right direction. If you think Penn State has elite talent on both sides of the ball that rivals, Florida, Texas, USC, Oklahoma, etc… then bet Penn State because of the elite team versus Ohio State argument. If you do not think Penn State is legit then hammer Penn State. there is a lot to be said for the senior leadership on Ohio State and the pride and emotion they will be playing with for their last homecoming game ever. We are taking Ohio State to cover.

Flash Flash Picks (13-6-2 on the season)

I won big when I show ass so here goes. Flash Flash Ass pic of the weekend #1

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (UNDER 46.5) - These ATS numbers are ridiculous. Not sure why I could not get Runny to jump on these but enjoy:

• Over is 9-2 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 conference games.
• Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games on turf.
• Over is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 11-4 in Falcons last 15 games in October.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
• Over is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games overall.
• Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 home games.
• Under is 8-0-1 in Huskies last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Under is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Under is 5-0-1 in Huskies last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 9-1 in Huskies last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Huskies last 8 games in October.
• Under is 13-3-2 in Huskies last 18 games following a S.U. win.
• Under is 13-3-1 in Huskies last 17 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 13-3 in Huskies last 16 games following a ATS win.
• Under is 12-3-1 in Huskies last 16 games on turf.
• Under is 4-1-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 20-6-1 in Huskies last 27 games overall.
• Under is 20-8-2 in Huskies last 30 conference games.

Northern Illinois is simply the kings of the UNDER. I am taking the UNDER in this game!

Flash Flash ass pic of the week #2

Colorado State at San Diego St. (+9) - I did pretty damn well with my ridiculous games of the week last week. I loved betting against SDSU last week and picked them to get destroyed at New Mexico and they went down 70-7. Only team they beat this year was Idaho. SDSU has a terrible, one dimensional offense because they can’t run worth a lick and their defense is just as bad. Colorado State wins every statistical category that I look at and I love betting against teams that can not stop the run and turn the ball over. Makes for a very tired defense. Here are some great ATS numbers:

Colorado State

Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

Rams are 33-16-1 ATS in their last 50 games in October.

SDSU

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

Head-to-Head

Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Diego State.

Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

I love that I only need 9 points in this game. Should be no problem. Take Colorado State to win and cover!

Flash Flash ass pic of the week #3

Central Florida at Tulsa (OVER 71.5) - If you are not on the Tulsa OVER bandwagon yet you are missing out big time. Tulsa is effing ridiculous. Tulsa has put up the following points this year on their way to a 4-1-1 record for the over this season: 77, 37, 63, 62 (1-AA school so no line), 56, 56 and 45. Do I have your attention yet? Check out these numbers:

• Over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games on turf.
• Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• Over is 5-2 in Knights last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-0-1 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on turf.
• Over is 5-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Hurricane last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall.
• Over is 5-2-1 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games following a ATS win.

Last week versus UTEP, Tulsa and UTEP scored 56 points in the first quarter. I am not sure Tulsa will score 70 again but I damn well know they will bust the OVER with ease. Take Tulsa and the OVER in this Sunday night special!

Runny Pelvis Picks (21-23-2 on the season)

Texas Tech at Kansas (pick em): Unlike the media, I’m not sold on Texas Tech at all this year. Don’t get we wrong, they are a good team and Crabtree may be the best pro prospect in NCAA right now. However, their schedule has not been great. I think they are overrated. I love Kansas at home in this one, and I love this line. Vegas knows Tech is not as good as they are hyped up to be, and Kansas needs this win bad to play for a big Bowl. FACTS: Kansas is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 against Tech. I’m taking Kansas. 

Illinois at Wisconsin (+2.5): I love this line, too. The Badgers have sucked it all season, but I think they are due. The Fighting Illini are fresh off a beatdown of the Hoosiers, but they have not looked good in big games. Madison is a very, very tough place to play. I think Juice will give in to the pressure and do what he does best-turn the ball over. The ATS numbers favor Illinois, but I’m rollin’ with the Badgers for redemption. I’m taking Wisconsin +2.5.

Colorado at Missouri (-24.5): This is a ton of points to give, but I’m down. Mizzou has been terrible as of late, but so have the Buffalos. Colorado has not scored more than 14 points in their past 3 games. They are not a good road team. I love Mizzou. Chase Daniel will be looking to exact some revenge for his team’s recent drop. He will gladly take it out on Colorado. FACTS: Mizzou is 7-1 ATS at home against teams they beat the year before and Colorado is 4-35 ATS when they lose straight-up. See you Buffaloes!!! Take Mizzou -24.5.

Virginia Tech at Florida State (+5): VaTech lost a tough one last week at BC. They will be looking for payback this week. This is a big ACC game for the Hokies. They need this win bad. FSU has been good, but they can struggle against well coached teams. FACTS: Seminoles are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 at home against the Hokies and the Hokies are 10-1 ATS away against teams they beat the year before. I’m taking the Hokies and the points.

Wyoming at TCU (-31): This may be my favorite game of my picks. This is a lot of points, but it won’t matter. TCU can put up some points and their D is stacked. Wyoming has neither going for them. This will be a 35 point win for the Horned Frogs. FACTS: Wyoming has not covered this year, they are 0-9 ATS against teams they beat the year before while the Horned Frogs are 5-1 ATS at home off double digit wins against teams that beat them the year before. Take TCU and forget the points.

BC at UNC (-2): This game is all about who’s not playing. No Yates or Tate this week for UNC. They have no chance!! FACTS: UNC is 2-10 ATS off straight-up loses as favorites against teams that are .700 or better and 2-10 ATS as favorites of less than 6 points. I’m taking BC and the points.

Northwestern at Indiana (+8): This is IU’s homecoming, but trust me when I tell you, the Hooisers are terrible. Very, very bad. I’ve seen them in person. They are not good. Their best player, Kellen Lewis, is nursing a bum ankle this week. He relies on mobility to make plays, so even if he plays, he will be limited. That is not good news for the Hoosiers. The Wildcats are well coached and play disciplined football. They want this win to climb the Big 10 ladder. They will pound the Hoosiers. I’m taking Northwestern and giving the points.

Cincinnati at UCONN (+2.5): This is a tough game to pick because the teams are well matched and very similar (as evidenced by the spread). However, I think it comes down to homefield advantage. FACTS: The Huskies are 10-1 ATS at home against the Big East. That is HUGE for a team that has not had a football program for that long. I’m taking UConn at home.

Louisiana Tech at Army (-2.5): LaTech is one of the worse road teams in the country. Army has been scrappy and is putting together a solid season. LaTech has been the exact opposite. FACTS: LaTech is 2-16-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more. I’m representing for the Armed Forces and taking Army.

UNLV at BYU (OVER 56): BYU came back down to earth last week against TCU.  Talk about a big loss!!! However, they can put up points. So can UNLV. UNLV smells blood in the water and will try to exploit BYU again. They can, so I think they will put up some points. BYU will be looking for payback for losing last week and will do the same. This will be a shootout and 56 is not a lot of points. Take the OVER 56.

South Florida at Louisville (+3.5): The Bulls won this game big last year. This year they roll into Papa John’s Stadium against a Cards team that is not as good as it was last year. The Bulls are damn good and they still have a jacked D. They will shut the Cards down. Take South Florida on the road and give the points.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

As always, good luck with your picks.

Flash and Runny

1/5/2008 - Free NCAA Bowl Pick and Hot Chicks: Rutgers Versus Ball State

Well we are scrapping along here now at 10-11 on the bowl season. We were 2-7 so this has been a nice 8-4 run through the second week of bowl season. We are doing our best to make this a money making bowl season and we are going to mix it up a bit and throw out some hot chicks that we have not normally banked on.

First off…major apologies to our man Rion…Lily Thai is hot and very talented. We found a PG version of a youtube clip and then a 30 minute porn clip on redtube that we are going to link to. If you have not seen this chick in action, we recommend you take a peak at both videos. She works it hard!!! Thanks for the heads up Rion. We know we have avid readers out there and we want more suggestions of hot chicks. Our readers are clearly in the know!!!

The PG video:

Click here for the Lily Thai porn video. You will not be disappointed.

Rutgers (-11) versus Ball State in the International Bowl

We are kicking this off with a Derek Jeter bet….

2 Unit Bet = The Derek Jeter Bet - In honor of one of our favorite athletes, the 2 unit bet will be a tribute to all of the women Derek Jeter has allegedly slept with including, Jessica Biel, Scarlett Johansson, Mariah Carey, Anna Kournikouva, Miss Universes, models, etc…. We have a ton of chicks to choose for this bet in honor of our man Derek Jeter. This bet is in honor of his former gal pal Miss Scarlett Johanson, one of Runny’s favorites.

Well this is not your high profile end of bowl season #1 versus #2 matchup but we do think it provides a mismatch and a lucrative betting opportunity. There are some story lines to pay attention to. Both coaches were rumored for the Michigan job and both remain with their programs. Ball State is playing its first bowl game in 11 years and is 0-4-1 in their history in bowls. Rutgers is in its third bowl in a row and coming off their first bowl win in the program’s history.

Ball State is 0-3 against teams from BCS conferences this season but did cover the spread in two of those games and its most memorable game of the year was a 41-40 loss in Lincoln against Nebraska. The Cardinals were underdogs of 24 ½ points in that late September game in which Nebraska needed a late touchdown to pull out the win. The reason this game was close, besides the obvious that Nebraska sucked as bad as Notre Dame this year, was the fact that Nebraska could not stop the pass at all. Ball State QB, Nate Davis, threw for 422 yards and three TDs. Bowling Green ended the year as the 21st ranked pass offense in the nation. Why is this game important….Rutgers owns the No. 2 defense against the pass this season, allowing a mere 160.6 yards per game. The Knights have been even stingier over their past three games when they allowed just 150 passing yards per game. When you combine this pass versus pass defense matchup and then throw in the fact that Ball State’s defense gives up almost 197 yards per game on the ground and we have a recipe for disaster. The offense is the real strength of Rutgers, which ranked 26th in the nation in yards per game with 437.2 and 190 yards per game on the ground. Ray Rice is going to run all over Ball State and that will help set up the play action pass. Running back Ray Rice has been one of the most overlooked players in the nation for the past two seasons. He ranks No. 3 in the country in rushing and has seven more yards and five more touchdowns than Heisman Trophy finalist Darren McFadden. Makes you think doesn’t it?

Lets look at the ATS numbers before revealing our winning pick:

Ball State
Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cardinals are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Cardinals are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Cardinals are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
Cardinals are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Rutgers
Scarlet Knights are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Scarlet Knights are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Scarlet Knights are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Some scary numbers from both squads. Ball State has a good coach and you can see that he gets his team to play up to their competition and especially out of conference. Rutgers has a great coach as well and gets his team to play well out of conference, as big favorites and following losses. We do not think the ATS numbers are relevant for this game and simply lead to a coin flip situation for which stats you want o pay attention to.

Rutgers and Ball State have faced one common opponent this season and both came away with a victory. The Cardinals beat Navy in overtime on Sept. 15, 34-31 while the Scarlet Knights pummeled the Midshipmen the week before 41-24. Not so relevant but showed that Rutgers was better against the common opponent.

What might just give Ball State a chance to compete with Rutgers’ potent attack is a ball-hungry defense that has 18 interceptions this season. Those picks helped the Cardinals finish third in the country in turnover margin behind only Florida Atlantic and Kansas. We do not need to remind you that FAU and Kansas both won their bowl games and covered.

There are definitely some points for Ball State that make you think, especially the way underdogs have played this bowl season and especially big underdogs with USC the lone double digit favorite that won. We think this game is different though. Rutgers’ rushing offense versus the non existent rushing defense of Ball State will help Rutgers control the offense and the Rutgers pass defense versus Ball State’s pass offense should slow down the Ball State offense. These two factors are key and we think this could turn into a blow out.

Rutgers wins big and covers!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

P.S. If you want more action on this game take the Over. The line is below both team’s scoring average by 2 points and MAC teams played to the over more than any other conference this year. Think Purdue vs. Central Michigan. We are not staking our reputation on this bet but that is how we would lean and Runny is less confident than Flash so we did not bet it.

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