Sooners
NCAA Football Week 7 Picks: Picks, Chicks and a Salute to Texas RPJ $tyle!
We are 39-39-1 heading into the weekend while waiting for the outcome of the PITT/Rutgers game. So far we are 1-1 on the week. We are very, very afraid this week because we love a ton of games. We usually end up with 3-8 games but this week we are unleashing the fury Mitch!!! When these weeks come, when all of our models and opinions sync up, we hammer the games. This week we are going to discuss some of the marquee matchups and then sling picks for the obvious games. Enjoy the picks. May your wallets be stuffed, your beer fridge full and your girl’s face on your (insert noun here)! It is Red River rivalry and USC/Notre Dame week. We are fired up.
These teams do not need any detailed analysis Games: These picks are pretty straight forward and are set up as either a good team versus a bad team or a bad team versus a horrific team. We are not going to go into detailed analysis to save our carpel tunnel syndrome. Feel free to use our website and our free matchup tools. Click here to stroll through our free data! Just click on this link, find the game you want to analyze and click away on the matchup, supergrid and or preview functions. There is tons of free data for you to use on your own. Bodog has been an awesome partner for us and if you like our picks, which you should of late, help us out by clicking on one of the banner advertisements to sign up for a Bodog account and to get free money.
Kent State at E. Michigan (+6.5) - Give us some credit, you have to respect anyone that is going to drop any sort of knowledge on a Kent State-EMU game!!!! Sometimes we just make it easy for you. Eastern Michigan is one of the worst cover teams and teams in the country, sitting at 1-4 ATS and 0-5 on the season. So do not be deceived that Eastern Michigan almost beat Northwestern. Other than that, they have been pounded by the likes of Army and Temple to name a few of the teams they lost to. They also lost to Michigan and Central Michigan but that was expected. We expect Kent State to rebound from the horrible loss to Bowling Green last week. The favorite in this series is also 5-2 ATS in their last seven. We are betting Kent State to win and cover!!!
Hawaii at Idaho (-8) - Do you know who the best cover team is in the country right now? We do and it is the Idaho Vandals. Idaho is 5-1 overall and 6-0 ATS. Their lone loss came at Washington and this team actually won at Northern Illinois and Colorado State. Very impressive. Who are we to bet against them. We love any opportunity to bet on the Vandals!! We are betting Idaho to win and cover!!!
Central Michigan at Western Michigan (-6.5) - Central Michigan is one of the best cover teams in the nation sitting at 5-1. With their lone ATS loss at Buffalo by 1.5 points or so, depending on where you got the line. We also have a bizarre man crush on Dan LeFevour and we are unlikely to bet against him. We have been lucky that he rewarded us nicely two years ago when he was 100% healthy and has rewarded us again this year. We are betting Central Michigan to win and cover!!!
Houston at Tulane (-17) - Well Toolame burned us last week but we are persistent. Houston will run and gun and sling it all over the place. Toolame is not that good and still have the swine flu lingering around campus. Never a good combo..bad football and swine flu. Our boy Case Keenum is going to put 50 on these guys. We are betting Houston to win and cover!!!
BYU (-17) at San Diego State - Another battle of the shit show matchups. BYU has talent. San Diego State does not. BYU = 4-2 ATS. San Diego State = 1-4 ATS. San Diego State basically loses to who they are supposed to lose to. See losses to UCLA, Idaho and Air Force and they beat who they are supposed to beat most of the time. BYU will beat San Diego State and they will beat them easily. We are betting BYU to win and cover!!!
Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5) - If you have not picked up on it yet, bet against Kentucky every week you can in the SEC. They snuck one in on us at South Carolina last week but we got nice covers with Alabama and Florida. We are going to ride the anti-Kentucky bandwagon once again. We still have no clue as to how this program is in any Div 1 conference. They are terrible even for SEC standards. Auburn wins and covers!!!
Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue - Another certainty, Ohio State is the best team in the Big Ten and covers most of the time. Just keep riding the wave. This is not rocket science. Ohio State has covered every Big Ten game this year (3-0) and Purdue has lost all of them (0-2). Ohio State is also 5-1 ATS on the season. Purdue is in a major transition year. New coach. New players. New offensive philosophy. They have been playing games hard, but they just don’t have the talent and cohesion OSU has. This game may be close in the first half, as the Boilermaker faithful will be out in full force and going bananas. However, OSU will pull away in the 2nd half. We are betting Ohio State to win and cover!!!
Illinois (-3) at Indiana - We love this game!! Runny has been to it in person a couple of times. It is like a battle of the two worse state fairs you can think of!!! These teams hate each other. The Hoosiers have been a HUGE surprise this year. The fact this team has even won one game is shocking. The Illini have also blown our minds with some of the worse play in college football (we picked this team to beat Mizzou outright in week one!!!!). Juice is a huge bust. Benn is having a terrible year. So, what will give in this sideshow of a game??? The Illini will give. They are favorites based on the rep and promise over the past few seasons. This team is not the team that played SC in the Rose Bowl. The Hoosiers will win outright. Take Indiana at home with the points.
Louisville at UCONN (-13)- Big East match-up with implications. The Huskies are looking to show their program is no fluke and the Cardinals are trying to salvage some respectability at home. UConn’s pogram IS solid. They are similar to Cincy. They are well coached and play hard. They will be stoked at home. The cover will be close, but the Huskies will still pull it out. This is another one of the brainless picks. UCONN is 5-0 against the spread. Always bet into strength. This line seems awfully high but bet it with confidence. Take the Huskies and give the points.
Iowa at Wisconsin (-3) - This game is a trap!! Beware!!! There is absolutely no logical reason to justify why the Hawkeyes are the dogs in this game. The Hawkeyes are arguably the best team in the Big 10. Wisconsin is having a down year. Although the Badgers are at home in Madison where it is extremely tough to play, this team is just not that good and they are certainly not playing to the level of Iowa right now. Further proof of the trap comes from the numbers: 68% of the money is on Iowa and the line opened Iowa -1. The line should have gone up, not down to the Badgers as favorites. VEGAS KNOWS!! Don’t fall for it!! Take Iowa to win and cover!
Washington at Arizona State (-6.5) - Is it us, or does ASU break your hearts every freakin’ year? Every year this team has the promise of being good, and every year, we bet them and bet them only to get left at the alter. Not this time!! The Huskies have an entirely new lease on life. After beating USC, they have shown they have some swagger and the guts to hang in there against anyone. They played the Irish super tough in the South Bend, so they have shown that road trips do not scare them. They will be ready for the PAC-10 game. ASU may win, but it will be within a TD. Take the Huskies and the points!
Stanford at Arizona (-4.5) - Very similar game to the Washington-ASU game. Stanford gets the edge for us despite being on the road. They are really well coached (Harbaugh may be one the best coaches in Div 1 football). Harbaugh gets more out of talent than any coach in the country (except for maybe Chris Peterson in Boise). They are a smart team. Zona is solid, too, but Stanford will be ready and they are playing with a chip on their shoulders for some national respect. Take the Cards and the points.
Arkansas at Florida (-25) - This game has “let down” written all over it. Everyone has anointed the Gators as national champs despite having half the season left to go. The Gators are in cruise control. They will be at home. They have not looked dominating at all. Not at all. The Razorbacks having nothing to lose and they will pull out all the stops. They have a solid QB in Ryan Mallett. He can straight sling it!!! The gators have not faced a QB this good all year. Remember Ole Miss last year? The Razorbacks could do the same thing. Plus, don’t underestimate Petrino. He is a good coach, and we know he can play dirty (just ask Arthur Blank and the Falcons). Look for Petrino to pull an Arkansas sweathog move and knock Tebow out of the game! Take the ‘Backs and the points.
Not the Red River Rivalry but the next best game of the week!
Southern California (-10) at Notre Dame - For months people (i.e. the media and dumb Domers) have been touting the Irish as a legit BCS championship contender and one of the best teams in the country. Guess what? Another year proves yet again that they are probably the most overrated program in all of sports. If they were in the SEC they would probably be ranked #5 in the country, but we know they are a joke. Michael Floyd is out for this game so that means the only threat they have is Golden Tate. That is not enough against this SC Defense. USC comes in with tons of swagger knowing that they have stomped this team in recent years. They also are playing inspired ball from rallying behind their fallen comrad, Stephon Johnson. USC relishes playing opponents on the road under the spotlight. Barkley knows he is the man for this team, and he is grasping control of the offense more and more each week. They destroyed Cal in Berkley two weeks ago, and that team had WAAAAAAAY more talent on both sides of the ball than this Irish team. This game will not be close. Look for a HUGE game from Taylor Mays as Clausen tries to test fate and go deep on this team. Mays will get him. Now that we got our USC homerness out of the way you really need to think about this game logically. Look at the line and what do you see? USC is favored, on the road, against the 25th rated team in the country, against the QB with the best QB rating in the country, a team with multiple 4th quarter comebacks and USC is playing a true freshmen. Did you just follow that sequence of logic? Makes you want to bet Notre Dame right? Well we always say that Vegas knows and Vegas set this line at ten points because Vegas knows all of the Notre Dame idiots will easily bet this game at USC -10. That line speaks volumes. If Notre Dame was any good the line would not be USC -10. Be safe, be smart and listen to Vegas. Plus, look at the picture below….could you feel remotely safe betting on a team with that guy leading the charge?What the hell does the “CC” stand for on the banana hammock on the dude on the left? How is he not getting crushed in the papers for this? Take USC and gladly give the points.
USC
- Trojans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. INDEP.
- Trojans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
- Trojans are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games.
- Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Trojans are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Trojans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
- Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Fighting Irish are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
- Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Red River Rivalry Game of the week!
Oklahoma at Texas (-3) - The Sooners need this game more, but Texas is just too good right now. Bradford is not close to 100% and Stoops cannot win big games. McCoy is primed for a huge game. He will get it this week against the Sooners. Oklahoma is another one of those early season teams that had uncertainty on their O-line. This has not been solved due to injuries and Texas is going to bring a nasty defense to the Texas State Fair. If you watched last week’s game, Sam Bradford is not ready to go and one more week of practice will help but will certainly not make him comfortable. These teams look very similar on paper but we think the difference will be QB and O-line and Texas wins both of those matchups. And how could we forget Big Game Bob Stoops. Big Game Bob is 0-4 ATS in his last 4 in this series and we expect the pain to continue. We are betting Texas to win and cover!!!
Texas is up my ass somewhere!!!
Oklahoma
- Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Sooners are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
- Sooners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Sooners are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
- Sooners are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Sooners are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
- Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Texas
- Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Longhorns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
- Longhorns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Longhorns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Longhorns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Get the latest Sports Wagering Odds at Bodog Sportsbook
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!
We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.
A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.
If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.
In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.
Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.
FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)
This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)
Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.
Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)
Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.
FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)
We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).
Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)
Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!
EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)
Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.
New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)
The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!
Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)
The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.
MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)
We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)
This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)
We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!
Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)
1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!
2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?
Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)
We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.
Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)
We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?
Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)
Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.
Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)
We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.
PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)
Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?
Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)
We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!
Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)
This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.
Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)
Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!
Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)
These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.
Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m. Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)
Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)
How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!
Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)
This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.
Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)
Now this is a picture.
You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.
Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)
Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.
Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)
We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.
Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)
Caprice Bourret - Yes Please!
We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.
Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)
More Caprice!
Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.
Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)
Jennifer Ellison looks delicious!
This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6
East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)
Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.
AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)
Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.
International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)
This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!
GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET Mobile, Ala. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC
Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)
More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.
Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!
Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis
Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks: Bowl Edition
The HERD represented this year. He picked winners at a rate of 61% (41-26-1) and that is damn good. Well the Herd likes to move things forward every few years so this is his last WHEEL OF GENIUS post ever! Yup, he is retiring the Wheel and coming back next year with a new system. We will miss the wheel, especially how good he was this year, but we will look forward to his next endeavour. Here are The Herd’s bowl picks in his words:
Oklahoma versus Florida (-3) - Both teams will have 6 weeks off and this means the offenses will be rusty. This favors Florida because they have a much better defense. Another negative is if Bradford wins the Heisman. The Heisman media circus will take Bradford away from practice and he will gain weight, just like Tebow did last year. The coaches get an A, the QBs get an A. Urban Meyer is money in big games and Stoops is just ehhhh. Score prediction = Florida 37 Oklahoma 30. Take Florida to win and cover!
Texas versus Ohio State (+9.5) - Big 12 has remarkable QBs and spread offenses and this makes the defenses look worse than they really are. Texas has a good defense that is just worn out from running the Big 12 gauntlet. Texas has a huge Qb advantage and McCoy has one of the greatest minds in NCAA football. I spke to a coach and he said McCoy knows the entire Texas playbook and can learn 30% more offense just for Ohio State. Ohio State’s QB can barely learn a basic offsense. This is a huge advantage. Big 12 offense versus Big 10 offense is no contest. Score prediction = Texas 34 Ohio State 20. Texas wins and covers!
Oregon versus Oklahoma State (-3.5) - This should be a home game for Oregon. Oregon averages 503 yards of offense per game and that includes a rotating crop of QBs and a game against USC. When the Ducks score over 20 points they win more than 80% of the time. When the Ducks O-coordinator has two weeks to prepare for a team, the Ducks are almost undefeated. Over the last few weeks Oregon has been the best rushing team in the country. Score prediction = Oregon 52 Oklahoma State 44. Upset special. Take the Ducks to win and cover!
USC versus Penn State (+9.5) - Big 10 teams do not play well out West. This will be a home game for USC. These teams are mirror images of each other on offense and rank really close in most offense stats. The USC offense has actually played worse since the Ohio State game and is not improving or playing well. Joe McKnight is falling out of favor with the coaches. Sarkisian is leaving the team and may or may not be taking coaches with him. There are a lot of distractions going on at USC right now. Score prediction - USC 28 Penn State 20. Take Penn State to cover!
The Bowl lock of the Year
Michigan State versus Georgia (-7) - Michigan State is one of the worst teams in the country when the score under 20 points. Something like 4-22. This will be a road game for Michigan State cause the UGA fans will travel. Georgia has a good defense, a great QB and Michigan State is mediocre on offense within the Big 10. Score prediction = Georgia 31 Michigan State 17. Take Georgia to win and cover!
Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks (Week 15, 2008)
It has been awhile since the Herd bombed it. he turned in a 1-3 weekend last week and is now 38-25-1. That record my friends is still awesome. We are going to post what The Herd had to say this morning. Look for our picks later in the day. From The mough of the Herd:
The Herd is picking 4 games this week and he says he is winning at a 66-67% clip (if you do the math abouve it is 60%) and that since he bombed it last weekend he is due for a big weekend.
BC versus Va Tech (pick em) - There are no great teams int he ACC. It is the most balanced conference in the USA. Even Duke went on the road and won in SEC country. BC lost its QB and will be starting a red shirt freshmen. That freshmen did not play in BC’s win earlier in the year at home. Virginia Tech has great D and special teams. Even Matt Ryan could not beat Va. Tech in the ACC championship game last year. Score prediction - Va. Tech 27 BC 21. Take Virginia Tech to win!
ASU at Arizona (-11) - This is the lock of the year out West. Stoops is coaching forhis job, is at home and is coming off a bye. This is Arizona’s bowl game and game of the season. Arizona State is missing 8 starters from opening day all due to injury. Score prediction = Arizona 31 Arizona State 13. Take Arizona to win and cover!
Oklahoma versus Mizzou (+17) - Sooners have dominated this game in recent years. Missouri has an elite QB but the team does not have an elite roster. Mizzou has not won this game in 6 years. Oklahoma rolls. Score prediction = Oklahoma 51 Mizzou 21. Take Oklahoma to win and cover!
Florida versus Bama (+10) - When it comes to gambling watch what the public is doing and do the opposite. The public is hammering Florida in this one. The best defensive team has won this game the past 6 years. Bama has the better defense. The higher ranked team wins this game 70% of the time. Bama is the higher ranked team. When evaluating high profile teams you need to look at their body of work against the same opponents. Ole Miss is just like Bama. A big, physical team that likes to push people around and that is what Bama will look to do. Bama can control the line of scrimmage and keep Florida off the field. Saban + big game + 10 points is a no brainer. Score prediction = Florida 30 Bama 28. Take Bama to cover!
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: A New Contributor Steps Up!!!
We have stated it before but one of our key focal points is finding local talent all across the country. Sometimes people choke like Maury the Wig and the Backwoods Southern Lawyer and other times people rise to the challenge. This week we are giving props to Robbie. Robbie wrote up some great ideas on NCAA football and he even got in the swing of things and sent along a fine ass in true RPJ style. Thanks for the picks Robbie!
Ruthless Robbie Picks
Michigan @ Ohio State -20.5
From everyone I’ve talked to, I seem to be the only one who is touching this game. Michigan is terrible. A home loss to Toledo? Come on. Ohio State is better than Michigan at EVERY position. The only problem is that Coach Sweatervest doesn’t like to run the score up, and I highly doubt he starts with Michigan. I firmly believe that Ohio State will have this one covered by halftime, and in the second half Michigan won’t be able to stop Ohio State’s run game even when they know it’s coming. Ohio State wins big. Ohio State 39, Michigan 13.
Oregon State @ Arizona -2.5
This one really pains me to pick. Arizona is an (almost) world beater at home and a fantastic team. They took USC to the wire and probably should have won the game. I know Oregon State has more to play for and Mike Riley might be the coach of the year, but I have to go with my brain instead of my heart. Who doesn’t want to see Oregon State muck up the BCS? Still, Arizona has athletes and players that play above their means at home. Arizona 33, Oregon State 27
Michigan State @ Penn State -15.5
15.5 is a lot of points to give a damn good Michigan State team. They may be one dimensional, but they are good at what they do. If Penn State plays up to their talent then this could get ugly, but Michigan State plays more like a team than any other in the Big 10. Michigan State will stick around against a moping Penn State squad but lose it late. Take the points. Penn State 30, Michigan State 19
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma -7
I know. Oklahoma is fantastic at home and they have been on a roll lately. They’re on pace to score 70 this weekend. I think both teams put up a crazy amount of points. Texas Tech’s defense is just a little stiffer (boner joke?) than Oklahoma’s, but again, Oklahoma is at home. Picking a road team to go out and steal one is against my college football beliefs, but I think TTU will do it on Saturday. Either way, take 7 points. In a game where Oklahoma’s defense can’t stop Harrell, it’ll stay close all the way. Take the points, but I think TTU wins. TTU 48, Oklahoma 45
NC State @ North Carolina -11
North Carolina thrives on mistakes, but NC State just doesn’t make them ever since Wilson has taken over. Without field position and turnovers NC won’t know what to do. They’re also pretty banged up and have QB issues. Young teams fizzle towards the home stretch. North Carolina wins, but take the points. North Carolina 20, NC State 19.
Florida State @ Maryland +1
Florida State is coming off a devastating home loss and Maryland a huge home win. I think Maryland takes it with Heyward-Bey just blowing up. A home underdog is way to good to pass on. Maryland 24, Florida State 20
Iowa @ Minnesota +6
My head says Iowa, the statistics say Minnesota. I’m going to buck the trend here a little bit and take Iowa. I don’t feel very strongly about this, but I don’t know if Decker is 100% yet. Iowa 24, Minnesota 16
Week 13 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks for 11/22/08 Games: Texas Tech is the Real Deal!
Gotta love the games this weekend. This is probably going to get posted before the end results of the Friday night Mac-key attackey games but here is where we stand on the season:
RPJ $yndicate is 39-47-2 on the season
Flash Flash is 19-12-3 on the season (Two games pending in MAC action not counted from Friday night)
Runny Pelvis is 27-32-1 on the season
Our picks have not been up to snuff but we have some good things going on our website. First, you can check with our live tab odds to see the latest lines for all major sports, including NCAA football. Click here to see what we are talking about. Second, we have great analysis tools for every major sport out there. Click here to research your own games with our matchup analysis tool. If this does not come up to the sport or game you want just click the sport in red text within the Bodog ad. Yes this is an ad, but if you click the red text of NFL or NCAAF, it takes you to the analysis tools within our website. It does not bring up some weird cookies or any crap like that. Just plain old analysis. Last but not least, we are going to post a Bodog promotion at the bottom of this post. We know our picks have been crappy for the most part but if you like what we have to say and enjoy our research tools then you should consider opening a Bodog account. We are an affiliate and we plan to offer our readers some nice promotions for free cash, prizes and tournaments throughout the year through Bodog so you do not want to miss out. More than 6,000 people a day came to our old blog and many of you are finding us again so thank you for your support. Last, for real this time, if you ever have any questions for us feel free to email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com and also sign up to be a fan of ours on Facebook by searching for RPJ Betting Syndicate within Facebook. We post all of our best pics on there and use it as a tool to alert our readers what is going on. Alright, enough of the bullshiznit, bring on the picks and the HO, HO, Hose!
Brad Pitt must hit that hard! Angelina Jolie needs to be naked always!
RPJ $yndicate Picks
Illinois at Northwestern (+3) - We know damn well that this pick looks insane and we are terrified every time we put out a pick for this one simple reason. There is an anomaly in our models that when a team dominates another team in every statistical category that we have weighted as relevant but does not win the defensive running yards given up battle….literally that one stat, turns the underdog into a cover machine more than 70% of the time. It is flukey and bizarre but that is what it is. We hit it dead on with the Fresno State/UCLA game earlier in the season and we are bringing it back for this weekend. Here are all of the ATS numbers so you can make your own decision:
Illinois
Northwestern
Head-to-Head
-
Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
As we have said, we are very disciplined and this whacky model works 70% of the time so we are sticking with our guns. We are taking Northwestern to cover and do not be surprised with an outright win!
Duke at Virginia Tech (OVER/UNDER 41.5) - We have been riding the Va. Tech UNDER the last two weeks and we plan on doing more of the same. The outcome of the game is irrelevant to us. Va. Tech and Duke are both 2-0 for the UNDER in their last two games and the ATS numbers say it is going to go that way again. The ATS numbers are:
Duke
Virginia Tech
There literally is not one number for the OVER from either team. We have made some decent scratch this year in games like this. We are taking the UNDER in the Duke at Va. Tech game!
BYU at Utah (-7) - This is a huge game for Utah and a huge rivalry for you non-Mt. West fans. The Utes were certainly at their best last weekend. Following a pair of tense 13-10 wins over New Mexico and TCU, they enjoyed a more comfortable victory last Saturday, building a 35-7 halftime lead and cruising to a 63-14 win at San Diego State. Perhaps just as impressive was Utah’s defense, which has allowed 11.4 points over the last five games. BYU likely won’t need any motivational speeches to get ready for Utah. The Cougars have won the last two Mountain West titles outright, and they’ll need to win Saturday to secure a share of their third straight crown, with TCU also involved in what could become a three-way tie. Coach Bronco Mendenhall’s team will also be looking for its third straight win against its rivals after erasing deficits in the final minute of each of the last two victories. These have been great games the last two years and will be in the back of Brian Johnson’s mind. Utah seems like the team of destiny this year. They escape a win at Michigan and at home against both Oregon State and TCU. We do not need reminding how bad the TCU loss hurt. Here are the ATS numbers:
BYU
Utah
We also like the fact that the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5. The spread does scare us a little bit and we were tempted to buy the half point to drop it to 6.5 but we think this is a ten point win. Utah has an underrated defense this year and we think BYU has an overrated offense. Bring the two together and you get a UTAH win by 10 points. We are taking Utah to win and cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5) - This game is pretty interesting. Oregon State is leading the Pac-10 and they are the underdog in this game. Arizona is 11th in scoring in the country but we think those numbers are not relevant. Arizona put 70 on Idaho (who cares), 41 on Toledo (who cares), 48 on Washington (who cares), 59 on Washington State (a double who cares) and then lost outright to New Mexico and Stanford. Arizona is not as good as people think. On the flip side, Oregon State is better than people think and yes we fully understand that the Beavs are only 2-3 on the road and the wins were at UCLA and Washington. The loses came at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. Oregon State is now on a 5 game winning streak, should have beat Utah and did beat USC and Hawaii. So in their last 8, they are 7-1 with the lone loss at Utah. Not so bad. Here are the ATS numbers:
Oregon State
Arizona
Throw in the fact the the Beavs are 8-1 in their last 8 meetings and you know where we are going with this one. Yes, Oregon State is a young team but they are not inexperienced at QB, and that is the key position for a young team. Moevao is a Junior and Canfield is a junior so you get experience. The young team will be led by an experienced signal caller so this goes against what The Herd was talking about. We think he missed the boat in this game and we think this line should be flip flopped. We are taking Oregon State to cover and are pretty damn sure they win outright!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7 and OVER/UNDER 75.5) - We are going to show you a series of Texas Tech girls and with girls like these how can you bet against them.
#9 is Fine!!!
This is the game of the day and we can not wait to watch it. When people speak clearly and with a great point there isno harm in copying them. The Herd already came out and said that Texas Tech has the advantaget at O-line, O-coach, QB and WR and they get 7 points. How freakin’ awesome is that?
Hut Hut Hike!
Here are the ATS numbers:
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Head-to-Head
-
Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Yes the last number scares us and the ATS numbers do not steer you away from Oklahoma by any means. Here is the deal and how we see this game going down. This is not the normal run and gun Red Raiders team. This team runs for 132.6 yards per game and on paper their defense matches up well with Oklahoma’s D. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS and the 2 losses were as the home team. Harrell can do more than Bradford. Crabtree is the best offensive athlete on the field. Texas Tech’s O-line has only given up 5 sacks on the season and that is with around 500 pass attempts. That is amazing. What is Stoops’ record in big games? Terrible. USC was a blowout, Boise State beat him, he lost to Texas this year in their biggest game of the season. This is the year of Texas Tech. They are a huge 7 point underdog in this game, people are not giving them a chance so they get to play with a chip on their shoulder and the Harrell/Crabtree duo is on fire. Texas Tech’s defense is underrated. The only real knock on the Red Raiders are their special teams. Last but not least, we have bought the hype in every big game this year and taken the over and we lose every time. We think Oklahoma plays ball control offense and we think Texas Tech will have success running the football. All of this adds up to two things for us….Texas Tech covers and we are taking the UNDER! Do not be surprised when Tech wins outright.
Yes, She is a TT student!
Flash Flash Picks
Megan Fox is always a fan favorite!
Eastern Michigan at Temple (-10.5 and OVER/UNDER 46.5) - Short but sweet this week. Eastern Michigan is terrible and Temple is a cover machine at 6-3-1 on the season. Temple is also undefeated ATS at home this year. This is another game where literally every single number screams for the UNDER. I am taking Temple to win and cover easily and I am taking the UNDER! A 28-7 Temple win makes sense to me.
NC State at North Carolina (-10.5) - I love these rivalry games when you can get a double digit spread. I am experimenting a little bit with this pick so buyer beware. Numbers all point to UNC but ATS numbers favor NC State. N.C. State is fighting to become bowl eligible, has won two straight and is tough against state foes, going 3-0. Here are some of the ATS numbers I like. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Wolfpack are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings. I think NC State has a chance to win but I definitely think 10.5 points is too many to give away. I am taking NC State to cover!
Florida Atlantic at Arkansas State (-4) - This one is pretty simple for me. Ark State runs for 209.9 yards per game and FAU gives up 187.7 yards per game on the ground. FAU turns the ball over 2.4 times per game, Ark. St. only 1.1 times per game. I love games like this with small spreads. I am taking Arkansas State to win and cover!
Runny Pelvis Picks
Some Shania for Nashville
Tennessee at Vanderbilt (-3): I’m like a crackhead when it comes to the SEC-I hate it like crazy, but it keeps calling me. I can’t stay away. I’m like Pookie from New Jack City (”Its callin’ me, Scottie. Its callin’ me, man….Scottie I’m gonna die!!!!). Anyway, I’ve accepted my affliction so I’m just going to stick with it. This game is a HUGE rivalry for the Tennessee fans. I think Vandy just has too much to offer. They hate the Vols, and now they have the team to give them a beatdown. I love them at home. The Vols are looking forward to next season. I don’ think they show-up this week. I’m taking Vandy and giving the points.
Air Force at TCU (-20): I’ve loved me some Air Force this year, but TCU just has too much D for them. TCU needs to pound Air Force for the polls, and they should have no problem doing it at home this week. It will be a close cover, but Air Force will not be able to score against this team. I’m taking the Horned Frogs and giving the points.
RPJ $yndicate Arse shot of the weekend!
Good luck this weekend!
Flash Flash and Runny
Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks (Week 13, 2008)
THE HERD IS AN ANIMAL THIS SEASON!!!!!! We originally started The Herd Wheel of Genius post to keep track of The Herd cause last year he inflated the hell out of his numbers. Well this season is no joke. He is coming at us with legit picks and he is 35-20-1! Yes, 35-20-1. Those are godlike numbers for the sports betting community. 56% beats the Vig and he is coming in at 64%. And he was 4-0 last week after two back to back 2-2 weeks. Well Herd we love you and your picks rule! Here are Colin’s picks for Week 13 in his words. I try and transcribe as fast as possible and get these out ASAP because he moves lines in Vegas!
The Herd is a little nervous because he feels like he has a lot of pressure cause his picks have been so good. he likes it better when people do not pay attention.
BYU at Utah (-4) - This is an intense rivalry. Utah is trying to get to a BCS bowl game. Utah has won a lot of tight games against teams that do have some speed. Utah D is quick and fast. BYU has a good QB but really slow WRs. Score prediction = Utah 28 BYU 20. Taking Utah to win and cover!
Texas Tech at Oklahoma (-7.5) - Oklahoma is nasty at home. Oklahoma D is overrated and gives up the short pass. Texas Tech loves the short pass and lives on it. Texas Tech has one of the best O-lines in the country (only gave up 5 sacks this year) and arguably the best offensive coach, best WR and best QB in the country and they are GETTING POINTS. This is just great. Oklahoma is a great finishing team. Rarely turn the ball over an dhave one of the best red zone offenses in the country. Score prediction = Oklahoma 38 Texas Tech 36. Take Texas Tech to cover!
Oregon State at Arizona (-3) - Oregon State has beaten Arizona 8 of the last 9 but those were bad Arizona teams. Arizona is 11th in the nation in scoring. Oregon State is good but they are young and all of their loses have come on the road. They lost at Stanford, Penn State and Utah. They were able to beat Cal and USC at home so this is a different team on the road. Score prediction = Arizona 31 Oregon State 24. Take Arizona to win and cover!
Michigan State at Penn State (-13.5) - Spartans were one of 4 dark horse teams this season. However, Michigan State is an unpredictable mess. Penn State is elite on both sides of the ball. Michigan State is one dimensional and Penn State will be able to contain Ringer. Score prediction = Penn State 36 Michigan State 10. Take Penn State to win and cover!
Week 11 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks and the Return of Heidi Klum
We are pretty surprised and pissed off that we are having a down year. Here we are with a new website, awesome tools from Bodog and generally speaking, for the season as a whole, our picks are not as good as last year and we are down money or pretty flat. Well we are invoking the spirit of Heidi Klum. She was with us last year for a lot of wins and we think she provides us with great gambling juju. It just happens to coincide with a new Heidi Klum ad for Guitar Hero. We have the video and a bunch of pictures to support her holiness.
If you did not enjoy that then you have serious problems.
We have a still photo also.
Who else wishes he/she was between those legs? Lucky Guitar!
Business first. On the season we are:
RPJ is 33-39-2
Flash Flash is 15-9-2
Runny Pelvis is 22-23-1
If you have not taken advantage of our new live odds tool as well as our matchup tool then you are seriously missing out. By coming to our website, you can instantly check the lines on games and you can check out relevant ATS stats, team stats, injury reports, the weather etc… Please, for your own good, check these out.
Click here for RPJ $yndicate’s live odds tab.
Click here to use our Matchups tool. We love this one. At first glance it looks like you just get one page but if you look in the box at the top of the matchups page, you can click on each relevant sport and dive in to whatever you want to learn about. On with the picks.
RPJ Betting $yndicate (33-39-2 on the season)
We do not have that many picks for you this week. Most degenerate gamblers would keep pressing and pressing to try and make their money back and bet games they are not 100% confident in. Well we are disciplined bettors and if a week comes up where we only pick a couple of games, then that is all we are going to do. Of course we want to win our money back and win it back fast but if the games are not there we have to stick to our discipline and stay away.
Alabama (-3) at LSU - This one really pains us. In our eyes, Alabama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. LSU on paper should be good and is playing at home but as we saw with Georgia, this is not the same LSU team. They entire key to this game is Terrance Cody, Alabama’s 6′5″ 380 pound nose tackle. When Terrance plays, Alabama gives up only 2.6 yards per carry and 65.6 rushing yards per game, which is second in D-1. The key is not Alabama’s offense or John Parker Wilson, the key is Cody. LSU’s offense is a mess and if they have trouble running they will really have trouble because they do not have a good passing game. Lets look at the ATS numbers:
Alabama
- Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Crimson Tide are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
LSU
- Tigers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
- Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Tigers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Head-to-Head
- Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Louisiana State.
- Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Road team is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
LSU is definitely a sentimental favorite and the mere thought that the talented Tigers team can lose back-to-back SEC games at home seems unbelievable. Throw in the fact that this is Saban’s first visit back and you know the LSU homers will be fired up and the crowd will be insane. Unfortunately for Tigers fans, this is not their year. They do not have a viable QB, their defense has been torched multiple times this year and when the dust settles, Saban will have his victory and the Crimson Tide will leave with a media friendly convincing win. This is simply not the LSU team that won a title last year and was stacked the previous years. Alabama might start slow but they will win convincingly. Alabama wins and covers!
Georgia (-12) at Kentucky - We are terrified we are picking two games with the Backwoods Southern Lawyer. We correctly predicted the Florida/Georgia beatdown. That was an easy one. So now people will be down on Georgia and as far as Georgia versus Kentucky goes….there really is no contest. Georgia is 10-1 versus Kentucky since 1997. The Bulldogs’ offense is averaging an SEC-leading 427.6 yards thanks to quarterback Matthew Stafford, who paces the conference with 245.7 passing yards per game, and running back Knowshon Moreno, whose 110.0 rushing yards per game rank third in the SEC. Kentucky has a decent defense but a young defense and they will not be able to keep up with Georgia. Kentucky gives up too many rushing yards and turns the ball over more than Georgia. Richt is a good coach and will get the Dawgs refocused. Here are the ATS numbers:
Georgia
- Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Kentucky
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
- Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Wildcats are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Head-to-Head
- Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Love those Georgia Cheerleaders!
We do not expect this game to be close. Moreno will be running and Stafford will be throwing. Both are proud and have a lot to prove after their disappointing Florida performances. Georgia wins and covers!
Baylor at Texas (-28) - Well Texas gets to come home and get rid of some of their frustration on Baylor. The Longhorns suffered an incredible defeat at the hands of Texas Tech last week and this week is payback. Check out these ATS numbers:
Baylor
- Bears are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
- Bears are 6-16 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Bears are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
- Bears are 10-30 ATS in their last 40 games in November.
- Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
- Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Texas
- Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Longhorns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Longhorns are 20-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Longhorns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. loss.
- Longhorns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
- Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
We have enjoyed betting against Baylor at the right times this year and this weekend is definitely the right time. Texas wins big and covers!
Flash Flash Picks (15-9-2 on the season)
I am going to make this short and sweet this week. No analysis, just straight picks and girls. Yes I did the analysis but all of these games have the same exact reason for betting them. Based on my statistical models, each team clearly dominates the other team based on my weighted categories and all three of them feature ranked teams playing at home against inferior opponents.
San Diego State at BYU (-36.5) - BYU wins big and covers!
Utah State at Boise State (-35) - Boise State wins big and covers!
Kansas State at Missouri (-27) - Missouri wins big and covers!
These three games will simply be beat downs.
She is quite flexible!
Purdue at Michigan State (-10) Purdue broke their 5 game losing streak last week versus Michigan but they are about to start a new one. Michigan State still thinks they have a shot to win the Big Ten title and that will help motivate them at home versus an inferior opponent. After this week, the Spartans have a week off before they go play Penn State. Michigan State escaped with a with a win against Wisconsin and they will look to continue with their momentum. The ATS numbers:
Purdue
- Boilermakers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
- Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Boilermakers are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Boilermakers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Boilermakers are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Boilermakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Michigan State
- Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Head-to-Head
- Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan State.
I think Michigan State will look to make a serious statement in this game and Dantonio will have his team ready to play. Michigan State wins and covers!
Runny Pelvis Picks (22-23-1 on the season)
I’m following Flash and making this short and sweet, too. We gave you the chicks, now I’m just going to drop my picks. No need for much analysis. Here you go:
Florida at Vanderbilt (+24): Vandy covers. This is way too many points. Take ‘Em.
Oklahoma at Texas A&M (+27): Oklahoma is still, in my book, the best of the super talented Big 12 South. I don’t give a darn about records. However, this is too many points to give an A&M team at home. They will keep it close. Oklahoma will be looking ahead to next week. Take A&M and the points.
OK State @ Texas Tech (-4.5): Tech will ride the wave of last week’s win into another cover. OK State is darn good, but Tech knows they can beat anyone. My pick would be different if this was in Oklahoma, but it is not. Take Tech and give the points.
RPJ Ass shot of the week!
Can't believe she has tan lines!
Good luck with your picks!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 9 Free NCAA Winning Picks: Introducing The Wizard
We always say we are here for our fans and to make our readers as much money as possible. This post comes from one of our readers and regular posters….The Wizard. He emails us on the side and has provided his insight on some of our picks. This week we are giving him his own post, with picture and all. From Wizard:
These are the games that I like coming up. The ones that I really like, I will put a $$$ on it.
Illinois (4-3) -1 at Wisconsin (3-4)
The defensive number are about the same, however Illinois offense averages 100yds more than Wisconsin. Illinois runs the spread option which is hard to defend. Illinois went to Penn st and only lost by 14. Wisconsin got blown out at home by Penn St and their spread offense. Illinois blew out Michigan, Wisconsin LOST to Michigan. Illinois lost in a shootout to Mizzou. Wisconsin’s starting QB, who was nothing special, is day-to-day with a bum leg.
ILL are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
WISC are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
WISC are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
TAKE ILLINOIS
Eastern Michigan (2-6) at No. 22 Ball State (7-0) -24 $$$$$
Ball State scores 37.1 and gives up 15. E.Michigan scores 22 and gives up 31. Ball State has won the last 2 between them by no less than 18. E.Michigan got blown out at home by 24 to Toledo. Ball St went to Toledo and blew them out 31-0. No need for more info after that statement.
EMICH are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
BALL ST are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
BALL ST are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall.
BALL ST are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass
EMICH are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE BALL STATE FOR BIG MONEY
Wake Forest (4-2) at Miami (4-3) -3
Wake Forest just got blown out and shutout by Maryland for Christ sakes Wake Forest barely got by Clemson and lost to Navy. TAKE MIAMI
Kentucky (5-2) +24.5 at No. 7 Florida (5-1)
Florida is coming off a huge win vs LSU. It’s almost a guarantee that there will be a letdown. Florida hasn’t beaten Kentucky by 24 since 2001. Kentucky has a great defense and it’s rare that an SEC game is a blowout by 24 or more. If you still aren’t sure, tease it up to+30.5. TAKE KENTUCKY AND THE POINTS
No. 5 Oklahoma (6-1) -19 at Kansas State (4-3)
I think Oklahoma wins this big, just a little scared on the 19pts. It minds well be 21pts. I will tease this one down to Oklahoma -13 along with another game. Oklahoma scores 8 points more on offense and gives up 7 less on defense than KState does. Oklahoma is still in the hunt for the Championship so they are going to make sure to blow people out. K State has several DB hurt and hobbling.
OKLA are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games.
KANST are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
TEASE OKLAHOMA -13 (read below for teaser combo)
UNLV (3-4) at No. 17 Brigham Young -22.5 (6-1)
I am going to tease this one with the Oklahoma game to bring it down to BYU -16.5. BYU gives up 13 ppg and UNLV gives up 33 to teams lest potent than BYU. That looks to me that BYU is gonna score 50+ to put UNLV out of its misery.
UNLV are 5-17-2 ATS in their last 24 road games.
BYU are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games.
BYU are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games on grass.
TEASE BYU DOWN TO -16.5
UCLA (3-4) at California (4-2) -17
The ATS numbers don’t show any advantages, but Common Sense and off/def numbers do.
Cal scores 17 more ppg and gives up 7ppg less on defense than UCLA. I just don’t see how UCLA can hang with Cal for 4 quarters. TAKE CAL
Rutgers (2-5) at No. 20 Pittsburgh (5-1) -8.5
Pittsburgh has been getting better since the opening day lost to Bowling Green. They haven’t lost since and are coming home after 3 straight road W’s. Rutgers has been getting outgained damn near every game. Pitt averages 11pts more per game despite playing on the road for most of the season. I think -8.5 is low. TAKE PITT.
Bowling Green (3-4) at Northern Illinois (4-3) -7.5
Definitely buy this one down to -7. N. Ill has a great defense and a running game. BG can’t stop the run and gives up 12pts more on defense. N. Illinois defense held a very good Toledo to 7pts.
NOILL are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
TAKE N ILLINOIS
Wyoming (2-5) at No. 15 Texas Christian (7-1) -31.5
Wyoming can’t score on sorry defenses. They’ve scored 7,0,7 and 16 pts in the last 4 games. Now they have to go on the road to play one of the best defenses in the nation in TCU who only gives up 9.0 pts a game. I doubt Wyoming scores. I wouldn’t be surprised if the spread is covered by halftime.
WYOM are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games.
WYOM are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
TCU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall
TAKE TCU
No. 3 Penn State (8-0) -2.5 at No. 10 Ohio State (7-1)
OSU has been the most hyped but falling short of expectations team for years now. Penn State has one of the top defenses and one of the top offenses in the country Pryor is good, but he can’t hang with the Penn offense yet. Penn St averages 20 ppg more than OSU and 2pts less on defense. This will be another big game that OSU falls short.
OHIST are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
TAKE PENN ST
Central Florida (2-4) at No. 19 Tulsa (7-0) -23 $$$
Tulsa has scored 77,37,63,62,56,56,45 and 63 points in every game this season. They have yet to lose the Game or the Yardage battle. They avg 56ppg and Central Florida averages 17.7. they are roughly the same on defense. Central Florida lost to UTEP 13-58. Tulsa blew out UTEP 77-35.
CENFL are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on turf.
CENFL are 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 road games.
TAKE TULSA and watch for the ovr/under numbers when they come out
No. 25 Minnesota (6-1) +1 at Purdue (2-5)
Minnesota scores 8 more points per game on offense and gives up 8 less on defense than Purdue. Only one of the ATS numbers concern me though, but i think that its just a sign of Purdue having better teams in the past. Adam Weber of Minny doesn’t turn the ball over. Purdue’s QB does. Purdue is horrible against the run and has lost 4 straight.
MINN are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-2-1 in PURD last 10 games on field turf.
Under is 27-8-2 in PURD last 37 home games.
PURD are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
MINN are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Favorite is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
TAKE MINNY TO WIN
Bring your lunch box and tools, cause you got to work overtime on this ass!
Thanks for your picks and your pic Wizard!!!
Flash Flash and Runny
Week 8 2008: Colin Cowherd’s Wheel of Genius NCAA Football Picks
The Herd came in 3-2 again last week and is now 19-14-1 on the season. Nice job for him. One thing of interest for the Herd are his locks of the year picks. The Herd is actually 3-0 on his locks of the year and his last games are up on tap this weekend. He thinks Missouri will beat Texas and South Carolina will beat LSU. Click here to see what we are talking about….
http://sports.espn.go.com/espnradio/colincowherd/news/story?page=herd_cfblocks2008.
Now on with The Herd’s Wheel of Genius picks of the week: The Herd totally threw his listeners for a loop because he picked against himself twice. C’mon now Herd. What gives. He also misstated his record by one game on the low side. Herd you are 5 games over .500, not 4.
Missouri at Texas (-5.5) - Mac Brown has covered 8 of last 10 after Red River Rivalry game. Texas scores TDs 82% of the time in the red zone. Missouri has a world class QB but not world class talent around him. Texas has both. Mizzou scores too quickly and to beat Texas you need to limit possessions. Too many possessions for Texas means Texas wins. Score prediction is Texas 41 Missouri 30. Texas covers.
Kansas at Oklahoma (-20.5) - The Herd loves Oklahoma because they have better players all around. Oklahoma did lose a LB for this game. Kansas QB Reesing is the Doug Flutie of 2008. Kansas is well coached and has a great QB and can keep it closer than the spread. Score prediction Oklahoma 42 Kansas 27. Kansas covers.
Ohio State at Michigan (+3) - Michigan State is a great running team but they are one dimensional. Ohio State feasts on one dimensional offensive teams and they rarely give up a 100 yard rusher. Dantonio, the MSU coach, worked with Tressel and a lot of people think that will help him beat Ohio State but The Herd said Ohio State is no mystery and he knows what they do. Ohio State is great in conference winning games and covering spreads. Score prediction Ohio State 23 Michigan State 17. Ohio State covers.
LSU at South Carolina - The Herd did not give a line but it is USC +2.5. Before the season he loved USC in this game but Smelley has been awful and USC is now playing a freshmen QB. LSU is forgettable at QB but has won 36 of 37 against unranked opponents. Score prediction LSU 27 USC 20. LSU covers.
Stanford at UCLA - Herd did not give a spread here either but it is UCLA +2.5. Says Stanford is the most physical team in the Pac-10 and Harbaugh is doing a great job with this team. Stanford is trending up and has their sights on a bowl game this year. UCLA has offensive issues and is just soft. Score prediction Stanford 30 UCLA 17. Stanford covers.
There you go. Good luck with The Herd’s picks. And as a reminder, 98% of the comments explaining the picks are direct from the Herd’s mouth. The other 2% are clarification or edits. We are just listening, taking notes and posting.