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September 11, 2010 - NCAA Football Week 2 Picks: Will the real contenders please stand up!

We got off to a winning start going 3-2 in week 1. Shoulda, woulda, coulda on those effin LSU Tigers. However, we started off this week on the right foot with a nice win on Auburn. We need to have some serious discussions with you, our fans. RPJ $yndicate is receiving approximately 2,000 readers per day. Thank you Thank you Thank you. We can not thank you enough for the support and we thank you for sticking with us through some mediocre years. Our numbers are proof that being honest and available to our fans = a successful partnership. As a sign of our gratitude we would like to extend a great offer to get some free money from one of our affiliates….BODOG.

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Flash Flash and Runny.

Now on with the picks and of course the chicks….

9/11/2010 - Colorado at Cal (-10) - Pick = Cal - Yes loyal readers we know what you are thinking….Jeff Tedford? The Tedford Turd Sandwich? C’mon RPJ what the hell are you doing to us in week 2? Well you can analyze this game any way you want but we are throwing down Bobby Flay style with a Pac-10 throw down in week 2. Every Pac-10 game we are picking we are picking the Pac-10. Take that for logic. Or check out these chicks instead…

9/11/2010 - Florida State at Oklahoma (-7) - Pick = FSU - Coming off a lackluster season-opening victory over a lesser opponent, Oklahoma knows it has plenty of areas it needs to improve to be a championship-caliber team. It’s going to need to make those adjustments quickly considering how dominant Florida State looked last week. The 10th-ranked Sooners try to shore up their problems on both sides of the ball when they host the No. 17 Seminoles on Saturday in their first meeting since the 2000 national title game. Oklahoma likely wasn’t expecting to be challenged much against Utah State last Saturday, but it had to hold on late to win 31-24. A Jamell Fleming interception with 4:12 to play sealed the victory for the Sooners, who dropped three spots in the poll Tuesday. Oklahoma certainly can’t feel comfortable after watching Florida State cruise to a 59-6 win over Samford last Saturday in Jimbo Fisher’s first game as coach as the replacement for Bobby Bowden. The Seminoles, who moved up three spots in the poll, rolled up 481 yards, scored 35 points during an 11-minute span of the second quarter, had seven players score and never punted. This will be the first meeting between these schools since the Sooners defeated Florida State 13-2 for the 2000 national championship in the Orange Bowl. Oklahoma has won four straight over the Seminoles since losing 36-19 in the first meeting in the 1965 Gator Bowl. We think FSU can win this game outright. September is all about experience at the QB spot and OL and FSU wins this battle.

9/11/2010 - Iowa State at Iowa (-13.5) = Pick - Iowa State - This is a sentimental game for us and we always bet it. Iowa State pulls the cover in the rivalry game. No analysis = more chicks…

9/11/2010 - Michigan at Notre Dame (-3.5) - Pick = Michigan - Just because Fat Charlie left for the Chiefs does not mean ND has talent or the will to win rivalry games. Michigan is legit right now and ND still has a lot of work to do. We take Rich Rodriguez and Co. over ND any day of the week.

9/11/2010 - Miami at Ohio State (-8.5) - Pick = Miami - The No. 2-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will have their work cut out for them in Week 2 as they take on Jacoby Harris and the University of Miami Hurricanes. After steamrolling unranked Marshall 45-7 in Week 1, the team will be forced to truly defend their ranking as one of the nation’s best. Be a player. Bet on college football now with Bodog. The revenge game for Miami. If you have not been paying attention, this game is Miami’s biggest game since they lost to OSU in the title game. Miami has the talent and the depth on defense to stop the Buckeyes. Do not fear the Shoe!

9/11/2010 - Penn State at Alabama (-12) - Pick = Alabama - The No. 1-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide will take on Penn State in their first real competitive match up of the 2010 season. Be a player. Get all your NCAA betting odds at Bodog’s online sportsbook. Same old same old…QBs and OL win games in September. A Frosh QB is not going to Bama and winning or even competing. Tide Roll!

9/11/2010 - Oregon at Tennessee (+11.5) - Pick = Oregon - Oregon is one of the best teams in the country and the nation does not know it yet. Jump on the Ducks early this season while the lines are still out of balance.

9/11/2010 - Syracuse at Washington (-13) - Pick = Washington - Washington had a chance to win last week but choked. Cuse is not traveling 3,000 plus miles and competing in this game. Locker shows why he will be a top 5 pick.

9/11/2010 - Virginia at USC (-19.5) - Pick = USC - Redemption game for USC. The USC defense flat out sucked last week and Monte will have them back in form with the return of Nick Perry. Also, RoJo and Barkley will be playing with a chip on their shoulder since they received zero, yes we repeat zero, offensive accolades from the national press.

Free NCAA Football Week 12 Winning Picks: We have more picks than teen girls at a Twilight: New Moon premiere

This week is unprecedented in RPJ history. We have a ridiculous amount of picks coming at you. We are never happy to pump out this many picks but we can not let the opportunity pass us by. This is a fantastic weekend to be a NCAA football bettor. Since we have so many picks we are not going to provide you with our normal banter and detailed analysis. We do not have the time and we know you want to get your bets out there. If you want detail, please click on our matchup tool analysis section of our website so you can get all of the info you need. If you have no idea what we are talking about then click here: RPJ Syndicate Match up tool. On with the picks…

Saturday, November 21, 2009

So here is the deal. We apologize for the lack of detail but we are encouraging you to use our tools. Just click the matchup tool link in the above paragraph. This week simply was the vortex of gambling gods coming together to screw with our heads. We literally only disagreed on two games and are passing on only 20+ games because we did not see any advantage in the games. So in short, we have a lot of games that simply met all of our models. This is unprecedented territory and we are ready to rock and roll and load up this weekend. In order to process this many games we are breaking them down by conference and will only provide detailed info on the Notre Dame game because it is an awesome display of how the public is a bunch of suckers for the Irish.

MAC Picks

Kent State at Temple (-10.5) - We are taking Temple

Sun Belt Picks

UL Monroe (-3.5) at UL Lafayette - We are taking UL-Monroe

Conference USA Picks

Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (-8) - We are taking Southern Miss

WAC Picks

Hawaii (-3) at San Jose State - We are taking Hawaii

Nevada (-30) at New Mexico State - We are taking Nevada

Mountain West

TCU (-31) at Wyoming - We are taking TCU

ACC Picks

North Carolina at Boston College (-3.5) - We are taking UNC. Might throw some Moneyline cash on it.

Duke at Miami (-19.5) - We are taking Miami

Virginia at Clemson (-21) - We are taking Clemson

Big Ten Picks

Penn State (-3) at Michigan State - We are taking Penn State

Big 12 Picks

Oklahoma (-6.5) at Texas Tech - We are taking Oklahoma

Kansas at Texas (-27.5) - We are taking Texas

Baylor at Texas A&M (-5) - We are taking Texas A&M

Pac-10 Picks

Oregon State (-31) at Washington State - We are taking Oregon State

California at Stanford (-8) - We are taking Cal

SEC Picks

Vanderbilt at Tennessee (-16.5) - We are taking Tennessee

LSU at Mississippi (-4) - We are taking Ole Miss

Obligatory make fun of Notre Dame Pick

UCONN at Notre Dame (-6) - We are taking UCONN. We love games like this. Notre Dame opened as 7 point favorites and the line dropped to Notre Dame -6. The line dropped a full point with the public hammering Notre Dame to the tune of 81% of the money going on the Irish. When lines drop like this with all of the money going against the line drop we love to load up against the public. UCONN is a team of destiny this season. They are playing every game for their fallen teammate. UCONN might not win this game but they play damn hard all the time. Notre Dame is a mess and on the verge of quitting on the season. UCONN will be fired up this week just like Stanford will be fired up later in the season to take out the Irish. We do not think Notre Dame has any fight left in them. They lost to Navy and then Pitt and might not win another game this year. People are calling for Charlie Weis’ head and it is definitely becoming a distraction. No contest here.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 10 Picks: Thanksgiving is Coming Early!!!

The bad definitely follows the good. We were only 5-6 last week and that pisses us off. On the season we are now 58-55-2. A winning record, but a record that is not helping us beat the vig by any means. We are getting a ton of hits on our Twitter account and our Facebook profile is growing as well. Please click the buttons on the top right of this screen to instantly join up to follow us on those social mediums. You do not want to miss when we post our picks each week. Also, join Bodog!!! Bodog is super easy to bet through and they will pay out. Do not get caught up with any of the bullshit that is going on with other websites. Bodog is legit and will pay your winnings out, even to customers located in the United States. To see what Bodog has to offer, just click on one of our Bodog ads and check it out. Also, this website is for you our readers. We know you come to see what we have to say and to ultimately make money. We are here for you so if you want us to do something differently let us know by posting a comment at the bottom of one of the betting pieces or email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com. As an early thanksgiving present for you all, we have some solid winners for ya. Here you go:

Saturday, November 7, 2009

CUSE at Pitt -20 : The Greg Paulus experiment is just not living up to the preseason hype. CUSE’s best player just straight quit the team. Winter is setting in. Things are not good in the Upstate NY area (at least they have their beloved Yanks!!). So, they want nothing more than to get out of dodge. The problem is their choice of locales this week is in Pittsburgh to face the Panthers. Bad idea. Pitt needs a win to keep pace with Cincy. Although CUSE has covered the last two times head-to-head, Pitt is undefeated SU at home this year and we don’t see them losing this week either. Should be an easy cover. Take Pitt and give the points.

Baylor @ Mizzou -14: This game is a little counter-intuitive. The ATS numbers say take the Bears, but we love Mizzou at home this week. Baylor has surprised us somewhat (we thought they would be ridiculously awful and not just awful) this year. However, they are awful and not good at all on the road. We love Mizzou to ride the momentum of their impressive road win against Colorado last time out. We think it will be a close cover, but Mizzou will git ‘er done! Take Mizzou and give the points.

Oregon (-7) at Stanford - We called last week’s Oregon/USC game spot on. Oregon is straight nasty. One of the most physical, we are gonna run the ball right down your throat teams in the country. Coach Chip Kelly has his Ducks flying high and Stanford is certainly not the team to slow them down. Chip Kelly teams do not have letdowns. We are loving that this line is only Oregon -7. We would not hesitate taking this line up to 14. We are betting Oregon to win and cover!

Houston (-1) at Tulsa (Over/Under 67.5) - This game is going to be fun. Our boy Case Keenum has been lighting it up lately and he is our choice for the Heisman right now. Since the Cougs freak loss to UTEP they have put together 4 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins. After losing to Boise State, Tulsa has lost two more and it really not playing well. We know Houston’s defense stinks and we know Houston played a 50-43 game last week against Southern Miss so looking for 68 points is not even an issue. We have no idea why this line is this close and we expect Houston to dominate. We are betting Houston to win and cover and we are taking the Over.

USC (-10) at Arizona State - USC had no chance last week against Oregon but Pete Carroll’s teams just do not lose in November. A few weeks ago we watched Stanford out work and out physical Arizona State and if Stanford could do it, USC will have absolutely no trouble moving the ball on the Sun Devils. We are expecting a USC 31-10 outcome. We are betting USC to win and cover!

Western Michigan at Michigan State (-20) - This is the perfect fit in game for Michigan State. They suffered a devastating loss against Iowa and then followed that up by losing badly at Minnesota. The Western Michigan Broncos are just the team to snap Michigan State out of their funk. We are betting Michigan State to win big!

Ohio State at Penn State (-5) - Since losing a terrible game to Purdue, Ohio State is back doing what they do in the Big Ten and against inferior competition and that is winning their last two games by a margin of 83-7. Since losing to Iowa, Penn State has rattled off 5 straight wins straight up and ATS. If we are going to bet a team that needs a win and needs a win in the Big Ten, it will always be Ohio State and Jim Tressel and not the dinosaur across the way. We even get points. We are betting Ohio State to cover!!!

LSU at Alabama (-7.5) - This is the game of the week and the game of ineptitude in our eyes. Yes we are anti SEC biased but Alabama is just not that good. Their QB is terrible and that makes them one dimensional. One dimensional teams never succeed against well coached teams and teams with good defenses. These are two traits LSU has. We are not sure LSU has enough offense to win the game outright but we think they have a chance. We just think 7.5 points is way too many and LSU will do enough to keep it close. We are betting LSU to cover!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Week 9 Picks: Go with the flow: Chicks and Picks part 2!

We were a solid 6-3-1 last weekend and we are now 53-49-2 on the season. We have a ridiculous amount of picks this week. We are excited for all of the freaks that will be out at NCAA games this weekend. Halloween night at Autzen might be the most insane place on earth Saturday night. We can not wait. We are back mentioning our clean sweep strategy. What this means is we have numerous stats that we look at that impacts a team’s ability to control the ball on both sides of the ball. Based on our historical analysis of this aspect of our betting algorithms, these clean sweep games provide tremendous opportunities to win bets.

Friday, October 30, 2009

West Virginia (-3) at South Florida - Love love love kicking off the week with this game. South Florida has come back to earth. For the third consecutive season, an undefeated, nationally ranked USF team has fallen off its perch and into a mid-year skid. West Virginia is winning. Why is this line where it is? This should be a 7-10 point line. This line opened at -3 and has creeped up to -3.5 in some places. Majority of the money is on West Virginia and that has us slightly nervous. We think this is an easy bet to kick off the week. No ATS numbers to speak of but check this out. We have a virtual clean sweep. West Virginia is better rushing the ball, yards per rush, offensive 3rd down conversion percentage, stopping the run (total yards and yards per rush) and defensive 3rd down percentage. We love these types of games. West Virginia wins and covers easily!

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Rutgers at UCONN (-7) - UCONN remains the best cover team in the country with a record of 7-0 ATS. Betting can be simple and who are we to say UCONN breaks their streak. When you combine this with the fact that Rutgers is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 against UCONN, you start to get excited. Start your Halloween off right and bet UCONN. UCONN wins and covers!!!

Cincinnati (-15) at Syracuse - This game should be haunted house frightening. Cincy is a beast right now and this game meets a lot of our clean sweep requirements. This will make you feel a lot better. Cincy rushes for more yards and at a better yards per rush basis; they control the clock better on offense; are significantly tighter against the run and protect the QB a lot better. Tony Pike is not going to play but Collaros has filled in just fine. We are betting Cincy to win and cover!

Cincinnati

• Bearcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
• Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Bearcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Bearcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

• Orange are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
• Orange are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in October.
• Orange are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

SMU at Tulsa (-16) - This should be one of the biggest ass kickings of the weekend. SMU QB Bo Levi Mitchell got knocked out of last week’s game and remains questionable for this week. The Boise State beating hangover should finally be gone for Tulsa. UTEP took advantage last week. Tulsa plays great at home and Coach Graham’s teams always finish strong. When you look at the stats side by side, this is where it should get ugly for SMU fans. Tulsa rushes for 60 yards more per game, converts third downs 12% better (37% vs. 25%), SMU gives up 175 yards rushing per game (120 for Tulsa) and 4.49 yards per rush. SMU’s defense also gives up third downs 43% of the time (36% for Tulsa). These numbers are ugly. Tulsa dishes out another Golden Hurricane!! Tulsa wins and covers big!

NC State at FSU -8: If you followed us all season, you know we have loved NC State and their QB. You would also know that we like ganing up on FSU and Bobby Bowden. This week, however, we think FSU takes it. The ATS numbers are pretty god for FSU, but that is not why we like them. We like them mosltly because they are playing inspired football ever since Bowden came under fire. We think they will be up for this game and ready to roll. Plus, FSU just has much, much more talent than NC State does. Take the Seminoles and give the points.

Ole Miss at Auburn +4.5: This is a HUGE game for both teams. Both teams need this winn to save some credibility for their seasons and to keep Bowl chances alive. We have always thought both team are overrated. The Rebels have been hit-or-miss all season, and Jevon Snead does not look like the QB he was last year. The edge in this game, despite being on the road, goes to the Rebels. Chizik is not a good coach and Snead can get the win on the road. We love that Vegas is giving Auburn no respect at home. Take the Rebels and give the points.

Georgia (+15) neutral location versus Florida - Does Florida look right to anybody out there? The Florida defense looks good but not dominating. Tim Tebow looks terrible since his concussion. Florida’s offense is not dynamic enough, is relying too much on a not right Tebow and is not focused on getting the ball in the playmakers’ hands. Something is not right with the Gators. Florida is coming off two less than inspiring efforts and Georgia righted the ship last week with a solid and needed win at Vanderbilt. The Bulldogs are still a bit miffed at the Florida coach for calling two timeouts in the final minute of last year’s 49-10 blowout, a ploy that Meyer described — apparently with his tongue firmly planted in his cheek — as merely a way to get a few extra carries for a little-used running back.  The picture of Urban Meyer calling a timeout hangs all over Georgia’s training facility. The Bulldogs get to see it when they’re changing into their uniforms, when they’re lifting weights, when they’re heading off to meetings. Not sure Georgia has the horses to win this game outright but the combination of revenge and Florida sucking of late has on on the side of the Dawgs. We are betting Georgia to cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.

Penn State (-17) at Northwestern - This is another clean sweep game and a blatant one at that. Not even worth going into how inferior this Northwestern team is. Penn State is on a roll. 4 straight wins, 4 straight blowout wins and 4 straight covers. Northwestern is spotty at best. 17 points is a lot but expect a better performance than the Michigan performance last week and that was 35-10 on the road. Penn State wins and covers!!

Penn State

• Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
• Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Nittany Lions are 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 games in October.
• Nittany Lions are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Nittany Lions are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.
• Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win

• Wildcats are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a S.U. win.
• Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• Yellow Jackets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
• Yellow Jackets are 8-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Yellow Jackets are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite

Vanderbilt

• Commodores are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Commodores are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
• Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Eastern Michigan at Arkansas -34.5: We are calling this the Bigfoot Bowl becuase it is so very rare that a SEC team schedules an out of conference cupcake team at home, it is like seeing Bigfoot. NOT!! The SEC is comical and the pollsters should be pounding the Razorbacks (and every other SEC team) for these types of games. That said, we know why these games happen and we are going to take advantage and win some scratch for us. Petrino will have no problem running up the score in this game. It will not be close. Take the Razorbacks and give the points.

USC (-4) at Oregon - This is the game of the week and one of the biggest games in the history of Oregon football. The nation will probably not give a crap but consider this…. USC is a top 5 BCS team so a win on the road against a top ten team elevates them against the one loss teams and the no loss teams. If Oregon wins, they will certainly jump into the mix for top 5 BCS standings. We all know that November is a mess for BCS leaders and any upset is possible. Whichever of these teams wins out, if they win out, will have an edge over the Bama/Florida loser if both pay undefeated and will have the edge over every one loss team. Now onto the game, which is what we are here to do. USC is 2-4 straight up in Oregon in their last 6. Forget the spread, Autzen is brutal. If you have never been there you just do not get it. It has the smallest space in all of NCAA football in terms of fans from the field. Fans are literally vertical straight up from the outline of the field. Now add the freak show that is the Eugene Oregon hippies and this is going to be an amazing scene in terms of freaks and noise. Regardless of USC’s record the last few years, they have struggled the last three seasons in the BCS and are only covering 35% of the time. Now we know Barkley won in South Bend and Columbus, but this is another animal. Sorry Golden Homers and Horseshoers, Autzen is a special animal. Mark Sanchez choked there two years ago filling in for the injured Booty. USC contained Dixon but could not make up for Sanchez’s mistakes. We love betting teams we think will win straight up when they are underdogs and Oregon is that animal this week. You know we are USC homers but we love making money as well. Oregon is a no brainer this week. Take Oregon to cover!

USC

• Trojans are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in October.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
• Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

NCAA Football Week 6 Picks: Holy Sh*T! It is Florida/LSU Week

Big weekend on tap for NCAA football. We have 11 undefeated teams right now and we will have less when the weekend is over. This is what NCAA football is all about. The weekend will revolve around the SEC with Florida traveling to play in Baton Rouge in a night game and Alabama going to Ole Miss. Lots on the line for these teams. We are going to break this week down into games that matter for your wallets and discuss the proper wager on “THE” game of the week: Florida at LSU.

Good old fashioned wallet padding games!!!

Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan (-22.5) - Is this really a surprise. We love Dan LeFevour and we bet every Fever game. This strategy might change as the season goes on but for right now this is what we are doing. We love Central Michigan to cover and win this one!!

Michigan State (-3.5) at Illinois - Illinois benches Juice Williams and this is the line we get; only 3.5 points. Chalk this one up as easy cash. Illinois is terrible and Michigan State is respectable for a Big Ten school. Easy money and we are all over the Spartans. We are betting Michigan State big in this one!!

TCU (-10) at Air Force - If TCU can travel to Clemson and win, they certainly can travel to Air Force and win. Ten points is just not that big a deal to this team and we would be surprised if Air Force actually scores ten points; Clemson barely did. We are betting TCU to win and cover.

West Virginia (-10) at Syracuse -We love this line. West Virginia is coming off a prime time ass whoopin of Colorado and now they get to take the Devine show on the road to upstate NY. No contest here. We are betting West Virginia to win and cover!!!

Kentucky at South Carolina (-9.5) - This website has become the bet against Kentucky at all costs website. Florida kicked their ass. Alabama kicked their ass. And those two arse whoopins were in Kentucky. Now South Carolin will kick their ass. Ten points is not a big deal. Do you really need any analysis? We are betting South Carolina to win and cover!!

Iowa State at Kansas (-19) - Yes we have a man crush on Mangino and Todd Reesing. Can you really blame us? This is a big number but Kansas is at home and will go for the kill. The ATS numbers are in our favor as well. The Home TEam is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings and Iowa State 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Rock, Chalk, Jayhawk land! We are betting Kansas to win and cover!!!

The Game of the Weekend

Florida (-7.5) at LSU - This is clearly the game of the weekend and will set the tone for the BCS standings as well as the power rankings in the SEC. Also, this game has high drama with the whole Tim Tebow concussion issue going on. We do not think he will play. As of Wednesday, Tebow was still not reading. Yes you heard that correctly. He was not reading. How in the hell is a guy who is not reading, who plays like a drunken rhinoceros going to play the way he plays. In terms of RPJ $yndicate play, there is major disagreement in house. Runny and BSL are betting on LSU to cover and Flash Flash is all over Florida.

Florida

• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Gators are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Gators are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
• Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Gators are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Gators are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Gators are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Gators are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
• Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
• Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Gators are 17-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Gators are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
• Gators are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
• Gators are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.

Enjoy the picks

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

2009 NCAA Football Kick Off: Free Week 1 Picks: Cowboys, Ducks and Trojans Oh My!!!

Thursday, September 3, 2009

South Carolina at N.C. State (-4.5 and O/U 46.5) - Super Soph Russell Wilson leads the Wolfpack at Home against Suppier’s Cocks. Wilson had an amazing Freshman season last year for the Wolfpack while Stephen Garcia was up-and-down and got himself into trouble off the field. No doubt Garcia has the talent to be a good QB, but he has no head on his shoulders whatsoever. Not good for big games. The Wolfpack wants this game more than the Cocks. Love them at home to cover on national TV. We just wanted to see how many times we could say Cocks in one past. Take the Wolfpack -4.5.

USC

• Gamecocks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• Gamecocks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Gamecocks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

• Wolfpack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
• Wolfpack are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Wolfpack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Utah State at Utah (-20.5 and O/U 52) - Game will not be close. Utah is off their HUGE Bowl win over ‘Bama. In-state rivals where one team has a massive talent advantage. Yes Utah is working in a new QB but it just won’t matter. Utah will beat them by more 3 TDs. Take the Utes and give the points.

Utah State

• Aggies are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 non-conference games.
• Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
• Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

• Utes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Utes are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
• Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• Utes are 20-6-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Utes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
• Utes are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 non-conference games.
• Utes are 19-7-3 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
• Utes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
• Aggies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Be afraid of our menacing mascot!!!! Yeah right

Oregon at Boise State (-4 and O/U 63.5) - Love this matchup. This game is one of the reasons why college football is so freakin’ great. So much rides on this game for both teams and it is on national TV on opening night!!!! The NCAA is extremely smart sometimes (but any sense they have goes out the door with not having a playoff). Oregon has a lot of hype coming into the season and it is legit. They probably have the best backfield in all of college football. Their D is STACKED and they have an extrememly dangerous QB. The Broncos are completely flying under the radar, but they have a QB who is on the verge of greatness and playing on the blue turf at home gives them a HUGE advantage. Boise beat Oregon outright last year in Eugene early in the season, which would lead you to think giving 4 points is a steal. Last but certainly not least, this is a true line. The line opened at BSU -6, is now down to BSU-4 and people keep hammering it. 91% of the moneyline is on Oregon and 74% of the point spread action is on Oregon. This line is moving for the right reasons. Take Oregon this time and give the points.

Oregon

• Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC.
• Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
• Ducks are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games in September.
• Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Ducks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on turf.
• Ducks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog.

• Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
• Broncos are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Broncos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10.
• Broncos are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
• Broncos are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as a home favorite.

Friday, September 4, 2009

Tulsa at Tulane (+13.5 and O/U 64.5) - Call this the swine flu game. Tulane is battered with illness right now and we do not see them coming to this game at 100%. They will need to be able to match up with the high powered Tulsa offense if they want to compete and illness will prohibit that. Only one game tonight and the we love the action. Tulsa wins and covers!

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Golden Hurricane are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Akron at Penn State (-26 and O/U 58.5) - Sometimes we just come out with the blowout special. This game is it this week. No analysis necessary, we all know PSu is a lot better than Akron, has an experienced D and an experienceed QB. Enough said. Penn State wins big!!!

Minnesota at Cuse (+6.5 and O/U 47) - You know we love us some Cuse. Every year we homer on them at some point. However, not this time. Greg Paulus leaves the Dukies to take up a new career. He will be terrible in week one. Th gophers will surprise. Take the Gophers on the road and give the points.

Georgia at Oklahoma State (-5 and O/U 61.5) - The Oregon/BSU game will be huge and the Va. Tech/Bama game will be huge but the prime time matchup of the weekend is Georgia at Oklahoma State. The Big 12/SEC bragging rights are on the line and a loss in this game basically ends any BCS aspirations on day 1 for one of these teams. We love Oklahoma State; love the coach, the QB, RB, WR and their swagger. Cowboys are loaded on offense this season. The question will be their defense. Georgia loses their QB and RB, returns an improved offensive line and will have a ton on the line if they want to gear up for their SEC schedule. We actually do not think this game will be as good as people think. We think Ok. State comes out guns blazing and Georgia will not have the offensive fire power to compete. Look for Georgia to stall and play ball control offense and look for OSU to press the action as much as possible. When OSu gets up, which might take 1-2 quarters, this game will be over. Oklahoma State wins by more than 10. Take the Cowboys to win and cover!

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
• Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
• Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

• Cowboys are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
• Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
• Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Cowboys are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
• Cowboys are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games as a favorite.

I am THE MAN!!!

Missouri neutral site Illinois (-7 and O/U 61) - This is The Herd’s lock of the week. Who are we to argue. Missouri graduated everybody last season and Illinois returns a lot of talent that wants to avenge last season’s loss to MIssouri. No contest here. Take Illinois in a nice opening win and cover!

The Juice will be loose!!!

Virginia Tech neutral site Alabama (-6.5 and O/U 38) - This game is huge for Alabama. Alabama was trounced by Utah in their bowl game and lost to Florida in a lackluster performance the game prior. Saban has never coached a team to back to back ten win seasons. The flu is running around taking out Bama players. Now they have to play Va. Tech, one of the best coached teams in the country. Beamer will have his kids ready, even with the loss of his starting RB. Here is the real kicker, Bud Foster’s defense versus first year QBs. Alabama will have a first year QB starting the game. Check this out:

*** TOTALS FOR 9 GAMES SINCE 2004 AGAINST QBS WITH TWO CAREER STARTS OR FEWER BEFORE PLAYING VIRGINIA TECH ***

* Those nine quarterbacks combined for 88 of 185 passing (47.6 percent) for 1,111 yards, 6 TD, 8 INT, 20 sacks; 101 rushes for 298 yards (2.95 ypc), 4 TD, 7 fumbles.

* The average for a quarterback in those nine games was 123.4 yards passing, 33.1 yards rushing, 1.1 total TD, 0.78 fumbles, 0.89 interceptions and 2.2 sacks.

You see where we are going with this. All signs point to Alabama, the media, the SEC hype, their defense, etc….. We think this game will be really close. We are not sure The Hokies can pull the W but we think this is definitely a 3 point game. Take the Hokies to cover!

Virginia Tech

• Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hokies are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
• Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.

• Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Crimson Tide are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Toledo at Purdue (-10.5 and O/U 50.5)- Purdue is 3-9 ATS against the MAC. They are in complete rebuild mode and lack any skill position players. Toledo will shock them at home and could win outright. Consider the moneyline, too. Purdue may be the worse team in the Big 10. Take the Rockets and the points all the way to the bank!!

This is Purdue Football!!!

Western Kentucky at Tennessee (-29.5 and O/U 44.5)- Lane Kiffin’s debut!! In true SEC fashion he schedules a cupcake for his home opener. The verdict is out on Kiffin, but not on his assistants He has his Pops running the D with one of the best safetys in college football in Eric Berry. That will be huge. WKU will have no idea what this defense will be doing. Kiffin will try to run-up the score. This game will be ugly. Take the Vols and give the points.

VOlS fans are ready for their showdown in the Swamp!

Nevada at Notre Dame (-14 and O/U 61)- Nevada can score with anyone and this line is a result of the Irish hype machine that goes on in every offseason. The Irish will probably win this game, but not by more than two TD’s. The money in this game, though, is the Over. Both teams will be able to score. They will crush this over. Take the OVER and run!!!

Central Michigan at Arizona (-13.5 and O/U 54) - We have the Fever and the Fever calls for MORE LeFevour. Our man crush opens the season at Arizona. QB and OL experience wins games early in the season and The Chips are bringing one of the most experienced QBs in all of college football. Arizona is still trying to figure out who their QB is going to be this season and the pressure is high for Stoops, who is going through a public divorce. Both are items Head Coaches do not want to go through to start a season. Do not discount the divorce and the distraction factor it holds. The Fever is the man to put the Stoops experiment to rest. We are taking the Chips to cover and if you have some extra scratch throw it on the moneyline because we would not be surprised to see the upset.

Central Michigan

• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Chippewas are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
• Chippewas are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• Chippewas are 30-13-3 ATS in their last 46 games overall.

We got the FEVER!!!

Monday, September 7, 2009

Miami at Florida State (-6.5 and O/U 48) - Nothing like a Miami/FSU game to wrap up the weekend. Florida State just went through an offseason of distraction and Miami watched as two backup QBs left the program. Miami has tons of young talent on the defensive side of the ball. Coach Shannon has done a great job bringing in kids. Offense might be a bit suspect but it will be just as suspect as Florida State’s. FSU’s season always comes down to QB play and how that QB plays against a fast hard hitting team from THE U will determine what we can expect from FSU this season. Remember this Miami D held Floris in check last season for more than 3 quarters. That experience will help them open this season on the road. We think Miami can win outright. Take Miami and the points! Make sure you read below and check out the head-to-head ATS numbers. Speaks volumes.

Miami

• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• Hurricanes are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• Hurricanes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
• Hurricanes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

If you like what you see, like our picks and like our free analysis tools, we would appreciate it if you signed up through our website to use Bodog as your betting vehicle of choice. We love Bodog and have never had any issues getting our money out. The same can not be said for BetUs, Sportbook and other sites so bettor be warned!!!

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Bodog is operated in North America under License by Morris Mohawk Gaming Group.

In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

More food please!

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

The Trojan Horse will unleash the fury on 9/12!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

Yes we went there; only RPJ throws love at the kicker!!!

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

Would you bet against this man?

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

Sorry it took this long to throw in some tail!!!

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

Al Davis versus rabid SEC fans....I pick SEC!

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

Hi my name is Jenna and I am a Cheerleader for Miami (Ohio). Come see me for only $120! I promise not to disappoint you but I can not say the same for the team.

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

Can somebody please cut my stomach off please?

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

Caption says it all!!!

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

The Ole Miss faithful are counting on you!

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

Who is going to battle for the Men of Troy this season?

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

Herpes, check! clap, check! genital warts, check! 77 more times....

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

Like we needed 77 reasons.

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

I might be gay but I promise I will beat USC one of these years. I bet my favorite butt floss thong on it!

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

Your Syracuse Orange starting QB....GREG PAULUS!!!!!

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

"Rangers Lead the Way"

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

Zac and Dez = Best QB/WR duo in the nation!

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

Colt + Undefeated Season = Heisman

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

Not in my house!!!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

2009 March Madness Free Sweet 16 Picks and Predictions: Flash Flash style

My NCAA bracket came out a little below what I was expecting. I was 23-9 in the first round games and only 10-6 in the second round games. This added up to a winning percentage of 69% and the model was supposed to return winners at a 74% clip. If you followed me you probably still have a great chance to win your office pool though because I still have every elite 8 team left. Based on the games that were played and the new matchups I applied my picking system to the 16 teams that remain and low and behold…the whole bracket is turned upside down now. Here is what my math system predicts now…..

Most likely to win their next game….Louisville, Pitt and UNC - This comes as no surprise.

Favored teams most likely to scrape by in a close one to advance….UCONN and Duke - Do not be surprised if Purdue keeps the UCONN game close. These teams matchup really tightly. Purdue is hot and sneaking under the radar. The Duke Nova game should be one for the ages and my system has Duke sneaking out a hard fought, close win.

Who wins the pick em game….Syracuse - This should be another close game but the edge now goes to Cuse. Cuse is playing really well right now and I like their effort.

Upsets in the round of 16…Kansas and Missouri - Yup you heard it hear first. Missouri is going to upset Memphis. Not sure Kansas is much of an upset but they are not favored.

Teams that will play in the Final 4….Kansas, Missouri, Pitt and UNC - I absolutely hate this Final 4 but this is what the math told me. If you remember from my first post of the tourney, I removed all bias from my picks and simply picked on a mathematical model I developed that picked winners at a 74.4% rate. As much as this Final 4 looks retarded, this is what I am posting.

Enjoy the games and good luck with your picks.

Flash Flash

Week 14 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Robbie Picks again!

After posting a 3-4 record, Robbie asked us if he could try and show what he can do one more time. Here are his picks. Good luck Robbie!

Keep me honest here fellas: 3-4 last week. For the weekend: NC State +1.5. Big win last week and they catch a reeling ‘Canes team at home. Tha U is talented but they’re young and their psyche is damaged. Wake -4. Vandy is playing some pretty bad football as of late. Wake is at home and are a very good coached ball club. In an odd out of conference game like this that is golden. BC -6.5. They’re at home, white-hot with a conference championship to play for. What’s not to like? Cincy -22. Syracuse’s season was made last week…they’re done. Big let down to a team who needs to win to lock up a BCS bid. At home nonetheless! Oklahoma -7. I know, every team in the Big12 who has won a big game this year has been at home. But it’s different, and Oklahoma finally comes through in the end and stops the choking streak. Oregon State -3. Home rivalry game with everything to play for. Again, take the team with more motivation. Even if their frosh RB is out.
Really like these. Hopefully I pull through for you guys this week.

Ruthless Robbbie

Week 12 Free NCAA Football Winning Picks: Throwing the Kitchen Sink of Tits and Ass at These picks!

It has been a long year for us here at RPJ. We are 36-42-2 on the season. Flash Flash is 18-11-3 on the season and Runny is 23-24-1 on the season. Flash has been money but the collective that is known as RPJ has flat out sucked it. We are losing money for you and we are losing money for ourselves. We are seeing signs that we are coming back though and we are excited for this weekend. Our college picks went undefeated on Wednesday and Thursday and we look to carry that momentum into the weekend. We know we blow, you have posted comments and you have sent emails but we have held true to our system and to full disclosure. We are honest and we always will be. Second, we bet every single game we post so we are feeling the pain along with you. One thing is for certain, we remain 100% confident in our models, we have remained disciplined and we will win our money back. We are not going to hit you up with ads this week or extra clicks or links or any of that bullshiznit. We are coming back to our roots with picks and girls. Straight up!

Katherine Mcphee is actually Hot!

RPJ $yndicate Picks (35-42-2 on the season)

We have been quiet the last two weeks. The games were just not there for us but this week we have a ton of games for you.

Purdue at Iowa (-18) - Last week was Iowa’s season. They beat an undefeated Penn State and they won their 6 th game, which means they are bowl eligible. We have no idea why this line is so high. Last time we checked, Iowa was still a one dimensional team (running) and Purdue is led by a senior QB. Purdue played last week and lost to Michigan State by 14 points on the road. The Spartans are a lot better than Iowa and we see no reason why this spread is so high. We will say it again. Why the hell is this spread 18.5 points. We are no buying the Iowa hype because they beat the #3 team in the country last week. The Big 11 is not good so beating an undefeated Penn State team is not impressive. Here are the ATS numbers:

Purdue

• Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Boilermakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
• Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

Iowa

• Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• Hawkeyes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
• Hawkeyes are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Hawkeyes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
• Hawkeyes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head

• Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

This has been the week of opposites. We tweaked our models slightly and it has led to victories. In the past we would have blindly selected Northern Illinois to beat Central Michigan based on what our models say but with our new tweaks we stayed away and successfully bet the Chips. This is the same situation. Our models used to say take Iowa but with our new tweaks we are all over Purdue. This is simply way too many points. We are taking Purdue to cover!

Marzie Prince can buff our hood all day long!

UNC at Maryland (+3) - This comes down to one thing and one thing only. You do not eff with Maryland at home. Maryland is undefeated at home and UNC’s 2 losses were on the road (one to UVA) and they only have one road win and that was their miracle comeback against Miami. North Carolina’s defense has conceded 349.2 yards a game this season, and has allowed 454.6 yards per contest in its last five matchups versus Maryland (6-3, 3-2) - a span in which it lost four in a row from 2001-05 before emerging with a 16-13 home victory on Nov. 3, 2007. Maryland is perfect in its five home games this season, outscoring opponents 153-82. Maryland has defeated all three Top 25 teams it has faced thus far by an average of 12.3 points. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Maryland and the Tar Heels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The ATS numbers support us as well but they are not needed. Maryland probably wins but will certainly cover!

I eat Tarheels for breakfast, lunch and dinner!

Notre Dame at Navy (+4) - It pains us to actually bet Notre Dame but when a moneymaking opportunity arises we have to step in. Not gonna get into too much detail here but The Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Navy and the Road team is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Charlie Weis is potentiall fighting for his job or at least that is what the media is saying and this is a significant revenge game for Notre Dame. The Irish come ready to play and win by more than 4. Take the Irish to win and cover!

More Marzie! Hot Damn!!!

Miss State at Alabama (-22) - Alabama at home against the SEC has produced some interesting results. Alabama 24 and Ole MIss 20. Alabama 17 and Kentucky 14. And this is SEC game number three but we think you can see the trend. Check out these ATS numbers:

• Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Alabama.
• Bulldogs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Got it. Miss State owns Alabama and we think Bama is one of the most overrated teams in the country. Bama will be looking ahead to Auburn and has been hearing for two weeks how they will face Florida in the SEC title game so they are basically playing for nothing. Mississippi State will take advantage and can keep this game close like they always do.

Send your kids to the SEC! Pure Hotness!

Check out these scores:

2007 - Miss St. 17/Alabama 12

2006 - Miss St. 24/Alabama 16

2005 - Miss St. 0/Alabama 17

2004 - Miss St. 14/Alabama 30

See the trend. Close games. We think Miss. St. covers in this game!

The Marzie trifecta!

Georgia at Auburn (+10) - We are not sure why we are coming back to the Georgia well after they disappointed last week at Kentucky. However, we are able to look past the SEC media bias and we 100% understand that Auburn sucks! Yes they suck!!! The ATS numbers:

Georgia

• Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Bulldogs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.

Auburn

• Tigers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
• Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.

As we said, we are going back to the well. We think Georgia wins and covers!

We love Auburn Girls!

Tulsa at Houston (+4 and Over/Under 80) - We have been enticed, teased and ultimately burned by these games that appear to be 110% guaranteed for the Over. Lets look at the ATS numbers:

Tulsa

• Golden Hurricane are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Golden Hurricane are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• Under is 7-0 in Golden Hurricane last 7 games on grass.
• Under is 5-0 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 12-2 in Golden Hurricane last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 5-1-2 in Golden Hurricane last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 9-3 in Golden Hurricane last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

Houston

• Cougars are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
• Cougars are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Cougars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Cougars are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
• Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 home games.
• Under is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
• Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games following a S.U. win.
• Under is 6-2 in Cougars last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.

We think those numbers say it all. We are coming at you with our Conference USA two play. Take Tulsa to win and cover and take the UNDER!

USC (-24) at Stanford - This might be our pick of the year and we apologize in advance if we arenot going to sit here and throw out ATS numbers and detailed reasons for this game. This game is no different than Florida versus Georgia this year. USC circled this game on their schedule and have looked at it for one whole year. We would probably take this line up to 40. Stanford’s RB Gerhart is injured and Stanford is already a one dimensional team. Sorry we said no analysis was needed. USC Effs up Stanford, wins and covers easily!

Carmen Electra is Still Electric!

Runny Pelvis the Fat Picks (23-24-1 on the season)

Monica Bellucci: The Runny Special!

Indiana at Penn State (-35): This game will not be close. Penn State is still nursing their wounds from Iowa last week. They will take out their revenge on a TERRIBLE IU squad. IU gave-up 50+ points last week at home during their parent’s weekend. If they can’t play for their folks, no way they play well on the road this week. They may not score a point. Take Penn State and give the points.

Minnesota at Wisconsin (-13.5): This is Wsiconsin’s final Big 10 home game. The Golden Gophers have come back to reality. Minnesota will not play well out doors. Wisconsin rolls easy. Take the Badgers and give the points.

Wake Forest at NC State (+3.5): Wake knows they need to finish strong to get a decent Bowl. They cover. Take the Deacons and give the points.

UCONN at Syracuse (+10): It pains me to say it (I’m a HUGE CUSE fan), but the Orange are terrible. Although they play Big East teams decently at home, UConn will not have trouble with them this week. Take the Huskies and give the points.

Texas A&M at Baylor (-8): Baylor is not beating anyone by 8 points. Take A&M and the points.

Toledo at Western Michigan (-15.5): Toledo can score and Western Michigan will be looking ahead to next week. Western wins, but Toledo covers. Take Toledo and the points.

Missouri at Iowa State (+27): The Cyclones play well at home. MIZZOU will be looking shead to next week. The Tigers win, but will not cover. Take the Cyclones and the points.

BYU at Air Force (+5.5): This line is low for a reason. Air Force can score and BYU will be looking ahead to next week. BYU does not travel well. Take Air Force and the points.

South Carolina at Florida (-22.5): The Ol’ Football Coach wants nothing more than to damage the Gators’ run to a national championship. A win in this one will do just that. The Gamecocks have no business being in this game, but the SEC is overrated. The Gators may lose outright. Take the Cocks and the points.

Boise State at Idaho (+36.5): Idaho is terrible and should not cover, but Boise won’t run-up the score. Plus, the Vandals players are probably rejects from Boise State, so they will be playing with chips on their shoulders. Take the Vandals and the points at home.

Oklahoma State at Colorado (+17.5): This game will get ugly in a hurry. The Buffalos just don;t have the horses to score with the Cowboys. Cowboys win by at least 3 TD’s. Take the Cowboys and give the points.

Washington State at Arizona State (-36.5): The Cougars could be the worse team in the NCAA of any division. They can’t cover on the road. Take the Sun Devils and give the points.

Flash Flash for the Cash Picks (18-11-3 on the season)

Flash Flash for the Ass!

Northwestern at Michigan (-3.5) - Gonna make this short and sweet. Northwestern has a better run defense, better run offense and they turn the ball over less per game. Michiga is terrible at home against the spread. The ATS numbers:

Northwestern

• Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
• Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Wildcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Wildcats are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Michigan

• Wolverines are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on turf.
• Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
• Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Not gonna use rocket science here but Michiga is not good at home and as I pointed out have only covered once and that was against Wisconsin in their miracle comeback. I think Northwestern comes out of here with a win and with a cover at a minimum. Take Northwestern to cover!

Utah State at Lousiana Tech (-14) - I pick the freak show games and I love betting against Utah State. Utah State can not stop the run, La. Tech loves to run and Utah State turns the ball over more. La. Tech is undefeated against the spread at home this year and the streak will continue. La. Tech wins big and covers in this game!

RPJ $yndicate Arse Shot of the Week!

Good luck with your picks!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis