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Free Winning Super Bowl Picks: Steelers versus Cardinals: 10 Reasons why the Cardinals will cover!

What a bunch of fair weather fans our readers are. We went 4-0 Championship Sunday and nobody, not one person, even said nice job on this website or on Facebook. Nobody!!! Oh well. I guess our mediocre regular season records could not be made up by one great NFL playoff weekend. On the NFL postseason, RPJ $yndicate is 7-4 and Runny is 1-0. We are going to pick the game and the O/U for you.

Marisa Miller is H-O-T, hot hot hot.

Marisa Miller is H-O-T, hot hot hot.

Our scouts down in Tampa tell us this is not one for the ages. The media is playing this up as an even fan base but in reality this is Pittsburgh South. The Cards do not have many fans down there at all and we anticipate a Steelers crowd in the magnitude of 80-20. As far as the scene and the general excitement around the Super Bowl, the economy is having an impact. Parties are being canceled (Playboy), parties are selling tickets to the public because sponsors pulled out (Reggie Bush’s party for $350), the Super Bowl TV spots were sold out only two days ago and even Cash 4 Gold was able to buy a tv spot. This is not THE event this year. The Cardinals killed it. Just wanted to provide some insight into the general scene.

Steelers versus Cardinals (+7 and OVER/UNDER 46.5)

RPJ $yndicate is picking the Cards to cover and taking the OVER and here are 10 reasons why:

1) QB: Warner holds Super Bowl passing records and has proven that he can execute in the 4th quarter in the big game. Big Ben does not win games for this year’s Steelers, the defense does. Yes defense wins championships, but all we need is a Cards cover. One of Big Ben’s most horrible games of his career was in the Super Bowl against the Seahawks. Huge edge for the Cards

2) Cards Offense: These guys are scoring at will on anybody. Destroyed Carolina on the road, destroyed the Eagles, these guys are legit. We think they can score on anybody. Steelers can only use Troy P. to double one WR, Cards have 2 that are ridiculous, one that is very good (Breaston) and can throw really to anybody else.

3) The “Hot” Factor: The Cards are hot. They solidified their defense for the playoffs, found the run with a rested Edge and just have a nasty attitude going on right now. Their QB has won a Super Bowl, their coaches have played in and coached in Super Bowls and they look unstoppable right now. Giants pulled this off last year and the Colts prior. Always beware the hot team.

4) The over is 38-13 in Arizona’s last 51 games as an underdog.

5) Las Vegas Sports Consultants: We won using these guys in the Championship round. LVSC opened the line at Steelers -6.5 and O/U 46.5. Since the line is now Steelers -7, we get to benefit half a point from what LVSC thought the perfect line was going to be. Read last week’s post if you want to understand this more.

6) Over the past 13 Super Bowls where there have been 2 different seeds, the lower team has covered 12 out of 13 times. The underdog is 2-1 in Tampa Bay Super Bowls. Go Cards

7) O-line: Cardinals left tackle Mike Gandy has started 35 straight games since joining the Cards in 2007. This year he only gave up 6.5 sacks and committed one holding penalty. Winning the battle of the line is key. In the last 13 Super Bowls, the sack leader was has won 12 of those games and is 8-3-2 ATS. Steelers are known for their sacks but did you know the Steelers were only +2 in net sacks on the season? Cards were +3.

8) Red zone offense: We jumped all over this in the Cards/Eags game. Red zone O is critical. Arizona is ranked 9th in red zone touchdown percentage, the Steelers are ranked 15th. Seems close but in reality, the Cards scored 72 more red zone points and had 16 more possessions in the red zone than the Steelers.

9) Coaching: The Whiz, Ken Whisenhunt is the key to this game. Remember when Gruden went to Tampa and coached his Bucs to a commanding win over the Raiders. Whiz has this advantage too. Willie Parker admitted that Whiz knows him better than he knows himself and said he knows the same about Big Ben and the rest of the Steelers. The Whiz beat the Steelers last year, sacked Big Ben 4 times and picked him off twice. Do not underestimate this.

Before we get to number 10, here are the ATS numbers:

Steelers

  • Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite.
  • Steelers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff games.
  • Steelers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Steelers are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Over is 5-0 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1 in Steelers last 8 playoff games as a favorite.
  • Over is 6-1 in Steelers last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Over is 12-2 in Steelers last 14 playoff games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2 in Steelers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Over is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 11-5 in Steelers last 16 games as a favorite.
  • Cardinals

  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
  • Cardinals are 12-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 20-6 in Cardinals last 26 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 38-13 in Cardinals last 51 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 23-8 in Cardinals last 31 games on grass.
  • Over is 22-8 in Cardinals last 30 games following a S.U. win.
  • Over is 19-7 in Cardinals last 26 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 19-7 in Cardinals last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Over is 38-14 in Cardinals last 52 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 24-9 in Cardinals last 33 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Over is 20-8 in Cardinals last 28 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 35-16 in Cardinals last 51 games overall.
  • 10) Brenda Warner: We ain’t betting against this hottie!!!!

    and there you have ot folks. 10 reasons why the Cards will cover in this game. We might even throw some cash down on the moneyline. We are also hitting the OVER and actually think nthe over is the best bet of the day. Enjoy the Super Bowl.

    RPJ Pic of the Day

    Flash Flash and Runny

    Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

    2009 NFL Championship Game Winning Picks and Hot Chicks

    We sucked a big one last weekend. A whopping 1-3. RPJ is now 3-4 during the playoffs and Runny is 1-0. Two more games means two more games to make money but more importantly it means we can show some great arses for one more week. Arses like this one….

    Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals (+4 and OVER/UNDER 47)

    RPJ Syndicate is taking Arizona and the Over and here is why: We are probably going to bet against the Eagles incorrectly all the way to a Super Bowl betting loss. If the Vikes had a QB, they beat the Eagles. If the Giants took their heads out of their arse (and not a pretty arse like the one above) ran the ball more, managed the play clock and hit some FGs, the Giants win easily. The Eagles had 20 yards of offense after 28.5 minutes and were WINNING!!! The Eagles are clearly the hot bet right now. They won two games on the road and now go play a Cards team they annihilated Thanksgiving night. Everybody under the sun thinks the Eagles will blow them away again. In order to understand these lines a little more we are making sure we pay attention to what the Las Vegas Sports Consultants are saying (LVSC). If you do not know who LVSC is, they are basically the people setting the initial lines in Las Vegas. LVSC came out and put the Eagles at -2.5 and the O/U at 50.5. This line is moving a lot. Initially the spread moved to -3.5 and is now at -4 and that is with the news that Westbrook is injured and not practicing again. The O/U immediately started dropping and is now in the 47-48 range. We are basing part of our logic this week and matching up with LVSC. LVSC says -2.5 and 50.5 so we are reacting accordingly and that means take the Cards -4 and OVER 47. In addition, We are betting the hotter of the two teams in terms of how they are playing. 75% of the money is on the Eagles to cover and the line moved from -2.5 to -4. This is a true line.

    Red Zone issues

    The Eagles have a solid defense but their offense has not looked good and they had trouble scoring in the red zone all year. This time, instead of just mentioning red zone stats, we are posting them and they speak volumes. The Eagles were in the red zone 63 times this year, which is behind the Giants (69), CARDS (65), Chargers (65) and Pats (65). Guess how many times the Eagles scored a TD inside the red zone….31. Less than 50% of the time. The Eags were the 22nd rated team in the red zone this year. they kicked more FGs in the red zone than every NFL team but 2, the Chargers and Bucs. This stat will become an issue for the Eagles because they have not fixed it in the post season. 

    Respect

    The Cards are either hot or cold; patsies or rock stars so who will show up this weekend. The Cards play great at home destroyed a great Panthers team on the road with their physicallity. The Cards remind us a little bit of the Colts the year they won the Super Bowl. The knock on the Colts was that they were soft and could not stop the run. However, in the playoffs the Colts pulled it all together and were great against the run and showed some aggression and toughness that was not seen during the regular season. Sound familiar? We think so. The Cards found a running game last week, the OL played amazing, the defense stopped the run after the first drive and the coaching staff came together with an awesome game plan. We think the Cards win this game outright because they are the better team right now. Also, you can not ignore the respect facctor. check out this article out of Arizona….Cardinals don `Prove It’ T-shirts. Especially in the NFL, you need to bet the team that is feeling disrespected. The extra motivation is powerful. We know Philly well and the radio stations already created song parodies with the Eagles winning the Super Bowl. Two more games to go folks before Philly fans can do that.

    Here are the ATS numbers:

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Arizona Cardinals

    Head-to-Head

    Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6 and OVER/UNDER 34)

    We are taking the Steelers to win and cover and the OVER and here is why: We are taking the same approach to this game as we did to the last game. The Steelers are the team that is playing more complete football right now. We thought the knock on the Steelers was their offense but they put a complete spanking on the Chargers last week. It was nice to see Willie Parker running wild and they will need him against the Ravens. We touted the Ravens defense last week before the Titans game but we actually did not like what we saw. The Titans moved the ball at will against the Ravens, just not in the red zone and the Ravens had some key takeaways that were combined with some horrible play calling. What has been consistent for the Ravens is the lack of offense. Check out the disparity from the Titans game.

    First down = Titans 21, Ravens 9

    Rushing yards = Titans 116, Ravens 50

    Passing Yards = Titans 275, Ravens 161

    Time of Possession = Titans 34 minutes, Ravens 26 minutes.

    You look at those numbers and you wonder how the Titans lost that game.

    Look at some of the numbers from the 12/4 Steelers/Ravens game:

    First Downs = Steelers 18, Ravens 12

    Rushing yards = Steelers 91, Ravens 112 (31 carries)

    Passing yards = Steelers 220, Ravens 90 (Flacco was 11-28 with 2 INTs)

    Steelers win 13-9

    The Ravens just do not have it in them to play good offense against great defenses and the Steelers are just as great, if not better, than the Ravens defense.

    The Ravens led the league in trick plays during the regular season and have not busted out any in the playoffs and then you compound that with conservative play calling cause they have a rookie QB. Pittsburgh will try and put the pedal to the metal and get out to a lead. We know these teams regularly play close games but LVSC set this line at -6 and we think that is being generous. We do not see Baltimore scoring with the exception of a late garbage TD with a couple of field goals. We think we can see a score of 24-13 or 27-13. Both of these hit the over and the cover. Also, Vegas opened this line at -5 and it has moved to -6 and 59% of the money is on the Ravens. That is trap city!!! We are not going to dispute that. The ATS numbers:

    Baltimore Ravens

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    Head-to-Head

    RPJ Pic of the Day!!!

    Vanessa Gleason is yummy!

    Vanessa Gleason is yummy!

    Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

    2009 NFL Divisional Playoffs Winning Picks and Hot Chicks: Rematches Galore, A.S.S and Adriana Lima!

    We had a nice round of picks last weekend. RPJ was 2-1 and Runny was 1-0. Should have had the darn Colts but the Chargers took the money right out of our wallets.

    Saturday, January 10, 2009

    Baltimore at Tennessee (-3 and OVER/UNDER 34)

    RPJ is taking Baltimore to cover and her is why: Defense, Defense, defense and Cam Cameron! Cam Cameron is a genius of an offensive coordinator to get Flacco to play like he has played. Flacco did not light up the field last week but he did not make mistakes and blow the game either. Just ask Trent Dilfer; game management out of your QB is critical when your defense is jacked and this Baltimore defense is incredibly jacked. In their first game, Baltimore had this game in hand and gave up 10 points in the 4th quarter to lose 13-10 and giving up the game winning TD with less than 2 minutes to go in the game. The Titans and Ravens have two of the best defenses in the NFL. Tennessee had the second-ranked scoring defense, allowing 14.6 points per game, while Baltimore had the third-ranked, giving up 15.3. Baltimore was second in total yards allowed (277.1) while Tennessee was tied for fifth. Tennessee is banged up as well. Starting center Kevin Mawae is injured, Albert Haynesworth is coming back from injury but his effectiveness will not be known until they strap em up. The Ravens are hot and won five of their last 6 and won on the road in the playoffs last week. The ATS numbers:

    Baltimore

    Tennessee

    Head-to-Head

    Vegas is basically saying these teams are even by giving the Titans a 3 point edge. We think at worst we get a push if the Titans win by three again but deep down we think the Ravens win outright. Their defense is playing on another level right now and we think they have the will to win.

    Arizona at Carolina (-9.5 and OVER/UNDER 48.5)

    RPJ is taking Carolina to win and cover and here is why: Arizona might be the second worst road team in the league to the Detroit Lions. The Panthers are 8-0 at home and the Cards are 0-5 on road trips to the Eastern time zone and suffered horrible losses in these games by losing by an average of 20 points but there was one exception…the first game against the Panthers. The Cards lost 27-23 and were actually winning 17-3 early in the third quarter but Warner was intercepted in the red zone and game over. More on the Cards road woes…The Cards are 2-20 in their last 22 games in the eastern time zone. All people want to talk about is Kurt Warner. Well Jake Delhomme is 54-32 as a starter, 5-2 in the playoffs and has a 95.0 passer rating in the playoffs in his career. Not too shabby. He also has an awesome line and two jacked RBs.

    The ATS numbers:

    Arizona

    Panthers

    The Cards have not impressed on the road and the Panthers are coming off two weeks of rest. Also, Boldin is definitely injured and may or may not be a factor in this game. Yes the Cards still have Fitzgerald and Breaston but they have close to no running game. This is a tall order for the Cards and we think this is the beatdown of the weekend. 56% of the action is on the Cards and the line moved from -9.5 to -10. Buyer beware! Also, weather will likely be a factor and we saw what east coast weather did to the Cards in the Pats game.

    Sunday, January 11, 2009

    Philadelphia at NY Giants (-4 and OVER/UNDER 40)

    RPJ is taking the Giants to win and cover and here is why: The experts want to talk about how the Eagles are the hot team right now and the Giants only won one of their last 4 games. That game did get them home field advantage but the G-men limped to the finish. The Eagles, after a Ravens arse raping and McNabb benching, won 4 of 5 and got some help to make the playoffs. Then with the help of 4 FGs, a defensive TD and one big Westbrook play, took care of the Vikes last week. To understand our pick we are going to break down these games for you based on why the experts are telling you to take the Eagles and why that is false logic.

    False Logic #1 = The Giants are at a competititive disadvantage minus Plaxico and Shockey because these two players dominated the Eagles. WRONG!!!!! The Giants won the first game against the Eagles in Philly and Plaxico caught one pass. One Pass!!! The Giants won this game because they ran the ball 45 times for 219 yards, had 26 first downs and held the ball for 39 minutes and 10 seconds. Eli only had 191 yards passing and was 17 for 31. They won because they pounded Jacobs.

    False Logic #2 = The Eagles crushed the Giants in NY because they are the hot team and better team and will do it again. Wrong wrong wrong. The Giants had a bye in week 3 and then played 13 straight games. The Giants were worn down, Jacobs was hurt, they had a big lead in the NFC East and Plaxico has just shot himself sucking the wind out of the team for the week. The Giants only ran the ball 24 times. Jacobs did have 10 carries for 52 yards but had to leave the game with an injury. Akers does not like kicking in the Meadowlands and he missed two FG in this game, one on a block.

     

    The Giants feed off of being the underdog and you know they have heard all of the talk that the Eagles are hot and are the “Giants” of 2009. When Justin Tuck is even saying the the Eagles are the hottest team in in the NFL right now you kow the G-men are using that as motivation. Here is the deal with the Eagles: The Giants have won three of the last 4 meetings and six of nine; Brian Westbrook is injured and not practicing this week, the Eagles are flat out bad in the red zone and have been all year. they were last week and they were in famous games this year like when they played the Bears and could not get one freaking yard. We are not convinced this game will even be close. Giants are coming off the bye, Jacobs is healthy and they love proving people wrong. The Giants are the most healthy they have been since October. All 53 of the players on their 53 man roster practiced this week. If the Vikes had any sort of QB last week, they would have easily won that game.

    The ATS numbers:

    Eagles

    Giants

    Bizarre Head-to-Head numbers

    Whale’s Vagina at Pittsburgh (-6 and OVER/UNDER 38)

    RPJ Is taking San Diego to cover and here is why: We are least confident about this pick and are probably parlaying the other three games. We do nto think the Chargers win this game but we are playing them to cover. This line seems high. This was the infamous Troy P. ref muffed game where Troy returned the TD to cover for the Burg and the refs effed it up and disallowed it. This was the first 11-10 game in NFL history. Pittsburgh did not score a TD in three trips to the red zone and were flagged for 13 penalties. San Diego is on a 5 game winning streak and has averaged 34.4 points per game over that stretch. San Diego did only muster 66 yards in the first meeting and that was with LDT who is out for this game. Interesting stat here…San Diego is 2-13 in 15 trips to San Diego but the two wins were in the playoffs. So San Diego is on a hot streak and scoring points and Pittsburgh has an awesome defense but can not score points. Pittsburgh has only scored 8 TDs in seven games against teams that made the playoffs. We think the Chargers can keep this game closer than 6 points.

    And nobody looks like this in Pittsburgh!

    And nobody looks like this in Pittsburgh!

    The ATS numbers:

    San Diego

    Steelers

    Head-to-Head

    RPJ Pic of the day!

    Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

    2009 BCS NCAA Football Championship Game Pick: Florida versus Oklahoma

    Well we are sad to see the close of the college football season on two fronts. 1) we do not have any more games to bet until August and 2) we know this was a painful year and we likely cost you money. We bankrupted ourselves a few times this year and kept fighting and clawing our way back. Unfortunately for us we dug ourselves such a big hole we could not climb out. We still have the NFL playoffs to leave a lasting mark but NCAA football 2008-2009 season will go down as a painful one. Thank you for all of your support and feedback. OUr records for this bowl season are:

    RPJ = 5-11

    RPJ Math = 14-15

    Flash Flash = 2-2

    Runny Pelvis = 9-6

    Oklahoma versus Florida (-4 and OVER/UNDER 70): This is the grand daddy of them all. There is a lot of complaining this year that there might be a split AP and BCS title winner; that USC and Utah deserve a piece of the pie; the story lines are out there. Fact of the matter is that regardless of who played already, this game is for the BCS national title. The system is flawed and we all have to deal with it. We are going to throw tons of info at you so you can make the best decision for you.

    ATS Numbers

    Florida Gators

    Oklahoma Sooners

    Line moves

     

    This line stayed around +3 through most of December, but it’s been on the move leading up to game time. Most sportsbooks have the Gators favored by four points and some shops have the line as high +4.5. The total has moved down a point to a point and a half depending on the book.

     

    Weather

     

    Players couldn’t ask for better conditions for Thursday’s game according to early weather reports. Forecasters are predicting temperatures in the mid-60’s at game time while winds will be slight at just 8 mph. There is only a 10 percent chance of rain.

     

    Conference exposure

     

    There has been a lot of talk about the Big 12 getting “exposed” this bowl season and the ATS records suggest that’s true. The Big 12 is 2-4 against the number in bowl games so far while the SEC is 5-1.

     

    Bettors best friends

     

    Gator and Sooners bettors come into Jan. 8 with heavy pockets. Both teams went 10-2 ATS (against the spread) and both were perfect on the road at a combined 9-0 ATS.

     

    On the total side of things, the over went 11-1 in Oklahoma games this year and 8-4 in Gators games.

     

    Quick hits

     

    Oklahoma ranks No. 1 and Florida ranks No. 2 in turnover margin this year.

     

    Neither team seems likely to give the ball away much. Oklahoma committed nine turnovers all season, fewest in FBS, while Florida had 11 to tie for the second-fewest.

     

    The Sooners have lost four BCS bowl games in the past five seasons. Stoops is hoping to correct the problem by bringing his team to Miami one day later and imposing earlier curfews than in years past.

     

    Florida returns to the BCS bowl scene after a one-year absence. The Gators won the BCS national championship two years ago in a convincing win over Ohio State.

     

    Oklahoma ranked sixth in kickoff returns this year; Florida ranked 44th.

     

    Florida ranked seventh in punt returns; Oklahoma ranked 70th.

     

    The Sooners allowed the third-fewest sacks in the nation.

    RPJ is taking Florida to win and cover and here is why: Have you been watching this bowl season? The media blew everything out of proportion once again. Pac-10 dominated their bowls, not losing once and the Pac-10 was supposed to be terrible. Big 12 South was embarasing with losses to Oregon and Ole Miss and Texas looking terrible against a horrible Ohio State team. This season all goes back to what we thought at the beginning of the season…USC and Florida are the two best teams in the country. With that being said, only Florida gets the chance to play for the title. Urban Meyer is a winner. Tim Tebow is a winner. Percy Harvin is a winner. Florida is fast as hell. I think 12 guys on their team run the 40 in under 4.4 seconds. One guy that runs a 4.32 40 is the 6th fastest on the team. The Gators have speed on both sides of the ball. Oklahoma is a terrible bowl team under Bob Stoops. Terrible bowl losses to USC and LSU in title games and Boise State and West Virginia in BCS games….. What is different? NOTHING!!!!! Same ole Bob Stoops. Throw in the fact that DeMarco Murray is out of this game and we like Florida even more. Big 12 defenses are not good and Oklahoma gave up 24.5 points per game and 359.1 yards per game. We are learning that it is not because the Big 12 has incredible offenses, it is because they have bad defenses. Anybody can score on a Big 12 team nowadays.

    RPJ Math does not show any real advantage. Favors Oklahoma by tenths of 1 percent.

    RPJ Pic of the day!

    Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

    Free NCAA Football Bowl Picks: Tulsa versus Ball State and Paris Hilton has no breasts!

    This game is a barn burner!!! The GMAC bowl is the second to last bowl of the season. How about that!

    Not even her small tits are excited for this game!

    Not even her small tits are excited for this game!

    Tulsa versus Ball State (-2.5 and OVER/UNDER75)

    RPJ Math is taking Ball State to win and cover!

    RPJ pic of the day!

    Flash Flash and Runny

    NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Texas versus Pop Warner Buckeyes

    Does anybody out there think Ohio State has any sort of chance? We all saw what happened to Penn State, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Northwestern and Michigan State competed but lost. Iowa decimated a terrible South Carolina team but that was the only decent showing by the Big 10. This game is going to get ugly fast.

    Vida Guerra has big cans!

    Vida Guerra has big cans!

    Ohio State versus Texas (-8.5 and OVER/UNDER 52)

    RPJ is picking Texas to win big and cover and here is why: Texas has the travel advantage. Ohio State lost to the only two decent teams it played this year; USC by blowout and Penn State in a close one. Colt McCoy is a man on a mission. We will not bet against him. The nation has seen these games before; the Ohio State faithful bet the Buckeyes because they are insane and irrational. The line comes down and then the Buckeyes get destroyed. Just ask Florida, LSU and USC. Ohio State was even favored in that Florida game. Total insanity but an awesome money making opportunity for the rational bettors out there. The only thing that scares us is that most of the money is on Texas in this game and the line keeps dropping and dropping. Opened at -10.5 and is not down to -7.5 to -8.5 depending when and where you bet. The ATS numbers:

    Ohio State

    Roselyn Sanchez Loves Longhorns!

    Roselyn Sanchez Loves Longhorns!

    Texas

    RPJ Math is taking Texas to win and cover!

    The Wildcard is taking Texas to win and cover and here is why:Tonight is one of the most anticipated Bowl game of the season…Texas and Ohio State.  The line has jumped around from like 10.5 down to 8, and it looks like it’s settling at about 9 right now.  The Wild Card, thinking that the line would increase to 11 or so, bought in at 9.5.  When it dropped to 8 he flipped out, bought a point and put a bunch of cash on Texas -7.  And yes, The Wildcard likes talking in third person. I think Terrelle Pryor will be a special QB..I really do.  But he struggles throwing the ball right now.  Luckily he can run because he’ll definitely need to; Texas’ front four and Brian Orakpo will dominate OSU’s offensive line all night.  With Pryor’s arm not scaring anyone, Texas will be able to man up on the OSU receivers along them to shut down Beanie Wells and the run game. On offense Texas will do what they please.  I’m not a big Colt McCoy fan but he gets his playmakers the ball and let’s them run.  Ohio State’s defense is WAY overrated.  Jenkins, an amazing zone corner, gets beat deep a lot.  Lauranitis is slow reacting and can’t shed blocks.  They just won’t be able to match Texas’ speed on offense and won’t get any pressure on MistaColt.  Texas’ underrated RB’s should have lots of room tonight. Ohio State will come out strong because they will be fired up.  They’re playing for the pride of the entire Big 10.  It won’t matter…Texas turns the jets on in the third quarter and cruises. Texas 34, Ohio State 16

    RPJ Pic of the day!

    Up close and personal!

    Up close and personal!

    Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

    2009 NFL Playoffs: Free Picks, Hot Chicks and Kate Beckinsale’s Nips! Will the Underdog Rule Supreme?

    Our NFL season was better than our NCAA season and we really made a nice run at the end of the year. We are wiping the slate clean and fired up for another round of playoffs. We wish we had the Pats to bet against this year but we will make due. Some points of interest:

    1) Join our mailing list. We will be coming at you with special contests for cold hard cash and prizes. NCAA hoops should be the first event.

    2) Join our page on Facebook. Search all within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate and join our page as a fan. We post all of our pictures there. RPJ’s gallery of ass!

    3) Sign up for our RSS feed so you can be the first to know when we post our picks. Lines move fast so do not miss out.

    4) This is a serious one….We were just notified by one of our readers that Sportsbook.com is not sending him his winnings and not telling him why. He thinks the U.S. government is cracking down. If you have a sportsbook.com account, try and get your money out ASAP or at least give them a call to find out if you are impacted like our friend. We do not want you to miss one of our big winning streaks and certainly want to keep our gambling brothers and sisters in the know.

    5) If you have not done so yet, try out Bodog for your betting needs. We use them and we have never had any issues. Here is an ad for a 10% bonus.

    Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

    On with the picks….

    Saturday, January 3, 2009

    Atlanta at Arizona (-1 and Over/Under 51)

    RPJ is taking Arizona to win and cover and here is why: As much as we hate to say it, this pick is mostly from our gut. Generally, we avoid doing that, but this one stands out and we are rolin’ with it. Zona’s offense is awesome, an they are at home. Also, Matt Ryan is legit, but he is due to have a rookie game. Plus, w’ve heard reports that he is getting tired from not being used to playing this much. We like Zona to cover.

    Indianapolis at San Diego (Pick ‘Em and Over/Under 51)

    RPJ is taking Indy to win and cover and here is why: We love Manning in the playoffs. Fresh off his 3rd MVP award, his team is finally at full strength. Bob Saunders is back and he will stop LT. Manning knows how to win on the road in January. The Colts win this one.

    Sunday, January 4, 2009

    Layla Kayleigh

    Layla Kayleigh

    Baltimore at Miami (+3.5 and Over/Under37.5)

    Runny is taking Baltimore to win and cover and here is why: I love Baltimore’s D. The Fin played well all year, but Baltimore’s D is made for the playoffs. Ray Lewis and Ed Reed play for these games. They will have the team fired up and ready. Flacco, although a rookie, is mobile. He can avoid the Fins rush. Also, the Ravens will be able to run against this Fins team. The Ravens cover.

    Roselyn Sanchez

    Roselyn Sanchez

    Philadelphia at Minnesota (+3 and Over/Under 41.5)

    RPJ is taking the Eagles to win and cover and here is why: The Vikings have a great run defense and only give up 76.8 yards per game. That is the true strength of the Vikes D. Well the Eagles do not play smash mouth football and run up the gut over and over again like the Falcons or Ravens. The Eagles pass and use play action and pretty much put Westbrook in any position they can for him to succeed. They will not match wits inside and that will essentially negate the Vikes big advantage. The Vikes can also get after the QB and sacked opposing QBs 45 times this year but guess what, the Eagles were better and sacked opposing QBs 48 times. As we explained during our Colts write up, the most relevant factors to winning in the NFl this year were offensive 3rd down %, Defensive Sacks and Turnover margin. The Eagles are better in all three of these areas. Here are the ATS numbers:

    Eagles

    Vikings

    Head-to-Head

    These teams look similar as far as hot streaks go but the Eagles are a better cover team. The Vikings are 5-1 str8 up and 3-3 ATS in their last 6. The Eagles are 4-2 str8 up and ATS in their last 6. The Eagles, when motivated and focused can beat any team, anywhere. We do not think the Vikings can say the same thing. Eagles win on the road and cover!

    RPJ Pic of the day!

    Love Kate Beckinsale's nips!!!

    Love Kate Beckinsale

    The NFL playoffs, gotta love em!

    Flash and Runny

    NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: January 2 Bowl Games

    blah blah blah ASS!

    Ole Miss versus Texas Tech (-4 and OVER/UNDER 66)

    Runny Pelvis is taking Ole Miss to cover and here is why: Ole Miss has a solid run D and their front 7 will get pressure on Harrell. Harrell, without question, is a different QB when he is pressured. Oregon proved earlier in the week that if you hit these high profile Big 12 teams in the mouth, they can be beat. Ole Miss has the front 7 to do it. They are big. They are fast. And, they can attack Tech’s spread. Ole Miss beat Florida. They can do the same today. Also, Jevan Sneed is VERY underrated. He is as good as Harrell. Ole Miss will be able to run, too, as Tech’s overall D is pretty suspect. I’m taking Ole Miss and the points.

    RPJ Math Selects Ole Miss

    East Carolina versus Kentucky (+3 and OVER/UNDER 41)

    RPJ Math is taking Kentucky to cover!

    Utah versus Alabama (-9.5 and OVER/UNDER 45.5)

    Flash Flash is taking Alabama to win and cover and here is why: This chick is awesome. I want to bet on teams with fans like this.

    Stroke my Bama logo please!!!!

    Stroke my Bama logo please!!!!

    What do you have in Utah Runny? That is what I thought. This game is only 290 miles from Tuscaloosa and is deep in the heart of SEC country. Yes Utah has won 12 in a row and covered their last three but they did not play SEC competition. Yeah the Mountain West can beat up on the Pac-10 but the Mountain West is still a second tier conference. Bama lost their last game but it was to Florida and prior to that they had covered 5 in a row. I think Bama just got spooked that they were actually hanging with Florida. The young kids did not have the maturity to put that game away. Alabama has more talent, speed and a better coach and that will do it.

    Runny Pelvis is taking Utah to cover and here is why: Girls don’t win games, Flash. The players do, and Bama’s key is their QB. John Parker Wilson has been playing with the house’s money all year. He is not a good QB, and Florida showed that in the SEC Championship. He is due to make huge mistakes, and he will in the game. Bama will not have Andre Smith. That will have a huge impact on their running game (as well as pass protection-he blocks Wilson’s blind side). Bama could not contain the spread offense the last time they face it (Florida). It is the same offense that Utah runs. Utah will cover and I would not be surprised if they win outright.

    RPJ Math does not have a pick. Alabama covers in this game 70.5% of the time. Utah covers in this game 68.&% of the time. No edge.

    RPJ Pick of the Day

    Holly Madison

    Holly Madison

    Enjoy the Picks

    Flash Flash and Runny

    NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: New Year’s Day Games and an ASS Brigade!

    Games are flying by now and it is hard to keep track of everything going on. What we are able to keep track of is the tons of the ass we love looking at.

    Iowa versus South Carolina (+4 and OVER/UNDER 43)

    RPJ is taking Iowa and here is why: This game is in Tampa so USC wins the travel advantage and that is all we think they will win. The Cocks have lost two bad games in a row (Clemson and Florida) and were 0-2 ATS in that time stretch. On the other side of the ball, Iowa has won 3 in a row and is 2-1 ATS in their last 3.

    RPJ Math takes Iowa

    Clemson versus Nebraska (+1 and OVER/UNDER 56.5)

    Runny is taking Nebraska to cover and here is why: Clemson is terrible on the road against legit teams. And, Nebraska’s D is very good. Clemson is a mess. They won’t cover. I’m taking the Huskers and the points.

    RPJ Math Selects Nebraska

    Michigan State versus Georgia (-9.5 and OVER/UNDER 54)

    Runny is taking Georgia to cover and here is why: MSU is too one dimensional. Granted, that one dimension (Jevon Ringer) is outstanding, but it won’t help them in a Bowl. Espeically against a legit team with a chip on their shoulder. I’m taking the Bulldogs and giving the points.

    RPJ Math is taking Michigan State

    Penn State versus USC (-9 and OVER/UNDER 45)

    RPJ is taking USC to cover and here is why:We have seen this game before as we stated in our bowl preview. Penn State has little to no chance in this game. USC has the best defense in recent memory and the D has a lot of players playing in their last game for USC. This defense is fired up and will look to live up to its billing. The offenses look similar on paper but USC has more playmakers and their offense is a lot more dynamic. Pete Carroll has already come out and said that he understands Penn State’s defense and that it all comes down to execution. Well Penn State will not be able to execute against the Trojans defense. No freakin way. This game is in the Rose Bowl and USC considers this a home game. USC has played almost 1.5 times a year there in the last 6 years. Penn State is 2-1 in their last 3 games and 1-2 ATS. USC has won 9 in a row but is only 4-5 ATS.

    RPJ Math is picking Penn State to cover!

    Virginia Tech versus Cincy (-2 and OVER/UNDER 41.5)

    Runny is taking Cinncy to win and cover and here is why: VaTech’s offense can’t score. Their D is a good, and I expect them to play well in this game, but Cinncy can move the ball better than the Hokies. They will win by a field goal. I’m taking Cinncy nd giving the points.

    RPJ Math is taking Cinncy to win and cover!

    RPJ Pic of the Day!

    A Heidi Klum fan favorite!

    A Heidi Klum fan favorite!

    Hope you enjoyed your day of ball!

    Flash and Runny

    NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks and Hot Chicks: Games for 12/31/2008 and Tribute to Keyra

    Our records are as follows:

    RPJ = 2-6 (1-1 yesterday)

    RPJ Math = 9-7 (1-1 yesterday)

    Flash = 2-1 (no action yesterday)

    Runny = 5-5 (1-0 yesterday)

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    We needed to invoke the spirit of Keyra Augustina and no better place to do it than on New Year’s so we could all celebrate the end of the year with one of the greatest asses of all time.

    Air Force Versus Houston (-4 and OVER/UNDER 66)

    RPJ is taking Air Force to cover and here is why: Air Force already won this game once when they were not supposed to and looks like the “experts” are asking them to be underdogs once again. Air Force has lost two in a row str8 up and ATS but they were against TCU and BYU and we all know Air Force is neither of those schools. They were on a 5 game win streak before that. Houston lost to Rice in their last game and is 3-1 str8 up and 2-2 ATS in their last 4 games. We know Houston can score in bunches but Air Force already played them and plays a ball control style of offense; one that is perfectly suited for keeping the ball away from Houston. Throw in the fact that there is a 17 turnover difference between their turnover margins (Air Force +12 and Houston -5) and this is where the game will be won. The ATS numbers:

    Air Force

  • Falcons are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
  • Falcons are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Falcons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. CUSA.
  • Falcons are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
  • Falcons are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
  • Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Houston

  • Cougars are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Cougars are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Cougars are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
  • Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Cougars are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
  • Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • RPJ Math takes Air Force

    This pic should be in the Louvre!

    This pic should be in the Louvre!

    Pitt versus Oregon State (-1 and OVER/UNDER 51)

    RPJ Math selects Oregon State

    Boston College versus Vanderbilt (+3.5 and OVER/UNDER 40.5)

    RPJ is taking BC to win and cover and here is why: This game is in Nashville so that clearly favors Vanderbilt but this is the same Vandy team that lost in Nashville to Duke. After a fast start, Vandy is now 1-6 in their last 7 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Vandy will be pumped up though because this is their first bowl game in 26 years and they have not won one in 50 years. Vandy now is running a QB smorgasbord of suckiness. We do not know who will play or when and the last time out Vandy threw 3 QBs out there. This will not bode well against a BC team that led the nation with 26 INTs. BC has won 8 straight bowl games and looks to continue with their streak. They did lose to Va. Tech in the ACC title game after their Frosh QB was overwhelmed but the Vandy D is nowhere close to The Hokies’ D. Prior to the ACC title game, BC was 4-0 str8 up and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games. We do not think this game will be close.

    RPJ Math shows no real advantage. Vanderbilt covers this game 58.3% of the time and BC 56.6% of the time. RPJ Math has no pick.

    Minnesota versus Kansas (-8.5 and OVER/UNDER 59)

    RPJ is taking Kansas to win and cover and here is why: Mark Mangino and Todd Reesing. We love the Fat Man and Doug Flutie II. Kansas wins the travel advantage and is 500 miles closer than Minny. Kansas is 2-2 str8 up and ATS in their last 4 games but did upset Missouri their last time out. Minnesota has been terrible since blowing their game to Northwestern in one of the biggest lapses of the season. Minny has lost 4 in a row (3 at home) and is 1-3 ATS in their last 4. Minny even lost 55-0 to Iowa in their last game and now gets to play against a well coached team with a spark plug for a QB. This might be the largest margin of victory of the bowl season. Check out these Kansas ATS numbers:

  • Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
  • Jayhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
  • Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
  • Jayhawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
  • Jayhawks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite.
  • Jayhawks are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Jayhawks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
  • RPJ math shows no real advantage. Minnesota should cover the spread in this game 63.6% of the time and Kansas 63.1% of the time. RPJ Math has no pick!

    LSU versus Georgia Tech (-4 and OVER/UNDER 53)

    RPJ is picking Georgia Tech to win and cover and here is why: This game is in Georgia so Tech clearly wins the travel advantage. LSU is a mess. The Tigers have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6. The one win was a miracle comeback against Troy. Georgia Tech is hot right now and Paul Johnson has this team peaking. The Yellow Jackets have won 3 of 4, are 2-1-1 ATS in their last 4 and recently beat Georgia in a great comeback and MIami. This game might get really ugly, really fast. You know Tech wants to pound another SEC team and LSU wants to go run and hide. The ATS numbers:

    LSU

  • Tigers are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
  • Tigers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Georgia Tech

  • Yellow Jackets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
  • Yellow Jackets are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Yellow Jackets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Yellow Jackets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
  • Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
  • Yellow Jackets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Yellow Jackets are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games.
  • RPJ Math selects Georgia Tech. This is one of the largest mismatches of the bowl season. LSU covers in this game 18-20% of the time and Georgia Tech covers 75% of the time.

    Flash Flash parlay of the year: If your true degenerate side is coming out today then I have a parlay for you…..BC, Kansas and Georgia Tech. I love these three games and have them parlayed, locked, loaded and ready for action. Teaser can’t hurt either.

    RPJ Video of the day. Of course we had to include the original Keyra shake her booty video. This think is mesmorizing and we think her ass would end every debate, argument and war in the world. Just show this video every time somebody has a dispute of any sort.

    Hope you enjoyed the Keyra tribute!

    Flash and Runny!

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