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2009-2010 Winning Bowl Picks: We pick winners for the rest of the bowl season!

We are sitting here a pissed off 3-7 in this very short bowl season. There are still 24 games to go and we are extremely ticked off. This is a big time repeat of last year when we sucked it in the early games and then scrappy Jonesed it for the rest of the season barely making a living. Our analysis is no longer worth writing and we are going to break down the remaining games in one of three ways:

1) RPJ special sauce - These are our magic special sauce picks. Our secret bread and butter. The way we pick these are proprietary and we do not share how we pick them. You won’t give a damn anyways because our bowl picks have been terrible. Your best bet is to pick against us. These picks are now 2-4 on the season.

2) Statistical picks - We base these picks purely on math. When one team is statistically better in every single category we track, we pick that team to win the game. So far this type of pick is 0-1 on the season with Nevada blow it for us.

3) The Defense running pick - This is when we pick the underdog to cover when that underdog gives up less than 100 yards rushing on defense and the favorite does not. These picks win outright 70% of the time on a historical basis. On the season these picks are 1-1, with Central Florida losing and UNC covering.

We will probably come at you with some detailed analysis on some of the bigger games but for now we will show you our picks and the lines we took them. On with the Picks…..

Monday December 28, 2009

Independence Bowl: Texas A&M versus Georgia (-7) - RPJ Pick takes Texas A&M to cover! (loss 3-8)

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Eagle Bank Bowl: UCLA (-3.5) versus Temple - RPJ Pick takes UCLA to win and cover (Win 4-8)

Champs Sports Bowl: Wisconsin versus Miami (-3.5) - Defense Run pick selects Wisconsin to cover! (Win 5-8)

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Humanitarian Bowl: Bowling Green (-1) versus Idaho - RPJ pick takes Bowling Green to win and cover! (Loss 5-9)

Holiday Bowl: Nebraska versus Arizona (-1) - Defense Run pick selects Nebraska to cover! (Win 6-9)

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force versus Houston (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes Houston to win and cover! (Loss 6-10)

Sun Bowl: Stanford versus Oklahoma (-10) - RPJ pick takes Stanford to cover! (Win 7-10)

Texas Bowl: Navy versus Missouri (-6.5) - RPJ pick takes Missouri to win and cover! (Loss 7-11)

Insight Bowl: Iowa State versus Minnesota (-2.5) - RPJ pick takes Iowa State to cover! (Win 8-11)

Chik-Fil-A Bowl: Tennessee versus Virginia Tech (-5) - RPJ pick takes Va. Tech to win and cover! (Win 9-11)

Friday January 1, 2010

Outback Bowl: Northwestern versus Auburn (-7) - RPJ pick takes Northwestern to cover! (Win 10-11)

Gator Bowl: Florida State versus West Virginia (-2.5) - RPJ takes WVU to win and cover! (Loss 10-12)

Capital One Bowl: LSU versus Penn State (+2) - Stat pick takes Penn St. to win and cover! (Win 11-12)

Rose Bowl: Oregon (-4) versus Ohio State - Defense run pick takes Ohio St. to cover! (Win 12-12)

Sugar Bowl: Cincinnati versus Florida (-12.5) - Stat pick takes Florida to win and cover! (Win 13-12)

Saturday, January 2, 2010

International Bowl: Northern Illinois versus South Florida (-7) - RPJ pick takes N. Illinois to cover! (Loss 13-13)

Papa Johns Bowl: UCONN versus South Carolina (-4.5) - RPJ pick takes UCONN to cover! (14-13)

Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss (-3) versus Oklahoma State - Defense Run pick takes Ok. St. to cover! (loss 14-14)

Liberty Bowl: Arkansas (-7.5) versus East Carolina - RPJ pick takes Arkansas to win and cover! (Loss 14-15)

Alamo Bowl: Michigan State versus Texas Tech (-8) - RPJ takes Texas Tech to win and cover! (Win 15-15)

Monday January 4, 2010

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State versus TCU (-7) - Stat pick takes TCU to win and cover!

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Orange Bowl: Iowa versus Georgia Tech (-3.5) - RPJ takes Georgia Tech to win and cover!

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

GMAC Bowl: Troy versus Central Michigan (-3.5) - Stat pick takes C. Michigan to win and cover!

Thursday, January 7, 2010

BCS National Championship Game: Texas versus Alabama (-4) - RPJ takes Texas to cover!

Free NCAA Football Week 13 Winning Picks: Saturday’s List of Winners Part II: Rivalry Edition

Well we smoked it last week, 14-7 to be exact, when we simply picked a ton of games and listed our winners. We are not going to argue against the betting gods so here is our list of winners part II. We love rivalry week!

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Rivalry week games that mean absolutely nothing

Southern Miss at East Carolina (-6) - We are picking Southern Miss to cover. Might even take the money line for a few.

Central Florida at UAB (+3) - We are picking Central Florida to win and cover.

The How the Mighty have Fallen Rivalry Games: Disappointing year for the Sooners and Trojans.

North Carolina (-5.5) at NC State - We are picking UNC to win and cover.

Clemson (-3) at South Carolina - We are picking Clemson to win and cover.

Ole Miss (-7.5) at Mississippi State - We are picking Ole MIss to win and cover.

Vriginia Tech (-16) at Virginia - We are picking Virginia Tech to win and cover.

Last chance to mock Notre Dame in the Regular season Game!

Notre Dame (-10) at Stanford - We nailed that UCONN cover last week and this week will probably be worse for The Irish. Harbaugh and the Tree will be mad that they lost last week and will look to pound Notre Dame before heading off to whatever bowl game will have them. Also, adding insult to the whole thing was that The Tedford Turd Sandwiches were the team that knocked Stanford out of the Rose Bowl hunt must really hurt. We are calling it out on Karma. Harbaugh was a douche going for two, up 47-21 with 6 minutes to go against USC and one week later he gets beat by a mediocre Cal team. Serves Stanford right. Back to the task at hand and that is beating Notre Dame. Stanford has a great rushing attack and one of the best RBs in the nation. Notre Dame could not stop a pee wee team. The Irish give up 160 yards per game on the ground and let rushers get 4.6 yards per carry. We will enjoy watching Charlie Weis lose his last game for the Irish. Isn’t it great to see a Notre Dame team as more than 7 point dawgs to freakin Stanford. We love college football!  We are betting Stanford to win and cover in this game.

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

NCAA Football Preview Spectacular - Celebrating 140 years of College Football

Our most favorite time of year is finally upon us…NCAA FOOTBALL. There really is nothing better. The purpose of this post will be to share our thoughts, ideas, predictions, etc… in 140 different ways as we celebrate 140 years of NCAA Football. Print now because this is some great work bathroom reading. We promise this will occupy your dump time for at least 10-15 minutes.

We want to thank all of our loyal readers and welcome any new readers. If you are not familiar with us, here is the scoop. Every single bet we post on this blog, we bet with our own money. We are not here to screw around or lose money. We want to win every bet we place and we want YOU to win every bet you place alongside us. When we list the lines alongside our picks, these are the lines we placed our bets at. NO EXCEPTIONS. Also, we are always here for our readers. You can email us at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com if you want to remain private or you can post to our Facebook page by searching within Facebook for RPJ Betting Syndicate.  Also, our website has some great analysis tools that we have access through our partnership with Bodog. We have live lines as well as matchup analysis tools. These are free for you to check out anytime. Let us know if you want us to Twitter. We think the jury is still out on whether or not Twitter is relevant but we are open to suggestions.

If you like what you see, like our picks and like our free analysis tools, we would appreciate it if you signed up through our website to use Bodog as your betting vehicle of choice. We love Bodog and have never had any issues getting our money out. The same can not be said for BetUs, Sportbook and other sites so bettor be warned!!!

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Bodog is operated in North America under License by Morris Mohawk Gaming Group.

In honor of 2009 being the 140th College football season, we are going to make 140 observations, predictions, bets, historical references, Notre Dame jokes, USC homer statements, etc…

2009 NCAA Football Season Predictions, Analysis, Trends and Observations

140 - The number of pounds that Charlie Weis’s left man boob weighs.

139 - Adding the numbers equals 13….will be the minimum amount of points Ohio State will lose by to USC on September 12. Yep, you heard it hear first… USC wins by at least two TDs at Columbus.

138 - The number of rushes it took LeGarrette Blount, RB Oregon, to reach 1,008 yards rushing last season. Good for a 7.3 yard average per rush. We are looking for big things out of the Oregon backfield this season. Early season test at Boise State.

137 -  1+3+7=11…USC averaged 86,793 in attendance last year for 11th in the country. We road tripped for the OSU game last year. Let us tell you, USC knows how to party for big games! Great fans. Best Buy had a tent. Their home schedule is weak this year, so the key to their national championship dreams will come down to their road performance with big games in Columbus, South Bend, Berkley and Eugene. Look for USC to be in very close games. Jump on the lines accordingly. We’ll be watching!!

136 - The number of wins Bill Snyder had as a coach of Kansas State. Sorry Bill, you are old and well past your prime. You will be lucky to have 140 career K State wins by the end of the year.

135 - San Jose State Coach Dick Tomey’s career losses. Dick is actually the 7th winningest active coach right now with a record of 181-135-7. Dick opens the season at USC and at home against Utah. Those 135 career losses will start climbing pretty fast in 2009.

134 - The yards passing per game USC’s D gave up last year. Tops in the nation. Next closest was TCU at 170 tards/game. It will be interesting to see how USC’s D holds up this year. They lost a ton of starters over the offseason. We’ll see how the “rebuilding” goes..the last time this happened was 2007 and they did just fine. See you in Columbus on 9/12!!!!

133 - The number of points scored in 2008 by Missouri Kicker Jeff Wolfert. You know you care about that.

132 - The yards rushing per game Buffalo gained (actually 132.71. Big things are expected out of the Bulls this year. We loved rooting for them last year and will do this same in 2009. Go Bulls!!!! On a sad note, Senior RB James Starks is injured and will miss his senior season.

131 - The number of points TCU’s defense gave up last year, which was good for #2 in the country. Keep reading and you will see the #1 team and their sub-100 point season.

130 - The number of pounds of food Mark Mangino eats every day for breakfast. We love us some Coach Mangino. Kansas is the 4th or 5th best team in the Big 12 but the Conference is stacked. We hope Mangino and Reesing can pull off a big time upset.

129 - Amount of seasons before Michigan suffered its first 9 loss season. It took Bo Schembechler 7 seasons to lose 9 games. Rich Rodriguez did go 9-4 his second year at West Virginia and that followed a 3-8 debut for the Mounties. Notre Dame in week 2 will be a good indication and a home revenge game. Michigan returns 16 starters from last year and 11 on Offense.

128 - The number of pounds of undigested lard that were sucked out of Charlie Weis’s belly during his botched tummy tuck surgery. We hope the Heart Attack Grill was able to buy some of the lard on the cheap.

127 - Yards per game improvement by Nebraska on defense last season. Their rush defense was the most improved in the nation. Bo Pelini showed he can coach but will he be able to improve on a 9-4 record?

126 - NC State rushing yards per game in 2008. This team was a cover machine last season at 9-2-1. One of the best teams to bet on in the country. Big opening game against Spurrier’s Cocks in week 1 and a revenge game at home.

125 - North Carolina rushing yards per game in 2008. Is this the year Butch Davis’ team breaks out. We are not so sure. He recruits well but he still needs to get past Va. Tech and a nasty, improving Georgia Tech team.

124 - Colorado rushing yards per game. Will the Hawkins father son duo make some noise this year or will the powers that be in the Big 12…Texas and Oklahoma State eat Buffalo burger this season? We think the later.

123 - 1+2+3 = 6 and there were 6 turnovers in the Boise State vs. Oregon game last season. 4 by Oregon and 2 by Boise State. We do not see Masoli throwing three picks in this game. This is one of our two prime time games for opening weekend. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions.

122 - The number of tackles for loss generated by Oregon for tops in the nation. This team is legit and has a very solid chance of winning the PAC-10. We love or Trojans, but it will be a tall order beating this team in Eugene. If they beat SC, they have to be considered for the national championship game.

121 - Cincinnati rushing yards per game in 2008. Senior QB Tony Pike is back in 2009 and these city boys put a scare or two into somebody each year. We will know this team early as they open at Rutgers on 9/7/2009 and then head to Oregon State on 9/19/2009. A win at either place will be impressive.

120 - Central Florida’s offensive ranking last season. 120 out of 120. What does this distinction look like you ask? 229.5 yards of total offense per game, 113 yards rushing with a 3.0 yards per carry mark, 116 yards passing per game and 16.6 points per game. On the bright side, they really have no place to go but up.

119 - 1+1+9 = 11 and Tulsa had 11 wins last season, which was the first time a Conference USA team had 11 wins since 2004. The biggest change this offense will incur is under center, as David Johnson is now gone after accounting for 49 touchdowns in 2008. Jacob Bower, last year’s backup, has the edge in the quarterback race, but he is being pushed by Texas transfer G.J. Kinne, and incoming freshman Shavodrick Beaver. The player that emerges with the job will get a terrific opportunity to build a name for himself behind this powerful attack.

118 - Tulane’s average yards rushing per game. How about some Conference USA love? Back to back C-USA news items. Gotta love it!

117 - Kansas State’s Defensive ranking last season. Bill Snyder is a hero but will he leave town as a goat this time around. This is asking for a lot.

116 - Amount of offensive yards Washington State gained against USC last season. Keep reading…Notre Dame did even worse.

115 - Tennessee’s Offensive ranking last year. That was 115 out of 119. An improvement in this number will show Vols fans that Kiffin can coach. We know Monte can but the jury is still out on Lane.

114 - 114 fans showed up to Temple’s Fourth Annual Fan Fest on August 26. No we were not there, we just heard it was definitely 114 fans.

113 -Mississippi State’s offensive ranking last season. Man that SEC is stacked from top to bottom with zero easy games ever. Yeah right!!!!

112 - Centuries that must pass before Notre Dame wins another national title. God told us. Lou Holtz is on crack with his Florida/ND BCS title game prediction this season. How do we bet against this? Holtz should back himself as a prop bet.

111 - Add a 5 to 111 and you get 5,111 passing yards for Graham Harrell last season; the first back to back 5,000 seasons in NCAA history. Texas Tech had a story book season last year and Coach Leach finds new QBs for his system every year. The Red Raiders will not sneak up on anybody this season but they still have talent and might be able to pull off some major upsets. We will find out pretty quickly how good this team is after they travel to Austin on 9/19.

110 - The number of career wins for Nick Saban. He has a career record of 110-50-1, 5th best winning % among active coaches. Saban has talent at BAMA this season but they spanking Utah gave them could provide one long, nasty hangover. Huge first game against Virginia Tech will be telling. Also, keep in mind that Saban has never won ten games back to back. Now combine that with breaking in a new QB and revamped OL and we see trouble ahead.

109 - The amount of yards per game LSU’s defense deteriorated last season. We knew they had QB issues but the Tigers D was terrible. Maybe Les Miles should have taken the Michigan job after all. Lots to work on in Baton Rouge.

108 - Miami (Ohio) average yards rushing per game in 2008. Check out this fantastic team marketing….Fans looking for premium savings and ideal seat location get the best of both worlds by purchasing RedHawk season tickets. Season tickets–including the game against Kentucky– are only $120. Prices are even more affordably priced for Miami faculty and staff ($105), senior citizens ($110), and youth under 18 ($100). What a bargain!!!

107 - 107,000 seats. The size of Michigan’s Ann Arbor football stadium. Hopefully they get to see more than 4 wins this season.

106 -Kentucky’s offensive ranking last season. We are seeing a trend here. Why is the SEC the best conference in the country when 5 teams finished worse than 100 in total offense last season.

105 - Number of yards USC Freshman De’Von Flournoy had in their last scrimmage. 105 yards on three catches with 1 TD. This is not one of USC’s 5 star recruits but this kid is tearing up camp and has been even more impressive than Barkley. Put Flourney and RoJo on the field at the same time and zero secondaries will be able to cover these guys. USC rebuilding, yeah right!

104 - Auburn’s Offensive ranking from 2008. We know Gene Chizik has his hands full. Chizik was only 5-19 at Iowa State. Welcome to the SEC Gene!!!

103 - Wake Forest’s offensive ranking in 2008. This stat was shocking but I guess really shows how great their defense was last season. Wake will test itself early as it opens at home against Baylor and Stanford. Two teams on the rise and looking to prove themselves. We will probably stay clear of this team early until we get to see what they have under the hood.

102 - Amount of points Conference USA’s leading scorer scored last season. Any guess as to who it was? RB Bryce Beall of Houston.

101 - Duke’s offensive ranking in 2008. Dukie fans were actually impressed with 4 wins last season under Coach Cutcliffe. At some programs, a four-win season would be considered mediocre or disappointing. But at Duke, the accomplishment earned first-year head coach David Cutcliffe third place in the ACC Coach of the Year voting and helped trigger a change in perception of the Blue Devils. Although Duke fans may be happy, we are not sure where Duke will show improvement this season. A tough ACC schedule (Duke was 1-7 last season in the ACC) and a road game at Kansas might make 4-8 a pipe dream this season.

100 - Yards per game drop in Arizona State’s offense on a per game basis last year. The Sun Devils had a 6 game losing streak at home last season. We think it is time for ASU to send Erickson packing.

99 - Ralph Friedgen has dropped nearly 100 pounds since October with an improved diet and exercise. Kudos to you Coach. Maybe Charlie Weis can learn something from you. Hard work and exercise set a better example then stomach stapling surgery you lazy fat oaf!!!

98 - The number of Georgia Bulldog wins the last ten years, which is good for best in the SEC. Where is their national title? It certainly will not come this year when Oklahoma State shows this SEC team who is boss this season.

97 - The number of starts by Notre Dame’s Offensive Line. This just shows that experience does not always matter cause Notre Dame still stinks.

96 - 9+6=15 and 15 is Aaron Corp’s jersey number. USC needs this guy under center, not Barkley if they want to make it to another BCS title game. Barkley might be the QB of the future but Corp is the QB of now.

95 - Average yards passing per game for Georgia Tech last year. One of only 4 teams under 100 yards per game. No surprise that Army, Navy and Air Force were the other 3.

94 - Number of times we laughed looking at the following picture….

93 - The number of points USC’s defense gave up last year. Sick!!! All the sports banter going across the airwaves now is calling this USC D suspect because of how many starters it lost at the end of the year. Coach Carroll faced a similar ”rebuilding” in 2007. Didn’t seem to bother him or the team one bit. OSU will not score more than 14 points on September 12.

92 - 92,000 seats at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge.

91 - Amount of yards Notre Dame gained against USC’s defense last year. And people actually think Weis is an offensive genius.

90 - The number of times Jimmy Clausen will be sacked in his career at Notre Dame.

89 - The number of days it took us to write this blog post. Just kidding but not by too much!

88 - Texas A&M rushing yards per game in 2008. We thought Mike Sherman would run first, pass second last season but we were wrong. He had Javorskie Lane, the 300 pound RB and he could still not move the pile. Sherman just names Jerrod Johnson his starting QB but we do not see how there will be much to smile about. By the end of last season, the Aggies had fallen to the bottom of the Big 12 South. They want to make certain that last-place finish was just an aberration, not a reflection of a sagging program. Mike Sherman has already addressed locker room issues that divided last year’s team. This year’s group seems to have bought in. That’s only part of any possible turnaround story. Despite a solid recruiting class, the Aggies are young, lack depth at key positions and may find it difficult to improve last season’s 4-8 record. More competitiveness against Texas and Oklahoma (or even Baylor) would be a sign of progress.

87 - Amount of rushing yards per game USC’s defense gave up last year.

86 -Number of career receptions for Ole Miss hybrid player Dexter McCluster. Dexter is a physical specimen and Ole Miss is going to try and put the ball in his hands 20 times a game. The 5-foot-8 McCluster played at 162 pounds last season, but he’s up to 170 pounds entering this season. He’s incredibly strong for his size and bench-presses 340 pounds and squats more than 400 pounds. This guy is going to be fun to watch.

85 - 85,000 seats at Nebraksa’s Memorial Stadium.

84 - Receptions by Eric Decker, WR Minnesota, for tops in the Big-10 last season. Minnesota WR, Eric Decker returns for his senior season. Gopher fans get to enjoy Mr. Decker in their new stadium this season, TCF Bank Stadium, which looks awesome. We will be there when USC comes to town in a few years.

83 - The number of wins by Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel over the last 8 seasons. Optimism is high in Columbus with Pryor under center but this team only returns 38 lettermen, 11 starters and 4 on offense. If OSU can get past USC on 9/12 the might roll undefeated into Happy Valley on 11/7. Hopefully we do not get to witness another Big 10 team in the national title game this decade. We know that end result.

82 - Number of wins USC has over the last 7 seasons to go along with 7 Pac-10 titles, two national championships and end of season top 5 rankings. USC’s dominance has inspired dismissive references to the conference as the “Pac-1″ and the “Lack-Nine” among fans from other regions. A lot of experts are predicting this is the season USC drops a notch. It will all come down to A) Aaron Corp being healthy or B) Matt Barkley’s ability to play college ball. If A is the case then Trojan fans have nothing to worry about. B is the X factor.

81 - Seconds of fame for the Florida State girls. Slightly more than a minute but less than 2.

80 - The number of STDs that were passed in this picture…

79 - Passing yards by Cal QB Nate Longshore against USC last season. Well Nate has moved on and Jeff “Turd Sandwich” Tedford is backing Kevin Riley. Keep in mind, Kevin Riley was 4 for 16 for 59 yards 0 TDs and 1 INT last season against USC. Cal really needs a QB to show up this year if they want to compete in the Pac-10. Jahvid Best is the man but when you can put 8 in the box, he is shut down. We love and hate betting for or against Jeff Tedford’s Bears. He usually burns us and 21 points against Maryland in game #1 is a big number to overcome. We will probably be on the CAL sidelines until we can figure out what this team is really about.

78 - Florida gators defense… out of 78 starts at the three LB positions the last two years, every start was made by a LB that returns this season. The Gators depth and experience on Defense will be sick this season.

77 - Reason #77 to love USC TRojans…

76 - Nick Howell, OT USC Trojans. Just one of 8 linemen with experience that will protect Corp or Barkley. This is why USC is still ranked in the pre-season top 5 with an inexperienced QB. Offensive line depth is the key to early season trouble games like 9/12 in The Shoe.

75 - This is the 75th anniversary of the Heisman trophy. Will Bradford or Tebow match Archie Griffin as the only two time winner or will Colt McCoy or a darkhouse candidate make a splash like Houston’s Case Keenum. Last year Keenum passed for 5,020 yards, 44 TDs with only 11 picks. Houston and the OVER anyone?

74 - Dan LeFevour’s career passing TDs. Our man crush gets to continue for one more season. The Fever has a brutal early schedule but he should be able to get his points. We love you DAN!!! His 11,702 total yards are the most among any active player, and if he averages 300 yards of offense a game this season (his career average), he’ll end his college tenure ranked third in FBS history in total offense.

73 - USC’s margin of victory of Notre Dame the last two seasons. Thats right folks. The combined score was 76-3. It won’t get any better this year. Claussen cursed himself when he said he would beat USC and the curse lives on.

72 - Combined bowl wins for Middle Tennessee State’s coaching staff. Where else can you get a stat on Middle Tennessee State? If you are not impressed with this then you do not deserve to read on.

71 - The ranking for sacks allowed/game for Texas. They allowed 2 sacks per game and are at the bottom of the pack for D1 teams. It didn’t seem to bother them too much last year-they arguably should have been playing Florida in the title game last year. However, this stat is telling because it may be a sign of trouble for Colt McCoy. They need to impove on this to keep Colt healthy and their teams hopes alive.

70 - Colt McCoy’s career completion percentage. Colt will be this seasons Tim Tebow, meaning he will be the most motivated man in the land. We expect big things from Colt. Potential Heisman winner and BCS title game participant.

69 - Use your imagination…

68 - Butch Lewis, OT USC. Another one of the experienced bunch that the Trojans will march out this season.

67 - You are more than halfway through our reasons and we are running out of reasons.

66 - After USC plays San Jose State in their opener, 66 is the number of games USC’s new linebackers will have played at USC. That is right, Chris Galippo, Michael Morgan and Malcolm Smith have played in 63 games at USC. So even though USC lost 4 LBs to the FIRST ROUND of the NFL draft, their replacements have serious experience.

65 - Todd Reesing TDs the last two seasons. Todd is 20-6 as a starter and Kansas may be 6-0 when Oklahoma comes to town on 10/24.

64 - RPJ Betting Syndicate’s career winning percentage before we started publishing this blog. Blog was a curse but it is fun. Not like we need reasons to watch and bet on NCAA football and stare at hot arse every week.

63 - Not since 1946 (63 years ago) has the top 3 Heisman vote getters returned to play the next season.

62 - 62 minus 1 = 61 and that is Troy’s pre-season USA Today rank. They received 1 vote.

61 - The number of yards New Mexico State improved on defense last season and this is before new Coach DeWayne Walker arrived on campus. Walker can really coach a defense and look for him to turn this program around quickly and launch himself to a better program. They could even be 6-0 or 5-1.

60 - Jimmy Clausen’s completion percentage last season; 60.9% to be exact. As a sophomore last year, Clausen had the third-most prolific passing season in school history. He completed 268 of 440 passes (60.9 percent) for 3,172 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. He had the second-best sophomore season by a quarterback in school history, behind only Brady Quinn. Optimism is high in South Bend with 4 seniors on the OL and 10 offensive starters back.

59 - Boise State is 40-17-2 against the spread in their last 59 home games. The Oregon/Boise State game on September 3 is going to be a battle.

58 - Number of first place votes Florida received in the pre-season AP poll. 58 out of 60 for a record 96.7%. The previous record holder was USC who received 62 out of 65 votes in 2007. USC did not play for the national title that year. Only ten teams that were ranked the pre-season #1 have won the national title. USC was the last team to do it in 2004.

57 -The number of TDs Matt Barkley, USC QB, threw in high school. With Aaron Corp injured and Mitch Mustain sucking, the Trojans season could come down to an 18 year old freshman. This story is worth watching. Will Barkley be able to win at Ohio State, Cal, Notre Dame and Oregon? Not likely.

56 - Tennessee is ranked 56th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

55 - Navy is ranked 55th in the USA Today pre-season poll.

54 - Number of teams that received votes in the AP Pre-season Top 25 poll. Nearly half of the FBS population (54 of 120) received at least one 25th-place vote. The biggest surprise? Colorado, a legit Big 12 North dark horse, got no votes, as in one fewer than Troy.

53 - Navy has 53 wins against the spread in their last 75 road games.

52 - Personal fouls committed last year by Syracuse QB, Greg Paulus as a PG for Duke baseketball. Huh? Yes, you read that right. Syracuse’s starting QB this year played for the Blue Devils for 4 seasons. We know Coach Doug MArrone is excited to be at Cuse but c’mon now, a PG at QB? This will end terribly wrong.

51 -Amount of votes Rutgers received in the USA Today top 25 pre-season poll. One thing to remember, Rutgers returns their entire starting offensive line from last season. Rutgers opens at home against Cincy and this will be a big test. Cincy is tough and is changing their D from a 4-3 to a 3-4 so they might not be in game shape on the defensive side of the ball. If Rutgers wins they will be on their way to an easy 3-0 start before traveling to Maryland.

50 -Zero Big 12 teams finished in the top 50 in total defense last year and 9 finished worse than 78. If the Big 12 really wants to pass the SEC in national prominence the conference needs a handful of teams to play D.

49 - Washington Huskies defensive 3rd down percentage was 49 last season. The Huskies brough in Steve Sarkisian and hope a healthy Jake Locker can turn things around. These guys were 0-12 last season and 1-11 ATS. Not much to smile about. The Huskies do start with three home games but they are against LSU, Idaho and The Trojans. They then go to Stanford and Notre Dame and we think Irish eyes will be smiling. Sark has to work miracles to get this team moving in the right direction this season.

48 - Wake Forest is the 48th ranked team in the USA Today preseason poll.

47 - The total number of sacks garnered by VaTech’s D for 2nd in the country behind only GaTech (who knew!?!?!?). VaTech always overacheives and may have the country’s best head coach. He does more with so little than anyone in the country. HUGE opener against Bama. We think they have a very legit shot of beating the Tide outright. We are watahing this line like crazy.

46 - The Central Michigan Chippewas are 30-13-3 against the spread in their last 46 games.

45 - Mark Mangino, Kansas coaches career wins (45-41) and ATS wins (45-35) record. Kansas returns 15 starters and 42 lettermen. Legit Big 12 North title contenders. Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!

44 - The number of seasons Joe Pa and Bobby Bowden have coached.

43 - Stanford defensive 3rd down conversion percentage in 2008. Jim Harbaugh had his team close to a bowl berth last season. The Cardinals definitely play hard but they do not have the talent to stack up against USC, Oregon and CAL. Their first 5 games in 2009 are favorable so this team might gain confidence with games @ Washington State, @ Wake Forest, and home against San Jose State, Washington and UCLA. 5-0 is possible and 4-1 is a definite possibility.

42 - Home wins Iowa has the last 8 years. Hawkeyes are 42-9 over this span. Too bad they have Penn State, Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State all on the road this year. Schedule is likely to impede their Big-10 championship aspirations.

41 - Average yards rushing for SMU last year, which was the lowest in the nation by almost 30 yards per game. SMU averaged a staggering 2.29 yards per rush. Also, 41 inches is Taylor Mays’ vertical leap.

40 - This is to pay tribute to one of college football’s and our country’s all time greats, Mr. Pat Tillman. He wore #40 for the Arizona Cardinals (#42 for ASU) and he gave his life for our country. Thanks, Pat.

39 - Amount of points Miami scored against Florida State last season in a 39-41 loss. Miami has some insane talent on defense but they open their 2009 schedule at Florida State, Georgia Tech, at Va Tech and against Oklahoma. This team might easily be the best 0-4 team ever. These 4 teams won 40 games last year. Randy Shannon might not be able to improve much on his 12-13 career record with this kind of scheduling.

38 - The number of TDs for Oklahoma State players Zac Robinson, Dez Bryant and Kendall Hunter. This Oklahoma State team is explosive with explosive probably being an understatement. Georgia rolls into Stillwater on 9/5 and the Big 12/SEC conference debate will be settled in week 1. All three of the Cowboys’ losses last season were to teams ranked 1, 2 or 3. With their core coming back this season, the Cowboys will be a tough matchup for any team this season.

37 - Number of wins by former Missouri QB Chase Daniel over the last 4 years. Chase is gone and the team only returns 9 starters. Coach Gary Pinkel has 22 wins the last two seasons, which ranks third to USC and Okahoma but we think Illinois will expose this team in week 1.

36 -Last season, 5 of Jeff Demps’s 7 rushing TDs were for longer than 36 yards. His lone reception was 61 yards. Demps is actually faster than Percy Harvin and Percy had a run of 15 TDs in 15 games. Demps might be too small to really carry the load but he will always be a factor when he steps on the field.

35 -The minutes per game TCU had the ball (34.55.62 to be exact) for tops in the nation. Solid numbers. They play outstanding D. They won $ for us quite a bit last year. We will be watching them again this year. Go Horned Frogs!!!!!

34 - The national ranking for tunrovers forced by Bama. They forced 24 turnovers for a .31 turnover ratio. That is freakin’ terrible!!! We think Bama is in the top 5 for most overhyped teams going into the season. We’ve heard a ton of talk about the Tide having the best D in the country. Eventhough they have a cakewalk for a schedule, don’t believe the hype!!!

33 - Michigan’s bowl streak that ended last season.

32 - The number of wins Texas has since winning the national championship 4 years ago. Texas has not even played for a Big 12 title during this time.

31 - The amount of points Houston gave up on defense per game last season. The defense this year might play 6 freshmen. Remember folks….Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER, Houston and the OVER. Say it three times before you go to bed every night. Also, Washington State’s average margin of defeat last season. Can you say Coach on the hot seat? We can!

30 - The age of Clemson’s Offensive Coordinator, Billy Napier. Dabo Swinney will have his hands full this year. Clemson will disappoint again. Phrase of the piece = Have his hands full. Full of what we wonder?

29 - “I’ve never seen so much optimism,” said columnist Rick Cleveland, a Mississippi native who has covered sports at the Jackson Clarion-Ledger for 29 years. It has been 46 years since Ole Miss won the SEC.  To put things into perspective. 46 years ago there were zero African american players in the SEC and Steve Spurrier was a freshman.

28 - The number of football national championship Princeton has won, the all-time leader.

27 - Stan Parrish’s current winless streak as a head coach. Stan was Kansas State’s coach before Bill Snyder and now takes over a Ball State team that was 12-2 last season. How the hell did this guy get a job? Probably because Muncie, IN could never be confused with San Diego or any SEC city.

26 - Road wins by TCU over the last 6 season, which is better than both Florida and Oklahoma. TCU even beat Oklahoma on the road in 2005. TCU has 5 ten win seasons the last 7 seasons and they are 30-2 in games when they hold opponents under 333 yards. Both losses were to Utah.

25 - Damion Fletcher, Southern Miss RB. Best RB you have never heard of. Has career stats of 4,287 yards and 36 touchdowns. If he repeats his three year average he will go down stat wise as one of the 5 best RBs of all time.

24 - Number of seasons Nevada Coach Chris Ault has patrolled the sidelines for the Wolf Pack. He is 193-84-1 over his career and returns 14 starters for his 25th season. Ault is the 6th active winningest coach in the country. The Wolf Pack open at Notre Dame in what could be an awesome week 1 upset. We can dream.

23 - Notre Dame’s pre-season AP rank. We think AP voters are literally on crack. Don’t do meth!

22 - Tribute to Runny’s favorite player of all time…Emmitt Smith, RB Florida Gators.

21 - The number of losses Charlie Weis has in 4 years as head coach of Notre Dame. More than 5 per season. The number of losses Ty Willingham had as head coach of ND was 15 after three seasons. Charlie is no better than Ty and of course he is ten thousand times fatter.

20 - Days until Week 1 of the NFL season is over. We bet NFL games too so get ready for a busy weekend.

19 - The 19th day of September is the day Lane Kiffin brings his Vols to the Swamp. Look for Urban Meyer to not only pummel the Vols but to run up the score as much as possible. Remember, Kiffin accused Meyer of recruiting violations this year. We know what Meyer will do when disrespected. Just ask Georgia.

18 - The number of starters Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech team returns this season. GT was 9-4 last season and was blown out by LSU in their bowl game. However, Paul Johnson’s triple option offense showed off in some impressive games and we look for them to improve on last year’s season in 2009. GT we are watching you.

17 - Iowa State’s current road losing streak. The longest in the nation. Kent State on 9/19 is the first opportunity to bust the streak. Also, the number of games the Pac-10 and SEC have played against each other since 2000 and the Pac-10 LEADS the series 10 to 7. Interesting that the SEC’s label as the best conference in football is 3 games under .500 versus the Pac-1, oops, Pac-10.

16 -Jarrett Brown, QB West Virginia. Will Brown be able to fill in for Pat White? Brown was White’s understudy for the last three years so he has learned from one of the best. Brown is 6′4″ and 223 pounds and wants to be the man in Morgantown. Big East is weak this year so maybe Brown can pull a Tee Martin and replace a legend and carry WVU to the title game.

15 - Tim Tebow. As much as we hate the Gators and Tim Tebow, you can not overlook them. Tebow has not lost since his Ole Miss debacle last season and his immortal words are now permanently displayed at the Swamp. Tim can elevate his elite NCAA status to legendary status with another BCS title and/or Heisman. SEC fans look out.

14 - Boise State’s pre-season AP rank. This is the highest ranking by a non-BCS team this year.

13 - We are superstitious and will not mention any teams or players at this spot.

12 - Colt McCoy. The man who beat Oklahoma and did not play Florida for the national title. McCoy spent last season playing second fiddle in the Big 12 to Oklahoma and Sam Bradford. We have a feeling that this is Colt’s year. Top to bottom we think Texas is a better team (remember last season) and Colt has extra motivation. If they run the table with their schedule, we think they are better than Florida and will beat them in the BCS final.

11 - The number of years the BCS has been in existence. This system needs to be changed ASAP. Fans want a playoff, the players want a playoff and we say lets start with an 8 team playoff. Enough of this crap.

10 - The number of seniors on Steve Spurrier’s South Carolina team. Steve is 7-11 since 2007 and hired 6 new coaches for this season. South Carolina plays 8 teams that went to bowl games this season. They don’t make Steve Spurrier teams like they used to. The SEC caught up to Steve really fast.

9 - Number of TDs thrown by UCLA QBs last season. And Neuheisel thinks a redshirt QB will fix his offense. The joke will be on him!

8 - The number of starters Penn State returns to a team that went to the Rose Bowl. Big Ten is wide open this year. Ohio State will be down, Penn State will be down, Michigan is still down. There are lots of opportunities for a surprise Big Ten winner. Iowa and Illinois have the early edge for dark horse contender.

7 - Notre Dame has lost 7 in a row to USC. That’s the longest losing streak for ND against anyone since losing eight straight vs. Michigan State from 1955-63. You know our opinion on ND this season.

6 - The number of secondary NCAA violations committed by Vols Coach Lane Kiffin. All this before the season even started. Welcome to the SEC Kiffin. You thought working for Al Davis was hard, try playing in the SEC and in front of 100,000 fans. Will Kiffin be able to turn it around or will he continue the mediocrity?

5 - The amount of teams the Big 12 put in the top 25 in the final AP poll. SEC only had 4. The SEC’s hype as the most dominant conference in the nation was challenged last year and will be challenged again this year.

4 - The amount of offensive linemen that started for Oklahoma last year that are no longer on the team. Oklahoma is the “bettor beware” team of 2009. Almost every single poll has Oklahoma in the top 3. Remember Georgia last year? The “so-called” experts picked Georgia #1 in many polls and we know the story. The reason? Changes in the O-line. Last year Georgia had an inexperienced starting OL and this year Oklahoma only returns one starter on their OL. That is right. Oklahoma is replacing 4 OL starters. Top that off with the departure of two starting WRs from last year and you can see where this is going. Oklahoma will definitely be a favorite pick for a lot of bettors but we are saying be very, very careful. Texas will take this team out and we are expecting Oklahoma to finish the season with 3-4 losses. The Sooners are vulnerable. On a side note, Penn State graduated 3 Big Ten starting OL and Oregon lost its All American Center and starting left tackle. This cases are not as extreme as Oklahoma but they are worth mentioning.

3 - The SEC has won three straight NCAA titles. Not since the AP started polling in 1936, has one conference won the title 4 years in a row.

2 - Taylor Mays’ number. The best college football player to step on the field this season. 6′3″ 230 pounds and a near 4.2 40 time. INSANE!!!! Look for Mays to run the defense and play closer to the line this year. 4 LBs went to the pros last year and 2009 is the year of Mays! Dark horse Heisman candidate if he can make some big plays and score TDs on returns. Also, the folks in Columbus are talking about Pryor’s supposed 4.3 40 yard time. Well guess who is the one player that ran Pryor down from behind last year? Mr. Mays!

1 -Texas will be the #1 team in the country when all games are played this season.

We hope we provided you with some good bathroom reading. Stay tuned for our week 1 predictions. Gotta love this time of year!!!

Flash Flash and Runny

NCAA Football Free Winning Bowl Picks: December 20-21 and Angelina Jolie and Alba Shows Nip!

We are pumped up to kick off the bowl season. You all know our regular season was not one of our best but we are here to step it up a notch. We are summoning Angelina Jolie’s cans to bring us good luck.

We are sticking with our formulas and adding some new wrinkles this year. Here is the deal…RPJ games are games where Flash and Runny combine their models and the game meets every single one of our tests and criteria for betting. Flash Flash games are game that registered with Flash’s model and did not hit Runny’s radar. Runny Pelvis picks are picks that registered on Runny’s system but did not appear on Flash’s radar. And in a new twist we are introducing the RPJ Math test. The RPJ math test is our way to remove all human elements from the betting game. We ran a statistical regression on the 2008 season and we are using the results to pick games….this is the RPJ Math Test pick! On with the picks….

Saturday, December 21

Navy versus Wake Forest (-3)

RPJ is taking Navy to cover and here is why: Interesting game. Navy already beat Wake Forest this year in a big upset on the road and in a game Skinner threw 4 picks. Navy was up 17 nothing at the half and fought off a furious comeback once Skinner found his way. Here are two interesting stats that we will look at throughout the bowl season: 1) Teams that travel the furthest are 23-37 ATS the last two seasons and 2) Teams playing instate are 12-6 ATS the past two seasons. Why do we bring this up….Navy is essentially playing at home cause the game is at RFK. So they meet the instate and less miles travelled test. We also like the way Navy is playing; they are on a two game win streak, a two game ATS streak and have back to back shutouts. Wake has lost two of three and is 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Navy also has some great ATS numbers: Navy is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on a neutral site, 5-2 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against the ACC. As much as we initially thought Wake would not lose back-to-back to Navy, after further review we still like Navy! This line opened at -3.5 for Wake and is bouncing in the -2.5 - -3 range and 65% of the money is on Wake. Trap City!!

RPJ Math Picks Selects Navy to Cover!

Fresno State versus Colorado State (+3 and OVER/UNDER 60)

Flash Flash is taking Colorado State and here is why: Colorado State wins the travel test and is travelling less miles to get to this game. Freso State is one of the worst cover teams in the United States and has only covered 16.7% of the time this year. Fresno is 2-3 in their last 5 games and has literally only covered once since September 20. In addition, Fresno is coming off a 61-10 drubbing at the hands of Boise State. Colorado State has won two in a row and covered 3 of the last 4 games and they had to win those last two games to become bowl eligible. I know Fresno is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games but this Fresno team is a gambler’s worst nightmare and there is no way in hell I will bet with them, especially a favored Fresno team. To top it off, Fresno is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 against Colorado State and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Go Rams! 62% of the money is on Fresno State and this line opened at +4 and is now in the +2.5 - +3 range. Again, that is Trap City!

Runny Pelvis is taking the OVER and here is why: I’ve lost enormous amounts of money on Colorado State and Fresno State. I’m still furious about the Wisconsin game-Flash and I were driving back from the SoCal-OSU game. We were in the desert, drivin’ the C-Note listening to the game on the radio…..I was fuming!!. Colorado State ef’d me more times than I can say as well. I’m taking the OVER because I don’t trust either team. Also, I learned from both teams is that they don’t play a lick of D. Not a lick. Fresno’s QB can move the ball and should be able to do so against a terrible Colorado State D. These teams hate each other and will look to run-up the score. I think they throw-up 70 easy.

RPJ Math Pick is Selecting Colorado State to Cover!

Memphis versus South Florida (-11)

Flash Flash is taking Memphis and here is why: This pick fails the team playing in their home state and the team travelling the farthest tests. I do not think Memphis will win but I think 11 points is too many points in this situation. Memphis has won 3 of 4 and has covered in 3 of those 4 games as well. South Florida has lost 4 of 5 games and has not looked all that good although they have covered two games in a  row. This is a dangerous game for South Florida because I am sure this is a bowl game they do not want to be playing in and that is always dangerous. Memphis is a balanced team on offense and rushes for 205.6 yards per game and passes for 226.6 yards per game. I also like that fact that South Florida’s turnover margin is -7. I also like the fact that South Florida is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Memphis plays hard as a big underdog and is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as underdogs of 10.5 or more. I think Memphis can keep this game a lot closer than 11 points.

Runny Pelvis is taking South Florida and here is why: S. Florida’s QB and their coach. That is it. They are both money. This game will be in their backyard. Memphis did not play the same level of competion and they will get out played and out coached. S. Florida’s D, although not as good as it was last year, will stiffle Memphis. I think S. Florida wins by 3 TDs.

RPJ Math Pick is Selecting Memphis to Cover!

BYU at Arizona (-3.5 and Over/Under 59.5)

RPJ is taking Arizona and here is why: We feel like we have seen what this game will be and that is Utah versus BYU. BYU is slow as hell where it matters and can not hang with fast teams. Yes, BYU is physical, but when you cannot keep up, you have no chance. BYU is just like Fresno State, they are cover nightmares for bettors and covered in only 27.3% of their games this season. BYU lost in their last game by 20 points and has only covered once in their last 8 games. Arizona has been competing lately, beating Arizona State and losing close games to Oregon State and Oregon. BYU just does not have a good defense this year and that will be trouble against an Arizona team that puts up 37 points and and 400+ yards of offense per game.Throw in the fact that Zona wins the turnover margin battle and this pick looks better and better. This is the 4th straight year BYU has played in this bowl and that is a major letdown this season. BYU thought it was going to crash the BCS party and that clearly did not happen. Arizona is pumped up and enjoying its first winning season since 1998. We think Arizona runs away with this one!

Runny Pelvis is taking UNDER and here is why: Zona’s D is better than people think and they know they can shutdown Max Hall. This is a ton of points to score. Zona will win this game outright and hold BYU down. BYU showed that when they play on the road against legit D-1 teams, they choke. It will be the same this weekend. Final total will be in the low 50’s.

RPJ Math Pick is Selecting Arizona to Win and Cover!

Sunday, December 21

Troy versus Southern Miss (+4.5 and OVER/UNDER 55)

Runny Pelvis is taking Troy and here is why: This is my favorite game of the weekend. I think Troy destorys S. Miss. Troy pummeled a much better LSU team earlier in the year, only to have a complete meltdown and collapse to lose a close one. They learned from that game. They will not make the same mistake twice. Teams cannot run on them, and S. Miss is starting a freshman QB. Never trust a freshman QB on the road in a big game. Guess what? This game is both for S. Miss. Troy wins by a TD.

RPJ Math Pick Selects Southern Miss to Cover!

Enjoy the picks.

Flash Flash and Runny

RPJ $yndicate 2008-2009 Bowl Preview Extravaganza and a Whole Lot of A.S.S.!

We are back with our 2008-2009 Bowl Preview. The reason RPJ hung its own shingle and is in business today is because of the greatest thing in the world….NCAA Football Bowl Games!!!!! Two years ago we went 19-4, made a boatload of money and after reading an article in the Wall Street Journal about one of the greatest statisticians and sports handicapper of all time we decided that we needed to share our insight with our friends, family and the public. Two seasons later, here we are. Last year we made money in the regular season and had a sub par Bowl season. This year RPJ was on the minus side of 500 and we fully expect to represent during this Bowl season.

A lot of you have emailed us on the side and asked us about our system. Some of you have even been so kind as to share your own systems with us. Thank you for sharing with us, The reason we think RPJ is successful is two-fold….Runny Pelvis the Fat and Flash Flash for the Cash. Yep, the two of us. We each have our own systems that we use and the only way we will put a bet out there for RPJ is if every single system points to one team. We use a blend of insider information, math and statitstical formulas, ATS numbers, news injuries, etc…Basically we use and analyze every all information that is available to us; plus the undercover stuff we dig up on our own.

If this is your first time checking us out, here is what you need to know. We post all of our picks and the lines that WE bet the games at. We literally bet every game we post on this website and we post it with the lines we get the games at. We are not here to manipulate lines or play games with our readers. We are here to bet our own money and in doing so we hope to win money for us and for you.

In this post we are simply going to introduce each bowl game, let you know what the current lines are and then share some of our news, notes and insights. We also like to have as much fun as possible so we are calling this our Bowl Light version. The day or two before each bowl game we will be back with an in-depth piece about each game that we bet and give you the reasons why we are betting the way we are betting.

Last but certainly not least, and our faithful readers know where we are going with this, we are going to pair each game with a hot chick. So for this piece, we are going to represent each bowl game with a piece of ass.

FedEx BCS National Championship
Jan. 8 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2

Oklahoma vs. Florida (-3 Over/under 72)

This game is for all the marbles. Does the Big 12 actually play any defense? Is Tim Tebow literally a disciple from God? If God is on his side, then how to you bet against them? We are just saying…. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma’s QB won the Heisman last Saturday despite not getting the most 1st place votes. Who, may you ask, did….yeap-Mr. Tebow. So much drama-we love it!!!!!!!

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Jan. 5 / 8 p.m. Phoenix, Ariz. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (Big 12 Champion, if available)
Texas vs. Ohio State (+9 Over.under 53.5)

Unfortunately, this game is called the Fiesta Bowl for reasons other than those pictured above (the inventor of thongs needs to win the Nobel Prize. Somethings gotta give!!). This game has huge implications for Ohio State. If Ohio State is run out of this game, the program will take an even bigger hit. USC ran them out this year, LSU did last year, Florida the year before. Right now there is elite and then there is Ohio State, the annoying kid that lives down the street that bugs the hell out of everybody because he thinks his shit don’t stink until he gets his nose rubbed in it again, and again, and again. Another loss of epic proportions will hurt this program for next year. Mark our words. And look out for Colt McCoy, he is a man on a mission. He was dissed at the Heisman…he should be good and ready to take out his frustrations on the Buckeyes.

Allstate Sugar Bowl
Jan. 2 / 8:30 p.m. ET  New Orleans, La. FOX
BCS vs. BCS  (SEC Champion, if available)
Alabama vs. Utah (-10.5 Over/under 46)

Is this the same as last year’s Hawaii versus Georgia, or can Utah really play? How will a young Alabama team respond after a tough loss to the Gators? This game will either be the best bowl game of the season or be a Bama blowout.

FedEx Orange Bowl
Jan. 1 / 8 p.m. Miami Gardens, Fla. FOX
BCS vs. BCS (ACC Champion, if available)
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati (-1 Over/under 41)

We can not believe this is a BCS bowl game. Texas Tech should be playing Boise State in this game. Let’s send these teams out of here on some FedEx next day priority mail (and see if we can get this girl FedEx’d back to us!!!).

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Jan. 1 / 5:10 p.m. ET  Pasadena, Calif. ABC
BCS vs. BCS  (Big Ten Champion vs. Pac 10 Champion, if available)
USC vs. Penn State (+10 Over/under)

Wow!! We’ve managed to find an ubsurdly hot girl with cankles!!! Who knew?!?!?! USC versus the Big 10. I think we have seen this game before…Ohio State, Illinois, Michigan, Michigan, etc… Pete Carroll needs to find the same attorneys he put on retainer for the Notre Dame game because their D is going on trial after this game!!!

EagleBank Bowl
Dec. 20 / 11 a.m.. ET Washington, D.C.
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. Army or Navy
Wake Forest vs. Navy (+3 Over/under 42)

Who the hell decided to replay this game?!?!!?!?!?! Has anyone ever heard of Eagle Bank?!?!?!? Of all the names they could use for a Bowl game in the DC area, they pick Eagle Bank!!!! Terrible.

New Mexico Bowl
Dec. 20/12:30 p.m. Albuquerque, N.M. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. WAC
Colorado State vs. Fresno State (-3 Over/under 60.5)

The only thing about this bowl game that might make it interesting is if the New Mexico Bowl committee serves Montezuma’s revenge to all of the players for their daily meal the day before the game and these teams go out and crap all over themselves….Yes, literally crap themselves. That might be the only potential interesting plot line in this matchup. Actually, these teams have crapped all over themselves all year, so there is no reason to doubt that they won’t do so again. We are renaming this game the Craptacular Bowl. F ‘em!!

Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Dec. 20 / 8 p.m. ET Las Vegas, Nev. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West No. 1 vs. Pac-10 No. 4
BYU vs. Arizona (-3 Over/under 62.5)

The Vegas Bowl knows how to do it…..invite a bunch of Mormons to town to let loose. The BYU crew sells out this game every time. The Spearmint Rhino is getting ready as we type this post. Bet you have never seen a bible study group and circle jerk at the same time. Brigham Young was a genius….”Hmmmm. I think I’ll invent a religion where people give me all their money. In return, I’ll issue a decree that allows all the dudes to marry as many of the women in the tribe as they can.” Brilliant!! Let’s go to Vegas!!! The funny thing about this is we bet that if given the chance to play in the Fiesta Bowl, BYU would still choose this one!!! Mormons rule.

MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl
Dec. 20 / 9 p.m. ET  St. Petersburg, Fl.
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. Conference USA
South Florida vs. Memphis (+12 Over/under 52)

We are offering a free bucket of chicken to the first person that can tell us what the hell MajicJack is. Sounds like the name of a pedophile clown who asks kids to sit on his lap so the clown can show them a magic trick. Then, if the kids reach through the magic hole in the front of MagicJack’s pants they will get a magic prize…something soft and smooth that grows when they touch it. And if they are extra good kids and are nice with MagicJack’s prize in his pants they can put it in their mouths for a special juicy treat that magically comes out of it. Yes, we just went there!

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Dec. 21 / 8 p.m. ET New Orleans, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USA
Troy vs. Southern Miss (+4.5 Over/under 54.5)

This will probably be the best game nobody cares about. This game will be a street fight.

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
Dec. 23 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Pac 10 (WAC if no Pac 10 team available)
TCU vs. Boise State (+2.5 Over/under 46.5)

We can not believe the Over/under on this is so high. Only one team scored on TCU and that was Oklahoma and look at them now. Other than giving up 35 to OU, TCU has not given up more than 14. Can somebody say UNDER!!!!

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Dec. 24 / 8 p.m. ET  Honolulu, Hawaii ESPN
Tie-Ins: Pac 10 vs. WAC
Notre Dame vs. Hawaii (-2 Over/under 48.5)

1) Why is Notre Dame in a bowl? Do they deserve to be here? NO!!!

2) How funny is it that Hawaii is favored??!?!?

Motor City Bowl
Dec. 26 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Detroit, Mich. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 7 vs. MAC
Florida Atlantic vs. Central Michigan (-6.5 Over/under 62)

We have got the Fever for LeFevour!!!!!!! Gotta love the Bowl committe for putting a Bowl game in Detroit in late December! Next year lets have the Anchorage Bowl.

Champs Sports Bowl
Dec. 27 / 4:30 p.m. ET  Orlando, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5
Florida State vs. Wisconsin (-4.5 Over/under 52.5)

We are offering a free jar of marshmallow fluff to the first person that provides anything interesting about this game. This is not a joke. FREE FLUFF! The first person to write something that makes us want to watch this game for more that 0.0006 seconds gets a free jar of fluff. Any takers?

Emerald Bowl
Dec. 27 / 8:30 p.m. ET  San Francisco, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 7 vs. Pac-10 No. 5
Miami vs. California (-7 Over/under 49.5)

Well we try to avoid the Tedford turd sandwich as much as possible and this year it comes back to bite us. Turd Sandwich is on a two game ATS win streak and Miami has lost three in a row ATS. If we bet this game run for the hills cause we will definitely be wrong.

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Dec. 27 / 1 p.m. ET Charlotte, N.C. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 6 vs. Big East
North Carolina vs. West Virginia (Pick em, Over/under 44)

We would LOVE to care for her car!! Flash’s pre-season pick for the Heisman, Mr. Pat White, gets to play his last game for the Mounties. Maybe he will help us all out with a monumental performance for our wallets.

PapaJohn’s.com Bowl
Dec. 29 / 3 p.m. ET Birmingham, Ala. ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. SEC (or Sun Belt if no SEC team available)
Rutgers  vs. NC State (-6.5 Over/under 52)

Rutgers is one of the hottest teams in the country and has won 6 straight games and 5 straight versus the spread. NC State has won 4 games in a row and an impressive 7 games in a row against the spread. One streak will end. But will anybody be watching?

Independence Bowl
Dec. 28 / 8 p.m. ET  Shreveport, La. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 7 vs. SEC No. 8 (Or WAC & the third choice of Sun Belt teams if no Big 12 or SEC team available)
Louisiana Tech vs. Northern Illinois (+1.5 Over/under 47)

We are renaming this bowl the, “Have Sex With Me or I will Kick Your Ass Bowl”. Only in Louisiana does this actually happen. Check it out by clicking here…. Louisiana man gets fat lip for refusing to have sex with girlfriend!

Alamo Bowl
Dec. 29 / 8 p.m. ET  San Antonio, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 4 or No. 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
Northwestern vs. Missouri (-13 Over/under 66)

This might be the highest scoring game of the bowl season. Missouri can not stop a pop warner team and the Northwestern Nerds have zero chance of stopping Daniel and Maclin.

Texas Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Houston, Texas
Big 12 vs. C-USA
Western Michigan vs. Rice (-3 Over/under 72.5)

Tickets for this game are not even selling for $25. We think the stadium would still be empty if they gave tickets away for free. Nothing to see here!

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
Dec. 30 / 8 p.m. ET San Diego, Calif. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 3 vs. Pac-10 No. 2
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+3.5 Over/under 77)

These teams are going to score faster than a virgin with a $100 bill in the Red Light District. Should be an awesome game.

Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl
Dec. 30/4:30 p.m.  Boise, Idaho ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 8 vs. WAC
Maryland vs. Nevada (-1 Over/under 58.5)

Is Roady MagicJack’s perverted cousin? What the eff?

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dec. 31 / 12 p.m. ET  Fort Worth, Texas ESPN
Tie-Ins: Mountain West vs. Conference USA
Air Force vs. Houston (-2.5 Over/under 64)

How can you not take Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl?!?!?! Shouldn’t this Bowl require that two military academies square off??!?!?!!?!?! C’mon!! Show Army some love!!!!

Sun Bowl
Dec. 31 / 2 p.m. ET. El Paso, Texas CBS
Tie-Ins: Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame vs. Pac-10 No. 3
Pitt vs. Oregon State (-3 Over/under 53)

This is going to be a sad, sad bowl. I bet the Sun Bowl committee wishes they could re-select for this one. Guess how many tickets Oregon State committed to…..2,500. How pathetic is that? Pitt is not going to ask for many more in all likelhood. There will be less people at this bowl game than there was for the ACC championship. Only interesting thing is that the Beavs beat Mizzou in this bowl in 2006 so they have played in El Paso and left with a W.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Dec. 31 / 3:30 p.m. ET Nashville, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC vs. SEC No. 5
Boston College vs. Vanderbilt (+3.5 Over/under 41.5)

You know for a Bowl game with Gaylord in its title we would come-up with two hot chicks making out!!! We bet MagicJack and Roady love staying in the Gaylord Hotels.

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Dec. 31 / 7:30 p.m. ET  Atlanta, Ga. ESPN
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 2 vs. SEC
Georgia Tech vs. LSU (+4 Over/under 50)

Winning the national championship in 2007-8 season, cutting your starting QB and then playing a kid from Harvard, finishing with 5 losses, playing a physical, incredibly coached team from the ACC that will beat the living Tiger droppings out of you…..PRICELESS! Runny is furious that LSU is in this game because Chick-fil-A is his favorite fast food. Such a disgrace.

Insight Bowl
Dec. 31 / 5:30 ET Tempe, Ariz. NFL Network
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6
Minnesota vs. Kansas (-10.5 Over/under 57)

We have some Insight on how hot this girl is!!!! The game, however, not so much. We don’t think Gopher or Jayhawks even care about this game. This is such a let down for Kansas. Mangino let us down. So much so we refused to insert our typical Mangino photo. We feel disgraced.

Outback Bowl
Jan. 1 / 11 a.m. ET Tampa, Fla. ESPN
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC
Iowa vs. South Carolina (+3 Over/under 43)

We are renaming this bowl also and it will now be know as the, “My Life is Ruined Because I Got Drunk at a Golden Gophers/ Iowa Game and Got Banged By a Complete Male Stranger in The Men’s Restroom as People Watched and Cheered Me On Bowl” This is the best story of the entire NCAA football season. Two articles go with this one….Couple has sex in bathroom as crowd cheered them on and their significant others watched Minnesota-Iowa game. This headline and the first article makes you think that this was some sort of illicit affair with two people actively cheating on their respective significant others. No no no. It is much better than that. The wife was at the game with her husband and the dude was there with his girlfriend and they had never met. See article 2….Update: Hawk fan says bathroom sex scandal “ruined my life.” This woman was 38, married and mother to three children. She says she was so drunk before the game drinking wine that she has no memory of a) walking into the men’s stall B) having sex with a stranger and c) getting arrested. And the kicker, the husband blames himself for not walking her to the bathroom. Dude, you are a freakin tool and your wife is a bonified HO!!! Dump her ass and take the kids. You should be able to get some sympathy lays out of other single moms during the next PTA meeting. And yes, she was fired from her job.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. ET  Jacksonville, Fla. CBS
Tie-Ins: ACC No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big East/Notre Dame
Clemson vs. Nebraska (+3 Over/under 55)

Konica Minolta should re-focus their attention from the two terrible teams in this game to handing out free cameras so everyone could take pictures of Caprice. Much better idea. What happended to Clemson winning the ACC?!?!?!?! So much for Bo Pelini returning order to a terrible Nebraska program.

Capital One Bowl
Jan. 1 / 1 p.m. Orlando, Fla. ABC
Tie-Ins: Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
Michigan State vs. Georgia (-7.5 Over/under 54)

This girl looks like a hot Brittney Spears. This game looks to be a pretty intriguing match-up. Will Jevon Ringer ring the Bulldogs’ bell, or will Stafford gun out a win on the national stage to salvage their disappointing season? We’ll see….

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Jan. 2 / 5:00 p.m. ET Memphis, Tenn. ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 1 vs. SEC No. 6

East Carolina vs. Kentucky (+1.5 Over/under 41)

Goodness!! Such a great use of camoflauge!! Such a terrible use of a Bowl game.

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Jan. 2 / 2 p.m. ET Dallas, Texas FOX
Tie-Ins: Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC
Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (+5.5 Over/under 70.5)

Beware of this game. Teams that give up less than 100 yards rushing and are the underdog in bowl games win outright more than 70% of the times. This stat is undefeated the last two years and this is the only game where it comes up this year. Red Raider fans be very afraid of Ole Miss.

International Bowl
Jan. 3 / 12 p.m. ET Toronto, Canada ESPN2
Tie-Ins: Big East vs. MAC No. 4 or 5
Connecticut vs. Buffalo (+4 Over/under 51.5)

This game should be a real barn burner!! On paper, no one cares about this game. However, RPJ does. We love Turner Gill!!! Go Bulls!!! This game is practically in their backyard!!!

GMAC Bowl
Jan. 6 / 8 p.m. ET  Mobile, Ala.  ESPN
Tie-Ins: C-USA No. 2 vs MAC/MWAC

Tulsa vs. Ball State (-2.5 Over/under 77)

More hot girls with cankles!!!!! Plus, Brady Hoke just pulled a Saban and pulled out of town to coach San Diego State…at least Saban had the sense to go to a top rate program like ‘Bama. With these two teams, there should be a ton of points.

Enjoy the preview and stay tuned for our bowl game predictions!!!

Flash Flash and Runny Pelvis

Week 12 SEC NCAA Football Picks - Backwoods Southern Lawyer’s Redemption Song!

Greetings and salutations to all.   BSL here, back with another installation of my razor sharp SEC picks this year.  Yours truly has had to make with the color commentary as of late because the picks themselves have been garbage.  No, make that garbage with diarrhea on top of it.  In any event, with each passing week comes a chance at sweet redemption and so, without further ado, I humbly present the following for your consideration:
Georgia (minus 10) at Auburn.  Bulldogs are better than Auburn.  Much, much better.  Auburn is coming off an unimpressive victory over div. I-AA competition, which made it painfully clear that the AU Tigers are just trying to get the season over with as quickly as possible so they can start thinking about how to right the ship for next year.  In all likelihood, their loss to Florida knocked Georgia out of the BCS picture, and was a major blow to the team psyche.  Still, the Bulldogs pulled it together enough to win a nail-biter at Kentucky, and I think UGA wins this one by at least 2 TDs.

Ole Miss (minus 22.5) vs. UL-Monroe.   Ole Miss has done very little in terms of winning by daylight this year, and they are playing a UL-M squad with a penchant for keeping things reasonably close.  I think Ole Miss wins this one by 21 points, and since that’s less than 22.5, I’m taking UL-M in this one.

Florida (minus 22.5) vs. South Carolina.  Follow this logic if you can:  Ole Miss beats Florida, South Carolina beats Ole Miss, and now that South Carolina is playing Florida, the Gamecocks are 3-TD dogs. Apparently the transitive laws do not apply in the SEC, and quite frankly, in this case they shouldn’t.  The Gators have been absolute world beaters since their loss to Ole Miss.  They are, in my humble opinion, the best college football team in the universe right now.  South Carolina, on the other hand has been taking care of business against lesser teams (but not blowing them out).  Still, 22.5 points is an awful lot to give Spurrier and the Gamecock defense, and the Gators can’t blow everyone out for the rest of the year (can they?).  I think Florida wins comfortably, but not by more than 20, so I’m going to play with the ‘Cocks.

Miss St. (minus 22) at Alabama.  What’s the deal with the 22-point lines in the SEC this weekend?  Jerry Seinfeld wants to know.  I think Miss. State has stopped believing that they can win.  Alabama, fresh off an OT scare at LSU last week, will be able to get their playmakers (namely, Julio Jones and Glen Coffee) into open space, and that means touchdowns.  Also, Miss St may not score.   I see this as a 31-0 type of job.  So, take Bama to win and cover.

Troy (minus 17) at LSU.  A battle of 6-3 teams, except one LSU’s losses have been to Alabama, Georgia and Florida, while Troy is a Sun Belt team that lost to UL-Monroe two weeks ago.  All the wise guys are picking Troy in this one.  Fuggetaboutit.  LSU (it appears) has finally figured out how to play defense, and I think the Tigers roll in this one by at least 3 TDs.  Take LSU to win and cover.

Vanderbilt (plus 4) at Kentucky.  Vanderbilt was at 5 wins a month ago and they still are.  Somewhere along the way, they lost their direction and belief that they can win.  Meanwhile, Kentucky has looked pretty decent these last few games and is playing for a fairly respectable bowl game.  I like the Wildcats to win by a comfortable margin in this one.  Take UK.

And those are the picks, folks.  Thanks again to Runny, Flash and everyone at the Syndicate for sticking with me, and good luck to everybody this weekend.

BSL

Week 8 NCAA Free Football Winning Picks - RPJ $yndicate’s Revenge Part 2

We gave you five total RPJ picks this betting week and now we are going to reveal our personal picks. We are kicking things off with our third Great Debate Game. What this means is that Flash’s models picked the game one way and Runny picked the opposite.

The Great Debate Game

Missouri at Texas (-4.5) - This is our third great debate game. Flash won the first when Georgia pounded Arizona State and Runny won the second when Florida gave LSU a beat down. We are going to show you the ATS numbers and then get into it.

Missouri

Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.

Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Tigers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Tigers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Tigers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.

Tigers are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Tigers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.

Tigers are 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a S.U. loss.

Texas

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.

Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

Longhorns are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games on grass.

Longhorns are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in October.

Longhorns are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Flash Flash is picking Texas and here is why…Texas is flying high and Mizzou is coming off a shocking loss. Not only did Mizzou lose but Oklahoma State beat the bag out of Chase Daniel. Well Texas has been beating up teams all year and has a front seven that is head and shoulders above Oklahoma State’s front seven. The Longhorns have won the last four meetings by an average of 23.0 points, and are 5-1 against the Tigers since the teams became conference rivals in the Big 12’s inaugural 1996 season. The “experts” continue to talk about Texas’ lack of experience in their secondary but that same secondary did just fine against Oklahoma. Just fine might be stretching it but they played well enough to win. Oklahoma’s defense is a lot better than Mizzou’s and I do not think Mizzou will be able to keep up with Texas. Also, Mizzou will be on the road. Texas can easily win this game by more than a TD and they only need 5 points to make this a winner. Also, I am not betting against Texas until they lose against the spread. Keep on riding Bevo!! I am taking Texas to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis is picking Missouri and here is why. Texas had no business beating the Sooners last weekend. I give them props for pulling it off, but I think that was more a product of Oklahoma playing an awful game. Plus, I’m not sold on Stoops’ coaching and Bradford’s play in big games. Both were clearly an issue last weekend. I am sold on Chase Daniel and his playmaker Jeremy Macklin. Granted they were smoked by OK State last weekend, but OK State can play and they are legit. This is still the best video rant ever:

Anyway, I like Missouri to rebound this because of Daniel. He is an outstanding college QB and I think of all the great QBs in the Big 12, he is the best. Just my opinion, but I’m putting my money where my mouth is. This is an absolute must win for the Tigers. They lose this week and their season is pretty much done-the Pointsetta Bowl will be their’s for the taking! Daniel knows this and so does his team. I also like the Tigers because Texas is one dimensional. The only person the need to stop is McCoy. Granted, that is not an easy task, but they can do it. They looked past OK State last weekend. They will be ready for this one. I think they win outright (and create even more BCS shennanigans!).  FACTS: Missouri is 8-0 ATS in away games vs. teams off back-to-back straight-up wins. I’m riding Daniel and the Tigers +4.5.

 

Flash Flash Picks (7-4 on the season) - This is an unorthodox week for me. Barely any of my games met $yndicate criteria and I have a ton of my own games that I love and they are not your typical betting games. I am coming at you with picks from the Mac, Wac, Conference USA and Sun Belt conferences. I am laying down some serious action on my own this week. I was on the sideline last week and watched our $yndicate picks get whacked and I am coming back with a personal vengeance to avenge the gambling gods.

Akron at Eastern Michigan (+4.5) - Neither of these teams have great ATS numbers but a couple of the stand out.

Akron

• Zips are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• Zips are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
• Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

Eastern Michigan

• Eagles are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games in October.

Head-to-Head (You will love this!!!)

• Zips are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
• Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I think those numbers gave you an idea of what I am thinking. Throw in the fact that E. Michigan has a better offense, better defense, turns the ball over less, looks good ATS-wise, is playing at home and getting points. Roll out the Brinks truck. I love this game. Take Eastern Michigan and the points!!! Do not be afraid of the moneyline either. I love this game so much I am showing more arse….

Utah State at Nevada (-22.5) - If arse raping were allowed on the football field we would expect to see some serious anus gapers after this game. There are some great numbers in this game. Nevada runs for 307.7 yards per game and Utah State gives up 174.7. Ugly stat #1. Utah State runs for 130.2 yards per game and Nevada gives up 75.5 yards per game. Ugly stat #2. Nevada turns the ball over less. Ugly stat #3. This game will get ugly. Throw in the fact that Nevada is playing at home and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and that is enough for me. Nevada wins and covers!!!

San Diego State at New Mexico (-14) - This is ass rape game number 2. San Diego State is inept on offense, can’t stop the run on defense and turns the ball over more than New Mexico. San Diego is also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. I love some of these head-to-head numbers as well:

• Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
• Aztecs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Mexico.
• Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

Teams that control the ball on offense and stop the run win football games. New Mexico is also playing at home and have covered at home two games in a row. The only game San Diego has covered on the road was the Notre Dame freak show game. Take New Mexico to win and cover!

San Jose State (-1) at New Mexico State - It is time to get on the San Jose State bandwagon. They have only lost once this season ATS and could have been unbeaten if not for a tough loss to Stanford. This should be ass rape game #3 on the weekend. Another statistical leader across the board. San Jose State dominates my statistical models and should win easily and I only need 3 points to make it a winner. I love the ATS numbers too.

San Jose State

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
• Spartans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
• Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

New Mexico State

• Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Aggies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Aggies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Head-to-Head

• Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Did I convince you? I am taking San Jose State to win and cover in convincing fashion!!!

Houston (-13 and Over 69.5) at SMU - Never thought I would be throwing money at these crackatoah games but when the numbers speak I throw money. Here are the ATS numbers:

Houston

• Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
• Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

SMU

• Mustangs are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
• Mustangs are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 5-21 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Mustangs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
• Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 games following a ATS win.
• Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
• Over is 10-4 in Mustangs last 14 home games.

Head-to-Head

• Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

Pretty terrifying numbers. Houston does not jump out as a clear cut favorite but they are when you look at their stats. Houston has a ridiculous offense and averages more than 545 yards per game, 402 though the air. SMU gives up almost 500 yards per game on defense and is terrible. SMU also loves to turn the ball over at a clip of 2.9 times per game. I think this game will be high scoring. SMU will be comfortable playing at home so they should come out flying. I know Houston will keep up and I expect a ton of points to be scored. ONce the dust settles Houston will be the team that continues to pour it on when SMU turns the ball over. Houston has put up 45 and 41 points in their last two games, both S/U and ATS wins. SMU put up 31 at home last week and almost ended Tulsa’s winning streak. I am taking Houston to win and cover and I am taking the OVER!!!

Florida International at Troy (-10) - Nothing like ending my pick session on a Sun Belt game. Troy has only played one home game this season and it was against a 1-AA school. Troy is also battle tested, having played at Oklahoma State and Ohio State, winning at Middle Tennessee State and Florida Atalantic and now they get to come home for the first time since 9/13/2008. Florida International has been scrappy this season and has reeled off 3 straight wins and 4 straight ATS wins but those wins have been costly and they have a long list of questionable players for the Troy game. The ATS numbers:

Florida International

• Golden Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
• Golden Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Troy

• Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
• Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
• Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Trojans are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Troy has won this game three times in a row and has more athletes and team speed than FIU. We hit a couple of times with Troy last year and I am coming back to them this week. I am taking Troy to win and cover!

Runny Pelvis Picks (16-19-2 On the Season)

Michigan at Penn State (-24.5): This is one of my favorite games of the week. I love Penn State to cover here. The head-to-head ATS numbers are a little deceiving-Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games at Penn State. However, these are different teams. Rodriguez simply does not have the talent yet to do the things that he wants to do. Eventually, he will get the players, but not this week. Penn State is just too good right now. This will be a blowout. FACTS: Penn State is 11-1 ATS off double digit ATS wins against teams that are less than .500 (3-0 ATS this year alone). They roll big time in this one. Take Penn State -24.5.

Oregon State at Washington (+16): I love this game, too. I’m officialy on the Jacquizz Rogers bandwagon. He is an animal, and he has Oregon State playing their way up the rankings. By season’s end, Oregon State will be a top 15 team. They play well on the road (nearly beat Utah outright) and at home (beat then #1 USC on primetime). Washington is the exact opposite. They suck something awful. Ty will probably be gone at the end of the year. They are not playing well. They will get schmoped this week. FACTS: The Beavers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against Washington, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in Washington and 6-0 ATS versus teams that are .400 or less. Jacquizz may rush for 1,000 yards and carry the ball 447 times in this game. Take Oregon State -16.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-17): This is my next favorite game of the week. This is my Decimation Bowl. Oklahoma State covers easy in this game. Baylor may get a trophy for getting beat so badly. Oklahoma State just has too many weapons, and Baylor has none. This is a tough road game for Baylor. It will not be close. Oklahoma State covers by at least 3 TDs. FACTS: Baylor is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 against the Cowboys and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Oklahoma. Oklahoma State wins and covers the -17 easy.

UCONN at Rutgers (+1): It is amazing how much Rutgers has fallen off this year. UConn has not been great, but I think they pull this one out. Rutgers seems to be in a daze all year. UConn looks like they are playing for something. FACTS: UConn is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at Rutgers. I like UConn to win and cover.

Wake Forest at Maryland (+2): Maryland has been an enigma this year. They look great at home pounding Cal, but they lay an egg against terrible Virginia. Which team will show up this week? I don’t think it matters. Wake is legit and they know the ACC is their’s for the taking. They just have to beat the teams they are supposed to beat. This will not be an easy game for the Deacons, but they will put it away. FACTS: Wake is 5-1 ATS after Clemson. Take Wake -2.

Virginia Tech at BC (-2.5): This game is a little tricky. The ATS numbers point to BC pulling this one out (they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 against VaTech and 3-0 ATS in their last 3 at home against VaTech). However, VaTech is not playing bad this year and they have done some good things on the road. They are coming off rest this week and they have had a much tougher schedule that BC. They are the better team. Beamer will have them ready. Take VaTech +2.5.

Purdue at Northwestern (-4): This lines shows how bad Purdue’s season is going. No way they should be the Dog in this game. But they are terrible. That said, they have a solid senior QB at the helm. I like that on the road. Tiller will get them fired up for this game. If anything, they need to save some face. FACTS: The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against Purdue and 0-10 ATS at home when they are .500 or better against teams that are .500 or worse. Take the Boilermakers to redeem themselves and the 4 points.

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-14.5): Georgia is the most overrated team in college football. Vandy is playing well and they have a chip on their shoulders being the stepchild in the SEC. They play well as a team. They know how to get after teams and they will do so again this week. Georgia will probably win, but this is too many points. They will be looking forward to LSU next week. FACTS: Vandy is 12-2 ATS in the 2nd of back-to-back road games. Take Vandy and the points in a close SEC game.

USC at Washington State (+42.5): This game cracks me up. I’m not scared of this line at all. Washington State and Western Kentucky should should play in their own Bowl this year for terribleness supremacy. Last week Washington State held open tryouts for a QB. Not good when your team is in that state heading into a game against SC. SC was already caught sleeping on the road this year. They won’t do it again. This game will be ugly early and often. Don’t be scared of the points. FACTS: USC is 6-1 ATS off straight-up wins of 21 or more points against teams off double digit straight-up losses. Washington State is 2-10 ATS before Stanford and they have not covered yet this year. That all spells beatdwon at the hands of the Trojans. Take USC -42.5.

RPJ $yndicate Ass Picture of the Week

RPJ $yndicate Ass Video of the Week - We hit you up with two Vida Guerra videos already and three is definitely the charm! This one will make you laugh.

Good luck with your picks and may you sleep on fluffy lady ass pillows.

Flash Flash and Runny

9/20/2008 - Week 4 Free NCAA Football Picks - Improving but Ready for Another Breakthrough!!!

First things first. Our performance has been less than stellar….RPJ is now 9-11-1. Flash is 3-1 and Runny is 6-6. We clearly want to make money and we are not pleased and will not make any excuses like a terrible Kansas line for a push and two half point losses already on the season…..but who is checking. We also changed our blog from RPJ Syndicate to RPJ $yndicate to invoke the gods of the almighty dollar.

Thanks for all of the advice and for your support or knocks. Our models take into account everything you can think of under the sun and then some so we feel confident we will turn this around in no time.

Our rules…We bet every game we put on here and at the lines we post them. Lately we know we have shared the pain but some serious cash is right around the corner. We are going to throw out a lot of games this week, including our first great debate game. RPJ $yndicate picks are picks that pass 100% of our combined models, Runny picks are picks that pass his models but do not pass Flash’s models and Flash’s picks are picks that pass Flash’s models but do not pass Runny’s models. Simple enough. On with the picks….after the obligatory arse shots. We had a request for more Keyra videos and who are we to deny you of that pleasure. Enjoy Mr. SEC lawyer friend….

And one nice pic of Keyra can not hurt either….

And just to continue with the theme here….Miss Angelina Jolie. We wish the cameraman focused a little more to the left and it was raining outside but hey we do not live in a perfect world.

Last but not least…Anybody have a problem with Playboy? We do not think so.

Yes we will still make picks this week and here we go….

RPJ $yndicate Picks

Temple at Penn State (-28.5) - Penn State helped us out last week for one of our wins. Not sure it was more about Penn State or more about how terrible Syracuse was but a win is a win and for us right now that is all that matters. Penn State is going for its 26th straight win against The Owls. The Nittany Lions (3-0) are among the nation’s top 25 in both passing (273.0 ypg) and rushing (263.0 ypg), resulting in the country’s eighth-ranked total offense and fourth-highest scoring team. Temple is coming off two crushing defeats, one in OT to UCONN and the other on a hail mary pass to Buffalo as time expired. Here are the ATS numbers:

Temple
Owls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Owls are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big Ten.

Penn State
NittanyLions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. MAC.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
NittanyLions are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Head-to-Head
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Temple has some impressive ATS numbers, as does Penn State, but what it really comes down to is Temple can not compete in Penn State or against Penn State. No way, no how. The last two years or so when Temple was putting up these impressive ATS numbers they were also losing to Penn State at home 31-0 in 2007 and in Happy Valley 47-0 in 2006. Temple will not cover, NO WAY, NO HOW!!! Take Penn State to dominate this game and win by 30 plus points.

LSU at Auburn (+2.5) - This is definitely the game of the week and ESPN Game Day canceled their Arizona State show to move to Auburn after The Sun Devil’s choke job last week. Auburn is coming off a ridiculous game that they won 3-2. Words can not describe how awful and terrible the offenses were. If Auburn can not score against Mississippi State then how the hell are they going to score against LSU. LSU has had hurricane on the mind and really has needed to get games in to break in their QBs and offense. Auburn has a top rated defense as well so if LSU is not ready to play on offense this score could be lower than the 3-2 we saw last week. The ATS numbers:

LSU
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games in September.

Auburn
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in September.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 6-2 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-6 in Tigers last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Head-to-Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Yep. you guessed it. We are mixing it up this week and throwing in our pick as an over/under pick. Right now the O/U line is at 37.5 and we love that number. These offenses are not ready to play but the defenses are. Remember two years ago…LSU at Auburn….final score was 7-3 in favor of Auburn. Take the under (37.5) in this game.

Wake Forest at Florida State (-5) - This game is pretty simple to see for us. Wake Forest has actually tested itself this season with a road win at Baylor and a home win versus Ole Miss. Baylor is impressive in the fact that Wake traveled and won in the state of Texas for the first time ever and Ole Miss is impressive simply because it is an SEC school. We know absolutely nothing about Florida State because they chose to beat up on 1-AA schools. And yes we refuse to call them anything but 1-AA schools. The ATS numbers:

Wake Forest
Demon Deacons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Demon Deacons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Demon Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 13-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Florida State
Seminoles are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Seminoles are 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Head-to-Head
Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

We think this game favors Wake. They are tougher and more tested. Wake also has a two game winning streak going against the Seminoles and that shows us that Wake knows how to win in Tallahassee. We think this game will be close and physical and do expect Wake to win in the end. The fact that we get 5 points makes it all the better. Take Wake and the points.

Notre Dame at Michigan State (-9) - Our favorite battering ram. Of course Notre Dame kicked us in the arse last week. Damn early turnovers killed Michigan. Well Charlie Weis put all his eggs in the Michigan basket. He talked about beating them all off season and observers say he had more emotion and was more prepared for last week’s Michigan game than any game he has ever coached. You know what that means….let down city. Charlie also got knocked on his fat ass and hurt his knee. Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!! Look at the fat walrus fall….

Michigan State is not a team you can overlook. They are physical, run well and have a great coach. We know Notre Dame shaves their Kuntz and if you do not believe us then click this sentence. The ATS numbers:

Notre Dame
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
Fighting Irish are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Michigan State
Spartans are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. INDEP.

Head-to-Head
Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

We think this is a heavily overrated Irish team. Barely beating SDSU and stomping a depleted, young Michigan team in the infancy of a completely new offense does not impress us at all. MSU is the much better team. They roll at home. Take MSU -9.

Runny Versus Flash - The Great Debate Game

Georgia (-7) at Arizona State - Well it was bound to happen and it only took until Week 4 but Runny and Flash are split on this game. We are not going to bet this game because we are split on what is going to happen. However, we know our readers want to know what is going to happen in this game because it is the game of the week. This game is important on many levels and especially for the Pac-10 versus SEC feud. The Pac-10 laid an egg last week, especially against Mountain West foes and the Mt. West is far removed from SEC competition. Tennessee went to UCLA and got pummeled by a bad UCLA team that went to BYU and lost 59-0. Yup 59-0. Georgia was the pre-season #1 and many predicted them to be national champion. If Georgia is to live up to the hype, they have to go on the road to Arizona State and win convincingly. Amazing tidbit….this is the first time Georgia has travelled west of the Mississippi River since……….1960. 1960!!!!!! Are you freakin kidding us?!?! On top of that, this is the furthest The Dawgs have traveled in the regular season since…..1967. What the F? The SEC is by far the worst traveling conference in all of college football. It can not even be argued. Here are the ATS numbers before we get into our debate:

Georgia
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Bulldogs are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Arizona State
Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in September.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Sun Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Sun Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

Flash Flash saysthat Georgia has a lot to prove and is not coming off of a look ahead game even though they did not play well against South Carolina. Arizona State played the look ahead game and flat out lost and that will be tough to stomach. Arizona State has one big flaw and that is they struggle against physical teams. USC destroyed them last year and literally bloodied Rudy Carpenter. We remember the blood.

Texas beat Arizona State bad and even Arizona, which is not known for much but is well coached on defense almost beat them before losing 20-17. Last week to UNLV, Arizona State ran for 3.6 yards per carry, lost the turnover battle, lost the time of possession battle, lost the 3rd down conversion and 4th down conversion battle and blew a ten point 4th quarter lead. What does that translate into?…..Not being tough enough. I think the ATS numbers speak for themselves also. You will have to wait and see what Runny thinks but I think every sign but one points to Georgia. Georgia does not know how to travel and the SEC does not travel well. That scares the hell out of me. However, in this case, ASU fields a bunch of pussies and Georgia should roll through them in a big statement game. Georgia wins and covers!!!! Side bar….When asked about dropping out of the top 25, Dennis Erickson responded “I don’t know if we should have been in there to start with.” Way to inspire confidence in your team coach.

Runny SaysGeorgia is the most overrated team in the Top 25. Yeap - THE most overrated. I don’t buy the hype at all. No doubt they have studs on both sides of the ball. However, their O-Line is ATROCIOUS. No way they can win the SEC with that line. No way. And, there is no way they travel 1,000 miles to Zona and dominate a stout D. As we noted above, this is the first time they have traveled West of the Mississippi since 1960 and the furthest they traveled since 1967. This cannot be overstated. As also noted, SEC teams do not travel out of state very well. This also cannot be overstated. Why is that?

The reason, I feel, is that SEC schools do not travel well because they purposely don’t do it. They are not used to it, so when a big game comes a good distance from home, they fold. Pretty much every SEC team loads up on cupcake schools at home like SouthEastCentralWestCrenshaw Louisiana State and think that establishes college football supremacy. I don’t buy it, and neither will ASU. Despite what they are saying in Athens, Geogia is looking past this game. They are smack dab in the middle of a tough conference schedule. Take that and the fact that they have to travel 1,000 miles means Georgia is in trouble.

(SIDE NOTE: As you can imagine, in our travels to various sporting events around this great country of ours we often run into complete degenerates that often have the same interests we do: gambling and handicapping. Some of our readers know our friend, Maury the Wig, who graces our presence during NCAA hoops season. Well, at the USC-OSU game last weekend, we had the pleasure of meeting a fellow by the name of Magic Rat. Imagine being at the biggest regular season college game of the past 10 years and meeting a guy in SoCal wearing cut-off jean shorts, drinking piss warm PBR’s and bitching about teams that were not OSU or USC. Rat was by himself, bitching about the SEC and we found him to be a pure genius. He is a hater and just seemed bash the popular team at the moment. Anyway, we immediately extended the invite to contribute to our blog. He accepted, but we haven’t heard from him since. Hopefully he will grace us with his presence. Stay tuned…we have no idea if he will remember us).

Granted, ASU sucked it something awful last week against UNLV. However, I think it was a look past game. They knew who was coming this week and they got ahead of themselves. Coach Erickson is a good coach. He knows how to motivate. He will turn it around. They may not win, but they can cover 7 points. I’m riding Rudy Carpenter and the Sun Devils and taking the 7 points.

Flash Flash Picks (3-1 on the season) and the rule of 28

Seems like all my picks have 28 point spreads. Here goes:

Wyoming at BYU (-28) - BYU is coming of a total decimation of UCLA in very impressive fashion and continuing with the nation’s longest winning streak. BYU has the toughness and wants to make it into the BCS title picture. Some points to think about…Last week, the Cougars rolled up 521 total yards even though no individual player had more than 110 yards from scrimmage. The Cougars forced four turnovers and allowed nine rushing yards on 16 carries in handing UCLA its first shutout loss since 2001. Do not doubt this team for a second. 28 points does not scare me. BYU wins and covers convincingly!!!

Rice at Texas (-28) - Good things typically happen for Texas when it meets Rice. The Longhorns, who have won nine straight games over the Owls, are 37-1 against them since 1966 to improve to 68-21-1 in the all-time series, which dates to 1914. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and Rice Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Texas wins and covers easily!!!

Runny Pelvis (6-6 on the season)

VaTech at UNC (-3) - UNC shocked me last week with their dominating win over Rutgers in Jersey. Pretty damn impressive. Butch Davis has completely turned that program around. He has done an excellent job of recruiting and it is starting to show. Props to him and that team. However, the Hokies have a great coach, too, and a very established program. Frank Beamer knows how to run a team. Despite the fact that they have looked bad this year and lost their opener to East Carolina, I think they cover in this one. I love the points. Some facts: Tech is 10-1 ATS on the road against opponents they beat the year before, Tech is 12-2 in their lined road openers and UNC is 2-8 as Favorites of 6 points or less. VaTech covers and wins outright.

Miss St. at GaTech (-7.5) - Miss St scrapped last week against Auburn. Impressive? Not to me. Their schedule has been a joke: the lost to LaTech and beat SE LA. That’s right-SE LA!!!! Tech, on the other hand played J’Ville St, BC and VaTech. Much more impressive to me. Paul Johnson is a great coach and within two years, he will have GaTech competing for a BCS title. They aren’t there yet, but I think they are the much better team here. Also, Miss St is 1-6 ATS in their games immediately following Auburn. That says to me that they blow their loads against Auburn. Bad timing this week. I’m taking GaTech -7.5.

Iowa at Pitt (+1) - This line says a lot about how Pitt’s season is going. With all the pre-season hype and the studs they have on this team, no way Pitt should be an underdog in this game. However, after an opening loss to Bowling Green and not destroying Buffalo, Pitt finds themselves sucking it. They haven’t covered all year, and they won’t this week. Iowa has a solid D (allowing a Nation’s best only 2.7 points per game) and they beat their bitter rival last week. We like them here, too. Facts: Pitt is 1-6 ATS at home against a team .600 or better under Dave Wannstadt. Enough said for me. Take Iowa -1.

Central Michigan at Purdue (O/U: 64.5) - You readers know that we love us some Dan LaFevour. He is the man!! He knows how to run wild and throw-up some points. However, so does Curtis Painter and Purdue. I love he MAC and I researched this game more than any other this week. Honestly, I cannot figure out who will cover (at posting time, Purdue is giving 3). So, I’m not picking a team. I’m taking the game. Both teams can throw-up massive amounts of point. I love the over in this. Take the OVER 64.5.

Troy at Ohio State (-20.5) - OSU is fresh off the drubbing they received at the hands of SC last weekend. They were completely over matched and dejected by halftime. Now they come home with their tails between their legs and looking to salvage their program and self-respect. Beanie Wells is out, and there has been no decision on who will start at QB. If Tressel is smart, he will go with Pryor for the rest of the season. We watched him in person last week and think he is every bit as good as advertised. He needs to play. However, I think Tressel is still going to play him in spots. I think this is a mistake. This strategy barely beat Ohio. Troy is a MUCH better team than that. They play good D and they smell blood. Facts: Troy is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and OSU is 0-5 at home against non-conference opponents who are coming of a straight-up win. I think OSU wins, but Troy can keep it within 20.5.

Bama at Ark (+8.5) - HUGE SEC battle!! I can’t wait to watch this game. Both coaches left the NFL under high scrutiny. Both have excellent NCAA coaching histories. Bama is stacked and had, in my opinion, the best recruiting class in the country. Julio Jones is a future NFL star and an immediate difference make. Ark does not have that type of player, but they can still play. Both teams will be geeked for this game.  What will give? I say Ark covers. Facts: The Dog in this series is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 match-ups, and Ark is 7-1 as underdogs off a non-conference game vs. an opponent off double digit straight-up win. Due to hurricane Ike, Ark is rested and this is the game they have had circled all year. I think they get a huge emotional edge at home. I’m taking the points and riding Ark +8.5.

Ball State at Indiana (-3) - I will be heading to this game and tailgating like a madman. This is a HUGE rivalry for the great state of Indiana. Both teams will be fired-up. I can’t wait!! Should be shootout, but I think Ball State covers. Facts: IU is 6-1-1 against the MAC and 6-1 at home against an opponent off of back-to-back straight-up ATS wins. This favors IU immensely and give that they are in the Big 10, they should blow Ball State out. However, they have had some turmoil this season (Middleton suspension) and they have not looked that great. Balls State is hot, and I can guarantee you that have had this game circled on their calendars since they were pummeled by Rutgers in last year’s final game. Nate Davis is a stud who leaves it all on the field every game. I’m taking Ball State +3.

Florida at TENN (+7.5) - THE #2 game of the week. Another HUGE SEC match-up. These teams hate each other and it is typically a good game. The ATS numbers scream take Tenn: Tenn is 3-1 ATS in their last 4 match-ups and Fla is 2-6 in their last 8 September games. However, the key to me to this game is that Florida is coming off the bye. This is huge. They have had two weeks to prepare for this game. They will be ready. Remember, this is the same Tenn team that lost to a terrible UCLA that was crushed by BYU last week. Tenn is overrated. This spread is high because Vegas knows Tenn is bad. With the ATS numbers, the spread should not be this high. I’m taking Fla -7.5.

Enjoy the picks and feel free to make comments, tell us we suck and cost you your house or tell us what hot chicks you want to see of feel free to send us an email at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

Flash and Runny

P.S no idea why this darn blog bolded everything but this is not a beauty contest. Also, we just saw Jeff Tedford and he was eating a turd sandwich.

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NCAA Football Week 14 Picks: Picks and Chicks - The Legend of Keyra

Posted by Flash Flash for the Cash

November 30, 2007

To start things off this week we want to thank you the readers. As of time of this blog, we have had over 2,650 people read us this month. To go along with these thanks we want to ask for your input, advice, suggestions, etc… Please feel free to tell us we stink or to praise us. We know you all want winners and we do to because our money is always where our mouth is.

On the season we are 53-51, 6-4 on Eva Mendes bets and up 10 units. We are disappointed about the 10 unit mark because we would like to be higher for the bowl season but we will take it. If you listened to us, you made money and that is what matters most to us. Straight Cash Homey!!!!!

We have 9 picks for you this week but we do not have an Eva Mendes bet. Also, since we know you like it, we are going to put in as much hot tail as we can!!! Lastly, we looked at every single game this weekend so if you want our opinion or any stats or lines please let us know by leaving us a comment on this blog or emailing us directly at rpjsyndicate@gmail.com.

The Hot Dirty Girl Games. Basically we are jumping on the two Florida teams nobody talks about….Central Florida and Florida International. The Hot Dirty Girl Game means these are chicks nobody is thinking about. They are not the South Beach hotties or Miami models, they are simply hot, probably dirty and we love them!!!!!

Boobs and camel toe…Only in a Hooters Girl competition.

Game 1 - Tulsa at Central Florida (-7.5) - We know some people are going to jump on Tulsa but we thought this line was too low. Check out Central Florida’s games sine they lost to South Florida.

Beat Tulsa 44-23 (yeah that is right, they beat them up once already)
Beat Southern Miss 34-17
Beat Marshall 47-13
Beat UAB 45-31
Beat SMU 49-20
Beat UTEP 36-20

Then throw in the fact that Central Florida is undefeated at home this season and you have to like this game. The line opened at 6.5 and we got it at 7.5 and we are not concerned. Check out the against the spread numbers:

Tulsa
Golden Hurricane are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Golden Hurricane are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games.
Golden Hurricane are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Golden Hurricane are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Golden Hurricane are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Golden Hurricane are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Hurricane are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Golden Hurricane are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Central Florida
Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

We love Central Florida in this game as they throw some extra dirty on this one!!!! Take Central Florida to win and cover!!!

Game 2 - North Texas at Florida International (+2.5) - This one is going to be a pretty surprising pick but we have to do it. Lets take a look at the ATS numbers first:

North Texas
Mean Green are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games on turf.
Mean Green are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Mean Green are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

Florida International
Nothing to speak of

That is right….Florida International has nothing good to speak of. North Texas is favored statistically across the board accept for one key area….They can not stop the run compared to Florida International and this little stat tells us that Florida International will cover and possibly win. North Texas is playing for nothing and Florida International is playing for an important first win on the season. We are taking Florida International to cover!!!

Game 3 - Army at Navy (-14) - The Tomb Raider Game. Basically we wanted to show support for our troops by showing you a picture of one of the hottest chicks in the world with a gun. Enjoy!

Navy runs the ball and runs it well, almost 340 yards per game and Army gives up almost 230 yards per game. Navy’s defense is bad but not as bad as Army’ and Army has a terrible offense as well…not as bad as Notre Dame’s but it is putrid. Check out the ATS numbers:

Army
Black Knights are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Black Knights are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Black Knights are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.

Navy
Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Midshipmen are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
Midshipmen are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a bye week.
Midshipmen are 42-20-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Then throw in the fact that the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and you have to love Navy. We almost threw this in as an Eva Mendes bet but we could not pull the trigger in a rivalry game. Take Navy to win and cover!!!!

Game 4 - UCLA at USC (-20) - Murder Game Number 2. We picked the USC/Arizona State game perfectly. USC is on fire right now and beat the living piss out of ASU and left ASU’s QB bloody and in pain. We think this week will be more of a beatdown. It is a revenge game for USC. USC lost last year to UCLA and lost a chance to beat the crap out of Ohio State in the National Championship Game. Check out this clip form last week to see and feel the bloodiness.

Here are the ATS numbers for you:

UCLA
Bruins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Southern California.

USC
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Trojans are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Trojans are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Trojans are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 home games.
Trojans are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 games as a home favorite.
Trojans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.

We think USC is the best team in the country right now. The only reason Vegas would set this line this high is because all of the money is picking UCLA and Vegas thinks USC wins by 21 points or more. In addition, UCLA is terrible in the Coliseum and has no offense and we think the revenge factor will be too much for them to overcome. USC wins easily, with a lot of blood and they might actually kill a UCLA player on the field this time around. They came close in Arizona but might get the job done this time. USC wins big and covers!!!

Game 5 - Florida Atlantic at Troy (-15) - The Little Trojans Bowl. the Trojans name is hot. USC is beating people’s asses and Troy is 8 and 2 against the spread on the season. So as a reward our Little Troy Trojans get linked up with the perfect chick ass….a pic from our girl Keyra. Google this chick if you have never seen her ass and videos.

Ay Carumba!!! Gotta love it!!! Here are the ATS numbers:

Florida Atlantic
Owls are 3-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Owls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Owls are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog.
Owls are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Owls are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Owls are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Troy
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Trojans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Trojans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Trojans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Trojans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Got it? Troy Trojans represent just like the USC Trojans and lays a beat down. They will reward us for that Keyra ass shot. Troy wins and covers easily!!!

Game 6 - Oregon St. at Oregon (pick em) - Could we really pick this game without showing some authentic Beaver. We did not think so.

Oregon is probably going to end this season like they did last year by losing their last few games and getting blown out in a bowl game once the team realizes they have no chance. We feel bad for them but sympathy does not put cash in our pockets. This game opened as a pick em because Autzen is a brutal place to play and Oregon State has not faired well there the last few times. Dennis Dixon is out for the season and Brady Leaf is doubtful. When you are relying on Brady Leaf you know you are in trouble. Here are the ATS numbers:

Oregon St.
Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Beavers are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a ATS win.

Oregon
Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.

Mrs. Flash Flash is picking Oregon. Once again she is picking against us. She is 1-3 on the season and is picking the Ducks because she played touch football in Autzen stadium three Summers ago. Sorry to the Mrs. but you will be wrong again and lose your 4th straight. Oregon State has won two in a row since losing to USC and Oregon has lost two in a row with Dixon out and were shut out by a terrible UCLA team last week. We think Oregon State snaps their streak in Eugene. Take Oregon State to win!!!

Game 7 - Pittsburgh at West Virginia (-28.5) - The Whack Bowl. You probably did not see comments from USC TE Fred Davis this week but he was talking about the prospect of West Virginia facing Missouri for the national championship game. USC tight end Fred Davis is no fan of the current BCS title-game matchup. “Missouri-West Virginia? I don’t like that,’’ Davis said. “That’s a whack bowl game. But I think Oklahoma will beat Missouri anyways.” Yes we are bitter USC blew two games this year and is not playing for a BCS title. We think they have the best team. Alright enough bitching lets see some hot chicks.

We are only looking at one ATS number this week. The Mountaineers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. So what do you do with this game. West Virginia knows they need to win and they play for the national title. PITT is not that good. West Virginia has been explosive. We think this is a combo of two things. First is the Nebraska syndrome. The Nebraska Syndrome was what Tom Osborne used to do at Nebraska. For home games he would not blow teams out because he would play 2nd, 3rd, 4th string etc… so everybody got a chance to play in front of their family and boosters. We think this has Nebraska Syndrome written all over it. The second thing is one of our weird stats that you just need to trust us on and yes we know we went 0-2 the last time we told you about it but we are going to keep riding the percentages. So we think West Virginia will win but will not be able to cover. Take PITT for the cover!!!

Game 8 - Virginia Tech at Boston College (+4.5) - The Thanks for Trying Game. Jessica Simpson tried at her marriage, tried at an acting career and tried to look smart. Well thanks for trying Miss Simpson. You are hot as hell though.

So we want to thank Virginia Tech for trying. They tried damn hard to beat BC last time and they are trying really hard now to impress down the stretch. Well we want to thank them for trying cause trying does not put money in our pockets. We do not know one expert that is giving BC a chance in this game. BC was outplayed down in Blacksburg for 57 minutes but pulled out the win and that was on the road. The experts say Virginia Tech has been playing like one of the best teams in the country and there are even some fools lobbying for them to play in the national championship game. Please!!! Boston College has shown that they get the job done and win football games. We love that they are the underdog and are getting 4.5 points. Take a look at the ATS numbers:

Virginia Tech
Hokies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.

Boston College
Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Eagles are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog.
Eagles are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
Eagles are 35-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Heads up the Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. We are not sure BC will win but we think this game will be 3 points or less in margin of victory. BC is not getting any respect and Va Tech is the hot pick this week. Take BC to cover!!!

Game 9 - Tennessee at LSU (-7.5) - The Pamela Anderson Game. What do we know about Pam Anderson…She is hot, she has a sick body and she has Hep C and can literally kill you.

Well Les Miles has a nice coaching pedigree, he has top 3 talent on his team easily, he has one of the best defense in the country but his decision to puruse the Michigan job killed LSU this year. We feel sorry for LSU fans this week. Les Miles is screwing them just like he did to Oklahoma State back in 2004. The nation knows he is going to interview for the Michigan job after the SEC championship game and will likely take that position. So why the hell is he still coaching the Tigers. It is a shame because with a serious coach that is fighting for his own job and for his team, there is no way they lose at home to Arkansas. As we explained last week, Les Miles is a dud when is knows he is going to leave a team… he lost his last regular season game and the bowl game for Oklahoma State in 2004 and now he loses to Arkansas, will probably lose to Tennessee and then bail on the Tigers for Michigan. Shame on you Les Miles. Take a look at the ATS numbers:

Tennessee
Volunteers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Volunteers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Volunteers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.

LSU
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

LSU is simply getting worse on Defense and with Les Miles leaving we think LSU has little to no chance of winning this game. We are not advising the moneyline and we are taking Tennessee and the points. We were right last week against Arkansas and we will be right this week. Bet the Vols!!!

Getting back to Keyra…if you have not witnessed one of her videos you have to check this out. We felt like we needed to leave you with this heading into bowl season. This ass certainly psyches us up. You might need to register with youtube but it is worth it. Trust us.

Flash Flash and Runny

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